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Hundreds Still Live In The 'Exclusion Zone' Around Chernobyl (bbc.com)

This weekend the BBC reports on the site of the Chernobyl nuclear plant explosion -- where "robotic cranes are dismantling 33-year-old, radioactive wreckage" -- investigating an area of more than 4,000 square kilometres [2,485 square miles] that's been abandoned since 1986. "That could be about to change..."

An anonymous reader summarizes their report: "Every community within a 30km radius [18.9 miles] of the plant was evacuated and abandoned; no one was allowed to return here to live." Yet the BBC visits a tiny community of 15 who reclaimed their homes in 1986 -- part of a population of 200 "self-settlers" deep in the exclusion zone, "an ageing population cut off from the rest of the country.... Almost every family forced to leave here was given an apartment in a nearby town or city. For Maria and her [88-year-old] mother, though, this cottage, with the garden wrapped around it, was home. They refused to abandon it. 'We weren't allowed to come back, but I followed my mum.'"

Parts of the exclusion zone in Ukraine and Belarus have become "a post-human nature reserve", home to prowling wolves and dozens of wild horses. Yet Professor Jim Smith from the UK's University of Portsmouth explains that "Most of the area of the exclusion zone gives rise to lower radiation dose rates than many areas of natural radioactivity worldwide." In fact, the abandoned nuclear-worker city of Pripyat was recently deemed safe to visit for short periods, "and has now become one of Ukraine's most talked about tourist attractions. An estimated 60,000 people visited the exclusion zone last year, keen to witness the dramatic decay."

And beyond the 18.9-mile line is Narodichi, a town of more than 2,500 people, where people "were quietly allowed to return home a few months after the disaster." Still considered an officially contaminated district -- and still in the "exclusion zone" -- it's a semi-abandoned area where all agriculture is banned, and the land can't be developed. 130 children attend Narodichi's kindergarten, but the kindergarten manager says half their parents are unemployed, "because there is nowhere to work." One of the least-contaminated areas in the exclusion zone, "Three decades of research have concluded that much of it is safe - for food to be grown and for the land to be developed." The BBC argues that "Fear of radiation could actually be hurting the people...far more than the radiation itself. "

16 of 100 comments (clear)

  1. Average dosage by 110010001000 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The average American gets 17 microsieverts per day. Most of the exclusion zone has way less than that.

    1. Re:Average dosage by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You say this like it proves the exclusion zone is too big. In fact the problem with the exclusion zone is that it's not uniform; it has hot spots where you would not want to live, and less hot spots that you could live in and which are are closer to the sarcophagus.

      You could reduce the area of the zone by producing an extremely detailed map of go/no-go areas. That has the advantage of reclaiming more land. But it has the disadvantage that given enough people living right next to no-go areas a certain number will inevitably stray into them, pick up or disturb contamination, then spread it.

      No matter how you draw the line, you could probably draw it better by some criterion.

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    2. Re:Average dosage by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      There's also lots of old buildings that could fall down and conceivably raise a cloud. You don't want to live next to something like that. It could be safe today, and unsafe tomorrow.

      --
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    3. Re:Average dosage by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Maybe he posted to point out the fallacy we heard when Chernobyl melted down, that it was going to be an unusable wasteland for 10,000 years. Seems it was pretty much off by a factor around 300 or so...

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    4. Re:Average dosage by cheesybagel · · Score: 2

      This was known ever since it happened. For example do you think Hiroshima or Nagasaki are barren?
      That was with bombs. A meltdown is a much less dangerous event.

      You just need to look at the decay chains.
      For example dangerous elements are Iodine-131 and Strontium-90.

      Iodine-131 has a half life of 8 days. This is why people are advised to take iodine tablets in case they are exposed to uranium/plutonium fission products. It basically reduces the chance Iodine-131 will stay for long in the thyroid gland and reduces the chance of cancer there. Strontium-90 has a half life of 28.79 years. There are also other isotopes which are produced in a meltdown but the dangerous ones typically have ~30 years half life. The rest of the decay chain is a lot less dangerous.

      Simply limiting exposure in the first two weeks reduces chances to get sick and die dramatically.
      After 50-60 years the radiation becomes mostly harmless.

  2. Re: Slight correction for you Americans... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

    Its amazing how many people are still surprised that it is perfectly safe to live in these areas. Its highly dissappointing that many of these are reporters. Years of FUD still has its power over established science.

  3. Re:Could it happen here? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I am not a mechanical engineer but I was able to see and learn enough that I was reasonably assured that the kind of incident that happened at Chernobyl wouldn't happen there. At least not by accident.

    It didn't happen by accident at Chernobyl. It happened by abject stupidity.

    If the plant was sabotaged -- that's another matter.

