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Human Bankers Are Losing To Robots as Nordea Sets a New Standard (bloomberg.com)

Something interesting happened in Swedish finance last quarter. The only big bank that managed to cut costs also happens to be behind one of the industry's boldest plans to replace humans with automation. From a report: Nordea Bank AB, whose Chief Executive Officer Casper von Koskull says his industry might only have half its current human workforce a decade from now, is cutting 6,000 of those jobs. Von Koskull says the adjustment is the only way to stay competitive in the future, with automation and robots taking over from people in everything from asset management to answering calls from retail clients. While many in the finance industry have struggled to digest that message, the latest set of bank results in Sweden suggests that executives in one of the planet's most technologically advanced corners are drawing inspiration from Nordea. At SEB AB, CEO Johan Torgeby now says that "whatever can be automated will be automated."

78 comments

  1. money by zlives · · Score: 1

    so the place that holds all the money can't make money... or is it another growth projection bullshit

    1. Re:money by Kjella · · Score: 4, Interesting

      so the place that holds all the money can't make money... or is it another growth projection bullshit

      Oh they're making money alright, but it's all in cost cutting. There's only so much you can do about interest rates and such because of market conditions, but cutting salary is a big deal. And honestly most people like online banking, so many that it's become a run on branch offices. Here in Norway 91% of the adult population (16-79) now use online banking, it's literally as common as having an email address which is also at 91%. I just checked at my bank, 300 employees to 380000 customers. That's well over 1000 customers/employee, when you consider all the non-customer facing work you need to do then probably many thousands per head. Unless you've got millions of dollars to throw around they literally don't have time to care about you. You get the online interface, the absolute minimum of customer support they can get away with but the profit is in all the people you have no contact with. Ever. And to be honest, the feeling is mutual - if there's a way to do it myself, I'd generally prefer that...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    2. Re:money by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      All growth projection. Banking breeds clinical levels of greed.

      They are literally awash in cash that they do nothing for except build shitty web sites and provide customer service. The customer service aspect is something that the big banks want to automate with AI so they can gain a bigger advantage over smaller banks--leveraging against them for buyouts and other consolidation fun. Customer service has always been the one thing they could not reduce costs on other than spinning up third-world call centers--everyone has done that. The CS executives that have tried to implement on-shore and premium customer service as a differentiator have been sacked. I have seen it happen to good people in the industry. Customer service is purely a compliance function in banks and the biggest barrier to entry for anyone aspiring to start a bank or other financial service--you need a fat wad of cash to spin up and train a call center. They are fucking drooling over using an AI bot that people think is a human to satisfy your run of the mill request. This will be via chat and phone.

      The one drawback is that the lower level executives and VPs won't be able to descend on a call center and take their pick of the girls...but it may be a while before that little perk dries up. I could go on Between Two Ferns and talk for days about the nasty greedy banking and financial services industry. Can't wait to get out.

      --
      I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
    3. Re:money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is to replace their subordinates. You know, the plebs.

    4. Re:money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It just needs one thing -- hack. One would expect banks to have the most secured system. Though, the more they add computerized systems, the more they introduce abilities to non-physical break in. I hope they have a plan to handle this kind of events including leaks of information (which is permanent for the Internet world).

    5. Re:money by zlives · · Score: 1

      have they considered that if its all online, than their competition needs no physical presence and why would anyone stick with them over some other entity. i think its no difference than insurance or retail, they will all cater to the highly valuable consumer by creating experience centers with champagne and espresso and the human touch and the rest can rot.

  2. Trump Will Lose Human Contact in Federal Prison by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bowing to the cyborgs that plays 4D chess with him.

  3. Pretty soon the only jobs left by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    will be ones requiring creative problem solving. Currently AI is behind in that area and may not catch up until neural processors improve in efficiency 1000 fold, which will be interesting to track, but Moore's law is coming to an end with silicon technology.

    1. Re:Pretty soon the only jobs left by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Don't place your bet too soon. Others have bet on Moore's law dying before now, and lost big.

      That said, there are signs that the replacement won't be conventional silicon. I'm not sure. It might be 3-D chips with persistent state and low dissipation. And since I don't watch that area closely, there are likely options that I haven't even considered. (Last I checked the persistent state had relatively slow switching, so it was considered a bit of a dark horse. But graphene would require investment in new fab technology, so it was considered a dark horse. But...etc. No really evident winners, but lots of contenders.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    2. Re: Pretty soon the only jobs left by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moore's law stopped years ago. The time between process shrinking steps has already grown considerably.

