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GPU Prices Are Falling (venturebeat.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: If you were looking for a new graphics card for your PC over the last year, your search probably ended with you giving up and slinging some cusses at cryptocurrency miners. But now the supply of video cards is on the verge of rebounding, and I don't think you should wait much longer to pull the trigger on a purchase. Earlier this week, Digitimes reported that GPU vendors like Gigabyte, MSI, and others were expecting to see their card shipments plummet 40 percent month-over-month. The market for digital currencies like Bitcoin and Etherum is losing some of its momentum, and at the same time, large mining operations are pulling back on their investment in GPUs in anticipation of dedicated mining rigs (called ASICs) that are due out before the end of the year. These factors working in conjunction seem like they are leading to more supply, which in turn is forcing retailers to cut prices. For example, the Gigabyte GeForce GTX 1080 video card is selling on Amazon right now for $700. Other retailers even have it listed at the original MSRP of $600. These are the lowest prices of 2018 so far.

27 of 149 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Abandoned PC gaming long ago for this reason by idontusenumbers · · Score: 3, Insightful

    But... mouse and keyboard =/

  2. Used Cards by Ailicec · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Better, when will the big operations start dumping cards by the thousands onto Ebay? A plentiful secondhand market + crypto not buying new cards should deepen the effect. I'm fine with used stuff, but do wonder how much life a GPU that has run flat-out 24/7 for a year or two has left.

    1. Re:Used Cards by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That is called an extensive burn-in. If silicon lasts through the initial burn-in and was not operated in an abusive environment, it's better than a random new card fresh from packaging.

    2. Re:Used Cards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually I believe the trend is to underclock them for best performance / watt.

    3. Re:Used Cards by Xenocrates · · Score: 2

      There is some amount of damage due to electro-migration. There is also the potential for damage due to running on a sagging supply rail due to the sheer number of cards, but that would mostly apply to the power delivery stages, which are repairable, and only be found in relatively poorly built mining rigs. There's also the potential drying of the thermal paste, or it's migration. The warmer the environment, the more liquid many become, and the cards are not always designed to run in a vertical orientation. Cleaning, and potential dust contamination of the PCB is also a concern, with any GPU, not just a mining card.

      Overall, if you want something you don't have to worry about, only buy used if you can get two for the price of one new, because the new one has a proper warranty, while a used one may have the warranty canceled for you being a secondary purchaser, or because it was used commercially.

    4. Re: Used Cards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Rejected shares

    5. Re:Used Cards by goose-incarnated · · Score: 2

      "That is not how GPUs work you fucking moron."

      That is pretty much how any burn-in of any piece of electronic equipment is performed, you fucking moron.

      Regardless of whether the GP is a sexually active moron or not, there is a valid concern if a GPU was used for mining: while the piece of silicon is probably okay, the surrounding circuitry *will* *be* affected by continuous high heat.

      You have no idea if the ex-mining card was used in a rig that was not properly cooled, that had multiple hot/cold cycles out of the temperature range, that ran above the recommended temperature range for more than the number of hours it was specified for, etc.

      Basically, you don't know if it was abused outside the operating range or not.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
  3. Re:Sorry guys! I'm making too much money to stop by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 2

    Twenty years from now when you are at the villa reminiscing, you can divulge that you're one of the guys who knew how to hold a Phillips screwdriver and bilked thousands out of their student loan money.

  4. No. by Fly+Swatter · · Score: 2

    I don't think you should wait much longer to pull the trigger on a purchase

    Let the prices keep falling. I think we should all just wait till it hits rock bottom, then wait some more. Seriously though I always bought the value cards at around $100. Even those appear about 50 percent over what I would care to pay today if I thought I needed anything more than integrated graphics. When I do game, its older titles anyway. For me, gaming peeked at Quake3. Get off my lawn and all that.

    1. Re:No. by Sir+Holo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      For me, gaming peeked at Quake3. Get off my lawn and all that.

      Try Far Cry 5. It has multiplayer FPS deathmatch and such, just like Quake (and Unreal Tournament, the true pinnacle, or how about Avara, the FIRST truly 3D internet-multiplayer game).

      Far Cry 5 rocks. Offline or with a friend, you can play through a campaign that has a very interesting and sometimes unpredictable AI, simple random events colliding in the open world for unique situations. Puzzles. Fishing. Prince-of-Persia-like parkour and climbing puzzles. Meaningfully diverse weapons set. Player specialties. NPC specialties. Command-able AI companions.

      Run it on a GTX 1080 Ti for 1080p 60 fps gorgeousness. 4k at 45 fps or so. !!! A Ryzen probably gets you the same.

