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Sea Levels May Rise More Rapidly Due To Greenland Ice Melt

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Rising sea levels could become overwhelming sooner than previously believed, according to the authors of the most comprehensive study yet of the accelerating ice melt in Greenland. Run-off from this vast northern ice sheet -- currently the biggest single source of meltwater adding to the volume of the world's oceans -- is 50% higher than pre-industrial levels and increasing exponentially as a result of manmade global warming, says the paper, published in Nature on Wednesday. Almost all of the increase has occurred in the past two decades -- a jolt upwards after several centuries of relative stability. This suggests the ice sheet becomes more sensitive as temperatures go up.

The researchers used ice core data from three locations to build the first multi-century record of temperature, surface melt and run-off in Greenland. Going back 339 years, they found the first sign of meltwater increase began along with the industrial revolution in the mid-1800s. The trend remained within the natural variation until the 1990s, since when it has spiked far outside of the usual nine- to 13-year cycles.

144 of 282 comments (clear)

  1. Good by nagora · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Washington D.C. is very near sea-level, isn't it?

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
    1. Re:Good by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Washington D.C. is very near sea-level, isn't it?

      DC is low enough to be affected by tides in the Potomac estuary. The lowest area is in the southeast near the confluence of the Potomac and Anacostia rivers. If you have ever been to the 'hood in that area, and survived without being shot, you would know that if it was flooded, nothing of value would be lost.

    2. Re:Good by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      ...for the fish, enjoy more water!

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      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    3. Re:Good by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      ...for the fish, enjoy more water!

      That is incompatible with them due to temperature or chemical composition being off from what they evolved to survive in. Eventually they'll evolve again but fish levels will probably fall (or at least diversity will fall- there will likely be some species for whom the change is beneficial).

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    4. Re:Good by hey! · · Score: 1

      At the tidal basin, yes; Washington DC was built on a swamp. However it does have some topography, and the 2m sea level rise predicted under the (relatively pessimistic) RCP8.5 scenario would leave nearly all the city well above sea level. The tidal basin would stretch north onto the Mall, returning the reclaimed land around the Washington Monument back its natural state as a peninsula.

      You'd need ten meters of rise for the Capitol Building to be flooded; 20m to drown the White House and Executive Office Building. But even at 25m of sea level rise the lobbyist firms on K street would remain high and dry.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re: Good by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      Will people please stop fantasizing about cities like NY, DC, and SF flooding? It won't be allowed to happen, regardless of what might happen elsewhere. All of those cities have relatively narrow paths to the open ocean that can, and certainly will, be blocked with dams to hold back rising sea levels.

      And most of Florida's urban coastline will be fortified & raised with new crushed limestone and/or concrete as hurricanes progressively destroy it storm by storm, until Miami (and much of the rest of Florida) literally IS a "concrete jungle" (on a manmade hill).

      Will sea-level rise devastate natural ecosystems? Of course. Will it destroy cities? No. Or at least, not permanently... new stuff fortified against climate change will replace whatever gets destroyed, and big cities will remain largely where they are... just taller, on raised terrain, with a hell of a lot more concrete.

    6. Re:Good by aquacrayfish · · Score: 1

      But... but... aren't we supposed to *drain* the swamp?

  2. I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Once upon I time, I thought it was a legitimate concern. But they've Chicken Littled it way beyond anything I have patience for at this point. Every week or two, we get another 'report' speeding up the timeline to armageddon by 25-50% or adding another foot or two to predicted sea level rise. I can only take so much before I have no choice but to write this whole thing off as fear mongering. To what end, I don't know, but it's clearly obvious at this point that it is - nothing is this dire. Nothing.

    Look, I don't want to hand our offspring a big shitburger after we're gone. I don't want them to hate us and look back on us with disgust. But there's no way things are as bad as they say. I would have given money, changed my lifestyle, my purchasing habits, whatever was required - and I did, for a time. But after years of constant escalation of rhetoric, I am done. I'm not going to waste any more of my time or effort on this. Things will be fine, we'll adapt, some people will have to move, some species will die out. But life will go on. At this point we've turned it into a bigger issue than climate change ever was. Adios.

    1. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I agree.

      Too much scare-mongering, not enough actual effect to be bothered about.

      Even the polar bears don't care anymore.

    2. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is an extremely confused response. This essentially says that the more scientists are concerned about a problem the less you are concerned. If you keep seeing a lot of different articles and ways something might be a problem, and one isn't personally a subject matter expert, deciding to then dismiss all of it is the opposite of good logic. That said, it is true that by nature of media coverage the less concerning predictions about climate change get less attention in the general media, so you might not see them as much, but that doesn't change the fact that the broad consensus is pretty severe. Studies like this are trying to figure out just how severe that is, and even the mild predictions are pretty serious. Honestly, your response comes across a little as someone who has decided that you aren't going to bother making any even small changes in your lifestyle and then found a justification for it.

    3. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by gtall · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Thank you for that well-reasoned screed on how we don't need to do anything about the problem we've created for ourselves and future generations. We should have a monument erected to chisel your words in granite: To future generations: piss off, we don't care about you.

    4. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by religionofpeas · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So how would you recommend that new knowledge is shared with the public so that you would actually believe it ?

    5. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I don't want them to hate us and look back on us with disgust.

      For what it's worth, the evidence is that EVERY generation looks back on the ones that have gone before with some degree of disgust....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Things will be fine, we'll adapt, some people will have to move, some species will die out. But life will go on. At this point we've turned it into a bigger issue than climate change ever was."

      Congratz on showing how much of an idiotic dick you are.

      A LOT of species -are- dying out, not "some". Entire COUNTRIES will have to move, not "some people", and there's no way to know how much longer life will go on, or even if it really will.

      Scientists are realizing more and more ways in which shit is hitting the fan that they simply never realized before. Things originally predicted have already started happening. It's no longer a theory of what might happen.

      The truth is that you don't care about future generations or how they live or how they remember you - you're going to be dead by the time this shit hits critical levels so what do you care? We get it, but that's not helping anything or anyone especially since we all know there's a large group of people that like to pretend it's not their fault just like you.

    7. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Informative

      Look, I don't want to hand our offspring a big shitburger after we're gone. I don't want them to hate us and look back on us with disgust. But there's no way things are as bad as they say.

      [citation needed]

      I would have given money, changed my lifestyle, my purchasing habits, whatever was required - and I did, for a time.

      That's not how it works. What's needed is for you to vote for people who will do something about it, and convince others to do so as well. Nothing you can do on a personal level means jack diddly shit.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    8. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thank you for that well-reasoned screed on how we don't need to do anything about the problem we've created for ourselves and future generations. We should have a monument erected to chisel your words in granite: To future generations: piss off, we don't care about you.

      That's not what they said. They said, that rampant fear mongering simply makes them not give a fuck because the same thing has been pushed over and over and over and over again to the point for the last 40-60 years that if it had happened like they said, the world would be: On fire, drowned, and everything would be both dead and alive, while starving from a lack of oxygen and burning alive because there's no ozone layer, while there would be no more snowfalls, and massive snowfalls all at the same time and in the same country. If you're unable to see just how many decades and the level of alarmist crap has been going on, you haven't been paying attention.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    9. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Once upon I time, I thought it was a legitimate concern. But they've Chicken Littled it way beyond anything I have patience for at this point.

      You should improve your critical thinking skills. Whether it is a "legitimate concern" or not, is completely unrelated to whether "they" are Chicken Littling it.

    10. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I would have given money, changed my lifestyle, my purchasing habits, whatever was required - and I did, for a time.

      That's not how it works. What's needed is for you to vote for people who will do something about it, and convince others to do so as well. Nothing you can do on a personal level means jack diddly shit.

      And there it is in a nutshell. "Climate change" is only cared about as a tool for obtaining more political power.

    11. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by dasunt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Once upon I time, I thought it was a legitimate concern. But they've Chicken Littled it way beyond anything I have patience for at this point. Every week or two, we get another 'report' speeding up the timeline to armageddon by 25-50% or adding another foot or two to predicted sea level rise. I can only take so much before I have no choice but to write this whole thing off as fear mongering. To what end, I don't know, but it's clearly obvious at this point that it is - nothing is this dire. Nothing.

      Scientists have been making warnings, and of course the news reports the most extreme scenarios, distorting the picture.

      But oceans are 30% more acidic than pre-Industrial levels, the area covered by arctic sea ice is trending downwards, and sea levels have a measurable rise.

      It won't be the end of humanity, but it is already developing into an expensive problem to fix, as well a politically destabilizing problem as global climate change creates new winners and losers.

    12. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by s122604 · · Score: 1

      Insightful my anus

      This is just a longwinded form of "It snowed in Atlanta, global warming LOL"..

    13. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by MrMr · · Score: 2

      The scientists doing this research are quite serious, and are actually trying to get rid of the speculation. Sea level is a thing around here and has to be managed, no matter what the causes are of variations. One interesting line from the abstract is for instance: "We find that the initiation of increases in GrIS melting closely follow the onset of industrial-era Arctic warming in the mid-1800s, but that the magnitude of GrIS melting has only recently emerged beyond the range of natural variability". Probably not something that a Guardian journalist would pick up.
      I also noticed that, although I paid for this research, Nature wants to charge me for seeing its results.

