I want to know who's buying/selling puts and gets at ~$18K for Pete's sake. Futures trading may smooth out the peaks of BTC some, but the volatility of BTC is huge, given there is literally nothing but the belief it will be valuable at some time in the future.
Somebody is going to make a killing trading these futures, but I will guarantee that it won't likely be you unless you are able to play the futures game and then it's anybody's guess. If the future contracts are hitting the trading stops on the first day, it's a crap shoot. Is BTC going up or down? Flip a coin. Want to buy futures then trade them in the money? Great, but hitting the stops may keep you from realizing a profit. So you have a 50/50 chance to be "in the money" while you have a less than zero chance of not being able to close the position and clear a profit. This means you have a less than 50/50 chance of making money.
Don't do it.... At least don't use money you cannot afford to lose.. You are basically playing roulette, and the odds are not in your favor. I don't want to hear the complaining about all the money lost when the bottom falls out and the panic selling starts.
The issue is cultural... We've raised a generation or two of self important, self indulgent, I'm owed a living people who have known no real hardship. Facebook and other platforms just carry the content that reflects the views they already hold, it didn't create them.
It's not Facebook.... Facebook is but one of the current tools being used and abused for this.
Let's face it, the issue is cultural, not technological. We have long ago abandoned our founding principles of self reliance, personally looking out for your neighbors, tolerance, fairness and freedom. We now suffer from believing that equal outcome is the measure of fairness, where I count for more than everybody else and I am owed things like healthcare services or a college education without cost.
This isn't the fault of Facebook specifically or social networking platforms in general though they do enable the self importance, I'm important, look at me culture shift.
My point is, nobody is gonna take council from one who condescends rather than instructing.
Teenagers don't take council from anybody but possibly their peers. In my experience, you don't outgrow this until about middle age, when you realize that you and your friends are making the same mistakes as your seniors, the very mistakes you ignored their advice on because you felt like they where condescending to your obvious bright ideas. It takes a long time to realize that saving face isn't worth having to live with your avoidable mistakes...
Maybe the chipset stuff is, but under the covers the routers I have from Linksys run OpenWRT with their own UI glued on. I run OpenWRT/LUCI on them myself, once the warranty period is over. In fact, I don't buy residential routers that OpenWRT won't run on anymore...
I have a Linksys router that has crappy wireless drivers with memory leaks. Paid a pile of money for it. It locks up about twice a week and requires a full factory reset to fix it. Linksys got the wireless drivers from the chip maker (or so they say) as a blob so they claim to be at their mercy. Who over there at the WiFi chip manufacturer doesn't know how to track down and fix memory leaks? I can see the first revision of the driver sneaking out with bugs because you simply have to meet the delivery deadlines, but we are on the third release now and STILL the problem persists....
I'm beginning to think nobody does quality drivers anymore. Just reboot every few days to fix it.... Now get off my lawn and learn to code in a language that doesn't have garbage collection...
Though the problem here is that usually things are couched in shades of grey. What you are being asked to do may not be technically illegal, but may be perceived as such after the fact. One needs to understand *exactly* where the boundaries are and stay clear of them.
At one time, I worked for a company that was "re-engineering" a customer's product to make it their own. They implemented a new product that did exactly the same thing and then some. When I was discussing the legal ramifications of this with management, I expressed my deep misgivings about this. We had been paid to write the previous customer's product and where living off charging them to support it. What we where doing amounted to stealing the ideas, even if we where doing development at our own expense with different developers and if I was the customer and I found out about this I'd be upset. Lucky for me, they didn't make me work on the project and I was able to bail on them before it all hit the fan. It was a nasty legal fight..
Seriously? A committee of congress that last met in 1974 is your best evidence? Before the Internet ran faster than 300 baud? Before the invention of the smart phone? Before the first release of Linux? Before even DOS or the PC?
I would content that since then, due to congressional oversight, this issue has been largely dealt with for decades.
Yea, the guys at the top know better than to get caught. What happens is the CYA chain ends some point below them and the hapless subordinate gets left holding the bag because he sacrificed his ethics to meet his employer's demands and didn't think though things far enough to realize he'd be holding the bag.
The moral of the story is to ALWAYS act ethically and legally and never demand your subordinates do anything less either. If your management team requests that you do anything else, demand a written order before complying and keep the original signed copy in a safe place. If they demand you order your subordinates to violate this rule, make them give the order themselves...
