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Global Warming Could Exceed 1.5C Within Five Years, Report Says (theguardian.com)
An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Global warming could temporarily hit 1.5C above pre-industrial levels for the first time between now and 2023, according to a long-term forecast by the Met Office. Meteorologists said there was a 10% chance of a year in which the average temperature rise exceeds 1.5C, which is the lowest of the two Paris agreement targets set for the end of the century. Until now, the hottest year on record was 2016, when the planet warmed 1.11C above pre-industrial levels, but the long-term trend is upward. In the five-year forecast released on Wednesday, the Met Office highlights the first possibility of a natural El Niño combining with global warming to exceed the 1.5C mark. Climatologists stressed this did not mean the world had broken the Paris agreement 80 years ahead of schedule because international temperature targets are based on 30-year averages. Although it would be an outlier, scientists said the first appearance in their long-term forecasts of such a "temporary excursion" was worrying, particularly for regions that are usually hard hit by extreme weather related to El Nino. This includes western Australia, South America, south and west Africa, and the Indian monsoon belt.
I must reluctantly admire the faith of a climate fundamentalist who puts his money where his mouth is. May I ask, how have you made a real money bet on climate change?
Perhaps you bought shares in an engineering company that specializes in building dikes? Or maybe you invested your retirement funds in an inverse ETF that aggressively shorts fossil fuels? Enquiring minds want to know!
I live in a desert, and meteorologists still manage to get the weather reports wrong. So I'll take any long term forecasts for the globe with a mountain of salt.
You found an unpublished paper by an economist!!
Yeah that would be the same guy who showed the hockey stick was B.S. while thousands climate scientists were pushing it like the second coming
https://www.technologyreview.c...
But thank you for the Ad Hominem and the appeal to authority. Did you want to make it any clearer you don't have the intellectual horsepower to discuss the topic on your own ?
https://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/opinion/the-conversion-of-a-climate-change-skeptic.html
You were saying...
Living in Canada, we've got more polar bears then ever before. The numbers are large enough that they're pushing into brown and black bear territories. Oh, and CFL's? You mean those same CFL's that burn out in half the time of a incandescent, but require more raw materials to make. So ... great ... for the environment.
Om, nomnomnom...
You are called a denier because your reasoning is identical to that of other types of denier. And whining about ad hominem and then banging in about "Marxist echo chamber at school" is pure absence of self-awareness.