Fracking for natural gas -- one of the cheapest, cleanest, safest, and most reliable domestic energy sources -- has been made illegal in some states. Environmentalists oppose fracking for natural gas because they don't want us to have cheap energy.
The only state in which fracking is illegal to the best of my knowledge is Vermont and they don't have any natural gas, so it is symbolic. If someone discovered natural gas reserves in Vermont symbolism be damned they'd be fracking. Now the real issue with fracking is:
1) It looks to be an incredible source of cheap energy 2) Fracking fluids are not be subject to regulation because they are considered trade secrets. And that's a problem for environmentalists. 3) Nobody has any idea of what happens when you push millions of billions of tons of pressurized liquids into rock. No one knows. There is a lot of risk there potentially. 4) There have been some problems.
That being said, the US and Canada are aggressively expanding fracking. So its just not true its not happening.
As far as oil of east, west and Alaska. That's not enough oil to do much of anything. East and West coastal drilling has more to do with the tremendous value of US coastal vacation areas and the rather low value of those oil reserves. That's a business choice between competing interests. I know when I lived in LA the Long Beach oil / tar would leak up and ruin the beach experience. As far as Alaska... most of Alaska is producing except wilderness reserve and mainly because no one has been able to answer basic questions about pipe safety.
Where there is disagreement is what to do about the tradeoffs between those 4 objectives. Not addressing legitimate concerns about safe / clean has created mistrust. The way to handle that is an effective outside audit i.e. regulation.
Heck I don't even know we are in the end of cheap energy. Fracking seems to be giving us a real surge of cheap energy. At the same time solar efficiency as gone from 10 years output to 3.5 years output to build a panel. Which means its viable. Wind turbines now work really well so that technology can spread. Be careful with predictions we may very well have been through a trough of expensive energy.
As far as education.... the last decade has been bad. The last century has been amazing.
I think in Chicago CFA was asking for a special permit to divide a lot. In other words they wanted a favor which is sometimes granted sometimes not. But at this point I suspect Chicago is going to have to give in on the special favor for appearance sake.
OTOH lots of states are harassing abortion clinics into closing.
Paying a low price and selling for a lot... i.e. a large spread indicates the market isn't very competitive or that Gamestop's service is considered extremely valuable by their customers relative to their competitors. I suspect the later. That people selling to Gamestop really like the brick and mortar vs. Ebay.
I don't know that this is true. It would change the market considerably though. The long term rental / lease market would be much larger with cars. If you wipe that out too then costs would just have to be much lower.
Houses... its hard to imagine what a world is like where you can't resell land.
Hi since it sounds like you are actually familiar. How is Bedrock going to do this? For example to get cutting edge features to work you often need to put in destabilizing patches to the kernel or use newer more buggy versions of core libraries and utilities. This is why installing some little thing from Debian unstable on a Debian stable box can trigger 100 package upgrades as chains of dependencies get worked through.
Source / binary mixtures i think is a really good thing as the BSDs have shown. So I agree with you there, and am glad that's coming to Linux. Though I will point out that can expose quite a few bugs related to build order that otherwise wouldn't have mattered. You end up having to debug some complications in how related families of packages register changes with one another in very complex ways. Essentially it means creating an entirely new level or complex special instructions on a per package basis which make automatic dependency resolution not work as well.
Mechanically I can see chroot as a mechanism but I don't see how it can be this light in practice.
Because they aren't fully private. Smith v. Allwright held that primaries because they have substantial impact on the governance of the United States are subject to public regulation. In this particular case the concern was that the Democratic party of Texas could not exclude blacks.
Someone who frequently changes registration comes out as a PIA voter who is paying attention and thus a good fund raising prospect but a bad volunteer prospect.
It's not public. It's only public because the dems disclosed it. You can't tell who is and is not registered republican in that way.
Yes you can. You can go down to your local office and get the voter registration rolls for your town, including Republicans anytime you want. This information is legally public. It is not private and then disclosed.
There is no party in the United States with the ground forces to actually run the mechanics of elections without the parties and local officials. To make this work you would need, the US treasury to actually have 100k or more temporary workers organizing elections in every precinct in the United States. That's a pretty big step whose consequences are very unclear.
