Instagram Is Estimated To Be Worth More Than $100 Billion (bloomberg.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Bloomberg: Facebook's Instagram is estimated to be worth more than $100 billion, if it were a stand-alone company, marking a 100-fold return for the app purchased in 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence. The photo-sharing platform, which reached 1 billion monthly active users earlier this month, will likely help nudge Instagram revenue past $10 billion over the next 12 months, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Jitendra Waral wrote in a report Monday. Instagram is attracting new users faster than Facebook's main site and is on track to exceed 2 billion users within the next five years, Waral said. While the social network already has surpassed that milestone, Instagram's audience is younger than its parent, making it more attractive to advertisers. And unlike Facebook, Instagram is still growing in the U.S.
Been there seen that. We just had the cryptocrash and now we are looking for a new breed of tulip to plant.
If Boeing went out of business tomorrow, there would be a global aircraft shortage. If Instagram unplugged its servers, the world would continue unaffected.
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Instagram is not "worth" $100B. Here's how non-public valuations work (i.e., private companies or business units of public companies that aren't subjected to a stand-alone market trading test): analysts arbitrarily make them up based on what they THINK could POTENTIALLY happen. Especially in tech, rampant lying and fairy tale projections drastically impact the valuations.
Some generally accepted classic valuation methods would be 2-3x revenues or 3-5x EBITDA. Is Instagram producing $33B in annual revenues? Is it netting $20B in profit?
Even stand-alone public securities can be wildly over-inflated by the market's trade valuation (market capitalization) because of phony financial wizardry by the Fed.
This is all Wall Street / Silicon Valley BS