@"At about 36 years of age, overnight I turned into someone who "sucked" and didn't have the "skills". "
You are coming up to the age where you are starting to realise that more experience starts to work against you in jobs.
As you get older you end up working for people with less experience than you, who increasingly see you as a threat who can show them up as bad.
Of course the younger programmers will deny what I've said. Some like your younger self (and my younger self) won't be able to see what is happening whilst other younger programmers will deny it because really they are in denial that their passive agressive form of hostile insecurity is really central to the problem.
Some younger programmers want to learn from older programmers, but some younger programmers fear older programmers. Its the fearful ones who are the problem, but they will deny it.
It turns out its not just programming. Its a common problem found in many industries and it gets worse the older you get.
@"A: Get a pile of stamp sheets, measure the height, and do a calculation."
Yes, too many people take the route of least energy to get information, so they don't look themselves, they prefer to ask.
But as its Christmas, instead of disparing about these people who refuse to think, I prefer to take the light hearted approach with some humour. e.g.
"I just saw a mouse in the kitchen. Is DDT OK to use? (1946)"
Use on what? Yourself or the mouse?
"What does it mean when you dream of being chased by an elephant? (1947)"
It means your partner is trampolining on the bed next to you, making out of breath elephant noises, which means its time you woke up.
Another problem with the study is it would only take one or two people already interested in games design or even just programming, to considerably bias this study, especially if they also helped a few of their friends in the class, which is entirely possible.
Unfortunately I doubt this will stop tinnitus in all people (maybe some, but not all). From my own experiences I've come to think tinnitus sounds like blood flowing in my head that at times I can (unwillingly) focus on very badly (especially when its quiet, making the tinnitus sound extremely loud in my head). Some frequencies appear to be almost resonant, to the point of ringing where they dominate the other frequencies in the sound I'm hearing. I've also noticed when my blood pressure changes, I can hear the difference in the tinnitus. That means the tinnitus in people like me is caused by a mechanical pick up of the sound of blood flowing somehow being picked up when it shouldn't be so loudly picked up. (I suspect I've got a blockage problem somehow in the Eustachian Tube causing it to mechanically pick up the sound somehow, but it doesn't help that I think I can also focus on the sound too well at times now (hard not to, with it being so loud and ever present).
The only practical use I've found for tinnitus is that it now allows me to hear when I should be relaxing more to bring my blood pressure down... although I would love to stop hearing most of it!... its useful, but a volume control would be very good.:)
Anyway, this research does make me wonder if they can use it to help reduce so much pain from cancer. If that's possible, it would be an amazing discovery.
@"the tracker shows that ebola cases are doubling every 46 days, not 2-3 weeks."
The world has put a lot of effort into reducing the rate of spread and we have got it down to 46 days. Great. Only problem is, in 46 days we will have to deal with double the number of cases which will make it twice as hard as now to contain the spread. So unless we double our effort in the next 46 days we will start to see the situation increasing away from us again. Then give it about 6 weeks and it'll be 4 times as hard as now to contain. By which point it'll be back to spreading as bad as it was a month ago. All our best efforts are simply slowing the rate of increase *for now*... but its still increasing and that is the problem because as it increases it'll spread beyond our ability to contain it.
2 times as many cases
4 times as many cases
8 times as many cases
16,32,64,128,256,512,1024 etc... times as many cases... These numbers look familiar?
@"From governmental blockades of travel"
The politicians all around the world have repeatedly come out against blockades & whole country quarantines. They won't blockade until its too late by which point they will say look blockades & quarantines won't work which is what they want. Blockades cost money and the politicians think of money first, people second, plus some see a pandemic as a means of population control without looking closely enough at what damage it'll do to their own countries and families as well.
@", through people avoiding contact on their own"
If you were infected and had the finacial means to do so, wouldn't you try to get to somewhere else that had a better medical system? This will help spread the virus further.
@", up to changes in weather as we are moving into a winter which will make moving of humans and viruses across continents slower, harder and easier to spot."
First of all, what winter in most of Africa?! Second, us modern humans here in the 21st century have invented coats and means of travel to allow us to travel between all continents in hours. I think you are thinking the world is stuck in about the 17th century.