How you vote in the general election is not determined by registration. It wouldn't do parties any good to bribing or threatening people to change registration and then just have them vote against the offending party in the general.
Further, neither party is particularly interested in encouraging strategic voting i.e. voting in a way not in line with your real opinions but designed to cause particular outcomes.
Why not? In a democracy subsidies are things the people do to themselves (collectively) to change behavior. This is just an example where they are doing it to themselves in some sense individually. The same behavior change is occurring.
And before you object this is different note two things:
a) The price of your plan doesn't change based on the cost of the subsidy. The person with a 32g iPhone 4s getting a $18 / mo subsidy pays the same rate as the person with a free Android getting a $12 / mo subsidy.
b) The price of your plan doesn't change even when the two years is up, i.e. the subsidy goes to $0.
c) The cash value of early termination frequently doesn't track the subsidy all that well. For example with Verizon the initial cash termination fee is $350 even though often Verizon is into your phone for more than that, conversely in the last two months it is $110 and then $0 and that $110 drop is usually more than the entire bill for that month.
That was the argument of the Texas Democratic party in Smith v. Allwright. That it was a private event and therefore they had every right not to allow blacks to participate. The supreme court found that primaries are a compelling part of the American electoral system and therefore not entirely private matters.
The FRC is being quite disingenuous there and CBS isn't doing a great job covering the issue. The FRC has ties with the Uganda Joint Christian Council (UJCC) and President Yowari Museveni. They don't however control every piece of legislation and may very well oppose some. It would be similar to their relationship with George Bush, it is fair to call the FRC George Bush supporters even if they disagreed with Bush on Social Security reform.
They didn't actually do that. I agree this was very questionable but there is no point in exaggerating what happened. You have Democrats in 3 cities indicating that they took such comments as an intent to engage in anti-gay discrimination and given such an expressed intent were going to be subjecting the restaurant additional scrutiny. This is not that different than if the owner of a chain gave a racist speech about how race mixing was a curse against God would possibly trigger a racial discrimination investigation. CHICK-FIL-A has had a history of several acts of gender discrimination so it is not outrageous. What they wanted were written statements about their discrimination policies, from the company.
I agree that the mayors over reacted and this was dumb. There tone was abusive and the comments themselves from the owner of Chick-Fil-a well within mainstream American opinion (unfortunately).
The people who follow Apple are technology enthusiasts. They use Apple products all the time. They are already strongly committed to Apple. So what Apple chooses to do has a strong influence on their life. Which means that these people are not relating to Apple as "a product that has produced products that I liked in past" but rather "unless things change drastically the product I'm going to get, and use all the time". They are experiencing the same kind of excitement kids do on Christmas morning, because they are already committed not shopping. And the same way kids might shake the box or look at the size the initial leaks about the product tell them what is happening.
Around Oct 2013 Apple is going to release another phone. Unless they screw up, that's my phone from 2013-2015. I'm going to be following the rumors from March-Oct both out of excitements and curiosity. The mystery,tension and excitement, as well as the disappointment are part of what Apple delivers to their customers. And their able to do that, because I'm Apple customer I'm not a phone customer who has liked Apple products before. I never had that relationship with LG even though over the years I've probably bought more LG phones than any other manufacturer. Then to compound that, this excitement is going to be happening along with friends and family, so it is going to be a social thing we are all discussing. I'm very curious about Oracle 12g, but I don't get to talk about it with my wife, my daughter, my mother, my best friend.
You see this kind of serial loyalty with musical groups but they generally don't have followings large enough. You see this kind of serial loyalty among TV shows and movie series and the discussion is similar. And frankly this kind of serial loyalty and a betrayal of it is what generated the passion you see about the debate over the switch to Unity / Gnome 3 in Ubuntu.
Sorry I know too many regular people who get excited by Apple products and do that sort of things. On the annual WWDC when new hardware is often announced there a 1/2 dozen websites live blogging for the people who can't wait till the next day to watch the video.
The retina itself is very tricky to make at this cost. But what's revolutionary that Apple is doing is the design of the LCD plate. Most laptops have a back an LCD 4 layers and then glass. The retina uses the back and front glass as layers 1 and 4. The retina doesn't have an LCD in it, it is an LCD screen with a computer attached, more like a television.
In terms of manufacturing parts, we agree. Lots of little variable parts is harder in that respect and this has gone down.
