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Slashdot Asks: Which is Better, a Basic Income or a Guaranteed Job? (timharford.com)

Barack Obama said this month that AI research is accelerating, making it harder to find jobs for everybody, and concluding "we're going to have to consider new ways of thinking about these problems, like a universal income."

But a Financial Times columnist adds that "an intriguing debate has broken out over how to look after disadvantaged workers both now and in this robot future. Should everyone be given free money? Or should everyone receive the guarantee of a decently-paid job?" An anonymous reader quotes some of the highlights: Psychologists have found that we like and benefit from feeling in control. That is a mark in favour of a universal basic income: being unconditional, it is likely to enhance our feelings of control. The money would be ours, by right, to do with as we wish. A job guarantee might work the other way: it makes money conditional on punching the clock. On the other hand (again!), we like to keep busy. Harvard researchers Matthew Killingsworth and Daniel Gilbert (UK) (US) have found that "a wandering mind is an unhappy mind". And social contact is generally good for our wellbeing. Maybe guaranteed jobs would help keep us active and socially connected.

The truth is, we don't really know... It is good to see that the more thoughtful advocates of either policy -- or both policies simultaneously -- are asking for large-scale trials to learn more.

He titled the column "The secret to happiness after the robot takeover." But what say Slashdot readers?

Is it better to be given a basic income -- or a guaranteed job?

14 of 899 comments (clear)

  1. Work has to be meaningful to give meaning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Doing a pointless task or showing up to do nothing in order to earn a living is soul-crushing.
    In a low-job boom economy we may need to encourage people to get out and socialize, but there are many better ways to do this.

  2. Distopian future.. by thesupraman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Yes, a 'guaranteed job' pretty much means 'YOU better find a job you like, or we will find one you DONT'
    Its just renamed 'work for your unemployment benefit', which it most definitely a stick, not a carrot.

    Of course the powers that be LIKE people to be at their behest, and LIKE to have to control, so why am I not surprised they will try and sell that as a solution.

    A real UBI system (and nearly every time we see those in power talking one it is NOT, it is just another benefit for people who 'need' it) is very different from that.
    It is a reward for being part of a system, that is not dependent on your position in the system.
    And, almost as importantly, it REPLACES most of the other parts.
    It replaces benefit for unemployment, sickness (but not necessarily medical), old age, education, and many many more, thus removing the HUGE beuraucracy that is wrapped around operating and policing those.
    Why do those in power hate it? because it reduces their control, and their ability to sell themselves as 'helping us' by endlessly making slight changes for how they give our own money back to us when they decide we need it.

    But no, they must sell UBI as being a form of benefit for people who failed, because they think that will help keep it from ever happening, because they are sure the silent majority hate such things. That is why pretty much every proposed UBI 'trial' is not UNIVERSAL.

    It will take a big change in the political systems before we ever see anything like UBI (and no, i don't mean to some kind of socialist nirvana, such people generally hate anything equal and universal with a great passion).

    1. Re:Distopian future.. by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Yes, a 'guaranteed job' pretty much means 'YOU better find a job you like, or we will find one you DONT'

      This is staggeringly a lot like it was in the former Soviet Union. Find a job, or we find one for you. Somewhere in some godforsaken backwater town in the middle of Sibiria, there is always a shortage of ... everything. So no matter what you can do, they need you there.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:Distopian future.. by fluffernutter · · Score: 5, Insightful

      others _must_ work and have their money taken without any kind of compensation or benefit.

      That's an unpreventable cost of maintaining a civilization. Either pay these people not to go out and commit crimes, or pay police to clean up after. I much prefer the former myself, because it results in the least deaths and violence and is probably cheaper.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    3. Re: Distopian future.. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I would rather see UBI than make-work, because so long as the salaries for real jobs are significantly higher than UBI, people will be motivated to take them. Just characterize UBI as 'unemployment comp for life."

    4. Re: Distopian future.. by west · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You shouldn't be rewarded for being part of the system.

      Why not?

      I'll happily declare that my fellow Canadians deserve many rewards simply for being Canadian - free education, health-care, various welfare systems if they are in need, free roads and other infrastructure, free defense at the expense of the lives of my fellow citizen, and a myriad of other services. None of those are dependent on their contribution to the system.

