Ideally, Huawei will learn that smartphone profits are worth way more than espionage and that they should not risk the former by engaging in the latter. I know, I'm a misty eyed idealist, but it could happen.
The Canadian arrest (really a US arrest by international treaty) was for fraud related to evading Iran sanctions. I have little doubt that the fraud was real, but the sanctions are a stupid Trumpism, which doesn't excuse it but certainly colors the situation. This is very different from spying, which is not to say that Huawei doesn't do it, just that this case has nothing to do with it.
The PC market is still big, one of the world's biggest markets. New products are still coming out. But it is shrinking, so far it has shrunk 25% from its peak. This is the meaning of "peak", just to be clear.
The 12nm Ryzen APUs with better power efficiency will do a lot to boost AMD on laptop. These are just starting to land in retail this quarter. Then 7nm APUs towards the end of the year will open up a power efficiency gap that Intel can't answer as yet.
the likelyhood anyone at Lenovo or Dell has the muscle to steer the ship away from Intel is pretty slim
Not only is it likely, but it alreadyhappened. AMD PC products are in the channel but we haven't seen them in bestseller lists yet, that's the next milestone.
I love global illumination and object space reflection vs the usual hacks. But with only one or two rays per pixel the hardware just isn't ready for it, even at 1080p never mind 4K. To make matters worse, the games supporting it will be shooters, that just isn't going to fly. Maybe the next Elder Scrolls game, when is that?
Ray tracing is going to overtake scanline rendering at some point because constant cost per screen pixel, but screen pixels have increased so much lately that ray tracing is only marginally practical at reduced resolution, with a whole pile of hacks that are going to be troublesome. For example, random sampling makes pixels fizzle. And rapid changes in scene content take several frames for the illumination to settle, that's really distracting.
It's obvious that Nvidia introduced this before its time, just to create a new narrative around features as a reaction to AMD becoming a serious threat in performance and value.
Watched a bunch of RTX demos. I like it and appreciate the big step up from screen space hacks, but I suspect I'm in the minority. Scenes have to be pretty contrived before you really notice, like explosions reflected in shiny car paint in Battlefield V. Like, who polished the wrecked car to a mirror finish in the middle of a war? I appreciate the more subtle global lighting in Metro Exodus much more, but again I'm in the minority. Most gamers won't know or care that it lights up the dark corners of a room that aren't directly in the path of a light. The standard hack has always been to put an arbitrary ambient light in the scene, most viewers won't notice the difference.
I don't think the hardware is up to the task yet. Maybe needs another factor of 5 or 10 to be able to cast enough rays to eliminate the ball peen hammer effect on reflective surfaces and other glitches that show up as a result of cleverly smoothing the scene with as few as one ray per pixel. Ultimately, ray tracing is going to take over the world but we need a few more Moore's law steps before high end hardware is really ready for it. Like VR, it's cool but is it cool enough to spend a grand on it in its infancy?
The number of people who know or care about Azimov is a tiny sliver of humanity. You and I know about it, but try your sister. Sinking a bunch of money producing this only to distribute on a network with subscriber share that rounds to zero seems predictive of where this project is heading.
AMD is not lagging in performance/value, I thought I made that clear. Whether steam gamers realize that or not is a different question. Obviously, 15% of them do.
Microsoft went through a similar vanity publishing phase, that's how we got Slate and MSNBC. But it didn't last. Microsoft found that publishing is much harder work than shipping software.
Slashdot Mirror
Ideally, Huawei will learn that smartphone profits are worth way more than espionage and that they should not risk the former by engaging in the latter. I know, I'm a misty eyed idealist, but it could happen.
The Canadian arrest (really a US arrest by international treaty) was for fraud related to evading Iran sanctions. I have little doubt that the fraud was real, but the sanctions are a stupid Trumpism, which doesn't excuse it but certainly colors the situation. This is very different from spying, which is not to say that Huawei doesn't do it, just that this case has nothing to do with it.
