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Can Nike's $250 Running Shoes Make You Run Faster? NYT Analysis Says Yes (fastcompany.com)

Last year, Nike released a new pair of running shoes that claim to make you run 4% faster, thanks to its proprietary sole technology. The new "Vaporfly 4%" shoes would, in theory, "be enough to help a runner break the mythical two-hour marathon barrier for the first time," Fast Company points out. The New York Times decided to put the shoes to the test through an intensive analysis of 500,000 marathon and half marathon running times, culled from the social network Strava. Nike's claims apparently check out. Fast Company reports the findings: We know a lot about the runners in our data set, including their age, gender, race history and, in some cases, how much training they've done in the months before a race. We also know about the races themselves, including the distribution of runners' times and the weather that day. We can put all of this information into a model to try to estimate the change in runners' time from their previous races. After controlling for all of these variables, our model estimates that the shoes account for an expected improvement of about 4 percent over a runner's previous time. Including the uncertainty around the estimates, the Vaporflys are a clear outlier, one of the only popular shoes we can really say makes any difference at all.

60 comments

  1. Publish the study by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Data for a double blind study please, or it did not happen. Even then... http://jir.com/

    1. Re:Publish the study by datavirtue · · Score: 2

      Why is Nike always the darling of the press when they have and continue to trample on human rights? They even went so far as to persecute a journalist who dared expose the human rights violations. Her story was buried and she was banished from CBS or whatever network it was--career ended for one story which never aired.

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  2. A second opinion: by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 0

    Betteridge says no. ;)

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    1. Re:A second opinion: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Betteridge says no. ;)

      This isn't a Betteridge situation. It's not a headline that's a question merely asked so the writer can later claim 'well I didn't actually SAY that', since the headline actually answers the question!

  3. Re:A second opinion: Double Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Betteridge says no. ;)

    Dont tell them about the shoes/motivate. Change the material and say they are the same shoes with a large sample size then come back.

  4. Have to call bullsh*t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Screw their faulty analysis. Too sloppy to even waste time denigrating. So what if they came up with a model that could support their claims. Nike already did that. How about forking out for an actual test where the variances in the variables don't swamp the effect?

  5. It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you're a virgin, fat, slimy, /.-reading, LoL-playing slob, then no, these shoes won't turn you into Usain Bolt overnight.

    But if you're fit, eat right, train correctly, and have enough sleep/rest, then yes, these shoes will improve your performance. It's not all marketing.

    1. Re: It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It is marketing. These shoes are ok, at best. I tried them once, against my better judgement (Nike to me is a fashion company, not running company). I still prefer NB.

    2. Re: It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its all marketing hype. I bought a pair of these last week and I still missed the bus every morning by 30 seconds.

    3. Re: It depends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Liar! You and I both know that you reduced your miss to 27 seconds.

    4. Re: It depends by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      Most of their affordable shoes will cause strain injuries.

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  6. Maybe Hillary should have worn them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After all NYT analysis showed she had a 97 per cent chance of winning the election. That extra 4 per cent would have put her over the top and cemented the reputation of the NYT's analysis team.

  7. It is possible... by mi · · Score: 2

    Macropods, for example, can hop fast — for long times — because their legs have, essentially, springs inside. This allows them to reuse something like 70% of the energy from hop to hop. That figure human legs is merely in single digits... There is definitely room for improvement.

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  8. My Metal Baseball Cleats by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

    My metal baseball cleats make me run faster. With greater agility on irregular paths, too.

    Don't get in my way.

    1. Re:My Metal Baseball Cleats by Fly+Swatter · · Score: 1

      Yea don't get in their way, if they're wearing metal cleats on pavement stand clear and be ready to laugh.

    2. Re: My Metal Baseball Cleats by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      They'll grip on blacktop. If you're running on cenent you're doing it wrong.

  9. Illegal performance enhancement ?? by Archfeld · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Wouldn't this qualify the shoes as an illegal performance enhancement ? Just like the artificial lower limbs with a higher than natural spring resistance enhance a runners ability ?

    https://www.scientificamerican...

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    1. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by bongey · · Score: 2

      NY Times article "Yannis Nikolaou, a spokesman for the I.A.A.F., said that while it’s accurate to say that the Vaporflys are legal, it’s actually more accurate to say there is no evidence they shouldn’t be."

      I can see that it might not actually be illegal in that the sole just supports a person foot such that the foots natural spring motion in the arch works better.

    2. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1
      TFA

      The International Association of Athletics Federations, track’s governing body, has rules about shoes, but they are vague: “Shoes must not be constructed so as to give athletes any unfair assistance or advantage.” It does not specify what such an advantage might be.

      4% faster?

