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Canada Warming At Twice the Global Rate, Report Finds (www.cbc.ca)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from CBC.ca: Canada is, on average, experiencing warming at twice the rate of the rest of the world, with Northern Canada heating up at almost three times the global average, according to a new government report. Entitled "Canada's Changing Climate Report (CCCR)," the study was commissioned by the Environment and Climate Change Department and was slated to be released officially on Tuesday. That release date was moved up to Monday after CBC published its story about the leaked report.

The leaked copy of the report says that since 1948, Canada's annual average temperature over land has warmed 1.7 C, with higher rates seen in the North, the Prairies and northern British Columbia. In Northern Canada, the annual average temperature has increased by 2.3 C. According to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), since 1948, global average temperatures have increased by about 0.8 C. Along with these temperature increases, the CCCR says Canada is experiencing increases in precipitation (particularly in winter), "extreme fire weather" and water supply shortages in summer, and a heightened risk of coastal flooding. The document says that while warming in Canada has been the result of both human activity and natural variations in the climate, "the human factor is dominant," especially emissions of greenhouse gases.

111 of 245 comments (clear)

  1. heat rises by bobby · · Score: 5, Funny

    USA is generating all that heat, and heat rises, and Canada is above USA, so...

    1. Re:heat rises by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      USA is generating all that heat, and heat rises, and Canada is above USA, so...

      So your saying my dream/vague goal of becoming an expat and getting accepted into Canada due to my software engineering skills thus allowing me to finally live some place where Trump's approval is around 25%, meaning that most people are slightly more sane is looking better all the time? (It will be warmer.)

    2. Re: heat rises by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      APRIL FOOLS!!! Canada is freezing cold as EVER!!!

    3. Re:heat rises by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Informative

      And yet Alaska remains untouched!

      Yeah, about that:

      https://www.popsci.com/alaska-...

      https://www.smithsonianmag.com...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    4. Re: heat rises by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Fun fact, both the US AND Afghanistan have more female representatives in government than Canada.

      Afghanistan mate....

      Good luck with the move.

    5. Re:heat rises by lgw · · Score: 1

      USA is generating all that heat, and heat rises, and Canada is above USA, so...

      You joke, but that's more or less how it actually works. Global warming due to CO2 mostly warms the poles, because the effect is to even out temps across the globe. For a little bit of warming at the equator, you get a lot of warming at the poles.

      This effect is why there's a worry about the ice at the poles melting with only a small average increase in temperature. It works the other way too: with a smallish decrease in temperature, Canada will be under 1 km of glaciers, which has been the most common condition for the past 100 M years or so (we're in the Quaternary Ice Age).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    6. Re: heat rises by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Costa del Canada

    7. Re:heat rises by pnutjam · · Score: 1

      There are many European cities at the same latitude as Canadian cities, yet a much more temperate climate. I think this is due to ocean currents, which are bound to change when we modify the globes temperature.

    8. Re:heat rises by bobby · · Score: 1

      Poles? Poland is in Eastern Europe. No where near North America. Check Apple maps. Unless you're talking about Poles who have emigrated to North Americza; they'll get some of the warming.

    9. Re:heat rises by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Canada isn't a socialist country. We have higher personal income taxes than the US but we are very definitely a capitalist country.
      Folks need to stop confusing social programs with socialism. The one means free-ish health care and the other means piles of skulls.
      Get it straight.

    10. Re:heat rises by lgw · · Score: 1

      You might find it interesting to look at the glacier maps from the last glaciation. A big chunk of modern Europe was under the ice sheet. One of the bigger mysteries of climate is why that's not the current condition - it should have been, had the pattern for the last million years or so held (and probably a lot longer, but that's as far back as we have ice core data). It's no coincidence that human civilization arose when the usually-brief warm period lasted 10,000 years instead.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    11. Re: heat rises by LordAba · · Score: 1

      Colder than a witches teat

      I've known some hot witches, so I propose to change the quote to "colder than an anti-vaxxers kid".

    12. Re: heat rises by bob4u2c · · Score: 1

      Are there liberals in russia?

      Yes. They mainly hang out in prisons and graveyards.

    13. Re:heat rises by bob4u2c · · Score: 1

      Alaska is above what? Pacific Ocean, right?

      You do know that's not how heat rises? Standing on the South Pole the heat won't go straight into the earth because North is up. It will go "up" into outer space, just like it would anywhere on the earth.

      Now yes, the Ocean will contribute to the heating/cooling of the land mass, but that is mainly because of the wind which blows hot/cold air onto land. There is some direct heat/cold transfer at the beaches, but that is tiny compared to the wind.

    14. Re:heat rises by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 4, Informative

      > We have higher personal income taxes than the US

      No we don't.

      https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0411/do-canadians-really-pay-more-taxes-than-americans.aspx

      For most people, defining "most" as "at and below the median", you pay less tax in Canada. That, of course, has many caveats and exceptions.