  5. 700 for a gaming card?? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Jesus. I remember in the good old days when $200 was a good chunk for a great GPU and $350 was for the very fastest ones.

    Wtf happened? Nvidia monopoly and gamers ready to open their wallets because of the Nvidia label seem to be destroying the market. The comments on how the 1050ti is God on YouTube when referring to AMD products and the xboxoneX verify this brainwashing and monopoly.

    Hey PC masterace just don't be shocked when us regular peasants switch to consoles where you can get the same performance for cheaper.

    1. Re:700 for a gaming card?? by gman003 · · Score: 5, Informative

      The top-end cards became halo products. Just like few cars on the road are Mustangs, few video cards are 1080 Tis.

      Checking the Steam Hardware Survey, about 60% of all cards are Nvidia GeForces in the xx50 to xx70 range - the normal, reasonably-priced cards. (AMD is only 10% of the market right now, with much of that being integrated. Their fundamental architecture was just way better-suited for mining, so their prices spiked even harder than Nvidia's did.)

      Also, be aware the GF1xxx series MSRPs were already inflated by mining demand. The "normal" price for a top-end xx80 Ti is $500-$600, and the only-slightly-slower xx80 is usually $350-$400. But the 9xx series was already selling for nearly double MSRP when the 10xx series came out, they'd have been idiots to not bump up the stock prices.

    2. Re:700 for a gaming card?? by Tough+Love · · Score: 2

      AMD is only 10% of the market right now, with much of that being integrated. Their fundamental architecture was just way better-suited for mining, so their prices spiked even harder than Nvidia's did.

      My concrete interpretation of that is, NVidia sunk their transistor budget into tile based rasterization while AMD went for more vector FLOPS, the former being a better tradeoff for video rendering and the latter better for general purpose computing on GPU (not just mining!). Also would explain why AMD's vega/navi roadmap focuses on GPGPU for the next year or two. I suppose AMD's next GPU arch will also join the tiler party.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    3. Re:700 for a gaming card?? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 2

      Jesus. I remember in the good old days when $200 was a good chunk for a great GPU and $350 was for the very fastest ones.

      3 things happened, Crypto currency mining, memory in high demand (partly smart phones) / a memory cartel, other new use cases including but not limited to GPUs doing AI computation and being used in self-driving vehicles.

      It's about time GPUs forked between gaming and general compute, general compute is becoming big enough that it should get it's own products with different GPUs. For instance gaming GPUs have 64bit compute precision which is probably a waste of silicon, they likely don't need to be accurate for games and could be faster with 32bit - I could be wrong, any experts here?

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
  6. This is just market lag by Lord+Ender · · Score: 4, Informative

    Ethereum and Monero are the reason GPUs are being snatched up by miners. The value of those coins crashed horribly earlier in the month... to the point where it was barely profitable to mine. But prices have rebounded recently, so you can expect GPUs to start selling out again soon.

    When the blockchain "difficulty factor" for ETH and XMR solidly surpasses their record highs, then you will know these ASICs are really rolling out. From there it won't be long until these $700 cards can be found on Ebay for chump change.

    You can track the difficulty here: https://www.coinwarz.com/diffi...

    --
    A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
  7. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 2

    That's fine. Compared to my Nvidia 1080 they're useless for gaming, so I wouldn't consider a Vega.

    --
    "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
  8. The price did come down but hardly enough. by BlueCoder · · Score: 2

    I'm interested in AMD RX 64 since I invested in a freesync monitor. The price right now is around $800. That is $300 more than the MSRP of $500 at release. This is more than 6 months later so right now the second revision and or custom vendor versions should be coming out and the original card should be going for around $450. By my calculation that is far from being on par.

  9. calling 'bullshit' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... source is 'venturebeat'.

    yup. bullshit.

    checked price of a 1050ti..... total bullshit.

    and this isn't even a very good mining card. price of these went up because they were all that was left.... and then, these disappeared from store shelves, too, even when priced as high as two hundred fucking dollars... not the $99 or less they should be selling at eighteen months after its introduction...

    if it weren't for mining, we'd have the geforce gtx 11xx series out by now, too. this mining shit isn't just affecting prices of what's on the market, it's affecting the gpu companies' ambition to release the 'next' stuff... why do that when they are at 100% manufacturing capacity anyway and making bank on the old stuff?

  10. Re:Abandoned PC gaming long ago for this reason by Z80a · · Score: 2

    The biggest advantage of the PC is the absolutely huge and varied library of games. Even without counting grey areas such as emulation, you get 30+ years of games of everything, and titles that easily surpass the modern games in terms of actual gameplay.
    But you don't need a top of line machine to enjoy those, just a good taste and be willing to forgive the graphics of old.