    3. Re: Pretty soon the only jobs left by HiThere · · Score: 1

      There have been hiatuses in the past. Usually they have been ended by the eruption of some new technology.

      OTOH, the cost of fabs has been increasing so much that the eruption of a new technology may be fatally hindered. And the perceived value has decreased. So you may be right this time.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  4. Doesn't add up by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    Net profit for the year, EURm 3,662 (2015) 3,766 (2016) 3,048 (2017)

    Number of employees (full-time equivalents) 29,815 (2015) 31,596 (2016) 30,399 (2017).

    Their highest profit year is when the had the highest number of employees.

    As for the current quarter: "The results were also buoyed by previously announced capital gains from the sales of its Danish life and pensions business and a stake in credit information agency UC." Oh yeah, but robots are taking over and stuff. Who comes up with this crap?

    1. Re: Doesn't add up by aliquis · · Score: 1

      The SEK have tanked so that may have to do with it.

    2. Re:Doesn't add up by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Greater automation, more automated banks, greater competition, reduced profits. Automation feeds competition. Any company with sufficient deposits is probably better off being an automated bank than using one.

      As for mass unemployment in the financial sector, part of me is a little sad for their loss, a lot of me is pretty content that a lot of those greed first asshats are losing their worthless job.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
  5. Banks are for cows. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are all cows. Cows say moo. MOOOOOO! MOOOOO! Moo cows MOOOOOO! Moo say the cows. YOU NORDEA COWS!!

    1. Re: Banks are for cows. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have missed you like a pertified Natalie Portman misses hot grits.

    2. Re:Banks are for cows. by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      You are all cowbots. Cowbots say MooBeep. Say MOOOOBEEP! MOOOBEEP! You NORDEA COWBOTS!!

      ftfy

  6. Automated Corruption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    whatever can be automated will be automated."

    Including the mass corporate fraud? And taxpayer bailouts probably.

  7. Impressive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After all, cutting costs is what people look for in a bank. They should start racking it in anytime now.

  8. Nordea Bank AP: "Hold my beer" by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    "whatever can be automated will be automated."

    I just can't wait for the fun and frivolity when someone figures out some flaw or hack in their 'banking robots' that allows someone to scam a bank out of millions.

    1. Re:Nordea Bank AP: "Hold my beer" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "whatever can be automated will be automated."

      I just can't wait for the fun and frivolity when someone figures out some flaw or hack in their 'banking robots' that allows someone to scam a bank out of millions.

      Will that rule survive the day when somebody figures out that AI outperforms bank management staff?

    2. Re:Nordea Bank AP: "Hold my beer" by LordWabbit2 · · Score: 2

      ATM's are a form of "banking robots" and they have been hacked plenty times already. Not sure about where you are, but in my country if you go into the bank and draw money from your account instead of using the ATM the bank charges are WAY higher, I suppose to deter people from doing it.

      I used to avoid credit/debit cards (mostly because I don't want to be tracked) but I have kind of given up on that, it's just way more convenient and safer to work with plastic. Too many people have been robbed shortly after drawing large amounts of cash (inside job, cashier tells a partner outside the bank) that it's just too damn dangerous to walk around with a lot of cash, even if it's hidden from sight. I still prefer cash for a lot of things, especially small purchases like lunch etc. but with the smart chips and NFC in bank cards and more retailers having the newer NFC card machines if I see that they have one I will just tap instead of using cash, even though I would normally have used cash. You just tap, and if it's a small transaction you don't even need to enter your PIN. I need to get one of those sleeves to protect it methinks. I haven't heard of anyone "skimming" with NFC scanners in my country yet, but it's just a matter of time before it starts happening.

      --
      There are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third is statistics.
    3. Re:Nordea Bank AP: "Hold my beer" by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      it's just way more convenient and safer to work with plastic

      You know, I'm really getting sick and tired of hearing this scared-rabbit nonsense from people. Sure, if you're walking around with thousands of dollars in your pocket then you're stupid, but I pull $100 at a time, unless I need more immediately, and I have ZERO WORRIES about carrying the money around with me. People carried cash around for hudreds of years and they didn't all get robbed constantly. You people and you sky-is-falling crap should STFU already. Especially right now, the more you use plastic, the more you are EXPOSED to risk from some data breach, as well as not having every damned purchase you make tracked by someone (or several someones). Carrying a modest amount of cash for in-person purchases is actually SAFER than plastic for those reasons.

