The problem is that in the past there has always been some new job to shift to. Blue collar work to white collar work. NOW the automation is hitting all across the board. In 30 years many of these jobs will be gone with nothing to replace them as AI will do the new jobs too. Comparing what is coming to what's happened before is useless because the old ways of automation were task specific and took considerable capital to set up. What's coming up is general purpose AI that can be trained to do a task in a vastly shorter time period and will wreak havoc on employment as a result.
> Yes, and this is a *much bigger* problem than "climate change" upon which trillions are being spent for very little demonstrable benefit.
Uh huh. Wanna show where these "trillions" are being spent?
And no, half the human race being unemployed is not worse than climate change at the extreme. 100,000 years ago primitive man had no 401k at all and was just fine, but if climate change killed off all his food he hunted and gathered he'd be in a far worse state than not having an employment contract.
Larger enterprises do. This Microsoft initiative isn't targeting large enterprises as they already know that Office 365 + cloud is a total non-starter for big companies due to audit concerns and a raft of other issues, plus larger companies have some interesting bulk licensing negotiated with Microsoft.
This is firmly aimed at the smaller companies, under 100 people and smaller. Big enough they have doc sync issues and IT headaches with licensing control but small enough they can't easily roll their own solutions cost effectively.
Why? If you have a desktop version of Office that you've already purchased you already have an office suite. It's the cloud storage you need to switch. Google Drive or Dropbox will happily take your money and cost a lot less than 365 to boot. Well, Google drive will, Dropbox seems to have missed the whole "I need more storage than the free version but don't want to pay $100 a year for this crap when I won't use 90% of it" boat...
The problem is generally the frequency of these updates. Rather than 10 changes every minor rev, how about significant changes only every 18 months to 2 years, with some beta testing in between by a beta pool only? This is the major complaint I have - a lot of software like Firefox and a ton of Android apps add features, then take them away, then put them back, then move controls, move them back, change them, remove something and add something else that does only 40% of what the old thing did then change that around. And all of this takes place in 3-6 months on all of their users desktops/phones/tablets. Just because your software is "free" doesn't mean all of your users should live in a constant state of alpha testing.
> You'd like some new users, but our crusty mid 90s UI is turning them off. Yeah, time for a re-write.
Alternatively you'd like to KEEP your users but your constant UI rewrites are driving them insane and they're dropping your app for alternatives faster than your rewrites are bringing in fresh ones. Maybe it's time to slow the hell down on general release changes.
It's not gross incompetence. They made a certain number of things, they are not selling any more at their choice. From a business perspective in many cases it's better to leave the world wanting more than to saturate the market and wear out your brand.
And it's working. Around the web there are reams of stories being posted on the merest whiff of a hint of a SNES mini, real or not. You can't buy advertising like that.
Most of what you described sounds more like an illegal suite problem, which is not an AirBnB problem. Even if AirBnB didn't exist those would be rented as SROs monthly for whatever the market will bear and the owners will slumlord all the way to the bank. No way a bathroom that small is to code.
Also, the lack of cleanliness is an issue that AirBnB's feedback should have either solved or warned you about ahead of time, as well as the bathroom size. Did you leave feedback on the rental afterwards noting those issues?
You know, most people who go somewhere for the weekend don't actually want the cops showing up to where they are going so there's a built in reticence to causing a disturbance. Frat boys gonna frat of course, but generally those sorts aren't going for a 1br AirBNB near the tourist landmarks or shopping district.
The problem is even more basic than that. You automate and save pretty coins, the fast food chains automate and save pretty coins, the factory automates and saves pretty coins. However, pretty soon you're not saving any more pretty coins because nobody is buying your shipping service, the fast food chains are closing locations due to lack of customers, the factories are closing, the real estate leasing companies for the space the fast food companies' outlets occupied and factories leased start losing revenue and lay people off, and so it goes.
When the tipping point hits, I think it'll happen fast enough that by the time people are thinking revolution, a lot of the supposed fat cats will also be broke with nothing to their names but a factory that makes junk nobody can afford to buy or even wants compared to their next meal.
