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  1. Re:Relation to the Field of Modern Economics on Cold War Nuclear Target Lists Declassified For First Time (gwu.edu) · · Score: 1

    Perhaps I am not really summarizing the documentary very well. The thrust of the documentary is that game theory, at least of the kind that was used both in the war games simulations and in economics systems analysis simplifies human beings into selfish parameter maximizing automatons. Though I would agree that humans can at times act that way, I do not believe that this entirely describes our nature. We are both capable of altruism and greed, good and evil. I particularly dislike how both the fields of war games and economics systems analysis ask us to put data into a model, and then to blindly accept the output of that model map to action in the real world. In the case of war games, the models said the way to win the game was to build enough atomic bombs to destroy civilization 20 times over. So that is what we did. And over the course of that history, we came close to actually destroying civilization several times by accident. Was the act of building those bombs the most reasonable thing to do? Game theory suggested it, but I am not convinced it was reasonable, to say the least.

  2. Relation to the Field of Modern Economics on Cold War Nuclear Target Lists Declassified For First Time (gwu.edu) · · Score: 4, Informative

    In the fascinating and disturbing BBC documentary "The Trap: F**k You Buddy", Adam Curtis outlines how the field of modern economics, specifically that which relies on game theory and systems analysis, is tightly related to the type of military analysis implied in the document referred to in the parent post. Both modern quantitative economics and military analysis use mathematical models based on game theory to cold bloodedly analyze human life and death. Most people don't realize that the same mode of thought that brought us fire bombing and potential nuclear apocalypse also brought us the Chicago School of Economics.

    The BBC documentary series "The Trap" utilizes rare footage from the BBC archives that you will not see anywhere else. I highly recommend watching it. More of us need to stare the unpleasant reality of the modern world in the face if we are to get out of our current malaise. In the end, the truth shall set you free.

  3. Neuronal Firing Rates and Implications for AI on How Brain Architecture Leads To Abstract Thought (umass.edu) · · Score: 1

    Depending on sources, the firing rate of neurons is on the order of 1 to 200Hz. That would imply that any particular short term thought that we have must necessarily involve relatively few neurons, at least in terms of the depth of the tree. Of course there is a huge parallel dimension to particular waves of neuron firing associated with particular thoughts. However, at an intuitive level this does give me hope of the future of AI.

    At the cellular level, our neurons are not that different from the neurons of fruit flies. In terms of evolution, once nature "solves" a problem, say creating functional networks of neurons, it largely recycles that solution in future generations. It may provide variations on the original theme, say by increasing the size and complexity, but the basic chemical and biological systems remain unchanged. To me, this suggests that AI is in fact "solvable", at least in terms of having it perform discrete tasks.

  4. Re:If this is debunked in the summary, why post it on Study Claims Lettuce Is "Three Times Worse Than Bacon" For GHG Emissions (cmu.edu) · · Score: 1

    They ignore the real villain: Water causes FAR MORE CO2 emissions per calorie than bacon. It is so large that we can't even quantify it.

  5. Re:License Frame: "I wanna be a Tesla when I grow on Porsche Is Building a Tesla Competitor (bloomberg.com) · · Score: 1

    Don't feed the oil troll. He's just acting as an agent, sensibly or insensibly, of the PR firm that came up with his talking points. Seriously, I'm starting to believe that the majority of "discourse" on comment boards is deliberate propaganda for one vested interest or another. And don't shrug your shoulders at this. These bastards are literally sabotaging democracy. They want you to apathetically shrug your shoulders and feel hopeless. When too many of us shrug our shoulders, democracy will die.

  6. Re:Doesn't make sense on Porsche Is Building a Tesla Competitor (bloomberg.com) · · Score: 1

    Why are so many trying to compete with a company that is barely profitable, especially since oil has dropped?

    There is a difference between barely profitable versus investing all of your profits into future production capacity. One route leads to stagnation, while the other leads to future growth.

  7. Except for... on Corporations and OSS Do Not Mix (coglib.com) · · Score: 1

    Except for Android. Or Tesla. Or Google search. Or most of the internet. Or...

