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Bitcoin Futures Surge In First Day Of Trading (npr.org)

On their first day of trading, bitcoin futures surged past $18,000, adding to a streak for the digital currency that began the year at just $1,000 and has nearly tripled in value over the past month alone. From a report: Reuters reports that bitcoin futures, traded through the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), saw January contracts, which opened at $15,460 in New York on Sunday evening, leap to a high of $17,170 during Asian hours. Trading, which began at 6 p.m. ET (5 p.m. CT), was so intense that halts designed to cool volatility were triggered twice on the CBOE. The halts are "not surprising based on the volatility of the underlying [asset]. The futures are behaving as expected and designed," Tom Lehrkinder, senior analyst at consulting firm Tabb Group, was quoted by CNBC as saying.

64 comments

  1. I'm rich by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I cashed out all my Flooz and put it all into Bitcoin. Who is laughing now?

    1. Re:I'm rich by IMightB · · Score: 1

      I dunno... someone's going to fall. I do think that BC is valid, but trading at these prices is insane. the bubble will pop

    2. Re:I'm rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I do think that BC is valid

      Why is it valid? It's like paying $50 using Visa/MC and it being worth $45 or $55 by the time the merchant at the other end receives it.

      I think BTC has no value, because it is a service (money transfer), not a thing with intrinsic value. Gold can be used to make useful things. Stock prices are based on how much the company makes or is going to make. BTC has has none of that. It's like taking monopoly money and assigning arbitrary USD value to it... completely fake.

    3. Re:I'm rich by krygny · · Score: 1

      Paper notes printed by governments have no intrinsic value either. Except that people generally (or universally) accept them as having value. You can't print them yourself (those are not accepted as having value) and you can't mine them. They can only be obtained in exchange for something else of commensurate value (labor, goods, services, knowledge, information, etc.)

      At one time, many people did not accept those "worthless" pieces of paper as being a valid currency. And now, most people will not accept a cryptographic currency. But they will, and there will be many, not just Bitcoin.

      If all the wealth in the world were based solely on intrinsic physical commodities, a single ounce of gold would be worth millions, a barrel of oil would be worth thousands and a bushel of wheat hundreds. But there ore other things of value you can't physically touch (like information, knowledge, expertise, etc.).

      --
      Research shows that 67% of those who use the term "research shows", are just making shit up.
    4. Re: I'm rich by bn-7bc · · Score: 1

      Of course not, but try to pay dept or taxes with anything else, money is usefull because no ne can refuse to accept it as payment. Bitcoins on the other hand...

    5. Re:I'm rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even Monopoly money has value as a thing, to people who play Monopoly at any rate.

      Bitcoin does have value as a service to speculators and Dread Pirate Roberts, but as a thing it literally is nothing but finding arbitrary useless patterns of zeros by energey-wasting hashing.

    6. Re:I'm rich by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      Does the IRS accept bitcoin?

    7. Re:I'm rich by nine-times · · Score: 1

      But they will, and there will be many, not just Bitcoin.

      I don't think so, on a few different levels and for a few different reasons.

      First, as to why there won't be many: It's too much to keep track of. You need to verify the integrity of each cryptocurrency and keep track of the exchange rate. It's not like people are just going to accept a cryptocurrency because it's been invented. So if cryptocurrencies do take hold, people will likely adopt a small number of well regulated ones. Far from providing a currency outside of government control, people will probably only accept a currency en masse if/when governmental bodies audit the generation of the currency and insure digital bitcoin wallets as bank accounts.

      I don't think that will happen, though, at least not with Bitcoin. The market is going to crash, even if only because it has become so speculative. That's going to hurt people's trust in it.

      What's more, as it stands, I've been hearing the transaction cost is too high. The energy costs of mining are too high. I'm not an expert on those subjects, but it just doesn't sound sustainable.

    8. Re:I'm rich by grahamsz · · Score: 1

      Surely ones a futures market stabilizes some that should improve things there. Bitcoin payment processors will be able to use futures contracts to help create a payment that's less volatile.

  2. Say Goodbye to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gaming.

  3. More like buttcoin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Am I right?

    1. Re:More like buttcoin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shout out to reddit.com/r/buttcoin for all the fantastic work they do!

  4. DNM Currency? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are any DNMs accepting a more stable currency? Asking for a ... friend that is due to make Legal in Colorado purchase soon.