Require a business license and whatever inspection is needed for the B&B and then let them get on with making a go of it.
But to say that someone renting their coach house or basement suite out for the weekend should be subject to the same obligations as a 1000 room hotel is kind of insane. It's already perfectly fine to rent a property out for more than 30 days but shorten it to a weekend and suddenly you need to comply with more regulations?
Sounds to me like cartels don't want competition especially when it's desperately needed.
There's tons of ways to block botting. Easiest is when a vote is entered the IP and userid for that vote goes into a table with a timestamp. When another vote for the same IMDB item is cast the table is referenced and if it's the same IP but a different userid and less than 10 or 15 minutes has elapsed, the vote is rejected and the UI pops a message about the same IP with a captcha to solve. If the captcha is solved then the vote is registered. That way bots are blocked but a family who just watched a movie and for some reason ALL of them wanted to rate it on IMDB within a 15 minute window afterward could still vote.
Between that and the massive defense ring protecting Earth and yet conveniently an asteroid still flattened a not too important city (in the global scheme) you didn't figure out that it was a false-flag attack designed to whip up public fervor?
As for the body armor, of course you want casualties, you need to show that this is a horrific conflict that will take the entirety of your people standing as one to defeat some bugs (that didn't even attack you to begin with). Plus materially speaking dead people cost less resources than wounded casualties that need medical services.
Not saying that's a cheaply constructed fake, but at the same time I can't see how it could do any good to have a nosecone deflected that far off the direction of flight...
No, broadcasters did this. " maybe even demanded this". Almost certainly demanded this as part of offering the content. Alphabet's choices were to offer the service with that restriction or have nothing to offer. Saying Alphabet did this and it's all their fault is like blaming the authorities for doing/not doing something when a hostage taker kills a hostage.
It's not the health, it's the healthcare providers in the US. Once the US is finally dragged kicking and screaming to a single-payer system like the rest of the UHC world, their costs will fall like a rock. But for now the astroturf is strong, and the politician buyoff is stronger so it's going to be a long fight before that happens.
> The only barrier to entry preventing some millenial from learning COBOL is the lack of consistent jobs maintaining COBOL code
Actually, no. There are plenty of jobs at unexciting companies for long term full time COBOL programmers. The company I work for, for example is constantly looking to backfill retiring COBOL programmers in one of the financial divisions. To be honest, if I had to do life over again I'd seriously consider picking up COBOL 25 years ago as the wage and job security at those big companies for that position are great - no offshore outsourcers do COBOL, and even if they could, many of the systems involved are sensitive financial systems so outsourcing that could be a big legal minefield so no company wants to risk it. Plus the added little bonanza of the whole Y2K thing where COBOL programmers were making INSANE money in the year leading up to it - like $200/hr insane. In 1999 dollars as well.
If you read the article, it seems these contractors work for the 75 year old guy's company so they're probably actually employees in some fashion, just the work resembles contract work, and they get $100/hr for it. I'm sure the company in front of it charges considerably more than $100/hr to assign these guys to the jobs which all you mention is no doubt paid for out of.
Depends if they're actually travelling or just remoting in. If they travel I would expect accommodations are paid for as well as food and other expenses on top. And if you're doing 40 hours a week steady of that $100/hr contracting you're making close to 200K US per year. That's not bad no matter how you look at it.
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The problem is that in the past there has always been some new job to shift to. Blue collar work to white collar work. NOW the automation is hitting all across the board. In 30 years many of these jobs will be gone with nothing to replace them as AI will do the new jobs too. Comparing what is coming to what's happened before is useless because the old ways of automation were task specific and took considerable capital to set up. What's coming up is general purpose AI that can be trained to do a task in a vastly shorter time period and will wreak havoc on employment as a result.
> Yes, and this is a *much bigger* problem than "climate change" upon which trillions are being spent for very little demonstrable benefit.
Uh huh. Wanna show where these "trillions" are being spent?
