What always struck me as odd about the "random walk" conjecture is that it seems that if stock prices were random walking they should in the short term follow some sort of normal distribution. They don't seem to. Some traders like to use bollinger bands, which place standard deviation lines above and below a moving average. That always seemed silly to me, since it is well known that stock prices are not even close to following a gaussian distribution. Furthermore, the whole idea seems to lose sight of the fact that these aren't numbers coming out of the ether, they are being produced by a large number of people, each behaving in different, but somewhat predictable ways. That makes for a very complex system sure, but not a random one.
It's a chaotic system, but it has certain patterns that seem to repeat. The thing I noticed after looking at a few, is that the real ones are easily identifiable by the development of resistance and support levels, which technical traders use to find probable entry and exit points. Basically, the hypothesis is that a group X holds the stock, they tend to have some psychological barrier price in common at which they would sell, and another at which they would buy more, this selling and buying makes it difficult to break through those price points. When it approaches one of those points trading goes up, if something has changed to make the stock more attractive to another group, or to make it less attractive to the group of traders that tends to hold it, it will change hands, and the new investor group will have new barriers. So over any given time period you will notice a lot of closing stock prices at close to the same level, then a sudden jump, and new level it bounces between, etc.
dude... seriously... wtf. But even if we all decided to be hateful racist self entitled assholes there are huge holes in the plan. How do you propose to murder most of the population of the planet? Nukes? Think it's still gonna be nice to live here afterwards? So say you can do it with conventional weapons. Returning everywhere but western europe and north america to "natural habitats" wouldn't solve jack shit, you just end up with fewer resources and fewer people. doesn't much matter though, I doubt there is any point in arguing about this with you since you clearly stated your goal was not to solve some sort of coming resource crisis but to kill all the s and are just using this as a convenient opening for it.
The phone market has always been looking for ways of extending battery life. I have a phone which is basically a computer with an antenna. It plays videos, music has wordprocessor, gps, maps etc and the battery still lasts up to 3 days.
Sure, but not while it's doing those things continuously. Also people underestimate the effect of the antenna. A cell phone radio puts out a fair amount of power, and due to design limitations, the antenna can't be exactly impedence matched. We had a guy from TI in talking about RF switching and phase shifting, and the cell phone manufactureres are looking into new technology in order to increase the efficiency of the radio to increase battery life.
As much as I hate to admit it, I think the better thing to do right now would be stock up on food, ammunition if you are so inclined and other things that might become scarce. The intellectual property thing is a very strange development, but basically the US has no more material exports. We are gambling that we will be able to monetize IP long term, thereby closing our trade deficit without producing physical goods. It could go well, if we monopolize the world engineering market without having to build anything here and still get the profits we'll be insanely rich. Somehow I don't think it'll work out that way, especially the way our currency is doing.
Well being as the anti AGW folks are merely arguing against passing new laws and giving up an amount of sovereignty, I would say maybe it *is* innocent until proven guilty. People want to debate the science, great, but this is a political issue too. Trillions of dollars, shifts to other fuels, huge geopolitical implications. I've said this before but I'll say it again: I want really good evidence that the theory is correct, and I want proof that any legislation proposed would solve the problem, causing more good than harm. I was starting to be convinced on the former, I've never been convinced of the latter. Now I'm not convinced of either. A huge dataset is essentially missing, that doesn't falsify a theory, doesn't even mean anyone was intentionally dishonest. As far as I'm concerned AGW is a nice theory, we should rebuild some climate data, verify it against what we had from before (the corrected version they've been using), let people who don't care about politics in some ivory towers debate it for a decade or two, then think about a solution that will actually work. If you want nuclear/solar/wind/whatever fine, lots of good reasons for that. Just don't pull this cap and trade CO2 monitoring every time I breath out is an affront to gaia legislative stuff.
Agreed, there are a lot of good fountain pens out there. I use some pilot disposables when I have no other choice, when I'm in my cube I have a nice sheaffer snorkel with a solid palladium nib, if you don't mind laying down some cash I would highly recommend the namiki vanishing points. But really, you should be able to pick up an amazingly reliable, beautiful old parker or sheaffer on ebay for not much. Just don't use crap and it will be way better than ball points.