    4. Re:Nordea Bank AP: "Hold my beer" by LordWabbit2 · · Score: 1
      Yeah, I did mention I use cash for small purchases, and a $100 anything (or part thereof) is a small purchase. I'm talking about walking around with $10,000 plus being a risky business, and yes, I have done that on occasion. I don't live in the US, and I doubt you can even comprehend the level of crime we have here.

      People carried cash around for hudreds of years and they didn't all get robbed constantly

      Maybe where you live, where I live the crime level is way higher than it was 10 years ago. Let me illustrate with a short story.

      I was rewriting logistics software for a... logistics company, and while we were fine tuning the website and webservices and handheld software I was briefly reassigned to work from their distribution center so I would be onsite to trouble shoot any issues. That was in the middle of a light industrial area, while I was there (it was several months) I got to know the manager at a local fast food place really well, they made awesome chicken mayo sandwiches and they would deliver it to me at reception each day at lunch time. Yeah I am a creature of habit, shoot me. I also fixed their POS PC and then I made their POS software actually useful, but we ended up chatting a lot. Turned out that MANY of their customers would hide their money in their shoes, bra's anywhere they hoped people would not look when they were getting robbed. Result being is that she used to use a clothes clip to handle their money, the notes were sweaty and smelly and because she also needed to help out in the kitchen, washing your hands 200 times a day gets a bit old. The point being is that in broad daylight people were getting robbed going to buy fucking lunch. Report it to the cops, and fuckall happens, they don't even bother opening a case file.

      the more you use plastic, the more you are EXPOSED to risk from some data breach

      Not sure how you come to this conclusion, so now some hacker knows I bought a burger at xyz, how does that expose me more? I can understand that tracking companies will now show me more burger adverts from xyz, but I whilst I don't like that it does not increase my risk profile.

      I don't like all the tracking going on, which is why I use cash unless it's a large amount. I don't use "loyalty cards", because at the end of the day they are "track you more cards" for very little actual gain. I would rather not get the free latte after you buy 200 latte's to cut down on my TRACKING profile. That would not raise my risk profile unless for some obscure reason the company wants personal credentials to other accounts, and if you are giving up that information then you deserve to be hacked. But perhaps you are not talking about that, perhaps you are saying hackers would now know that on Thursdays I always have a meeting in a particular suburb and buy coffee from xyz? I am not sure, please explain.

      I have worked with people who have worked for these companies that amalgamate all this data into huge databases that is available for "market research", it's scary shit, which is why I try to use cash when I can. I have nothing to hide, but I don't want you to be able to peep into my bedroom window all the same.
      Also just to be clear, even though my BALANCE in my debit card may be 10,000 you can only physically draw a certain amount from ATM's, I had that capped when I was forced to give up my pin with a gun to my head. You don't understand the level of crime here, people get followed home from banks and robbed in their driveways, the safer option is to use plastic, as much as that has it's own drawbacks.

      --
      There are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third is statistics.
    5. Re:Nordea Bank AP: "Hold my beer" by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Not sure how you come to this conclusion, so now some hacker knows I bought a burger at xyz, how does that expose me more?

      Because you used it AT ALL. They hack the payment system anywhere along the data stream, they get your payment information. Functionally similar to credit card skimmers installed anywhere that takes a debit or credit card. When Chipotle got hit that was the tipping point for me, they breached the locations I ate at. Therefore the more you use plastic (or any other electronic funds transfer) the greater your risk some system security breach will put your payment information in some criminals' hands. Use cash for everything you can and you reduce your risk. I've yet to come up with a reloadable debit card I can use for online purchases (which would only ever hold the value needed for various immediate transactions) but when I find one that'll take care of the other side of the equation, because if that gets compromised somehow I can ditch it and get a different one. Sadly my credit union does not offer one-time-use VISA account numbers like some do, that would likely work also. I'm not some whack conspiracy theorist I'm being as practical as I can about this without just throwing up my hands and giving up like pretty much everyone else does. It's bad enough that at least 50% of us (if not more) are potentially screwed because of Equifax, I'm not going to just throw in the towel and accept getting my bank account drained and identity stolen if I can reduce or eliminate the risk. If I have to go back to having my paychecks physically mailed to me, cashing them, and paying all my bills in person with cash, then I'll do that if things get bad enough, but in the meantime I'll do what I can to reduce my risk and exposure to data security breaches ruining me.

  9. A glimpse of the future by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

    I don't mean the bank - I mean that headline. "Company saves money by replacing people with a machine."

