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Miners Say They Dig AI But the Gold Rush Hasn't Come (wsj.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: The chairman of Barrick Gold Corp made a bold prediction in late 2017: With the help of artificial intelligence and other digital tools, the world's largest gold miner would become a technology company that just happened to be in mining. A year later, Barrick has parted ways with its chief innovation officer, chief digital officer and many of the team tasked with making this transformation a reality, according to people familiar with the matter.

The revolution in machine learning, as predicted by Barrick Chairman John Thornton and other mining executives, has yet to come. Miners have said digital technologies like artificial intelligence, or AI, will revolutionize one of the world's oldest industries in the same way it has changed other businesses, from retail to hailing a cab. Some experts say the promise of AI in mining has been overhyped and progress has been slow. Companies, including Barrick and giants such as Rio Tinto and BHP Group, are running some AI-led projects. But implementation at some companies has hit cultural hurdles. Executives haven't always engaged, projects have taken longer than expected and companies have turned to other ways to modernize operations.

51 comments

  1. But don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    SPACE is where all the mining will happen in the future!!

    CROFLOL!!!!

    1. Re:But don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I fully agree Sir! Watch the video linked below if you are not already positive!
      --
      Rocketman - Star Trek 2: The Wrath of Khan - William Shatner Trailer

  2. That was a dumbass prediction by Red_Forman · · Score: 2

    You can't "A.I." your way into finding more gold.

    1. Re: That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you can sure as hell blockchain ICO your way into it!

    2. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Gold mining industry rely on dirty cheap labor on 3rd countries without regards to labor safety and polluting the environment. AI won't help until it becomes cheaper than the lives of miners. Gold should be lot more expensive than it is now if the true cost of humane labor practices and environmental protections are factored in to the cost of mining gold. I don't agree with going back to gold monetary system but gold as a long term investment is a good way to make money.

    3. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He over heard someone at a cocktail party say "An AI blockchain would be a gold mine." and took it way too literally.

    4. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "true" cost factors in actual costs, not whatever environmental and labour externalities you think should be applied.
      Are you going to pay market price now or a higher price for what you think gold should be?

    5. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by guacamole · · Score: 3, Funny

      Not if you're mining cryptocurrencies!

    6. Re: That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dug up some gold in my backyard. I suspect there's a vein deeper down but I just don't have the resources to mine for it. I also found diamonds, glowstone and dinosaur poop in the shape of various celebrities heads.

    7. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A well kept secret among traders is that silver much better investment circa to gold.
      --
      Rocketman - Star Trek 2: The Wrath of Khan - William Shatner Trailer

    8. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The "true" cost includes the (falsely) removed externalities like environmental damage, which has a cost and/or reduction in value that is not repaid. If Gold hurts the environment to produce, and it does, that cost must ultimately be paid.

    9. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Besides, machine learning (or soft AI) can do well in limited space plus know most (if not all) factors involved in the procedure. In real life mining, there are tons of variants and uncertainties, so it is impossible to actually do a good job at all. The mining people who whine about this illustrate that they know NOTHING but the BUZZ word!

    10. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interesting but I always assumed that silver coins were an even better investment. Am I wrong?

    11. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The important thing to know would be did he or didn't he do a double-take?

      Please elaborate further...

      Thanks! :)

    12. Re: That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you live on Fruitdale in San Jose?

      P.S. I have always thought that they should have named that street "Fruitcake" instead.

    13. Re:That was a dumbass prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you use seismic methods to find veins, model trill bits and other equipment aging and control, model worker reliability and some other logistic issues, rely on quick local weather prediction for maximizing profits, .. , Better, Faster, Stronger!!!111!!!

  3. Lesson 101 in Mining (and AI mining) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're looking in the wrong place

    1. Re:Lesson 101 in Mining (and AI mining) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, I have always conduct my life from a simple principle from that great movies when I was a teenage, in Tron it says "I do not search I find"
      --
      Rocketman - Star Trek 2: The Wrath of Khan - William Shatner Trailer

    2. Re:Lesson 101 in Mining (and AI mining) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then. why are you trying to reinvent yourself? By the way, try to learn how to write English for a change!