@"BTW we can disinfect most boxes. Most cargo entering America could be heated to 150 degrees".
How can you say such things and not see them as wrong?!... Most packaging in a supermarket can't be heated to 150 degrees!... and these packs etc... come from other countries which are loaded into containers by people... people who can become carriers of the virus and so help spread a virus if they become infected and during a pandemic with millions of cases such events become very possible. If you want to model points of contact you need to think wider than what is just in front of you.
@"People who are contagious do not work in factories packing goods".
You don't know that and your ignorant prejudice is showing through. Also are you seriously trying to say you are so ignorant that you can't imagine a global pandemic where more people can spread it further?
Its not that difficult to catch. If it was really difficult to catch then why the need for biosafety level four containment for decades around the world.
Also its a PR myth about the only catchable in the final stages. Viruses grow exponentially and at any point its possible spread it to others, its just that at the end of life its really easy to spread it everywhere as the person is leaking all over the place.
Also what is the first thing most people do when they cough?... They put their hand up to their face. Then they touch other surfaces with their mucus covered hands and ebola is known to be spread in mucus. Now imagine even just dozens of people a day using subways *all around the world* spreading a biosafety level four pathogen. Will millions of cases in the world will spread it enough around the world for it to become a threat to even Americans. An IR thermometer won't stop it entering your country. It'll enter on surfaces as much as it'll enter in people and these surfaces will then be touched once inside your country. With millions of cases you won't contain the virus so it has to be stopped before it gets to millions of cases.
Tell that to the nurse who just touched her face with a glove. Point being it can spread by contact and even hygienists with UV lights have been able to show how far contaminates can spread for decades. Now repeat that thought experiment with a biosafety level four pathogen. Now think about all the mutual points of contact on packed rush hour public subways (like metal hand rails etc..) and then think about even just hundreds of new cases a day using these transport systems. It will spread and it'll spread faster than we can track all points of contact, resulting in more cases which will spread it further infecting more people.
"America has a good communication system. We have a strong legal system."
Which means nothing. They won't shut down systems of transport for fear of (short term) economic effects and once it gets into thousands of cases in a country (any country) then it becomes beyond that country's ability to track all cases.
Also did you read what I said? I was talking about new outbreaks around the world increasing the numbers of cases spreading around the world. Also why is it so often some Americans only think about America and America isn't immune to spread. With millions of cases in the world America wouldn't stay clear of a pandemic. We are a very interconnected world. For example international trade would be devastated by a pandemic. You can't disinfect every box, packet and bag in every cargo container entering your country from every country.
Its closedminded morons like you who can't see possible ways it can spread who will ironically allow it to spread in your country.
The press will start talking about it again if the number of cases are allowed to keep doubling. Exponential growth starts small, but doesn't stay small.
For example, if its currently (lets say), only a chance of one new outbreak taking hold in say a 10 month period somewhere in the world outside of the 3 current main infected countries now, then by the time we have say 10 times as many cases as now, we will be seeing on average 1 new outbreak somewhere in the world each month.
Once you get to 100 times as many cases as now, that changes to 10 new outbreaks taking hold somewhere in the world per month, by which point we are describing a global pandemic, because some of these will spread to more people, making the situation even worse.
Once you get to 1000 times as many cases as now, that changes to 100 new outbreaks taking hold somewhere in the world per month, which is entirely possible as the 3 main infected countries have over 20M people between them and that's not even starting to add in how many more outbreaks add more people, once we start to count in millions of cases.
Also at a rate of doubling every few weeks, anyone who knows binary knows you get to 1024 times as many cases as now in just a matter of months from now. But then even just double the cases is twice as hard to contain the situation, so its quickly getting out of control.
Also, from the number of outbreaks we have already seen the chances of a new outbreak are already more frequent than just 1 every 10 months, so we are fast running out of time to stop this doubling.
The inescapable fact is we can't trace all contacts between hundreds of new cases spread around the world in a month, let alone a few thousand new cases a month. So imagine it getting to ten's of thousands of new outbreaks in towns and cities all around the world each month and that rate and even more is entirely possible.