    14. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And there it is in a nutshell. "Climate change" is only cared about as a tool for obtaining more political power.

      You only use Slashdot as a means of demonstrating your lack of reading comprehension, and basic logic skills.

      Climate change is a reason to obtain more political power, because that's necessary to prevent those who claim not to believe in it (like Trump, who's building a seawall specifically to protect his golf course from climate change-related sea level rise) from continuing to obliterate the biosphere upon which we all depend for survival.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    15. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Gilgaron · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The worse it gets the more fields of research start seeing trends. For example, in microbiology/epidemiology we're seeing that climate change has changed where various disease vectors can live. The entomologists are noting vastly decreased biomass of insects, and so on. So, as things continue to get worse, you will see more impacts from a greater variety of scientists discussed, with increasingly dire predictions of a worse case scenario. So it goes from "it is getting warmer" from the climatologists, to "the ocean is acidifying" from the marine biologists, "diseases are spreading" from the microbiologists. In between, any armchair guy can correlate these things and decide that the earth will snowball into Venus. He may be wrong about the scale, but something less like desertification of the equatorial regions wouldn't exactly be a good thing. Also, if you're familiar with chemical titration, you'll be aware that systems can buffer changes to a degree, and then further inputs will affect change in the system linearly instead. As various buffer systems get overwhelmed, the pace of change will increase.

    16. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Gilgaron · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Any concern requiring a coordinated response is used to obtain political power, otherwise joint action will be confused. See also: the military, agricultural subsidies, transportation infrastructure. What remains to be seen is if we can affect action with less than a WWII style national mobilization, which would be preferable to avoid, or if we'll just continue to ignore the problem until even such an action would be ineffectual, build some protein farms, and live out Bladerunner 2049.

    17. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by penandpaper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      TBH, I am over it. Future generations will be fine. Just like generations that came after the Black Death, the Fall of Rome, and the Late Bronze Age collapse. If future generations do hold a grudge it will be because they have inherited the bad habit of judging the past with modern morals, ethics and understanding.

    18. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Tyler+Durden · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And there it is in a nutshell. "Climate change" is only cared about as a tool for obtaining more political power.

      No. Climate change is a serious problem that is extremely difficult, if not impossible, to fix without giving political power to people who are concerned about it. Nice try casting a rational response into something sinister though.

      --
      Happy people make bad consumers.
    19. Re: I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by jd · · Score: 1

      It will be worse than they say, you are indeed handing such a world to your children, and if you cared you'd have researched whst scientists said rather than listen to talking heads.

      But you didn't.

      And that's all I need to know.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    20. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      even if you do not care about polar bears or coral reefs.

      Personally, I think we should genetically modify Polar Bears so that they can survive on coral reefs.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    21. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      I agree that Chicken Littlism is a bad strategy if you want to convince stupid people who are unable to distinguish between shrill alarmism and serious research. Nevertheless, that doesn't mean that YOU should be stupid.

      A hypothesis should be judged on its merits and the evidence, not on the behavior or character of its advocates.

      argumentum ad hominem

    22. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      I don't want them to hate us and look back on us with disgust.

      For what it's worth, the evidence is that EVERY generation looks back on the ones that have gone before with some degree of disgust....

      It's true in both directions. The older generation always thinks the younger generation is destroying society. There are lots of writers from classical Greece and Rome who have made comments about how the next generation will ruin civilization. One generation complaining about another has been a static theme in human history.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    23. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Indeed. One of the biggest impacts we can see is damage from precipitation changes. Areas once fertile are now not getting enough rain- areas that once got less rain are now getting more- which is bad for cities which don't have proper storm drainage and leads to more flooding events. It's quite possible that climate change already costs the world many billions of dollars a year and we just can't measure the full scale of it accurately yet.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    24. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      This is an extremely confused response. This essentially says that the more scientists are concerned about a problem the less you are concerned. If you keep seeing a lot of different articles and ways something might be a problem, and one isn't personally a subject matter expert, deciding to then dismiss all of it is the opposite of good logic. That said, it is true that by nature of media coverage the less concerning predictions about climate change get less attention in the general media, so you might not see them as much, but that doesn't change the fact that the broad consensus is pretty severe. Studies like this are trying to figure out just how severe that is, and even the mild predictions are pretty serious. Honestly, your response comes across a little as someone who has decided that you aren't going to bother making any even small changes in your lifestyle and then found a justification for it.

      I largely share the parent's conclusions, and am pretty convinced it's the most rational response too.

      If we walk back to Gore's noble prize for an inconvenient truth and the IPCC's work, at that time those calling for action and change all cited the scientific consensus, that the science was settled. Anyone with a dissenting opinion on the impacts or the best course of action was called a denier.

      The thing is, the crowd trying to push an agenda of carbon taxes, industry cutbacks, etc has repeatedly dragged out scientific studies like the above out to declare that we must act now because, oh no, it's even worse than we feared.

      The rational crowd though is starting to question how come the scientific consensus that was so settled, is now being overturned on a seemingly annual basis, and maybe those pushing for change and dragging this reports into the spotlight are just playing chicken little to get their agenda through.

      An easy example, the most recent IPCC 5AR(2013, so 7 extra years of research since Gore's Nobel prize), says the following on sea level rise to 2100:
      For the period 2081–2100, compared to 1986–2005, global mean sea level rise is likely (medium confidence) to be in the 5 to 95% range of projections from process-based models, which give 0.26 to 0.55 m for RCP2.6, 0.32 to 0.63 m for RCP4.5, 0.33 to 0.63 m for RCP6.0, and 0.45 to 0.82 m for RCP8.5. For RCP8.5, the rise by 2100 is 0.52 to 0.98 m with a rate during 2081–2100 of 8 to 16 mm yr–1.
      We have considered the evidence for higher projections and have concluded that there is currently insufficient evidence to evaluate the probability of specific levels above the assessed likely range. Based on current understanding, only
      the collapse of marine-based sectors of the Antarctic ice sheet, if initiated, could cause global mean sea level to rise substantially above the likely range during the 21st century. This potential additional contribution cannot be precisely quantified but there is medium confidence that it would not exceed several tenths of a meter of sea level rise during the 21st century.

      Scenario 8.5 is to show the worst case, if emissions are still accelerating in 2100, and has it's range of 0.52m to .98m sea level rise by 2100. That's what the "settled" science says, but then along comes a headline claiming things are happening much faster, even "increasing exponentially as a result of manmade global warming".

      The good news for the scientific crowd though, is if you read closer, the Nature article linked does acknowledge the IPCC work and makes far more modest claims, merely that this may alter future IPCC corrections. This is in contract to the chicken littles writing the headlines.

      Ignoring all of the oh-no it's even worse and now it's even more important to act crowd is a good idea, they are generally trying to use deception to manipulate people.

    25. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      First of all, the US is one of the countries which is doing the least to help out with climate change. Note in contrast for example, that Sweden is reaching its 2030 goals for renewable energy by the end of the this year https://www.thelocal.se/20180716/sweden-to-reach-2030-renewable-energy-goal-in-2018. Moreover, the US per a capita CO2 production is over twice that of the EU and about three times the world average https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions. We're doing less than other countries, and have more that we can easily do. But many of the things that one can do, like eating less meat, getting a hybrid or electric car, getting home solar panels, will not just be good for the environment, but will save you money.

    26. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      So how would you recommend that new knowledge is shared with the public so that you would actually believe it ?

      I think folks like the parent are asking to be engaged honestly, rather than trying to be tricked and frightened into doing what they are 'supposed' to do.

      He's just pointing out a very real problem that the alarmist crowd is creating.

      Go back to the first IPCC report and Al Gore's movie and shared Nobel prize. Assume the parent poster paid attention, looked at the evidence and agreed it looks sound and made a decision to make certain changes and support some actions to improve things. Now, during all the backlash, parent was onside with the movement to improve things, and had seen the scientific consensus from the IPCC and could agree to summarizing things as 'settled'. Thus, calling out the opponents and hold outs as denying the science seemed rational.

      Fast forward a year or two though, and multiple head lines have come out from the alarmists that oh no, these couple scientists had demonstrated it's much worse than we though, we must act even more. Maybe parent even accepted this, science does refine itself, so ok.

      A few years later, and even more reports stating things are going to be even worse than last years worse pile onto each other. There comes a point when the parent says stop, somebody somewhere in all this is either lying about just how settled the original science actually was, or just how much worse these new studies actually are showing things to be, and maybe all those folks being called deniers were being called wrong for political and not scientific reasons.

    27. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      I would have given money, changed my lifestyle, my purchasing habits, whatever was required - and I did, for a time.

      That's not how it works. What's needed is for you to vote for people who will do something about it, and convince others to do so as well. Nothing you can do on a personal level means jack diddly shit.

      And there it is in a nutshell. "Climate change" is only cared about as a tool for obtaining more political power.

      j/k(because some kind of sarcasm tag is mandatory.)