Actually, the wikipedia article more or less confirms what he said. Jury nullification is a de facto power, not a de jure purpose of having a jury. The power is granted to the jury as a side effect of double jeopardy, and protections against being persecuted for judgements made while a juror. If jurors could be prosecuted for not making the judgement the state expected it would destroy they entire system, so they have to let the jury nullifications slide. That having been said jury nullification has an important history and goes back a very long time.
since swine flu is hard to tell from seasonal flu, and anyone who has had the vaccine already has swine flu antibodies, isn't it hard to say whether they all came down with h1n1? Part of my thinking is that there was, in fact, a study in canada that seemed to show a link between higher seasonal flu infection rates, and having been immunized against h1n1. Canada acted on it and stopped recommending the vaccine for low risk groups. Anyway just my two cents.
I agree, and the "you don't travel that much very often" argument is bogus. It's a major aspect of having a car that you *can* make a 10 hour round trip any time you want without having to arrange for charging your car for hours. People have cars because of freedom as much as for their daily commute. What we need is a common platform and swappable batteries, so that you can go to a gas station, swap out your battery against a charged one for a fee, and keep driving.
I haven't found a car analogy I like yet, so I am going to make one. You are walking down the street, and see a car shaped monopoly piece. You pick it up and put it in your pocket. The police then arrest you for grand theft auto. You then defend yourself by saying "it's not even a real car". The judge, jury, and slashdotters respond by say "yes but when you were in high school we caught you stealing a real car, so you must have been meaning to do that now."
I have enlisted several of my fellow graduate students, in exchange for a nominal fee we are offering "Entropy Credits". Since many of you may need to work, clean, etc on a daily basis, we will, in exchange for said fee, spend one day doing absolutely nothing, thereby saving a small amount of entropy to displace your days contribution to the heat death of the universe.
Not sure why all the negative responses. A great deal of space research is already private or semi private. University groups send up small satellites on refitted ICBMs, european rockets, whatever. SpaceX has a decent program, spaceship 2 is on the way. Given the way Ares is shaping up, I'd rather fly on something built by private industry. I know we're all space fans, but beyond the Air Force space program, which is clearly for defense, there is no reason for spaceflight to be a federal program. There is absolutely no reason for it to be a monopoly. Another side of this is that competition essentially multiplies investment. If I want to develop a rocket, I have to spend X dollars. If I say everyone who develops a rocket that does this gets Y dollars, I get a number of people Z each spending X dollars. As long as Z*X > Y, I got some free research. That's how the X-prize worked, and it turned out well. You all fly on EADS (Airbus) and Boeing products, Boeing and Lockheed martin are private and develop our military aircraft, private industry is really good at this stuff.
seems like you could use on of the polarizers from a pair of glasses and some scotch tape, probably get a decent video of the video going to one eye. screeners are already pretty horrid quality, anyway. Besides avatar has been out a while, there are probably already torrents available, possibly from canada or the US.
Honestly, I recognize the term streisand effect, but I don't think anyone cares why it's called that, it's just sort of an internet meme. To me she's a singer, who overcharges sometimes and has a bit of an annoying voice when she's not singing. I know she's considered liberal and stuff... but it could be called the alan alda or the michael moore effect for all I care... and it's usually used here in a context that isn't right-left political.
Actually, treason means at least two witnesses can testify that you waged war against the united states of america. It is punishable by, and only by, death. It is the only crime defined in the constitution, and for good reason, because the word gets trotted out so often in times just like these. Treason is such an obvious tool for a dictatorship that it was defined so strictly in our constitution that no one has ever been convicted of it. We have a well thought out legal document there... it would be nice if people respected the first, second, fourth and fifth amendments as well.
Slashdot Mirror
5? I'm sure I can find a polynomial for which the next solution is 5. Does that count?