  5. It's a trap! by gweihir · · Score: 2, Insightful

    At this time, anybody that still has BC is just trying to quietly get rid of them before the big crash. Hence they need lots of fools to buy.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:It's a trap! by EvilSS · · Score: 1

      Ha joke's on them! Any large scale sell-off breaks all the exchanges. Can't crash if you can't sell it!

      --
      I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
    2. Re:It's a trap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well bitcoin has always been very volatile so some sort of crash is inevitable. That's not different from ANY market though. However, like stocks, if all you do is hold on then so far you would have always come out ahead in the end. Now that it's on a "real" exchange it will be interesting to see how or if that affects the ultimate volatility.

      China is still playing their games and they still "control" bitcoin due to their massive hashing power and their massive coin holdings. The game is definitely tilted in their favor right now.

    3. Re:It's a trap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you can't sell it it has already become worthless.

    4. Re:It's a trap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can automagically dribble my Bitcoin back to the exchange as inconspicuously as I want to.

      But without overthinking this, just sell at a a rate--say 1/10 of 1% of the average for the last two hours and there is enough liquidity as well as price support (read: greater fools) to exit without disturbing the market.

    5. Re:It's a trap! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      None of the exchanges have enough cash on hand to cash out even a small percentage of holders thanks to the inflated price point. The moment any amount greater than a few percent goes to cash out the exchange is broke.

      It is good no one wants to cash out because no one can.

    6. Re:It's a trap! by gweihir · · Score: 1

      From what I understand, most exchanges just match buyer to seller. No buyer, no cash out. One exchange that buys BC directly, very obviously put an emergency stop mechanism to it just recently (because even a smaller crash would wipe them out), which probably is just a facade for actually also starting to match buyers to sellers: https://news.slashdot.org/stor...

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  6. So who's buying the bitcoins? by Kenja · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Can't figure out the buy high, sell low thing that seems to be going on. Could it be the Chinese using Bitcoin to get their cash out of the country now that they can't buy Seattle realestate? Or is it just run of the mill money laundering...

    --

    "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
    1. Re:So who's buying the bitcoins? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bots have been working overtime during the last 72 hours trying to scam people on several social media fronts, I feel like the big cash-out must be soon.

    2. Re:So who's buying the bitcoins? by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1, Troll

      Bitcoin was created by SAmsung, TOSHIba, NAKAmichi, and MOTOrola in the future to fund their temporal agents; the "cash out" is ongoing and extends to subtle manipulations to generate a timeline where the 4 companies involved control the world.

    3. Re:So who's buying the bitcoins? by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      So, they buy a bitcoin now, and in a thousand years sell it for a billion, right? The magic of compound interest!

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  7. nomorebitcoinstories by hackertourist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Slashdot: News about bitcoin. Stuff that's boring.
    You can copy and paste the comments from the last 100 BTC stories verbatim, there's nothing new to say at this point.

    1. Re:nomorebitcoinstories by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bits are for coins.

      You are all coins. Coins say bit. BIIIIIT! BIIIIIIT! Bit coins BIIIIIIT! Bit say the coins. YOU BITTY COINS!!

    2. Re:nomorebitcoinstories by Urist+McSlashdot · · Score: 1

      Sure, 1 BTC story is only worth $0.25 right now, but pretty soon it could be worth $25 or $2500. And then you'll be kicking yourself for not getting those 100 BTC stories when you had the chance!

  8. Bubbles gonna pop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is going to be hilarious when the bubble bursts on this shitshow.

    1. Re:Bubbles gonna pop by grnbrg · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm laughing all the way to the bank.

    2. Re:Bubbles gonna pop by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      When it does, I want to see the look on the face of that stupid fucker who was just on CNN talking to Richard Quest, using "crypto" as a shorthand term for cryptocurrencies. Fuck that guy, I hope he loses everything for his linguistic war crimes.

      Also it was weird watching a wall street suit talk on a mainstream news channel about how much he likes some of the more private cryptocurrencies, which are practically indistinguishable from purpose-built financial crime instruments. How are the relevant authorities not in red-alert, scramble-all-bureaucrats mode now that this stuff is in their faces?