    It wasn't. Unless you consider the mandate from Moscow to run that particular test "sabotage". The particular test in question was "is it possible to extract usable energy from a nuclear plant to deal with a meltdown in progress?" For which test, they pushed an out-of-the-way (in other words, on the back end of nowhere) nuclear plant as close to meltdown conditions as it was possible to safely go.

    Unfortunately, they were wrong about how far "as it was possible to SAFELY go" was....

    They were doing standard procedures and "mistakes were made."

    No, they weren't. They were doing experimental work prescribed by a bureaucrat several thousand km away. Which experimental work was completely unnecessary. The only good thing about the mess was that they had (barely) enough sense to do it on a reactor on the backend of nowhere...

    So yes nuclear power plants are scary.

    Only to people who know little or nothing about them.

    Remember, for all that Chernobyl was the worst nuclear power disaster in the history of the world, it killed fewer people than will die in traffic in the USA TODAY.

    For that matter, hydroelectric power has killed three orders of magnitude (at least. the three orders of magnitude are from ONE incident) more people than nuclear power, much less coal....

    --

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  4. Want to hear something worse? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Millions still live in New Jersey!

  5. Re:Counter post by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Is that a joke? I have to assume it is. Hiroshima ground zero is marked with a fairly small plaque on a boring standard Japanese side-street next to apartment buildings, businesses and restaurants. The one in Nagasaki is a small park with apartment buildings and a busy street about 150' away.

  6. Re:Could it happen here? by Luckyo · · Score: 2

    And to add to that, the only reason why Chernobyl was as hard to shut down properly as it was, was because that reactor type used graphite as a moderator. Graphite that burns, but keeps moderating in event of runaway reaction, which maintains the chain reaction.

    Modern reactors used heavy water as moderator for a very long time. If reaction runs away, water evaporates, and therefore ceases moderating the reaction, which means reaction no longer has slow neutrons to continue the chain reaction. So in event of Chernobyl like runaway reaction in a heavy water reactor, it would stop itself very quickly due to lack of ability to maintain chain reaction.

  7. Re:Could it happen here? by Solandri · · Score: 4, Informative

    The design of the plant at Chernobyl used a positive void coefficient. Basically, when the cooling water starts to boil (creating voids in the water), that increases the rate of nuclear fission. No western nuclear plant was ever designed like this because of how stupidly dangerous it is. All western nuclear plants use a negative void coefficient - the cooling water boiling slows down the rate of fission. An accident like Chernobyl could never happen at a western plant. The Soviets were trying to get energy for as cheap as possible and cut all sorts of corners designing their plants, including using a positive void coefficient .

    Chernobyl began as a test where they intentionally shut down the automatic safety systems, then didn't react in time when the rate of fissioning began to go out of control. Due to the positive void coefficient design, once the boiling water began boiling, the heat generation began to increase exponentially. The fuel vaporized and exploded, blowing the reactor and containment building apart, and throwing radioactive debris and vapor into the atmosphere and countryside.

    The accident at Three Mile Island was actually pretty similar in terms of buildup. They shut down a bunch of safety systems for a test, then didn't monitor the instrument readings closely enough (or more likely, the people monitoring them weren't trained well enough to understand what the readings meant - Homer Simpson as incompetent nuclear plant operator is actually a reference to TMI). The temperature went up, the cooling water boiled, and the fissioning stopped. The increased temperature was enough to melt the fuel rods, turning the reactor into useless slag. But it was all contained within the steel pressure vessel exactly like designed (there's a second reinforced concrete containment vessel around the pressure vessel in case it fails). The concern at the time was that a reaction between the fuel rod cladding and water had created hydrogen gas at sufficient pressure to crack both containment vessels, so they evacuated around the plant out of an abundance of \caution. But it turned out not to have been a concern as the hydrogen vented. It's a tiny molecule so can permeate through things that are designed to contain water and radioactive materials. (It's the reason the buildings at Fukushima blew apart. There's supposed to be a vent or fan which exhausts hydrogen into the atmosphere, but apparently that wasn't working at Fukushima so it built up until it reacted with atmospheric oxygen in an explosion that blew apart the exterior building. It did not affect the pressure vessel or the concrete containment vessel.)

    The comparison I like to draw when people point to Chernobyl as an example of problems with nuclear power is Banqio. The worst power generation-related accident in history was actually the failure of a series of hydroelectric dams. During intense rain, a series of earthen dams used to hold water for generation at a hydroelectric power plant failed. The resulting flood and devastation killed about 170,000 people, destroyed nearly 6 million buildings, and left 11 million people homeless. But no western country uses earthen dams for hydroelectric power. So citing Banqio as an example of why hydroelectric power is dangerous and shouldn't be used, is like citing Chernobyl as an example of why nuclear power is dangerous and shouldn't be used. They're both irrelevant outside of the Communist bloc, since the rest of the world never did anything so stupidly dangerous.

