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Uber Shows Its Flying Car Prototype (cnbc.com)

Uber has unveiled its "flying car" concept aircraft at its second annual Uber Elevate Summit, which showcases prototypes for its fleet of airborne taxis. From a report: The flying cars, which the company hopes to introduce to riders in two to five years, will conduct vertical takeoffs and landings from skyports, air stations on rooftops or the ground. Ultimately, company officials say these skyports will be equipped to handle 200 takeoffs and landings an hour, or one every 24 seconds. At first, the flying cars will be piloted, but the company aims for the aircraft to fly autonomously. The prototypes look more like drones than helicopters, with four rotors on wings. Company officials say that will make them safer than choppers, which operate on one rotor. They'll fly 1,000 to 2,000 feet above ground and will be quieter than a helicopter, producing half the noise of a truck driving past a house.

17 of 166 comments (clear)

  1. Prototype by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

    Apparently in 2018 a prototype is a 1:100 scale model and a badly rendered CGI video.

    1. Re:Prototype by Lab+Rat+Jason · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That video is kind of disconcerting to me... the takeoff and landing point is the same spot. I'm sure it's not hard to fix, but using the same takeoff and landing point is sort of encouraging mid-air collisions. It clearly assumes all vehicles communicating their position with each other, which breaks when multiple competitors enter the space. Also, the vehicles are shown kind of round-robin-ing for the passengers to unload/board, but there are lots of use cases that will break this: 1) old people, people with disabilities and users with cargo could break the timing of the system 2) if this thing takes off (pun intended) then Uber won't be the only provider wanting to use the space, meaning that Lyft will want to compete for rides in the same areas, sort of replicating the type of chaos already seen with taxi queues and Uber/Lyft lines we currently see at large hotels and major airports. If only they had a way to control flight traffic locally to prevent collisions, and use a safe landing area that is far enough away from the passenger loading area to keep waiting passengers safe, and perhaps provide a nice structure to wait in, to keep passengers comfortable and out of the weather, then they could assign specific boarding areas or "gates" to each flight so that users knew where to be and at what time, so they could board the correct flight... oh wait. That's an airport.

      --
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    2. Re:Prototype by Lab+Rat+Jason · · Score: 2

      Do you think airplanes use ADS-B for collision avoidance? I'm familiar with ADS-B, and I'm an avid user of RTL-SDR type radios. ADS-B is not going to give you the resolution necessary to keep such a small LZ safe. Distances between airplanes are measured in miles and (thousands of) feet. Takeoff and landing every 24 seconds will require safe operation within hundreds and dozens of feet. A whole new system would have to be created to deal with the size and agility of these types of vehicles. Have you ever tried to hail an Uber or Lyft in a busy environment such as a major airport, casino, or hotel? If Uber is successful at a flying service, do you really think all the other rideshare companies will leave them that business uncontested? No! Other companies will spring up and congest these tiny LZs with their own vehicles, to the point that safety will totally be compromised. We're talking about tens of thousands of pilots, and not seasoned experienced ones... we're talking about novice low wage gig economy workers flying these things. I have zero expectation that they will operate safely and conservatively.

      This problem is actually not hard to solve

      This actually IS hard to solve. When operating this closely you need more than just speed and direction, you need to solve intent. You need to solve multiple units nearby broadcasting multiple time sensitive vectors (to solve intent you need time bound vectors), and you need to solve operating rules during malicious jamming or other radio data failures, because when ADS-B fails, pilots can fall back to visual flight rules and can fall back on the tower (a locally centralized controller) and lacking that can still fall back to common sense. Decentralized systems like these fall back to the ground. If Uber can't solve safety in 2D, I don't think they'll be the first to solve it in 3D.

      I think solving all of this is possible for a single company, but then you also need to solve it as a STANDARD that other companies can freely use, something that I doubt Uber or any other silicon valley startup is willing to do, because market dominance dictates that you never give an inch to your competitor.