  8. Re:Massive Economic Benefits = Going to Happen Fas on How Tesla's Autopilot and Google's Car Are Entirely Different Animals (robohub.org) · · Score: 1

    I think this will come eventually. I suspect the solution will involve lots of radar, forwards and backwards, along with several pairs of 3d cameras. The problem with lidar is that it doesn't work in snow or heavy rain. Humans drive based on 3d vision, so why not have computers do it. Problems could arise if the cameras get blocked, but the same think can happen to human drivers. If there are multiple pairs of cameras, perhaps with mechanisms to clear their own view to the outside, they could be quite reliable. If one combines this with radar, one could have a computer with a fairly good picture of the outside world.

    I know google's car uses a combination of lidar and video. I think it is 2d video, but I'm not sure. Their car probably uses lidar to find objects around the car. The video system then probably uses neural nets to identify what the object is. It can also likely tell whether the objects are moving or not. I suspect that there is research in the pipeline that uses neural networks that have been so successful at 2d image classification to work with 3d stereoscopic imagery. Google "3d computer vision with neural networks" to see that this is being thought about. I suspect that it would be a useful avenue to train the neural networks not just by feeding the networks pixels from the cameras, but also by feeding it the readings from radar and sonar sensors.

  9. Re:Show us the data on Wind Power Now Cheapest Energy In UK and Germany; No Subsidies Needed · · Score: 1

    In order to balance the equation you end up needing over 200% of your peak demand in nameplate generating capacity, significantly more than the current inventory,in order to have enough capacity when the renewables are not available (during bad weather for example) and allow for maintenance down-time.

    You seem to be determined to put down wind as an energy source. You seem to have done some thinking about this. Seem to. But I really wonder what your motivations are. You neglect to mention that in places that have lots of hydro power, a renewable, it is very common to have natural gas power plants sitting idle for long periods of time, waiting to power up. For example, in British Columbia, Canada, the Burrard Thermal natural gas plant sits idle for long periods of time during times of lower electricity demand and high hydro production. When demand goes up, they fire Burrard Thermal up to meet the excess demand. This has worked for decades. And British Columbia has some of the lowest electricity rates in the world. If you were interested in the validity of your arguments, why would you ignore examples like this? What you post seems like obfuscating propaganda.

  10. Re:Show us the data on Wind Power Now Cheapest Energy In UK and Germany; No Subsidies Needed · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah unless the wind stops blowing then waddya gonna do then huh? HUH?

    When the wind stops you use a natural gas power plant. Duh. DUH!

    The point is to reduce the amounts of fossil fuels used to generate electricity. If you still need it sometimes, who cares. You have still reduced the amount of fossil fuels used.

    Batteries are becoming cheaper and more reliable. In the end, we will likely store large amounts of power in battery banks when the wind blows and the sun shines. This will further reduce our reliance on fossil fuels. Maybe we still need fossil fuels in the future, but our consumption of them will be reduced by 80%. It won't be the end of the world. Except if your entire fortune is based in the fossil fuel business.

  11. My Kobo is unplugged from the internet on $50 Fire Tablet With High-capacity SDXC Slot Doesn't See E-books On the SD Card · · Score: 2

    I bought a Kobo H2O. All of the books I have come from "other sources". The wifi is turned off so the device can't track what I read. It is as close to a paper book as I can get in electronic form. I would never buy a Kindle with always on 3G. I don't want to be tracked. All I want is the nice screen and water resistant device.

  12. Re:So when are they making something we can AFFORD on Tesla Unveils the Model X · · Score: 2

    Selling cars that cost as much as a small house is all well and good if your target market is 1%ers and boomers, but if you want to sell to the mass market you need something that's priced for a generation that will probably never be able to afford to own a home.

    The base model will be less. And they are working on a $35000 model that will compete with BMW 3 series cars. This car is meant to compete in the market that buys Porsche Cayenne's and the like. The top turbo model of the Cayenne goes for over $130000. The base model of the Model X will likely go for $60000 or so.

  13. Re:How much will it cost. on Elon Musk Predicts 1,000km EV Range In Two Years, Autonomous Cars In Three · · Score: 1

    If the price is right 1,000 km range electric cars will signal the beginning of the end for IC engined cars.

    The 1000km number doesn't actually seem that far fetched. The Model S is a hugely heavy performance car. At its best it does 0 to 60mph in 2.8 seconds. If they built a car that still had a lot of batteries but was instead optimized for range rather than performance, I can see how they might accomplish this.

