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What's the Next Big Thing in Tech? It's Up To Us (wsj.com)

If it feels like new technologies go from flights of fancy to billion-dollar businesses faster than ever, that's because they do. From a column (which may be paywalled): Consider that Uber, founded in 2009, started allowing drivers to sign up with their own cars in 2013. Five short years later, the company operates in more than 70 countries and competes with dozens of copycats. It's considering going public in 2019 at a potential valuation of $120 billion, which would make it the biggest IPO in U.S. history by far. When novel software can go from hackathon to app store overnight, and even complex hardware can hit manufacturing lines in months, the determining factor of success is us -- as consumers, workers, even regulators. If the pitch works and we bite, a technology can quickly transform our social norms.

At the WSJ Tech D. Live conference in Laguna Beach, Calif., this week, what became apparent across dozens of talks, classes and informal chats is that, when almost anything we can dream up is possible, the most important factors in the spread of technology are now cultural. Not every new development in technology leads to an Uber-scale industry, of course, but here are five trends that highlight this shift. China's success in addressing tech needs at home has made it a global leader. As Google struggles with walkouts and morale at Facebook craters, many workers at Chinese startups are so committed to their work that they've adopted a grueling schedule called 996 -- 9 a.m. to 9 p.m., six days a week. In 2018, China will eclipse the U.S. in spending on R&D, projects the National Science Board.

Patrick Collison, chief executive of Stripe, talked about how much of Asia is leapfrogging the West because there isn't tons of old infrastructure -- like gas-guzzling car fleets -- to update, so the latest technology catches on right away. In China, this is especially true in payments, which are now overwhelmingly made through mobile phones. The world's leading face-recognition and drone companies are in China, and its electric-vehicle, autonomous-driving and AI companies are already on par with their U.S. counterparts, said Kai-Fu Lee, former president of Google China and current head of technology-investment firm Sinovation Ventures. China's mission rests on techies dedicated to building the future for its billion-plus population -- achieving global technological dominance en route.

29 of 87 comments (clear)

  1. Whatever replaces systemd by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    n/c

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re:Whatever replaces systemd by mermeid007 · · Score: 1

      Before you starting writing code, understand the problem you are solving. Think about how people use tech.

      Understand what they do on a regular basis. What bugs them the most about their day?

      What do they care about? Do they have pets? Do they give to charities?

      What do they buy for a snack at work? Why do they make their bed a certain way?

      Why do they walk down one aisle and not the other?

      What did they want to be when they grew up? What is their favorite color?

      What do they pause and look at when they are walking past a particular place?

      What is the culture where they grew up? Do they rinse and repeat or just rinse?

      How long does it take to brush their hair? When do they decide what shoes to wear? At the door or before that?

      Answering questions like these will give you a much better idea where to put tech. Does tech belong everywhere? Behind every gadget? Inside every smart device, splashed all over your iWatch? Ask these questions and that's where the profit begins

  2. Sad by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is pathetic that Slashdot considers Uber and Facebook "tech". They are just businesses and won't be around long.

    1. Re: Sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Uber and FB speaks volumes of the moral character of the masses.

    2. Re:Sad by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      By way of visiting reality for a moment, /. is not the author of the article.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  3. Something addictive and exploitative by DogDude · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's going to be something addictive and exploitative, of course. Something that's going to made pervasive phone/app addiction look tame by comparison.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  4. If you are looking to invest by bobstreo · · Score: 2

    I'd go with:

    Solid State, Self Driving Social Networks using Blockchain.

    ('d sell quickly afterward,

    1. Re:If you are looking to invest by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I'd go with:

      Solid State

      Well damn. I still have my stereo receiver from the late 1960's It has a metal badge on the front proudly declaring it is "Solid State". I'm pretty sure I still have a transistor radio somewhere from that time period that is also "solid state" Unfortunately my TV with a solid state badge has been gone for some time now.

      BTW, your idea will obviously fail. It has no AI/deep learning/machine learning and no cloud.

