Slashdot Mirror


Price Of Bitcoin Rises 27%, While Price of Bitcoin Cash Triples (bloomberg.com)

A Bloomberg columnist asks whether this week's rise in bitcoin's price is a turning point -- or just a "dead cat bounce"? After hitting a year's low of about $3,143, down about 80 percent from January highs, Bitcoin has risen 27 percent this week. Short-sellers are closing their positions, while fans smell fresh opportunity. Even more eye-watering market moves are happening elsewhere in the digital currency's ecosystem. Bitcoin Cash, a spin-off intended to be more usable as a payments mechanism, has almost tripled this week from about $80 to $225. That this is happening at the same time as a U.S. stock-market selloff will no doubt warm the hearts of crypto-evangelists, who believe their currencies offer genuine alternatives for where to put money in times of trouble....

A cursory glance at the price of Bitcoin Cash over the past year shows that it has fallen about 95 percent from its December 2017 record. So, anyone refusing to crystallize their losses this year has seen their 98-percent loss narrow over the past few days to, well, 95 percent. Celebrating now is like the Monty Python knight calling it a draw after losing all his limbs. It's not entirely clear either what kind of investor has the appetite, let alone the resources, to make meaningful bets on digital currencies today after a boom-and-bust cycle driven entirely by speculative hype rather than the adoption of Bitcoin in the real world. The long-awaited wave of money from Wall Street looks as far away as ever. So we're probably getting back to more natural territory for crypto: True believers and small-time gamblers.

Their conclusion? "One still can't rule out that these particular crypto-cats are dead."

39 of 83 comments (clear)

  1. Obvious it was going back up by SuperKendall · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Just as the rise to fantastic heights of last year was manipulation, so too was the decline - engineered so that others would have a chance to buy into Bitcoin before it inevitably climbed up again.

    One interesting thing no-one seems to consider is, that as more investors get into Bitcoin the price will naturally stabilize (not for some time though).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Obvious it was going back up by alvinrod · · Score: 2

      I won't trust anyone's insights or advice regarding bitcoin who isn't spending significantly more money "investing" into it than they're asking me to, and even then I'm going to be quite skeptical. I'm just quite content to watch this rollercoaster from the sidelines, regardless of how it twists and turns.

    2. Re:Obvious it was going back up by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Informative

      After hitting a year's low of about $3,143, down about 80 percent from January highs, Bitcoin has risen 27 percent this week.

      Lies, damned lies and percentages:

      The "80%" in that sentence is 80% of $20,000, ie. $16,000.

      The "27%" in that sentence is 27% of $3,000, ie. $810

      ie. The rebound is really only a 4% rebound, not a 27% rebound.

      And as noted, Bitcoin price is highly manipulated by the Chinese Bitcoin Mafia. They trade small quantities between themselves to keep the price up, hoping to suck people in.

      --
      No sig today...
    3. Re:Obvious it was going back up by Frank+Burly · · Score: 1

      Once all of the suck-- specu-- investors buy in, the BTC price will stabilize at a price premium that reflects the utility of being able to anonymously purchase crokodil.

      Many, many people have considered this, which is why the price has dropped.

  2. commodities are day-traded by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    for a reason.

  3. What a great investment? by blahbooboo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Oh so the groups likely manipulating this scam are now moving it back "up in value" (value for a product that you can't do anything with).

    Yes, folks should invest their life savings in something that can move 80% in a week. I am sure it's completely legitimate and safe long term investment!

    1. Re:What a great investment? by mermeid007 · · Score: 1

      I don't know the first thing about crypto, or bitcoin, or blockchain or speculation. I sure like software though. Software is definitely no laughing matter.

    2. Re:What a great investment? by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Informative

      Oh so the groups likely manipulating this scam are now moving it back "up in value"

      Yep. The Chinese miners who hold most of the world's Bitcoins are trading small quantities between themselves to pump the price a bit, hoping to pull in a few more suckers before the final death.