And no, half the human race being unemployed is not worse than climate change at the extreme. 100,000 years ago primitive man had no 401k at all and was just fine, but if climate change killed off all his food he hunted and gathered he'd be in a far worse state than not having an employment contract.
> humans are incapable of driving cars without getting intoxicated first and even if not, they kill thousands more than robots would.
Maybe if you can't get in a car without getting intoxicated first and kill thousands all the time, maybe you just shouldn't drive...
Unless of course you meant SOME humans, not all of them.
Exactly right. This whole writeup is pitched like it's an eeeeevil plot by MS, but I don't see it that way.
Larger enterprises do. This Microsoft initiative isn't targeting large enterprises as they already know that Office 365 + cloud is a total non-starter for big companies due to audit concerns and a raft of other issues, plus larger companies have some interesting bulk licensing negotiated with Microsoft.
This is firmly aimed at the smaller companies, under 100 people and smaller. Big enough they have doc sync issues and IT headaches with licensing control but small enough they can't easily roll their own solutions cost effectively.
Why? If you have a desktop version of Office that you've already purchased you already have an office suite. It's the cloud storage you need to switch. Google Drive or Dropbox will happily take your money and cost a lot less than 365 to boot. Well, Google drive will, Dropbox seems to have missed the whole "I need more storage than the free version but don't want to pay $100 a year for this crap when I won't use 90% of it" boat...
The problem is generally the frequency of these updates. Rather than 10 changes every minor rev, how about significant changes only every 18 months to 2 years, with some beta testing in between by a beta pool only? This is the major complaint I have - a lot of software like Firefox and a ton of Android apps add features, then take them away, then put them back, then move controls, move them back, change them, remove something and add something else that does only 40% of what the old thing did then change that around. And all of this takes place in 3-6 months on all of their users desktops/phones/tablets. Just because your software is "free" doesn't mean all of your users should live in a constant state of alpha testing.
> You'd like some new users, but our crusty mid 90s UI is turning them off. Yeah, time for a re-write.
Alternatively you'd like to KEEP your users but your constant UI rewrites are driving them insane and they're dropping your app for alternatives faster than your rewrites are bringing in fresh ones. Maybe it's time to slow the hell down on general release changes.
It's not gross incompetence. They made a certain number of things, they are not selling any more at their choice. From a business perspective in many cases it's better to leave the world wanting more than to saturate the market and wear out your brand.
And it's working. Around the web there are reams of stories being posted on the merest whiff of a hint of a SNES mini, real or not. You can't buy advertising like that.
Most of what you described sounds more like an illegal suite problem, which is not an AirBnB problem. Even if AirBnB didn't exist those would be rented as SROs monthly for whatever the market will bear and the owners will slumlord all the way to the bank. No way a bathroom that small is to code.
Also, the lack of cleanliness is an issue that AirBnB's feedback should have either solved or warned you about ahead of time, as well as the bathroom size. Did you leave feedback on the rental afterwards noting those issues?
You know, most people who go somewhere for the weekend don't actually want the cops showing up to where they are going so there's a built in reticence to causing a disturbance. Frat boys gonna frat of course, but generally those sorts aren't going for a 1br AirBNB near the tourist landmarks or shopping district.
The problem is even more basic than that. You automate and save pretty coins, the fast food chains automate and save pretty coins, the factory automates and saves pretty coins. However, pretty soon you're not saving any more pretty coins because nobody is buying your shipping service, the fast food chains are closing locations due to lack of customers, the factories are closing, the real estate leasing companies for the space the fast food companies' outlets occupied and factories leased start losing revenue and lay people off, and so it goes.
When the tipping point hits, I think it'll happen fast enough that by the time people are thinking revolution, a lot of the supposed fat cats will also be broke with nothing to their names but a factory that makes junk nobody can afford to buy or even wants compared to their next meal.
Oh OK. So since we can't fix every possible problem, we shouldn't bother trying to fix any of them. Good thinking!