  8. Re:Could it happen here? by sjames · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually, at the time of the explosion, the operators were doing things FAR from standard, and in fact, the precipitating event was an operation explicitly prohibited under any circumstances in order to do something they weren't supposed to attempt.

    More specifically, they were SUPPOSED to bring the reactor down to a low output and stabilize it there, then scram the reactor to see if residual steam and inertia in the system would provide sufficient power to safely shut it down. In order to do the test, several safeties were disabled.

    The test was supposed to happen during the day shift, but high power demands meant they had to wait. This left the less experienced night crew to carry out the test. They probably should have postponed, but that would anger the (seriously dysfunctional) upper management.

    First stem, they reduced power, but they reduced it too much. So they tried to bring power back up to the starting condition but the reactor wouldn't do it. This shouldn't have been a surprise, when reactor power is reduced by a large amount, the production of neutron absorbing poisons temporarily outstrips their "burn off" from excess neutrons. Rather than wait the prescribed 24-48 hours for the poisons to decay, they decided to attempt to burn off the poisons by withdrawing more control rods (a prohibited procedure)

    Still having no success, they eventually withdrew ALL of the control rods (an absolutely forbidden procedure) leaving the reactor in a VERY unstable condition. In fact, it was primed for a runaway positive feedback. As power output started rising rapidly, they attempted to drive the conntrol rods back in, but it wasn't possible to do it fast enough, so the reactor went to many times it's maximum rating and then part of the core exploded (a flash steam explosion, not a nuclear explosion) and much of the core was ejected through the top of the reactor.

    So it was an inherently dangerous reactor design, disabled safeties, and undertrained and inexperienced operators doing all the don'ts that resulted in the disaster.

    The reactor's design was a big contributor as well. For one, it had a positive void coefficient. Meaning if the coolant formed a void, power output would increase. Reactor designs approved in the rest of the world tend to have a negative void coefficient. The control rods were (for some odd reason) carbon tipped, meaning that the first few feet of the rod INCREASE output by improving moderation. It had no actual containment building, just standard industrial sheet metal.

  9. Re:Could it happen here? by blindseer · · Score: 2

    Can't have a big bang just because some suicidal terrorists fight their way into the reactor hall.

    A safety feature I've seen proposed in some fourth generation designs is a big fat "fuck you" button for such a scenario. If there is a threat of release of anything even potentially weapons grade, or of sabotage, there is a mechanism that will dump a big load of fission poisoning isotopes to spoil the batch and render the core effectively inert. They might still be able to walk away with some radioactive material but it will be no more valuable in a weapon than natural uranium dug up from the ground. Mashing the "fuck you" button would render the power plant unable to be restarted for a very long time but it also makes it worthless to anyone that wants to use it to make weapons.

    Any nation that wants to make a nuclear weapon can do so by digging up some uranium and enriching it like the USA did in the 1940s. All the anti-proliferation laws do is keep the bar at that level rather than lower it with access to some new technology.

    --
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  10. Re:again cite required by sfcat · · Score: 2

    the environmental exposure is 2.4 to 3 mSv. A quick search on EPA for "17 micro Sv per day" reveal nothing, and all source I cited have that 3mSv. The only way I can get to 6 mSv per year is if you count *medical* exposure in addition to environmental.

    While what you posting is sort of correct, it seems to lack any sort of understanding of background radiation. The first problem is that measuring radiation is really complex. Your unit of measure, the mSv is used for something called absorbed dose which takes into account things like how far you are from the radiation source and how quickly your body absorbs radiation. Its a measure of how much biological effect, but it isn't a measure of background radiation. We use Curries or Becquerels for that. The problem is that different types of ionizing radiation do different things and so have to be measured differently. Alpha radiation for instance can be blocked by clothes and sunscreen and is found in sunlight but does 20x the damage to the body per unit of energy so the amount of alpha radiation released is multiplied by 20 when calculating absorbed dose but not multiplied when calculating effective dose (a physical measure of an amount of radiation to which something was exposed)

    As far as measuring the amount of radiation in an area, you can do that and everywhere around the world there is some background radiation. However, that amount varies wildly in a ratio of about 1:400. So there are natural places around the world where people have lived for >10,000 years which naturally have higher levels of background radiation than Chernobyl had just weeks after the accident (Congo, another in Iran, and in Brazil). Also, those places don't have higher than normal amounts of cancer which is weird. Also, flying will expose you to about 100x the radiation that you experience at the airport. And finally, you yourself and me and every other human ever born is slightly radioactive thanks to K40.