      --
      No sig today...
    3. Re:What a great investment? by ememisya · · Score: 1

      This is a race to the bottom. Much like the weaknesses found in SHA-1, SHA-256 is likely also going to suffer collisions. By mathematics alone, this is only a matter of time. People keep saying things like, "Yea, but that time is thousands and thousands of years." That is not true, with something like 50 quintillion hashes calculated per second, that is actually more like a 100 years, and that number is getting shorter by the day. After analyzing those collisions it's likely that a pattern will be found, much like there was for SHA-1 and MD-5 (https://www.mscs.dal.ca/~selinger/md5collision/), at which point ... BitCoin is dead. Their protocol allows for a hash with the size of 256 bits. Even if that's Ethereum which uses KECCAK-256 I believe, same problem, only a matter of time. Now, given that hashing, philosophically suffers from collisions by the pigeon hole principal, why in the world would you ever base something like currency to operate on it is beyond me.

    4. Re:What a great investment? by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      Why would there be a final death? Why kill goose that lays crypto-eggs?

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
  4. John Oliver on Cryptocurrencies scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting
  5. Tulips are making a comeback too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Historically, tulips have each been worth the modern equivalent of tens of thousands of dollars each. It would be foolish to ignore that legacy while considering investment opportunities.

    1. Re:Tulips are making a comeback too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bitcoin is in no way like tulip bulbs.

      ...

      But yeah totally tulip bulbs.

      Huh?!

       

      The actual idea and technology behind it is fascinating and the fact that the creator is still a mystery makes it even better.

      All great scams have great stories.

       

      Also the Satoshi wallets are still worth billions currently and have never moved.

      So? They could be on someone's misplaced laptop and he's probably saying, "Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck! I'm a goddamn billionaire and I can't find that fucking laptop!"
      And then his wife asks, "What laptop? Oh! THAT one! It was in the closet for years and you weren't using it so I donated it to Goodwill. We're getting a tax write-off for it! Let me see, the laptop was worth $50 and at our tax rate we'll get ..... $10 back!! Isn't that great!!"

    2. Re: Tulips are making a comeback too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes because the lesson is applicable until you dumbass coiners get the message or lose everything. Only a fanatic could see something go form 19k to 3k and think it was a good investment. Your money was safer and returned better sitting under your mattress.

      Bitcoins: completely useless, manipulated, burns a lot of electricity to produce nothing and provide no service.

      Tulips: pretty.

      Tulip value >>> bitcoin value.

    3. Re: Tulips are making a comeback too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Entirely wrong. The Satoshi wallets are worth nothing.
      Most people trade bitcoin on Exchanges, which have limited real currency reserves in their Slush accounts. They will SELL you an unlimited number of coin, but can only BUY until they run out of money.
      Even if you ignore the fact that nobody would purchase all the Satosi wallets in a single transaction, or the fact that breaking them into small transactions would cause the price to instantly tank, there still isn't enough in the Exchanges' slush accounts to purchase the Satosi wallets in their entirety.

      Bitcoin is a massive shell game. Most of the real money is controlled by a small number of Actors who use it to milk cash from idiots and dreamers. Anytime an Exchange starts paying out more than they take in from Normal People, they suddenly close down with bullshit cover stories like "we got hacked" or "it was an inside job."

    4. Re: Tulips are making a comeback too by ArchieBunker · · Score: 1

      You just described the real stock market. What happens when someone tries to sell a massive lot? Alarms are raised and trading his halted to prevent a panic.

      --
      Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
  6. Oh God! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...crypto-evangelists, who believe their currencies offer genuine alternatives for where to put money in times of trouble...

    Delusional people.

    After hitting a year's low of about $3,143, down about 80 percent from January highs, Bitcoin has risen 27 percent this week.

    THAT in itself is trouble. That kind of volatility in an asset precludes it from being investment grade. To have an asset move lie that for no reason is a sign of gambling. How can one plan if the asset could lose 80% for no determinable reason? At least with real currencies, you can see what the underlying economy and political policies and get an idea of where its headed (That's all Soros does.)

    Crypt-currencies are nothing but something that gamblers are using and rationalizing their behavior as "investing" or "speculation".

  7. Why is this news? by argStyopa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I mean seriously, I get it: Bitcoin is a 'tech' thing but we don't need to have a NEWS story every time it goes up or down, do we? We're not regularly seeing postings when RAM skyrockets or falls, are we? (Please...don't.)

    It's an imaginary commodity that some people have agreed to treat like money; by its very nature it's going to be volatile.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Why is this news? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I mean seriously, I get it: Bitcoin is a 'tech' thing but we don't need to have a NEWS story every time it goes up or down, do we?