      --
      Which has more power: the hammer, or the anvil?
  2. Re:Good idea by RobinH · · Score: 2

    Technically, if I were the programmer, I'd much rather write the software for controlling a flying car than one that drives on roads. Drone software's pretty much a solved problem since it's up, over, down and you have far fewer things that you need to actually detect. Not that I'd want the liability either way.

    --
    "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
  3. Wrong Focus by sycodon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    People keep shooting for complete automation when all that's needed really (in flight) is a system that will reliably get you off the ground, back on the ground and hold a course while staying in communication with ATC if necessary and avoid other aircraft and controlled airspace.

    Make no mistake, a, "Flying car", is an aircraft first and car second. Putting someone with no flying experience in this kind of vehicle is a bad idea all the way around.

    You can make it automated enough that learning it would be something like getting a different class driver's license, but expecting to get grandma one of these to take her to the picnic is a really bad idea.

    --
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    1. Re:Wrong Focus by jellomizer · · Score: 2

      Aircraft had Autopilot for generations. Flying when all the hardware is working correctly, is very safe. Car automation is much more difficult, because you can only move in 2 dimensions to avoid an obstacle. And most obstacles need to occupy those same 2 dimensions.
      Having 3 dimensions reduces the volume exponentially also not having century old infrastructure in the way is handy too.

      Now these will not be flying in tight formation. So reaction time is now in minutes vs split seconds.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    2. Re:Wrong Focus by Junta · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The scenarios where autopilot is safe are relatively specific. For example, you can't autopilot at 500ft through Manhattan.

      Additionally, for a landing area to be able to land and be clear in 24 seconds, that goal implies a bit of crowding of the area.

      Those exceptional scenarios are common enough that the ambition for fully autonomous aircraft for people without aviation training may be a bit much to do.

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    3. Re:Wrong Focus by farble1670 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Flying when all the hardware is working correctly, is very safe.

      Safe, until there's any sort of failure or accident. Then you are dead.

  4. Re:Good idea by Junta · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The issue is that micromanaging multiple rotors is, relatively speaking, a solved problem and that's generally the drone use case that is considered 'solved' (translating a high level maneuver to the appropriate rotor actions). Cars do not have this as a challenge, rolling the car forward and turning it left and right is not something that requires a 'drive by wire' sort of system, so there isn't really that much of an analogous challenge

    Autonomous drone navigation without a remote pilot is not a solved problem, much as it is not a solved problem for driving.

    Even assuming there were some examples of autonomous drone deliveries for small packages, the problem is the amount of damage a 10lb drone with payload can inflict accidentally is different than something weighing several hundred pounds. Additionally the speed is going to be different, drone deliveries are not generally looking to move at hundreds of miles an hour (can be patient, no human passenger, the benefit is mainly skipping circuitous road defined paths). So on top of being heavier, they would be wanting to move probably an order of magnitude faster, generally.

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    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
  5. NOT a flying car. Just an aircraft. by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Uber has unveiled its "flying car" concept aircraft at its second annual Uber Elevate Summit, which showcases prototypes for its fleet of airborne taxis.

    A flying car is not the same thing as an air taxi. A flying car is a road going car that can also get airborne. An air taxi is an aircraft which is used to taxi people between airports/heliports. This is the later. It has no ability to traverse roads and therefore is not a car. You could in principle use a flying car as a taxi but since flying cars are not practical because... physics, it's a moot issue.

    Can we please drop the idiotic notion of a flying car? Unless someone invents something equivalent to Tony Stark's arc reactor it will not be possible to have a flying car that is anything more than a fragile toy. No power source we possess or are in any danger of developing has sufficient power to weight ratio to change this fact. Flying cars are a stupid idea for a lot of reasons but this one fact alone is sufficient to demonstrate that fact.

    Frankly if I was an Uber investor (I'm not) I'd be pissed they are wasting money on this sort of stupid stuff when they are losing money at a breathtaking clip with no signs of stopping or obvious path to profiability.

  6. Re: Focus Uber by Monster_user · · Score: 2

    I rather think this is a "jumping the shark" moment of a company at the edge of failing. Uber's business model is under assault, and their next best option was automation which they have now failed at. They need something to keep investors and backers from cutting their losses and tanking the company as they leave.

