'Bitcoin Could Cost Us Our Clean-Energy Future' (grist.org)
An anonymous reader shares an article: Bitcoin wasn't intended to be an investment instrument. Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people. But what they might not have accounted for is how much of an energy suck the computer network behind bitcoin could one day become. Simply put, bitcoin is slowing the effort to achieve a rapid transition away from fossil fuels. What's more, this is just the beginning. Given its rapidly growing climate footprint, bitcoin is a malignant development, and it's getting worse. Digital financial transactions come with a real-world price: The tremendous growth of cryptocurrencies has created an exponential demand for computing power. As bitcoin grows, the math problems computers must solve to make more bitcoin (a process called "mining") get more and more difficult -- a wrinkle designed to control the currency's supply. Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day. And miners are constantly installing more and faster computers. Already, the aggregate computing power of the bitcoin network is nearly 100,000 times larger than the world's 500 fastest supercomputers combined. The total energy use of this web of hardware is huge -- an estimated 31 terawatt-hours per year. More than 150 individual countries in the world consume less energy annually. And that power-hungry network is currently increasing its energy use every day by about 450 gigawatt-hours, roughly the same amount of electricity the entire country of Haiti uses in a year.
Lots of computing is done, and few people complain about the energy consumption. It's only when it's computation for the sake of expensive computation that it becomes offensive. Is there any way to do some kind of real work in the process of generating this data, or would that inherently compromise the security of the system (or render it impossible?)
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
controlled currency, it will be worth the struggle. A day when no government can create or destroy money is a win for the world.
Mike @ The Geek Pub. Let's Make Stuff!
The only value they have, is the value you place on them. Sure, you can say the same about any currency, if you're willing to ignore governments. So you're ultra rare gold hologram charazard card might be worth a lot today (lets pretend those words make sense), but you're a fool if you think that will be the case tomorrow. Just look at Beenie Babbies.
"Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
Greed... uh, finds a way.
They have made the mistake of failing to compare. This is a common problem, especially when dealing with successful thing.
1) Bitcoin mining is expensive in energy and will continue to grow.
2) The reason bitcoin mining is necessary is that we need record keeping to prevent fraud in financial transactions.
3) Money is not new, the record keeping is also required for dollar based transaction.
4) You need to compare bitcoin energy costs to dollar energy costs, not merely look at bitcoin alone. If you actually do the comparison, you see that bitcoin transaction costs (per $1,000 equivalent) is CHEAPER than dollar. It wouldn't work any other way.
5) Conclusion, if we switch entirely from bitcoin to dollar, we will SAVE money and save energy.
excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
No, it won't "cost us our clean-energy future." As the article points out itself, the growth rate in the energy cost of bitcoin is unsustainable. Eventually bitcoin transactions are going to become more and more infeasible.
I can't see how anyone expects that Bitcoin will be able to maintain its value if you can't transfer it to other people. And if its value goes down, then so will the demand for energy to keep it running.
How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
Greed really is the plague of the new humanity. Once and indispensable personnality trait for survival in the savage, barbarian world we evolved from, it has now become the cancer of civilization.
Problem is, it is so deeply entrenched in our genetic make-up that we'll fight it in vain for thousands, if not millions of years to come, if our species lasts that long.
Soon mining will stop. End of problem.
Is it any worse than the sheer amount of horsepower it takes to load a page on any modern web site? In addition to all the scripts that load from a thousand third party domains for tracking and embeds, you have all the responsive design code and giant images. It may not be much for one PC, but when you consider how many machines are out there grinding away parsing web sites, it adds up. The end result still doesn't present much more meat and potatoes information than the web of yore.
More demand for the energy company`s mean more profit. Let`s hope they will turn that into renewable`s sources.......
And why exactly can't Bitcoin miners and networks run on clean energy?
You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.
Have you read my blog lately?
You fuckers never stop consuming.
Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day ...
Sorry, we all know that mining is energy intensive, and transactions are not that cheap
But the number above makes no sense at all.
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
Wikipedia says annual world electrical consumption is 21,777 TW-h per year. (21,776,088,770,300 per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electricity_consumption). The article says, without any justification or sourcing, that there is 31 TW-h per year used in bitcoin mining. This is .14% of annual production. (Not 14%, fourteen hundredths of a percent).
Something tells me there are bigger fish to fry when it comes to curbing electrical use to reduce carbon footprints. (Not to mention no mention of how much of that production has carbon footprint and how much is renewables).
One should learn math before calling out about skies falling.
More and more people are using Rube Goldberg logical arguments to derive some kind of statement that X is Bad.
The argument usually has an excessive number of premises, each premise depending on the previous, and bordering on, if not explicitly, being a non sequitur.
Somewhere, someone probably has created a proof that shows that the likelihood of an argument being correct diminishes with the number of premises it requires.
When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
And this is why we can't return to a gold-based currency. The most productive use of resources in any gold-like currency (and bitcoin qualifies since it must be 'mined') is the expansion of the money supply through mining. This is not a good use of resources.
