It's a matter of degree. You want to do at least some preparation, because you're better off with that than with none at all when the situation does occur.
On the prediction end, when you give a lot of warnings and the situation does not occur, it damages credibility.
I know you excluded an evacuation, but let me take it up. In the cases of evacuation or other extreme measures, they have an economic impact even if the storm does not occur. Businesses lose income, individuals lose wages, but mortgage and loan payments and rent still have to be on time, contracts have to be met, a family still has to be fed, etc. All of that must be taken into account.
Modern epidemics and pandemics are almost ALWAYS overestimated by those predicting them. In part, this is because those predicting them often have a vested interest in making them sound a scarier than they actually are.
I'm no apologist for doom-sayers, but there's also the case for not wanting to lull people into a false sense of security.
In 2006 the flu looked like high transmissibility AND high mortality. I never get the flu, and I hadn't gotten the vaccine for decades, but that year I did get a shot. The US government gave out lots of warnings. The season wasn't nearly as bad as warnings said. Were the warnings justified? As a precaution, I think so.
I'm from Chicago, and I always laugh when people talk about alleged Republican voter fraud. In my area, the right to vote is so precious that Democrats practice it post mortem. And now we have a president from Chicago who worked hand-in-hand with the Democratic machine.
Most of the time, they provoke, prod, cajoule, and taunt these people until one of them out of the dozen, hundred, or thousand there snaps, then they point and say "See! See! We're justified"
Let's be totally honest. The "peaceful" "protesters" are doing the exact same thing.
Slashdot Mirror
There is not a one-to-one correspondence between the two.
It's a matter of degree. You want to do at least some preparation, because you're better off with that than with none at all when the situation does occur. On the prediction end, when you give a lot of warnings and the situation does not occur, it damages credibility. I know you excluded an evacuation, but let me take it up. In the cases of evacuation or other extreme measures, they have an economic impact even if the storm does not occur. Businesses lose income, individuals lose wages, but mortgage and loan payments and rent still have to be on time, contracts have to be met, a family still has to be fed, etc. All of that must be taken into account.
Modern epidemics and pandemics are almost ALWAYS overestimated by those predicting them. In part, this is because those predicting them often have a vested interest in making them sound a scarier than they actually are.
I'm no apologist for doom-sayers, but there's also the case for not wanting to lull people into a false sense of security. In 2006 the flu looked like high transmissibility AND high mortality. I never get the flu, and I hadn't gotten the vaccine for decades, but that year I did get a shot. The US government gave out lots of warnings. The season wasn't nearly as bad as warnings said. Were the warnings justified? As a precaution, I think so.
Zey are chust following orders.
Close. The most important lessons I've learned is three fundamental truths in life. Everything else being immaterial nuance.
2. The world is governed by the aggressive use of force. Rush Limbaugh's rule #6
Obama's and Rahm Emmanuel's rule #1.
Look up "Seven deadly sins" and locate "Greed" :) How much money is it really worth to earn before you don't feel you have to have more? All of it?
Look up "Seven deadly sins" and locate "Envy" :) How much money can another person earn before you feel they shouldn't have more? $1 million?
I'm from Chicago, and I always laugh when people talk about alleged Republican voter fraud. In my area, the right to vote is so precious that Democrats practice it post mortem. And now we have a president from Chicago who worked hand-in-hand with the Democratic machine.
Available free on the web. A weird novel. Very vaguely like a "Pilgrim's Progress" but set on an alien world.
Most of the time, they provoke, prod, cajoule, and taunt these people until one of them out of the dozen, hundred, or thousand there snaps, then they point and say "See! See! We're justified"
Let's be totally honest. The "peaceful" "protesters" are doing the exact same thing.