The what initiative? "1b phones initiative" turns up exactly one result on Google -- this page.
Maybe you need to stop shitting out high volumes of low quality pseudo-insightful posts on every Apple story and start actually thinking through what you're saying.
Maybe you should get an account and then comment on other posters.
But now that OO is Apache and IBM is supporting how much longer will that be the case? if anybody knows enterprise its IBM and their name still carries weight
IBM's only commitment is to migrate the code from Symphony 3.0.1 (a fork of Open Office) into Apache's Open Office. There is no deep structural commitment, OO will pick up a 1/2 dozen neat features like support for up to 1m rows in spreadsheets and then IBM is done.
. you may not remember your history but once upon a time IBM was in the same place MSFT is, until they tried to buttfuck the OEMs on the MCA bus. The OEMs got together and said "Fuck you, EISA!" and left IBM to play in a corner and within 10 years IBM was out of the PC business.
I remember the history fine and that's not what happened. IBM no longer had a unique BIOS and saw the Microsoft, Intel, Western Digital standard. MCA was their patents though. The main advantage of MCA was the much greater throughput it allowed for over the ISA (and even later EISA) bus. PCs were developing very fast processors, the Pentium 90mhz was on the order 1/3 as fast as very high end processors costing in systems in the $100k range, and especially when mixed with the i860/i960 "printer" processors for vector coprocessor the performance was staggering. The Pentiums could address 512m at that point so memory wasn't a problem. But the hard drive performance was terrible. MCA was an attempt to address the single biggest weakness in PCs in becoming high end servers.
The problem with MCA was that IBM's margins were insane. So for example the IBM dual 90mhz Pentium (2 CPU) was $10k. The machines at $2k-4k were 486SXes while you get a dual pentium 66 for $2k from IBM's Ambra division. For any given price point the MCA machine was so much more expensive it wasn't worth it. That's what killed IBM. As for being in the PC market IBM was an active player till 2005 and still collects fees from Lenovo and sells their stuff. IBM is out of the PC manufacturing business, the still sell PCs when needed to sell consulting deals.
1.- They demand and get the right to continue selling Win 7, which means Ballmer's "LOL we're Apple now!" goes down in flames,
On the corporate side there is no question Balmer is going to let them sell Win 7. On the consumer side I would assume he would as well. He might start raising the price to encourage Windows 8, but yes he has to do that likely for years.
2.- they sell a handful of Windows 8 systems while switching over to something else like Linux,
I don't think its going to be a handful. But I think Balmer has to be ready for dropping the low end and Linux, iOS and Android are going to be picking it up. For the OEMs Linux is the best fit. So I'd assume if Balmer is going to make the minimum price of a Win 8 box about $800 then the $300-700 PC range is going to be Windows 7 and Linux. If Windows 7 is getting in the way of Windows 8 he might have to tilt the balance more towards Linux.
The problem is that Linux is pricey. Even assuming 100m Linux units sell per year (i.e. 1/3rd of the market) and $5b / yr for Linux R&D spread over the OEMs (all of them) for 3 years that's $50 / yr in raw costs and far more cash than the OEM's have. If they play it safe and try and recapture the whole thing in the first year $150 in raw costs for x86 machines, which works out to another $200 or so by the time the end user buys the machines. And that's going to be a bring problem over just using Windows 7.
Conversely if they don't spend much of anything on R&D they don't move 100m units.
3.-They go out of business.
Some might. Remember we are talking about the least profitable customers here. Dell, HP, Lenovo could lose 100% of their consumer sales it wouldn't impact the bottom line that much, much less drive them out of business. HP is already indicating a willingness to walk away from consumer, Lenovo has never had much in consumer. Toshiba is dependent on consumer and
Absolutely the large subsidy definitely helps. Americans are completely unaware how much they are spending on phones. But breakage matters. If it were just subsidy \we'd expect a number around 24 mo not 11.5 mo.
Slashdot Mirror
Fracking for natural gas -- one of the cheapest, cleanest, safest, and most reliable domestic energy sources -- has been made illegal in some states. Environmentalists oppose fracking for natural gas because they don't want us to have cheap energy.