Could we get this compared to the amount of power used for computers standing around in offices being idle because the tasks they run don't even use 5% of the CPU's power 99% of the time, and how those offices could lower the power footprint by way more than the bitcoin miners use?
Could we then also see the power footprint of the global light pollution, especially during times like Christmas where everyone feels the urge to put enough light into his garden to divert planes because they think you're the airport?
Just to have a perspective, ya know?
Yes, it's the usual whataboutism. In the end, though, if you're really worried about power consumption and the transition away from fossil fuel, I'm pretty sure we have bigger fish to fry than bitcoins.
That's Matt 7:3 for you Bible guys.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
<eom>
We will use bitcoin mining as a heat source in our homes.
A quick calculation, 31 terawatt hours = 31000000000 kWH, which at $.11/kWH is $3,410,000,000.00.
What's the capitalization of Bitcoin? Right now, $214,387,059,190.00
So the claimed electricity cost is a tolerable 1.5% of capitalization...
From the Wikipedia, which link I don't care to post, the top 37 electricity consuming countries use about 19,000 TWh/a. Bitcoin maybe responsible for .16% of worldwide electricity consumption, if I'm still doing math right?
This is not a big deal. Not even a story. Please, go report on something real.
I wonder if anyone has calculated the cost of shipping paper money and gold? It still happens quite a bit from what I understand, to back electronic transactions.
The summary seems to spend a lot of time lamenting and whining when there appears to be a straightforward solution: proof of space
Filecoin appears to be taking this route. So if you care about this issue, use something like Filecoin instead of something like Bitcoin.
Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
I *think* there may be a fundamental error with the article linked by the OP. The author of that article, Eric Holthaus, argues that because the value of Bitcoins is increasing due to speculation, so of course more and more people will jump in to the task of mining new Bitcoins.
Except of course that can't happen forever, thanks to the design of Bitcoin. As this page explains quite nicely...
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Con...
there is actually a finite limit to the number of Bitcoins that will ever be created. To quote the explainer,
"Bitcoins are created each time a user discovers a new block. The rate of block creation is adjusted every 2016 blocks to aim for a constant two week adjustment period (equivalent to 6 per hour.) The number of bitcoins generated per block is set to decrease geometrically, with a 50% reduction every 210,000 blocks, or approximately four years. The result is that the number of bitcoins in existence is not expected to exceed 21 million.[2] Speculated justifications for the unintuitive value "21 million" are that it matches a 4-year reward halving schedule; or the ultimate total number of Satoshis that will be mined is close to the maximum capacity of a 64-bit floating point number."
So, in other words, although in theory the folks who mine new blocks are going to continue to get paid in Bitcoins, the value they receive will dimish to tiny fractions. Eventually we should get to the point where we continue to need new blocks to host transactions, but miners will receive virtually nothing for their efforts - certainly far less in value terms than the cost of the electricity required to solve the math problems.
That may be why we're seeing a peak in activity now - i.e. whilst the cost-benefit favours mining. The moment that balance tips the other way, we're likely to see significant changes in both mining activity and the perceived value of Bitcoins.
And for those unwilling to open the link, the analysis predicts [with reasonable give-or-take accuracy] that Bitcoin will hit the limit by 2024, when miners will be paid approx 6.5 Bitcoins per block.
As at today, miners are paid 12.5 Bitcoins per mined block. This is set to halve come 2021 [down to 6.25 per block] so we might see negative pressure on Bitcoin value when that happens.
But, based on what I've read, the linked article might be missing a few key points...
Not necessarily Bitcoin- but I think the author is forgetting that 'Green' powered crypto is also growing in popularity.
You generate coins using a solar array, and trade those coins for currency. Its similar to how selling excessive power back to the powergrid works now, except the coin cuts out the middleman...
I could see this sparking a grassroots movement for going 'Green'
They know nothing about currency, or the religion of economics. Bitcoin will never replace money. Something else might, but nothing even close to resembling crypo "currency". It's a bubble that will pop and leave a lot of "investors" with nothing. There is nothing of value with bitcoin at all.
>Bitcoin wasn't intended to be an investment instrument. Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people.
Bitcoin was a marginally successful experiment in creating a trustless secure distributed public ledger. It was initially used for a few fun purchases, then the crazy cryptoanarchists and libertarians took up the banner and it just started getting weirder. But hey, I'm pretty sure the mining craze drove improvements in gaming video cards, so we did get that out of it before it morphed into an 'investment' pyramid scheme.
However secure the ledger itself may theoretically be... in practical use Bitcoin is about as secure as having a wad of cash hanging out the back pocket of your pants. It's only anonymous until a person can be linked to a ledger entry, and then it's the least anonymous way in the world to transfer wealth.
And Bitcoin was never going to replace money, which quickly became obvious once you looked at the scaling issues. I'm sure the original coder was well aware of that and didn't worry about it because they never expected it to grow beyond a small circle of friends using it for shits and giggles. Or not.