    15. Re: heat rises by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      "colder than an anti-vaxxers kid".

      That joke's older than an anti-vaxxers kid.

    16. Re:heat rises by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      All of Canada was under glaciation in the last ice sheet. All of it. The warm-water stream up along the east coast of the US to the UK makes such a fundamentally huge difference that it shouldn't be a surprise either, it also explains why half of Europe wasn't under the ice sheet, or most of Russia.

      --
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    17. Re:heat rises by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You have to take into account provincial taxes and the huge regulated(hence taxed) system most Canadians live under.. Oh we are taxed way more than Americans.. Doesn't matter what department/level of government is taking it.. Canada has more stolen from them than Americans.

      ~90% fuel tax, Wheat/Dairy/poultry boards, regulations, SALES TAX(15% on almost everything for me, books, fuel,junk food). I am just now working on taxes for a death in the family.. 37.5% income tax on an estate.

    18. Re:heat rises by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      technically, Colorado has higher mountains than BC does, even if they're part of the same mountain chain, so it's all the extra emissions from Colorado flowing downhill to Canada, eh?

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    19. Re:heat rises by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      This is why Alaska was so warm this winter. And a lot of the Arctic ocean was not covered in ice.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    20. Re:heat rises by bobby · · Score: 1

      You do know that's not how heat rises? Standing on the South Pole the heat won't go straight into the earth because North is up. It will go "up" into outer space, just like it would anywhere on the earth.

      No no no. Earth is FLAT, but standing up like a pancake in a flapjack stand. For heat to go into the Earth it would have to travel laterally. Some is conducted, for sure, but otherwise it rises, up, to the north. That's why Antarctica is so cold- the heat moves up away from the South Pole.

      Okay, seriously, for whatever reason your post has me laughing uncontrollably with eyes watering. I just love how you explained it so simplistically and I'm sorry I made you do that but I keep laughing every time I look at it. Thank you! Seriously. I know you weren't sure about my post, so it's good to quell stupidity. I'm usually pretty careful here (and on the red site) with language, clarity, not using sarcasm unless I make it very obvious. I was in a bit of a silly mood. Technically April Fools' was over but I wasn't done with it. Yes, I'm fairly intelligent and scientific, but if you look at my initial post at the beginning of this thread, you'll see how I started the craziness, and I'm very honored that at least 5 people found it funny. In real life I'm fairly humorous but still learning how to be funny in writing. In spite of my fairly low UID #, I'm only recently beginning to post.

      Cheers!

    21. Re:heat rises by bob4u2c · · Score: 1

      You would be surprised. I was talking to a co-worker who has been an engineer (not the train kind) for about 10 years about the weather and how it was cold now but we would welcome the cold in the hot summer (I'm in California). He stated, that "yeah, in the summer when we are closer to the sun it gets so much hotter". I had to roll my eyes as I explained that while yes we were in an elliptical orbit, both focal points were still inside the sun and the difference was minimal. To make matters worse that in summer the Northern Hemisphere is further from the sun, not closer. It took a light and an orange to explain how the tilt of the earth was the main culprit. This co-worker had to go through 3 years of college physics which they had to discussed things like this.

      I also don't allow my significant other to answers the kids questions about science stuff as I usually roll my eyes on how wrong some of the answers are. The recent answer I overheard on why we change time twice a year was a doozy; something about the earth speeding up and slowing down as we went past the sun.

      I'm sorry if you were just trying to be funny and I didn't pick up on it, but some people believe exactly what they read without thinking about stuff.

      Point in case I had a friend in high school who watched a Twilight Zone episode with me where the premise was that people were sad because of their tears; and if you collected them in bottles you wouldn't be so sad. A few days later he was telling some other kids about how he started collecting his tears in bottles to make him happier. It was all I could do to not laugh at him, but afterwards I explained to him that it was a science fiction show, and the fiction part meant it was made up.

      Given what people spout as facts these days, my faith in humanity is at an all time low.

    22. Re:heat rises by bobby · · Score: 1

      OhMyGosh. Well, you can study and take tests and get all the way to a PhD. but have no common sense, or just never have good broad knowledge. And some never really learn- they figure out how to get by and not really absorb stuff. Good on you to explain Earth's orbit, tilt, etc. You might look into teaching someday. I always thought I would, but it hasn't happened yet (plus the education system is so broken...) Don't bottle up all that knowledge. You're gifted with a motivation to spread truth and information, and that's a very good thing.

      I have a good friend who has an art degree. He's super-smart and has grown up around engineering and tech and has really good common sense. He's basically the R&D engineer at a high-tech company. He's constantly dealing with idiocy- from the PhDs. It's wearing him down.

      It's pretty well known and studied that movies, TV, etc., have disrupted people's ability to think rationally. It's amazing what people think can happen- because they saw it on TV / movies.