    You're going to see variations on that headline over and over from here on out.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:A glimpse of the future by mjwx · · Score: 1

      I don't mean the bank - I mean that headline. "Company saves money by replacing people with a machine."

      You're going to see variations on that headline over and over from here on out.

      This.

      I've been saying this for ages. Whilst wide eyed morons have been salivating over the idea of driverless cars which are decades away from public consumption (if they're ever ready) I've been saying that we're only a short way away from having a great number of professional jobs automated by weak AI. Jobs that are based on applying rules to data like banking, accounting, law, administration, so on and so forth are prime candidates because the one thing weak AI is exceptional at is applying rules to data.

      The robot car is ages away, however the robot lawyer or robot accountant are just around the corner, there are already bots on the internet designed to help you appeal (and get out of) parking tickets. When applying for a Credit Card I'm fairly certain human intervention is minimal (every application I've done in the last 10 years has been entirely online). I'm also pretty sure the only reason I spoke to a person at BMW Financial Services for my 2er is because she was a salesperson and humans respond better to sales pitches in person. None of the actual work couldn't have been done online, in fact I'm certain like the car sales person did, all she did was enter the information I gave her into their system.

      It is going to be a bit of a shake up in society because these aren't just menial blue collar jobs being replaced, however society will adjust and adapt.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    2. Re:A glimpse of the future by coofercat · · Score: 1

      As I hear it, the insurance industry (corporate stuff, not the end-user stuff) has yet to allow remote working, so it'll be a while before they think about automating out the endless lunches and afternoon drinking.

    3. Re:A glimpse of the future by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      I'm doing all I can to automate myself out of a job. On the positive side, I'm not letting management know that.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
  10. whatever can be automated MUST be automated by mi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    whatever can be automated will be automated

    As it should be. No one becomes a bank-teller, because they like it. Like hundreds of other jobs, it needs to be done, pleasant or not... We are all better off as these jobs are replaced by machinery.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:whatever can be automated MUST be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one becomes a bank-teller, because they like it. Like hundreds of other jobs, it needs to be done, pleasant or not...

      Actually, no, the bank-teller is not a job that needs to be done. Basically Nordea and other banks in Finland & Sweden have basically gotten rid of those. Today, they do not even handle cash is most of their branch offices. The reduction in bank-teller jobs (by about 80-90%) was due to the shift to eBanking - this happened here already 10-15 years ago.

      What is being automated now, are the back-end tasks, like decisions for selling insurances & loans.

    2. Re:whatever can be automated MUST be automated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. People should do the jobs that machines can't, and the machines should do the hopelessly boring drudgery. Eventually we won't have to grow food, cook, clean, and everyone can just do stuff that is actually important, because the machines do the boring things.

    3. Re:whatever can be automated MUST be automated by luis_a_espinal · · Score: 1

      whatever can be automated will be automated

      As it should be. No one becomes a bank-teller, because they like it. Like hundreds of other jobs, it needs to be done, pleasant or not... We are all better off as these jobs are replaced by machinery.

      Who is this we you speak of?

      Society *can* be better off, but so long as it prepares its social capital (its people) for the shift. We are seeing right now in this country what happens when society does not do that - low-value added jobs are shipped overseas or replaced by manufacturing, causing unprepared people (some of it their fault, some of it not their fault) to see the value of their 10-20-30 years of work experience amount to nothing.

      Misery and bitterness ensues, people demanding a scapegoat, be it corporations or Muslicans. Millions of people finishing HS without knowing how to add fractions, no agency, and no hope to ever meaningfully participate in a modern service-based economy, in a country pretty much devoid of social safety nets.

      What then? Most likely that havoc won't affect me or my children directly, but we all live in the same society (unless we go choose to go Lebensunwertes Leben on anyone left behind.

      The Industrial Revolution made our modern life possible, but let's not forget that people that lost their jobs back then never recovered in their lifetimes, neither them nor their children. It was till their grandchildren that they could start reaping the benefits of industrialization. That shit did take a human toll.

      We are about to embark in the same type of havoc, and unless we plan for it, no, it will not be better for *us*. It might be better for *me*, or for *you*, as individuals. But we do not get to define society as simply just *we*.

    4. Re:whatever can be automated MUST be automated by mi · · Score: 1

      Who is this we you speak of?

      The individuals.

      Society *can* be better off, but so long as it prepares its social capital

      Collectivist nonsense. Leave it progressives to stall progress...

      That shit did take a human toll.

      You aren't citing anything... Who suffered? How much did they suffer? And why should we care?

      For example, suppose, a wonderful pill is invented, that eliminates all diseases. It is fairly simple to manufacture and needs to be taken once in childhood.