Bitcoin was also never going to replace money because it enforces some basic economic policies on its use that have been proven disastrous by history; the coder was obviously neither an economist nor a historian.
As an investment, Bitcoin's a lottery ticket. If you're lucky and you get in and out at the right times, Bitcoin may still make you some money - but odds are pretty good it won't. Just ask the last round of people who invested in tulips or beanie babies.
For the love of Pete, can we stop with this blatant disinformation? Bitcoin is not only not anonymous, but once a wallet is associated with a person (which is a trivial endeavor), your transactions over all of time are known.
Also, bitcoin uses 0.00001% of the world's electricity. Building the new Mercedes Benz stadium in Atlanta took more energy than Bitcoin has taken since it came into existence, and that was just so 80,000 people could watch a bunch of emotionally stunted little boys wear spandex and chase each other around and jump on each other.
I think the world can tolerate Bitcoin...
How many millions of man hours are lost each day to Facebook addiction? How may YouTube data centers running 24/7/365 warehouse nothing but the digital equivalent of cat videos? How many millions have been pissed away every year by the US Mint who still mints pointless pennies at a loss?
Hard to pin the blame on bitcoin when we have so many examples of pointless waste today.
Bitcoin is a malignant development because Greed is a disease. Stop supporting valuations based on hype and bullshit. This applies to every industry. Being reasonable about valuation will likely send bitcoin values plummeting, which would curb the absurdity of the bitcoin mining addiction.
I heat my house with Bitcoin you insensitive clod!
If one thinks, one sees how foundationless this A/Câ(TM)s argument is. But hay! Being Still Born is the first thing A/Câ(TM)s have to accept.
The bitcoin network's energy usage is designed to peak in the early years, then level off and decline. This is all a non-issue that the author couldn't found out on his own, had he done a teeny tiny bit of research.
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2017/12/bitcoins-insane-energy-consumption-explained/
If it creates a worldwide non-government controlled currency, it will be worth the struggle. A day when no government can create or destroy money is a win for the world.
Its not really on a path to do so. Yes it was designed to do so but designs often lose to reality. The reality of bitcoin is that we do NOT have decentralized mining.
In 2014 a mining pool reached 50% of the hashrate, IF they made it to 51% and had bad intentions there could have been a successful attack on the blockchain.
Today Chinese mining pools control 70% of all the hashrate, that seems vulnerable to the wishes of a single government.
Bitcoin was designed so that individuals and their computers did the mining. Instead we have mining performed by exotic and expensive ASIC hardware that it under the control of only a few. Even when individuals "own" the hardware they often have it colocated somewhere where there are inexpensive fees and low cost electricity. Their bitcoin mining rig is not really under their control and may be in a different country.
I think its ridiculous. I really do. I think its a bad idea, a frustrating waste of money and hardware, and honestly, a refuge for people that are desprate to find a way around bad government Economic Policy. I see a Speculation Bubble, and Electric bills skyrocketing. I see huge expenses into the tens of thousands of dollars in damaged or destroyed hardware. I wish I could talk this fellow out of this business. Its costing him several hundred times more in expenses than he is making, but he can't see that. Every time I turn around, he's pumping more money into this Crypto Currency Dumpster Fire. He wants it to be easy as possible, he doesn't want to learn a bunch of the (Linux) Precepts behind it.
Its costing him legitimate IT avenues. Everything else he rationalizes away. I think its a bad idea. I came into it with an open neutral opinion. It took a week of looking into this to see how bad it is. Yet, its full steam ahead.
To be clear, while bitcoin has many design flaws and problems and may very well be displaced by a different digital currency in the not so distant future, the blockchain is likely here to stay. But the blockchain and bitcoin are two very different things. Bitcoin is nothing more than one user of blockchain technology, blockchain technology could care less about bitcoin or any particular cryptocurrency.
There are alternative consensus protocols that are far more efficient than Bitcoin's, namely Proof of Stake (PoS), which requires (relative to Bitcoin) virtually no energy. This also enables much faster block times, which contribute to a much faster confirmations. PoS, instead of requiring solving difficult mathematical problems (Proof of Work) to be solved, requires "collateral" to be put up to incentivize network participants to operate in the interest of the network.
If we colonize Antarctica, not only will we be able to use the miners to heat the place during the northern summer, we can use it year round - and it would better than a heat pump because there is no heat to pump.
And why exactly can't Bitcoin miners and networks run on clean energy?
There is not a surplus of clean energy to allocate to bitcoin. Note that as Europe shut down nuclear power plants they have had to increase their usage of coal despite their massive investment in renewables. Last year coal exports from the US to Europe doubled.
Bitcoin wasn't intended to be an investment instrument.
They created a cash analog and didn't think it would be used as an investment vehicle? Then they are (as I suspected) imbeciles with little understanding of economics and less of people. Kind of like the programmers in the early days of networks that failed to secure their networks because they naively trusted other people's incentives to match their own.
Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people.
