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A New Study Says Services Like UberPool Are Making Traffic Worse (washingtonpost.com)

The explosive growth of Uber and Lyft has created a new traffic problem for major U.S. cities and ride-sharing options such as UberPool and Lyft Line are exacerbating the issue by appealing directly to customers who would otherwise have taken transit, walked, biked or not used a ride-hail service at all, according to a new study. From a report: The report by Bruce Schaller, author of the influential study, "Unsustainable?", which found ride-hail services were making traffic congestion in New York City worse, constructs a detailed profile of the typical ride-hail user and issues a stark warning to cities: make efforts to counter the growth of ride-hail services, or surrender city streets to fleets of private cars, creating a more hostile environment for pedestrians and cyclists and ultimately make urban cores less desirable places to live. Schaller concludes that where private ride options such as UberX and Lyft have failed on promises to cut down on personal driving and car ownership -- both of which are trending up -- pooled ride services have lured a different market that directly competes with subway and bus systems, while failing to achieve significantly better efficiency than their solo alternatives. The result: more driving overall. Ride sharing has added 5.7 billion vehicle miles to nine major urban areas over six years, the report says, and the trend is "likely to intensify" as the popularity of the services surges.

28 of 239 comments (clear)

  1. Or is it the other way around? by WoodstockJeff · · Score: 4, Interesting

    As the transit system collapses from maintenance issues, and walk/ride options become more dangerous due to crime, that people are turning to alternatives?

    1. Re:Or is it the other way around? by AuMatar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Due to crime? You know that US violent crime numbers are way way down, right? Violent crime per 100K people has been between 360 and 400 since 2010. In the 2000 it was 510. In 1990 it was 730 Crime is currently very close to historic lows, the last time it was this low was the 1970s.

      No, what's happening is that private cars (or even semi-private) are nicer than buses and subways, and if the price comes close to the same people prefer them.

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    2. Re:Or is it the other way around? by ausekilis · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Another suggestion: Urban planning is crap in a lot of locations.
      People turn to the easiest alternative. Cars have the best convenience since you're free to go at your own schedule, no waiting 30 min for a bus or train. Uber fills that gap for a lot of folks who would rather wait 5 minutes and get *exactly* where they are going than wait in a cattle car to get *close* to where they want to be.

      I live in a city with no real mass transit *AND* all the roads suck. Millions of people stuck on two-lane roads with speed limits between 40 and 45 mph. Rush hour is miserable - if there's a wreck (and there is at least one on every road i take weekly) then can easily add an hour to your commute. I'd love to be able to bike to work, but I'm not brave enough to share a lane with drivers that don't pay attention on a good day flying by at 50+ mph (what speed limit?) 3 feet from me.

    3. Re:Or is it the other way around? by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      National crime statistics are meaningless on the ground. Local crime statistics vary rather a lot from th national average. Crime on e.g. the BART in Oakland really is a problem, and it's disingenuous to pretend that there's not a problem with crime on public transport because of some national number.

      --
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    4. Re:Or is it the other way around? by Scarletdown · · Score: 2

      My take away from this is that no matter what you do, someone else is always going to concoct some excuse why you shouldn't do it. It's a wonder anything ever got accomplished in the past approximately 100,000 years of Human existence.

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    5. Re: Or is it the other way around? by Aighearach · · Score: 2

      Not the people in places with good transit. In those places, people vote on the taxes, earmark them for transit, and businesses support it.

    6. Re:Or is it the other way around? by phantomfive · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I can't speak for all of America, but Crime on BART is real and rising. Gangs of people come to a platform, rob everyone, beat the few who resist, then run away before police arrive. Sometimes they board trains, too. It's not a very good situation.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re: Or is it the other way around? by saloomy · · Score: 2

      Lol. The funny thing is, given what we see in virtual space: more and more applications are jumping onto the internet, giving up their isolated and independent infrastructure.

      In the past, radio, TV, police communications, telephony, and even telegram/telegraph has their own infrastructure. This was radio bands, dedicated hardware, and dedicated lines traversing the country. The internet makes better use of that infrastructure by allowing all applications to leverage all mediums and all hardware. Want radio? You no longer need to dedicate huge swaths of channels of spectrum to transport it, and you don't need a specific device to "tune" it. You also don't need a separate device (that has a tuner and speakers) to watch TV anymore. Your internet connected device can do it, and talk on the phone, and send a picture message. The use of the infrastructure became more efficient and utilization went up.

