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Number of Electric Vehicles on Roads Reaches Three Million: IEA (reuters.com)

The number of electric vehicles on roads worldwide rose to a record high of 3.1 million in 2017, but more research, policies and incentives are needed to drive further uptake, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said. From a report: The number of electric cars, including battery-electric, plug-in hybrid electric and fuel cell electric passenger light-duty vehicles, increased by 57 percent compared with 2016, the IEA said in a report. China accounted for 40 percent of the global total last year. Research and development, policy support, charging infrastructure investment and production improvements are resulting in lower battery costs and higher electric vehicle (EV) uptake.

29 of 228 comments (clear)

  1. Did you know that 90% of all EVs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...sold are still on the road? The other 10% made it home.

  2. Who would have thought by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A vehicle where the fuel is nearly free, goes the same distance, and has 5x the horsepower along with a nearly immortal lifetime due to nearly no moving parts.

    What boggles my mind is that this is only happening because of elon musk, they spent decades and millions of dollars holding back electric vehicles for stupid reasons. This revolution should have happened a long time ago.

    1. Re:Who would have thought by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Informative

      To be fair Nissan was pushing affordable EVs 8 years ago, and Tesla still hasn't got theirs out. And the Chinese are pushing it really hard too, with 90% of new busses already being EVs with batteries several times the size of the biggest ones that Tesla sells.

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    2. Re:Who would have thought by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      A vehicle where the fuel is nearly free, goes the same distance, and has 5x the horsepower along with a nearly immortal lifetime due to nearly no moving parts.

      What boggles my mind is that this is only happening because of elon musk, they spent decades and millions of dollars holding back electric vehicles for stupid reasons. This revolution should have happened a long time ago.

      To be fair, batteries have improved tremendously over the last few decades partly fueled by needs from other industries. 20 years ago the battery technology wasn't anywhere near enough to have an EV revolution. Some people tried, like Sinclair, but the EVs weren't for the most part proper car equivalents because they were too heavy.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    3. Re:Who would have thought by Smidge204 · · Score: 2

      EV Batteries cost just around $200/kWh right now, so a 30kWh pack costs about $6000. $6000 will buy you approximately 2000 gallons of gasoline (local fuel prices are just a hair under $3/gal right now, plus it makes the math easier). The average fuel economy for vehicles in the US is about 25 mpg. That works out to 50,000 miles of driving.

      Meanwhile the same 50,000 miles of driving, at an average of 3.5 mi/kWh and $0.18 per kWh (again, local costs) works out to about $2,650.

      So, with no other considerations at all, you're saving about $3,350 per 50K miles.
      =Smidge=

    4. Re:Who would have thought by Solandri · · Score: 2

      It's not happening because of Tesla. Tesla is actually the beneficiary, not the driver. It's happening because CARB (California Air Resources Board - they mandate emissions standards in California) has implemented a zero emissions vehicle mandate The math is a bit complex, but basically every car manufacturer needs to sell a certain percentage of zero emissions vehicles (ZEVs) each year. In theory that's electric or hydrogen fuel cell, but right now there's only one hydrogen fuel cell vehicle on the market (Toyota Mirai), so for all practical purposes it's EVs. The percentage increases each year. For 2018 it's about 2.5% (the math is a bit wonky and includes a subsection for plug-in hybrids, so it's not exact). By 2025 it's supposed to 22%.

      If a manufacturer fails to sell enough EVs, they can buy ZEV credits from another company which exceeded their required percentage. That's the market Tesla is exploiting. Musk foresaw that this mandate would create a demand for ZEV credits, so he set up a company which would always have an excess number of credits to sell. In other words, every Tesla they sell makes money from the buyer, and from other car manufacturers who send some of their ICE vehicle revenue to Tesla as payment for ZEV credits. In effect, ICE vehicle sales are subsidizing Tesla.