  5. What's with the Yellow Peril narrative? by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1, Troll

    So I can't help but notice that this starts out with what do we want to do and finishes with "fear of the foreigners" scaremongering that would not have been out of place in a Fu Manchu novel in which the Yellow Peril will consume us all. It was bullshit then and it's bullshit now. What's the deal? Why the sudden xenophobia? It's totally out of place, off topic, and racist and nativist.

    --
    Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    1. Re: What's with the Yellow Peril narrative? by Type44Q · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Why the sudden xenophobia?

      Why ask questions when you're not interested in the answers??

    2. Re:What's with the Yellow Peril narrative? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Why the sudden xenophobia?

      There is nothing "sudden" about xenophobia. It has been around since the cro-magnon invaders wiped out the neanderthals. Xenophobia is the natural state of humanity.

      Even ants will kill any ant that is not a member of their colony.

    3. Re:What's with the Yellow Peril narrative? by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      What's it doing on Slashdot in a summary? It's disgusting and needs to be ostracized whenever it appears in public.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    4. Re: What's with the Yellow Peril narrative? by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      Oh, you can read my mind? Amazing. Can you demonstrate your talent again? Tell me what I had for breakfast?

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    5. Re: What's with the Yellow Peril narrative? by skam240 · · Score: 1

      Shit?

      --
      I ignore Anonymous Coward posts. If you want to discuss something, that's awesome. Log in.
  6. more fun for us by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    I'm thinking a blue tooth enabled pet rock.

  7. If you can't make good things, make "big things". by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    > Consider that Uber, founded in 2009, started allowing drivers to sign up with their own cars in 2013. Five short years later, the company operates in more than 70 countries and competes with dozens of copycats.

    Consider that whatever potential you may have had at your birth, and that N disgusting, grueling years later, you're pumping out this kind of copy.

    > If the pitch works and we bite, a technology can quickly transform our social norms.

    You were just talking about quick financial success, nothing more. Now you jump to "transforming our social norms"? This betrays intention.

    From a philosophical viewpoint, the danger inherent in the new reality of mankind seems to be that this unity, based on the technical means of communication and violence, destroys all national traditions and buries the authentic origins of all human existence. This destructive process can even be considered a necessary prerequisite for ultimate understanding between men of all cultures, civilizations, races, and nations. Its result would be a shallowness that would transform man, as we have known him in five thousand years of recorded history, beyond recognition. It would be more than mere superficiality; it would be as though the whole dimension of depth, without which human thought, even on the mere level of technical invention, could not exist, would simply disappear. This leveling down would be much more radical than the leveling to the lowest common denominator; it would ultimately arrive at a denominator of which we have hardly any notion today.

    As long as one conceives of truth as separate and distinct from its expression, as something which by itself is uncommunicative and neither communicates itself to reason nor appeals to "existential" experience, it is almost impossible not to believe that this destructive process will inevitably be triggered off by the sheer automatism of technology which made the world one and, in a sense, united mankind. It looks as though the historical pasts of the-nations, in their utter diversity and disparity, in their confusing variety and bewildering strangeness for each other, are nothing but obstacles on the road to a horridly shallow unity. This, of course, is a delusion; if the dimension of depth out of which modern science and technology have developed ever were destroyed, the probability is that the new unity of mankind could not even technically survive. Everything then seems to depend upon the possibility of bringing the national pasts, in their original disparateness, into communication with each other as the only way to catch up with the global system of communication which covers the surface of the earth.

    --Hannah Arendt, "Men in Dark Times"

    The frightening coincidence of the modern population explosion with the discovery of technical devices that, through automation, will make large sections of the population 'superfluous' even in terms of labor, and that, through nuclear energy, make it possible to deal with this twofold threat by the use of instruments beside which Hitler's gassing installations look like an evil child's fumbling toys, should be enough to make us tremble.

    -- Hannah Arendt

    Now the police dreams that one look at the gigantic map on the office wall should suffice at any given moment to establish who is related to whom and in what degree of intimacy; and, theoretically, this dream is not unrealizable although its technical execution is bound to be somewhat difficult. If this map really did exist, not even memory would stand in the way of the totalitarian claim to domination; such a map might make it possible to obliterate people without any traces, as if they had never existed at all.

