embed tag - you mean like embedding WMP in a page? At least where I have seen it, it only worked reliably in IE (or those sites may have been made as such).
But seriously - let the browser have whatever codecs integrated and if it encounters an unsupported codec - it should ask DirectShow for help, especially sine you can install ffdshow (=one codec/filter pack) and it supports almost all codecs (it also supports h.264 and ogg).
How about making the browser use system (DirectShow on Windows, whatever-it's-called on Linux) codecs, so everybody could be using whatever codec they want. Look, a lot of media players on Windows (like WMP and MPC) use DirectShow, so thew users can install additional codecs.
Why they want to include the codecs in the browsers. This way is worse. If system codecs were used, then the sites could choose whether to use h.264, ogg or some other codec, like XviD.
Also, this way all of the patent/license/whatever issues for the browser vendors would go away. And if the users are watching video files on their computers they most likely have codecs already installed.
This limit is the only thing preventing me from using FAT32 on all of my hard drives. The system drive of my main PC is FAT32 (small files). Why would I want FAT32? 1) It has a second copy of FAT* 2) It is compatible with more operating systems. 3) It does not support permissions**.
* It is said, that NTFS is very reliable with its journal and things, however, there is only one copy of the MFT, so if your hard drive developed a bad sector there, you will lose some number of files. FAT has a second copy of the FAT, in the event of a bad sector you can just copy the remaining good copy over where the corrupted table was. ** I don't know how to tell NTFS that "hey, look, I am the only person using this computer so how about you let me do everything I want?" Being an administrator doesn't always work.
Oh well, at least NTFS supports 64KB cluster size and that size is compatible with every OS that is compatible with NTFS (unlike FAT where 32K is the max for compatibility).
Oh, the DAC is still 24 bits, but the digital audio is converted to 64bits for processing so there are less distortion on the result. Did I get it right?
This is probably the same that the manual for Adobe Audition 1.5 suggests using 32bits for processing even if the result is then converted to 16 bits or whatever.
Because we hit an area of diminishing returns. For example, some years ago I upgraded my P100 to a 400MHz K6-2, then to 700MHz Duron, then to Athlon XP 2000+, changed the CPU to 3200+ and finally built a new PC with 2x Opteron 270.
The first upgrades were really substantial, especially the 100MHz->400MHz one. The computer was really faster and I could do more with it (and play better games). I built my current PC because I couldn't watch 1080p movies, now I can. The PC isn't really faster than my 3200+ PC despite having four times as many processors (cores) and 2xthe RAM. And it is good enough for me now. Firefox loads fast, video player too. Now video decoding can be done using a video card, so when some kind of better quality than 1080p arrives, I'll just have to replace my video card (and possibly the monitor, it can only do 2048x1536).
The same with XP. 98 was an improvement over 95, 2000 was an improvement over 98 and XP played games better than 2000 (and then got an integrated firewall). Now I rarely play games, and those that I play support DX9, so I don't need DX10, I no longer want a flashy UI (if Vista came out 5 years ago, I would have upgraded just for the looks).
Also, what massive environment? I have a lot of PCs, but if I were to upgrade, I would upgrade only one or two (my main PC and possibly my laptop).
Vista is bad, 7 may be OK for a new PC, but it has to be substantially better than XP for me to install it in my current PC, not just "oh it's about the same, maybe loads faster".
2.5TB or bigger hard disks drop below $100 (no GUID partition table support in XP)
OK
applications make good use of more than 4GB RAM (XP64 driver support "could be better")
depends on the applications. If the new version of an app uses 5GB RAM "just because it can" I would stick to the older version.
USB3 devices become available in mass quantities (no USB3 support in XP)
My current PC does not support USB3 and continuing the tradition USB3 devices will probably be compatible with USB2 controllers and Windows XP. USB2 gives about 40MB/s speed, compared to 1MB/s of USB1.1, so it would probably be OK for a lot of devices.
IPv4 addresses run out and major ISPs offer IPv6 access
One thing is the offer, other thing is users actually reconfiguring their computers to use IPv6.
Duke Nukem Forever is released for Windows 7 only.
DNF will be released for Windows 15, not 7.
Memory and IPv6 problems can be avoided by using Windows 2003. It supports IPv6 and PAE with >4GB RAM.
Reinstalling the OS became habit for even the least technical of computer users.... and you know what? For whatever reason, they didn't complain nearly as much as you people do. You have a piece of shit software firewall that isn't playing nice with your Vista and *BAM* that's it.
