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People Are Losing Faith In Self-Driving Cars Following Recent Fatal Crashes (mashable.com)

oldgraybeard shares a report from Mashable: A new survey (PDF) released Tuesday by the American Automobile Association found that 73 percent of American drivers are scared to ride in an autonomous vehicle. That figure is up 10 percent from the end of last year. The millennial demographic has been the most affected, according to the survey of more than 1,000 drivers. From that age group, 64 percent said they're too afraid to ride in an autonomous vehicle, up from 49 percent -- making it the biggest increase of any age group surveyed. "There are news articles about the trust levels in self-driving cars going down," writes oldgraybeard. "As a technical person, I have always thought the road to driverless cars would be longer than most were talking about. What are your thoughts? As an individual with eye problems, I do like the idea. But technology is not as good as some think."

The Mashable article also references a separate study from market research company Morning Consult "showing increased fear about self-driving vehicles following the deadly March crashes in the Bay Area and Arizona." Another survey from car shopping site CarGurus set to be released Wednesday found that car owners aren't quite ready to trade their conventional vehicles for self-driving ones. "Some 84 percent of the 1,873 U.S. car owners surveyed in April said they were unlikely to own a self-driving car in the next five years," reports Mashable. "79 percent of respondents said they were not excited about the new technology."

12 of 446 comments (clear)

  1. Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    How many crashes happen every day because of humans? Yes I know it is sad, no one wants bad things to happen. But in the long run this is going to save far more lives than take.

    1. Re:Amazing by pedz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I would like to know where autonomous cars can drive. Can they handle construction zones? Can they even recognize stop lights? Can they drive down a country dirt road?

      The only examples I've seen of them driving down straight freeways. I've not seen them negotiate any traffic situations at all.

      So... before you compare accident rates, those questions need to be answered.

      I'm still very skeptical that they can handle anything but the most trivial of driving situations. Perhaps I'm wrong. If anyone knows for sure and can point to maybe a YouTube or something, I'd like to see.

    2. Re:Amazing by arth1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Agreed. But even with those incidents my underdstanding was the death rate per mile is much lower than with human drivers. Am I wrong on that?

      Actually, yes, you are. The number of miles driven autonomously for the same reasons as regular driving is still too low to draw any statistically significant conclusions either way. We need to get at least an order of magnitude more data in before we can even speak of significant tendencies.

    3. Re:Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm pretty sure that no commercially available so-called self-driving options can do much more than lane-following, adaptive cruise control (including coming to a complete stop) and possibly obstacle-aware lane changing.

      Speaking of Tesla, at least, it can only "self-drive" on roads with lane markings i.e. no dirt roads. There is no recognition of stop lights, stop signs or other indications of actions needed to be taken by the driver. It will update speed limits as you're driving so you're aware of them but that's about it. I'm not including here anything not related to driving e.g. self-parking, summoning etc.

      Honestly anyone who doesn't think of self-driving as a future promise at this time needs to have their heads examined. Just looking at the problem space, one would realize that we've only dipped our toes into this pool.

    4. Re:Amazing by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For some of these problems, there could be a simple solution. For example, install machine-readable traffic signage.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:Amazing by BasilBrush · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is a silly meme. There's no evidence whatsoever that people driving Teslas don't know that autopilot is an assistive technology, not one that drives itself without monitoring.

      Sure, some people have done stupid things to override the failsafe that checks for hands on the steering wheel. And some have even then got into the passenger seat or even the back of the car.

      But they've done this in spite of knowing what the autopilot system does, not because they are ignorant of it.

  2. Just more FUD by fredgiblet · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Show me the statistics, not the emotion-laden stories. I'll bet money that self-driving cars are safer now and will be even safer in the future. Id love to have one, just can't afford it.

    1. Re:Just more FUD by ledow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The statistics are that there are an insignificant number of self-driving cars on the road.

      Even if you include things like the Tesla which are NOT SELF-DRIVING.

      Sadly, you won't have the statistics to compare accurately until, say, 5% of people has one of those things. Currently... what? SALES of electric cars are 1% of all new car sales. So there is an insignificant percentage of those, even, currently on the road.

      If you took all Teslas, every single model of them ever sold, adds up to about 300,000 cars. Worldwide. There are approximately 1bn vehicles in the world. That's 0.03%.

      If you go for "certified self-driving cars in private hands", the figure is so near zero that's is not even recordable. Everything is either a "prototype" from a big corporation or deliberately advertised as NOT a self-driving car.

      So... sorry... self-driving cars do not have any statistically-significant data from which to draw any conclusion whatsoever. Even Tesla's don't.

      As an IT guy, I fail to see why a computer would be any better than a human at such a human task. If we were talking isolated, self-driving-only roads, no human drivers, changing the roads to prevent such signage and road-marking confusions etc. Sure. We call that a railway, though. It's very different.

      We couldn't even make a burger-flipping robot that works around humans. Robots/computers are good for one thing. The same task, over and over again, which needs as little interpretation as possible, and no human interference. Anything else is a mess.

      And guess what a self-driving on an ordinary road is.

  3. Good by mccalli · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There is way too much starry-eyed magical thinking about tech in general at the moment. AI this and machine learning that...you would think people's day to day interactions with their phone assistants would get people to quickly understand things are still fledgling, but apparently not.

    I'm in favour of developing the technology. And very, very much in favour of not overhyping it to destruction.

  4. Re:The choice is still clear. Self driving by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We can safely ignore this headline.

    In surveys people think Facebook is evil but I don't see many of them cancelling their accounts.

    Surveys also prove that people want more leafy green salads in McDonalds but nobody ever eats them if they appear.

    Nope. The day people figure out they can use Facebook all the way to MacDonalds and back will be a good day to look for a second hand car.

    --
    No sig today...
  5. Let's get this straight: by argStyopa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...people are losing faith in an overhyped, not-ready-for-prime-time technology in the development stages for a task that takes a colossal synthesis of perception, reflexes, maturity, and training (none of which we have systems capable of duplicating yet individually) for which the infrastructure (physical, legal, social) hasn't even begun to be developed, much less matured to the point of implementation?

    It's almost like repeatedly INSISTING that "it's almost here" is ACTUALLY an insufficient substitute for real time in development?

    Hm.

    --
    -Styopa
  6. Re:The choice is still clear. Self driving by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Get back to us when there are a statistically significant number of Tesla cars on the roads, you shill.

    Huh?

    The whole point is that there aren't a statistically significant number of Tesla cars on the roads but they're making all the headlines.

    2000 gasoline gars explode? Nothing to see here.

    A story involving a Tesla? Front page news!

    --
    No sig today...