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    3. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by DRJlaw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The International Association of Athletics Federations, track's governing body, has rules about shoes, but they are vague: "Shoes must not be constructed so as to give athletes any unfair assistance or advantage." It does not specify what such an advantage might be.

      4% faster?

      Sure... because there's no difference between barefoot and a 1920s running shoe, and then a 1960s running shoe, and then a mid 70s running shoe, and then a turn-of-the-century running shoe.

      TFA doesn't say that this is the only shoe that shows a performance difference, period. It says that this is the only shoe that shows a significant performance difference versus the prior generation of racing shoes.

      TFA also explains that the "unfair" adjective is significant -- "The rules also state that shoes "must be reasonably available to all in the spirit of the universality of athletics." Being available to all of the competitors sounds as if it goes a long way towards conformance to the rule.

    4. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      Your argument is 4% better than mine, and it appears to be legal.

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    5. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by Whibla · · Score: 3, Interesting

      TFA doesn't say that this is the only shoe that shows a performance difference, period. It says that this is the only shoe that shows a significant performance difference versus the prior generation of racing shoes.

      On reading the summary I found myself wondering if they tested Enko's running shoes. Then I realised, they didn't actually test any shoes at all, just performed some analysis on runners and their times.

      The various quotes however, from you and parents, do go some way towards answering the question I've had since I first saw those shoes (rather ironically from an ad. on /.): Would they even be 'legal' to run in, in any 'proper' race. But then, given the following quote from the article, I find myself wondering what the difference is apart from one pair of shoes has a visible spring, while the other is less 'honest' about how it works:

      "Nested in the central part of the shoe is a piece of carbon fiber that stores and releases energy every time it hits the floor. Imagine an ACME spring-powered shoe from a Looney Tunes cartoon. Except this shoe, unlike the ones used by Wile E. Coyote, actually work–and work well.

      I guess the one thing it does show though is that athletic records aren't (necessarily) being beaten today by superior athletes just by athletes with superior equipment. That has to cheapen any sense of achievement, surely?

    6. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't this qualify the shoes as an illegal performance enhancement ?

      This reminds me of the Speedo LZR controversy of the 2008 where the swimsuits were subsequently banned and all records set by people wearing them had an note attached so people know they were set while wearing them.

    7. Re:Illegal performance enhancement ?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wouldn't this qualify the shoes as an illegal performance enhancement ? Just like the artificial lower limbs with a higher than natural spring resistance enhance a runners ability ?

      https://www.scientificamerican...

      Any shoe violates this overly broad reading. However, you have a point, shoes should be illegal in competition. This would reduce the advantage fast tender-footed runners gain and even out the competition with slightly slower runners with equally impressive natural or developed footpad resilience.

  10. In addition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Earlier studies showed that the more expensive your running shoes, the more injuries you'll sustain.

    Better get the cheap stuff, saves on medical costs too.

    1. Re: In addition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My wife reckons I'd run even faster if she put Vicks Vapor-rub in my jockstrap.

    2. Re: In addition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You wear that while getting pegged? These kind of jokes show what tubby retards populate slashdot these days. Why would a runner wear a jockstrap?

  11. Would like to know more about the technology. by wolf12886 · · Score: 2

    Very interesting. I'm sure its very difficult to improve something as basic and unbiauitous as the shoe. I wish there was more discussion about the technology.

    From the article it sounds like the improvement might be due to a carbon fiber plate they added to the length, which acts like a spring for your toes. Very cool.

  12. Sure they can by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The .0001% of elite runners where footwear technology might be a variable in their performance don't typically buy their own shoes.
    They are gifted to them or are required to wear them as part of their endorsement deal with Nike. ( Or Reebok, or $Shoe_Brand )

    The other part of that endorsement deal is them getting in front of a camera and convincing YOU that buying this shoe will make you
    into the most awesome athlete the world has ever seen.

    Just look what it did for them ! :|

  13. BAH! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Vaporfly shoes?

    Lame-O name.

    Big deal, in the mid 60's we had PF Flyers with the Action Wedge, we could "run faster and jump higher" with 'em.

  14. Shut Up, Nike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's only one race: the human race.

    Namaste.

  15. What? News for people who go outside? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure that all the Slashdot reading competitive marathon runners are all thinking ... Wow, why is slashdot running this article that all my runner friends were talking about yesterday?

  16. Fastest evar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The fastest I ever ran was when I happened to be wearing concrete shoes.

  17. There is a fucking Nuhkey ad in the Math section. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fuck this advertisement.

  18. or, or, you could run barefoot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ditch the extra weights at the end of a long lever arm, learn a natural gait, and run faster w/less effort.