      If a manufacturer fails to sell enough ZEVs and fails to acquire enough ZEV credits, they are banned from selling vehicles in California. On top of that, about a dozen states automatically adopt CARB's regulations. So the manufacturer would be banned from selling cars in those states too - roughly a third of the U.S. by population. No manufacturer wants to be cut off from a third of the U.S., so they're tripping over themselves to rush EVs to market. And if the EVs aren't selling well enough, they'll slash the prices and throw in all sorts of incentives to move them off the dealer's lots. I almost bit on a VW e-Golf lease in 2015 - no money down, $79/mo for 3 years ($2844 in total payments, excluding tax). The only reason I didn't get it was the cost to insure it basically doubled the price. There was a similar deal in Northern California for $49/mo, but I couldn't figure out how to get it down to SoCal from there with only a 85 mile range. (Since CARB only counts ZEVs sold in California, that's why these great deals are only available in California.)

      In other words, the number of EVs on the road isn't being driven by Tesla or by true market demand. It's being driven by CARB setting a percentage, and car manufacturers cutting EV prices until they meet that percentage. I suspect this is part of the reason Tesla is having financial problems. I haven't seen a repeat of the awesome EV deals from the end of 2015, suggesting the automakers are managing to meet their ZEV quota. That means less demand for Tesla's ZEV credits, which means less money for Tesla per car sold. I suspect this is also part of why production of the Tesla 3 has been slow to ramp up - they want to push production into future years, when demand for ZEV credits is hopefully higher. If they produce a Tesla 3 this year, its ZEV credit is only good for this year. And if other manufacturers are meeting their ZEV quota, then all that extra Tesla 3 ZEV credit does is decrease the value of other Tesla 3 ZEV credits.

      I suspect Musk is trying to hold for the yearly ZEV mandate increases. 22% ZEVs by 2025 is a very lofty goal. One that I have a hard time believing regular automakers will be able to attain. In which case demand for Tesla's ZEV credits is going to be hot, and probably enough to save Tesla from bankruptcy. If they can hold on long enough.

      The wild card is that there might be a repeat of what happened in 2000. See, this isn't the first time CARB tried a ZEV mandate. They tried one in 2000. During the 1990s, automakers were put on notice that they would have to begin selling

  3. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  4. Still a very small segment by magzteel · · Score: 3, Informative

    Interesting article here with USA vehicle statistics: https://www.nanalyze.com/2017/...

    Right now EV's are 0.22% of all cars on the road in the US. I couldn't find a chart that included hybrids.

  5. They are going to take off soon by b0bby · · Score: 2

    It seems like in the next 2-5 years many major manufacturers are going to be launching fairly reasonably price EVs with decent range. The fast charging networks are expanding right now. As long as the battery prices continue to decline as they have been, I can't see that it would make sense for anyone with access to overnight charging to buy an ICE vehicle after the early 2020s. I hope Ford is using their SUV profits to do the R & D for a competitive EV over the next few years.

  6. Thoughts? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So I don't really know if there is any science on this. If you have some more knowledge please correct me.

    The way I see it, we have a pretty serious energy density problem with our current battery tech. (L-Ion tech was invented in the 70's)
    The current EV sales climate seems to be focused on changing driver/consumer behavior, and adapting infrastructure around current battery technology.

    My proposition is this.
    I think we jumped the gun on EVs. I don't think we have the service life, or energy density we need in energy storage technology right now.
    So on one hand, the early adopters are funding the advancement of the tech, and I'm fine with that. That's how it should be.
    I'm just a little worried about all of the infrastructure decisions being made when i think it's quite clear that we are going to need the next big jump in battery tech before EVs are able to complete with ICEs on any metrics of sustainability.
    What it looks like right now is the wealthy are essentially "leasing" green tech for bragging rights, being subsidized by taxpayers (charging stations), and letting the common folk deal with the cleanup after they are done with them.
    And those things are NOT easy to get rid of safely.

    The question is:

    Where is the rest of /. on this?
    Will the market resolve the winners and losers of this race on it's own or have we propped up one side of this beyond the market's control?
    Is there even room for another player in the game with all of the "enthusiasm" behind tesla?