      Exactly what you'd expect a shill for Big Oil to say. There's no money to be made in saving the planet, only the Big Oil agenda has a financial incentive to deceive and manipulate people. Control of carbon taxes and cap-and-trade markets surely don't provide an incentive of control. You'd have to be some political big dog already to profit that way, but you don't see any big wig folks like former presidential candidates with skin in the game like that.

    28. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      While we are at it, we should make them nicer too. Murdering baby seals... Such jerks!

    29. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by penandpaper · · Score: 2

      the next generation will ruin civilization ... One generation complaining about another has been a static theme in human history.

      Considering nearly all civilizations have collapsed into ruin, a few generations were correct about the younger ones ruining everything!

    30. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by JoshuaZ · · Score: 2

      I don't care about Europe and what they are doing.

      That's a strange claim to make given that you just said in your previous comment that "If everyone in the US became Luddites and lived to pre-industrial standards, it still woudln't matter because other countries will not be as determined." My point about Europe was in response to you claiming that you apparently care precisely about what other countries are doing.

      I care about my standard of living and what I can do. Per capita doesn't mean shit to my life and I don't want my standard of living lowered. I probably have a lower average carbon consumption so why should I concern myself about per capita when, again, it doesn't matter what the US does if other countries don't care.

      You appear to engaging in some degree of inconsistency, where you in one sentence say that you don't care about what other countries are doing and then argue that it doesn't matter what the US is doing if other countries aren't doing anything, when my entire point was that other countries are doing all sorts of things. And yes, per a capita does matter: it is a sign that very small changes in lifestyle can have a large impact. I don't know why you think you have a lower average carbon consumption (I presume you mean output not consumption there)- compared to whom? Certainly not the Europeans or most other people on this planet.

      I enjoy eating meat and I will eat it when I want. I don't have money for a new car or solar panels. Do you have any suggestion that doesn't cost money or seem like Lent?

      So in other words, you don't want to do something which will save money for you, even if you don't have much money right now, and you are willing to keep doing things which you know cause damage to everyone in the long-term, including yourself, so you can occasionally have tasty food. Do you not see a problem with that? In any event, I'm not even trying to suggest you don't eat meat, but eating less meat is a major way one can help out.

      You don't know what I have done or how I live my life but expect more money and more action. Fuck off. Because right now, it seems like you are preaching a religion. "Give up the loins of your decadence and forfeit the pleasures of life before God. Fasten your belts and shiver in winter for warmth and eat not the swine or drink the milk of Bos taurus. Carbon Tax will save thy children in the last days before the coming apocalypse. You will be blessed tenfold the tithing you pay toward Gods son the Green Savior. We are all carbon using sinners and must suffer to redeem our souls. In the name of God, his Green Son, and the Holy Carbon Tax. Amen."

      It is true that I don't personally know what you've done with your life. However, it is pretty clear from this conversation that you are unwilling to do any of the major steps that would actually be helpful. I'm not sure also why you have so much anger over this that you feel a need to tell someone who is commenting on what one can practically do to "fuck off." You appear to be also making some very bad pattern matching here. Yes, many religions engaged in self-denial and similar activity. That doesn't mean that reducing one's use of a specific resource can't make sense, and it doesn't mean that deliberately reducing consumption of some types of goods must somehow be a religion. The actual science and facts are that this can help. Simply ignoring the massive CO2 output created by meat consumption and regular cars and the like and labeling it a "religion" isn't a substantial or productive argument.

      Note, I don't deny AGW or think the science is wrong or w/e. I don't like the Fear mongering, harping hippy hypocrites, and the solutions those people bring.

      I don't know who the harping hippy hypocrites are in this context (if you mean the sort of people who claim to care about AGW but then try to block nuclear power plants, yeah, such

    31. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      I agree that Chicken Littlism is a bad strategy if you want to convince stupid people who are unable to distinguish between shrill alarmism and serious research. Nevertheless, that doesn't mean that YOU should be stupid.

      Yeah, calling people stupid doesn't seem to be working all that well either. Lost you a presidential election recently, I noticed.

      But it gives you a little thrill, so I guess that's some sort of payoff.

    32. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      Exactly what you'd expect a shill for Big Oil to say.

      Shouldn't I be getting a check if I'm a shill?

      Where's my check?? Dang, we evil minions need a union or something.

    33. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      ... is a serious problem that is extremely difficult, if not impossible, to fix without giving political power to people who are concerned about it. Nice try casting a rational response into something sinister though.

      Where have I heard that one before. We can only fix the problem by giving them more power...

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    34. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      So what are the positive effects of a 2C rise going to be? There have to be some, why aren't they ever discussed for context?

    35. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      If the US and EU did everything that would not solve the problem.

      That's true, but that's not a reason that you should make no effort or that the US and EU should make zero effort. Moreover, other countries are changing what they are doing. For example, solar power is being installed in India at a rapid rate, by many metrics more rapidly than it is in the US https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/energy/power/government-working-to-double-generation-target-from-solar-parks/articleshow/53268569.cms.

      There is an entire world and many billions wanting a better life. I do not want to deny them a better standard of living and will not expect them to forfeit it because of climate guilt.

      This isn't about "climate guilt"- in fact,many of the developing countries will suffer the most under climate projections. Heat waves in developing countries which are already in warm climates have far more of an impact on daily living and food production than they will in temperate climates in developed countries. But I agree that denying those people a better life is a bad idea: hence, reduce one's CO2 output so one doesn't harm them. And if one does want to make sure they do well, then donate to the Solar Electric Light Fund which gets solar panels in developing nations http://www.self.org/. If we do things right, then the developing grids will come online with minimal use of fossil fuels and so will get a high standard of living without any issues. But it is the height of hypocrisy to claim that because you don't want to deny them a high standard of living therefore you should eat a lot of meat and use CO2 now.

      I should do something I can't afford because in 10 years I can make the money back and piety? I don't have money for these expensive things you ask for. Please, tell me how I am supposed to do these things I cannot afford.

      I'm not asking you to do anything involving "piety" and I'm not telling you to do anything you cannot afford. If you cannot afford to buy solar panels then don't do it. But there's a serious problem in your line of logic when you say you won't buy solar panels or do anything else because you cannot afford it, but when pointed out that meat consumption is expensive and also damaging refuse to even consider reducing meat consumption. If one cannot afford to take those active steps, then that's all the more reason you should take the steps which actually would save you money in the short term; that's especially the case because the lower your income bracket the higher proportion of your income ends up going to food.

      Again, you don't know what I have done or how I have lived my life but expect more money and more changes to my life because Europeans think their shit doesn't stink and per capita. No.

      I don't know what you've done with your life. I do know that by your own description you are utterly unwilling to do any of the most basic steps to help out, even ones which will save you money, right now, literally today with no investment on your part. And yes, the European attitudes can be pretty annoying; although many European countries have done a lot of good, many have not. Moreover, some have been actively counterproductive, like Germany turning off its nuclear power as a supposed "green" move, but that doesn't change the basic parameters. And yes, per a capita matters because it reflects systemic and large-scale indications of what one can do. As for not knowing what you personally have done, you could of course state explicitly what you've done, but you haven't in this thread, and my tentative guess is that you haven't because you've done jack. I for example don't own a car (which also saves money) and rarely eat meat. I'm skipping referencing your next

    36. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      There is no one credible with a dissenting opinion for all practical purposes. The number of dissenting scientists with any relevant expertise is on par with the number of creationist paleontologists. We have the documentary evidence that the entire AGW denier movement was started by and funded by oil companies which knew about AGW in the 1970's. You are a fool.

      Poor effort, you clearly didn't read a word I wrote.

      You realize that when a group like the IPCC says they have High Confidence that changes due to climate change will be in range x,y,z that dissenting opinions are not only those with less severe predictions, but equally those like that linked here citing more severe changes?

    37. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      Mostly because it'll be very bad for human civilization. It'll be good for jellyfish, insects that survive the current collapse will be less constrained on size with the higher O2. The rest of the wild megafauna (down to 7% or so of total mammalian biomass vs humans + livestock) that have survived the anthropocene so far will probably go extinct, which will be sort of good for trees, because not all of them are going to survive with their ranges being much less contiguous than they were during historical temperature shifts (which also were slower paced). Basically anything small, short lived, and that reproduces in large numbers will be what has a good time of it. Anything that requires more stability in its ecosystem (rule of thumb: larger than a dog) will fare poorly, especially specialist species. It's like asking about the positive effects of your town burning down... the soil carbon content has increased, I guess?

    38. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      when pointed out that meat consumption is expensive and also damaging refuse to even consider reducing meat consumption. ... I do know that by your own description you are utterly unwilling to do any of the most basic steps to help out, even ones which will save you money, right now, literally today with no investment on your part.

      I didn't refuse to consider anything. You assumed and continue to assume what I have done or willing to do. Why don't you ask me directly if you are not sure. Yes, I already knew about it and do it! I go months without eating meat sometimes. I do enjoy eating meat and will do so when I want. Sometimes, I want a bloody red steak or chew on rib bones. Sue me. You are parroting talking points under false assumptions because I do not share the same piety. You are acting like a religious zealot proselytizing to an unbeliever.

      I don't know what you've done with your life. I do know that by your own description

      You know your interpretation of my description which is fundamentally wrong. My own description: " Even large changes to my lifestyle will not matter. I care about my standard of living and what I can do. I enjoy eating meat and I will eat it when I want. I don't have money for a new car or solar panels."