  11. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by Tough+Love · · Score: 2

    Compared to my Nvidia 1080 they're useless for gaming

    "Useless" is a wild exaggeration. More accurate: 1080 turns in 8 to 15% higher framerates at ultra-high quality. Vega overclocks better, closing the framerate gap and bumping up power consumption to considerably higher than NVidia (maybe 30% more?). Actually, since nobody really needs 100 FPS, you aren't going to notice much difference in practice. Vega handles 4K better. Vega costs twice as much because of mining, that is my only serious issue with it. Going to be hanging onto the Rx 480 for a while yet.

    --
    When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  12. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by Xenocrates · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Maybe because gamers are budget constrained. If I have 300$, I can't buy a 500$ card that will run my games the way I want, since the original 300$ MSRP is inflated due to demand. Because I can't buy that card in the first place, I can't mine with it. Or, I happen to not live in one of the areas where the power costs make that break even. Perhaps my computer can't be left on at night because the fans/lights keep me awake.

    I don't like miners because they are mostly wasting a shit-load of electricity, stealing CPU cycles, or hardware, driving up prices of anything with graphics hardware (GDDR and generic DRAM shortages), and functioning as essentially a high-tech form of scrip, or perhaps monopoly money, with little to nothing backing it (See the open question about if tether actually has the cash to back their tokens that they claim to, since they printed a few hundred million since declaring their bank transfers in and out had been blocked, or perhaps any of the other scams, like Bitconnect, or Pincoin). The vast majority of the "Value" of these currencies is in coins that have never been traded for cash, many of which are out of circulation. Thus the fantastic value numbers are more representative of the last few dozen coins trading price multiplied by the total sum of coins. Logically, because the exchanges never took in sums in the billions of dollars, they can't pay it out. So it's all an illusion of worth, even more so than fiat currency or a standard bank account, because you can't pay nearly as many vendors with it, so it's utility is less, especially since most people don't understand that they are pseudonymous systems, rather than complete anonymous setups. Even the big names in privacy, like Monero, have had it breached. Most are less private than a credit card, because those at least are bound not to release all your info to anyone who calls to ask.

  13. Wait Until Summer by mentil · · Score: 3, Informative

    I don't think you should wait much longer to pull the trigger on a purchase

    Actually, rumor is that Nvidia is going to release the 1100 series GPUs in June or July. They're expected to have about 40% higher performance than the 1000 series. Also, the Etherium ASICs are dropping in July; assuming there's not a hard fork that makes them useless (and even if there is), there will be a sharp price drop in Etherium at that time, leading to lower GPU demand by cryptominers.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
  14. Re:Abandoned PC gaming long ago for this reason by perpenso · · Score: 2

    Anyone using any GPU will lose money mining cryptocurrency unless one is willing to wait until the currency rises significantly in value some amount of time after mining it.

    No, holding is an illusion. If you cannot mine economically today its better to just buy the coins directly rather than buy electricity. You'll have more coins for that significant rise (if it occurs).

  15. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by ThePyro · · Score: 3, Insightful

    He may be referring to the practice of embedding Javascript mining code in web pages in order to "steal" CPU cycles from client browsers. No hacking required.

  16. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by Mashiki · · Score: 3, Informative

    You do know that was debunked back in the 1990's. The difference between 144fps and 300fps is noticeable, if you don't think so go buddy up with someone who works at an imax theater and give it a go. The visual acuity of fighter pilots is in the 480-620fps range, just to give you an example. Conscious i.e. direct focus for most people is in the 50-90fps range, but your brain is 'discarding' unimportant information unless you train it not to.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  17. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2

    You have drunk the koolaid and wish everyone else to partake. There's already a lot of you out there.

    Most current mining operations/coins have absolutely 0 real value, no matter what their stated exchange rate is. Real value doesn't fluctuate by 50%+ a week at the drop of a rumor. It's even worse than gambling on penny stocks. If you think it's any different than that, you need to revisit what penny stocks and OTC trading really involves. Cryptocurrencies/exchanges are exactly like them.

    --
    The cesspool just got a check and balance.
  18. Re:Depends which GPUs you're talking about by popoutman · · Score: 2
    I could easily spot the difference between 60, 90, and 120 fps when playing Quake on a CRT (LG Flatron 795) that could do 120Hz @1024x768.

    The difference is very noticeable when panning quickly. I can see each individual screen update as an image along the movement path - i.e. the opposite of a motion blur. The higher the framerate the more images populated the movement path for the same movement, and the better I felt I could see what was going on. Some people will of course settle for less and be happy with that.

    I would easily say that certain people would see a benefit to consistent 144Hz refresh of both card output and screen refresh.

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