What always struck me as odd about the "random walk" conjecture is that it seems that if stock prices were random walking they should in the short term follow some sort of normal distribution. They don't seem to. Some traders like to use bollinger bands, which place standard deviation lines above and below a moving average. That always seemed silly to me, since it is well known that stock prices are not even close to following a gaussian distribution. Furthermore, the whole idea seems to lose sight of the fact that these aren't numbers coming out of the ether, they are being produced by a large number of people, each behaving in different, but somewhat predictable ways. That makes for a very complex system sure, but not a random one.
It's a chaotic system, but it has certain patterns that seem to repeat. The thing I noticed after looking at a few, is that the real ones are easily identifiable by the development of resistance and support levels, which technical traders use to find probable entry and exit points. Basically, the hypothesis is that a group X holds the stock, they tend to have some psychological barrier price in common at which they would sell, and another at which they would buy more, this selling and buying makes it difficult to break through those price points. When it approaches one of those points trading goes up, if something has changed to make the stock more attractive to another group, or to make it less attractive to the group of traders that tends to hold it, it will change hands, and the new investor group will have new barriers. So over any given time period you will notice a lot of closing stock prices at close to the same level, then a sudden jump, and new level it bounces between, etc.
dude... seriously... wtf. But even if we all decided to be hateful racist self entitled assholes there are huge holes in the plan. How do you propose to murder most of the population of the planet? Nukes? Think it's still gonna be nice to live here afterwards? So say you can do it with conventional weapons. Returning everywhere but western europe and north america to "natural habitats" wouldn't solve jack shit, you just end up with fewer resources and fewer people. doesn't much matter though, I doubt there is any point in arguing about this with you since you clearly stated your goal was not to solve some sort of coming resource crisis but to kill all the s and are just using this as a convenient opening for it.
The phone market has always been looking for ways of extending battery life. I have a phone which is basically a computer with an antenna. It plays videos, music has wordprocessor, gps, maps etc and the battery still lasts up to 3 days.
Sure, but not while it's doing those things continuously. Also people underestimate the effect of the antenna. A cell phone radio puts out a fair amount of power, and due to design limitations, the antenna can't be exactly impedence matched. We had a guy from TI in talking about RF switching and phase shifting, and the cell phone manufactureres are looking into new technology in order to increase the efficiency of the radio to increase battery life.
unfortunately penile uptime doesn't do much for the average slashdotter.
I fit in pretty well in north dallas.
The assumption was that it would be programmed in the EU, so you have to work in the 6 weeks of vacation and the half day off on fridays.
As much as I hate to admit it, I think the better thing to do right now would be stock up on food, ammunition if you are so inclined and other things that might become scarce. The intellectual property thing is a very strange development, but basically the US has no more material exports. We are gambling that we will be able to monetize IP long term, thereby closing our trade deficit without producing physical goods. It could go well, if we monopolize the world engineering market without having to build anything here and still get the profits we'll be insanely rich. Somehow I don't think it'll work out that way, especially the way our currency is doing.
Well being as the anti AGW folks are merely arguing against passing new laws and giving up an amount of sovereignty, I would say maybe it *is* innocent until proven guilty. People want to debate the science, great, but this is a political issue too. Trillions of dollars, shifts to other fuels, huge geopolitical implications. I've said this before but I'll say it again: I want really good evidence that the theory is correct, and I want proof that any legislation proposed would solve the problem, causing more good than harm. I was starting to be convinced on the former, I've never been convinced of the latter. Now I'm not convinced of either. A huge dataset is essentially missing, that doesn't falsify a theory, doesn't even mean anyone was intentionally dishonest. As far as I'm concerned AGW is a nice theory, we should rebuild some climate data, verify it against what we had from before (the corrected version they've been using), let people who don't care about politics in some ivory towers debate it for a decade or two, then think about a solution that will actually work. If you want nuclear/solar/wind/whatever fine, lots of good reasons for that. Just don't pull this cap and trade CO2 monitoring every time I breath out is an affront to gaia legislative stuff.
http://www.thebestpageintheuniverse.net/c.cgi?u=stock_photos
Agreed, there are a lot of good fountain pens out there. I use some pilot disposables when I have no other choice, when I'm in my cube I have a nice sheaffer snorkel with a solid palladium nib, if you don't mind laying down some cash I would highly recommend the namiki vanishing points. But really, you should be able to pick up an amazingly reliable, beautiful old parker or sheaffer on ebay for not much. Just don't use crap and it will be way better than ball points.