The only state in which fracking is illegal to the best of my knowledge is Vermont and they don't have any natural gas, so it is symbolic. If someone discovered natural gas reserves in Vermont symbolism be damned they'd be fracking. Now the real issue with fracking is:
1) It looks to be an incredible source of cheap energy
2) Fracking fluids are not be subject to regulation because they are considered trade secrets. And that's a problem for environmentalists.
3) Nobody has any idea of what happens when you push millions of billions of tons of pressurized liquids into rock. No one knows. There is a lot of risk there potentially.
4) There have been some problems.
That being said, the US and Canada are aggressively expanding fracking. So its just not true its not happening.
As far as oil of east, west and Alaska. That's not enough oil to do much of anything. East and West coastal drilling has more to do with the tremendous value of US coastal vacation areas and the rather low value of those oil reserves. That's a business choice between competing interests. I know when I lived in LA the Long Beach oil / tar would leak up and ruin the beach experience. As far as Alaska... most of Alaska is producing except wilderness reserve and mainly because no one has been able to answer basic questions about pipe safety.
Sorry I lost you.
Nonsense everyone is an agreement about what's good and what's bad about energy:
1) Cheap
2) Safe / Clean
3) Reliably priced / reliable availability
4) Domestic
Where there is disagreement is what to do about the tradeoffs between those 4 objectives. Not addressing legitimate concerns about safe / clean has created mistrust. The way to handle that is an effective outside audit i.e. regulation.
Heck I don't even know we are in the end of cheap energy. Fracking seems to be giving us a real surge of cheap energy. At the same time solar efficiency as gone from 10 years output to 3.5 years output to build a panel. Which means its viable. Wind turbines now work really well so that technology can spread. Be careful with predictions we may very well have been through a trough of expensive energy.
As far as education.... the last decade has been bad. The last century has been amazing.
I think in Chicago CFA was asking for a special permit to divide a lot. In other words they wanted a favor which is sometimes granted sometimes not. But at this point I suspect Chicago is going to have to give in on the special favor for appearance sake.
OTOH lots of states are harassing abortion clinics into closing.
Paying a low price and selling for a lot... i.e. a large spread indicates the market isn't very competitive or that Gamestop's service is considered extremely valuable by their customers relative to their competitors. I suspect the later. That people selling to Gamestop really like the brick and mortar vs. Ebay.
I don't know that this is true. It would change the market considerably though. The long term rental / lease market would be much larger with cars. If you wipe that out too then costs would just have to be much lower.
Houses... its hard to imagine what a world is like where you can't resell land.
Hi since it sounds like you are actually familiar. How is Bedrock going to do this? For example to get cutting edge features to work you often need to put in destabilizing patches to the kernel or use newer more buggy versions of core libraries and utilities. This is why installing some little thing from Debian unstable on a Debian stable box can trigger 100 package upgrades as chains of dependencies get worked through.
Source / binary mixtures i think is a really good thing as the BSDs have shown. So I agree with you there, and am glad that's coming to Linux. Though I will point out that can expose quite a few bugs related to build order that otherwise wouldn't have mattered. You end up having to debug some complications in how related families of packages register changes with one another in very complex ways. Essentially it means creating an entirely new level or complex special instructions on a per package basis which make automatic dependency resolution not work as well.
Mechanically I can see chroot as a mechanism but I don't see how it can be this light in practice.
Because they aren't fully private. Smith v. Allwright held that primaries because they have substantial impact on the governance of the United States are subject to public regulation. In this particular case the concern was that the Democratic party of Texas could not exclude blacks.
Someone who frequently changes registration comes out as a PIA voter who is paying attention and thus a good fund raising prospect but a bad volunteer prospect.
It's not public. It's only public because the dems disclosed it. You can't tell who is and is not registered republican in that way.
Yes you can. You can go down to your local office and get the voter registration rolls for your town, including Republicans anytime you want. This information is legally public. It is not private and then disclosed.
There is no party in the United States with the ground forces to actually run the mechanics of elections without the parties and local officials. To make this work you would need, the US treasury to actually have 100k or more temporary workers organizing elections in every precinct in the United States. That's a pretty big step whose consequences are very unclear.
How you vote in the general election is not determined by registration. It wouldn't do parties any good to bribing or threatening people to change registration and then just have them vote against the offending party in the general.
