The probability of false matches depends entirely on which type of DNA test was used. The older tests, such as Y-DNA STR tests, looked at between 12 and 111 markers. Y-12 matches mean basically nothing. But modern autosomal testing compares between 400,000 and 900,000 markers (SNPs). These tests don't just yield "match" or "no match" results, but rather, measure the strength of the match in terms of centimorgans. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... These tests can't always definitively tell the difference between "you" and a parent or child, but if your DNA strongly matches another person's, there is no way you aren't closely related.
Sure, we CAN automate things. My son worked at a McDonald's where they had a machine to automatically fill soft drink cups for drive-thru customers. But the machine is so expensive they only bought one, so walk-in customers still got their drinks the old fashioned way.
The truth is that the easiest 20% of jobs can be automated, but 80% are still much too complex and varied to spend the money required.
Yes, automation will increase, as it has for centuries. But we're not going to suddenly fall of an automation cliff.
This is the whole point of GMail, you don't have to file stuff in folders any more. I used to create an elaborate folder system so I could find emails later. With GMail, the search feature is so god you don't have to file them. Just archive. Done.
Facebook's data sharing has been an open "secret" for years. Their practices were widely known among developers, a fact that led to so many app developers gathering and misusing data. If Google had such secrets and were just waiting to be "caught," we technical people would already know.
Sure, Google collects all kinds of data about you. But it doesn't give or sell that data to third parties like app makers. It uses it to target ads. The ad companies don't get lists of your friends or your activities, to use how they want.
So yes, Google does collect a lot of information about you, but it's not the same as what Facebook does.
You give people WAY too much credit. Have you ever been to an inner city neighborhood, where people don't work? I regularly work with people in the 5th Ward of Houston. Even the ones that have money to spend, they are certainly not finding their passion. They are bored to death, and it gets them into trouble. Have you ever studied what happens to lottery winners? They don't go find their passion. Instead, they squander their money and find themselves back in the same place they started.
Yes, there are some people who would follow their passions. Such people won't let employment get in their way. But there is a much larger group that would sit on their butts and wither away. People need to have to work. You have to start out somewhere. Few get to start in a job that fulfills their passions, you have to WORK to get to such a job.
AI is the latest buzzword. Every little company out there is touting the latest AI advances, and will sell at whatever price they can get. Most of the technology called "AI" isn't even smart, it's just "proof of concept" code that doesn't come close to what anyone would call AI. Most shops don't even understand relational databases yet, let alone "business intelligence" or now..."AI." I call BS. And of course, those who like to use BS to sell their services, aren't shy about charging exorbitant rates for that BS.
In addition to the coastline being a fractal pattern, there is the fact that the coastline is constantly changing, at many levels. The tides go in and out, erosion deposits silt at the mouths of rivers, hurricanes wipe away beaches. Not only are coastlines un-measurable because of their complex shape, but because it's a moving target.
Those who are in the top 25% are able to negotiate larger amounts of vacation time, without requiring additional tenure. I never accept a position that offers less than 15 days PTO, and have always been granted this, even when the normal company policy offers 15 days only after 5 years.
They don't even drop anchor in port, but just tell the autopilot to hold position.
Compared to cars, automatically piloting ships is easy, because there is a lot more room for error. For most of the journey, if the boat is half a mile off course, nobody cares!
Then they'll spray this enzyme indiscriminately, killing off all the other plastics until the more highly evolved plastics are the only ones left. After that, they are coming for you and me, brother!
...as if somehow they are meaningfully employed. Call me old-fashioned, but I certainly would have a problem with my daughter getting into this line of work, and I would HOPE every parent would feel the same way.
Yeah good luck with that idea. China and Iran and the like, have been trying to erect firewalls around their countries for years. People are very resourceful, and will never stop finding ways around those firewalls.
That's how the cable companies work. They throw in something attractive into their bundle, wait a year or so, then raise the price even more than you would have paid for the service separately.
1.5 meters does not tell you what road you are on, but what lane you are in
This is theoretically true, but this requires that the maps themselves also be accurate to within 1.5 meters. From my own experience using navigation apps, mostly Google, I can tell you that they are NOT that accurate.
90% is keeping maps up-to-date. What good is 1.5m accuracy, if you encounter a road construction detour just constructed yesterday? Google Navigation works so well not because of its accuracy, but because they put so much time, money, and effort into updating their maps constantly. Even then, it's not hard to find examples of locations where Google Navigation is not quite up-to-date. Good luck "Live Roads"!
Slashdot Mirror
The probability of false matches depends entirely on which type of DNA test was used. The older tests, such as Y-DNA STR tests, looked at between 12 and 111 markers. Y-12 matches mean basically nothing. But modern autosomal testing compares between 400,000 and 900,000 markers (SNPs). These tests don't just yield "match" or "no match" results, but rather, measure the strength of the match in terms of centimorgans. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... These tests can't always definitively tell the difference between "you" and a parent or child, but if your DNA strongly matches another person's, there is no way you aren't closely related.
If there had been, Siri would have come in first, of course!
And...I'll bet Alexa was the best at ordering stuff from Amazon.