      Remember the good ol' days, when any company that conducted any business that remotely resembled today's cryptocurrency exchanges would've been furiously squashed like a particularly large and creepy bug by the nearest government? Remember when MMORPG virtual goods exchanges were under the microscope as possible avenues for money laundering? What happened to that? Did Trump stick a fox in the relevant henhouse to allow this madness to happen?

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    3. Re:Bubbles gonna pop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      imagine if you shorted bitcoin with everything you've gained with bitcoin over the last year? that's the position i'm in. i can't WAIT for this bubble to pop.

    4. Re:Bubbles gonna pop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of Trump supporters do Bitcoin as that is the edgy new paradigm mainstream-bank alternative that also promise get rich quick for minimal funds and even less critical faculty.

      You’d think that Trump wouldn’t want his followers to be screwed by the bubble, but he is wily enough to know that cheated and disenfranchised base, once Bitcoin value goes pear-shaped, are likely to resort to extremism to keep the administration in power forever.

    5. Re:Bubbles gonna pop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're drunk, go home.

  9. We will see by Quato · · Score: 2

    Is the price rising because of a real value, or inflated because of people thinking they will get rich quick? I predict a lot of sad investors. I'd think most businesses would shy away from accepting BitCoin unless the currency has some sort of stability.

    1. Re:We will see by EvilSS · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd go with amateur speculation investors trying to grab the hype dragon's tail after it's almost passed by. Besides being on OK method to transfer large sums outside the normal banking system, it doesn't have much practical use these days. Insane transaction fees and transaction times make it useless for everyday use. Even before this last week you were looking at $4-$6 per transaction. Last week it peaked at over $26 and even then transactions could take hours to confirm. That makes it useless for pretty much every retail use outside of maybe big-ticket items. Great if you want to buy a Lambo, not so good for buying groceries. It also doesn't help when the exchanges crash when they are needed most during the big price swings. What good is a huge gain if you can't sell to realize the profit.

      --
      I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
    2. Re:We will see by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 2

      From my humble perspective, the price of Bitcoin is rising so spectacularly because there are so few sellers.

      Who in their right mind would sell Bitcoin when it has been rising non-stop and therefore *seems* to be such a great investment? It's a self fulfilling prophecy - everyone expects it to rise so nobody is selling so those who want in have to pay exorbitant prices.

      But this same fact also makes it completely unsuitable as a currency. The volatility is too high and the fluidity is too low. At the moment the system is setup more like a Ponzi-Scheme: Those buying now at exorbitant prices are hoping to find a bigger fool that will buy from them at even greater prices. It will work for a while but nobody can tell when the whole thing will unravel.

      So I understand Bitcoin from this Ponzi-Scheme/gambling point of view. The big mystery to me are those people that are really invested into Bitcoin out of conviction that it is the future. As I understand it there are severe technical limitations that make it impractical to perform transactions in Bitcoin and put the whole thing at risk:
      - being a node in the Bitcoin network will require increasing amounts of very powerful hardware, so at some point only corporations or very rich people will be able to handle it, making it less democratic and independent than it was envisioned
      - Bitcoin takes an ever increasing amount of energy to operate
      - transactions will take longer and longer to run as the blockchain gets bigger and bigger
      - when Bitcoin ever reaches the mainstream it will become borderline unusable because the sheer amount of transactions will take forever to process

      Sounds to me like Bitcoin doesn't scale very well.

    3. Re:We will see by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      Sounds to me like Bitcoin doesn't scale very well.

      That's why developers are working on higher layer protocols, such as Lightning Network, that need to handle nearly all transactions, and only use the underlying layer-1 for settling combined payments.

      Compare it to the time when we had a gold standard. People transacted with pieces of paper, each representing a bit of gold, but the gold remained in the vaults.

    4. Re:We will see by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 1

      Is the price rising because of a real value, or inflated because of people thinking they will get rich quick?

      Since a bitcoin is nothing more than an answer to a riddle, that is an easy question. A bitcoin has no value. For some strange reason, is has a price, but please don't mix the two, as value and price have little in common nowadays. Value belongs to economy (things people do), while price belongs to finance (cashing big nonsense). If you want to get rich, don't make your hands dirty. If you want to be a member of society, by all means do.

      --
      Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    5. Re: We will see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lightning Network: A bitcoin exchange that will never, ever get hacked as an inside job taking millions, billions on paper, of sucker's bitcoin. Right?