  4. The old ways are the best ways by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rip Trump's tiny treasonous bitch arms off and use them as dowsing rods. Just as effective, much more satisfying.

  5. Mines out here already have self driving trucks by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    a buddy of mine was pretty pissed because he'd been trying to get a job driving truck at the mine for years. It (used to) pay really well. They're also using little drones to plant explosives and explore tunnels (since they can't use children anymore :) ).

    I'm actually surprised there aren't more robots. I realize these aren't really AI, but from a layman's standpoint the distinction doesn't seem too important.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Mines out here already have self driving trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 2

      They learn most of what they need to know from geological studies that are related to those explosives.

      They already have good data, and well-developed statistical methods for processing it. AI here would only help on the margins, it wouldn't help them on deciding where to mine.

      It would probably be useful for people who buy depleted mines and then find the nooks and crannies that have a little gold left. But the big boys have no need for it until it is so good that they don't have to hire geologists anymore.

    2. Re:Mines out here already have self driving trucks by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 4, Informative

      They already have good data, and well-developed statistical methods for processing it.

      Most of which was thought of as AI research back in the 80's. Schlumberger, (among many others) were bringing together advances in signal processing and "AI" to figure out where oil deposits were back then. All of this was supposedly "whiz bang" crap by the haters of the day, but these techniques (and their much better heirs) are just used today. Two morals of this story: (a) Don't be so skeptical about a field that under-delivers on its ultimate goals, but seems to spin off scads of useful technology in the process of reaching for it; (b) Those who don't remember history are doomed to repeat it.

      --
      That is all.
    3. Re:Mines out here already have self driving trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about mole miners, did he ever run into any of those?

    4. Re:Mines out here already have self driving trucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot already have its own dedicated mole miner from San Jose. He mole mines all kind of stuff from YouTube views to Amazon cookies.

    5. Re:Mines out here already have self driving trucks by Aighearach · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, but oil is way harder than gold. Gold is extracted from near the surface.

      It is because it worked so good for metals that they knew to apply the computers to the harder problem of oil.

      The point is, they can already easily find most of the gold in an area without much digging. Improvements only can hope to find the small amount that isn't already easy to find. Gold mines already don't mine all the ore they can find, they only mine the higher quality parts. They don't have a desire to dig up more of the lower quality stuff that they might find with an improved technique.

      Whereas with oil, they can't find nearly as much as they want, and they can use almost anything they can pump out. Lots of room for improvement there.

      I'm not skeptical that it might have some other use. But if there is some other use, that doesn't actually help it to be useful for the use discussed in the story. The potential existence of other uses does not in any way touch skepticism towards this application.

      If it eventually replaces the geologists they currently use, it will do so without having significantly changed what gold ore is detected and dug up. Because that is not a limiting factor in gold mining.

  6. AI isn't that smart yet. by jellomizer · · Score: 2

    Computers are not smart, but they are relentless. an 8 year old can add numbers together, but a computer can add numbers together for days on end, much faster then a person can, because it doesn't get board, or care about its existence, you can take the CPU fan off the CPU, and it will add numbers until it is burned out.

    Today's AI systems are just big probability and correlation calculators, where the Math to do this has been around for centuries, just that with large data sets it become exponentially more complex to process. Today's computers following Moors law have grown to a point where it can handle big enough data sets over a long period of time, where it can find patterns and correlations that most humans will just get tired of doing.

    The human brain is actually really good at correlations that is why when we see an Apple, we know it is an Apple, even if it is a different color, at a different location, shaped slightly differently, or even at a different orientation. However we are good at processing a 3d world, but giving big sets of 2d Data. not so much, so the computer can handle it better.

    Now for Mining, our Correlation brain with experience, can give an experience minor a gut feeling on where to dig, he will be able to figure this out much faster then today's fastest computers.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:AI isn't that smart yet. by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      but a computer can add numbers together for days on end, much faster then a person can, because it doesn't get board,

      Well, technically, someone does have to pay for the electricity that computers "eat", so yes, they do get board. And "room" in the computing center.