      Does that mean I am unwilling to do things if it doesn't affect my living standard?
      The things I can do, can it influence per capita? If not why should I care per capita?
      Do you have any suggestion that doesn't cost money or seem like Lent?

    39. Re: I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      For a moment there I thought you were the sort of person who sought out data and evidence in order to be informed.

      But with "seemingly overturned on an annual basis" you revealed your true colors and blew it.

      Stop wasting time nit-picking and start playing your part in fixing this very real problem.

      Spend a little more time reading what I said rather than trying to identify what team I appear to be on...

      The GP was pointing out disillusionment from the continual headlines stating new discoveries showing AGW is going to be much worse than previously thought. Those discoveries, like the linked article here, are what I am referencing as 'seemingly' over-turning the previously 'settled scientific consensus'. The rest of my post referencing the IPCC and the linked article being mis-characterized for a sensational headline make that clear.

      The point being made/defended was simple. If alarmists(not scientists) want to decry opponents of their political solutions as deniers of 'settled science', they can only sensationalize so many headlines like 'OH NO, it's going to be even worse than anticipated" before they are the ones that have repeatedly insisted that their 'settled' science was entirely out to lunch.

      Again, my original post finished by observing that the actual journal article in this case does make reference to the IPCC, does NOT claim to have overturned the IPCC predictions, and merely notes that their additional evidence will be compiled into the overall collective analysis the IPCC uses for it's next report. That is to say, the sensational headlines from the journalists are the BS, are the scientists meanwhile are not the ones declaring everyone panic, the previous IPCC finding have been overturned...

    40. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      At this point we've turned it into a bigger issue than climate change ever was.

      It is climate change, genius.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    41. Re: I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by mapkinase · · Score: 1

      There is general consensus about existence of warming but the more you go down to details the more variation in model results you will see. That's what AC was saying.

      This is very expected situation for anyone familiar with modeling of complex systems.

      And nobody knows what will happen in 2100. Spit on the face of anyone who claims that. Predictions of local weather to the next day sometimes a cause of great hilarity in my family, so when one claims what is going to happen in 2100, it's not even funny.

      --
      I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
    42. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Phillip2 · · Score: 1

      "You're either misinformed or lying."

      These are certainly two possibilities. Slashdot is never a particularly good place to present in depth evidence, of course. The increase in extreme weather and changes in the climate are now happening to such an extent that they fall into my and many other peoples personal experience. A small thing, I think, besides the weight of collected evidence, but one that is important to me.

      We will and are loosing many things of value.

    43. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by Phillip2 · · Score: 1

      "I don't see anybody deciding not to buy that beach house because the sea level might eventually rise a little."

      Maybe not. But, in my country, many people are deciding not to buy houses because of flash water flooding risks, often in areas considered previously safe. That's changed a lot over the last 20 years.

    44. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Counter point: For 30 - 40 years, people haven't taken it seriously.

      In 2008, during the Republican presidential debate in Des Moines, the moderator asked the candidates to raise their hands if they believed global warming was a "serious threat". Only Fred Thompson failed to raise his hand, and even he refused to say he didn't think it was a threat, only that he felt it was a complex issue that shouldn't be reduced to a hand going up or down.

      Global warming denialism is now a right-wing litmus test, but it wasn't always that way.

    45. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      This is an extremely confused response. This essentially says that the more scientists are concerned about a problem the less you are concerned.

      It's the contrarian mentality. Thing is if a bunch of smart, well educated experts say something then you're not smart for going along with what they say. It's basically a default, sensible, neutral position. the only way to show you're smart is to disagree because presumably you know something all those "experts" don't... or something.

      And it's linear. If you disagree with twice as many experts then you're *twice* as smart.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    46. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Where have I heard that one before. We can only fix the problem by giving them more power...

      We have to take over the government. Hopefully we can do it the way we're supposed to be able to do it, by voting. But ha ha ha

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    47. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      I'm deeply sorry that you are unable or unwilling to do anything that will other people if it takes either you spending resources or having fewer tasty foods on occasion. No, I don't have any suggestions for people who apparently fundamentally lack a basic sense of altruism.

    48. Re:I've stopped paying any attention to this shit by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      Religion on brother. The Church of Holy Green needs more people like you.

  3. Worse impacts? by gazelam · · Score: 2

    With that much fresh water entering the north Atlantic, it could well shift the North Atlantic current and that could more drastically affect the climate of Europe and create some dramatic cooling there. That might, in the long run, be worse for Europe than the rising sea levels.

  4. Re:Crime against humanity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    When I see all the AGW/ACC luminaries and apologists flying their private jets to exotic locations and -- staying in lavish hotels while there -- it gets a bit hard to take them lecturing me on how I need to give up my car and air conditioning.
    When they start acting like it's a crisis, I'll believe its a crisis.

  5. Right after the next ice age... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Sea levels will rise, right after the next ice age, that was predicted in the 1970s. These climate predictions must be chronological, right?

    1. Re:Right after the next ice age... by Phillip2 · · Score: 2

      CO2 in the atmosphere has gone up and down over the years with a natural cycle; we should be at a peak now. Looking at the climate on the scales of 10,000's of years, you would predict that it would be getting colder and this is, indeed, what was predicted back in the 70's. However, instead of peaking, CO2 has gone up and up. Hence the predictions have changed. The change caused by human production of CO2 has massively outweighed any natural cycle.

      Predictions change as either knowledge or the world changes. Since the 70s, both of these have happened.

    2. Re:Right after the next ice age... by Freischutz · · Score: 2

      CO2 in the atmosphere has gone up and down over the years with a natural cycle; we should be at a peak now. Looking at the climate on the scales of 10,000's of years, you would predict that it would be getting colder and this is, indeed, what was predicted back in the 70's. However, instead of peaking, CO2 has gone up and up. Hence the predictions have changed. The change caused by human production of CO2 has massively outweighed any natural cycle.

      Predictions change as either knowledge or the world changes. Since the 70s, both of these have happened.

      CO2 levels over the last 10.000 years according to ice core data: https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-qtL...

    3. Re:Right after the next ice age... by Phillip2 · · Score: 1

      "CO2 levels over the last 10.000 years according to ice core data"

      Yes. Go back a bit further (half a million or so) and you will see cyclicity.

  6. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Fucking hell, slashdot, must every other article be about global warming or trump or full communism now???

    FUCK OFF

    Um, sorry. As a person of a younger generation that will need to deal with the accumulation from this shit storm, NO. So sorry that you need to be bothered with news stories about the mess that you have helped create. Yup, it was far easier when we pretended we could talk about effects to far off future generations. It was incredibly wrong AND some of these "far off future generations" are now old enough to be able to understand that we are getting screwed over.

  7. rabbit hole time by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    Stop it Greenland!

  8. Re:Crime against humanity by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What I'd like is to -- someday -- see all these deniers, excuse seekers, carbon lobbyists, oil burners before a court, accused of crimes against humanity.

    And then, the likes of Trump, the Kochs, most of the political class, Bannon, all that ugly bunch doing services in those places in the world where damage is highest (I'm not for jails, mind you).

    Instead of a miniscule bad effect, why don't you work against serious degradations to the human condition, like dictatorships all over, who leave their citizens magnitudes worse off than the worst effects of global warming?

    For that matter, lets see politicians who send out political favors for kickbacks, grinding industry to a halt worldwide in favor of their connected friends, be tried, if you're worried about bad effects on humanity.

    It's fun to disasterbate because it makes us feel special and open to secret knowledge! What's that word? Tuned in? No, that's the 1960s. His eyes open; his sails unfurl? No, that's the 24th century.

    Woke! That's the current term. You're woke!

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  9. Tell the truth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Tell the truth, at least occasionally.
    I've been told the Himalayan glaciers will be gone by 2032, it was a misprint from an alarmist advertisement with no scientific backing, but was reprinted EVERYWHERE about 10 years ago.
    It will never snow in DC again, then DC is crippled by snow that year.
    It will never snow in UK again, then the UK is crippled by snow.
    Its the warmest year in the US by FAR, until you include Alaska that year then it was one of the coldest ever.
    Sea temps are going up faster than expected, first person who double checks it finds they lied (Just 2 weeks ago)
    Polar bears going extinct, Canada is now having issues with Polar Bear overpopulation in areas.

    It just never stops with the EASILY provable lies they tell. You can go ahead and say those are journalists, but none of you AWGers are calling out the lies and it made you lose credibility. You knew they were lies, and called people names for pointing it out, because the lies supported your agenda, not realizing it wrecked credibility. You've lost most people because of that.

    1. Re:Tell the truth by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It will never snow in DC again, then DC is crippled by snow that year.
      It will never snow in UK again, then the UK is crippled by snow.

      Whoever told you either of those two things is an idiot and no one in the mainstream scientific community believes that it will never snow again in those locations. What they probably said (or what the scientists said before twisted by someone somewhere) was, snow will be more rare- but also more extreme when it does occur in those locations.

      Its the warmest year in the US by FAR, until you include Alaska that year then it was one of the coldest ever.