    On the other side, Tesla is working on a new version of the Roadster. If they can make a family sedan do 0 to 60 in 2.8 seconds, imagine what they can do if they design a pure sports car. It might have the best acceleration of any production car ever made. Perhaps 2.2 seconds? Perhaps better? Why not. The model S is a luxury sedan and yet look what it does.

  14. Re:How patriotic! Criminalizing decent on A Call To RICO Climate Change Science Deniers · · Score: 1

    I don't think it is "criminalizing dissent". I think that anyone will be free to say whatever they want in public. What is criminal IMHO is using large sums of money to pay individuals to post and say particular things while pretending that those things they say are actually their own opinions. The real criminals are the billionaires who are using their money to poison the public debate. Doing that is demonstrably against the public interest. Thus I believe it may be criminal.

  15. Re:There's still no magnetosphere on Elon Musk's Latest Idea: Let's Nuke Mars · · Score: 1

    Energy source: Nuclear. Chlorine is likely quite common. You'd have to find Fluorine...there is likely a lot there somewhere. Carbon, as you said can come from CO2. You wouldn't need to make that much. Some chlorofluorocarbons are extremely potent greenhouse gasses that have a long life in the atmosphere...half-life in multiple decades if not a century.

  16. Re:There's still no magnetosphere on Elon Musk's Latest Idea: Let's Nuke Mars · · Score: 1

    And the parent post demonstrates why America is languishing as a civilization. Behold the "can't do" attitude. Dream small. Spend big. (I'm thinking about the California high speed rail line here...amongst the slowest and most expensive in the world). America is becoming a corrupt small-minded oligarchy.

    I think the poster is understating how much protection the atmosphere provides. The Earth's atmosphere alone provides radiation protection equivalent to about a three foot thick slab of metal. As for atmospheric degradation due to the solar wind, from what I understand, if we densified the atmosphere, it would take about a million years for the solar wind to undo the changes.

  17. Re:There's still no magnetosphere on Elon Musk's Latest Idea: Let's Nuke Mars · · Score: 1

    Nuking the poles would release enough CO2 to start a warming process. This would cause more frozen CO2 to be released from the ground. Eventually you would start releasing water vapour. The initial kick from the thermonuclear bombs would likely start other feedbacks in the system.

  18. Re:There's still no magnetosphere on Elon Musk's Latest Idea: Let's Nuke Mars · · Score: 2

    An atmosphere on Mars would degrade over time, without replenishment if we don't have a magnetosphere. So basically, we'd need to crash a comet or two onto the planet every century.

    If the Mars atmosphere was degrading that quickly (century timescales) due to the solar wind and no magnetosphere, then Mars would have no atmosphere right now. From what I have read, any changes we make would last a million years or so. The real changes happen when you tip the system into a new equilibrium. If you add more greenhouse gasses, then that causes warming. The warming causes frozen CO2 to pass back into the atmosphere, causing still more warming. The idea of thermonuclear bombs at the poles seems like an effective way of releasing large amounts of greenhouse gasses (frozen CO2) into the atmosphere. To keep up the processes, you could probably release certain versions of chlorofluorocarbons into the atmosphere over time. They are somewhat persistent and are extremely effective at trapping the Sun's radiation as heat. If we did start to set up settlements there, we could manufacture such gasses in situ.

  19. Re:It's already happened; we're at $250/kWh now. on Plunging Battery Prices Expected To Spur Renewable Energy Adoption · · Score: 1

    I was looking at lipo's last night. Still over 4x the cost of lead acid. I got my batteries @ ~$100/kwh. That's roughly the cost at a few places I've looked: walmart, costco, golf cart and auto repair shops. And that's with lifespan et al factored in.

    I don't think what you said is true. Either you have not thought out what you posted and have not done the correct calculations, or you are just making it up. Here is an actual price comparison between lead acid batteries and Li-ion batteries. To summarize, lead acid batteries cost 0.76€ / kWh / cycle, while Li-ion batteries cost 0.42€ / kWh / cycle. That is, lead acid is 81% more expensive per kWh/cycle than Li-ion. In addition, lead acid batteries are bulky, stinky, heavy, and don't last very long. That means you will have to lug them in and out of your house with far too great a frequency, and doing so will not be fun.

