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Trump White House Quietly Cancels NASA Research Verifying Greenhouse Gas Cuts (sciencemag.org)

Paul Voosen, reporting for Science magazine: You can't manage what you don't measure. The adage is especially relevant for climate-warming greenhouse gases, which are crucial to manage -- and challenging to measure. In recent years, though, satellite and aircraft instruments have begun monitoring carbon dioxide and methane remotely, and NASA's Carbon Monitoring System (CMS), a $10-million-a-year research line, has helped stitch together observations of sources and sinks into high-resolution models of the planet's flows of carbon. Now, President Donald Trump's administration has quietly killed the CMS, Science has learned.

The move jeopardizes plans to verify the national emission cuts agreed to in the Paris climate accords, says Kelly Sims Gallagher, director of Tufts University's Center for International Environment and Resource Policy in Medford, Massachusetts. "If you cannot measure emissions reductions, you cannot be confident that countries are adhering to the agreement," she says. Canceling the CMS "is a grave mistake," she adds.

29 of 291 comments (clear)

  1. Time for other countries to step up by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Other countries need to fill in as the US culls science programs and generally sets itself back to the stone age. After all, you'll need to know how much CO2 is being emitted when the US has to come crawling back years from now to buy carbon credits from the EU and China...

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    1. Re:Time for other countries to step up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually increasingly you are worryingly irrelevant. I'm canadian, 80% of our GDP used to come from the USA.

      We are watching you morans sink back into the stone age in horror and checking our GDP. What the poster said is true though, your damn near irrelvant at this point. All USA soft power is completely gone, no one trusts the USA as far as they can throw a fat american, no one wants to even visit your increasingly 4th world country full of poverty jackboot police and hatred of the poor, brown people, and women.

      Still though, it is pretty funny watching it all burn, rather impressive.

      Keep up the good work, I'm amused as hell.

    2. Re:Time for other countries to step up by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Informative

      LOL.
      U do realize that America has dropped our CO2 as much as Europe has (25% since 1990) while China has gone up 400% over the same time? And it is America that continues to drop our CO2, while Europe has flatlined for nearly 5 years. China had appeared to stall for 201[56] and then rose again last year, and appears to be continuing that rise this year. Do note that China had a MAJOR economic downturn during 201[56] and is back to its previous path.

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      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Time for other countries to step up by Zumbs · · Score: 5, Informative

      According to wikipedia, in 2015 the US emitted 16.1 tonnes per person while China emitted 7.7 tonnes and the EU 6.9 tonnes. So, compared to the EU and China, the US has quite a lot of catching up to do. The explosive growth of China is a problem, but they are also taking large scale initiatives to do something about it.

      --
      The truth may be out there, but lies are inside your head
    4. Re:Time for other countries to step up by CaffeinatedBacon · · Score: 2

      Same old Windy, same tired old claims.

      Despite China's coal use, they are still less than half your per capita emissions. Like you mentioned earlier, despite the US dropping for 25 years and China rising for 25 years. You still haven't cleaned up to their level and they haven't increased to yours. The real problem is you and people like you who are too afraid to look in the mirror and see who the real polluters are. You are twice China and way above the world average but pretend to be solving the problem.
      Maybe you really don't understand and think it's not you? In that case you are a much bigger problem than coal.

    5. Re:Time for other countries to step up by CaffeinatedBacon · · Score: 2

      Who cares what direction you are heading in if you are not moving fast enough to make a difference? 25 years you have been moving 'in the right direction' and what is the result? You are still twice as bad as China.

      Per capita an America uses more coal powered electricity than a Chinese person does. Due to the fact Americans use so more electricity!

    6. Re:Time for other countries to step up by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The idea they need us more than we need them isn't as true as it was in 1990.

      The US share of world GDP peaked at around 36% at the end of WW2 and then fell as the world recovered until around 1975. From 1975-2000 it remained at about 21%, then dropped rapidly after 2000 so that today it it's roughly where it was in 1900 -- about 16% -- and is still falling rapidly.

      One of the effects of the competition trade liberalization brought is that nobody is indispensable anymore. Look at America's top twenty exports or so. There's nothing we make the world can't get somewhere else, except a few big ticket weapons systems like the F35. Many of our exports, such as cars, or refined petroleum, have significant foreign content already.

      The day is coming, if it's not already here, when the US won't be able to dictate economic relations on our terms. Then if the world says we have to trade carbon credits, we'll have to trade carbon credits. And if we don't have our own carbon data we'll just have to use theirs.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    7. Re:Time for other countries to step up by Dragonslicer · · Score: 2

      Then if the world says we have to trade carbon credits, we'll have to trade carbon credits.

      We won't have to trade carbon credits. We'll still have significant weaponry, so we can just use that instead.

      I'm worried that there are enough people in this country who would consider military action to be the better of those options.

  2. Why NASA? by Deathlizard · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Why would a Climate Monitoring System be under NASA and not NOAA?