It's not a replacement for money because it IS a form of money for all practical purposes. Just because it isn't a fiat currency doesn't change that fact. But like any asset (including currency) it will be used both for transactions and as a mechanism to profit directly through trading of that asset. If there is a profit to be made you can be sure someone will try to make it.
Simply put, bitcoin is slowing the effort to achieve a rapid transition away from fossil fuels. What's more, this is just the beginning. Given its rapidly growing climate footprint, bitcoin is a malignant development, and it's getting worse. Digital financial transactions come with a real-world price: The tremendous growth of cryptocurrencies has created an exponential demand for computing power
Exponential? Let's grant that for the sake of argument. Even if true it doesn't mean it is appropriate to extrapolate naively. Just because it might be experiencing fast growth today does not imply that it will continue to do so tomorrow. You have to give some reason why it MUST be expected to continue to grow at that rate which this article fails to do.
Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day.
Oh bullshit. That's just preposterous on the face of it unless you are using an incredibly stupid (and faulty) form of accounting and assigning all the power costs for every computer involved in the transaction and presuming it does nothing else.
And that power-hungry network is currently increasing its energy use every day by about 450 gigawatt-hours, roughly the same amount of electricity the entire country of Haiti uses in a year.
Again, I call bullshit. This sounds like hollywood accounting to me to try to scare people. I think bitcoin is kind of idiotic but I would need a LOT of serious evidence before I seriously believe this sort of outlandish claim.
If you want mine your own crypto currency, you need a motherboard with 19 PCIe 1X slots to plug in 19 GPUs and a couple of 1200W PSUs.
This will only be a problem until the world is well populated with digital coinage. Eventually, it will cost more in fuel than it is worth to mine. I have no idea what the timeline or carbon-line looks like though. Someone should do that math. Of course, the modeling of digital-currency-to-national-currency exchange rate would have to be a WA-WA-WAG.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
nt
The heat pump is more efficient than resistive heating down to about -10F (-23C). Many units *also* have an auxiliary resistive element that can kick in around 35F to assist in heating.
If it creates a worldwide non-government controlled currency, it will be worth the struggle.
You say that as if it is somehow axiomatic. I reject your framing of the argument. If you can provide some airtight argument that government involvement in currency has some fatal flaw then please provide it and collect your Nobel prize. But frankly I don't buy the argument that bitcoin or any analog of it really fixes any problems in any form of government issued currency without creating new and potentially worse ones in the process. If you distrust governments as a philosophical position I can understand that but it doesn't automatically follow that because governments aren't perfect that a solution that doesn't involve them will necessarily be better.
Then of course there is the problem that there is absolutely no way that governments are going to allow a currency that they have no influence over. Even if government leaders honestly and earnestly wanted to not be involved with the currency the first moment there is a dip in the market there will be people screaming for the government to do something about the problem. The governments would HAVE to be involved in regulating currency even if they didn't want to. Not to mention that truly unregulated markets tend to crash and burn hard. There will never be a currency market without government regulation no matter what the mechanics of the currency might be.
You're absolutely right. If you've ever watched a group of two or three year old kids, one or two kids tend to be leaders/bossy. The others follow the leader(s). The same happens in any business meeting after a few minutes. It's basic human nature. Mammal nature, actually - other mammals do the same.
Even it it weren't human nature, when a bunch of people get together, conflicts happen and rules are needed to resolve and reduce conflicts. Those rules need to be enforced. Rules for large groups are also known as "laws".
There WILL be leaders, and there WILL be laws. The only question is how leaders are chosen and laws are determined. In the absence of any designed process for choosing leaders, you get the way animals do it - fighting, and the biggest, strongest guy wins.
The fact is the increased need for computational power, which makes profit for the company (why do it if no profit), actually drives the companies to solar, wind and other "free" energy sources. If you are making $10000 a day and your only non capital cost at $1000 a day is electricity it suddenly becomes a lot more worthwhile to invest in solar panels and more efficient processors.
[The Universe] has gone offline.
People always show up, and when enough people have arrived, they need to be governed.
What you say is absolutely true. However, given that Bitcoin is governed by an algorithm the question now is can governments be replaced to some extent by agreed algorithms? After all, that is what laws are at some level: an agreed upon algorithm that if you do X then Y will happen. So this is not a non-government but potentially a new type of government. Even a partial replacement in limited situations would be something rather new and untried.
> This true for all currency. It only has value because you believe it does.
At the end of the day, for most US citizens with some type of income, if you don't acquire some dollars the government will take your stuff and maybe throw you in jail. Taxes can only be paid in dollars, and most people need to pay taxes in order to avoid rather unpleasant consequences eventually. The IRS may only send letters for five years or so, but eventually they get serious. That makes dollars valuable.
Even if you personally take the risk of not paying taxes, Alice and Bob both pay taxes, so they want dollars. They'll give you stuff if you give them dollars. That makes dollars valuable to you, because you can use them to get stuff from Alice and Bob, who will use the dollars to pay their taxes.