On another note, if you find yourself collecting CYA documents, you might brush off that Resume and get out of dodge. You don't want to work for unethical people very long because they may be setting you up as the scapegoat. Don't give them a chance.
So, are you saying NOX is a greenhouse gas then? Or perhaps it is the particulate matter (soot) in the exhaust?
Maybe this was about clean air and not Global Warming?
No.. All pollution results in global warming now.. It's the standard scare tactic used to strike fear in the unknowing and those who don't pay attention.
The truth is we lost during the primaries.... Both parties put the worst candidate possible on their tickets... One by votes, the other by hook and crook...
It is known the United States Government spies on its citizens illegally;
Known? How do you know this?
Where I don't discount the possibility that some illegal monitoring has taken place and may be taking place, I do not think that there is evidence enough to claim to have definite knowledge that this is a fact. Where it's an established fact that the government has the capability to do this, it's far from being provable that it's happening right now. So, I'm asking for your proof...
Hope they're enjoying their warm weather. You have to take the good with the bad. Didn't the U.S. steal it from the Indians or Mexicans anyways? Bad karma?
Best thing that ever happen to the land if you've ever seen Mexico. If we could go back in time we should have just absorbed Mexico. We'd have a smaller border to defend and the Mexicans would already be integrated and English speaking. It would save everyone a lot of trouble in the long run.
We actually took all of Mexico during the Mexican-American War which started over the disputed border after Texas came into the union. What amazes me is that we gave back to Mexico everything we took except the part which was in dispute. We could have kept the whole thing.
The history of that man made disaster is rife with the same kind of things they say today, just in reverse.
Nobody wanted to believe that the pan handle of Texas was really a dry desert, unstable for farming. Yea, a decade of rainy weather tricked a bunch of people to plow up thousands of acres of land, year after year, thinking that the rain would return, only to watch their fields blow away as dust.
Also, don't forget that humans have been putting out fires in these areas for decades. Fire is a natural part of this ecosystem and we put them out and restrict land management practices that would have reduced the available fuel in these areas currently burning. In that way we HAVE made these particular fires worse. So, I don't think we can lay the whole blame here on Global Warming... Even if it fits the accepted narrative... Some blame? Maybe a very small part of the hot/dry weather, but this is hardly provable. LA is a hot dry and windy place this time of year and always has been in our recorded history.
Nobody keeps you from giving us a better explanation for the increasing number and severity of natural disasters.
We're waiting.
Because... We put fires out and restrict landscaping practices that would otherwise reduce the available fuel so when fires do happen, they are more intense and do more damage than they used to.
We discovered this in the nation's national forests. Where for decades we kept putting out fires, even small ones, that naturally cleared out the brush and growth on the ground. This brush grew bigger, creating huge fuel loads that was getting stacked up at the base of mature trees. Finally, a uncontrollable fire would happen and because of all the fuel that collected would burn hotter and faster. Where the mature trees used to survive the smaller more frequent fires, the less frequent hotter fires was enough to kill them. The solution was to either clear the brush manually, or let the fires burn more often.
In LA, the issue is not that fires happen more often, but that they happen LESS often and more fuel piles up. Then when the hot/dry conditions come on those windy days then the whole mess of kindling will be impossible to put out, burn hotter, faster and more deeply. Then like idiots, we build houses next to all this and try to make excuses for why we cannot keep them from burring down every so often.
Yea, man caused this mess, but not the way you think.
On #2, this depends greatly on the cost of electricity and the cost of Natural gas where you are. A heat pump may work down to -20F but the question is what's cheaper to use. Hands down, where I live, it's cheaper to heat with Natural Gas all the time, regardless of the outdoor temperature. The equipment is less expensive and the cost of the energy is less.
About 10 years ago, this wasn't true, the heat pump was cheaper to run most of the time heat was needed, but now, with the huge reduction in the costs of Natural Gas and not a corresponding reduction in electric prices, gas is cheaper by a long shot.
So, what you think *was* true before, but it's not today, at least for me here in Texas.
Copyright's are easy to explain and understand. You don't copy stuff that you didn't produce yourself, without permission.
Fair use laws... That's the problem here. They don't make sense to the average person.
