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Australia Set To 'Eliminate' Cervical Cancer By 2028 (cnn.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from CNN: Australia is set to be the first country to eliminate cervical cancer, aided by its national vaccination and screening programs, says a new study. The country is on track to meet the threshold of four or less new cases per 100,000 women each year, effectively eliminating the cancer by 2028, finds the new study published Wednesday. The cancer could be classified as "rare" as early as 2022, meeting a threshold of six new cases per 100,000 and deaths due to the diseases are expected to decline to one new case per 100,000 women by 2034. But this is all contingent on Australia's high vaccination coverage and screening being maintained, write the study authors.

An estimated 99.7% of cervical cancer cases are caused by infection with Human Papillomavirus (HPV), a group of viruses that spread though sexual intercourse and skin-to-skin contact around the genitals. In their new study, the researchers at Cancer Council NSW modeled data on HPV vaccination, natural history of the disease, and cervical screening to estimate the age-incidence of cervical cancer in Australia from 2015 to 2100. Currently, Australia reports seven cases of cervical cancer per 100,000 women, according to the study. As well as eliminating the disease within 20 years, the data showed that the annual incidence of cervical cancer will decrease and remain at fewer than one case per 100,000 women if screening for HPV every five years continues and as long as people have been offered the vaccine.

6 of 181 comments (clear)

  1. Re:It's not hard by ChromeAeonuim · · Score: 4, Informative

    You've got to be one stone cold prick to think that cancer is an appropriate punishment for having pre-marital sex. How can you be such a horrible person as to say 'Well honey, you made Jesus sad, so now you have to die miserably.' They're literally using disease as a cudgel to help enforce their views on sexuality. Congratulations, you've literally partnered with cancer, way to demonstrate your moral superiority.

    Of all the evidence that the religious right is full of shit, this sure is some of it.

  2. Re:Vaccine for everyone by Capsaicin · · Score: 3, Informative

    [T]he vaccine is of zero benefit to him because he has no cervix

    Well ... perhaps not zero benefit. He does have a throat I take it.

    Which is in no way to disagree with your actual point, that this, and imo many other vaccines, ought to be freely available, where your argument should be irresistible.

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  3. Re:Does PENIS CANCER get your attention? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Agreed, you would be silly.

    Australia vaccinates boys and girls:
    The vaccine is provided free of charge for: 12- and 13-year-old males and females through schools on an ongoing basis
    [http://www.hpvregister.org.au/health-professionals]

  4. Re:Does PENIS CANCER get your attention? by martinX · · Score: 3, Informative

    Initially it was given to only girls for free because of a bit of cost/benefit analysis. Following exposure, HPV causes cervical cancer at a higher rate than it causes penile cancer. Other cancers caused by HPV are even lower down on the list. The assumption was if you can knock it out in females then that will have a largely dampening effect on the already very small numbers of male cancers. The ideal was always known to be vaccinating boys, but someone has to pay for this.

    Anyway, the argument is now moot here, since - as others have pointed out - it is freely available to boys now, too.

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  5. Re:HPV is not the only cause of cervical cancer by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Informative

    According to Wikipeida around 85% of cervical cancer has this cause. Of course that's globally, in Australia it will be different due to different lifestyles. Other risk factors include smoking and multiple pregnancies, both declining in Aus. So their claim that at some point cervical cancer will be effectively eliminated (instances below some very low threshold) is credible.

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  6. Re:It's not hard by careysub · · Score: 3, Informative

    Thats the thing though. These people are all about punishing women.

    Think about all the arguments used for abortion.

    You left out the most telling point. The people who are wish to ban abortion in all cases, are also overwhelmingly opposed to the availability of other forms of birth control, which if used - shall we say "religiously"? - would prevent said abortions from even being an issue. They are even opposed to accurate education about sex.

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