      In person I enjoy occasionally messing with people, especially kids. I like watching their faces when I tell them something like the heat rising thing- they start out wide-eyed, then you see that facial change and a big "NUH-UH" comes out and laughter ensues. I always let them know truth if they didn't get it right away.

      Combine both fun and learning. :)

      Cheers!

  2. Frying all those donuts by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

    can really generate the heat. I blame Tim Hortons.

    1. Re:Frying all those donuts by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      And the backbacon. Don't forget frying up the backbacon!

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  3. On the positive side of things by alvinrod · · Score: 1

    On the positive side of things this would indicate that there are some countries warming slower than (though not necessarily at half) the global rate.

    1. Re:On the positive side of things by Layzej · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Some places are not warming at all. Look at the white blob in the north Atlantic. This is possibly a sign that the Atlantic Ocean’s Meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) may be weakening as a result of increased fresh water due to Greenland glacier melt. This was the premise of "day after tomorrow".

      If the AMOC were disrupted, it could divert the Gulf Stream waters that usually flow northward, past the British Isles and Norway, and cause them to instead circulate toward the equator. If this were to happen, Europe's climate would be seriously impacted

  4. Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Royal Metrological Society in the UK found that 1 deg of the increase was from urbanization, not CO2. Buildings/asphalt absorbing heat during the day and radiating back out during the evening, thereby increasing Tmin (and thus the average). Same effect here?

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    1. Re:Urban heat? by Cyberax · · Score: 5, Informative
      No it hasn't. The UHI effect is corrected for in observations. James Watts tried to find the effect, but no amount of data mutilation has provided positive results. Heck, even YOUR own article states this:

      We generally find weak and statistically insignificant relationships between monthly, seasonally or annually averaged T max and urban fraction (Figure 3). When T max is averaged annually, the linear relationship between this and urban fraction is insignificant (at a 97.7% confidence level) at 0.25±0.42 K. The strongest relationships are observed in the winter months with December having an urbanisation effect of 0.67±0.34 K.

      How much are you being paid to spread lies?

    2. Re:Urban heat? by cdu13a · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Have you been to Northern Canada? Or any part of Canada that is not with in 100 miles of the US border?
      I don't think Urbanization is the problem here.

      https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/04/17/canada-empty-maps_n_5169055.html

    3. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1, Troll

      That is about Tmax... Now read what it says about Tmin. And then realize that the average for the day is (Tmax + Tmin) / 2. Increase Tmin without a change in Tmax and you get an increasing average temperature. And it was found to be significant...

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    4. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Most definitely been all over Canada, including lots of the NWT and Nunavut. And most of the Stevenson screens are located near people. Have those changes been factored in?

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    5. Re:Urban heat? by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      That's extremely unlikely, considering how little urban area there is in Canada.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    6. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Data is usually collected from Stevenson screens - and those are usually located around towns and population centers.

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    7. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Here's some interesting data, see figure 4-2 straight from the report. Because there is a step in the temperature pre-1963 to post-1963, the powers-that-be determined to heat the past rather than cool the current. So the new, UHI-affected data is determined to be "correct" instead of the older, less-affected data. That's called cooking the books - literally.

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    8. Re:Urban heat? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Most data is collected by satellites ...

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    9. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 4, Informative

      Not for this report. See chapter 4 for where the data was collected. It was individual stations. A grand total of 32 stations - located in towns - across both the NWT and Nunavut. That is for an area of 3.1 million km^2 - a bit more than Western Europe as a whole (Germany through Ireland, not including Scandinavia).

      As far as satellite data, it shows the predictions are all pretty much wrong, and lends evidence to the sensitivity of CO2 being about half the value as used in modeling.

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    10. Re:Urban heat? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Satellites don't measure surface air temperature, unfortunately.

    11. Re:Urban heat? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      the powers-that-be determined to heat the past rather than cool the current.

      Since these are temperature anomalies, the effect would have been the same.

      Besides, it's not a matter of preference. By examining dozens of stations at the same time, you decide which is the odd one out.

    12. Re:Urban heat? by q_e_t · · Score: 1

      The Royal Metrological Society in the UK found that 1 deg of the increase was from urbanization, not CO2?

      Ah, I see you don't understand the paper you referenced. The paper says that the temperature in urban areas has increased. But measurement of global temperatures does not rely on such figures from urban areas. In fact, as BEST showed, if you remove urban temperature figures and those areas that changed from rural to urban, the trend in temperatures is higher. The effect of urban areas on the figures is anyway pretty low as only a very small proportion of recording stations are in urban areas.

    13. Re:Urban heat? by Pieroxy · · Score: 2

      Average is (Tmax + Tmin) / 2 ??? Damn, you lost me there. That's one hell of a simplification, not mentionning 100% wrong.

    14. Re:Urban heat? by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Informative

      "Anomalies"? Really? Not "conflicting data"?

      No. Please educate yourself: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/moni...