    I would think that NASA's only role in this should be launching and maintaining the satellites. The Science and Climate Monitoring itself should be under NOAA control.

    1. Re:Why NASA? by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      that is what would be happening had trump not killed this. However, in order to understand other planets, we need to understand our own, first.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Why NASA? by JackieBrown · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Exactly.

      The NOAA actually does monitor this. It's just another government duplication

      https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/...

    3. Re:Why NASA? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Precisely. NOAA is handling it, and their funding was 100% maintained. NASA is refocusing on space and exploration. Additionally, people here don't understand that funding comes from Congress - not the President. If a program's funding was cut, it was cut by Congress.

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      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    4. Re:Why NASA? by quantaman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly.

      The NOAA actually does monitor this. It's just another government duplication

      https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/...

      Wrong. NOAA monitors the same variables but though different mechanisms. They use what looks like fixed land based sites and measurements from ocean vessels.

      NASA's monitoring involved sampling from Aircraft and satellite measurements. Not only are you measuring CO2 in areas the NOAA can't (different parts of the atmosphere... different parts of the globe), and providing different kinds of data they cant, but you're also providing an independent check on the NOAA data.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    5. Re:Why NASA? by religionofpeas · · Score: 5, Informative

      NOAA was not monitoring the same thing that NASA was doing. You would have a point if the NASA CMS program was moved to NOAA, keeping the same funding, but it's been completely cancelled with nothing to replace it.

    6. Re:Why NASA? by Deathlizard · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wrong. NOAA monitors the same variables but though different mechanisms. They use what looks like fixed land based sites and measurements from ocean vessels.

      NASA's monitoring involved sampling from Aircraft and satellite measurements. Not only are you measuring CO2 in areas the NOAA can't (different parts of the atmosphere... different parts of the globe), and providing different kinds of data they cant, but you're also providing an independent check on the NOAA data.

      There's no reason why NOAA can't use and study the data. They would have the access to the satellites and data that NASA has.
      There's no reason why this couldn't be rolled under NOAA's budget as a cost savings measure since that data could be used internally by NOAA for other projects. It's not like the Satellite coudn't be used for other projects or rolled into upcoming weather satellites.
      There's no reason why NASA, a Space Engineering Agency needs to be independently checking NOAA, a Climate Science and Research Agency. especially when there's no less than three other agency's (NWS, EPA, DEP) that are better equipped (both professionally and equipment wise) to verify climate and CO Emissions than NASA.

      This Notion that NASA is a science agency needs to stop now. It is an Engineering agency. Of course there is science in NASA, but that Science should be focused on engineering the satellites and equipment we need in conjunction with the established science and research bodies such as NOAA, NWS, EPA, Various Colleges and Universities, etc so that they have the tools they need to do their scientific studies.

      If we can shift that 10 Million from NASA to NOAA, and NOAA orders the satellite from NASA and uses the leftover cash for more climate studies instead of hiring climate experts (which NASA would have to do. NOAA already has experts), then nothing has changed study wise and the money could be more efficiently spent.

    7. Re:Why NASA? by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If we can shift that 10 Million from NASA to NOAA, and NOAA orders the satellite from NASA and uses the leftover cash for more climate studies instead of hiring climate experts (which NASA would have to do. NOAA already has experts)

      NASA already has experts too. You wouldn't actually save any money. You still need the same work to be done. By moving the project from one place to another, you would even incur extra costs and inefficiencies during the transition.

      But all of that is completely irrelevant. The project and budget isn't shifted. It's shafted.

  3. This is a huge loss. Hopefully, CONgress overrides by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One of the biggest issues going on with CO2 is that a number of nations are cheating at this. For most of the western nations, we have loads of ground, sky, and space monitoring. However, nations like CHina, block all ground monitoring except for their own. As such, when groups like IEA report on energy usage, or CO2 emissions, they are simply taking numbers from those govs. Yet, when OCO2 went up, it forced China to admit that they were burning 17% more coal, which interestingly, none of the current figures have been updated with. Right now, OCO2, along with Japanese GOSAT, can do is show relative numbers and not absolute. What is needed now, is absolute measurements, which OCO3, combined with the other 3 sats can provide.

    Keep in mind that China is NOT the only nation cheating. Plenty of others are cheating as well.

    The other real possibility, perhaps one that is better, would be to have private funding of multiple sats. If we can get a pass over areas every hour or two, it will show what is really going on.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  4. Why should the US Gov't care? by Nutria · · Score: 3, Informative

    They withdrew from the PCA a year ago, so monitoring compliance of countries in the Accords is not within the USA's purview anymore.

    --
    "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    1. Re:Why should the US Gov't care? by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      why? Paris accord was a joke. It solved NOTHING. Just like Kyoto, which was supposed to slow down growth, it did NOTHING. Until we require ALL NATIONS to drop their CO2 and become more like Greenland/iceland/sweden/costa rica in terms of their CO2 emission, these accords will do NOTHING.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Why should the US Gov't care? by Nemyst · · Score: 3

      The perfect is the enemy of the good. As it is, the US has shown that it is not willing, as a nation, to do anything to address AGW or even just harmful pollution, usually under the pretense that other nations aren't doing their part or that the accords don't go far enough. The latter is especially hypocritical considering the focus is on killing attempts at monitoring emissions and trying to restart antiquated, dirty forms of power production.