    -- Hannah Arendt

    We don't know a perfected totalitarian power structure, because it would require the control of the whole planet. But we know enough about the the still preliminary experiments of total

  8. Ads, PRISM by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    My spying with ads. More spying by governments.

    Games and software as always connected online services. Rented per year.
    A legal block of repair products/parts and services as counterfeiting.
    Military expecting the easy joy of using more drones until they can't control their own secure networks.
    More online nation state propaganda. More calls to ban user created cartoons, political jokes and bad movie reviews.
    A low quality of computer code as more below average and mediocre "educated" people get to be trusted to do advanced "computer" work.
    More and more random governments given the keys to all social media and OS crypto.
    A lot more intrusive ads, cameras and microphones selling users interaction with the OS, content.

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  9. Re: TRUMP - Must Be Impeached by Type44Q · · Score: 1

    ...and get in Hillary

    You might have to remove a lizard, first.

  10. The 'next big thing in tech' should be the Earth by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2

    How about we stop spending so much time and energy on toys that we don't necessarily need and allocate that energy and resources to fixing and maybe reversing the damage we've done to the environment of the Earth, being the only planet we can currently live on?
    Don't even say we should move to another planet. Ain't happening and you all damned well know it and there's nowhere to go in any case.

  11. America is masturbating ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ... with self-serving nationalism and "America First," and anti-science, anti-immigration, anti-globalism, pro-capitalism, batshit crazy Whiteism, and a bullying immature president backed by scared shitless Republicans.

    All civilisations fail, eventually. the yanks want to go to hell, let's just make sure the goddam hand basket is Made in America.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    1. Re:America is masturbating ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      EDIT: You're wing. No, wiring. Crap. "Wrong."

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    2. Re:America is masturbating ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Fuck you in the ass with Trump's tiny dick.

      I haven't marxed anything since they took the fumes out of the magic marxers.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    3. Re:America is masturbating ... by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      God forbid we should look after ourselves. You know, like every single other nation on the planet does. Globalism is bullshit, unless you think invading Iraq was a great idea.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    4. Re:America is masturbating ... by drsquare · · Score: 2

      If Americans think globalism is bullshit, I'd like them to stop selling their software, films, music and junk food all over the world.

  12. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  13. Foldable computers, fight fire and smoke by myid · · Score: 1

    We need a computer that's small and light enough to carry easily, but can be stretched out, or unfolded, to a full-sized screen and keyboard. Then when you're done using it, you fold it back again to its small size, and put it back into your pocket.

    Also we need to work on fighting fires.

    1) Chemists and biologists should figure out a better way to put out a fire. Maybe an improved fire-fighting foam, powder, or gas. The foam or whatever shouldn't cost much, or be bad for the environment. And it should be light and not too bulky, so that it can be carried to a fire.

    2) Mechanical and electrical engineers should figure out a better way to deliver fire-fighting foam (or whatever) to the fire. Maybe use drones, or develop robots that can climb steep, rocky hills.

    3) Chemists should figure out a way to capture the smoke that a wildfire emits. California's Camp Fire put out smoke that covered a huge area. I wish there had been a way to put something (I don't know what) over the fire, which would have trapped or absorbed the smoke.

  14. There is so much wrong with the article by Whuffo · · Score: 1

    First, the idea that those ancient civilizations don't have to replace infrastructure is stupid. And people keep ignoring the elephant in the room - greed. Greedy capitalists have driven costs so high that wages are high, too. Countries in Asia which have kept greed under control have a much lower cost of living and proportionally lower wages. This allows them to undercut your prices every time. Fix the cost of living imbalance and the trade problems will melt away.

  15. Re:The 'next big thing in tech' should be the Eart by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    Hear, hear!

  16. Re:The 'next big thing in tech' should be the Eart by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    Oh look everyone, the Anarchist is chiming in!
    You're likewise an idiot. Chaos isn't going to solve anything, it'll just make everything worse.
    You should have outgrown teenage rebelllion against authority a long time ago, GROW UP.