      The human brain is actually really good at correlations that is why when we see an Apple, we know it is an Apple,

      Apples are a ubiquitous object, and food. Lots of people have lots of incentive to recognize "apple". Where to dig for gold based on drill holes and previous mining operations is a much less common task, and the number of people who have spent much of their lives learning the correlations is much smaller and it takes a long time to replace those who retire. It takes much less time to feed the data into a computer.

    2. Re:AI isn't that smart yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What the fuck are you smoking? It has nothing to do with 2d vs 3d. You recognize an apple when you see a picture of it too. It has nothing to do with the number of visible dimensions and everything to do with the type of data. People are good at recognizing images. They're horrible at keeping large numerical values in memory and doing complex calculations on them. This is what computers were invented for and they're damn good at it. This is the reason that they're faster. They process at the speed of electricity jumping through circuits. They're not (significantly) faster because people get bored.

    3. Re:AI isn't that smart yet. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Computers are not smart, but they are relentless.

      Computers are smatter than most Slashdot users. As far as relentlessniness goes this guy is the best unfortunately he left Slashdot.

      Cdreimer left /. after 20 years and posted 100+ videos in 2018. His trolls are still butthurt that he left them alone with APK.

      The thing to do for him: post more videos :)
       

  7. whoa! easy there pardner! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's all just ease up on all the hype and snark and have a nice cold blockchain soda!

  8. Falling for the 'AI' marketing hype by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    That's what too many companies and people are doing: drinking the marketing- and media-hype kool-aid, believing the half-assed so-called 'AI' they keep trotting out is somehow going to 'revolutionize' everything, make humans obsolete, and so on, and so on, and so on. The more time that passes the more people start seeing it's bullshit.

    1. Re:Falling for the 'AI' marketing hype by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is up with the AI hype anyway?
      Seems like ever since alpha go, a cool tech demo for sure, but nothing revolutionary, everyone has been going crazy predicting all kinds of crazy stuff.
      Machine learning, self learning etc. etc. have been around for years and years.
      There has been no fundamental advance in AI (that I have seen at least) in the last decade.
      Only change is we have more compute power, but other than setting neural nets loose there is nothing to be done with it.
      These types of AI can only be used in situation where there are no stakes.
      No one dies if alpha go loses, the plant doesn't blow up, you don't accidentally blow the oil refinery, or turn the smelter into slag.
      For all of those things you need precise and predictable control, which we already have with decades of digital control theory.
      Computer vision is still emerging, but is no where near reliable enough for anything more than gimmicks (face ID) or applications that get checked by hand afterwards (CCTV face detection). (i.e. not real time applications)

    2. Re:Falling for the 'AI' marketing hype by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      See? You get it. Now go out and educate everyone else you can. Then get them to do the same. Might just be able to counteract the hype machine.

  9. Pac-man again AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Industry has been announcing that there will be near term break throughs using AI to help locate gold, oil, etc since the 1970s.

    Every wave of new AI technology gets hyped by company management as the next big thing.

    How many times will news readers fall for the same story?

    Like reading the April 15th newspaper article about people waiting till the last minute to file taxes and expecting new information.

    Here's my template:

    "Scientists using ___(technology X)____ have discovered breakthrough ___(break through Z)___ and expect it to revolutionize ___(area B)____ in the next 5 years."

    That's the template for thousands of newspaper articles each year.

    DE-VO

    1. Re:Pac-man again AI by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Industry has been announcing that there will be near term break throughs...

      And although he left Slashdot, this guy has been announciating a brand new video every week + bonus videos, amazing!

      Cdreimer left /. after 20 years and posted 100+ videos in 2018. His trolls are still butthurt that he left them alone with APK.