Further, neither party is particularly interested in encouraging strategic voting i.e. voting in a way not in line with your real opinions but designed to cause particular outcomes.
Why not? In a democracy subsidies are things the people do to themselves (collectively) to change behavior. This is just an example where they are doing it to themselves in some sense individually. The same behavior change is occurring.
And before you object this is different note two things:
a) The price of your plan doesn't change based on the cost of the subsidy. The person with a 32g iPhone 4s getting a $18 / mo subsidy pays the same rate as the person with a free Android getting a $12 / mo subsidy.
b) The price of your plan doesn't change even when the two years is up, i.e. the subsidy goes to $0.
c) The cash value of early termination frequently doesn't track the subsidy all that well. For example with Verizon the initial cash termination fee is $350 even though often Verizon is into your phone for more than that, conversely in the last two months it is $110 and then $0 and that $110 drop is usually more than the entire bill for that month.
That was the argument of the Texas Democratic party in Smith v. Allwright. That it was a private event and therefore they had every right not to allow blacks to participate. The supreme court found that primaries are a compelling part of the American electoral system and therefore not entirely private matters.
The FRC is being quite disingenuous there and CBS isn't doing a great job covering the issue. The FRC has ties with the Uganda Joint Christian Council (UJCC) and President Yowari Museveni. They don't however control every piece of legislation and may very well oppose some. It would be similar to their relationship with George Bush, it is fair to call the FRC George Bush supporters even if they disagreed with Bush on Social Security reform.
They didn't actually do that. I agree this was very questionable but there is no point in exaggerating what happened. You have Democrats in 3 cities indicating that they took such comments as an intent to engage in anti-gay discrimination and given such an expressed intent were going to be subjecting the restaurant additional scrutiny. This is not that different than if the owner of a chain gave a racist speech about how race mixing was a curse against God would possibly trigger a racial discrimination investigation. CHICK-FIL-A has had a history of several acts of gender discrimination so it is not outrageous. What they wanted were written statements about their discrimination policies, from the company.
I agree that the mayors over reacted and this was dumb. There tone was abusive and the comments themselves from the owner of Chick-Fil-a well within mainstream American opinion (unfortunately).
The people who follow Apple are technology enthusiasts. They use Apple products all the time. They are already strongly committed to Apple. So what Apple chooses to do has a strong influence on their life. Which means that these people are not relating to Apple as "a product that has produced products that I liked in past" but rather "unless things change drastically the product I'm going to get, and use all the time". They are experiencing the same kind of excitement kids do on Christmas morning, because they are already committed not shopping. And the same way kids might shake the box or look at the size the initial leaks about the product tell them what is happening.
Around Oct 2013 Apple is going to release another phone. Unless they screw up, that's my phone from 2013-2015. I'm going to be following the rumors from March-Oct both out of excitements and curiosity. The mystery,tension and excitement, as well as the disappointment are part of what Apple delivers to their customers. And their able to do that, because I'm Apple customer I'm not a phone customer who has liked Apple products before. I never had that relationship with LG even though over the years I've probably bought more LG phones than any other manufacturer. Then to compound that, this excitement is going to be happening along with friends and family, so it is going to be a social thing we are all discussing. I'm very curious about Oracle 12g, but I don't get to talk about it with my wife, my daughter, my mother, my best friend.
You see this kind of serial loyalty with musical groups but they generally don't have followings large enough. You see this kind of serial loyalty among TV shows and movie series and the discussion is similar. And frankly this kind of serial loyalty and a betrayal of it is what generated the passion you see about the debate over the switch to Unity / Gnome 3 in Ubuntu.
Sorry I know too many regular people who get excited by Apple products and do that sort of things. On the annual WWDC when new hardware is often announced there a 1/2 dozen websites live blogging for the people who can't wait till the next day to watch the video.
The retina itself is very tricky to make at this cost. But what's revolutionary that Apple is doing is the design of the LCD plate. Most laptops have a back an LCD 4 layers and then glass. The retina uses the back and front glass as layers 1 and 4. The retina doesn't have an LCD in it, it is an LCD screen with a computer attached, more like a television.
In terms of manufacturing parts, we agree. Lots of little variable parts is harder in that respect and this has gone down.
