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We Might Not Have Enough Materials for All the Solar Panels and Wind Turbines We Need, an Analysis Finds (popularmechanics.com)

An anonymous reader writes: Plenty of high-tech electronic components, like solar panels, rechargeable batteries, and complex circuits require specific rare metals. These can include magnetic neodymium, electronic indium, and silver, along with lesser-known metals like praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium. These metals are mined in large quantities in countries around the world, and they make their way into the supply chains of all sorts of electronics and renewables companies.

A group of researchers from the Dutch Ministry of Infrastructure determined how many of these important metals will be required by 2050 in order to make enough solar panels and wind turbines to effectively combat climate change. With plenty of countries, states, cities, and companies pledging to go 100 percent renewable by 2050, the number of both solar panels and wind turbines is expected to skyrocket. According to the analysis, turbines and solar panels might be skyrocketing a bit too much. Demand for some metals like neodymium and indium could grow by more than a dozen times by 2050, and there simply might not be enough supply to power the green revolution.

8 of 367 comments (clear)

  1. FUD by mspohr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Popular Mechanics? Idiots.
    Solar panels don't use "rare earth" elements (and rare earth elements are not rare).

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    1. Re:FUD by Zorpheus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does it talk about alternaives though?
      Indium is used in the transparent conductor Indium Tin Oxide. There are alternatives, such as Aluminium tin Oxide. Not as good, but it will be used if we are running out of Indium.
      And others already wrote that Neodymium is not needed for wind turbines. It is just a generator in there, it can be built in many different ways.

  2. Re:The dynamo in a wind turbine by jeff4747 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The dynamo in a wind turbine currently uses rare earth magnets.

    FTFY.

    Neodymium magnets are used to make the generators smaller and a little more efficient. We already have other materials that will do the job, it will just be larger or a little less efficient. And if neodymium ends up being the bottleneck, well we'll get to figure out more about magnetism since we'll have a huge incentive for an alternative.

  3. Have we run out of imagination as well? by munch117 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are so many different ways of building wind turbines. Neodymium and indium is used today because it's readily available. When it becomes scarce, we will come up with different designs. Or maybe we will just find new places to dig neodymium and indium out of the earth. This is not a real problem.

  4. Basic assumption. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 4, Insightful
    1. The known reserves of these elements today, will be the same reserves we will have till 2050

    2. The known techniques and cost for extracting them today, will be the same till 2050

    3. Similar study done in 1868 would have concluded there is not enough oil in Pottsville, PA to replace coal as a major source of fuel

    4. Similar study done in 1750 would have concluded there is not enough coal to replace whale oil as a fuel for lighting

    5. Similar study done in 1550 would have concluded the known reserves of whales and the cost of extracting oil from their blubber would be prohibitive and wax candles will be used forever for lighting.

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  5. Re:You mean like peak oil? by mspohr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The stone age didn't end because they ran out of stones.
    The oil age will not end because we run out of oil.
    The oil age will end because we have better, cheaper sources of energy and we need to stop burning fossil fuels.

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  6. Nuclear, alternatives or space mining by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All perfectly doable if we can just stop fighting among ourselves and spending 1/3 of our entire civilization's output on war and war profiteering.

    Also, human population is in decline where ever you find significant technical civilization. Assuming we don't regress (which, don't get me wrong, a not insignificant portion of humanity wants to) then it's a problem that will solve itself. People don't actually breed uncontrollably if they've got options. Japan, Singapore and now the US with their declining birthrates prove that.

    Folks mostly have a ton of kids as a kind of makeshift retirement program and between automation and productivity increases we just aren't going to need the vast labor pool we used to. We are going to need a way to distribute the wealth from the bots an A.I.s. Either that or we're going have have a dystopia where the 1% have everything and the rest of the world looks like a mix of Ethiopia, Somalia and the worst years of the American Indian Reservations.

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  7. Re:Wow yes by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 4, Insightful

    LOL. Uh, no. You'll have to provide some pretty hefty citations and facts to back up that ludicrous bunch of baloney.

    Really? You're that lazy? And also ignorant? So... you're stupid. From fucking Wikipedia:

    The bare wire conductors on the line are generally made of aluminum (either plain or reinforced with steel, or composite materials such as carbon and glass fiber)..

    Or you could just look at the fucking pictures, since you're too stupid to read:Sample cross section Carbon Core.

    Idiot.