      Bitcoin stories get posted because they generate page views and traffic. If you want to see fewer of them, then stop reading them and posting messages about them.

      We're not regularly seeing postings when RAM skyrockets or falls, are we?

      RAM prices are way more stable and uninteresting than they used to be.

      It's an imaginary commodity that some people have agreed to treat like money

      Actually, almost nobody treats it like money. Money is not something you invest in with an expectation it will appreciate in value.

      by its very nature it's going to be volatile.

      Bitcoin is not inherently volatile. It is mostly volatile because it is thinly traded. The total value of all Bitcoins is about $100B. There is about $8 trillion in gold, and about $10 trillion dollars in circulation.

    2. Re:Why is this news? by LtUoNXizqxawTj4ofx7t · · Score: 1

      I agree. There is so much innovation in cryptos but we get only boring articles like this.

    3. Re: Why is this news? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Innovation in cryptos? Like what?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Why is this news? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      When they say "cash" they actually mean short term treasury bills. Nobody "invests" in actual dollars.

      3 month T-bills are currently paying about 2.35%.

  8. Sweet Zombie Bitcoin by cstacy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Analyst: 25% Recovery In Bitcoin Price Was A “Zombie Rally”
    https://www.newsbtc.com/2018/1...

    Wall Street’s Biggest Bitcoin Forecaster Gives Up Forecasting Bitcoin
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news...

    Flash Hike: Bitcoin [BTC] smashes $4,000 resistance in a single rise
    https://ambcrypto.com/flash-hi...

  9. Artificial waves lift all boards by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    And as noted, Bitcoin price is highly manipulated by the Chinese Bitcoin Mafia. They trade small quantities between themselves to keep the price up, hoping to suck people in.

    Yeah but if you figure out the cycle you can ride on their coattails, so to speak. :-)

    Not that I personally would try to day-trade anything, I still see Bitcoin being good long-term.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  10. IIRC somebody dumped a bunch of cash into it by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    I forget who, but somebody dumped several million into it, so yeah, currency manipulation.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  11. BCash == Scammer Honeypot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    BCash is fronted by a psychopath ex-convict and a cabal of his closest con-men.

    https://medium.com/@tradertimm/forking-ver-rogers-reckoning-22c2a906b945 [Medium Post]

    The only reason this shitcoin ramped up is because the order books on the small gaggle of exchanges that trade it are thin as hell. Its very similar to penny-stocks, where there's hardly any orders for buys and sells, so it moves with wild swings whenever some of them get matched to each other.

    BCash's relative hashrate to Bitcoin has been falling ever since its introduction -- http://fork.lol -- down below 3% which indicates its declining health. BCash's transactions, when they're not being spammed with "stress tests" (ie., painting the tape to bring up their averages) they average about 60 tx's every three hours where Bitcoin does 2,000 - 2,500 over the same time frame.

    By any metric, BCash is a losing proposition. After the last drama-fork, where BCash split into RogerCoin/ABC and CraigCoin/SV their combined value is LESS than what it was pre-fork.

    Anyone into this particular dead-end will get precisely what they deserve. A big fat zero.

  12. Ah, now it makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    So this is the result of the hype train we hopped on last week. Gotta pump before you can dump.

    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/13/185207/ranks-of-crypto-users-swelled-in-2018-even-as-bitcoin-tumbled
    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/13/0525227/cryptocurrencies-are-like-lottery-tickets-that-might-pay-off-in-future
    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/08/1726229/cryptocurrencies-tumble-even-more-while-one-asset-manager-proclaims-bitcoin-is-dead
    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/13/1521207/ethereum-thinks-it-can-change-the-world-its-running-out-of-time-to-prove-it
    https://tech.slashdot.org/story/18/12/16/0221231/study-reveals-the-most-googled-should-i-questions-in-each-state
    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/21/1519217/facebook-is-developing-a-cryptocurrency-for-whatsapp-transfers-report-says
    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/13/222214/dozens-of-bomb-threats-reported-across-america-in-apparent-bitcoin-ransom-scam
    https://slashdot.org/story/18/12/13/1729249/blockchain-developer-is-the-fastest-growing-us-job
    https://news.slashdot.org/story/18/12/08/183253/bitcoin-options-purchased-for-1-million-will-soon-be-worthless

  13. Re:Meanwhile, in the real world... by Red_Forman · · Score: 1

    Much value! Such stability!