The PC market is still big, one of the world's biggest markets. New products are still coming out. But it is shrinking, so far it has shrunk 25% from its peak. This is the meaning of "peak", just to be clear.
The 12nm Ryzen APUs with better power efficiency will do a lot to boost AMD on laptop. These are just starting to land in retail this quarter. Then 7nm APUs towards the end of the year will open up a power efficiency gap that Intel can't answer as yet.
The more they shift to TSMC the easier it gets.
the likelyhood anyone at Lenovo or Dell has the muscle to steer the ship away from Intel is pretty slim
Not only is it likely, but it already happened. AMD PC products are in the channel but we haven't seen them in bestseller lists yet, that's the next milestone.
Peak PC was 2012. The PC market declined at a 4% compound annual rate after that. Unknown if this will continue.
What, the neural nets? I know about it, it's a nice hack but a hack all the same. See "fizzle" above.
I'm not planning on upgrading my video card until I can get 4K video running at 60 FPS for new games.
So you're talking value. That rather lets Nvidia out.
Wrong. It's intel's CEO talking shit.
Nvidia's CEO. Jensen Huang, so you can remember who to hate.
I love global illumination and object space reflection vs the usual hacks. But with only one or two rays per pixel the hardware just isn't ready for it, even at 1080p never mind 4K. To make matters worse, the games supporting it will be shooters, that just isn't going to fly. Maybe the next Elder Scrolls game, when is that?
Ray tracing is going to overtake scanline rendering at some point because constant cost per screen pixel, but screen pixels have increased so much lately that ray tracing is only marginally practical at reduced resolution, with a whole pile of hacks that are going to be troublesome. For example, random sampling makes pixels fizzle. And rapid changes in scene content take several frames for the illumination to settle, that's really distracting.
It's obvious that Nvidia introduced this before its time, just to create a new narrative around features as a reaction to AMD becoming a serious threat in performance and value.
It's clear why Nvidia is such a disgusting company. Rotten head, rotten snake.
All sensible, but I don't see the connection with board component prices.
Explain?
You must be fun at parties
Right. NVidia might end up stuck with a bunch of 1080 overstock that is only good for scrap
1 TB of memory bandwidth is legendary
Also get the Vega VII if you want your rig to run cool and quiet.
For games, get the RX 580 if you want best value, or Vega VII if you want prosumer and regard NVidia as too disgusting to give your money to.
Isn't it strange when you explain that to somebody in words of one syllable and they still don't get it.
Watched a bunch of RTX demos. I like it and appreciate the big step up from screen space hacks, but I suspect I'm in the minority. Scenes have to be pretty contrived before you really notice, like explosions reflected in shiny car paint in Battlefield V. Like, who polished the wrecked car to a mirror finish in the middle of a war? I appreciate the more subtle global lighting in Metro Exodus much more, but again I'm in the minority. Most gamers won't know or care that it lights up the dark corners of a room that aren't directly in the path of a light. The standard hack has always been to put an arbitrary ambient light in the scene, most viewers won't notice the difference.
I don't think the hardware is up to the task yet. Maybe needs another factor of 5 or 10 to be able to cast enough rays to eliminate the ball peen hammer effect on reflective surfaces and other glitches that show up as a result of cleverly smoothing the scene with as few as one ray per pixel. Ultimately, ray tracing is going to take over the world but we need a few more Moore's law steps before high end hardware is really ready for it. Like VR, it's cool but is it cool enough to spend a grand on it in its infancy?
The difference with Amazon, HBO, and Netflix is, they actually have a user base. Some change of getting a recovery on their content investment.
The number of people who know or care about Azimov is a tiny sliver of humanity. You and I know about it, but try your sister. Sinking a bunch of money producing this only to distribute on a network with subscriber share that rounds to zero seems predictive of where this project is heading.
AMD is not lagging in performance/value, I thought I made that clear. Whether steam gamers realize that or not is a different question. Obviously, 15% of them do.
Microsoft went through a similar vanity publishing phase, that's how we got Slate and MSNBC. But it didn't last. Microsoft found that publishing is much harder work than shipping software.