I love my Google WiFi system. For the first time, I have no dead spots in the house. It just works, and it has all the features I want, and then some.
BUT when Apple decided to remove the headphone jack from the iPhone, the other phone makers started to follow suit.
I hope Google doesn't, in this case, but I'm certainly not sure.
I have a lot more to lose by letting a stranger into my house to deliver packages.
Sure, we CAN automate things. My son worked at a McDonald's where they had a machine to automatically fill soft drink cups for drive-thru customers. But the machine is so expensive they only bought one, so walk-in customers still got their drinks the old fashioned way.
The truth is that the easiest 20% of jobs can be automated, but 80% are still much too complex and varied to spend the money required.
Yes, automation will increase, as it has for centuries. But we're not going to suddenly fall of an automation cliff.
It does not appear that this time is going to be like the previous times
This is what they said in the dot-com boom of the 90's, "This may be the end of the business cycle as we know it!"
This time is ALWAYS like the previous times.
This is the whole point of GMail, you don't have to file stuff in folders any more. I used to create an elaborate folder system so I could find emails later. With GMail, the search feature is so god you don't have to file them. Just archive. Done.
Facebook's data sharing has been an open "secret" for years. Their practices were widely known among developers, a fact that led to so many app developers gathering and misusing data. If Google had such secrets and were just waiting to be "caught," we technical people would already know.
Sure, Google collects all kinds of data about you. But it doesn't give or sell that data to third parties like app makers. It uses it to target ads. The ad companies don't get lists of your friends or your activities, to use how they want.
So yes, Google does collect a lot of information about you, but it's not the same as what Facebook does.
You give people WAY too much credit. Have you ever been to an inner city neighborhood, where people don't work? I regularly work with people in the 5th Ward of Houston. Even the ones that have money to spend, they are certainly not finding their passion. They are bored to death, and it gets them into trouble. Have you ever studied what happens to lottery winners? They don't go find their passion. Instead, they squander their money and find themselves back in the same place they started.
Yes, there are some people who would follow their passions. Such people won't let employment get in their way. But there is a much larger group that would sit on their butts and wither away. People need to have to work. You have to start out somewhere. Few get to start in a job that fulfills their passions, you have to WORK to get to such a job.
Many studies have shown that when people retire early, they tend to die early.
Perhaps Kurzweil doesn't understand that meaning and purpose are inextricably tied to...WORK.
https://www.huffingtonpost.com...
AI is the latest buzzword. Every little company out there is touting the latest AI advances, and will sell at whatever price they can get. Most of the technology called "AI" isn't even smart, it's just "proof of concept" code that doesn't come close to what anyone would call AI. Most shops don't even understand relational databases yet, let alone "business intelligence" or now..."AI." I call BS. And of course, those who like to use BS to sell their services, aren't shy about charging exorbitant rates for that BS.
In addition to the coastline being a fractal pattern, there is the fact that the coastline is constantly changing, at many levels. The tides go in and out, erosion deposits silt at the mouths of rivers, hurricanes wipe away beaches. Not only are coastlines un-measurable because of their complex shape, but because it's a moving target.
Those who are in the top 25% are able to negotiate larger amounts of vacation time, without requiring additional tenure. I never accept a position that offers less than 15 days PTO, and have always been granted this, even when the normal company policy offers 15 days only after 5 years.
For example, cruise ships have typically been run by autopilot for years already.
http://www.beyondships2.com/fa...
They don't even drop anchor in port, but just tell the autopilot to hold position.
Compared to cars, automatically piloting ships is easy, because there is a lot more room for error. For most of the journey, if the boat is half a mile off course, nobody cares!
Didn't you know, the newest thing is "machine learning." This is so much more powerful than AI!
Then they'll spray this enzyme indiscriminately, killing off all the other plastics until the more highly evolved plastics are the only ones left. After that, they are coming for you and me, brother!
...as if somehow they are meaningfully employed. Call me old-fashioned, but I certainly would have a problem with my daughter getting into this line of work, and I would HOPE every parent would feel the same way.
Yeah good luck with that idea. China and Iran and the like, have been trying to erect firewalls around their countries for years. People are very resourceful, and will never stop finding ways around those firewalls.
It's GLOBAL and our laws don't apply to other countries.
Once it reaches "beta," it will stay there for the next 10 years!
That's how the cable companies work. They throw in something attractive into their bundle, wait a year or so, then raise the price even more than you would have paid for the service separately.
1.5 meters does not tell you what road you are on, but what lane you are in
This is theoretically true, but this requires that the maps themselves also be accurate to within 1.5 meters. From my own experience using navigation apps, mostly Google, I can tell you that they are NOT that accurate.
This is true, but Google Maps also puts a lot of their own money into it. They employ at least 10,000 people in their maps division alone!
http://www.businessinsider.com...
90% is keeping maps up-to-date. What good is 1.5m accuracy, if you encounter a road construction detour just constructed yesterday? Google Navigation works so well not because of its accuracy, but because they put so much time, money, and effort into updating their maps constantly. Even then, it's not hard to find examples of locations where Google Navigation is not quite up-to-date. Good luck "Live Roads"!