      Anomalies vs. Temperature

      In climate change studies, temperature anomalies are more important than absolute temperature. A temperature anomaly is the difference from an average, or baseline, temperature. The baseline temperature is typically computed by averaging 30 or more years of temperature data. A positive anomaly indicates the observed temperature was warmer than the baseline, while a negative anomaly indicates the observed temperature was cooler than the baseline.

    15. Re:Urban heat? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The greatest warming is in the middle of nowhere. I'm from the northern Canadian prairies. There isn't any asphalt.

    16. Re:Urban heat? by derrickn · · Score: 4, Informative

      "Towns" in the NWT and Nunavut have no pavement. The roads are gravel and ice, with ice predominating for roughly 10 months of the year. And the roads extend about 1 to 1.5 km total - from one edge of town to the other - and then there are no more roads at all. As for buildings re-radiating heat at night - again these towns are small, the buildings are small, and they never really get all that warm. I doubt Stevenson screens or anything else are picking up much heat off of them.

    17. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      What is the albedo of a gravel road compared to snow? What are the thermal emissions of a grey/brown building compared to snow? Stevenson screens are supposed to be 100 feet or more away from other structures and land changes for this very reason. We are talking tenths of a degree here.

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    18. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Yep, that is exactly what they do. They measure the min and max - thus the minimum and maximum thermometers included. Then you add them together and divide by two.

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    19. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      So for those two graphs presented (all blue = corrected, red + blue = original) you would say the anomaly from 1960 until now would be the same? Really?

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    20. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Please check the report. The increase in urban area Tmin has affected the overall trend in temperatures for the UK. That's what they say. By quite a large chunk, it turns out. The paper doesn't deal with the globe - it deals with the UK.

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    21. Re:Urban heat? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      You are getting climate information from a website on collecting postage stamps ?

    22. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      If you look at where the data was collected, there is precious little data in those prairies. Just 32 measurement locations for all of NWT and Nunavut. This is an area larger than the country of India, covered with just 32 thermometers, officially..

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    23. Re:Urban heat? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      So for those two graphs presented (all blue = corrected, red + blue = original) you would say the anomaly from 1960 until now would be the same? Really?

      No, that's not what I'm saying at all. I'm referring to your comment about "determined to heat the past rather than cool the current".

      I assume you agree that the step error needs to be corrected. We can either do that by pulling up past temperature, or lowering the recent ones. But in either case, the slope of the blue, corrected curve would stay the same. The slope determines the anomaly. The vertical offset of the entire curve is not relevant for the anomaly calculation.

    24. Re:Urban heat? by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      There is high correlation between stations up to 1000 km apart:

      https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs...

      What you call "precious little data" is actually quite abundant for a climate scientist.

    25. Re:Urban heat? by Immerman · · Score: 1

      That's not how you compute a population average.

      Consider a classroom quiz. Take the lowest grade, and the highest, and find the average of those two. Now - what does that tell you about the combined average of everyone in the class? Almost nothing. It could be a classroom full of brilliant students and one dunce, or full of dunces with one brilliant student, or anything in between. Same thing with temperature - the details matter immensely.

      To find the average temperature, you must record the temperature throughout the entire time period, and then average *that* out. Anything else is basically guessing - possibly adequate for "sanity checks" and order-of-magnitude estimates, but not for detecting subtle changes. Try to pull that Tmax+Tmin average on the moon, and you'll generally be off by more than 20C.

      --
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    26. Re: Urban heat? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You can actually get the raw data they used to calculate the temperature record off of NASAs website. I downloaded the files and started doing analysis on them (I wanted to see how many thermometers there were in different eras, figure out what margins of error there were, etc), but I got distracted before I did anything concrete.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    27. Re:Urban heat? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Warm the past, and you have a ~1.5 deg C anomaly relative to the 1910 timeframe. Cool the present, and you have a ~0.1 deg C anomaly relative to the 1910 timeframe. Big difference.

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  5. What a good thing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What a good thing! What a wonderful thing!
    I live in Toronto. The winters here are frickin freezing. Just a few days ago we had snow, and it's April already, for Christ's sake.
    I welcome global warming with open arms.

    1. Re:What a good thing! by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      The winters here are frickin freezing. Just a few days ago we had snow, and it's April already, for Christ's sake. I welcome global warming with open arms.

      Unfortunately for you, global warming is only adding a few degrees to average temperature. That's never going to be enough to make winters in Canada disappear.

    2. Re:What a good thing! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It makes them a lot milder though. It's been years since we had a good run of -50C.

    3. Re:What a good thing! by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      If by "years", you mean a month ago, then yes: https://globalnews.ca/news/500...

    4. Re:What a good thing! by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      I should add there were numerous days which broke -40C (-40F) with and without wind chill. Extreme cold winters are still a regularity, no need to exaggerate. Although contrary to the doom projections of climate change, most here would be ecstatic to know we could count on milder winters in the future. February was suffering.

    5. Re:What a good thing! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure how a news report about temperatures between -20 and -27 is some kind of proof against my statement "it's been years since we had a good run of -50C."