Maybe I didn't complain because the alternative was Windows 3.11, which was incompatible with a lot of new (95+ only) programs. Windows NT4 was incompatible with a lot of DOS programs, so a lot of people used 95.
Now I have XP, which is a good OS, way more stable than 95 was and is compatible with a lot of different programs, devices (driver from NT4 can work on XP, driver from 2000 has a high chance of working on XP). Microsoft wants me to install a new version of Windows, be it Vista or 7. For that to happen, the new OS has to be significantly better than my current one. But it isn't - 1)more DRM, 2)uses more resources, 3)incompatible with old programs, 4)incompatible with old drivers/devices.
And what does the new OS offer?
1)DirectX 10/11. 2)UAC 3)New UI
So: 1)I game very little currently, the games I play support DX9, therefore for some time I won't need to "upgrade". I may even not play newer (DX10+ only) games because my PC will be too slow and I may lose interest in gaming. 2)UAC, at least in Vista, is an annoyance - I saw my friends use their new laptops. They were very happy when I googled info on how to disable the UAC. 3) I don't care for the new UI, I would probably use a classic setting on Vista/7 (if there is one).
The result: There is no need for me to reinstall Windows, not to mention Install a different version of Windows.
Yes, maybe when I build a new PC I will use Win7 or 8 or whatever version will be then. But for now, my PC is enough, I don't need and do not plan to buy a newer/faster one.
Nice store, if they ship to outside of the US I might buy some disks, provided that price+shipping does not become larger that that of my LTO tapes.
I now prefer LTO tapes over DVDs because one tape can hold about 100GB of data. If I were to write 100GB to DVDs, I would have to swap 24 disks, now I just select the files, start writing and can watch a movie or do something else while the tape is being written.
I have about 200 DVDs (before I started using tapes), now every time I want to make a copy of some series to a friend, or write it to my external hard drive, to bring with me I have to copy a lot of disks, while the amount of tapes is way smaller for a given data size.
I has a portable CD/MP3 player, but it broke, now I can play music on my Nokia N93, but don't usually do it. I have a lot of music in mp3/flac/wav format, but usually do not make copies of the CDs/tapes that I have. I think that my downloaded files are enough for portable use and if I actually paid money to have music on a specific format (record, CD, tape) I should only listen to it directly (I sometimes make exceptions for some records and record them to tape, so that they wear less).
Use TOR, but only to communicate between your PC and the twitter server. Peer-peer connections should be direct, without TOR (the tracker traffic is quite low, so TOR can be used for it, while you wouldn't want to transfer big files using TOR).
You can also use TOR to access twitter normally. In that case, they will not have your IP in their logs, only in the tracker.
Well, BitTorrent was created to be decentralized. TPB goes down, some other tracker will pick up where it left. Just like TPB did after the closing of SuprNova. Indexing sites will be affected only in that a lot of their old torrents will not work anymore (but there's also DHT, so you may be able to finish that download). Newly added torrents will be using other trackers and the BT community will live on.
I don't know what does the cable company have to do to be able to retransmit channels, but they do it. I can see all (or almost all) OTA channels in my country and foreign channels (for example a lot of Russian ones, also Discovery, History, TV1000 etc).
The tape that was stepped on was a prerecorded one. I had no copy of it, but the tape wasn't affected and it still plays fine. So this was like breaking a pressed CD, or do you make copies of all the CDs you buy?
I don't know how this stuff works in the US, but where I live, the cable operator just catches the TV programs off the air or via some cable or satellite (I don't work for a cable company so don't know for sure), converts it to analog and sends both analog and digital versions trough the cable to my home. There is no difference between a channel that I can get off the air and the same channel on cable (except the reception quality). The commercials are part of the original program, so if the cable company were to remove them, it would leave a 5-10min gap of nothing where the commercials were.
Why use cable then? Because of the higher reception quality and the ability to see foreign channels that would only be available via satellite.
My cable company has a single channel of their own, but nothing interesting (to me) is there so I don't know if it has commercials or not (it only operates part of the day, the other part is ads with music, but it's easy to avoid them - just don't watch that channel)
Too bad I can't get taiyo-yuden brand CDs/DVDs, though I now know that Verbatim CD-Rs last better than "Lead Data", which, after 10 years plays like a scratched record or plays for a second then pauses, then plays for another second (depending on the CD player used). I no longer use CDs/DVDs for data storage, I use LTO-1 and DDS-4 tapes and record CDs/DVDs only when I need to play the movie or music in a CD/DVD player or to give it to friends. Whether your disks will last 70-100 years is a very good question. The technology is too new for anyone to be sure. At least I know that cassettes last at least 22 years by the fact that some of my tapes are that old and can still be played.