  7. Gas Policies and incentives by Comboman · · Score: 4, Informative

    You mean like the the 5 trillion dollars per year that is subsidizing the fossil fuel industry?

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  8. Re:Policies and incentives by Frederic54 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It depends of your need. In Québec for instance, electricity is very cheap, having a car that do ~50 miles and you can easily commute with it everyday and do all your standard groceries/shopping the week-end. All this with 0 gasoline (gas price is $4.50/gallon here).
    A lot of people have a second car with an ICE, like a Grand Caravan or whatever to haul the kids.
    EV cars are an efficient means of transportation

    --
    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
  9. Re:breaking that less than 1% barrier by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Yes, you may be saving energy in the short term. But are you really saving all that much after mining for the exotic raw materials to build these cars, ewaste, highway repair due to heavier vehicles, heavier load on our electrical infrastructure which requires higher generation of electricity(see fossil fuel still being used).

    here is one source, I have stuff to do this morning or I could find some more

    --
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  10. Re:Yep, dominated by China by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 5, Informative

    You are full of shit LynwoodLiar. Average range of electric vehicles in China is 103 miles Or 3 times your bullshit number.

  11. Re:The Windows Phone of cars by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Actually a large percentage of electric vehicles are coal powered. Electric is only good for the environment if your electric power comes from non-fossil fuel sources.

    It's still more efficient and uses less fossil fuels to produce energy at a centralized location at big plants than it is on-site in tiny little car engines. Sure, electric cars powered from solar power are responsible for less pollution than one's powered by coal plants... but both are less polluting than your average internal combustion engine.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  12. Re:Policies and incentives by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It makes tons of sense if you have a place to charge your car at home. Many do not, causing EVs to be more inconvenience than their benefits are worth.

    Electric vehicles won't work for everybody (yet); but they would work for most people. The choice for society at this moment in time isn't everyone has to have ICE or everyone has to have EV. There is room for both on the road.

    Eventually, especially as technology improves for things like batteries, it would be nice if all vehicles were EV... and with that change charging becomes easier- but for now it's ok that some people who can't get by with today's EVs don't have them. They aren't appropriate for everyone yet.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  13. Re:The Windows Phone of cars by b0bby · · Score: 2

    The Union of Concerned Scientists has a lot of information about this, including a tool to let you calculate the emissions of an EV based on your local grid mix:

    https://www.ucsusa.org/clean-v...

  14. Re:Policies and incentives by b0bby · · Score: 2

    My Leaf is a just-over-100-miles car, and it gets me everywhere I regularly go pretty easily. There are a pretty good number of quick chargers around me (especially at the ~75 mile radius where they're most useful) which makes it fairly practical for slightly longer trips. In terms of reliability, EVs should be better since there are generally fewer parts; the Leaf at least is supposed to be quite solid with very little maintenance needed. For what's essentially an econobox it's pretty enjoyable to drive too.

  15. Re:Policies and incentives by Eloking · · Score: 2

    It depends of your need. In Québec for instance, electricity is very cheap, having a car that do ~50 miles and you can easily commute with it everyday and do all your standard groceries/shopping the week-end. All this with 0 gasoline (gas price is $4.50/gallon here).
    A lot of people have a second car with an ICE, like a Grand Caravan or whatever to haul the kids.
    EV cars are an efficient means of transportation

    Exactly,

    Let's take my case for example.

    I live in Quebec and I've calculated that I travel around 2500-3000 km per month (I live at 52 km from work, so 2 time that for 21.75 work day per month in average + some commune and visiting friends). Right now I have an used car with a ~7.5L/100km efficiency (probably worst than that). So, with the gas around 1.4$/L right now, it mean a total of around 250-300$ per month only for the gas right now. Or course, let's not forget that the gas price will increase in the future.

    Sadly, EV vehicule are still quite expensive (even in the used market) but, in the case of used PHEV, there's some interesting option.

    I decided to get a used 85000 km Volt 2013 for about 19k$ taxes included. An Gas equivalent would cost me around 8k$. Even if it's 5 years old and got some mileage, I was able to travel 66 km before using gas if I were very, very efficient.

