Slashdot Mirror
Bloomberg Starts Tracking Tesla Model 3 Production (bloomberg.com)
WindBourne writes: Tesla is producing their Model 3, but is apparently tired of answering critics about production. So, they quit telling. Now, Bloomberg has an active tracker that shows the total production and deliveries, along with the production per week, which is probably more important. In fact, they are now up to 1,025 Model 3s per week, and it is apparent that Tesla is growing by leaps and bounds on this as parts of the manufacturing line are converted to full robotics. Bloomberg reportedly tracks Tesla's production via Vehicle Identification Numbers (VINs), which are unique strings of digits displayed on every new car sold in the U.S., along with "data from official U.S. government resources, social media reports, and direct communication with Tesla owners." While the company is now building approximately 1,025 Model 3 vehicles a week, Bloomberg estimates that Tesla has manufactured a total of 7,438 Model 3s so far.
They pre-sold a reported (approx) 400K on opening offering day alone. At a rate of 1025 a week, this means that just to satisfy the original pre-order Tesla will take a a good 7.5 years to deliver the vehicle to the last person on the list.
But Tesla CEO Elon Musk wants his electric-car company to become a dominant mass-production player that eventually extends its reach to electric trucks and beyond. The Model 3—with a sticker price as low as $35,000, but currently only available in more expensive configurations—is Tesla’s first step into the mainstream. That plan only works if the company can figure out how to make exponentially more cars. And, as often happens with Musk’s aggressive goals, Tesla has repeatedly fallen short of its own manufacturing targets.
If Tesla can’t figure out how to make more cars soon, it could open a lane for rivals from Detroit and overseas to establish the high-volume market for a $35,000 electric car—one that Tesla has had in its sights from its very beginning. Musk’s ambitions are big, and they all ride on meeting the unprecedented demand for the Model 3.
Oh Fuck off Bloomberg.com.
Just another Tesla hater that wants them to fail. Wallstreet acts like Tesla is always on the brink of failure. Spoiler alert. They've already won. There is no risk of failing anymore. They've delivered 3 successful products to the market. Demand exists. They sell out on pre-orders everytime. They're developing a 4th (autonomous semi). 10 years from now, you'll still be reading articles about "Tesla on the brink of failure"
There is some weird Republican sentiment that doesn't like Tesla because it's perceived as "liberal hippy tree hugger" or this idea that "real cars" burn fuel. This strange sentiment explains all these anti-Tesla aspirations. It's strange these feelings aren't applied to SpaceX too, an equally successful and industry disrupting company.
Also spoiler alert. If Detroit could deliver a $35k electric car, they would. They can't. Tesla is not stopping them. Detroit is stopping Detroit.
Somebody is definitely in the market for Tesla bad, I mean real bad. Hence the trolling, corporate main stream media, always does the bidding of advertisers, trying to guess who is tricky. They desperately want to pick up Tesla cheap, likely the reputation must having taken a bruising in recent years, and they want the Tesla brand but it is pretty expensive and more than just a little overpriced, for it's current production levels. Might not even be a car manufacturer but an electronics firm. Even got to watch who you lend money from nowdays, if they can bankrupt you, than rescue and sell you at a profit, then absolutely do not trust them, they will probably try to do it to you.
Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
The engineers were probably thinking that the automated rain sensors on the model 3 would take over manual operation of the windshield wipers. Detecting rain on a windshield should be a little easier than automated driving.
You can still use the lever behind the steering wheel to control momentary wipers.
Heaven forbid that a truly innovative car company question the status quo of windshield wiper operation.
"Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
Your estimate is wrong. 7,202,335,148,562,342,439,363,104,735,232 units per month will be one month after 7.5 years. The correct number is 3601167574281171219681552367616 (feel free to insert the commas).
Considering the GP estimate of 1025 cars a week will result 53446 cars/year or 53592 (for a leap year) which translates into a monthly production rate between 4454 and 4466.
Considering the truth is in the middle I would calculate the monthly production of tesla to be between 1800583787140585609840776181581 and 1800583787140585609840776181575 cars/month.
Now back to my MBA course.
Good for him.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
Need to equip charging stalls with spike strips that retract when an EV arrives ;) Or license plate cameras fed to the police.
At least supercharger stations have many stalls total, unlike the vast majority of CHAdeMO/CCS sites.
Point of interest. Offering to shoot us might not work so well as an incentive as you might imagine.
it IS about the charging network! I live in Southwest Ontario and the charging infrastructure is pretty woeful, despite the governments insistence that it's committed to EVs as the future.
The good news is that Tesla is about to open a massive supercharger station in Cambridge, ON. I drove past it a few days ago and counted at least 15 charging stations and that's right off the main 401 highway between London and Toronto so prime spot.
The other EV manufacturers aren't really serious about EV's and it shows when you look at their commitment to the infrastructure which is basically zero. When I was looking for an EV/Hybrid, I went to the local Chevrolet dealership to look at the Bolt & Volt models. The dealership is pretty close to my gym so I figured I could leave the car charging at their single EV station in the evening for the 2 hours I'm at the gym and it would be enough to get me home on battery power.
Upon speaking to the salesperson and even the owner, it quickly became apparent that their single station was an after thought - maybe something they had to do because corporate said they needed it in order to sell EV's. When I asked how they'd feel if I used it to charge my EV (purchased from them) in the evenings, they response I got was, "Well, sometimes we park other customer vehicles there so they can pick up their cars after hours"
True to form, each time I drive past on the way to the gym, that spot is ALWAYS blocked by some truck or van
Ford is no different, at least the dealerships in Brantford that don't even have L2 chargers! I've yet to see a manufacturer other than Tesla demonstrate a real commitment to charging infrastructure or even capabilities in their own dealerships.
The attitude of other manufacturers has always felt like, "Meh, those dirty hippies will buy electric cars either way; charging infrastructure is someone else's problem. And fast charging is pointless - for road trips, you buy a real car".
I know there's lots of good people working for the major automakers who are strong believers in an electric future. But the attitudes from the top have been... underwhelming.
Supercharge.info says it opened on February 2nd - are you sure it's not open? :) And yeah, it's a 16 stall station.
The Trans-Canada highway should be interesting. They're up to Sudbury now on the east (opened 21 dec), and they're building another Calgary one on the west (not sure if that is to count as part of the highway or not). I look forward to seeing more sites going into permitting, even though I don't live in Canada. What's really neat is seeing Western Europe finish up in Spain / Portugal. Still waiting for them to come to Iceland...
Point of interest. Offering to shoot us might not work so well as an incentive as you might imagine.
They should maybe talk to a mathematician: During WWII, the allies had
exactly the same problem with the German tank production rate and their
tanks' sequential serial numbers.
It's known as the German tank problem, and statistical methods
delivered impressively accurate results at the time (results that were doubted by
the military, but that's another story...).
You know what? It IS open! When I drove past it originally, it looked there was still some constructions going on but maybe that was incidental stuff. Over the weekend, I saw a Tesla Model S parked in one of the bays and it definitely had the cable plugged in