I make backups of music I like on cassettes or R2R tapes (depending on the source quality). Also, for photos and other files that are small, but valuable to me, I use magneto-optical disks.
Man this is just wrong. Yes, tape has a higher fidelity than your standard 128 kbps mp3. But not for long. You'll lose most of the highs from ambient electromagnetic interference over the years, unless you store it in a lead box or something.
Depending on where that MP3 is written, after some number of years the cassette may sound bad and the MP3 might be unplayable.
I wouldn't exactly call them durable either. You've never had a tape eaten by a bad deck? Or a little brother that decorated his room with the tape?
It's also very easy to damage a CD. It's easily scratched, CD-Rs don't like sunlight (and UV rays) and degrade faster than a tape. Tape, eaten by a bad deck can usually be saved. A broken CD cannot be fixed, however it's likely that the cassette you sat on contains a tape that can be moved to another shell.
I've got 80 year old 78's
I have one record that's 94 years old:)
Anyway, cassettes are usually more durable and last longer than CD-Rs.
On the other hand, modern CDs are so compressed that you do not need any NR to record them to a cassette. This is not a deficiency with the CD as a medium, just the mastering.
A CD in a hot car could also have problems, especially if the CD is a recordable disk. If the tape deck eats a tape, it only affects a small part of the tape, if needed you can cut and splice it. On the other hand, if a CD is scratched the result may be anywhere from unnoticeable to a skip to an unplayable disk. It would be quite hard for a tape player to make the whole tape unusable (short of a malfunctioning erase circuit).
And cassettes are durable. Once somebody (not me) stepped on a cassette that I really liked. The shell was obviuosly broken, but I moved the tape to another shell and i can listen to the music even today. Step on a CD and then fix it:)
The inefficiency would not be noticeable, especially for me. As for the power surges it also depends. A USB charging cable is just that - a cable with two connectors. Yes, the cheaper one might be less durable, but if the price is right, it may be better that the expensive original one (depends on how many cheaper cables can you buy for the price on the expensive one). A charger that plugs into the 220V outlet is a bit different, but I can plug the cheaper one to my UPS and have it safe from the surges/spikes (in my are the most common problem with power is very short blackouts (~1s) and sags, I have seen a surge only once, and that happened when some criminals blew up a nearby 10kV->220/380V transformer (of course not the one that supplied the power to me).The result was that my TV somehow magnetized its tube and showed funny colors for a few days.
In any case, I am currently using a 220V->4.5V 500mA adapter (the non-SMPS kind) to charge my Nokia N93 with no problems.
No, not as a form of protest, but, since downloading a 30 year old movie and downloading (or rather uploading since downloading is not a crime) a 0day CAM of a new movie has the same consequences if you are cought then why wait?
It's like if the penalty for driving 20km/h over the speed limit and driving 100km/h over the limit were the same - those who would risk driving fast, would drive really fast since it's the same.
With current copyrights the is no difference: 1) upload a 30 year old movie - you are a criminal 2) upload a new movie - you are a criminal. So, why wait?
If copyrights were shorter the would be a difference: 1) upload a 30 year old movie - your are not a criminal 2) upload a new movie - you are a criminal.
Then there would be an incentive to download/upload only old movies. While some people wouldn't care about this, some would.
TPB themselves do not distribute the data, the users do.
However, with current copyright terms, it is the same if you want to share a CAM rip of a movie that premiered yesterday or some 30 year old movie. If it is the same (in both cases you are a criminal) then the users share everything.
If copyrights were shortened to a reasonable length of 10-20 years, you would see a lot of trackers and FTP servers pop up that deal only with the old data, then the number of TPB users would decrease as the users would have a choice: share only old movies and be in the clear or share new movies and risk getting cought. Now there is no difference, so why wait?
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embed tag - you mean like embedding WMP in a page? At least where I have seen it, it only worked reliably in IE (or those sites may have been made as such).
But seriously - let the browser have whatever codecs integrated and if it encounters an unsupported codec - it should ask DirectShow for help, especially sine you can install ffdshow (=one codec/filter pack) and it supports almost all codecs (it also supports h.264 and ogg).