The problem is human psychology is working against us at almost every turn. First and foremost of which are the very vocal morons who are so distracted with trying to show they are brave that they gleefully and loudly denigrate anyone else for voicing any kind of concern about how this isn't so far contained. (The irony of which is these self-obsessed pretend brave people say more about themselves than they do about the potential for a pandemic, which is of course the defining behaviour found in narcissistic people the world over and they are a loud distraction helping us run out of time to stop this spreading).
The reality is we can't apply biosafety level 4 containment procedures to high traffic areas of major cities all around the world. Places like supermarkets and packed subway trains, to name just two and so many other places, all of which are currently virtually entirely safe now, wouldn't be if we allow this to turn into a pandemic infecting millions, because once we are there, it would soon become billions infected globally, by which time entire industries and even entire countries would start falling. We all need to stop this spreading in all ways possible now, because if its allowed to spread, we risk loosing global containment of the situation and history (and the millions of grieving survivors) will not look favourably on the criminally ignorant genocidal morons in power who allowed it to get so completely out of control when it could have been stopped at the beginning.
We are quickly running out of time and every time it doubles its twice as hard to stop and this doubling has to be stopped and very soon.
(Sorry new here, just joined to post this reply)...
@"We have just a couple of victims in the USA right now, so in a year, we could have a million victims and 700,000 deaths"
Unfortunately its worse that than. Unfortunately you are taking this one case in isolation. Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in numbers of chances the virus will be brought into each country. It won't just be one or two people bring the virus into each country. It will be more and more over time.
Its for this reason, its madness to fail to quarantine the 3 countries where Ebola is now spreading exponentially. Quarantine with only military access for aid would stop this spreading.
Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in the numbers of new outbreaks caused by newly infected people spreading the virus around.
Also each person who gets infected then has the potential to spread the virus around (before they become so sick they then seek out a doctor for help) and we can see from the months of exponential growth, that enough are spreading the virus around and that is happening month after month. The continuing spread also shows the spread occurs before they go to the doctor. Therefore the doctors are not going to contain this spread, because its consistently occurring before doctors are able to quarantine each new case. Therefore quarantine of areas is the only solution to stop the spread.
Meanwhile the WHO have repeatedly underestimated this spread for many months. If you've been following their figures for months, it can be seen their initial estimates assumed exponential decay when the figures for months have shown consistent exponential growth. They are still failing to see how serious Exponential Growth will become. So their insane advice to keep borders open is killing more people and risks killing many more people. Its highly suspicious why officials who work with people who have worked with Ebola for decades using level 4 biohazard containment are consistently failing to see this danger of allowing the potential for the virus to keep spreading to all countries, especially when we can all see from the existing cases how hazardous Ebola is on contact from an infected person.
It is able to spread on contact and is consistently spreading on contact. Now imagine the points of contact in an urban environment. Public transport, money, food packaging in shops etc... We all touch so many surfaces during each day, we don't think about who has touched them before. But with Ebola every mutual point of contact becomes a potential source for more spread. Now combine that with an exponentally increasing number of outbreaks and sooner or later there will be serious outbreaks they can't trace all the contacts.
The politicians need to be made aware people are going to hold them accountable and punish them if they fail to set-up a global quarantine of the three infected countries. If this spreads, many of the survivors are not just going to watch their family and friends die a horrific death whilst the politicians hide behind their barriers and claim there was no way to foresee the danger, when we can all see the danger.
So the politicians better bring in a global quarantine of the 3 countries now... or else they will pay for their current inaction to quarantine the 3 countries.
@"We have just a couple of victims in the USA right now, so in a year, we could have a million victims and 700,000 deaths"
Unfortunately its worse that than. Unfortunately you are taking this one case in isolation. Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in numbers of chances the virus will be brought into each country. It won't just be one or two people bring the virus into each country. It will be more and more over time.
Its for this reason, its madness to fail to quarantine the 3 countries where Ebola is now spreading exponentially. Quarantine with only military access for aid would stop this spreading.
Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in the numbers of new outbreaks caused by newly infected people spreading the virus around.
Also each person who gets infected then has the potential to spread the virus around (before they become so sick they then seek out a doctor for help) and we can see from the months of exponential growth, that enough are spreading the virus around and that is happening month after month. The continuing spread also shows the spread occurs before they go to the doctor. Therefore the doctors are not going to contain this spread, because its consistently occurring before doctors are able to quarantine each new case. Therefore quarantine of areas is the only solution to stop the spread.