So... I can buy an MP3 of a song and play it in my house, in my car, privately all day long, but I cannot play it in public or use it in my business... Except if my business use is considered "fair Use". So I can play this song as a background for my Christmas light display, for the public, as long as I'm not charging admission or being paid for it. I can play the song in a church service, but I may not broadcast that song or distribute recordings of the song being played in the service without a license. I can write a review of the song, even including a small portion of the song in my review, but I may not play the entire song...
Then there is the whole Internet bastion of sites like U-Tube where you seemingly can do anything you want with the song, including splicing in other copyrighted material (video, pictures and the like) without any permission, but only because U-Tube is paying the license fees for you, unless they don't, or you distribute your material some other way... Unless it is considered public domain in the first place because the artist has been dead long enough.
I can understand how kids would be confused by all this...
Actually, if being used for heat, the most effective place to burn Natural Gas it is locally where you need the heat.
The conversion losses between heat to electricity, followed by the transmission losses, followed by another conversion from electricity to heat are horribly inefficient overall looking at the BTU's into the plant and the BTU's heating the air in your house. Any reasonably efficient Natural Gas heater will beat the efficiency of a NG plant supplied electric option.
And, I'd like to point out that my old existing house is a whole lot more environmentally friendly as it stands than hauling it to a land fill and building a new one. Why? Because I live in Texas where we heat maybe a total of 1 month a year and MOST of the energy consumed year round is for AC followed by heating hot water and I have fairly efficient AC units and a Tank less hot water system which uses as little NG as possible.
OP's position seems perfectly philosophically valid to me. Why don't you refute his position rather than condescending on him without providing substance?
Responding in this manner makes you appear old and stupid, not wise.
Oh you foolish young'un's are all alike... The wisdom of the old is veiled from your eyes because you don't choose to carefully consider what you are told because you still think you are wise. The way of a fool is right in his own eyes, but he who is wise listens to counsel.
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Seriously, who knows what BitCoin is going to do?
I want to know who's buying/selling puts and gets at ~$18K for Pete's sake. Futures trading may smooth out the peaks of BTC some, but the volatility of BTC is huge, given there is literally nothing but the belief it will be valuable at some time in the future.
Somebody is going to make a killing trading these futures, but I will guarantee that it won't likely be you unless you are able to play the futures game and then it's anybody's guess. If the future contracts are hitting the trading stops on the first day, it's a crap shoot. Is BTC going up or down? Flip a coin. Want to buy futures then trade them in the money? Great, but hitting the stops may keep you from realizing a profit. So you have a 50/50 chance to be "in the money" while you have a less than zero chance of not being able to close the position and clear a profit. This means you have a less than 50/50 chance of making money.
Don't do it.... At least don't use money you cannot afford to lose.. You are basically playing roulette, and the odds are not in your favor. I don't want to hear the complaining about all the money lost when the bottom falls out and the panic selling starts.
The issue is cultural... We've raised a generation or two of self important, self indulgent, I'm owed a living people who have known no real hardship. Facebook and other platforms just carry the content that reflects the views they already hold, it didn't create them.
It's not Facebook.... Facebook is but one of the current tools being used and abused for this.
Let's face it, the issue is cultural, not technological. We have long ago abandoned our founding principles of self reliance, personally looking out for your neighbors, tolerance, fairness and freedom. We now suffer from believing that equal outcome is the measure of fairness, where I count for more than everybody else and I am owed things like healthcare services or a college education without cost.
This isn't the fault of Facebook specifically or social networking platforms in general though they do enable the self importance, I'm important, look at me culture shift.
My point is, nobody is gonna take council from one who condescends rather than instructing.
Teenagers don't take council from anybody but possibly their peers. In my experience, you don't outgrow this until about middle age, when you realize that you and your friends are making the same mistakes as your seniors, the very mistakes you ignored their advice on because you felt like they where condescending to your obvious bright ideas. It takes a long time to realize that saving face isn't worth having to live with your avoidable mistakes...
Maybe the chipset stuff is, but under the covers the routers I have from Linksys run OpenWRT with their own UI glued on. I run OpenWRT/LUCI on them myself, once the warranty period is over. In fact, I don't buy residential routers that OpenWRT won't run on anymore...
Lots of drivers are crap these days...
Why? Which one of you can write C or C++ anymore?