      It has been a while since I took formal logic though. Care to explain?

    6. Re:What a good thing! by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      Because you're lying about the -50C. Looking at weather records in Edmonton (one of the coldest major cities in Canada) back to the 1800's, there hasn't been a single recorded day where the temperature reached -50C. Link: https://www.currentresults.com...

    7. Re:What a good thing! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      I didn't say I was from Edmonton, nor a major (or any other kind of) city.

      You know what they say about assumptions.

  6. On the positive side of things... by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 5, Funny

    Canada will soon be a livable country.

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    1. Re:On the positive side of things... by xenobyte · · Score: 1, Troll

      Canada will soon be a livable country.

      If they get rid of Justin Trudeau that is...

      --
      "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
    2. Re:On the positive side of things... by Freischutz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Canada will soon be a livable country.

      At which point they'll have to build a wall because the USA won't be sending their best people?

  7. Permafrost bomb by doug141 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When the permafrost thaws, the carbon in it starts getting converted to CO2 and methane. There's enough carbon in the permafrost to torch the planet.
    https://phys.org/news/2018-12-...
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Geoengineering options include increasing albedo through deforestation.

    1. Re:Permafrost bomb by Brett+Buck · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      "Torch the planet"? Really? Do you guys never listen to yourselves?

    2. Re:Permafrost bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Reminder: Atmospheric carbon PPM is all that separates Earth and Venus. The more you know.

    3. Re:Permafrost bomb by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      What you're basically saying is that someday it'll be better to live on Venus.

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    4. Re:Permafrost bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is wrong. The forcing effect of CO2 diminishes with increasing PPM. Earth will not become Venus from SUV exhaust. Stop spreading lies.

    5. Re:Permafrost bomb by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative

      Reminder: Atmospheric carbon PPM is all that separates Earth and Venus. The more you know.

      While that's technically true, the difference is so vast that it's a meaningless comparison.

      Earth CO2 concentration, current: 0.04%, 20 C
      Earth CO2 concentration, worst-case model: 0.2% (est)
      Venus CO2 concentration, current: 96.5%, 462 C

      Also worth pointing out that
      Mars CO2 concentration, current: 95.3%, -125 C to 20 C

      The more you know...

    6. Re:Permafrost bomb by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      Concentration is meaningless. You need to compare absolute numbers (on a log scale).

    7. Re:Permafrost bomb by h33t+l4x0r · · Score: 1

      What you're basically saying is that someday it'll be better to live on Venus.

      OK. Better than what? Florida?

  8. Re: Is it bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nice try Canada, but we're not falling for that one again! There are more Canadians hiding from polar votexes in Florida than there are Floridians. It's the only reason Florida has not just one, but TWO hockey teams for Pete's sake!

    https://youtu.be/5CsGexs8ar0

  9. No surprise: Same results in Norway by Terje+Mathisen · · Score: 5, Interesting

    All the climate models show that temperatures should rise faster closer to the arctic, here in Norway we have measured the same rise as in Canada, i.e. about twice the global average.

    Norway starts at 58N, North Cape is 71 degrees North. Except for the Gulf Stream Norway would not be habitable at all.

    Terje

    --
    "almost all programming can be viewed as an exercise in caching"
    1. Re:No surprise: Same results in Norway by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      All the climate models show that temperatures should rise faster closer to the arctic,

      Makes sense too, because water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas, with a spectrum that overlaps CO2. Since the arctic region has low water vapor, the effects of extra CO2 are stronger.

  10. So does Denmark... by xenobyte · · Score: 2

    But getting longer warmer summers and less ice and snow in the winter makes up for it! :)

    --
    "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
  11. Re:No, actually that's all they do. by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    So not merely the 1m temps of a Stephenson Screen, but the bottom x00m or more

    Right, the air temperature at 1meter above surface is what we are interested in. Satellites measure the bottom hundreds of meters, which is not the same. There's a huge gradient just above the surface. Thanks for confirming and elaborating.

  12. Canada is the second worst polluter per capita by FeelGood314 · · Score: 1, Troll

    Of the industrialized countries only Australia is worse. We beat the American's by over 5% and that's not counting the fact that we fudge the numbers. The Canadian government chose not to include methane being released by rotting wood from forests. It turns out if you clear cut large areas and then replant those areas with only one type of tree those trees become susceptible to disease. Who would have thought. I guess there is some justice in seeing the Australians suffer but I can't see many Canadians complaining.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  13. So you know you're wrong but refuse to accept it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You claimed that satellites don't measure air temps. YOU WERE WRONG. So when this was pointed out WHOOSH!!!! went your goalposts and suddenly it has to be 1m. Except that isn't where our weather is, you fucking lying idiot. Nor most of our livable area: we normally use two or more storey houses, both for living and work.

    So the stephenson screen doesn't measure surface air, only spot temperature.