    6. Re: We will see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trust US!!!1

  10. Gambling time! by bobbied · · Score: 2

    Seriously, who knows what BitCoin is going to do?

    I want to know who's buying/selling puts and gets at ~$18K for Pete's sake. Futures trading may smooth out the peaks of BTC some, but the volatility of BTC is huge, given there is literally nothing but the belief it will be valuable at some time in the future.

    Somebody is going to make a killing trading these futures, but I will guarantee that it won't likely be you unless you are able to play the futures game and then it's anybody's guess. If the future contracts are hitting the trading stops on the first day, it's a crap shoot. Is BTC going up or down? Flip a coin. Want to buy futures then trade them in the money? Great, but hitting the stops may keep you from realizing a profit. So you have a 50/50 chance to be "in the money" while you have a less than zero chance of not being able to close the position and clear a profit. This means you have a less than 50/50 chance of making money.

    Don't do it.... At least don't use money you cannot afford to lose.. You are basically playing roulette, and the odds are not in your favor. I don't want to hear the complaining about all the money lost when the bottom falls out and the panic selling starts.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    1. Re:Gambling time! by glitch! · · Score: 1

      I don't want to hear the complaining about all the money lost when the bottom falls out and the panic selling starts.

      Actually, I think you really do want to hear the complaining. :)

      --
      A dingo ate my sig...
    2. Re:Gambling time! by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Ok.. Just don't expect any sympathy from me then, cause I'm going to gloat...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    3. Re:Gambling time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Count on Trump to blame Jews and bankers to further inflame his base who just lost their pitiful stakes.

    4. Re: Gambling time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought PUT() and GET() were random-access file commands in TRS-80-era BASIC.

  11. Re:Even Goatse has a coin by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 0

    Perhaps the most insightful thing related to Bitcoin since SAmsung, TOSHIba, NAKAmichi, and MOTOrola published the original blockchain whitepaper behind Bitcoin.

  12. Bitcoin endgame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It would be hilarious if bitcoin was designed to have criminal organizations invest trillions into a relatively untraceable currency and then have a kill switch that rendered all wallets null and void.

  13. Bitcoin futures != bitcoin by sjbe · · Score: 1

    On their first day of trading, bitcoin futures surged past $18,000, adding to a streak for the digital currency that began the year at just $1,000 and has nearly tripled in value over the past month alone.

    First off, saying bitcoin futures surged past a particular price is somewhat misleading because futures contracts on an exchange don't have a single price nor is that price the same as the price of the underlying asset. A futures contract has a price for the asset on the delivery date but the price of the futures contract is separate from the price they'll pay for the asset. The price of a futures contract might be $50 for an asset with a price of $18000. The price of the futures contract is dependent on the delivery date and the difference of the price from the current underlying asset price.

    A futures contract on an asset is not the same thing as the underlying asset. A futures contract is a contract to buy an asset at a predetermined price at a date in the future. The actual market value of the asset at the delivery date may or may not match the price on the future contract. (in fact it almost certainly will not) Anyone buying a futures contract in bitcoin is doing one of two things. They are either speculating on future prices of bitcoin or they are hedging the value of bitcoins they hold to ensure that they can sell them at a known price. Either way the price for a futures contract on bitcoin isn't the price of bitcoin.

    So saying bitcoin futures have increased in price simply means that there is a market consensus that the value of bitcoin is likely to rise but it says absolutely nothing about what the actual value of bitcoin is or what it will be. Whoever wrote this article doesn't understand the difference between an asset and a futures contract on that asset.

    1. Re:Bitcoin futures != bitcoin by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

      Exactly. I have made a reasonable stack of money in futures, but must admit that trading in a market that halts twice in a day seems like a recipe for tears,

  14. Menace to Earth & Society by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Bitcoin is an energy hog and a money-laundering black hole. Killit!

  15. Well thats it I'm convinced! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If only /. mods werent huckster shils there might be some real news on this site.

    Fuck you gais.

  16. Forget bitcoins... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you want mine your own cryptocurrency, you need a motherboard with 19 PCIe 1X slots to plug in 19 GPUs and a couple of 1200W PSUs.