      The thing to do for him: post more videos :)

  10. Obvious problem by PPH · · Score: 1

    They couldn't stop the robots from sneaking nuggets out in their lunch boxes.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Obvious problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  11. Stop relying on Al! by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    I asked Al if he wanted to grab a beer and he told me he couldn't because he was busying working for no pay while putting people out of jobs. Stop relying on Al to do all your work and give the guy a break! >:(

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:Stop relying on Al! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What happened? The Al I remember never said no to a beer. Is he still working at that shoe store?

  12. doing stuff by bigtreeman · · Score: 0

    What's the reason we people do stuff ???
    It's to fill in our time and to put our energies toward the common good.
    The aim of ultra automation is to leave most people sitting on their arses twiddling their thumbs.
    We've lost our direction and our purpose for being is fucked up.

    --
    Go well
  13. well they're not WRONG, exactly by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    "Miners have said digital technologies like artificial intelligence, or AI, will revolutionize one of the world's oldest industries in the same way it has changed other businesses, from retail to hailing a cab"

    AI will change mining the exactly same way it has so far changed retail and 'hailing a cab' - that is, not at all (since AI doesn't actually EXIST yet).

    Seriously, what's next - people "reporting" on how antigravity, fusion, and magic spells* will improve businesses bottom lines as well? How fucking stupid are journalists (and, apparently, CEOs) who believe this shit?

    *cf dark energy, blockchain, etc

    --
    -Styopa
  14. Robots by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

    To be fair, any mining done a mile underground where it's 130 degrees should be done entirely by robots, no human beings required (except possibly as remote drone operators). But I don't think that's what they are talking about when they say "AI"! I'm still not clear why human beings are used in coal mines... they tend to die, and that tends to result in law suits against the coal company!

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    1. Re:Robots by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      yes but that's still about a decade off.

      you can see some autonomous mining trucks and drills out there, but it's not huge. And no mass produced thing that does work of human miner

  15. We work in this space by labnet · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Our business is one of the leaders in sensors for underground mines, so we are privy to the culture of some of the biggest players in this space.

    Check this out as an example. https://www.youtube.com/watch?... as to where at least cave style mining is heading.

    AI is bit a of dumb term. Automation and closed loop feedback would be a better description for what is happening in mining. For example Rio have recently completed a large automated heavy rail network in Australia. http://www.railpage.com.au/new...
    Companies like http://www.petradatascience.co... are using big data to increase reliability and reduce ore dilution.

    Take for example sub level mining. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
    A phd was recently presented that looked at three parameters to do with explosive density, ring spacing & tunnel spacing and dilution and fragmentation. It found varying just these three parameters had the OPPOSITE effect to what was commonly understood by industry. AI is useless unless you understand the fundamentals!

    Now here where you get the big culture differences. A consultant plans the mine, a contractor builds out the infrastructure (which can be $5 Billion+), and someone else operates the mine. The operator just cares about pulling out as much ore as possible. To do real R&D that helps improve mine productivity, usually involves disruptions, which means preparing budgets years in advance and executing programs over multiple years, then trying to convince the operator to change their process based on the R&D. It takes a lot of effort, money and time. For example: to drill one 100mm hole 1km long to put sensors in, can cost one million dollars!

    So yes, tech continues to ramp up in mines, with increased sensors, automation and data feedback, but the gains are slow and hard won!

    --
    46137
    1. Re:We work in this space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apparently whenever you have a Monte-Carlo simulation in your models you should consider utilizing AI for speed-up.

  16. No wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They should dig holes, not AI.

  17. It is a god rush by houghi · · Score: 2

    Look up what the gold rush was. Overhyped promise of money where some won and most lost. Be it money or their life.

    The gold rush is, if you look into it, more about loss than gain. So it sounds like a gold rush to me.

    --
    Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
  18. Uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's because there's no such thing as 'AI'. I don't know why anyone expects modern algorithms to be capable of anything algorithms of the past weren't. They got what they asked for.

  19. Source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >The chairman of Barrick Gold Corp

    not who i'd trust to predict the path of the technology industry.

  20. Miner 2049er? by Hillie · · Score: 1

    :)

    --
    - Alex