    Unlike satellites which that is all they do: the surface air. All of it. A volume, not a point in space.

    Nor does that fact change you were 100% absolutely wrong and still refuse to accept it, because you're terrified that if you admit it you suddenly have to look again at all the denier tropes you've engorged yourself on and maybe find yourself wrong about many more things.

    And your ego can't handle that.

  14. Re:So you know you're wrong but refuse to accept i by religionofpeas · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You claimed that satellites don't measure air temps.

    No, I claimed that they don't measure surface air temperature. There's a standard definition for that, and it doesn't mean the bottom half kilometer of the atmosphere. It means the temperature a small distance above the surface.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Not sure if you're trolling or stupid, but at least this conversation can help to educate others, so I guess it doesn't really matter either way.

  15. Re:Wrong twice. AGAIN. by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    CO2 and H2O's spectra don't overlap

    Here you can see that the CO2 and water vapor spectra overlap between the 15-20 micrometer wavelengths.
    https://wattsupwiththat.files....

    In the dry arctic air, the greenhouse effect is mostly caused by the CO2. And yes, as the temperature rises, and the ice cover shrinks, more water will evaporate, adding a positive feedback.

  16. April SECOND by Hallux-F-Sinister · · Score: 1

    Okay. So it is now officially April 2nd in all of the (at least CONTINENTAL) United States.

    So. Which stories from yesterday here were real, and which stories total bullshit? /. is still doing this, right?

    --
    Our reign has gone on long enough. Indeed. Summon the meteors.
  17. Re:WTFUWT is a blogroll,not scientific by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    They overlap like your FM stations overlap. They occupy the same band, they do not occupy the same frequencies.

    Wrong, the spectral 'lines' are not actually thin lines, as you can see in the explanation here:

    http://www.barrettbellamyclima...

    'Lines' overlap

    Pressure broadened lines or bands overlap so that over the spectral range there are no instances of 100% transmission. This is illustrated by spectra of CO2 with 100 m and 200 m path lengths respectively that show that over the spectral range there is some absorption at all wavenumbers. Please note that the spectra have been replaced with their correct titles. The previous titles were for 100 m and 200 m path lengths in error, pointed out by Brenden O'Connor.

    Also: http://www-star.st-and.ac.uk/~...

  18. Oh goodie! by screeguy · · Score: 1

    Someday my ggrandkids will going to the store to pick up a carton of Okanagan Valley orange juice.

  19. I like Canada by rowleydaisy · · Score: 1

    I think Canada will soon be a livable country.

  20. Sweden too by Misagon · · Score: 2

    Temperatures in Sweden, on roughly the same latitudes as Canada, have also been reported as rising twice as much as the global mean.
    The press release (Swedish) from the Swedish meteorological institute was posted last Friday, and in the newspaper this mornin.

    That temperatures would be rising faster near the poles than the global mean, is right in line with expectations. So nobody around here who is the least bit in the know about climate change is surprised one bit.

    --
    "We mustn't be caught by surprise by our own advancing technology" -- Aldous Huxley
  21. Amazing. by Dunbal · · Score: 1

    I would have expected it to warm at exactly the global average rate. I mean, isn't that what averages are FOR? /sarcasm

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  22. "leaked" the same day as new taxes kicked in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    This was coincidentally "leaked" the very same day the new carbon tax kicked in, federally imposed to the provinces that are currently fighting it.

  23. To our neighbors to the north... by fuzznutz · · Score: 1

    Canada is, on average, experiencing warming at twice the rate of the rest of the world, with Northern Canada heating up at almost three times the global average, according to a new government report.

    You're welcome.

    1. Re:To our neighbors to the north... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      but, not caused by America. It is China that is causing that. Any heating in say north west Europe, would be from America.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  24. Vancouver Sewage by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

    Yet Vancouver continues to dump raw, unprocessed sewage into the Puget Sound:
    https://www.thestar.com/vancou...

  25. Report Timing by Kinthelt · · Score: 1

    The report was timed to come out the same day our carbon tax came into effect. It's designed to freak Canadians out so that they will fully accept the carbon tax.

    --

    "Evil will always triumph over good, because good is dumb." - Dark Helmet (Spaceballs)

    1. Re:Report Timing by fred6666 · · Score: 1

      wait, you actually expect pollution to be unlimited and free?

    2. Re:Report Timing by fatwilbur · · Score: 1

      Some fun history: Here in Canada we had a conservative government up until 2015, when we elected the current Trudeau Liberals. There was much hate and an "Anyone But Harper" campaign, in which speaking to the opposition you'd think PM Harper was evil incarnate (data now shows he quite handily outperformed his successor). One of the common refrains was that Harper's government "muzzled" scientists and kept them from speaking the truth. In reality this was a very distorted way to represent new PR guidelines to a number of gov't research groups. I know, someone turning something relatively innocuous into a scandal for political purposes - shocking!!