Meanwhile the WHO have repeatedly underestimated this spread for many months. If you've been following their figures for months, it can be seen their initial estimates assumed exponential decay when the figures for months have shown consistent exponential growth. They are still failing to see how serious Exponential Growth will become. So their insane advice to keep borders open is killing more people and risks killing many more people. Its highly suspicious why officials who work with people who have worked with Ebola for decades using level 4 biohazard containment are consistently failing to see this danger of allowing the potential for the virus to keep spreading to all countries, especially when we can all see from the existing cases how hazardous Ebola is on contact from an infected person.
It is able to spread on contact and is consistently spreading on contact. Now imagine the points of contact in an urban environment. Public transport, money, food packaging in shops etc... We all touch so many surfaces during each day, we don't think about who has touched them before. But with Ebola every mutual point of contact becomes a potential source for more spread. Now combine that with an exponentally increasing number of outbreaks and sooner or later there will be serious outbreaks they can't trace all the contacts.
The politicians need to be made aware people are going to hold them accountable and punish them if they fail to set-up a global quarantine of the three infected countries. If this spreads, many of the survivors are not just going to watch their family and friends die a horrific death whilst the politicians hide behind their barriers and claim there was no way to foresee the danger, when we can all see the danger.
So the politicians better bring in a global quarantine of the 3 countries now... or else they will pay for their current inaction to quarantine the 3 countries.
@"At about 36 years of age, overnight I turned into someone who "sucked" and didn't have the "skills". "
You are coming up to the age where you are starting to realise that more experience starts to work against you in jobs.
As you get older you end up working for people with less experience than you, who increasingly see you as a threat who can show them up as bad.
Of course the younger programmers will deny what I've said. Some like your younger self (and my younger self) won't be able to see what is happening whilst other younger programmers will deny it because really they are in denial that their passive agressive form of hostile insecurity is really central to the problem.
Some younger programmers want to learn from older programmers, but some younger programmers fear older programmers. Its the fearful ones who are the problem, but they will deny it.
It turns out its not just programming. Its a common problem found in many industries and it gets worse the older you get.
@"A: Get a pile of stamp sheets, measure the height, and do a calculation."
... :) ... http://www.beaglesrus.org/
:)
Yes, too many people take the route of least energy to get information, so they don't look themselves, they prefer to ask.
But as its Christmas, instead of disparing about these people who refuse to think, I prefer to take the light hearted approach with some humour. e.g.
"I just saw a mouse in the kitchen. Is DDT OK to use? (1946)"
Use on what? Yourself or the mouse?
"What does it mean when you dream of being chased by an elephant? (1947)"
It means your partner is trampolining on the bed next to you, making out of breath elephant noises, which means its time you woke up.
"Where can I rent a beagle for hunting? (1963)"
Try Beagles R Us
Merry Christmas Everyone
Another problem with the study is it would only take one or two people already interested in games design or even just programming, to considerably bias this study, especially if they also helped a few of their friends in the class, which is entirely possible.
Unfortunately I doubt this will stop tinnitus in all people (maybe some, but not all). From my own experiences I've come to think tinnitus sounds like blood flowing in my head that at times I can (unwillingly) focus on very badly (especially when its quiet, making the tinnitus sound extremely loud in my head). Some frequencies appear to be almost resonant, to the point of ringing where they dominate the other frequencies in the sound I'm hearing. I've also noticed when my blood pressure changes, I can hear the difference in the tinnitus. That means the tinnitus in people like me is caused by a mechanical pick up of the sound of blood flowing somehow being picked up when it shouldn't be so loudly picked up. (I suspect I've got a blockage problem somehow in the Eustachian Tube causing it to mechanically pick up the sound somehow, but it doesn't help that I think I can also focus on the sound too well at times now (hard not to, with it being so loud and ever present).
... although I would love to stop hearing most of it! ... its useful, but a volume control would be very good. :)
The only practical use I've found for tinnitus is that it now allows me to hear when I should be relaxing more to bring my blood pressure down
Anyway, this research does make me wonder if they can use it to help reduce so much pain from cancer. If that's possible, it would be an amazing discovery.