      And yes, as a Canadian who's doing reasonably well, I pay a fairly substantial tax for the privilege of sustaining those services that benefit me and every other Canadian.

      And this is not selflessness. The benefits that I gain from having these services available to my fellow Canadians far exceeds my contribution.to the tax pool. (If I was selfless, I'd be trying to extend those benefits to the world. I'm not as the benefits aren't great enough.)

      Anyway, I'll just say that a society that doesn't place a strong inherent positive value on its members is one that's falling apart.

    5. Re:Distopian future.. by w3woody · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The funny of it is, if you add up how much we pay administering the current welfare system--the thousands and thousands of bureaucrats who administer things like Electronic Benefit Transfer cards, who determine what items you are allowed to buy, who determine if you qualify, who police the system--we could provide a reasonably generous UBI to everyone with nearly no administrative overhead.

      Remember: a proper UBI replaces EVERYTHING, including tax deductions normally enjoyed by higher-income individuals, such as tax deductions for children (as children also receive a UBI), mortgage tax deductions, tax deductions for retirement savings, tax credits for paying for college. The idea is to eliminate the unfairness that is intrinsically tied into all of these separate programs, each which have their own target audiences, administrative bureaucracies and qualifications.

      The UBI would also replace Social Security--both the OSADI and SSI disability funds.

      Imagine how much smaller the administrative state becomes when your tax return is essentially four lines: A: gross income, B: tax (from tax tables), C: UBI D: Tax owed (or refund due).

      This is why I don't think we will ever have a proper UBI. Because there are just too many people--both working for the government, and private companies (like Intuit, who constantly lobby against simplifying the tax code) whose jobs rely on the massive administration of hundreds of government programs which would all be wiped off the map by a properly designed UBI.

      Tthat's part of the problem: we pay nearly as much in administrative overhead administering the current welfare state and the current tax code as we do paying out benefits. If you consider those bureaucrats as beneficiaries of the welfare state, that's a lot of jobs which would be wiped off the map. And they make a very powerful lobbying group--which is why in government corners, "UBI" is always reframed as yet another program for them to administer, rather than a new program that would cost them their job.

    6. Re: Distopian future.. by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The crucial question really is, how many people can go onto UBI without society collapsing? That is, how many people can choose to be supported only by UBI without the system being overloaded?

      Obviously if everyone decided to only be supported by UBI, it wouldn't work. The question is, how many people can be, what percentage? If you can't answer that question with some level of accuracy, you have no business implementing a UBI.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re:Distopian future.. by w3woody · · Score: 5, Insightful

      UBI recipients will demand more.

      As I noted elsewhere, we're already there today; it's just the debate spans across multiple different programs and ranges from a debate on "welfare reform" to "tax reform" to "child support" to debate on a "living wage," with all sides making a pitch for their own favorite program.

      UBI recipients will inevitably mismanage their funds and safety nets will have to be reestablished to cover medical and other needs.

      Certainly UBI cannot replace medical aid (Medicaid), since the cost of health care for someone on dialysis (for example) far exceeds what any but the wealthiest individuals could pay out of pocket. (As I recall, the cost of dialysis out of pocket is in the low six figures annually.)

      But this hits on a core philosophical difference about the poor and about people in general: are people too God-damned stupid to manage their own affairs, and thus must have their affairs managed for them?

      It's not to deny the fact that there are demonstrably people out there who lack the logical or social skills necessary to function in our current society. And certainly we need to have social workers out there who can help them.

      But when you make the de-facto assumption that all poor people are stupid and require their lives to be managed by those of us who are "better" than them--you walk right into an aesthetic argument. (At what point does your inferiority require us to treat you as a ward of the state? Does being poor mean you must be a de-facto ward of the state? What's the threshold? Is it abject poverty? Is it just being lower-middle class? Do we by default assume you're making poor decisions because you're barely scratching out a living? Do we pass judgement because in our opinion you drink too much for your socio-economic class? Drink too many empty calories in the form of fast food soft drinks? Eat too often at McDonalds? Should you become a "de-facto" ward of the state because you live in the wrong area? And I'm not being snarky; I've heard each of these given as a reason why those "less than us" need to make "better decisions", or who should have their rights limited.)

      Worse, you walk head-first into an authoritarian argument: if "those people" can't "make the right decisions" that are made by "their betters"--how far away are you from simply taking away all of their decisions?