      Would you seriously argue against its speedy adoption on account of the doctors, nurses, and other hospital staff — losing their income and suffering as a result?..

      But we do not get to define society as simply just *we*.

      Fortunately, you don't get to stall progress either...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  11. Former customer... by Knightman · · Score: 1

    I used to have an account with them, but I switched since they where nickel and diming everything plus they started charging extra for handling cash.

    --
    --- Reality doesn't care about your opinions, it happens anyway and if you are in the way you'll get squished.
  12. wrong question being asked by Dorianny · · Score: 1
    When automating the question that should be asked is

    Can a machine outperform a human

    If you are asking "Can we save a buck by replacing humans" it is likely the decision will backfire and cost you money in the end. Just ask Elon and his new Tent factory

    1. Re:wrong question being asked by Kjella · · Score: 1

      When automating the question that should be asked is: Can a machine outperform a human

      Sorry, but that's stupid. Consider an industrial robot, who cares if it's 1/10th the speed if it costs 1/100th as much? Just set up ten of them and do round-robin. Obviously you should quantify other benefits and drawbacks too, but the simplest way is to convert everything to dollars. Because that's most like what you'll be "producing" in the end, is my business making more or less money with automation. Now it is a problem that computers are dumb and that we don't understand the full complexity of dealing with every error condition leading to results like this but it's not because we picked the wrong metric. It's because our estimates sucked ass.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    2. Re:wrong question being asked by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      You took the statement too literally. Comparing a single piece of machinery to a single human is obviously idiotic and in the context of this story we are not even talking about industrial robots but rather machines like auto-attendant. I don't know about you but I always hit 0 the minute one of those infernal things tries to waste my time

  13. A glimpse from the past by mi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You're going to see variations on that headline over and over from here on out.

    We've been seeing it since before most of today's newspapers first printed. How many coachmen lost their jobs to a steam locomotive? How many computers lost their jobs to, ahem, computers? How many milkmen had to look for another vocation with the invention of pasteurization process and of refrigerators?

    And speaking of "headlines" — you do know, that putting together the printing matrices was a manual process too, don't you? The expression "freedom of the press" and "stop the presses" is still around, even though there neither the actual presses any more — and some publications stopped wasting paper completely?

    Civilization evolves, lamenting the disappearances of some professions is stupid...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:A glimpse from the past by Weaselmancer · · Score: 2

      It's going to be different this time. Yeah I know, that's been said before too.

      The growth is exponential. The last 100 years or so have been exactly as you describe. Milkmen become refrigerator salesmen. So what?

      But there is a ceiling. Name a profession that goes beyond automation engineer. Milkman to salesman to this to that...eventually you run out of space. That is happening, right now. Before much longer there will be robots, the people who build and program and service them...and nothing else. There isn't anything past that.

      I'm not lamenting it, I'm just wanting us to be prepared for it. Because nobody takes it seriously and I have no idea why nobody takes it seriously. Things are due for a big change and we are amazingly unprepared for it.

      --
      Weaselmancer
      rediculous.
    2. Re:A glimpse from the past by mi · · Score: 1

      Milkmen become refrigerator salesmen. So what?

      It was not like that — you'd need, maybe, 1/100 as many salespeople, as there were milkmen. A milkmen had to visit each house, every morning, to deliver the milk. A salesman would visit one once per year...

      But there is a ceiling.

      There is not — not any more than there is a ceiling to the exponent itself. It just keeps climbing...

      Name a profession that goes beyond automation engineer.

      Artists and poets? Actors? Geisha and hetairai? Teachers and nurses? At any rate, your and my inability to imagine something, does not mean it would not come up. As you say, it has been said before and any argument claiming exclusivity of our times in any respect is deeply suspicious, if not an outright fallacy...

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    3. Re:A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Physical labor has been optimized and shuffled around. Specific applications of it. Physical labor itself wasn't threatened.

      You keep bringing up the horse buggy as if it was the latter. Which has never happened.

      This. Has. Never. Happened.

    4. Re:A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a ceiling, and the ceiling is this. The robots are doing all jobs, one person owns all the robots and only people that are useful to this one person (geisha and hetairai, teachers and nurses) have jobs.

      This scenario is the same as a monopoly in capitalism, where instead of a company owning the whole market we have a single person "owning" all the jobs. And yes this scenario is the inevitable conclusion of automation. If you don't see it you do not understand technology enough or you have another kind of blinders (like being a neoliberal that does not want to admit that individualism is doomed under monopoly conditions).