      That's the same thing with transportation. The ubiquitous device is going to be the thing you use to travel, be it short distances, long distances, underground, everywhere. All the existing infrastructure will eventually be used to move you or your goods ubiquitously. The subways will be replaced with those Tesla/TBC skates. Same with rail lines. You could have the same skate move a shipping container. The only place I see this not working is in air travel.

      But other than that, yes. Once these things become autonomous, and cooperate, and can go everywhere. Efficiency and utilization will increase.

    8. Re:Or is it the other way around? by Comrade+Ogilvy · · Score: 2

      "Really a problem" means what? ~500 violent crimes occurring in ~130 million BART rides in 2017. That is an incident rate of 1 in ~260,000. Of course that is ALL violent crimes, where the number of deaths and serious injuries still being very few.

      If you have a long commute, your odds of dying on the road going to and from your perfectly safe suburban home and perfectly safe office park are in the same ballpark (1.25 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles).

    9. Re: Or is it the other way around? by stomv · · Score: 2

      Not New York's. Or Boston's, or Chicago's, or Philadelphia's. Their streets pre-date private cars. Indeed, there weren't many privately-owned horse-drawn carriages before then; some for commerce, sure, but by and large folks got around the neighborhood on foot. My question is this: what percentage of traffic in $megacity is rideshare? Truly private autos? Taxis? Local commercial vehicles? Surface public mass transit? Something else? I have no doubt that rideshare adds to congestion. But all the other motor vehicles do too. Just because they've been using the streets longer doesn't mean they're not just as contributory to the problem.

  2. errrr.... by thegarbz · · Score: 2

    make efforts to counter the growth of ride-hail services, or surrender city streets to fleets of private cars

    That is the most close the barn door the horse has bolted of comments since horses started bolting from open barn doors.

  3. Makes sense by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 2, Informative

    UberPool/Lyft Line is often close in price to a subway trip and you go door to door. Even with the shared ride (which anecdotally seems to happen 40 to 50% of the time), it is also competitive with the time it takes once you factor in the walk, wait time and actual travel time. My mapping app shows the Lyft and Uber fares as well as travel times for public transit so it's easy to pick the cheapest or fastest depending on what I want.

    --
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    1. Re:Makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If people prefer an UberPool ride in congested traffic over a subway trip, then it means that the subway trip sucks even more. Why isn't the title "UberPool reduces subway pain"? Someone is pushing an agenda.

    2. Re:Makes sense by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      How much do you pay for a subway ticket in your town?

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    3. Re: Makes sense by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 2

      Public transit is great, if you live in a place that has it properly. Last night two straight busses on the FIRST route I have to take on my 1.5 hour journey home failed to even turn up. after 45 minutes of waiting by the road, faced with an unknown wait, and the liklihood of not getting the second leg of my journey in any reasonable time, I got a Lyft. I hate spending 10 times as much (and I had my bus pass for the day) but this is a fairly regular occurance where I live. THere are no trains. There is no subway. FUCK the taxi companies.

      The option was Lyft or waste my entire evening hoping to get home, with no idea if another bus was coming AT ALL.

      --
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  4. Maybe if mass transit weren't an afterthought... by grasshoppa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...perhaps if city planners paid more attention to mass transit this wouldn't be an issue. In most cities I've visited, mass transit charges quite the time premium if you want to get anywhere.

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  5. Trying to outlaw the competition by timholman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... UberPool and Lyft Line are exacerbating the issue by appealing directly to customers who would otherwise have taken transit, walked, biked or not used a ride-hail service at all ...

    No, I would not have "taken transit", when the nearest bus line is half a mile from my house, and only runs once every 30 minutes.

    No, I would not have walked two miles in bad weather, especially carrying heavy or fragile items.

    No, I would not have ridden a bike in an area without dedicated bike lanes, or dealt with the hassle of locking it up and hoping it wouldn't be stolen.

    Yes, I absolutely would use a ride-hail service when the more expensive alternative is to drive and park my own car.

    What is it with the proponents of mass transit who can't stand the idea of people making their own decisions about transportation? So if you can't make mass transit affordable and desirable, the only alternative is to outlaw the competition?

    "Modern" mass transit can't die quickly enough.

  6. Clueless Drivers by alzoron · · Score: 2

    For the most part in my city it seems drivers from uber/lyft/whatever just park wherever the hell they want to to pick up/drop off riders, even if they're blocking whole lanes of traffic. That or they'll drive around really slowly and block traffic and/or run into other cars or pedestrians because they don't know what the hell they're doing. Trying to do anything downtown in the evening/night is a nightmare with all of them.