The what initiative? "1b phones initiative" turns up exactly one result on Google -- this page.
http://www.macrumors.com/2012/02/14/apple-ceo-tim-cook-speaks-at-goldman-sachs-technology-conference/
Maybe you need to stop shitting out high volumes of low quality pseudo-insightful posts on every Apple story and start actually thinking through what you're saying.
Maybe you should get an account and then comment on other posters.
I don't know Windows as far as firmware. But I don't see anything about iTunes phoning home for Windows (though the procedure is somewhat different).
But now that OO is Apache and IBM is supporting how much longer will that be the case? if anybody knows enterprise its IBM and their name still carries weight
IBM's only commitment is to migrate the code from Symphony 3.0.1 (a fork of Open Office) into Apache's Open Office. There is no deep structural commitment, OO will pick up a 1/2 dozen neat features like support for up to 1m rows in spreadsheets and then IBM is done.
. you may not remember your history but once upon a time IBM was in the same place MSFT is, until they tried to buttfuck the OEMs on the MCA bus. The OEMs got together and said "Fuck you, EISA!" and left IBM to play in a corner and within 10 years IBM was out of the PC business.
I remember the history fine and that's not what happened. IBM no longer had a unique BIOS and saw the Microsoft, Intel, Western Digital standard. MCA was their patents though. The main advantage of MCA was the much greater throughput it allowed for over the ISA (and even later EISA) bus. PCs were developing very fast processors, the Pentium 90mhz was on the order 1/3 as fast as very high end processors costing in systems in the $100k range, and especially when mixed with the i860/i960 "printer" processors for vector coprocessor the performance was staggering. The Pentiums could address 512m at that point so memory wasn't a problem. But the hard drive performance was terrible. MCA was an attempt to address the single biggest weakness in PCs in becoming high end servers.
The problem with MCA was that IBM's margins were insane. So for example the IBM dual 90mhz Pentium (2 CPU) was $10k. The machines at $2k-4k were 486SXes while you get a dual pentium 66 for $2k from IBM's Ambra division. For any given price point the MCA machine was so much more expensive it wasn't worth it. That's what killed IBM. As for being in the PC market IBM was an active player till 2005 and still collects fees from Lenovo and sells their stuff. IBM is out of the PC manufacturing business, the still sell PCs when needed to sell consulting deals.
1.- They demand and get the right to continue selling Win 7, which means Ballmer's "LOL we're Apple now!" goes down in flames,
On the corporate side there is no question Balmer is going to let them sell Win 7. On the consumer side I would assume he would as well. He might start raising the price to encourage Windows 8, but yes he has to do that likely for years.
2.- they sell a handful of Windows 8 systems while switching over to something else like Linux,
I don't think its going to be a handful. But I think Balmer has to be ready for dropping the low end and Linux, iOS and Android are going to be picking it up. For the OEMs Linux is the best fit. So I'd assume if Balmer is going to make the minimum price of a Win 8 box about $800 then the $300-700 PC range is going to be Windows 7 and Linux. If Windows 7 is getting in the way of Windows 8 he might have to tilt the balance more towards Linux.
The problem is that Linux is pricey. Even assuming 100m Linux units sell per year (i.e. 1/3rd of the market) and $5b / yr for Linux R&D spread over the OEMs (all of them) for 3 years that's $50 / yr in raw costs and far more cash than the OEM's have. If they play it safe and try and recapture the whole thing in the first year $150 in raw costs for x86 machines, which works out to another $200 or so by the time the end user buys the machines. And that's going to be a bring problem over just using Windows 7.
Conversely if they don't spend much of anything on R&D they don't move 100m units.
3.-They go out of business.
Some might. Remember we are talking about the least profitable customers here. Dell, HP, Lenovo could lose 100% of their consumer sales it wouldn't impact the bottom line that much, much less drive them out of business. HP is already indicating a willingness to walk away from consumer, Lenovo has never had much in consumer. Toshiba is dependent on consumer and
I don't see whom they aren't selling enough smartphones. Unless they are paying heavy fees for their dumb phone business?
Absolutely the large subsidy definitely helps. Americans are completely unaware how much they are spending on phones. But breakage matters. If it were just subsidy \we'd expect a number around 24 mo not 11.5 mo.
Something like that. Yeah. But Linux people will get the hang of that pretty quickly.