Bitcoin mining increases the demand for power. Currently, clean energy production is becoming more economical than burning fossil fuel. So Bitcoin is driving innovation in energy technology, which is increasingly dominated by solar, wind, etc.
If Bitcoin busts, we'll suddenly have a surplus of clean energy at low prices, but maybe the innovation will stop. If it keeps growing, then we'll keep getting more and more solar plants etc. At some point in the future, that's bad for the Earth, but now we could still use some more generation capacity. And the load is relatively flexible. With the right kind of billing, the miners could just be forced to eat the surplus energy, when the sun is shining and the batteries are full.
Because unlike Pokemon, there is no company who can decide how many cards get printed! If the Pokermon card were magically created once per day 1 minute, their price would much higher and would make even more sense to collect and trade then.
An anonymous reader shares an article:
Clickbait wasn't intended to be an investment instrument. Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people. But what they might not have accounted for is how much of an energy suck the computer network behind clickbait could one day become. Simply put, clickbait is slowing the effort to achieve a rapid transition away from fossil fuels. What's more, this is just the beginning. Given its rapidly growing climate footprint, clickbait is a malignant development, and it's getting worse. Digital financial transactions come with a real-world price: The tremendous growth of cryptocurrencies has created an exponential demand for computing power. As clickbait grows, the math problems computers must solve to make more clickbait (a process called "mining") get more and more difficult -- a wrinkle designed to control the currency's supply. Today, each clickbait transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day. And miners are constantly installing more and faster computers. Already, the aggregate computing power of the clickbait network is nearly 100,000 times larger than the world's 500 fastest supercomputers combined. The total energy use of this web of hardware is huge -- an estimated 31 terawatt-hours per year. More than 150 individual countries in the world consume less energy annually. And that power-hungry network is currently increasing its energy use every day by about 450 gigawatt-hours, roughly the same amount of electricity the entire country of Haiti uses in a year.
How many bitcoin do you want to bet that far more power gets wasted doing useless things like FB Status posting, being a twit, and the "like" than goes into bitcoin mining?
Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
But electric cars will not affect the electrical needs. Right!
"each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day."
That is the most mind blowing part of the entire article.
Sadly, people who've made an investment into cryptocurrencies aren't going to let something like saving the world stand in their way of making more money. That just isn't natural.
Wouldn't bitcoin be driving faster, lower power computing? Doesn't that help everyone, including, maybe, climate modeling?
And why do electric cars get a pass?
Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
Finally got out of emu farming, no one willing to pay me 2000$ for a breeding pair of emu, and gotten into this bitcoin thing.
Now this is also unsustainable!
What can a hardworking upright scammer to do? The society is leaving me with no option other than to rob banks.
sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
Nothing else,
It's used by drug cartels, for ransomware, tax evasion, massive corruption in third-world countries, human trafficking, and any other means of washing cash clean of where it came from - nearly always being profits from the economic benefits of victimization (or at the very least, allowing the mega-wealthy to pretend that they're a lot poorer than they are to as to pay a tiny fraction of their wealth compared to the poor and middle class).
The bottom will fall out of it as soon as governments pass laws to de-anonymize it, which they have every right to do.
Until then, the question is, do you want to profit from such a scheme? Probably for many, the answer is "why not"? But not from me.
> we'll fight it in vain for thousands, if not millions of years to come
That's one option. The Soviet communists decided to try fighting against greed and force people to share equally, to work hard at making great stuff, with no personal reward for themselves. It didn't work that well.
The other option is to recognize that "people want stuff, lots of stuff" as a fact, and then use that fact to accomplish worthwhile ends. In economics, there is a system designed along these lines:
The easiest way get lots of stuff (money) for yourself is to make stuff that other people want.
The more people like the stuff you make for them, the more money you get to keep.
So for example some guys named Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, and Sergey Brin all wanted lots of money. The way to gets lots of money, in this system, is to make lots of cool stuff for other people, stuff that everybody likes. Mobile gadget stuff was popular at the time, so they all tried to make better mobile gadgets than the other guy, and get them in the hands of lots of happy users. to see who could make the best stuff. Users hated the mobile stuff Bill and his team made, so his team wasn't rewarded with money to satisfy their greed. Steve Jobs's team made stuff people liked, so their greed was quenched by them getting lots of money. Then it was time for another round, to see who could make the best stuff for the most people again. All the teams are greedy and want lots of money, so they are trying really hard to make cool stuff for us.
In politics, people are greedy for power. In one system practiced for a thousand years or so, whoever was greedy for power would kill the other people who wanted power, and whoever was alive at the moment had some power, until they got killed. In the late 1700s a different system was designed. Like most systems, there was a top leader, but he would only have *some* powers. Other powers were given to an elite group of leaders, two from each state. Still other powers were given to a broader group of community leaders. Here's the trick to this system - the president can increase his appointment power and other powers mostly by taking over powers currently held by the Senate, a bunch of really rich guys who are power hungry and won't give their power away to the president easily. So the system is designed to use the Senate's hunger for power to keep the president's hunger for power in check. When the Senate tries to increase their power, such as by trying to initiate a tax bill, the House sends them a blue slip saying "no you can't do that - that's OUR power." In order for the House to keep their power for themselves, they have to keep the Senate in check. All these checks and balances without violence - the House just sends a blue slip telling the Senate "you can't do that" - nobody gets shot. Senators have their own blue slips they use to limit the President's appointment power.