The latest environmental threat: overphishing
Actually, the wikipedia article more or less confirms what he said. Jury nullification is a de facto power, not a de jure purpose of having a jury. The power is granted to the jury as a side effect of double jeopardy, and protections against being persecuted for judgements made while a juror. If jurors could be prosecuted for not making the judgement the state expected it would destroy they entire system, so they have to let the jury nullifications slide. That having been said jury nullification has an important history and goes back a very long time.
Clearly the power is leaking out all the windows, they should use quality double paned glass, to help mitigate the problem.
since swine flu is hard to tell from seasonal flu, and anyone who has had the vaccine already has swine flu antibodies, isn't it hard to say whether they all came down with h1n1? Part of my thinking is that there was, in fact, a study in canada that seemed to show a link between higher seasonal flu infection rates, and having been immunized against h1n1. Canada acted on it and stopped recommending the vaccine for low risk groups. Anyway just my two cents.
I agree, and the "you don't travel that much very often" argument is bogus. It's a major aspect of having a car that you *can* make a 10 hour round trip any time you want without having to arrange for charging your car for hours. People have cars because of freedom as much as for their daily commute. What we need is a common platform and swappable batteries, so that you can go to a gas station, swap out your battery against a charged one for a fee, and keep driving.
I haven't found a car analogy I like yet, so I am going to make one. You are walking down the street, and see a car shaped monopoly piece. You pick it up and put it in your pocket. The police then arrest you for grand theft auto. You then defend yourself by saying "it's not even a real car". The judge, jury, and slashdotters respond by say "yes but when you were in high school we caught you stealing a real car, so you must have been meaning to do that now."
I have enlisted several of my fellow graduate students, in exchange for a nominal fee we are offering "Entropy Credits". Since many of you may need to work, clean, etc on a daily basis, we will, in exchange for said fee, spend one day doing absolutely nothing, thereby saving a small amount of entropy to displace your days contribution to the heat death of the universe.
If they are doing real time embedded systems even C++ is too high level. C# is useless.
Not sure why all the negative responses. A great deal of space research is already private or semi private. University groups send up small satellites on refitted ICBMs, european rockets, whatever. SpaceX has a decent program, spaceship 2 is on the way. Given the way Ares is shaping up, I'd rather fly on something built by private industry. I know we're all space fans, but beyond the Air Force space program, which is clearly for defense, there is no reason for spaceflight to be a federal program. There is absolutely no reason for it to be a monopoly. Another side of this is that competition essentially multiplies investment. If I want to develop a rocket, I have to spend X dollars. If I say everyone who develops a rocket that does this gets Y dollars, I get a number of people Z each spending X dollars. As long as Z*X > Y, I got some free research. That's how the X-prize worked, and it turned out well. You all fly on EADS (Airbus) and Boeing products, Boeing and Lockheed martin are private and develop our military aircraft, private industry is really good at this stuff.
seems like you could use on of the polarizers from a pair of glasses and some scotch tape, probably get a decent video of the video going to one eye. screeners are already pretty horrid quality, anyway. Besides avatar has been out a while, there are probably already torrents available, possibly from canada or the US.
One would assume they already do this, without being paid by the government to do so.
Honestly, I recognize the term streisand effect, but I don't think anyone cares why it's called that, it's just sort of an internet meme. To me she's a singer, who overcharges sometimes and has a bit of an annoying voice when she's not singing. I know she's considered liberal and stuff... but it could be called the alan alda or the michael moore effect for all I care... and it's usually used here in a context that isn't right-left political.
Actually, treason means at least two witnesses can testify that you waged war against the united states of america. It is punishable by, and only by, death. It is the only crime defined in the constitution, and for good reason, because the word gets trotted out so often in times just like these. Treason is such an obvious tool for a dictatorship that it was defined so strictly in our constitution that no one has ever been convicted of it. We have a well thought out legal document there... it would be nice if people respected the first, second, fourth and fifth amendments as well.