      Yeah, and this coincides with the earlier point. As the global temperature rises, the cold polar air isn't staying put over the poles anymore- it drifts down one spot- that makes one part of the globe to get unseasonably cold and another part unseasonably warm. So yes- winter now is seeing both an increase in extreme heat AND extreme cold. It's also possible to have a highest global temperature on record whilst the US has a particularly cold season. Global climate change refers to the globe- not local weather conditions. Don't confuse local weather with global change.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Tell the truth by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      That came out of the mainstream scientific community, and was promoted by the various government meteorological offices and so forth. In the case of the UK, the MET openly stated that kids wouldn't know what snowfall was by I think it was 2015 or something.

      It's much more likely that a journalist twisted the words of a scientific study to be more "newsworthy" than for any scientist to say that. Most of the sensationalist science stories are exaggerated from less sensational science studies to make them more shock-value.

      Polar air hasn't ever stayed at the poles.

      No, it hasn't, but hasn't historically moved so far from the poles with regularity as it does now. It's almost a guarantee that somewhere far from the poles will have an astoundingly cold winter and somewhere else will have an astoundingly warm winter now. What used to be a rare occurrence is now happening every year and it's travelling further than what used to be the norm.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    3. Re:Tell the truth by shess · · Score: 1

      It will never snow in DC again, then DC is crippled by snow that year.
      It will never snow in UK again, then the UK is crippled by snow.

      Whoever told you either of those two things is an idiot and no one in the mainstream scientific community believes that it will never snow again in those locations.

      Then the mainstream scientific community needs to get out there and counter the lies. When they allow the statements to be made, and their own research twisted and do not counter it - then they are just as complicit in the lie.

      What should we do, Chinese-style censorship? Mass executions?

      I mean, I have never heard the statements like "It will never snow in DC again" except from people arguing against climate change saying that statements like that are excessive. Just like I've never heard my liberal friends declare that we should fight hard against Christmas, but I have relatives and friends who every year fill my Facebook feed with posts about the Liberal War On Christmas.

      The fact of the matter is that once someone is resorting to strawman arguments, there's not a lot that the other side can do to dissuade them. Once someone prefers lies to truth, adding more truth really doesn't do much.

      [I realize that I'm engaging with an Anonymous Coward who may be a troll plant in the first place. Not sure what one can do about that, either.]

    4. Re:Tell the truth by shess · · Score: 1

      Whoever told you either of those two things is an idiot and no one in the mainstream scientific community believes that it will never snow again in those locations. What they probably said (or what the scientists said before twisted by someone somewhere) was, snow will be more rare- but also more extreme when it does occur in those locations.

      That came out of the mainstream scientific community, and was promoted by the various government meteorological offices and so forth. In the case of the UK, the MET openly stated that kids wouldn't know what snowfall was by I think it was 2015 or something. It was the same with DC.

      Wow, in that case it should be SUPER EASY TO FIND, because they just came right out in the open and said it, right? And it was the government, too, not like you can walk that back.

      I can find things like this:
            http://www.bbc.com/earth/story...
      which is obviously later than your "2015 or something" statement. I could see someone reading this and thinking "There won't be snow in DC", but that would be a conclusion _they_ had based on reading this. I don't think the article in any way says that, though. Statements like "may drop by as much as 65%, on average" - they're trying hard to just present what their model is telling them without making really concrete predictions, because their model is talking about the next 100 years or something, not the coming winter, and that normal human beings have troubles operating that way.

  10. Re:Crime against humanity by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

    Off the top of my head: Al Gore & Leo DiCaprio

    Other "Lear Jet Liberals": Madonna, Brad & Angelina, John Travolta (owns five jets), Barbra Streisand.

  11. Re: Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "The earth changes"

    *People changes the earth*, corrected it for you.

  12. Re: Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by jd · · Score: 2

    Ok, so you think there's no difference between a delta of x and a double diffetential of e^x.

    Your maths teacher should be fired if you're that grotesquely incompetent when it comes to rates of change.

    But you're not that stupid. Nobody is. So stop acting as if you were.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  13. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by sdinfoserv · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "As a young person", you're more part of the problem then us older folk - in the US anyway. If you would actually get out and vote, get people in office who would do something, then we could change it. Sitting back, blaming previous generations is rather pointless when you refuse to exercise your rights and the tools within the system itself, is really the root cause in the US, namely elected owned assholes.

  14. Re: Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by jd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have also been on the Earth a long time. Making measurements.

    Ice is there, yes. A few hundred miles less ice on the glaciers. I assume that you can tell the difference between an ice cube and an ice sheet. Or is it all filed under ice?

    Bloody hell.

    Storms have always been there. In different places, with different moisure content.

    Maybe the Khmer Empire thought the same as you, just before they died horribly. They'd moved the atmospheric rivers by several hundred miles. Sure, there was rain. Just not near them, because they were idiots.

    Don't copy them.

    The temperature has risen to levels that are higher than what they should be given prevailing conditions. But that's not as important as the gradient. The gradient has never occurred in historic times, or indeed any time since the last asteroid strike.

    But you ignore that and assume all gradients are equal, all numbers are equal.

    They are not.

    The Khmer discovered this too late. This time, you're plsying not with millions of lives but billions. Ignorance isn't going to save even one of them. There is no plea bargain with physics.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  15. Re: Crime against humanity by jd · · Score: 1

    They have, since 1895. I don't see you paying the blindest bit of attention anyway. Stop making excuses and admit there's nothing that will stop you poisoning the environment, you enjoy the screams of the dying too much.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  16. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by nagora · · Score: 2

    And the facts are that nothing has changed much.

    Your facts are out of date.

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
  17. This might actually good. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    If it stops the north atlantic conveyor, it could cause a mini-ice age instead, that would refreeze the arctic. Of course, northern Europe, Russia, nor anybody close to the equator might not be happy.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:This might actually good. by hey! · · Score: 1

      A slowdown of the North Atlantic Conveyor would result in reduced frequency hurricanes for the Southeast US. That's the good news. The bad news is that the ones that made it here will carry a lot more rain.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  18. MILLIONS ARE GONNA DIE!!! by furasato · · Score: 1, Informative

    So, I hear millions of people are going to die... Uhh... How? Are they just going to wade into water and drown themselves? Are they going to walk into deserts with no water? Are they going to sit in the sun, day after day, with no food or water? People that believe claims like this are complete idiots. And many do. Actually, we should be lucky, considering much of the Northern half of the USA is usually covered in thick sheets of ice. It's only because we're in a cycle as described by Milankovitch where, yes, the world is warming. But this is only temporary. As our irregular orbit around the sun continues, we'll eventually peak, and then quickly descend into another ice age. So really, enjoy the warming it while it lasts.

    1. Re:MILLIONS ARE GONNA DIE!!! by PPH · · Score: 1

      Are they just going to wade into water and drown themselves?

      Millions of people in places like Bangladesh live within a meter or two of the current sea level. During storms they already experience serious flooding. Now you might think that they could just migrate inland. But there are already people living there. Who will kill them.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    2. Re:MILLIONS ARE GONNA DIE!!! by hey! · · Score: 1

      They're going to die because of drought, crop failures, flooding, and economic collapse in the more vulnerable places. The US being rich and relatively stable will do better than most places, although it will hurt us in the pocketbook. Places with a weak economy and an unpopular government will break down (e.g., Syria).

      By the way, the Milankovitch cycles physically work by varying the amount of solar radiation that reaches the Earth's surface. If the increases in temperature since 1980 were due to insolation, we'd be able to measure a dramatic increase in solar radiation at the Earth's surface. In fact when we look at such datasets, insolation has actually decreased very slightly in that time -- about 400mW/m^2.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  19. Re: Any day now we are all going to drown! by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Actually, it has been rising slowly for something like 30 years. This would be an acceleration in how much is added yearly.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  20. Re: Crime against humanity by jd · · Score: 2

    Sorry, neither are scientists. None of the others listed are, either.

    Nor have you shown you'd give a damn if they'd sailed to the major conventions, or used the Internet to dial in.

    All you'd do is whinge they were taking bandwidth from your online games.

    Give me real names and a real reason to think you'd actually care about their choice.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  21. temperatures have been both warmer and cooler by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    temperatures have been both warmer and cooler and within historical times.

    Northern Europe being forced to stop a thousand years (from Roman times until the middle 13th century) of cultivating grapes should be enough for anyone. Any vineyards in Scotland today?

    1. Re:temperatures have been both warmer and cooler by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Any vineyards in Scotland today?

      Yes, there are vinyards in Scotland.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  22. Re:Any day now we are all going to drown! by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

    It is rising and has risen. What is under discussion is the rate. What do you expect to happen when Greenland's ice sheet melts, exactly, other than sea level rise? You may also have failed to notice plate tectonics, as far as other slow yet observable processes go.

  23. Re: Dooms day is coming! Repent sinners! by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Actually, I'm GDI, and was registered Libertarian for over 25 years. O did not increase the deficit by much except with his tax cuts. ACA was fully paid for, unlike gop's Medicare part D. And his temp spending up front was to keep us out of depression. Trump's spending and tax cuts are pure disaster.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  24. Re: Crime against humanity by jd · · Score: 1, Funny

    If the temperature rises above 2.5'C, it will switch to a new strange attractor. In simple terms, the temperature will skyrocket and the atmosphere will become toxic to humans.