@"the tracker shows that ebola cases are doubling every 46 days, not 2-3 weeks." ... but its still increasing and that is the problem because as it increases it'll spread beyond our ability to contain it.
The world has put a lot of effort into reducing the rate of spread and we have got it down to 46 days. Great. Only problem is, in 46 days we will have to deal with double the number of cases which will make it twice as hard as now to contain the spread. So unless we double our effort in the next 46 days we will start to see the situation increasing away from us again. Then give it about 6 weeks and it'll be 4 times as hard as now to contain. By which point it'll be back to spreading as bad as it was a month ago. All our best efforts are simply slowing the rate of increase *for now*
2 times as many cases
4 times as many cases
8 times as many cases
16,32,64,128,256,512,1024 etc... times as many cases... These numbers look familiar?
@"From governmental blockades of travel"
The politicians all around the world have repeatedly come out against blockades & whole country quarantines. They won't blockade until its too late by which point they will say look blockades & quarantines won't work which is what they want. Blockades cost money and the politicians think of money first, people second, plus some see a pandemic as a means of population control without looking closely enough at what damage it'll do to their own countries and families as well.
@", through people avoiding contact on their own"
If you were infected and had the finacial means to do so, wouldn't you try to get to somewhere else that had a better medical system? This will help spread the virus further.
@", up to changes in weather as we are moving into a winter which will make moving of humans and viruses across continents slower, harder and easier to spot."
First of all, what winter in most of Africa?! Second, us modern humans here in the 21st century have invented coats and means of travel to allow us to travel between all continents in hours. I think you are thinking the world is stuck in about the 17th century.
@"She didn't get it from touching her face with a glove"
... Most packaging in a supermarket can't be heated to 150 degrees! ... and these packs etc... come from other countries which are loaded into containers by people ... people who can become carriers of the virus and so help spread a virus if they become infected and during a pandemic with millions of cases such events become very possible. If you want to model points of contact you need to think wider than what is just in front of you.
Try reading the news, e.g. http://uk.reuters.com/article/...
@"BTW we can disinfect most boxes. Most cargo entering America could be heated to 150 degrees".
How can you say such things and not see them as wrong?!
@"People who are contagious do not work in factories packing goods".
You don't know that and your ignorant prejudice is showing through. Also are you seriously trying to say you are so ignorant that you can't imagine a global pandemic where more people can spread it further?
Its not that difficult to catch. If it was really difficult to catch then why the need for biosafety level four containment for decades around the world.
... They put their hand up to their face. Then they touch other surfaces with their mucus covered hands and ebola is known to be spread in mucus. Now imagine even just dozens of people a day using subways *all around the world* spreading a biosafety level four pathogen. Will millions of cases in the world will spread it enough around the world for it to become a threat to even Americans. An IR thermometer won't stop it entering your country. It'll enter on surfaces as much as it'll enter in people and these surfaces will then be touched once inside your country. With millions of cases you won't contain the virus so it has to be stopped before it gets to millions of cases.
Also its a PR myth about the only catchable in the final stages. Viruses grow exponentially and at any point its possible spread it to others, its just that at the end of life its really easy to spread it everywhere as the person is leaking all over the place.
Also what is the first thing most people do when they cough?
@"Ebola is fairly hard to catch"
Tell that to the nurse who just touched her face with a glove. Point being it can spread by contact and even hygienists with UV lights have been able to show how far contaminates can spread for decades. Now repeat that thought experiment with a biosafety level four pathogen. Now think about all the mutual points of contact on packed rush hour public subways (like metal hand rails etc..) and then think about even just hundreds of new cases a day using these transport systems. It will spread and it'll spread faster than we can track all points of contact, resulting in more cases which will spread it further infecting more people.
"America has a good communication system. We have a strong legal system."
Which means nothing. They won't shut down systems of transport for fear of (short term) economic effects and once it gets into thousands of cases in a country (any country) then it becomes beyond that country's ability to track all cases.