I have a Linksys router that has crappy wireless drivers with memory leaks. Paid a pile of money for it. It locks up about twice a week and requires a full factory reset to fix it. Linksys got the wireless drivers from the chip maker (or so they say) as a blob so they claim to be at their mercy. Who over there at the WiFi chip manufacturer doesn't know how to track down and fix memory leaks? I can see the first revision of the driver sneaking out with bugs because you simply have to meet the delivery deadlines, but we are on the third release now and STILL the problem persists....
I'm beginning to think nobody does quality drivers anymore. Just reboot every few days to fix it.... Now get off my lawn and learn to code in a language that doesn't have garbage collection...
True.... I will amend my advice in the future.
Don't knowingly break the law.
Though the problem here is that usually things are couched in shades of grey. What you are being asked to do may not be technically illegal, but may be perceived as such after the fact. One needs to understand *exactly* where the boundaries are and stay clear of them.
At one time, I worked for a company that was "re-engineering" a customer's product to make it their own. They implemented a new product that did exactly the same thing and then some. When I was discussing the legal ramifications of this with management, I expressed my deep misgivings about this. We had been paid to write the previous customer's product and where living off charging them to support it. What we where doing amounted to stealing the ideas, even if we where doing development at our own expense with different developers and if I was the customer and I found out about this I'd be upset. Lucky for me, they didn't make me work on the project and I was able to bail on them before it all hit the fan. It was a nasty legal fight..
Somehow, I seriously doubt it.
Seriously? A committee of congress that last met in 1974 is your best evidence? Before the Internet ran faster than 300 baud? Before the invention of the smart phone? Before the first release of Linux? Before even DOS or the PC?
I would content that since then, due to congressional oversight, this issue has been largely dealt with for decades.
Yea, the guys at the top know better than to get caught. What happens is the CYA chain ends some point below them and the hapless subordinate gets left holding the bag because he sacrificed his ethics to meet his employer's demands and didn't think though things far enough to realize he'd be holding the bag.
The moral of the story is to ALWAYS act ethically and legally and never demand your subordinates do anything less either. If your management team requests that you do anything else, demand a written order before complying and keep the original signed copy in a safe place. If they demand you order your subordinates to violate this rule, make them give the order themselves...
On another note, if you find yourself collecting CYA documents, you might brush off that Resume and get out of dodge. You don't want to work for unethical people very long because they may be setting you up as the scapegoat. Don't give them a chance.
So, are you saying NOX is a greenhouse gas then? Or perhaps it is the particulate matter (soot) in the exhaust?
Maybe this was about clean air and not Global Warming?
No.. All pollution results in global warming now.. It's the standard scare tactic used to strike fear in the unknowing and those who don't pay attention.
The truth is we lost during the primaries.... Both parties put the worst candidate possible on their tickets... One by votes, the other by hook and crook...
It is known the United States Government spies on its citizens illegally;
Known? How do you know this?
Where I don't discount the possibility that some illegal monitoring has taken place and may be taking place, I do not think that there is evidence enough to claim to have definite knowledge that this is a fact. Where it's an established fact that the government has the capability to do this, it's far from being provable that it's happening right now. So, I'm asking for your proof...
What evidence do you have that convinces you?
Hope they're enjoying their warm weather. You have to take the good with the bad. Didn't the U.S. steal it from the Indians or Mexicans anyways? Bad karma?
Best thing that ever happen to the land if you've ever seen Mexico. If we could go back in time we should have just absorbed Mexico. We'd have a smaller border to defend and the Mexicans would already be integrated and English speaking. It would save everyone a lot of trouble in the long run.
We actually took all of Mexico during the Mexican-American War which started over the disputed border after Texas came into the union. What amazes me is that we gave back to Mexico everything we took except the part which was in dispute. We could have kept the whole thing.
Think DUST BOWL..
The history of that man made disaster is rife with the same kind of things they say today, just in reverse.
Nobody wanted to believe that the pan handle of Texas was really a dry desert, unstable for farming. Yea, a decade of rainy weather tricked a bunch of people to plow up thousands of acres of land, year after year, thinking that the rain would return, only to watch their fields blow away as dust.
Also, don't forget that humans have been putting out fires in these areas for decades. Fire is a natural part of this ecosystem and we put them out and restrict land management practices that would have reduced the available fuel in these areas currently burning. In that way we HAVE made these particular fires worse. So, I don't think we can lay the whole blame here on Global Warming... Even if it fits the accepted narrative... Some blame? Maybe a very small part of the hot/dry weather, but this is hardly provable. LA is a hot dry and windy place this time of year and always has been in our recorded history.