    Since then, about 98% of my trip are completely on electric mode and my boss allow me to plug my car at my job free of charge. The car have a battery used capacity of ~10.9 kWh. The residential electricity cost 9.12/kWh and we got about 15% lost with the standard 120v outlet (I don't need the 240v, doesn't worth the investment). So, if my calculation are right, it cost me about 1.14$ to charge my car and I charge it at home about 25 time per month so about 28-30$ of electricity per month. You can always double that value if we forget that my boss give me free electricity it's pretty common that job offer free charging advantage. It's pretty cheap for them to look green.

    So, to wrap things up, right now I save about 220-270$ per month for a car that cost me ~11k$ more.

    I was able to get a loan of 20k$ at an great interest rate of 3.5% (damn, at that rate I should ask them 1 million and invest it. 3.5% is pretty easy to beat). If we take the initial 19k$, it will take me about 7 years to refund the loan if I put that ~250$ saving on it each month and, in the end, I'll have a 10 years old Chevrolet 2013 for the money that I'm paying for gas. And if we're fair and take the 11k$ investment instead (to be fair, I'll need a car either way), we're talking about a 4 years ROI. The only difference if that I put money in the loan instead of the gas station.

    I've wrapped my mind a lot and it's almost impossible to have a more economic choice than this. And on the plus side, I do my part for the environment and I can use toll bridge, reserved parking. reserved lane etc. for free.

    So, in the end, for some EV/PHEV is the economical choice...if the condition are right.

    --
    Elok
  16. Re:Yep, dominated by China by crimson+tsunami · · Score: 2

    They don't. Average range of electric vehicles in China is 103 miles Or 3 times his trolling number.

  17. Re:Policies and incentives by Frederic54 · · Score: 2

    It is plugged in, the morning when it's -17C, you enter in a warm car with 100% battery, and the ice and snow on the windshield and glasses is already fully melted, no need to scrap it!

    --
    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
  18. Re:Policies and incentives by unimacs · · Score: 2

    I live in a place that's colder than Quebec and have an EV. Actually a PHEV (Chevy Volt). The cold weather reduces the range and one option you definitely want is heated seats. It's much more efficient to heat the seats than it is the whole cabin, - which the car can do of course, at the expense of range.

    A nice feature is that you can have the car "pre conditioned" before climbing inside and while it's still plugged in. So you get in a warm car and the car still has it's full range (though cold weather still impacts it). The same is true during hot weather when it comes to A/C.

    The Volt is a plugin hybrid and the gas engine acts as an on-board generator for charging the battery. Chevy refers to the gas engine as the "range extender". The waste heat from that can be used to heat the cabin just like a regular car.

  19. Re:Don't forget Tesla by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 2

    This is one element that most people miss. Love or hate Elon, the truth is global demand for fossil fuels are driven by consumption. That's you, me, the person down the block, the guy around the world. Oil and gas companies don't force this stuff down our throat, each and everyone of us through our purchasing decisions, merrily and happily purchase processed crude, barrel after barrel each and every day.

  20. Re:The Windows Phone of cars by edi_guy · · Score: 2
    The difference in CO2 emissions for various zip codes is very interesting. As another poster said, the unsung benefit of electric is that the method of generating the electricity can be changed depending on what is cheapest and/or less polluting (from coal, to gas, to solar, or nukes). But the "API" of the plug-in-electric remains the same. This unlike building out a hydrogen economy, or natural gas powered cars, etc.

    Would like to know what a human being's CO2 emissions are per mile....

  21. Re:Policies and incentives by b0bby · · Score: 2

    Well, I know a lot of people don't like the way it looks and the newer ones are more normal looking. Personally, I don't mind it, and it's a practical shape which is surprisingly roomy inside so I don't really care. There are a lot of new EVs in the pipeline, so there should be quite a lot of choice within 5 years or so.

  22. Re:The Windows Phone of cars by thegarbz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Actually a large percentage of electric vehicles are coal powered. Electric is only good for the environment if your electric power comes from non-fossil fuel sources.