      As a Native American I've seen these arguments play out over history on the reservations.

      They never end well.

      So your statement "UBI recipients will inevitably mismanage their funds and safety nets" strikes me as overly authoritarian. And distasteful.

      Me, I'd rather just hire a bunch of social workers (and we may not need to hire any more since we have a lot of them already), and task them with the job of helping people who seek help, or who are referred to them by police officers, with making better decisions. Kinda like what we do today, but without the "nanny state" authoritarian bullshit.

      Remember: from where you stand, unless you're Warren Buffet, there are people at a higher socio-economic level than you looking down at you as part of the hoi-polloi--part of the unwashed masses, an uncouth individual who can't seem to manage your life to the level they can.

    8. Re: Distopian future.. by ChatHuant · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If UBI is too good it will turn into a lifetime subsidy for do-nothings.

      This statement pretty clearly shows your philosophy. You define a person's worth by the work they do, and look down on people who don't satisfy your criteria. This puritanical mind set is slowly becoming incompatible with the modern world.

      First, as productivity advances, more and more wealth is being created with less and less human effort. We're at the cusp of producing enough to provide basic living support to everybody with almost 0 human effort.

      Second, as technology advances and things change more and more rapidly, the requirements for jobs are starting to grow beyond the average human's capabilities. New jobs need a lot of adaptability, enough intellectual capacity and a lot of study. There are quite a few people that simply won't be able to find meaningful jobs. What then? Would you have us revive the workhouses for the poor?

      when was the last time you saw benefits decreased? Almost never. Increased? Almost always.

      And this is exactly the way things should be. Not, as you seem to imply, because the "do nothings" are clawing more and more from the worthies (whichever way you define them), but because global productivity has been growing continuously, because more and more wealth is being created, and it makes perfect sense to use this extra wealth to increase programs that benefit the most people.

  3. Basic income by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Insightful

    To quote a German comedian, I need money, not an occupation. I can keep busy all right myself, no need for that.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  4. Re:Universal Income. by martyros · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Worse yet, if you're "guaranteed" a job, can you be fired? If not, then for some people it's the equivalent of basic income, because they can just show up when they want, do what they want, and not worry about the consequences. Worse, because the people who *are* trying to work will be demoralized and understaffed. And if you can be fired, then it's not really guaranteed, is it?

    --

    TCP: Why the Internet is full of SYN.

  5. Re:From those two by teg · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Health care works pretty well for the purpose of UBI, outside of the US. Of the developed countries, only the US lacks public health care. Given the results on a population basis, as well as the actual cost as part of GDP (the US is 50% higher than #2) the non-US approach seems to be dramatically better.

  6. Why not both guarenteed income and jobs? by goombah99 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    One could offer a small guaranteed income and if you want more then a guaranteed job as well. It doesn't have to be either-or.

    As for meaning full work the Depression era found many meaningful jobs. Every time I visit an older park I'm so grateful for the lasting staircases and bridges that were hewn into the walls of canyons for me to walk through. We don't have that scale of free labor these days. I'm sure it was hard work but it was meaningful and lasting. Many people were employed as artists and not only made epic frescos and such that we still have today but also produced temporary art like theater for the desperately poor folks of the depression. It was morale boosting and reminded people we are a society that can come together. It had great value to defining US culture. It was also a time when a lot of new ideas got explored too.
    Even mathematical functions were enumerated and tabulated (before computers) so that people could knwo the zeros of the hypergeometric series functions for my gaussian quadrature integrals needed to compute the amount of concrete needed for hoover damn or the stress on an airplane wing.

    Lots of meaningful work from blue-collar to academian occured in the depression era jobs programs.

    Paying one person to dig a hole and another for fill it back in is unlikely to be what people mean by gaurenteed jobs.

    In fact I would argue that compulsory public service is really a good thing for citizens. I certainly volunteer lots of time to causes because I can see the impact it has on my community. That impact makes me feel good inside. But it also binds me to my community too which is a good thing.

    Finally, if you study the Gini index and consider which countries have the largest economic mobility (Do you earn a different wage than your father did?) then you see that countries with good safety nets actually have more economic mobility than those without. I would guess this is because people willing to take risks can achieve more, but they won't take them if there's a chance of losing everything. Thus just knowing there's a net helps even if you never need it.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.