  7. Re:NOT a flying car. Just an aircraft. by OneHundredAndTen · · Score: 2

    I find this very frustrating as well, but the genie is out of the bottle. People will carry on calling these ridiculous contraptions flying cars regardless. And, yes, short of a breakthrough in power generation technology, probably preceded by a bigger one in fundamental physics, the flying cars that we have in mind will indefinitely and stubbornly remain in the realm of science-fiction.

  8. m * g * h by snikulin · · Score: 2

    mv^2/2 + mgh > mv^2/2

  9. Re:How about Air Taxi? by houghi · · Score: 2

    Why woud they make an Air Taxi? They are not a taxi company.

    --
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  10. Pie in the Sky.... by bobbied · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are sooo many reasons why Uber is out of their minds with this "pie in the sky" idea.

    First off, as others pointed out, this isn't a car. No way it's going to take to the roads.

    Second, if they thought the rules for driving where complex and exacting, the rules for flying are more so.

    Third, automating a passenger carrying flying machine with sufficient fail safes to satisfy the FAA is going to be a seriously expensive project that's going to take YEARS of work just to document and get a whole bunch of laws and regulations changed to allow.

    Fourth, you will need a horde of A&P certified mechanics to maintain these flying machines and do the required safety checks within the required time frames. These guys and gals don't come cheap and the local auto shop won't be good enough.

    Finally, finding pilots who are qualified to fly passengers around for money in a helicopter is going to be very expensive. We have a grave pilot shortage in this country now, and given the costs and time frames required to move new pilots though the training, Uber doesn't have a snowballs chance of hiring enough pilots for even a small fleet of these things.

    I conclude that Uber is dreaming. This is nothing more than pie in the sky pipe dreams by idiots who have no clue how they are going to do this. Dream on boys, let me know when you have a business plan I can laugh at.

    --
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  11. Re:The Best Minds of our Generation... by alvinrod · · Score: 2

    Pretty much every technology was at one time for the rich only. Eventually it becomes so cheap and commonplace that everyone has it. Indoor plumbing was unheard of for the common people at one point and now you can scarcely find a place without it. Even cars in general were the same at one point and now almost everyone in the country has one. Of the working population, only 3.4% households do not have a vehicle and we're moving towards the point where about half of households have more vehicles than people in the household that are working. Given enough time, flying cars (or whatever future invention that replaces the automobiles of today) will be the same as well.

    Any new technology is going to be expensive at first, which limits customers to those wealthy enough to afford it. Just like cellular phones were when they first hit the market, where the phone cost thousand of dollars, wasn't truly all that portable, and you paid roughly the equivalent of a dollar a minute on top of that just to use it. If you saw someone using one back in the 80's, they were probably a celebrity or a rich Wall Street investor type. Now cell phones are so ubiquitous that homeless people can have them and they've got loads of other capabilities on top of that so that if you have an Android smart phone you can get by without owning a computer or a TV since it can do those things for you.

    I hope that rich people love their flying cars and want to sink loads of their money into them. Because when that happens, people are going to be lining up to try and get some of their money and they're going to have to find better ways of producing those flying cars for less money. Eventually they'll get to the point where the common schmucks like you and I can have one too, just like with automobiles, cell phones, and everything else that's ever existed. Of course you'll just take that for granted and be too busy whining about the best minds trying to give the rich personal space cruisers. You'll probably be complaining about it through the neural-internet interface in you flying car.

  12. Re:The Best Minds of our Generation... by iamhassi · · Score: 3, Informative

    Or we can build them homes?

    This.

    Jeff Bezos recently spent $40,000,000 to build a clock inside a goddamned mountain. I can't help but think how many homes he could have built with that (in San Fran? Like 35.)

    Having been homless myself I can say 100% of homeless that are homeless for more than a few months are homeless by their own choice. There are many govt and private churches ready to help them get jobs and shelter. They're only homeless because they're on drugs or crazy or refuse to work or a combination of the three. Look at how many illegal aliens pour into the US and somehow find jobs and shelter all without having a valid social security card which means there are many jobs they are ineligible for.

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