How about making the browser use system (DirectShow on Windows, whatever-it's-called on Linux) codecs, so everybody could be using whatever codec they want. Look, a lot of media players on Windows (like WMP and MPC) use DirectShow, so thew users can install additional codecs.
Why they want to include the codecs in the browsers. This way is worse. If system codecs were used, then the sites could choose whether to use h.264, ogg or some other codec, like XviD.
Also, this way all of the patent/license/whatever issues for the browser vendors would go away. And if the users are watching video files on their computers they most likely have codecs already installed.
Oh, and I forgot - NTFS has this "feature" called Alternate Data Streams that can be used to hide almost anything in such a way that is hard to find.
Don't know what would be a legitimate use of ADS...
from the fat than one of my hard drives developed a single bad sector near the start and I lost some files as a consequence.
Also quote from http://www.easeus.com/resource/ntfs-disk-structure.htm :
$MFTmirr copy of the first 16 MFT records placed in themiddle of the disk
So, it's nly the first 16 records that are copied. FAT has a complete second copy of the FAT.
This limit is the only thing preventing me from using FAT32 on all of my hard drives. The system drive of my main PC is FAT32 (small files).
Why would I want FAT32?
1) It has a second copy of FAT*
2) It is compatible with more operating systems.
3) It does not support permissions**.
* It is said, that NTFS is very reliable with its journal and things, however, there is only one copy of the MFT, so if your hard drive developed a bad sector there, you will lose some number of files. FAT has a second copy of the FAT, in the event of a bad sector you can just copy the remaining good copy over where the corrupted table was.
** I don't know how to tell NTFS that "hey, look, I am the only person using this computer so how about you let me do everything I want?" Being an administrator doesn't always work.
Oh well, at least NTFS supports 64KB cluster size and that size is compatible with every OS that is compatible with NTFS (unlike FAT where 32K is the max for compatibility).
Oh, the DAC is still 24 bits, but the digital audio is converted to 64bits for processing so there are less distortion on the result. Did I get it right?
This is probably the same that the manual for Adobe Audition 1.5 suggests using 32bits for processing even if the result is then converted to 16 bits or whatever.
Because we hit an area of diminishing returns. For example, some years ago I upgraded my P100 to a 400MHz K6-2, then to 700MHz Duron, then to Athlon XP 2000+, changed the CPU to 3200+ and finally built a new PC with 2x Opteron 270.
The first upgrades were really substantial, especially the 100MHz->400MHz one. The computer was really faster and I could do more with it (and play better games). I built my current PC because I couldn't watch 1080p movies, now I can. The PC isn't really faster than my 3200+ PC despite having four times as many processors (cores) and 2xthe RAM. And it is good enough for me now. Firefox loads fast, video player too. Now video decoding can be done using a video card, so when some kind of better quality than 1080p arrives, I'll just have to replace my video card (and possibly the monitor, it can only do 2048x1536).
The same with XP. 98 was an improvement over 95, 2000 was an improvement over 98 and XP played games better than 2000 (and then got an integrated firewall). Now I rarely play games, and those that I play support DX9, so I don't need DX10, I no longer want a flashy UI (if Vista came out 5 years ago, I would have upgraded just for the looks).
Also, what massive environment? I have a lot of PCs, but if I were to upgrade, I would upgrade only one or two (my main PC and possibly my laptop).
Vista is bad, 7 may be OK for a new PC, but it has to be substantially better than XP for me to install it in my current PC, not just "oh it's about the same, maybe loads faster".
64 bit audio recording.
Wow, professional sound cards can do 64 bits now. Now that's a good dynamic range... My card only has 24 bits, but they are enough for me.
2.5TB or bigger hard disks drop below $100 (no GUID partition table support in XP)
OK
applications make good use of more than 4GB RAM (XP64 driver support "could be better")
depends on the applications. If the new version of an app uses 5GB RAM "just because it can" I would stick to the older version.
USB3 devices become available in mass quantities (no USB3 support in XP)
My current PC does not support USB3 and continuing the tradition USB3 devices will probably be compatible with USB2 controllers and Windows XP. USB2 gives about 40MB/s speed, compared to 1MB/s of USB1.1, so it would probably be OK for a lot of devices.
IPv4 addresses run out and major ISPs offer IPv6 access
One thing is the offer, other thing is users actually reconfiguring their computers to use IPv6.
Duke Nukem Forever is released for Windows 7 only.
DNF will be released for Windows 15, not 7.