    5. Re:A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course there is a ceiling.
      There is a limited number of people on the planet.
      A limited number of hookers, actors, nurses etc. that will be needed.
      Also, nurses will be greatly reduced as automation spreads to medical sector.
      Poets and such are not needed. Who is going to employ them?
      The handful of engineers cannot sustain the millions of other people doing fuck all.

    6. Re:A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He just doesn't understand the End Game of capitalism.

      What has always been hindering such and promoting more competition? Regulations and governments only.

    7. Re: A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The economy has two sides producers and consumers. If nobody but a select few have employment and thus an income, then nobody but a few will buy and thus consume anything. Thus the shiny automated factories will be idle the investors will be bankrupt and everyone will be reduced to the same situation.

      The US postwar boom was based on the availability of credit. This enabled consumers with jobs, to buy goods in vast quantities. Who is going to lend money to people who have no prospect of employment?

    8. Re: A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why the plans are in place for depopulation.

    9. Re:A glimpse from the past by LordWabbit2 · · Score: 1

      The robots are doing all jobs, one person owns all the robots and only people that are useful to this one person have jobs

      And then all the unwashed masses rise up and kill that one person, destroy his robots and the world falls into another dark age. This has happened before, it will happen again. I just don't want to see it in my lifetime or my children's lifetime (for their sake) because it's going to be a shitfest. So the real question to me, is how do we stop it from happening. Basic minimum wage might help for a bit, but at the end of the day everyone wants a nice fancy house with fancy cars and fancy toys. The world's wealth distribution is top heavy. They just released a report in my country about the 20 richest people, at the top of the list the richest person has more money than our entire country pays out in social grants to people without jobs, and our unemployment rate is ~40%. That's fucked up. So the richest people get to do amazing accounting tricks to not pay tax, so the majority of the tax burden is falling on the middle class, who after they wipe the tax mans shit out of their eyes are not actually middle class anymore. This is a recipe for civil unrest and a changing of the current world order, violently. No one (even the poor) really want that, but if things continue the way they are it's going to happen, desperate times call for desperate measures. When a man's child is crying because it's hungry he will do anything. Sticking your head in the sand and saying "it's happened before" is not going to mean shit to the people kicking down your door and standing you up against a wall.

      --
      There are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third is statistics.
    10. Re: A glimpse from the past by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not if you apply the same logic to sex as those people did to engineering. You can't do it or talk about it unless you are a certified professional. You'll have 100% employment in no time.

  14. Computers make bureaucracies grow, not shrink by aberglas · · Score: 1

    Consider, say, the Australian Tax Office in the 1950s when Parkinson wrote his great paper. There would have been no computers at all (possibly some punch card machines). Almost all the work done by hand. Collecting returns, reconciling payments, banking, internal processes, everything.

    Consider the Tax Office today, after 60 years of automation. No human hand ever touches the average tax return. What has the efficiency dividend been? Zero. The tax office still consumes about 1% of GDP, just like it did in the 1059s. Note that this is a proportion of GDP, so accounts for growth in the economy, the office has actually grown substantially in absolute terms.

    How could this possibly be? So much automation producing so little improvement?

    Well, in the 1950s, the tax act fitted into a couple of smallish volumes. Today the act plus regulations and rulings would be too large to print out in any one place. It is orders of magnitude more complex.

    The reason that it is more complex is because it can be. In the 1950s, without computers, it would be impossible to administer the current act. So it is actually computers that cause the complexity.

    Whether all that complexity actually produces a more efficient and equitable society is, of course, very unclear.

    So no, automation will not not reduce employment in government, banks, or any other bureaucracies because the rules will simple become more complex to compensate.

    This, incidentally, why I am proud that many of the computer projects that I have been involved in have turned out to be absolute failures. Every project that succeeds just inflicts complexity on third parties.

    Automation of manual jobs is another matter entirely. Certainly automation of agriculture in the last century has decimated the number of agricultural workers. Will everyone just end up as being petty bureaucrats? Or do we need to send off a B ark?

    1. Re:Computers make bureaucracies grow, not shrink by hey! · · Score: 1

      The economics of this are simple in principle, complicated in practice: you hire another $1 worth of a productive resource if that will produce $1.01 in additional revenue.

      Staffing grows when you automate if, and only if, you have a productive use for it. If you only did the exact same things you did when people were adding up columns of figures by hand, then the staffing levels would always drop when the process of addition was automated. But it turn out there's usually other more useful things you've freed up people to do. That's not a hard and fast rule that will always be true in every case no matter how advanced the automation is; but it's usually the case for marginal reductions in labor costs that there are things an enterprise would like to do if only people had a little more time.