These systems recognizes that that people's greed for money and power is a fact and it's unlikely to ever change, so they use people's desire for money and power and put those desires to work doing something useful.
It seems like you aren't the first to think of this.
https://curecoin.net/
http://www.gridcoin.us/
http://foldingcoin.net/the-coi...
I haven't bothered to look at any of these in detail, but I'm not sure if they actually use the scientific work as the proof of work, but the idea is out there.
How is Bitcoin a lottery ticket? The price is climbing daily and people yelling its a bubble said that back when it was worth a small fraction. This is something brand new and nobody can predict its behavior. Had you invested a year ago you'd have over 15x your investment right now. $772 one year ago and $12,756 currently.
Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
Did you, for moment, forget most of human history, all the kings and queens, lords and ladies and all of that?
Compare Europe a couple hundred years ago, and over the last 2,000 years, to today. It's amazing. Suddenly just recently the paupers are mostly watching HD Netflix on their giant screens, rather than dying of malnourishment as they have through most of history.
More at
https://slashdot.org/comments....
Don't delay! Start now and win up to $200 worth of Bitcoin every hour, for free!
I completely disagree with the premise and argue it will have the exact OPPOSITE effect.
With cryptocurrencies helping draining the fossil fuel reserves there is even MORE incentive to research "green energy", LENR (Low Energy Nuclear Reactions), and ZPE (Zero Point Energy).
Fossil fuels are not going to last forever. The sooner we get OFF of them and onto to renewables the better for everyone in the long term.
While last century the test was if we could produce enough energy, the challenge this century is Sustainability. Without a focus on sustainability all our efforts are for naught. We need to start looking at the long term, and not the short term.
Ironically, cryptocurrency might actually help us to shift our POV. It is _already_ re-defining the whole concept of money. It isn't a stretch to see that it just might be a catalyst for alternative energy.
If I owned Bitcoin, I'd keep an eye on gold. Bitcoin up massively, gold and other commodities languishing today. It's too early to tell, but what they call a "pair trade" might be setting up. Even if you own no Bitcoin you can participate in one side by buying gold; but timing is everything. The real windfall comes to those who carefully observe these things and sell or short the rising thing while buying the thing that was falling. Since gold and BTC both tap into that whole "vote against the system" mentality, they are similar but obviously not the same. I think we're still in the early stages of this, and I don't own any gold or BTC now. IMHO, it's too early to short BTC and too late to hop the train--these things are just crazy mad unpredictable. At some point though people have to realize that you can't get several hundred dollar moves up every day. This could be just like dot-com, when I was looking at dividend paying stocks with double-digit yields and scratching my head. I really wish I had had enough to make that play...
Government's going after Bitcoin hard now. The FED can't have competition. They're bringing in the liberal religion of climate change to fight it. So predictable, yet so effective. Suggest a link to climate change and you have your raving and frothing hoard ready to storm the castle.
Bullshit!.
Normally I would try to justify my comment, but I think my statement covers it just fine.
I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
No one in this thread has a fucking clue what they are talking about.
All of your premises are wrong.
No bitcoin is not anonymous.
No each transaction doesn't cost what you think it costs. When a block is mined, it covers all transactions since the last block. This article implies that sending someone a faction of a bitcoin = 1 transaction, which is ridiculous.
Look at the hashrate growth since 2011 in the graph from TFA. Exponential my ass.
I read this thread looking for some sense, but obviously TFA and all the ACs are posting out of their ass without even understanding the underlying technology.
Mindblowing.
With transaction fees over $20, there is no reason to use Bitcoin for anything other than speculation.
Breathing is the leading cause of life.
I'm not about to dig into the math (just don't care that much) and I'm highly dubious of what I've read regarding power consumption but if bitcoin is truly that power hungry and inefficient then it is doomed to failure. It simply will cost more than the alternatives and that matters greatly. Sure some people can make some profits playing a game of who's the greater fool but that is a bubble that will pop sooner or later. It's just another tulip craze. It has to have some economic advantage over other currencies to be worth the bother in the long run to most people.
Basically some people are spending a huge amount of money trying to convert energy into bitcoin and bitcoin transactions in the hopes that the price will rise enough to make it worth the investment. Might work in the short run but there is a LOT of risk there.
stopped reading right there
That's not even wrong. Exponential describes the relationship between two variables, like bacterial population and time, where the rate of change is proportional to the value itself. It makes no sense to say a single variable is exponential.
If something's big there's a word for that.
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
...but they want us all to switch to Electric cars?!
Maybe they shouldn't be trying to make us switch en-mass to Electric cars until we can generate enough clean energy to support Bitcoin miners first!