Memory and IPv6 problems can be avoided by using Windows 2003. It supports IPv6 and PAE with >4GB RAM.
Reinstalling the OS became habit for even the least technical of computer users.... and you know what? For whatever reason, they didn't complain nearly as much as you people do. You have a piece of shit software firewall that isn't playing nice with your Vista and *BAM* that's it.
Maybe I didn't complain because the alternative was Windows 3.11, which was incompatible with a lot of new (95+ only) programs. Windows NT4 was incompatible with a lot of DOS programs, so a lot of people used 95.
Now I have XP, which is a good OS, way more stable than 95 was and is compatible with a lot of different programs, devices (driver from NT4 can work on XP, driver from 2000 has a high chance of working on XP). Microsoft wants me to install a new version of Windows, be it Vista or 7. For that to happen, the new OS has to be significantly better than my current one. But it isn't -
1)more DRM,
2)uses more resources,
3)incompatible with old programs,
4)incompatible with old drivers/devices.
And what does the new OS offer?
1)DirectX 10/11.
2)UAC
3)New UI
So:
1)I game very little currently, the games I play support DX9, therefore for some time I won't need to "upgrade". I may even not play newer (DX10+ only) games because my PC will be too slow and I may lose interest in gaming.
2)UAC, at least in Vista, is an annoyance - I saw my friends use their new laptops. They were very happy when I googled info on how to disable the UAC.
3) I don't care for the new UI, I would probably use a classic setting on Vista/7 (if there is one).
The result: There is no need for me to reinstall Windows, not to mention Install a different version of Windows.
Yes, maybe when I build a new PC I will use Win7 or 8 or whatever version will be then. But for now, my PC is enough, I don't need and do not plan to buy a newer/faster one.
Nice store, if they ship to outside of the US I might buy some disks, provided that price+shipping does not become larger that that of my LTO tapes.
I now prefer LTO tapes over DVDs because one tape can hold about 100GB of data. If I were to write 100GB to DVDs, I would have to swap 24 disks, now I just select the files, start writing and can watch a movie or do something else while the tape is being written.
I have about 200 DVDs (before I started using tapes), now every time I want to make a copy of some series to a friend, or write it to my external hard drive, to bring with me I have to copy a lot of disks, while the amount of tapes is way smaller for a given data size.
I has a portable CD/MP3 player, but it broke, now I can play music on my Nokia N93, but don't usually do it. I have a lot of music in mp3/flac/wav format, but usually do not make copies of the CDs/tapes that I have. I think that my downloaded files are enough for portable use and if I actually paid money to have music on a specific format (record, CD, tape) I should only listen to it directly (I sometimes make exceptions for some records and record them to tape, so that they wear less).
Use TOR, but only to communicate between your PC and the twitter server. Peer-peer connections should be direct, without TOR (the tracker traffic is quite low, so TOR can be used for it, while you wouldn't want to transfer big files using TOR).
You can also use TOR to access twitter normally. In that case, they will not have your IP in their logs, only in the tracker.
Well, BitTorrent was created to be decentralized. TPB goes down, some other tracker will pick up where it left. Just like TPB did after the closing of SuprNova. Indexing sites will be affected only in that a lot of their old torrents will not work anymore (but there's also DHT, so you may be able to finish that download). Newly added torrents will be using other trackers and the BT community will live on.
I don't know what does the cable company have to do to be able to retransmit channels, but they do it. I can see all (or almost all) OTA channels in my country and foreign channels (for example a lot of Russian ones, also Discovery, History, TV1000 etc).
The tape that was stepped on was a prerecorded one. I had no copy of it, but the tape wasn't affected and it still plays fine. So this was like breaking a pressed CD, or do you make copies of all the CDs you buy?
I don't know how this stuff works in the US, but where I live, the cable operator just catches the TV programs off the air or via some cable or satellite (I don't work for a cable company so don't know for sure), converts it to analog and sends both analog and digital versions trough the cable to my home. There is no difference between a channel that I can get off the air and the same channel on cable (except the reception quality). The commercials are part of the original program, so if the cable company were to remove them, it would leave a 5-10min gap of nothing where the commercials were.
Why use cable then? Because of the higher reception quality and the ability to see foreign channels that would only be available via satellite.