  14. Lies and statistics by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

    Funny how anti-crypto-currencies news always talk about how much of a fall the value of Bitcoin took since last year, but they never mention that it also rose by a lot to get to that insane peak value.

    Remember that Bitcoin was proclaimed dead by a number of fools every time it went down in value.

    Let's look at the four-years chart for a second. From july 2017 to december 2018 was simply a peak, but extrapolating that curve only shows it will keep going up.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
    1. Re:Lies and statistics by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      Bernie Madoff's fund also rose by a lot to get to an insane peak value.

      Don't be a moran.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    2. Re:Lies and statistics by TeknoHog · · Score: 1

      This. I remember when 1 BTC was worth less than 10 c, and I wish I'd bought some back then. I also remember when it crashed to about $2, then later to $100, then to $400, and so on. It's a strange variable if it can keep crashing/decreasing all the time, yet have local minima at ever increasing values.

      If you look at stock prices or anything similar, you see a fuzzy fractal-like curve with ups and downs all the time. You need not worry about every single downturn if you look at the big picture. As Homer might say: coin goes up, coin goes down. Coin goes up, coin goes down. Hehehehehehehehe.

      --
      Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
  15. Makes sense by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

    All the people selling stocks need somewhere to put their money. Some of them are going to see the dramatic drop in bitcoin and decide to buy in.

    --
    Your ad here. Ask me how!
  16. Color me skeptical by Rick+Zeman · · Score: 2

    This looks more like "pump and dump" than any viable long term strategy.

  17. The ability to support by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    People need a way to support the people they like.
    As large politically motivated US sites ban and report content creators and publishers some way to support interesting people has to be found.
    Freedom of speech and freedom after speech is not a sin.
    A payment system may have some use in supporting people politically after politically motivated deplatforming and bans.
    When a large company thinks it can shape politics by removing a publisher, people can still show their support with a different method of funding.

    Free from the politics of large brands who want to curate the internet.

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  18. manipulated markets by bigtreeman · · Score: 1

    Markets are constantly manipulated to the benefit of a few at the cost of most and the biggest loser is truth.

    --
    Go well
  19. Fools gold by WCMI92 · · Score: 1

    Bitcoin is not real money. It is worthless except to scammers.

    --
    Corporatism != Free Market
  20. Re:THERE WILL ALWAYS BE CONSEQUENCES KEN DOLL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clanging

    >In psychology and psychiatry, clanging refers to a mode of speech characterized by association of words based upon sound rather than concepts. For example, this may include compulsive rhyming or alliteration without apparent logical connection between words. This is associated with the irregular thinking apparent in psychotic mental illnesses (e.g. mania and schizophrenia).

  21. Investing in Bitcoin: Ethics by Deliveranc3 · · Score: 1

    I support bitcoin because I think it's innovative. I think there'a a lot of potential for an internet money free from a large organization or government control.

    It doesn't bother me too much that I didn't get in "On The Ground Floor" because I see the people who invested or innovated as believers in a cause and innovators who will use their wealth to improve the system.

    I think Bitcoin will rise again.

    I also think there is too much talk about manipulation. People would need to intentionally lose money for it to be considered manipulation and people tend not to do that.

    Also shorting doesn't necessarily lower the price of a stock or commodity. It just encourages behaviors to lower value which is why it's so tightly regulated. Selling short is no different than selling held value except for the person doing the selling and the organization that invests in their speculation.

    It's sad to see Slashdotters not investing in bitcoin. It could be the golden goose which funds a lot of technological innovation if creative believers would get behind it.

    It's particularly disturbing to consider right-wing nutjobs not investing in bitcoin, it's pretty much a wet dream for all those who believe in free markets and avoiding government intervention yet they're so skeptical they're not supporting their dreams coming true.

    I'm pretty left leaning so I see a lot of potential for harm in a deflationary currency but I see a lot of potential to overturn the petrodollar and I think that's worth supporting.

  22. The first bottom isn't the last bottom by ayesnymous · · Score: 1

    Just like the first peak wasn't the final peak for Bitcoin, the first bottom at 3100 won't be the final bottom. These first dip buyers are going to panic and sell before the real bottom is in.