Because one home/suite/room does not a hotel make? If anything they should be regulated as a B&B:
http://vancouver.ca/doing-business/bed-and-breakfast-business.aspx
Require a business license and whatever inspection is needed for the B&B and then let them get on with making a go of it.
But to say that someone renting their coach house or basement suite out for the weekend should be subject to the same obligations as a 1000 room hotel is kind of insane. It's already perfectly fine to rent a property out for more than 30 days but shorten it to a weekend and suddenly you need to comply with more regulations?
Sounds to me like cartels don't want competition especially when it's desperately needed.
There's tons of ways to block botting. Easiest is when a vote is entered the IP and userid for that vote goes into a table with a timestamp. When another vote for the same IMDB item is cast the table is referenced and if it's the same IP but a different userid and less than 10 or 15 minutes has elapsed, the vote is rejected and the UI pops a message about the same IP with a captcha to solve. If the captcha is solved then the vote is registered. That way bots are blocked but a family who just watched a movie and for some reason ALL of them wanted to rate it on IMDB within a 15 minute window afterward could still vote.
>warp-speed asteroids
Between that and the massive defense ring protecting Earth and yet conveniently an asteroid still flattened a not too important city (in the global scheme) you didn't figure out that it was a false-flag attack designed to whip up public fervor?
As for the body armor, of course you want casualties, you need to show that this is a horrific conflict that will take the entirety of your people standing as one to defeat some bugs (that didn't even attack you to begin with). Plus materially speaking dead people cost less resources than wounded casualties that need medical services.
I'm from Buenos Aires and I say kill 'em all!
Next up... geek upgrades his own workstation's RAM!
> My first thought was that they were fake
You're not the only one... I'm no missile designer, but it seems to be that something in this video does seem to be a bit out of whack:
https://www.liveleak.com/view?i=922_1492285518&utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark
Not saying that's a cheaply constructed fake, but at the same time I can't see how it could do any good to have a nosecone deflected that far off the direction of flight...
> If they become part of a hive mind, so much the better!
Macross Plus was supposed to be a warning, not a howto.
No, broadcasters did this. " maybe even demanded this". Almost certainly demanded this as part of offering the content. Alphabet's choices were to offer the service with that restriction or have nothing to offer. Saying Alphabet did this and it's all their fault is like blaming the authorities for doing/not doing something when a hostage taker kills a hostage.
It's not the health, it's the healthcare providers in the US. Once the US is finally dragged kicking and screaming to a single-payer system like the rest of the UHC world, their costs will fall like a rock. But for now the astroturf is strong, and the politician buyoff is stronger so it's going to be a long fight before that happens.
Buy cheap... buy cheap again! Maybe don't cheap out on things you want to last?
> The only barrier to entry preventing some millenial from learning COBOL is the lack of consistent jobs maintaining COBOL code
Actually, no. There are plenty of jobs at unexciting companies for long term full time COBOL programmers. The company I work for, for example is constantly looking to backfill retiring COBOL programmers in one of the financial divisions. To be honest, if I had to do life over again I'd seriously consider picking up COBOL 25 years ago as the wage and job security at those big companies for that position are great - no offshore outsourcers do COBOL, and even if they could, many of the systems involved are sensitive financial systems so outsourcing that could be a big legal minefield so no company wants to risk it. Plus the added little bonanza of the whole Y2K thing where COBOL programmers were making INSANE money in the year leading up to it - like $200/hr insane. In 1999 dollars as well.
If you read the article, it seems these contractors work for the 75 year old guy's company so they're probably actually employees in some fashion, just the work resembles contract work, and they get $100/hr for it. I'm sure the company in front of it charges considerably more than $100/hr to assign these guys to the jobs which all you mention is no doubt paid for out of.
Depends if they're actually travelling or just remoting in. If they travel I would expect accommodations are paid for as well as food and other expenses on top. And if you're doing 40 hours a week steady of that $100/hr contracting you're making close to 200K US per year. That's not bad no matter how you look at it.