  7. Ownership, not rides by johannesg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It may have promised to cut down on car ownership, but that's simply because of a more efficient allocation of cars to rides. The number of rides, on the other hand, was never promised to go down, and in fact easy availability has only made it go up. I'm not quite sure why nobody was expecting that, it seems a basic economic principle...

  8. Re:Maybe if mass transit weren't an afterthought.. by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem with the idea of "city planning" is that most cities aren't planned. They're grown. There have been planned communities, and they have tended to work OK. But public transit systems have mostly been grafted onto existing towns, rather than planned in, because the town wasn't planned.

    The other problem with the idea of city planning for public transport is that the auto companies attacked public transport, and it never recovered. The ideal system would involve elevated PRT in cities, and ordinary rail between them. The good news is that once we pry people out of their cars, PRT will actually be realistic. It isn't now because people would rather drive, and you need ridership to make a system of any kind viable.

    --
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  9. Re:People will use what works best by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know I'll get voted down for this, but to achieve this, you need the town to run the public transport. As long as it's private owned, profit is all they care about, why would they care about congested roads?

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  10. Re:People will use what works best by boskone · · Score: 2

    you went a different direction. when you said "...you need the town to run the public transport." i thought you meant that if the government ran lyft/uber, they'd suck as much as the public agency transport (almost all bus/train passenger moving in the US is government run, and it is crazy expensive per person/mile, and usually sucks for the user).
    uber/lyft are private companies that have to fight to provide a service people will pay for.

  11. I own a car and I hate it by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's a constant source of stress and problems. I don't own a car for fun. I own it because I need it to get to work, and nobody will hire me if I can't get to work.

    I didn't ask for my cities and transportation network to be built around cars. These decisions were made in the 30s, 40 and 50s before I was even born. Now that they've been made changing over to a system of public transportation is virtually impossible. A situation that was not lost on the car manufacturers and oil and gas producers.

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  12. Re:Maybe if mass transit weren't an afterthought.. by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > Yep $400 million for a light rail on a bridge that has no other light rail on either side to connect to.

    People complained about the lone blue line on the Portland MAX light rail.
    Then they continued adding and several years later it's excellent and goes plenty of places. It takes me from a short walk from my front door to the airport on the other side of town. You have to start somewhere. Getting the difficult bridge bit out of the way first is not a bad plan.

    --
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  13. Uber's role in the city by reanjr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The limited resource which is addressed by Uber is not traffic congestion, it's parking. Cities have used limited parking as a stick to make driving unbearable in cities. The market found a way around the bad planning.

  14. You're talkin to the wind. OP is full of shit. by denzacar · · Score: 2

    The whole "rail line" talk is just so he could troll about karupt gubermint.

    For one - it won't cost a billion dollars, OP made that shit up. The cost will be $750 million.

    For two - there won't be a light rail line.

    The Florida Department of Transportation announced a new plan Monday for the Howard Frankland Bridge.
    Starting in 2020, the state will build an 8-lane bridge that will include toll lanes and a bike and pedestrian path.
    The toll lanes could accomodate buses, driverless vehicles or even a light rail system.

    There will be eight lanes, plus a bike lane and a pedestrian lane.
    Four of those lanes will be toll lanes - with AN OPTION of later converting two toll lanes to light rail.
    On top of it all, original bridge replacement plan was supposed to just replace a 4-lane bridge with a new 4-lane bridge... and then later add ANOTHER bridge.
    So instead of two existing bridges, there'd be three bridges, at a combined price of $1.2 billion.

    Basically, everything OP said is bullshit.

    --
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  15. Re:taxes by djinn6 · · Score: 2

    You'd have a point if people aren't already heavily taxed. A rough estimate shows people in the SF Bay Area pay $1 billion in gas taxes to the state every year, yet we still have pot-holed roads everywhere and no usable public transportation except in a few small areas. Where did the money go?

  16. Re:People will use what works best by Opportunist · · Score: 2

    If you only look at the function of getting people moving, then yes. But towns have goals beyond a simple focus on a single service, they factor in the entailing costs and benefits. More people going by bus/subway means that you have to build and maintain fewer roads. It also means fewer accidents and fewer places necessary for parking space. It also means lower pollution and a higher quality of life. Not to mention that the town can, by extending subways to so far unattractive corners of the town, make those places much more interesting for investors, and for people more willing to move there, taking pressure from the rent in inner city areas.

    Towns have vastly different interests than simple private businesses. They have to factor in a lot more effects their services have, and they can use those services to benefit the town in more ways than just getting people from A to B while making a profit.

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