    Yes, kickbacks (such as the $22 trillion to fossil fuel) are unacceptable. The rich have failed to psy an estimated $20 trillion in taxes. All of that is money owed to the poor, to community services and to society.

    Religion in America is a major cause ofvwar, which is why the state was required to be secular. This should be enforced. No person of faith should be permitted to hold office. Rumsfeld demonstrated the evils of such people.

    Corruption in politics should be abolished. America is one of the most corrupt in the world. Big money and corprate lobbying should be banned. The rich should also be prohibited from office.

    I'd also mandate a minimum level of intelligence 125% above national average (IQ doesn't count as a measure) and require a provable absence of any symptom of sociopathy.

    To eliminate corruption, I'd require 100% of voters to vote, but you can vote for only one person every four years. So if you vote for a senator, yoy can't vote for a represenrative or president.

    The supreme court should be by jury pool of experienced non-political, non-religiousjudges. No appontments, no tenure, no prejudices. One case and that's it. Until the government can be trusted, the supreme court must be randomized.

    I'd prohibit science denialism. Skepticism should be rewarded, cynicism should be punished. They are not the same.

    Prisons should swutch to a hybrid Nordic/Dutch model, fully funded with no provate prisons allowed.

    Education should be given a quarter trillion extra, per State, from that fossil fuels subsidy. All exams should be abolushed, along with all religious schools. One national curriculum, politicians get no say in it.

    Beef should be taxed into the luxury bracket, along with fast (sorry, painfully slow) food outlets.

    Cars should face heavy taxation, cities get serious about mass transit or they get seized under eminent domain.

    The police, along with all government officials, should be banned from having guns. There should be no national guard and no reserves. The money saved should be spent on providing social services and the means to get a life. Cities that don't get said life should be walled up. They seem to like walls. They can live how they like, they just can't contaminate others.

    There you go, a complete fix, at least for America.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  25. Re: Sloppy models? by jd · · Score: 2

    And yet you offer no proof of this omission and no proof of substantial deviation. The models have been highly accurate sibce the 1990s and far more accurate than the skrptics since the 1890s.

    And yet that part doesn't bother you.

    The fact that the science has been fundamentally sound for 114 years doesn't enter your equation.

    What concerns you is a vague, meaningless statemwnt about something that probably never happened.

    Honestly, that's pathetic.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  26. Re: Oh no by jd · · Score: 1

    Uh, no. Even John Wyndham figured that out.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  27. Greenland Ice Melt ~ 6 meters (19.7 ft) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If all of Greenland's glaciers melted, sea level would rise ~ 6 meters (about 19.7 feet)
    https://www2.usgs.gov/climate_landuse/glaciers/glaciers_sea_level.asp

    Beginning about 15,000 years ago, continental glaciers retreated and sea level began to rise. Sea level reached its current height about 8,000 years ago and has fluctuated ever since.
    https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/how-does-present-glacier-extent-and-sea-level-compare-extent-glaciers-and-global-sea-level

    Global sea level has fluctuated widely in the recent geologic past. It stood 4-6 meters above the present during the last interglacial period, 125,000 years ago, but was 120 m lower at the peak of the last ice age, around 20,000 years ago.
    https://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/briefs/gornitz_09/

    Because of all of this, there were many books written in the 1960's predicting a new ice age (Global Cooling).

    We need to keep the earth clean, yes. But the hype is stupid. As someone else stated, percentage changes mean nothing.

  28. Re: Any day now we are all going to drown! by jd · · Score: 1

    Europe has freedom you could only dream of. And, no, no 75% taxes.

    If you have to wait until you're drowned, you can do nothing and there will be no government. Or, indeed, any society either. If, and someone that stupid is unlikely to be capable, you survive the next 40-50 years, you'll enter a world closer to Year of the Burn Up.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  29. Re:Fake news by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

    Anything about mankind ruining the environment has to be fake news, right?

    Yes, if environmental change is too inconvenient to fit your political agenda, then yes, it is fake news.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  30. Re: all fake news by jd · · Score: 2

    Nobody claimed that for 2013. Fictional claims make you look stupider than you already are.

    The sea levels have indeed been rising, in line with actual prediction.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  31. Re:Crime against humanity by PPH · · Score: 3, Insightful

    But we have a zero carbon alternative. Build nukes.

    What I'd like to see is all the hippies and foot draggers who run around with their hair on fire about global warming, but then stall technical solutions, to be hauled before a court and accused of crimes against humanity.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  32. Denialists lost the severity gamble, HARD. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Denialists would often ask, "what if these imperfect estimates are too high?" and scientifically-minded people would counter with "what if these imperfect estimates are too low?" In the last few years it's been obvious that they were mostly too low (as in conservative) across the board. Oddly enough the constant unfounded accusations of bias toward climate science has created a real bias toward conservative estimates, as scientists all fear overestimating and becoming the deniosphere's celebrated Chicken Little.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    1. Re:Denialists lost the severity gamble, HARD. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Three conservative rags and a conservative think-tank flying in the face of science with cherry-picking and strawmen, I think that says it all.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:Denialists lost the severity gamble, HARD. by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      "If you can't argue the facts, argue the source!" ...wasn't convincing when it was first postulated, not still 200 years later.

      Have hurricanes gotten stronger, as Mr. Hansen predicted in a 2016 study? No. Satellite data from 1970 onward shows no evidence of this in relation to global surface temperature. Have storms caused increasing amounts of damage in the U.S.? Data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration show no such increase in damage, measured as a percentage of gross domestic product. How about stronger tornadoes? The opposite may be true, as NOAA data offers some evidence of a decline.

      --
      -Styopa
    3. Re:Denialists lost the severity gamble, HARD. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Oh I can argue the facts. You can't, which is why instead you parrot bullshit from denialist blogs. I have addressed the latest deniosphere talking points already. Hurricane frequency, intensity, and power dissipation are up, overall tornado count is up, and storm & flood damage costs are up:

      https://slashdot.org/comments....

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  33. Re:When was Greenland Green? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

    Just asking...

    Greenland has not been green during human habitation of the island. It was called "Greenland" not because it was green but because it was easier to convince people to move there with that name rather than if it was called "Freezingcoldbarrenpieceofshitland".

    Seriously, that's why it was called Greenland, because it sounded pleasant and made getting colonists to go there easier.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  34. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Immerman · · Score: 1

    No, actually most of it was built by the generation before them. If not earlier. Infrastructure construction, and even maintenance, has been largely neglected for the better part of a century.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  35. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by hey! · · Score: 2

    It couldn't be "full communism" because almost nobody knows what that means now. We live in the Golden Age of Bullshit, where words are used for how they make you feel, not what they mean.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  36. Re:Crime against humanity by dryeo · · Score: 2

    How about the people/industries that finance them? Hippies on their own are poor and have little affect.
    Exxon for example, upon realizing that global warming was real back in the '70's, made the decision to finance the anti-nuke camp to maintain their industry.

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  37. One BIG assumption here by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    The whole notion of sea level rise assumes that the Earth's crust is static and unchanging. Definitely not the case.

    1. Re:One BIG assumption here by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      Are you talking about the shape of the earth changing with the shift in mass? You'd still see sea level rise everywhere , just more in the equator than nearer the poles.

  38. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Immerman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    New flash - the entire history of the modern human species has occurred in a single ice age - the current Quaternary Ice Age started about 2.6 million years ago, about a half-million years before homo erectus evolved.

    You may be thinking of the latest glacial period within that ice age, and yes, we were possibly coming out of that before our carbon-based economy gathered anything like its current momentum. However, we've accelerated the process considerably by adding major new forcing factors in the form of deforestation, desertification, and significantly boosting the heat retention of the atmosphere - and that's changing things considerably faster than normal, and there is a very real risk that on our current course we'll cause the ice age to end, and the Earth to transition to it's opposing quasi-stable hothouse state.

    And while the Earth is always changing, it's the speed of that transition which can be a problem - most trees and other plants can't migrate very quickly, and if the climate lines move faster than they can, they likely go extinct, and take much of their associated ecosystems with them. And we're already in the midst of one of the larger extinction events the planet has seen thanks to pollution, over-hunting and ecosystem destruction. A second, independent extinction event on a similar scale may well reduce biodiversity to the point of ecosystem collapse. It's happened several times before, and it can take the planet many thousands of years to recover. Bad news for anyone who wants to eat regularly in the interim.

    Perhaps even worse, at least for us, is that it's looking like such transitions don't happen smoothly. As the thermal engines driving weather destabilize, weather patterns become less predictable from year to year, and the rate of crop failure increases considerably as a result. And when people get hungry, wars break out.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  39. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Hadlock · · Score: 1

    Average comments on a story has stayed pretty consistent at about 120 posts per interesting story, ~20-30 for less interesting stories. To get 1000 comments a new chapter in the IBM/SCO lawsuit needed to happen or something. This has been true from ~2000 all the way through present era.

    --
    moox. for a new generation.
  40. Re:Crime against humanity by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

    Despite what the internet offers for communication, people still need to travel. For some, it's part of their job: performers, subject-matter experts, buisnesspeople -- and yes, politicians too.