      Anyway, fast forward to 3+ years of new Liberal government, and no scientists have come out with "things they were not allowed to previously say", however I am now far more concerned as to the political neutrality of our research groups with "studies" like these. Not only did it come out to coincide with the new carbon tax, as with ANY change, there are positive and negative outcomes. I see nothing in here that would lead me to believe this is an objective analysis of impacts from climate change, and plenty that it is intended to bolster someone's political agenda.

  26. Re: TRUMP WINNING ELECTIONS AT TWICE THE TERMS! by maxbuzz · · Score: 1

    nazis (National Socialist German Workers' Party) are socialists they vote democrat

  27. Re:It's all a load of horse shit by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

    No one on either side can TRUTHFULLY prove their point!

    Climate change is science. Proof is for mathematicians.

  28. Windfarms and windbags by hardihoot · · Score: 1

    Perhaps if they measured the temperature outdoors instead of in the full-of-hot-air opinion factories they derive their "data" from, they would see that the warming and cooling trends are normal, that humans have nothing to do with it, just as humans have nothing to do with the shrinking/expanding ice caps on Mars.

    Nothing to see here. Just the usual Chicken Little Climate Change propaganda that's been ongoing since the late 1800s

    https://www.inhofe.senate.gov/newsroom/speech/climate-change-update

    --
    A word fitly spoken is like apples of gold in pictures of silver --Proverbs 25:11
  29. Re:Is it bad by Immerman · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, the biggest risk Canadians face from global warming is probably Americans deciding we need to expand our borders as our own territory goes to hell.

    A word of advice - take a good hard look at our track record of treaty violations and genocide with nations who offered to share before making any decisions.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  30. Re:It's all a load of horse shit by slashhax0r · · Score: 2

    Cool story Bro. Where'd you get your Phd In climate?

  31. Edmonton, Calgary... by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    Or any part of Canada that is not within 100 miles of the US border? I don't think Urbanization is the problem here.

    Yes, I live there and I have to say that urban heat definitely exists in Edmonton as well as Calgary. Not every large city in Canada is within 160km of the US border but since we have a population about half that of the UK and a land area about 40 times greater it is true that urbanization is not going to account for any significant effect on the average temperature.

  32. Inconvenient Truths by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    Reminder: Atmospheric carbon PPM is all that separates Earth and Venus.

    No, not at all. First, there is the distance to the sun: Venus is about 100e6 km vs. Earth 150e6 km which means Venus receives about twice the intensity of solar radiation. Then there is the atmospheric pressure on Venus which is about 90 times higher than Earth's.

    You cannot generate a runaway greenhouse effect on Earth by burning all the fossil fuel reserves because they simply do not contain enough carbon, which is not surprising since this carbon originally came from the atmosphere in the first place. If you look at this article then the current estimate is that you would need to burn about ten times the amount of carbon locked away in coal and oil to generate a runaway greenhouse effect on Earth and even then it is not certain.

    Climate change is a serious problem because it will lead to rapid changes in which areas of the planet are habitable both for humans and for the crops we depend on. This will lead to political instability as well as potential deaths due to famines and droughts. Not to mention the damage to ecosystems which may have repercussions we have not yet figured out. That list of dire results should be enough to motivate anyone to action without the need to invent fictitious rubbish about runaway greenhouse effects which, because it is so obviously wrong, undermines the message about the real and still disastrous implications of rapid global warming.

  33. Re:It's all a load of horse shit by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

    No, you missed the point. Instead of labeling someone and dividing people, lets try and have a conversation.

    Claiming all studies (on both sides) are fake, discredited, and falsified, doesn't really sound like an attempt to unite.

    Of course if a study doesn't prove the funder's narrative,

    Who's funding NASA now, and what's their narrative ?

  34. where is all that CO2 over Canada coming from by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    In the north, it flows to the north east. Canada itself is not warming it that much. Northwest America generates very little, so nope. So, where is a massive CO2/CH4/soot based nation to the south west of Canada that could generate so much as to impact them (and alaska)?
    No doubt, we will see Chinese trolls here shortly blaming New York and Chicago for this.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:where is all that CO2 over Canada coming from by CaffeinatedBacon · · Score: 1

      firstly

      Individual carbon dioxide molecules have a short life time of around 5 years in the atmosphere. However, when they leave the atmosphere, they're simply swapping places with carbon dioxide in the ocean. The final amount of extra CO2 that remains in the atmosphere stays there on a time scale of centuries.

      You're a bit thick so again, CO2 remains in the atmosphere a long time

      This means that once in the atmosphere, carbon dioxide can continue to affect climate for thousands of years.

      So it isn't just last years CO2 emissions that are warming Canada.

      This is a much more appropriate timescale

      If we extend our timeline back to 1750 and total up how much CO2 each country has emitted to date, we calculate each nation’s ‘cumulative emissions’.

