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Cryptocurrencies Tumble Even More, While One Asset Manager Proclaims 'Bitcoin is Dead' (marketwatch.com)

Cryptocurrency prices "fell sharply on Friday, as another bout of selling took digital currencies to fresh lows," reports MarketWatch, adding that Friday the price of Bitcoin "crashed through support at $3,500, falling more than 10% to a 15-month low at $3,230 on the Kraken exchange."

"What a difference a year makes," CNN Business quipped Friday, in an article headlined "Bitcoin's Epic Plunge Continues": In December 2017, bitcoin prices hit a record high of just under $20,000... Bitcoin is at a 15-month low. But prices have really gotten whacked this week, falling nearly 20% in just the past five days alone. Bitcoin isn't the only cryptocurrency getting hit either. Ripple/XRP, ethereum, stellar, litecoin and numerous other cryptocurrencies have plunged in the past week.

Little tangible news can explain or justify the current crypto carnage. One possible reason is that a pro-crypto member of the Securities and Exchange Commission warned at a conference this week that she's fighting an uphill battle trying to convince the rest of the SEC to approve more bitcoin exchange traded funds.... Nearly two-thirds of money managers surveyed by asset management firm Natixis still thought that cryptocurrencies were a bubble, the firm reported this week.

"In my opinion, bitcoin is dead," wrote the CEO of one wealth management firm with more than $32 billion in assets. It won't go quietly, but the recent precipitous drop may be the beginning of its inevitable and inexorable death spiral. Or there could be a dead cat bounce. Either way, I see bitcoin as a dead man walking. Future generations may read about bitcoin in a finance textbook as a curiosity and wonder what all the fuss was about. There are still some die-hard adherents espousing the virtues of bitcoin, desperate to make a silk purse out of a sow's ear. Unfortunately for them, the end may not be pretty when it comes.

Proponents of bitcoin tend to focus on the impact of the blockchain technology that drives it, and make no mistake, blockchain is the real deal. Blockchain is fundamentally changing the way industries do business, from traditional banking to supply chain management. But just because blockchain technology is creating a new paradigm doesn't mean that bitcoin shares that same distinction.... Most cryptocurrency transactions are purely speculative. There are no real fundamentals to evaluate; bitcoin doesn't produce any products or services, hire any employees or pay any dividends. The only way profits are generated is when the owner is lucky enough to find someone else who will pay more for the thing...

The minute bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency appears to have even the slightest chance of disrupting national monetary supply, I expect regulation to be swift and decisive. The SEC has already issued guidance around cryptocurrencies that has created roadblocks to gaining the same legitimacy as traditional marketable securities... If you enjoy the thrill of making bets, I suggest you visit your favorite sports book or table game in Vegas where your odds of success are much higher.

8 of 165 comments (clear)

  1. £3500 is not dead! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Bitcoin will never reach $1000

    Now, $3500, is dead. The problem isn't Bitcoin it's people's wild expectations. Well, that and the energy use to make the things.

  2. No arguments here by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They us massive amounts of electricity, they spiked the cost of graphics cards so high that they've only just now come down to the level they were at 2 1/2 years ago and they're completely impractical for purchasing anything except maybe drugs (since they're too volatile and slow for much else). Chalk it up as a failed experiment and move on.

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  3. Re:Oh my by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not this again. Real currencies are not tied to a resource backed standard, but they are closely tied to the economy in which that currency is used. And governments generally know quite well how much extra cash they can print without setting off inflation: if the economy grows, you can grow the money supply as well. Bitcoin isn't tied to any real economy, the volume of BTC transactions is absolutely dwarfed by the speculative transactions. Bitcoin isn't like shares either, which have a speculative nature but always have a real and objective value underpinning them, not a commodity but a company holding assets, adding value and making profit (or with the potential to make future profit)

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  4. Re:It'll always bounce back, and more and more use by fluffernutter · · Score: 4, Funny

    I traded them in for Beanie Babies a long time ago.

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  5. bitcoin is dead? by themusicgod1 · · Score: 4, Interesting
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  6. Blockchain technology by Dan+East · · Score: 5, Informative

    the blockchain technology that drives it, and make no mistake, blockchain is the real deal. Blockchain is fundamentally changing the way industries do business, from traditional banking to supply chain management. But just because blockchain technology is creating a new paradigm

    Wait, are we talking about the same blockchain?

    Though Blockchain has been touted as the answer to everything, a study of 43 solutions advanced in the international development sector has found exactly no evidence of success.

    Blockchain Study Finds 0% Success Rate and Vendors Don't Call Back When Asked For Evidence

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  7. Taxes and all debts. Get dollars or go to prison by raymorris · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you don't get some US dollars and then give them to the IRS, IRS agents will eventually show up at your door and remind you that you better get some soon, or they'll be back to take you to prison. Ask Wesley Snipes - even action movie heroes need to have dollars. It might take a while, but eventually they show up.

    That means dollars will always have value, as long as the IRS exists. Dollars keep you out of prison.

    Additionally, as a bonus anyone who has debt of any kind needs dollars to get rid of that debt, so that the bank doesn't come take their house, car, etc. "Get some dollars or lose your house" is pretty powerful.

    Trying sending the IRS some Bitcoins. Not gonna happen. Check your mortgage statemwnt. It's 100,000 DOLLARS you have to eventually pay the bank to keep your house. Sending them a sha-256 hash isn't going to let you keep your house.

    How do we know the bank won't switch to denominating mortgages in Bitcoins or Buttcoins or Anonymous Coward Coin? Because the bank needs fifteen million DOLLARS to pay their taxes. So they are always going to want dollars from their customers.

  8. Re:Is there really any difference by vakuona · · Score: 4, Informative

    Is there really any difference between buying bitcoin or wall street or penny stocks from an investment point of view?

    If I buy shares on wall street, or even penny stocks, there is a good chance I will get dividends and make my money back and more that way. People who invested in Apple in 2000 when the whole company was only worth $5bn and kept their shares have received more in dividends and buy backs than they probably paid for those shares initially - Apple has paid out more than $100bn. Yes, you could have made your money by selling the shares as well, but you didn't have to. This is why Apple (and other shares) are investments and not some zero sum speculative activity. You don't need a "greater fool" to make your money with an actual investment.

    With Bitcoin, the ONLY way to make a profit is to find someone (a greater fool) to buy it off you for more than you paid for it (by spending I am referring to either by exchanging cash for bitcoins, or by racking up electricity bills mining coins). This is why bitcoin is speculative, and you basically need a "greater fool" to make money off it.