Nobody keeps you from giving us a better explanation for the increasing number and severity of natural disasters.
We're waiting.
Because... We put fires out and restrict landscaping practices that would otherwise reduce the available fuel so when fires do happen, they are more intense and do more damage than they used to.
We discovered this in the nation's national forests. Where for decades we kept putting out fires, even small ones, that naturally cleared out the brush and growth on the ground. This brush grew bigger, creating huge fuel loads that was getting stacked up at the base of mature trees. Finally, a uncontrollable fire would happen and because of all the fuel that collected would burn hotter and faster. Where the mature trees used to survive the smaller more frequent fires, the less frequent hotter fires was enough to kill them. The solution was to either clear the brush manually, or let the fires burn more often.
In LA, the issue is not that fires happen more often, but that they happen LESS often and more fuel piles up. Then when the hot/dry conditions come on those windy days then the whole mess of kindling will be impossible to put out, burn hotter, faster and more deeply. Then like idiots, we build houses next to all this and try to make excuses for why we cannot keep them from burring down every so often.
Yea, man caused this mess, but not the way you think.
Copyright's are easy to explain and understand.
Correct use of apostrophes, now, that's tough.
Ah yes, the grammar Nazi fails with commas... But we all understood what you where trying to say, so I'm not complaining.
On #2, this depends greatly on the cost of electricity and the cost of Natural gas where you are. A heat pump may work down to -20F but the question is what's cheaper to use. Hands down, where I live, it's cheaper to heat with Natural Gas all the time, regardless of the outdoor temperature. The equipment is less expensive and the cost of the energy is less.
About 10 years ago, this wasn't true, the heat pump was cheaper to run most of the time heat was needed, but now, with the huge reduction in the costs of Natural Gas and not a corresponding reduction in electric prices, gas is cheaper by a long shot.
So, what you think *was* true before, but it's not today, at least for me here in Texas.
Copyright's are easy to explain and understand. You don't copy stuff that you didn't produce yourself, without permission.
Fair use laws... That's the problem here. They don't make sense to the average person.
So... I can buy an MP3 of a song and play it in my house, in my car, privately all day long, but I cannot play it in public or use it in my business... Except if my business use is considered "fair Use". So I can play this song as a background for my Christmas light display, for the public, as long as I'm not charging admission or being paid for it. I can play the song in a church service, but I may not broadcast that song or distribute recordings of the song being played in the service without a license. I can write a review of the song, even including a small portion of the song in my review, but I may not play the entire song...
Then there is the whole Internet bastion of sites like U-Tube where you seemingly can do anything you want with the song, including splicing in other copyrighted material (video, pictures and the like) without any permission, but only because U-Tube is paying the license fees for you, unless they don't, or you distribute your material some other way... Unless it is considered public domain in the first place because the artist has been dead long enough.
I can understand how kids would be confused by all this...
Actually, if being used for heat, the most effective place to burn Natural Gas it is locally where you need the heat.
The conversion losses between heat to electricity, followed by the transmission losses, followed by another conversion from electricity to heat are horribly inefficient overall looking at the BTU's into the plant and the BTU's heating the air in your house. Any reasonably efficient Natural Gas heater will beat the efficiency of a NG plant supplied electric option.
And, I'd like to point out that my old existing house is a whole lot more environmentally friendly as it stands than hauling it to a land fill and building a new one. Why? Because I live in Texas where we heat maybe a total of 1 month a year and MOST of the energy consumed year round is for AC followed by heating hot water and I have fairly efficient AC units and a Tank less hot water system which uses as little NG as possible.
We literally have Natural Gas coming out our ears in the world right now.
I, for one, do not literally have natural gas coming out of my ears.
Ok, Ok.. But it does come out of another orifice or two you have...
OP's position seems perfectly philosophically valid to me. Why don't you refute his position rather than condescending on him without providing substance?
Responding in this manner makes you appear old and stupid, not wise.
Oh you foolish young'un's are all alike... The wisdom of the old is veiled from your eyes because you don't choose to carefully consider what you are told because you still think you are wise. The way of a fool is right in his own eyes, but he who is wise listens to counsel.
You may leave my lawn now....
Yea, that will last about 2 seconds after the first guy says "Here, hold my beer!"
And I have no mod points to give you today... HOA's are ill conceived legal constructs which are going to be really hard to fix in the future.