    It's 2018. If you still believe that disproven meme you're either a complete moron or a paid shill. There's is no longer any other justifiable way to describe a post such as yours.

  23. Re:Policies and incentives by unimacs · · Score: 3, Informative

    You can have both heated seats and a heated cabin, but it shortens the distance you can travel without re-charging (or the gas engine kicking in in the case of a plugin hybrid). If the range is long enough then it doesn't matter but it's something you need to be aware of. It's also a consideration in hot climates in terms of A/C use.

    I have a 2012 Chevy Volt and it's electric range is between 25 and 45 miles depending on a number of factors including weather, driving style, etc. After that the gas engine ("range extender") kicks in. Since and I and most Volt drivers have a strong preference for limiting the amount of time the range extender runs, it becomes kind of a game to see how far we can go on electric only.

    What my son and a lot of people will do in hot weather is turn the A/C to max, - he'll set it to 60 or whatever. It drives me nuts because it shortens the range and is totally unnecessary. The climate system does a pretty good job of managing the temp in the cabin if you set it at 72 or 75. And it will be far easier on the range. But for some reason, people like their cars to feel like inside of a refrigerator when it's hot outside.

    Same with the heat. There's no reason to set the temp at 85 in the cabin when you're already wearing a winter coat. I dress for being outside and don't need or want it to be 80 inside the car. But like I said before, the Volt will comply and even has the bonus of remote start from the key fob or phone app that will warm the car up before you drive while it's still plugged in.

    Cars like the Volt are nice because even if the electric range is shortened below the point where you get all the places you need to be, it has a gas engine to charge the battery and the mileage is still much better than most gas engine cars would get. And I think new EVs (all electric) like the Bolt and newer Teslas have enough range that even if it's shortened in cold weather, it's still adequate.

  24. Re:Policies and incentives by unimacs · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What if you want to haul 12 foot sheets of drywall in your vehicle and be able to drive 6 kids to football practice when it's your family's turn to drive? Or what if you want a vehicle that gets 50+ mpg and 90% of the time, you're the only one in it?

    The answer for a family is probably to have two different types of vehicles, each well suited for certain types of trips while being less suited for others. One vehicle could be a small EV and the other a more traditional gas powered vehicle. Maybe a minivan or SUV. And maybe for certain kinds of things (12 foot sheets of drywall), they'll just rent or pay to have the stuff delivered.

    That's what we do. For years we've had a small economy car for the bulk of the trips and a larger vehicle to be used when you need a bigger vehicle.

    In your example, most families probably aren't going to "suddenly" go camping in a remote area without electricity anyway. That takes a little bit of planning and if they've got time to plan and are an all EV family, they probably have some disposable income and can find a cheap rental car or borrow one from a friend.

  25. Re:Policies and incentives by unimacs · · Score: 2

    Let me answer this a 2nd way. Any vehicle choice involves compromises. Whether it's range, size, handling, comfort, performance, reliability, cost, gas mileage, towing capacity, seating capacity, etc, etc.

    An electric vehicle is no exception. You might choose a plug-in electric hybrid (also has a gas engine) if range is really an issue. But I think at least for early adopters like myself, driving an EV involves changing some of your driving habits. I have a PHEV (plug in electric hybrid) so I don't worry about range except that I much prefer not using the gas engine. One might find themselves devising strategies for traveling long distances on electric like picking hotels that allow people to plug in their vehicles or choosing routes with charging stations near good restaurants. There are apps that'll show you where you can charge your vehicle nearby or along your route.

    Many people come up with reasons why an EV wouldn't be a good choice for them and many of those reasons are legit, but some objections or concerns could be alleviated with some thought. Your camping trip example for one. I've gone on several camping trips to remote areas without electricity, running water, etc. Without exception the car was left some place not far from electricity. Often times when camping at a remote area the evening before we'll overnight at a hotel some place relatively close to where we're going. The car can be charged there, driven to the drop off spot the next take day and will have plenty of charge remaining when we return to it after the camping trip is done.