    Let's all work on and support ways to travel more efficiently, and offset its effects. But we can't just stop traveling.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  41. Of course the models accounted for Greenland. by hey! · · Score: 1

    The question is, how much ice should those models assume will melt in response to a given degree of global warming?

    When you read a popular press account that says "Sea level may rise 2m by 2100", what the scientific papers actually say is more like "sea level may rise between 1m and 3m under the RCP8.5 scenario." Nearly all of that uncertainty is driven by uncertainty in how rapidly Greenland and Antarctic ice will respond to rising temperatures. So you have to go have a look to see what's already been happening.

    Scientists tend to avoid talking much about worst case scenarios, because as far as we know the worst case scenarios are, as far as we know, unlikely to happen. The worst case sea level rise is catastrophic to the global economy, and if you actually thought it was going to happen you'd move to high ground and be stockpiling food and weapons.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    1. Re:Of course the models accounted for Greenland. by ennis99 · · Score: 1

      The more time passes and the more global warming is doing even more damage and unfortunately there are always people who think that it is not very serious. https://downloader.vip/minecra... https://downloader.vip/google-... https://downloader.vip/counter...

  42. Re:Crime against humanity by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 1

    Instead of a miniscule bad effect, why don't you work against [human bad things] ...

    *How* can I vote you up when:
    a) I have no mod points,
    b) you're already maxed out, and
    c) I've posted to this forum?

    Life's just not fair. (Nor should it be.)

    makes us feel special and open to secret knowledge

    THIS. Omg, this.

    The religious nuts selling everything for the end of the world (at least they're consistent),
    the conspiracy nuts (someone else is in complete control of everything),
    the SJWs (everything is relative except relatives),
    the Gender Confused (I've got detachable and interchangeable sexual body parts!),
    the ?Communists? (equal results for everyone, even those not even trying -- but ESPECIALLY for me since I'm a Centurion!)

    *I'm* special because I know things that are true because they're obvious. Or secret. Or unknown. (Hitler's still alive and he's been Elvis all along! -- Godwin'ed myself.) YOU don't know anything, you stupid heathen. Get with the program and join us; be of the Body! [ST-TOS: S01E21 The Return of the Archons]

    People want to feel special. If they think they're right, well that makes it even easier.

    --
    If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
  43. Re:Any day now we are all going to drown! by hey! · · Score: 2

    OK, here you go: between 1993 and 2014, global sea level rose 2.4 inches according to NOAA.

    This amounts to a background increase of 1/8 inch per year and is mostly due to the ocean's thermal expansion.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  44. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by krygny · · Score: 1

    Jesus tapdancing Christ, ...

    I'd still like to know what the "H" stands for.

    --
    Research shows that 67% of those who use the term "research shows", are just making shit up.
  45. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by bob4u2c · · Score: 2

    Wow, let's look back one century to the grand year of 1918.

    Top of the line car was a Studebaker Special Six, with a whopping 29.4 HP engine. Yep, that looks and performs like every car we drive today (actually I kind of like the design, wouldn't mind owning one myself).

    Miles of paved road. I can't find any data back to 1918, but starting in 1960 the USA had about 1.2 million miles of roads, 2016 puts that about 2.7 million miles now.

    Bridges, I can't find exact numbers per year, but I do see that at least 15 new bridges are built every year.

    So yeah, I guess no Infrastructure construction or maintenance has happened since 1918! Seriously you must be deluding yourself! Bridges alone are built to last 50 years, which means that since 1918 if we didn't build any new ones or maintain any of them we should have no bridges 100 years later. I find that hard to believe as I crossed one just getting to work.

    Word of advice, things change all the time. There are things you notice, like a new shopping mall, or new track of housing that goes up in less than a year. Then there are other things you don't notice, like the height of all the trees in your neighborhood that eventually grow so tall they snap power lines, the number of planes flying overhead, rivers cutting a grand canyon out of solid rock over millions of year. Just because things aren't changing rapidly around you doesn't mean it isn't happening. Old infrastructure is changing all the time, it just tends to look old because people want to keep it that way (take aluminum house wiring with new copper runs, gas lamps replaced by street lights, old cars with modern engines, retrofitted building with steel frames, historic roads with new reinforced beddings). Take a common item you probably see every day, the light bulb. Ten years ago the common type was probably an incandescent, 5 years ago most likely a CFL, now you will probably see LED bulbs. To the casual eye they all look the same.

  46. Re:Crime against humanity by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    Build nukes.

    I hate to break it to you but Ghandi died some time ago.

  47. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by hey! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What "full communism" means is a society without any government at all -- or classes or money for that matter. If you look at "communist states", they actually have all of these things: social classes, currency, and some degree of private ownership.

    In fact, in a certain sense "communist state" is a contradiction in terms. Communist regimes knew this, and justified their existence as a vanguard revolution that would bring about communism in the long term. This really wasn't any better, since communist ideology see communism as a natural and historically inevitable outcome of capitalism.

    If you look at how "communist states" actually arose, they didn't arise out of a popular adoption of communist ideology. That comes later. Indigenous communist revolutions never happened in functioning democracies; they came in societies dominated by wealthy oligarchs, dictators or warlords. I see a lot of parallels with the anti-elitism of Trumpists. They're not ideologues; they're just fed up with the elite and want the swamp drained.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  48. Re:Crime against humanity by bob4u2c · · Score: 1

    But they can telecommute. How about they record what they are going to say and upload it to the conference where it can be played later?

    How about multiple meeting locations connected via video with special breakout rooms for one on one talks?

    No, better to spend money and resources on planes, cars, and hotels while dining out at catered events to discuss how we are wasting resources. Makes perfect sense to me [eyes roll]!

    These kinds of events, and even the Paris accords are just lip service. When politicians start selling their mansions to live in tiny houses, or sell their black limos and start driving Teslas, then I might believe them. Until then, I wouldn't give them the time of day.

  49. Re:Crime against humanity by ClickOnThis · · Score: 2

    So, you have your own rationalization for doing nothing.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  50. Re: Crime against humanity by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

    $300G? That's basically one NY to LA round trip on NetJets. Or 3-6 regional one-way flights.

  51. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by sdinfoserv · · Score: 2

    https://www.npr.org/2016/05/16...
    http://www.pewresearch.org/fac...
    Eat Shit yourself fucktard. The level of how much you "like" something, has zero impact on its validity.

  52. Floridian climate refugees coming your town soon! by VeryFluffyBunny · · Score: 1

    You know that Florida is mostly low-lying and already suffering as a result of sea-level rise? Well, it now looks like you can look forward to hoards of Floridian climate refugees seeking shelter across the USA sooner than you expected. You know Florida? Where the bat-shit crazy people tend to be? They'll soon be among you. May you live in "interesting" times.

    --
    Debate is a form of harassment. Do not question my truth.
  53. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

    I have friends and relatives who are global warming deniers - 50+ age range. They are highly intelligent people and actually have advanced degrees (in scientific fields no less; one is a Chemistry teacher with a Masters in chemistry - which really sets me off because she has influence over younger minds.. but that's a different rant. ). This disheartens me greatly. Unsurprisingly, they are Trump supporter republicans.
    It's like religion (and they are also religious), "don't interfere in my beliefs with facts", mentality. I don't know how to get around this. I have kids (and grand kids). I really worry about what the planet will be like in 30 years when my youngest son in his 50's.
    I believe the problem, and why it's so hard to overcome, is that to fix things, the entire energy eco system needs a redo from top to bottom. That means the really rich oligarchy on top will lose billions - and there in lies the road block. They have the resources, they own the politicians, they own the media.
    man, I'm open to suggestions....

  54. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

    Sorry junior - I'm here, I'm in charge, and I get to hire and fire jizwads like you.

  55. Re: Dooms day is coming! Repent sinners! by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The debt grew, but, he was handed a 1T deficit, and brought it down. Had the deficit level remained where W/GOP left it, things would have been far far worse.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  56. A simple way to look at it. by Livius · · Score: 1

    Here's a good way to think about climate change:

    Earth has a greenhouse effect and carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas. If carbon dioxide increases, then, all things being equal, there will be a greater greenhouse effect.

    Now, climate science is notoriously complex and the atmosphere interacts with the biosphere, so the "all things being equal" part is self-evidently nonsense. So maybe there will be some feedback loop or whatever and carbon dioxide can increase without affecting climate. But the burden of proof is on the person advancing that hypothesis, because the default assumption is that warming will occur.

    Start with that, and rational discussion can take place.

  57. Re:Crime against humanity by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

    people still need to travel.

    Of course people need to travel. But they can fly commercial for a tiny fraction of the CO2 emissions of a private jet, and if they really, really, need to take a private jet, then they should not be lecturing other people. They should STFU and leave environmental advocacy to those that can do it without hypocrisy.

    Disclaimer: I fly coach.

  58. Let's test that by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

    ...Perhaps even worse, at least for us, is that it's looking like such transitions don't happen smoothly. As the thermal engines driving weather destabilize, weather patterns become less predictable from year to year, and the rate of crop failure increases considerably as a result. And when people get hungry, wars break out.