  5. First Impulse: Bash America by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This isn't a uniquely Republican / Democrat United States problem. It's a problem in the UK and and it's a problem in Australia and so likely in most Western Democracies.

    Simplistic ideas presented with easy-to-remember slogans defeat any complexity because of how humans work. Very few voters have any understanding of the various issues facing modern society, so politicians can say whatever they want without really being held to account in any kind of realistic fashion.

    As a meta-example, it would be easy for me to get on your Republican-bashing bandwagon, but the issues at stake are infinitely more complex than that. The Republican / Democrat divide is a perfect example of humans inability to process nuance outside their areas of deep understanding, which are generally very narrow if they exist at all.

    We've got easily persuaded societies under political systems that reward the kinds of people least deserving of positions of power.

    If anti-science wins votes, then anti-science it is!

  6. Misleading Headline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Headline doesn't mention that the US is simply not measuring greenhouse emissions to ensure Paris Climate compliance, because after all, why should the US spend money on something it was withdrawn from?

  7. Lets look at the truth. by will_die · · Score: 4, Interesting

    First, it has hardly quiet, it was talked about months ago, it was published that the funding was going to other programs that NASA put at a higher priority, and the federal spokesmen even answered questions about the program ending. What would be needed to not make it a silent closing?
    Second, the people complaining are those that were making money from it. According to this and other article if you have any financial interest in it, you are not a scientist but a shill. All the people mentioned in the article are nothing but shills and upset "their" money is going to others.
    Third, this is a duplication on effort. There are already others who are doing the exact same measurements.

  8. Quietly? by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Funny

    The real news is Trump did something quietly.

  9. Re:Just say no by quantaman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No to Agenda 21 and its heirs
    No to Kyoto and its heirs, specifically the PCA.

    I'm more concerned about Trump and his heirs than your crackpot conspiracy theories.

    None of these "international agreements" have ever been ratified by the Senate and are therefore not binding on the US or its citizens.
    Any programs of dollars spent towards any of these things that were "nodded" to by previous administrations needs to be stopped immediately.

    Just because you're not obliged by international treaty doesn't mean you shouldn't do something.

    --
    I stole this Sig
  10. Re:And why Trump? by tim620 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm not sure where you get your news... but, the Russia thing is not bullshit. Russia did hack the US and spread FUD on social media to try and influence the election. These are known facts. The Mueller investigation is still going on, so we don't know for sure if there was any collusion or not.

    Trump is mentioned by people on here, not because people are "butthurt", but because his administration pulled the plug on a vital program. It is an idiotic move. Especially given that the common argument of Climate change deniers is that "We don't know if climate change is man made. We don't have enough evidence." So...lets stop collecting more evidence and more science. If you don't have enough evidence, wouldn't you want to ramp up and collect more evidence and study it more? Besides the fact that there are many hundreds of thousands of peer-reviewed documents which come to the same conclusion. i.e. Man made climate change is real and is a fact.

  11. Re:This is a huge loss. Hopefully, CONgress overri by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 2

    The problem in places like China is they are replacing OLD coal plants with new ones that are multiple sizes bigger, and will burn 2-5x as much coal.

    What kind of stupid argument is this?
    Show somewhere credible that predicts China will use 2-5 times as much coal?
    China already has oodles of spare capacity, if it's 'master plan' as you think it, is just to burn more coal, they would already be doing it. They are trying to cut back. Hundreds of plants have been cancelled. If they were planning for 5x the coal, why would they do that? You just aren't credible WindBourne.

    Capacity isn't use. It's quite important for you to understand this so I'll tell you again. Capacity isn't use.
    New plants are all more efficient than the old ones. They can and will burn coal cleaner, produce more electricity from the same amount of coal.

    The number of plants doesn't matter, it's how much coal you burn in them...Fewer bigger plants are better than lots of little ones spread about anyway.

    The main reason your argument is stupid though is that the US is only running it's coal plants at about 50% capacity. You could burn 2x the coal as well without building another coal plant (using older dirtier plants to boot). That's if you are entertaining your fantasy scenarios. Back in the real world, neither actually will.

  12. Wouldn't one follow the other?? by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    NASA's Carbon Monitoring System (CMS), a $10-million-a-year research line, has helped stitch together observations of sources and sinks into high-resolution models

    Yes, but...

    The move jeopardizes plans to verify the national emission cuts agreed to in the Paris climate accords

    Well since the U.S. is not *in* the Paris Climate Accords, why should we spend $10/million a year on something we do not need?

    If the countries still clinging to that accord really want the data that badly, they can fund it.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  13. Re:There you go again by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

    CO2 is not a pollutant.

    And water isn't a poison, so clearly you won't mind being drowned.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.