Because I'm pretty sure if Bitcon generation is holding back this 'switch to clean energy', I can't see how a load of electric vehicles will make this any better...
How much energy does it take to mine and refine an equivalent amount of gold? Or silver?
This argument is based on the premise that more dirty coal plants will be created to meet energy demand. Today, renewable energy plants are cheaper to construct. In fact, countries like India are cancelling plans to construct coal plants, because solar is so cheap. http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/india-solar-power-electricity-cancels-coal-fired-power-stations-record-low-a7751916.html
Bitcoin mining is increasing global energy demand, and accelerating the construction of renewable energy plants. Our clean energy future is still on track.
Due to high volatility and transaction costs:
https://steamcommunity.com/gam...
Is the energy usage of a single multinational bank, including all branches, employee travel, etc?
Spread a few million dollars worth of Iron Oxide in the South Pacific and it will generate a new ice age, use less than a few million dollars worth of Iron Oxide and get a nice cool climate. Shit isn't rocket science, embrace your Humanity: the first step is to stop bitching and moaning; the second step is to do something useful. Regulating vast industries and enacting idiotic bans is not progress, it is anti-progress under the guise of "saving the planet" when we have well proven and much cheaper methods to not only reverse any warming, but to outright cool shit down so we can burn more coal if we want to. Stop being a bunch of reactionary retards lead around by globalist control freaks with financial skin in the game using you to quell their competition and gain dominance, this is not a complex problem.
.. it's the energy demand. Bitcoin is just the current demand vector. The basic problem to be solved is replicating the energy density and trans portability of fossil fuels in some other form. Until the massive density advantage in FF is no longer unique, expect FF to carry the day.
Ah but 70% in one nation means the remaining 30% of the hash has the political power to survive the hardfork that counters abuse of the blockchain.
I don't like saying "I told you so". So I won't. I'll just sit back and quietly shake my head.
This is *exactly* the future us tech-savvy people saw for bitcoin from the moment of its launch.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
We should make a new currency called carboncoin. All you have to do is mine it from the air.
To be clear, while bitcoin has many design flaws and problems and may very well be displaced by a different digital currency in the not so distant future, the blockchain is likely here to stay. But the blockchain and bitcoin are two very different things. Bitcoin is nothing more than one user of blockchain technology, blockchain technology could care less about bitcoin or any particular cryptocurrency.
Is blockchain anything more than one user of hashing technology?
Call it a sign of the insanity of the Human species that we would ever, even for a moment, consider the expenditure of energy in the production of an utterly fictitious currency. It really is utter madness. I would suggest legally banning them world-wide, but since they don't actually exist, that's a pretty difficult thing to do: Person A "believes" this (completely fictional) "blabberdood" is worth seventeen actual goats. Person B, who owns the goats also believes this and exchanges the blabberdood for his seventeen goats, even though the blabberdood doesn't exist. How do we legislate against insanity, or against the exchange of the concept of the blabberdood? It's enough to make any rational person's head hurt. Of course many of these same arguments could be said about any currency not backed directly by some kind of physical item (gold, blabberdoods, whatever).
As usual, the Euros are out in front here. We (USA) need to stop electing Republican presidents.
Bitcoin was designed so that individuals and their computers did the mining. Instead we have mining performed by exotic and expensive ASIC hardware that it under the control of only a few.
If this site is still News For Nerds (and not Echo Chamber For Morons), then there won't be a single person here who didn't see that logical conclusion coming from the very start.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
The value in Bitcoin is ultimately derived from the fact that it is a decentralised, trustless protocol. We use Bitcoin because humans cannot be trusted, because governments are quick to impose overbearing restrictions on the use of money, because central banks can be relied upon to debase or inflate any money they issue. If there was no such thing as AML, if one could open a bank account with nothing more than a public key, if money printers could be trusted to maintain a 100% gold backing long term, and if bank account records were kept completely private, then there would be much less interest in Bitcoin.
Yes, it consumes a lot of energy, but the alternative is a world of financial mass surveillance, a world of reduced freedom and greater poverty.
"But what they might not have accounted for is how much of an energy suck the computer network behind bitcoin could one day become. "
Still sucks less than a certain greenish-grey fiat currency that the Fed will eventually decide to trash, along with hundreds of millions of lives, for the benefit of whomever their buddies are.
As bitcoin grows, the math problems computers must solve to make more bitcoin (a process called "mining") get more and more difficult
Sorry.... the article contains an outright lie, and an outright deception that traditional Banking networks don't have energy costs. The mining problem does not become more complicated or require more computing power "As bitcoin grows" (Or because) ----- the difficulty of mining scales with the available hashrate, and the current hashrate is AMPLE for the needs of the network. Instead there's an Incentive for miners to stand up additional compute as the VALUE of 1 BTC increases relative to their costs of energy.