      So step by step, an accounting department evolves from a place where rows of people in green eye shades spend their days toiling at arithmetic to a finance department that administers mind-boggling treasury management schemes.

      The real limitation is our ability to find things for humans to do; in the 1950s we were nowhere close to exhausting obvious things for people to do. By the 2050s, things might be different.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    2. Re:Computers make bureaucracies grow, not shrink by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need to read Parkinson's Law,
      https://www.economist.com/news/1955/11/19/parkinsons-law

      If you have a budget of $1 million then you will find ways to spend it. The reason your budget might be $1 million and not $2 million has nothing to do with the work that needs to be done. Parkinson demonstrates this very eloquently in his landmark paper.

  15. whatever can be automated will be by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Automated CEOs should be right around the corner then.

    Seems like they should be just about the easiest. Still, not holding my breath.

  16. Re: Trump Will Lose Human Contact in Federal Priso by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By all gods, you are gonna have a positive trainwreck of a 2020.

  17. And in the near future... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    “You’ve been “adjusted.” ”

    “I’m sorry. I didn’t understand that. Please restate the question.”

    “While we appreciate your contribution, you’re being off-boarded”

    “I’m sorry. I didn’t understand that. Please restate the question.”

    “I said you’re being fired”

    “I’m sorry. I didn’t understand that. Please restate the question.”

  18. US Banks have been doing this for years by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

    My local chase branch is all automated kiosks and one or two human tellers. Virtually every other bank has one teller or maybe two available at most other times. Unless you're depositing cash there is no reason to go see a teller since it all can be done at the ATM or with a smartphone.

    1. Re:US Banks have been doing this for years by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 2

      ATMs can take cash for deposit too, believe it or not. Only problem is with damaged bills.

    2. Re:US Banks have been doing this for years by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      Every time I try to deposit cash with a teller at PNC I get a lecture about how I can do it all at the ATM. Makes you feel like a confused old lady trying to write a check in grocery store. I'm thinking though: "Yeah, but I can just stare into space while you do it. What is it that you do here?"

      --
      I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
    3. Re:US Banks have been doing this for years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How behind is your bank? Mine has had ATMs that can intake loose cash as well. There is no need for tellers at the branches.

  19. first burgers, now bankers by BLToday · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "It's cheaper to buy a $35,000 robotic arm than it is to hire an employee who's inefficient making $15 an hour bagging French fries," former McDonald's chief executive Edward Rensi said in an appearance on Fox Business Network in May 2016."

    "Researchers at Sony’s computer science laboratory in Paris recently put out a set of pop songs composed by an AI system, which scans songs from a database to compose entirely new pieces in certain musical styles"

    "It was generated by Heliograf, a bot that made its debut on the Post’s website last year and marked the most sophisticated use of artificial intelligence in journalism to date."

    "The San Francisco firm EquBot has launched the first retail ETF to be managed using IBM’s Watson supercomputing artificial intelligence technology."

    I, for one, welcome our new AI overlords.

    1. Re:first burgers, now bankers by datavirtue · · Score: 1

      Heliograf gets sued by Miley Cyrus. Should be fun.

      --
      I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
    2. Re:first burgers, now bankers by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Heliograf gets sued by Miley Cyrus. Should be fun.

      Other way around. Miley Cyrius "performs" the songs made by Heliograf.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  20. Answering Machine by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

    So if you want to bank where you can only get put on hold on a phone machine and will never talk to a human operator, this bank is your choice.

    1. Re:Answering Machine by known_coward_69 · · Score: 2

      i've called my bank once in the last 5 years

  21. whatever can be automated MUST be automated:CEO. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Punchline:"And then they automated the CEO's job, but there was no one left after everyone else was automated to object".

  22. Only way to stay competative? by prowler1 · · Score: 1

    I am not sure about elsewhere in the world but where I live, the banks are constantly making huge profits with a large chunk of them reporting increased profits for a number of years running. This just sounds like a way to make even more money rather than just making a decent amount of money.

  23. Predatory lending and being signed up for new prod by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How did those socialist crack the "blame predatory lending practices on 2nd tier employees" problem? And do they clam that when the customers get signed up for services they never approved that it was just a bug? Or do they claim to have then fired the programmer instead of the banker? Surely this will fail soon like Venezuela, time to short those bank stocks like I did Tesla! #MAGA

  24. Banks are obsolete by BeerMilkshake · · Score: 0

    Ethereum smart contracts can automate most banking services. Its amazing how fast its happening. World feels like its a month before August 1, 1981 when MTV went live. Cryptocurrency is like video and traditional banks are like the Radio Stars.