    We just don't know the exact amounts and effects of high levels of radioactivity over time, but clearly the LNT (Linear no threshold) model we use is incorrect. But since using an overly cautious way to measure health effects is considered good, we do it. However, now that the fear of nuclear power is hurting us more than radiation ever could, perhaps that well-meaning decision (that the man who made the decision knew was overly cautious when he announced the theory) could be reevaluated. Maybe an acceptable level of radiation is a high background radiation found at naturally radioactive sites. Nah, the trial lawyers couldn't allow that...

    --
    "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
  11. I am aware of that by aepervius · · Score: 2

    But due to Q factor and other effect it is much easier to use mSv, Bq is nigh useless for example as 10 Bq of gamma or 10 Bq of alpha have vastly different effect from outside the organism or inside, but aside that you are speaking of *activity* which is not what the OP is about but absorbed dose. So if you want to go Rem or Gray feel free to do it, but environmental average exposure will mostly be cited in Sv again due to the fact we are more interested in equivalent absorbed dose, than what activity there is. And As you see above *the op cited in Sv therefore it makes sense to continue in Sv*. Furthermore I cited again the average and mentioned there are vast difference between where you are (my example was limoge due to the known radon problem there - but there are other known). Again none of your explanation pertain to the op which pretended that 17 micro Sv per day is average for environmental radiation in the US without cite (this is 6 mSv per year), and this run contrary to all cite I provided (which use absorbed dose Sv too). Not too be too snarky, but none of your explanation explain the OP nor do they offer cite for the OP. As for curie... It has been an eternity I had anybody speak to me in that unit when speaking of exposure or absorbed dose. Is that an US holdover ?

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    1. Re:I am aware of that by sfcat · · Score: 2

      As for curie... It has been an eternity I had anybody speak to me in that unit when speaking of exposure or absorbed dose. Is that an US holdover ?

      Bq or Becquerel which is the SI unit is 19 orders of magnitude less than a Curie so for activity its really weird to use the SI unit. Rem or Gray are absorbed dose which is probably the best of the choices of units of measure for physical radiation. So that's probably the best unit for a legal standard as the most damaging radiation is also the most common in the environment normally and the easiest to block. But you are right that since people really care about biological impact more than a physical unit, mSv is used in the media and for legal standards.

      By either measure, the current background radiation at near Chernobyl or Fukushima is lower than some places that have high natural background radiation. Places people have lived for thousands of years. That's why talking about radiation is so frustrating. With all the complex units and measures its hard to have a sense of perspective about what is and isn't dangerous. And even when we boil it down to Effective dose (mSv unit) its misleading as to potential harm. That's because (you probably already know this but) there probably isn't any alpha radiation at say 100 yards from the site of the reactor because alpha radiation is easy to block. What's coming out at that range is probably only Gamma radiation which are high energy photons. And those are hard to block and they probably have a completely different impact than high amounts of alpha radiation which you can get from living in the tropics with no sunscreen and little shade.

      To give an example, the folks in the exclusion zone might have the same equivalent dose as our hypothetical desert living person, but that hypothetical desert person would have 1/20th the absorbed dose and as you imply same the rate of cancer (equivalent dose is accurate at low levels). However, if those exposures to different types of radiation (alpha vs gamma) would be compressed to a small amount of time, say an hour of intense radiation the relationship to levels of tissue damage and rates of cancer would likely be different (Gamma radiation is a bitch which makes equivalent dose less accurate here). That's why the equations computing effective dose are so complex, they try to capture these relationships but since we don't know completely the impact of time that's not a variable used by equivalent dose so when that variable changes, the measure becomes more or less accurate. Its science so its a constantly improving but ultimately imperfect approximating of reality.

      Is a lot of radiation in a short time worse than a small amount of radiation over a long period? We don't know but there does seem to be a base level of background radiation below which there is no harm. We just don't seem to admit this or allow for a reasonable level to be set for it. 1Sv will make you physically and life-threateningly sick from radiation poisoning. 1/10th of that will give you symptoms of radiation poisoning but you will survive. Less than that gives you an elevated risk of cancer. But that last line is what we just don't know. Doing such research is unethical in the extreme so we just study populations that were exposed in the past and try to extrapolate out, usually with a huge safety margin. That's why you are quibbling about an amount of radiation that certainly wouldn't cause radiation sickness and probably wouldn't increase cancer risk to any measurable degree. It would likely take 17x that much radiation to cause a measurable increase in cancer rates and even then it would be a few percentage points at first. But at about 50x more radiation than the levels you mentioned, it would probably double cancer rates. So it is something to be tracked, just not something to be worried about at the levels you reference.

      --
      "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."