    1. Re: Forget bitcoins... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Creimer affiliate spam. Mod down.

  17. Mark my words on the outcome of this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is going to be the "mark of the beast" (without which no man can buy or sell (or live)) once the dollar collapses you'll take the RFID ink mark or die and just like how UBI works (once their unquestioning slaves robots depopulate and emasculate men taking their jobs too)? You'll be slaves. TOTAL slaves unable to buck that system. Get out of line they cut off your money and you die. Look at what's happening in a UBI using nation called Sweden with their women being raped by muslims and they do zero about it having had their nuts cut off as evidence to this. Look at the future.

  18. or.... by tacokill · · Score: 1

    Is it just people who want some part of 21 million bitcoins that will ever exist?

  19. Halting trading by TheCastro1689 · · Score: 1

    Halting of trading has always seemed to me to be a scam in itself. It prevents the big drops that allow patient people to make some money.

  20. come on mods by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    I think it is a funny idea, but it is interesting.

  21. A great article but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A great article and I love trading in the crypto world on gdax and other exchanges but after a couple of months, I found that investing in Bitconnect is much more profitable than trading or holding any coins. The best part of Bitconnect is you get daily payouts on your investment. Use my referral code "onlyprince". I will return 100% of referral income which will be 5% of your investment.
    If you invest $1000, I will give you $50 back.

  22. Its all Saudi Arabia.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have no proof but im going to say it here, the reason for the recent increase is a mad investment buy the Saudi's. Notice this last surge matches the "repayments" by the "jailed corrupt" royals.

  23. The people in the know ... by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 1

    The people in the know aren't. The financial pundits predicted a drop in bitcoin value and shorting bitcoin contracts once the futures trading opened. Bitcoin took an anticipatory drop a couple days before. Trading futures opened and quickly pushed bitcoin higher. This isn't currency, it isn't a hard asset, its not even like a stock. It's a great mechanism to move value in short order. Worried about that whole "buy an item for $50, and the merchant gets $45 or 55 when it clears" example? Well I can send BTC worth $50,000 to buy a car in Germany and the transaction will clear in under an hour. and cost $3-6. An international wire transfer goes from my bank, to the correspondent bank, to their banks correspondent bank, to their bank and can take a week to clear, but usually 3-4 business days. And costs about $40 from the US side and often similar on the other end. A wire originated in Turkey for 20,000 euros into a US Bank account cost over $400 in fees and took a currency conversion loss of $450 USD on the value at the time of the transaction top of that, so at the time $850 to move 27,900 dollars into the US account. If BITcoin were used, about a .1% fee on the exchanges at each end and using todays rates about 5-6 dollars transaction fee. so about $50 - $60 to move it netting, $800 more roughly and making 1/2 day at most instead of, in this particular case, 6 days. And no issues with time of day etc. to start the transaction. That's the real value of bitcoin. And what's really cool, if you're both on the same exchange, and have a buffer of bitcoins on each end, there's no fee in many cases as they move funds from your exchange bitcoin account to the destination bitcoin account without charge, and it's only the conversion to and from other fiat currency that costs you. Bitcoin will have arrived when I can buy a factory direct Tesla Model 3 in bitcoin while in Italy sipping a doppio.

    --
    - Tjp

    I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

  24. Who is the Greater Fool? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Surely ones a futures market stabilizes some that should improve things there. Bitcoin payment processors will be able to use futures contracts to help create a payment that's less volatile.

    Expecting derivative financial instruments to make the market more stable is a recipe for tears. That is NOT what they do in the real world, especially when there is a lot of speculation going on which is almost entirely what is happening with bitcoin. Prices don't change that fast when people are using derivative instruments for hedging purposes. All that is happening is a bunch of greedy people playing a game of "Who is the Greater Fool".

  25. Did not work then and won't work now by sjbe · · Score: 1

    That's why developers are working on higher layer protocols, such as Lightning Network, that need to handle nearly all transactions, and only use the underlying layer-1 for settling combined payments.

    That's evidence that the system isn't working, not evidence that it is sound.

    Compare it to the time when we had a gold standard. People transacted with pieces of paper, each representing a bit of gold, but the gold remained in the vaults.

    You do realize that the gold standard system didn't work, right? We left the gold standard because it was fundamentally broken and there is no evidence to suggest that bitcoin will do any better. I think blockchains have some pretty interesting applications but bitcoin is unlikely to be among them.