  19. NYT shillin' for Nike by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After this article, someone in New York City is driving a BRAND NEW TESLA! It really does pay to be a shill.

  20. Correlation vs causation by GeLeTo · · Score: 1

    People who are willing to pay 250$ for running shoes can run faster. Go figure.

    1. Re:Correlation vs causation by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      People who are willing to pay 250$ for running shoes can run faster. Go figure.

      You're an idiot if you think that wasn't accounted for. Also $250 isn't something outrageous for a running shoe. There's a lot of different shoes in that price class. Hell I can barely break 6min kilometers and my shoes cost $195, why? Foot problems makes me very picky on getting shoes that don't cause my knees to hurt when I run.

      Still the cheapest activity I do.

    2. Re:Correlation vs causation by dargaud · · Score: 1

      Yeah, running really is one of the cheapest sports around (*), so runners can afford the little luxury of a pair of nice shoes.
      (*) except maybe bouldering (unless you factor in the gas to drive to the nearest boulders), or street fighting (unless you factor in dental work)... But compared to skiing or polo or scuba, etc...

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  21. Re: A second opinion: Double Blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Itâ(TM)s gotta be the shoes, money!

  22. Difference? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 3, Funny

    one of the only popular shoes we can really say makes any difference at all.

    I bet they didn't try high heels or steel-toed work boots. Those would make more than a 4% difference.

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  23. Re: They won't help trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because you're browsing at -1

  24. 4% gain in energy use is not 4% gain in time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I tried to RTFA but have to admit it was long and I only skimmed it. Nike never claimed 4% reduction in time, only in energy use. What that means is at the end of the 26.2 miles you will have used the energy you would have previously used to run 25.15 miles. Go to any running site race predictor, and you will find about 20 second per mile slower time for every doubling in distance (average runners). Assuming you could run the 26.2 with the new shoes in the same time per mile as you could have run 25.15 before, this only gets you a gain of 30 seconds, or about 0.3% improvement in time.
      I suspect what is really happening is spending $250 for shoes increases your motivation and your mind has bought into that false notion that you should run 4% faster. Just look at the few people who switched to not using Vaporfly and they got 7% slower. They just weren't trying as hard. Since I'm posting Anonymously, I feel free to propose that anyone who wants the physiological benefits can improve their time by 16% by sending me $1000 (4x the cost).

    1. Re:4% gain in energy use is not 4% gain in time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you saying that running 0.3% faster requires 4% more power? Seems dubious.

    2. Re: 4% gain in energy use is not 4% gain in time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The question you should ask is how much of the energy you use while running is propelling you forward and how much goes into other uses , like lifting each leg, the small up and down movements your center of mass makes, etc.

  25. 4% is huge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    4% may not sound like much, but it is a huge, I would say quite incredible difference. I am not much of a runner (well jogger), but I have done some competitions and a speed difference of 1% is clearly detectable in the strain you feel.

    The current world record for the marathon is 123 minutes. A 4% reduction would take that to 118 minutes, or 1 hour 58 minutes.

    Even if there is a statistically significant boost in "big data" number of event participants, that does not mean the elite runners do necessarily benefit at all. The biomechanics of running for the pros are somewhat different: go look at videos of the event winners and see how their feet land on the ground in comparison with us plebs. Their step is closer to a sprint step than the heel-first strike of most joggers.

    1. Re:4% is huge by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      Yeah...I can always tell a person who should not be running by that heel strike. Makes me cringe.

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  26. The question people should be asking is why by Targon · · Score: 1

    There are a lot of factors when it comes to performance, as indicated. Weather, the amount of training done before, recovery times, etc. A big factor that many do not think about is form, heel to toe ratios for design, etc. Weight, not just the person, but also their running clothes can come into play in some cases. So, what did Nike figure out, or is it random good luck with people who actually train better?

    From personal experience, products such as Stryd, heart rate monitors with better GPS capabilities, and such also make a huge difference. Stryd actually has the most potential to change running in a long time, in the way heart rate monitors changed running and training for those who know how to use them properly.

    So, we shall see in time if these new Nike shoes really did the trick, or if something else is at play here.

    1. Re:The question people should be asking is why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spring-shoes would definitely increase performance but they aren't allowed in competitions. The question is whether the carbon fibre plate in those 4%-shoes acts like a spring or not.

  27. You don't always have to go for the best. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I like this study.
    It shows that the much more affordable Nike Zoom Streak is second best. It is actually one of the most affordable shoes on the market, you can get a pair for like 60-70 bucks.

    That's going to save me a lot of money for the "almost the best" shoes.

  28. Re: They won't help trump by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nooooooooo! Don't invoke the name that shall remain unspoken, lest your host file be corrupted!