      If we fast-forward to the accumulated totals we see today, the US and Europe dominate in terms of cumulative emissions. China’s rapid growth in emissions over the last few decades now makes it the world’s second largest cumulative emitter, although it still comes in at less than 50% of the US total.

      So in fact America is responsible for over twice as much CO2 as China.
      But wait it gets better.

      The key drawback of measuring the total national emissions is that it takes no account of the nation's population size. China is currently the world’s largest emitter, but since it also has the largest population, all being equal we would expect this to be the case. To make a fair comparison of contributions, we have to therefore compare emissions in terms of CO2 emitted per person.

      Let's just say, per person American's have been, and still are extremely bad.
      Let's look here starting in 1950 to match the timescale in the summary and report. You can slide it yourself to see that the US is bright red on the map for every year and China barely breaks into the oranges. America's CO2 per person is over double China's even now. And don't forget you started at 16 tonnes when China was at less than 1.

      And all of that says nothing about how laughably inaccurate your 'climate modelling' is. Blaming China because of the wind patterns LOL. This is just you not even using the correct data.
      You are a complete joke on this topic WindBourne.

  35. Re:Coldest winter in a century by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Century? Nope. Back in the 60s it was colder than this. If we are really lucky, we will see multiple years like this one. But, that is not supposed to be the case.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  36. Re:Is it bad by Immerman · · Score: 1

    we mostly do okay amongst ourselves, but can you name a single treaty with the original owners of this continent that we honored? They shared their land, helped us survive, probably even made a decisive difference in our fight for independence. And then as soon as it was convenient, we tore up the treaties and did our best to exterminate them. When they fought us to a standstill we made new treaties - and then violated those as soon as we had the advantage again.

    You really, really don't want to own anything America desires unless you're powerful enough to keep us at bay. Land, oil, banana plantations - we leave a wake of destruction and usurped governments wherever we find valuable assets.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  37. Re:It's all a load of horse shit by GregMmm · · Score: 1

    I wasn't trying to unite anyone. I'm not stating one side or the other. When a person labels someone, it usually dividing. That was my point. Also, I don't see any connection with "claiming all studies" (your words not mine) can be faked and falsified has anything to do with dividing people. So it happens? Both sides do it. Statistics lie. Etc... In fact, I don't blame some of them. Tough choice to make.

    NASA? Your kidding!! The huge dump of money into a black hole? Massive government contracts? Takes forever to get anything done at huge costs. Their narrative is they are stuck in the same government machine which is controlled by whoever is in power at the time. So I guess their narrative changes about every 4 to 8 years or so.

  38. Re:And DPRK is democratic... moron. by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

    The Nazis, AKA the National Socialists, and the fascists were against the International Socialists, AKA the Communists. Their platforms in terms of demands had about 90% overlap. They mostly differed in terms of who should be in charge, them or the other guys, not in what they promised to do once they were in charge.

    It was more like an argument between Southern Baptists and the Baptists General Convention over whether to marry homosexuals or not. Beyond that one issue, they're basically the same, with very similar beliefs and tactics.

    That's why pretty much all the major fascist leaders were members of socialist and "worker's" parties.

    --
    The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
  39. You're an idiot WindBourne That's not how it works by CaffeinatedBacon · · Score: 1

    firstly

    Individual carbon dioxide molecules have a short life time of around 5 years in the atmosphere. However, when they leave the atmosphere, they're simply swapping places with carbon dioxide in the ocean. The final amount of extra CO2 that remains in the atmosphere stays there on a time scale of centuries.

    You're a bit thick so again, CO2 remains in the atmosphere a long time

    This means that once in the atmosphere, carbon dioxide can continue to affect climate for thousands of years.

    So it isn't just last years CO2 emissions that are warming Canada.

    This is a much more appropriate timescale

    If we extend our timeline back to 1750 and total up how much CO2 each country has emitted to date, we calculate each nation’s ‘cumulative emissions’.

    If we fast-forward to the accumulated totals we see today, the US and Europe dominate in terms of cumulative emissions. China’s rapid growth in emissions over the last few decades now makes it the world’s second largest cumulative emitter, although it still comes in at less than 50% of the US total.

    So in fact America is responsible for over twice as much CO2 as China.
    But wait it gets better.

    The key drawback of measuring the total national emissions is that it takes no account of the nation's population size. China is currently the world’s largest emitter, but since it also has the largest population, all being equal we would expect this to be the case. To make a fair comparison of contributions, we have to therefore compare emissions in terms of CO2 emitted per person.

    Let's just say, per person American's have been, and still are extremely bad.
    Let's look here starting in 1950 to match the timescale in the summary and report. You can slide it yourself to see that the US is bright red on the map for every year and China barely breaks into the oranges. America's CO2 per person is over double China's even now. And don't forget you started at 16 tonnes when China was at less than 1.

    And all of that says nothing about how laughably inaccurate your 'climate modelling' is. Blaming China because of the wind patterns LOL. This is just you not even using the correct data.
    You are a complete joke on this topic WindBourne.