The hashrate thus the required compute stops growing when it becomes non-profitable to turn up new mining operations due to competition. In other words: the hashrate of BTC does not grow indefinitely ---- it's totally bogus to attribute a specific amount of energy to a transaction, the mining growth reaches a plateau when standing up more miners is no longer profitable, and increase in the number of transactions in BTC would not mean that electricity usage skyrockets.
The increase in mining observed is not because Bitcoin grows among people using and transacting in it, but when MINING becomes more profitable due to the dynamics of BTC value and energy prices --- in the long run the reward from mining will drop.
Is blockchain anything more than one user of hashing technology?
Hashing technology could care less about bitcoin or any particular crypto coin either.
However people on hash may care about bitcoin or any other crypto coin.
Transaction cost: Fail
Blockchain size: Fail
Environmental cost: Massive fail
Bitcoin is lauded for being decentralised but soon the only people willing to host the blockchain will be big businesses.
Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
>the blockchain is likely here to stay
Someone isn't old enough or educated enough to know why permissionless distributed databases failed when we tried in the 70s. Protip: its requirements for energy and infrastructure exceed anything we can make, and outpaces Moore's Law at Usain Bolt speeds. It is wholly unsustainable
Producing bitcoins takes increasingly MORE energy; the cost is exponential, otherwise the price (in USD) would be constant or decreasing.
Think of it as mine tailings, with more tailings per unit of production as the ore runs out. B-b
Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
When I first learned about Bitcoin and how it worked, one of the first thoughts I had was, "This is going to consume so much energy that we will never beat global warming."
If anybody, including the designers of this travesty, is surprised by this revelation, they are fucking morons who are making the world a far worse place simply by their ignorant lumbering around.
Unfortunately, I strongly feel that applies to most of the "innovators" in the technology sector. People pushing to use AI to analyze "big data" surveillance, people pushing for software-driven cars, people who think "free speech always results in better ideas", the list is long and growing.
(In case anybody is confused by the examples, here is the short version: Universal surveillance is universally bad, AI analysis of "big data" only reinforces existing power structures, software-driven cars will kill people instead of saving them, and libertarian ideas on free speech neglect centuries of research on human psychology. If you disagree with these things, you aren't thinking deeply enough about them and frankly you are part of the problem.)
I can agree with almost everything that was presented on the argument, minus the conclusion extrapolation and title.
Put simply, it's a one side analysis of costs that cryptocurrency has. Which I agree with - cryptocurrency mining and maintenance demands computational power.
Now, let's put this in perspective with the title claims: "Cost us our clean energy future".
Here's the problem I personally have with this: cryptocurrency is there replacing something - a system, a service, a trade, the embodiment of a will... something, as it's an abstract concept. And I mean cryptocurrency, not Bitcoin, Ethereum or some other application of it.
Bitcoin mining can be seen as a side effect, or a component part of the application of the concept.
So, for such a claim, we'd need to imagine - without cryptocurrency, or more specifically Bitcoin, would we be using less power as a whole? What effects other than the draw in computer power did Bitcoin had? Because, you know, mining is just part of it. What is the future of it, and it's implications.
Personally, I don't know. It could be a complete waste of time, money and power, or the beginning of something that we'll be using in the future, perhaps not in it's current form.
And it's a one sided analysis because it's not looking at the entire effect as a whole, which is admitedly hugely complicated to do. Let's pick another one sided aspect of it: Bitcoin basically fuels an entire black market economy in the dark web. What was the power consumption of the methods it replaced?
Which is to say, the title claim seems presumptuous. Most of the content is ok though.
Stretching some parallels here, but just to make myself clearer - is nuclear fusion research costing us our clean energy future too?
... if Bitcoin is cryptographically safe, then transfer and validation at a mass scale will be so expensive that one might as well ditch the crypto part entirely and validate with simple crypto against some neutral central system.
Building something of such a digital currency including the infrastructure needed to handle it at mass scale would be cheaper faster and maybe even safer, considering how many parts of the distributed system are losing Bitcoin due to hacks and failures.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
Slashdot has it all wrong, again.
Here's a great write-up on precisely how and why this "Bitcoin isn't green" narrative is false - http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-29/about-sensationalist-bitcoin-electrical-consumption-story
"And so, um, bitcoin mining is a threat to the planet because it consumes less than 1% of all the electricity squandered by appliances and devices on stand-by? If we want to stop wasting so much energy, perhaps we should start by mandating near-zero stand-by power consumption for the hundreds of millions of devices which are not in use that are nonetheless sucking up electricity every second of every day."
Tempest in a teacup, yet again. I miss the old days when Slashdot actually would analyze statements in its articles, now its all about ad-clicks.
... it's not so much mining, as it is cryptographic wanking.
"Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day."
I have trouble believing this... Can someone shed a light on this please?
The beat starts here!
Wondering how long it'll take before governments decide it's a threat and round up all the servers (because their location isn't a secret) at the same time and destroy them. I'm talking Hillary Clinton's e-mail type destroy them (no fuckin' way you'll get it back, they're bleached good)!
Poof, all gone. "crypto currencies", which aren't really crypto currencies are gone for good.