  20. America is an Oligarchy, and Not a Democracy on In Baltimore and Elsewhere, Police Use Stingrays For Petty Crimes · · Score: 5, Insightful

    According to this study, America is an oligarchy. Here is a quote (as per the New Yorker):

    Americans do enjoy many features central to democratic governance, such as regular elections, freedom of speech and association, and a widespread (if still contested) franchise. But we believe that if policymaking is dominated by powerful business organizations and a small number of affluent Americans, then Americaâ(TM)s claims to being a democratic society are seriously threatened.

    When I hear about abuses of power, when I hear about the NSA spying on everyone, when I hear about militarization of police, when I hear about local police departments running roughshod over the Constitution as implied in the parent article, I start to think that something is deeply wrong in America. Then I remember that Americans still have the right to vote in those who rule them. And that is encouraging. But then I realize that most Americans have lost the ability to comprehend the systems of power that rule them. I remember that too many Americans vote based on shallow ignorant views, that they are persuaded by 30 second political TV commercials instead of actual rational argument, which is boring and long and tedious. And I remember that those 30 second TV commercials are expensive, and that politicians must go begging to those with large amounts of money in order to buy those 30 second commercials. And I remember that when politicians accept money from those very wealthy interests, that they become enslaved to them. And this makes me feel hopeless.

    Then I remember that if Americans stopped listening to shallow arguments given in 30 second TV commercials, if they started to demand rational argument instead of the shallow blather that has so far persuaded them, then they could take back power from the corrupt wealthy interests who have driven the country into the ground over the last three and a half decades. And that makes me a little bit hopeful.

  21. Re:A Common Tactic on Former Russian Troll Wins Lawsuit Against Propaganda "Factory" · · Score: 1

    I believe that it is common to have paid propaganda posters on newspapers and discussion boards such as Slashdot, especially on issues such as global warming. Some of my reasons for believing this are:

    1) It is effective. It discourages the believers in particular causes, making them feel alone. It makes readers feel that the beliefs of the elite funders of the paid poster are actually the views of the common people.

    2) It is a cost-effective way of reaching the eyeballs of particular and influential groups of readers. Having one poster make many posts under different accounts from a single computer is not difficult. Posting through several IP addresses is not difficult.

    If you think that this only happens in Russia and not in our own corporate state, you are quite naive.

  22. Re:So all we need is evolution in 50 years. on Climatologists: By 2100, the Earth Will Have an Entirely Different Ocean · · Score: 1

    Hell, why not evolve ourselves? Mankind in the past used to be just fine out in the winter snow with only their pelt to keep them warm.

    ROFL. Do you know what evolution looks like during mass extinctions? It means 99.999% of a particular species dies, leaving behind the freaks that have some genetic trait allows them to survive.

  23. Re:That's stupid on Climatologists: By 2100, the Earth Will Have an Entirely Different Ocean · · Score: 2

    As far as the fish stocks, that's caused by overfishing and has nothing to do with pollution.

    Bullshit. Ocean acidification, a form of pollution. Temperature increases. Habitat destruction. All of these play a significant role in fish stock depletion.

  24. Re:All Species have Already Survived Climate Chang on Climatologists: By 2100, the Earth Will Have an Entirely Different Ocean · · Score: 2

    What I would love to see is some sort of balanced, objective look at climate change. Hyped up articles like this that are clearly interested in pushing one point of view regardless of evidence convince nobody and risk a "boy who cried wolf" effect where people will ignore real warnings of problems due to climate change.

    What you seem to not realize is that the mass extinction events of the past made extinct the most dominant species of the time (dinosaurs for example). Guess what the most dominant species is today? Humans.

  25. Re:For the last goddamn time on Clinton Plan To Power Every US Home With Renewables By 2027 Is Achievable · · Score: 1

    Drought is killing hydro. Reduced H2O levels reduce the hrs a plant can run and the capacity it can run at. This drives up the cost of hydro power. http://www.energy.ca.gov/droug...

    The drought in California is decreasing hydro-generated electricity. It's a good thing that solar is increasing at a fast rate, and is in fact playing a role in making up for the hydro shortfall.