My cable company has a single channel of their own, but nothing interesting (to me) is there so I don't know if it has commercials or not (it only operates part of the day, the other part is ads with music, but it's easy to avoid them - just don't watch that channel)
Too bad I can't get taiyo-yuden brand CDs/DVDs, though I now know that Verbatim CD-Rs last better than "Lead Data", which, after 10 years plays like a scratched record or plays for a second then pauses, then plays for another second (depending on the CD player used). I no longer use CDs/DVDs for data storage, I use LTO-1 and DDS-4 tapes and record CDs/DVDs only when I need to play the movie or music in a CD/DVD player or to give it to friends.
Whether your disks will last 70-100 years is a very good question. The technology is too new for anyone to be sure. At least I know that cassettes last at least 22 years by the fact that some of my tapes are that old and can still be played.
I make backups of music I like on cassettes or R2R tapes (depending on the source quality).
Also, for photos and other files that are small, but valuable to me, I use magneto-optical disks.
Man this is just wrong. Yes, tape has a higher fidelity than your standard 128 kbps mp3. But not for long. You'll lose most of the highs from ambient electromagnetic interference over the years, unless you store it in a lead box or something.
Depending on where that MP3 is written, after some number of years the cassette may sound bad and the MP3 might be unplayable.
I wouldn't exactly call them durable either. You've never had a tape eaten by a bad deck? Or a little brother that decorated his room with the tape?
It's also very easy to damage a CD. It's easily scratched, CD-Rs don't like sunlight (and UV rays) and degrade faster than a tape. Tape, eaten by a bad deck can usually be saved. A broken CD cannot be fixed, however it's likely that the cassette you sat on contains a tape that can be moved to another shell.
I've got 80 year old 78's
I have one record that's 94 years old :)
Anyway, cassettes are usually more durable and last longer than CD-Rs.
On the other hand, modern CDs are so compressed that you do not need any NR to record them to a cassette. This is not a deficiency with the CD as a medium, just the mastering.
A CD in a hot car could also have problems, especially if the CD is a recordable disk. If the tape deck eats a tape, it only affects a small part of the tape, if needed you can cut and splice it. On the other hand, if a CD is scratched the result may be anywhere from unnoticeable to a skip to an unplayable disk. It would be quite hard for a tape player to make the whole tape unusable (short of a malfunctioning erase circuit).
And cassettes are durable. Once somebody (not me) stepped on a cassette that I really liked. The shell was obviuosly broken, but I moved the tape to another shell and i can listen to the music even today. Step on a CD and then fix it :)
A cassette lasts longer than a CD-R.
It all depends...
The inefficiency would not be noticeable, especially for me.
As for the power surges it also depends. A USB charging cable is just that - a cable with two connectors. Yes, the cheaper one might be less durable, but if the price is right, it may be better that the expensive original one (depends on how many cheaper cables can you buy for the price on the expensive one). A charger that plugs into the 220V outlet is a bit different, but I can plug the cheaper one to my UPS and have it safe from the surges/spikes (in my are the most common problem with power is very short blackouts (~1s) and sags, I have seen a surge only once, and that happened when some criminals blew up a nearby 10kV->220/380V transformer (of course not the one that supplied the power to me).The result was that my TV somehow magnetized its tube and showed funny colors for a few days.
In any case, I am currently using a 220V->4.5V 500mA adapter (the non-SMPS kind) to charge my Nokia N93 with no problems.
No, not as a form of protest, but, since downloading a 30 year old movie and downloading (or rather uploading since downloading is not a crime) a 0day CAM of a new movie has the same consequences if you are cought then why wait?
It's like if the penalty for driving 20km/h over the speed limit and driving 100km/h over the limit were the same - those who would risk driving fast, would drive really fast since it's the same.
With current copyrights the is no difference:
1) upload a 30 year old movie - you are a criminal
2) upload a new movie - you are a criminal.
So, why wait?
If copyrights were shorter the would be a difference:
1) upload a 30 year old movie - your are not a criminal
2) upload a new movie - you are a criminal.
Then there would be an incentive to download/upload only old movies. While some people wouldn't care about this, some would.
TPB themselves do not distribute the data, the users do.
However, with current copyright terms, it is the same if you want to share a CAM rip of a movie that premiered yesterday or some 30 year old movie. If it is the same (in both cases you are a criminal) then the users share everything.
If copyrights were shortened to a reasonable length of 10-20 years, you would see a lot of trackers and FTP servers pop up that deal only with the old data, then the number of TPB users would decrease as the users would have a choice: share only old movies and be in the clear or share new movies and risk getting cought. Now there is no difference, so why wait?