    Sounds like a testable hypothesis. In the last century global temp has risen around 1C after having remained comparatively stable prior to that. One could take global crop yields, and compare the annual trends against the change in global temperature.

    The trouble is, that your hypothesis of increased crop failure, and presumably decreased global yields(else if yields don't drop who cares), presupposes that all other things remain equal...

    Of course, global crop production has been trending persistently upwards as temperatures have also trended up. Numerous advances in crop technologies and techniques being a portion, and additionally regions impacted by climate change where conditions become too warm/cold/dry/wet for one crop are rotated for others. Farmers don't stubbornly plant the same crop for decades when conditions change, even if that would make projecting trends easier...

    1. Re:Let's test that by Immerman · · Score: 2

      If weather patterns changes smoothly that would work - however it doesn't appear that will be the case. The problem is that when weather becomes unstable you can no longer use last year's weather to predict the coming year.

      Think of it this way - if for the last decade there were 5 years where corn would have survived, 3 years for wheat, and 2 for soy - and they were all jumbled up, then what should you plant this year? Corn maybe? You've got a 50% chance of getting a crop, if the last decade is representative, but that's still not very good odds. And of course slow growing tree crops and the like can't be readily picked up and moved from year to year, so we'll likely lose most of those, or at least make them much more expensive (hope you're not too attached to coffee or nuts)

      Similarly, if we cross the tipping point to a hothouse Earth, and could just jump a few millenia into the future, things would probably look pretty rosy. All of Canada and Russia, Northern China, etc. will likely be warm and fertile. The problem is not the destination, it's the long, unpredictable journey to get there.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    2. Re:Let's test that by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      If weather patterns changes smoothly that would work - however it doesn't appear that will be the case. The problem is that when weather becomes unstable you can no longer use last year's weather to predict the coming year.

      Think of it this way - if for the last decade there were 5 years where corn would have survived, 3 years for wheat, and 2 for soy - and they were all jumbled up, then what should you plant this year? Corn maybe? You've got a 50% chance of getting a crop, if the last decade is representative, but that's still not very good odds. And of course slow growing tree crops and the like can't be readily picked up and moved from year to year, so we'll likely lose most of those, or at least make them much more expensive (hope you're not too attached to coffee or nuts)

      Similarly, if we cross the tipping point to a hothouse Earth, and could just jump a few millenia into the future, things would probably look pretty rosy. All of Canada and Russia, Northern China, etc. will likely be warm and fertile. The problem is not the destination, it's the long, unpredictable journey to get there.

      Thats a lot of postulating, but you’ve entirely neglected to acknowledge the data. Specifically, over the last 100 years, global crop yield per acre has steadily risen, while global tmeperature has steadily shifted from historic norms. You can explain as long as you like how that shouldn’t happen, but that doesn’t alter the facts.

  59. Re:"killing the planet" by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    Probably not killing ourselves. We're the most adaptable species except for bacteria etc.

    But making it f**ing miserable for the survivors, definitely.

    And killing the vast majority of complex large-scale ecosystems on the planet and very large percentages of their inhabitant species, yes.

    Lifeicide in other words.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  60. Let me stop you right there by presidenteloco · · Score: 2

    "Global warming deniers" and "highly intelligent people" are mutually exclusive categories.

    Oh wait, maybe there's a tiny intersection in the venn diagram, where they overlap with the "selfish machiavellian lying assholes" category. They say they deny it, but only to further their selfish ends of not having to make any lifestyle or policy changes. If they are intelligent, they know their denial stance is just posturing for effect.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    1. Re:Let me stop you right there by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

      "Global warming deniers" and "highly intelligent people" are mutually exclusive categories.
      I respectfully disagree. I think there's lot's of highly intelligent people who believe nonsense, for what ever reason. I do, and again, this is my personal opinion, believe there's a religious factor. From a young age before reason, they are brainwashed into believing faith is important. And really, faith is just belief despite the preponderance of evidence to the contrary. So people of faith are already indoctrinated to living with a level cognitive dissonance. My wife is a nurse with a masters degree. She is one of the most intelligent people I've met. She's a catholic with a great degree of faith (she does believe global warming is man made, just to point that out). She completely understands the physical nature of the universe, however, when we get into deep faith discussions, there's that one last question she simply can't ask herself - because it would shake her faith. So she simply lives with cognitive dissonance while refusing to accept or acknowledge what it is.
      I think loyalty to the right wing, is of similar importance to someones self image/ self worth / identity with the universe and therefore unquestionable. I don't find that in conflict with intelligence, just in conflict with some aspects of truth.

  61. Re:"killing the planet" by Immerman · · Score: 1

    Depends how you define "killing ourselves". It almost certainly won't drive us to extinction, our technology does make us remarkably adaptable. However, it will quite possibly kill the overwhelming majority of our species.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  62. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Local+ID10T · · Score: 1

    Jesus tapdancing Christ, ...

    I'd still like to know what the "H" stands for.

    H is for Harvey

    --
    "You want to know how to help your kids? Leave them the fuck alone." -George Carlin
  63. Re:Crime against humanity by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

    Hypocrisy? Well maybe, if someone is using a private jet purely for the sheer opulence of it. But someone may have practical reasons for using private air transportation. Maybe commercial flights are not feasible because of scheduling, logistics, lack of privacy, and so on. I'm no apologist for the 1%, but I can understand their needs for travel may be different than mine. If they make a sincere effort to help the planet despite their carbon footprint, I think they deserve more respect than the more cynical who just don't care about their impact.

    I own a private automobile, and I suspect you might also. I use it for my municipal travel needs, even though there are public-transit alternatives. Does that make us hypocrites? No. Public transit is not feasible for most of our travel needs.

    And my disclosure: I fly coach also, unless I get an upgrade.

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  64. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by BoogieChile · · Score: 1

    Lord Slashdot, may we please have an "Ignorant" moderation choice?

  65. Re: Any day now we are all going to drown! by PPH · · Score: 1

    Try buying booze in the US if you lack ID.

    Alcohol kills more people per year than guns, let alone AR-15s.

    Five day waiting period on that bottle of Scotch when?

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  66. Re:Jesus tapdancing Christ, stop with this shit by Mashiki · · Score: 1

    What "full communism" means is a society without any government at all -- or classes or money for that matter. If you look at "communist states", they actually have all of these things: social classes, currency, and some degree of private ownership.

    Really? In the real world this is called "anarchy" I suppose if you think that's full communism, then you're ready for the revolution yesterday.

    In fact, in a certain sense "communist state" is a contradiction in terms. Communist regimes knew this, and justified their existence as a vanguard revolution that would bring about communism in the long term. This really wasn't any better, since communist ideology see communism as a natural and historically inevitable outcome of capitalism.

    So, the USSR didn't collapse because of communism, mass debt and so on. And Venezuela didn't collapse because of communist policies, and seizing businesses.

    That comes later. Indigenous communist revolutions never happened in functioning democracies; they came in societies dominated by wealthy oligarchs, dictators or warlords. I see a lot of parallels with the anti-elitism of Trumpists. They're not ideologues; they're just fed up with the elite and want the swamp drained.

    Strange, let's look at Europe and the "rise" of communist ideologies back in the late 1800's and early 1900's. Well look at that, it wasn't wealthy oligarchs, dictators, or warlords. Nope it was the 'enlightened intelligentsia' and wavering economic collapse of various industries. Well let's look at China...damn..what a failure. Cuba? Nope. Vietnam? Nope. You seem to be confusing populism with communism, those are actually polar opposite ideologies in play. Communism wants to replace government with it's own system, and enforce the rule on people. Populism wants the existing system in play to continue, but the bullshit and garbage that's causing harm to society/business/work/etc to stop.

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  67. Re: Any day now we are all going to drown! by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
    Freedom from what being able to do basic math? What country are you from? Just the VAT alone is pretty much 20% or more in every country. Throw in another 10-25% corporate and 20-55% income tax and you easily get to an effective rate of 75% in nearly all of the countries.

    I've lived in multiple places in Europe. I had more freedom back home.

  68. Re: Any day now we are all going to drown! by Charcharodon · · Score: 1

    Bottle of booze will run you $80 in Europe and $30 for the same bottle in the US. I like to think of an ID card as a massive discount card.

  69. Re:Any day now we are all going to drown! by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
    The most amazing thing about maybe a 1/8inch per year change is that gives you plenty of time to plan on moving.

    Where I grew up (Missouri) there are mountains, little mountains, but mountains all the same that are the remains of ancient reefs and islands. You can go hiking up said mountains and find sea shells everywhere. We are talking several thousands of feet of elevation.

    I'm pretty sure we'll be fine even if the ocean starts jumping up a foot every 100 years or so.

  70. Re: Dooms day is coming! Repent sinners! by Tulsa_Time · · Score: 1

    Interesting... liberals that call places and people anti LBGTQ names.

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    5 out of 6 people enjoy Russian Roulette & 6 out of 7 Dwarfs are not Happy
  71. Re: Dooms day is coming! Repent sinners! by Tulsa_Time · · Score: 1

    8 years and > 8 Trillion...might want to check your math..

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    5 out of 6 people enjoy Russian Roulette & 6 out of 7 Dwarfs are not Happy