  25. Atypical area of innovation by amorsen · · Score: 1

    Nordea is best known for inventing new and innovative ways for doing money-laundering, tax evasion, and general financial assistance to high-level criminals. Although to be fair, despite their impressive efforts in those areas, they are still not close to leaders in crime-assistance such as Danske Bank.

    I guess with everything automated, they can always blame a programming error the next time they get caught. And the next. And...

    --
    Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  26. Computers don't make small mistakes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But if you find their blind spot, it will accommodate ridiculously large red flags. Of a size where you cannot get insurance because insurance only works when the insurer has considerably more money accessible for covering events of the insured kind than the insured party, and who has a larger money buffer than a regulated bank?

    So there'll be government bailouts of bankruptcy affecting a "workforce" of mostly robots. Until the government has had it, and serial bankruptcies will become the rule, with companies having limited liability, their customers getting regularly stiffed and the machines moving on to the next shell company.

    It's not like the model isn't known from construction industries.

  27. Re:whatever can be automated MUST be automated:CEO by rkordmaa · · Score: 1

    Many companies would benefit from robo-CEOs, alas that's not quite the reality yet. But if it was, would there be anything objectionable about that? If the actual work gets done either way, why would you need a human to do it, work for the sake of work? In a competitive environment, the cost of anything boils down to human effort required to provide the goods or services in question. If required effort approaches zero, then does the cost and isn't that a nice thing. Heck, the internet is full of perfect examples, the cost of providing services to billions is so low, that you can cover it with advertisement and still make a helluva profit. Imagine a reality where that was not the case, where you would have to pay money for every single service you access on the internet. That's the reality we live in with the entire rest of the economy.

  28. more like tesla than you think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A lit of monotonous banking jobs are actually glue between dozens of systems that are anywhere from 50 to 2 years old. Now thrown in constantly changing regulations and consumer demand and ... There are some things tjat are better done in partner between robots and humans. You need some people on the factory floor as has been proven time and again in the auto business. Yes there is a lot to cut but there is over automation as well.

  29. Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is the brain parasites running the whole show
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2175045-business-students-more-likely-to-have-a-brain-parasite-spread-by-cats/

  30. A glimpse from the past scale. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Civilization evolves, lamenting the disappearances of some professions is stupid..."

    Problem with the whole "the future is like the past" is that it's not true. What's happening in privacy and security shows that, even though it's some of the same actions that happened in the past, it's done on scales that didn't exist before. Or activities beyond their limitations. e.g. remote viewing.

  31. Re:whatever can be automated MUST be automated:CEO by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

    Many companies would benefit from robo-CEOs, alas that's not quite the reality yet. But if it was, would there be anything objectionable about that? If the actual work gets done either way, why would you need a human to do it, work for the sake of work? In a competitive environment, the cost of anything boils down to human effort required to provide the goods or services in question. If required effort approaches zero, then does the cost and isn't that a nice thing. Heck, the internet is full of perfect examples, the cost of providing services to billions is so low, that you can cover it with advertisement and still make a helluva profit. Imagine a reality where that was not the case, where you would have to pay money for every single service you access on the internet. That's the reality we live in with the entire rest of the economy.

    Well, of course, because it makes sense to automate a CEO. I mean, most are fairly expensive, with some costing close to $100M/year to have. It really makes sense to automate something that can save $100M/year.

    And many companies can easily save tens of millions dollars replacing their CEO with a robo-CEO.

    Replacing the lower level staff generally has lower returns - because those staff are more numerous and you will often need to replace them with multiple robotic units. Plus since those generally are involved with production, it generally only scales linearly (to increase production, you need to increase the number of robots). Whereas there is only one CEO per company, needing only one robot to replace them.

    So replacing CEOs makes a lot of sense - you can save a lot of money, and you only have one of them.

  32. Automated executive by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of the biggest staff expenses in any organisation is the executive. They should prioritise automating the executives to save big $$$$ fast

  33. Sorry. Cowbots all work for Wells Fargo by bdwoolman · · Score: 1

    The Cowbot Bank. I once suggested to the bank manager that all the employees dress like cowboys and cowgirls one day a year. "Moooooo," he said. "Moooooo..."

    --
    "No fear. No envy. No meanness." Liam Clancy