Also did you read what I said? I was talking about new outbreaks around the world increasing the numbers of cases spreading around the world. Also why is it so often some Americans only think about America and America isn't immune to spread. With millions of cases in the world America wouldn't stay clear of a pandemic. We are a very interconnected world. For example international trade would be devastated by a pandemic. You can't disinfect every box, packet and bag in every cargo container entering your country from every country.
Its closedminded morons like you who can't see possible ways it can spread who will ironically allow it to spread in your country.
The press will start talking about it again if the number of cases are allowed to keep doubling. Exponential growth starts small, but doesn't stay small.
For example, if its currently (lets say), only a chance of one new outbreak taking hold in say a 10 month period somewhere in the world outside of the 3 current main infected countries now, then by the time we have say 10 times as many cases as now, we will be seeing on average 1 new outbreak somewhere in the world each month.
Once you get to 100 times as many cases as now, that changes to 10 new outbreaks taking hold somewhere in the world per month, by which point we are describing a global pandemic, because some of these will spread to more people, making the situation even worse.
Once you get to 1000 times as many cases as now, that changes to 100 new outbreaks taking hold somewhere in the world per month, which is entirely possible as the 3 main infected countries have over 20M people between them and that's not even starting to add in how many more outbreaks add more people, once we start to count in millions of cases.
Also at a rate of doubling every few weeks, anyone who knows binary knows you get to 1024 times as many cases as now in just a matter of months from now. But then even just double the cases is twice as hard to contain the situation, so its quickly getting out of control.
Also, from the number of outbreaks we have already seen the chances of a new outbreak are already more frequent than just 1 every 10 months, so we are fast running out of time to stop this doubling.
The inescapable fact is we can't trace all contacts between hundreds of new cases spread around the world in a month, let alone a few thousand new cases a month. So imagine it getting to ten's of thousands of new outbreaks in towns and cities all around the world each month and that rate and even more is entirely possible.
The problem is human psychology is working against us at almost every turn. First and foremost of which are the very vocal morons who are so distracted with trying to show they are brave that they gleefully and loudly denigrate anyone else for voicing any kind of concern about how this isn't so far contained. (The irony of which is these self-obsessed pretend brave people say more about themselves than they do about the potential for a pandemic, which is of course the defining behaviour found in narcissistic people the world over and they are a loud distraction helping us run out of time to stop this spreading).
The reality is we can't apply biosafety level 4 containment procedures to high traffic areas of major cities all around the world. Places like supermarkets and packed subway trains, to name just two and so many other places, all of which are currently virtually entirely safe now, wouldn't be if we allow this to turn into a pandemic infecting millions, because once we are there, it would soon become billions infected globally, by which time entire industries and even entire countries would start falling. We all need to stop this spreading in all ways possible now, because if its allowed to spread, we risk loosing global containment of the situation and history (and the millions of grieving survivors) will not look favourably on the criminally ignorant genocidal morons in power who allowed it to get so completely out of control when it could have been stopped at the beginning.
We are quickly running out of time and every time it doubles its twice as hard to stop and this doubling has to be stopped and very soon.
(Sorry new here, just joined to post this reply)...
... or else they will pay for their current inaction to quarantine the 3 countries.
@"We have just a couple of victims in the USA right now, so in a year, we could have a million victims and 700,000 deaths"
Unfortunately its worse that than. Unfortunately you are taking this one case in isolation. Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in numbers of chances the virus will be brought into each country. It won't just be one or two people bring the virus into each country. It will be more and more over time.
Its for this reason, its madness to fail to quarantine the 3 countries where Ebola is now spreading exponentially. Quarantine with only military access for aid would stop this spreading.
Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in the numbers of new outbreaks caused by newly infected people spreading the virus around.
Also each person who gets infected then has the potential to spread the virus around (before they become so sick they then seek out a doctor for help) and we can see from the months of exponential growth, that enough are spreading the virus around and that is happening month after month. The continuing spread also shows the spread occurs before they go to the doctor. Therefore the doctors are not going to contain this spread, because its consistently occurring before doctors are able to quarantine each new case. Therefore quarantine of areas is the only solution to stop the spread.
Meanwhile the WHO have repeatedly underestimated this spread for many months. If you've been following their figures for months, it can be seen their initial estimates assumed exponential decay when the figures for months have shown consistent exponential growth. They are still failing to see how serious Exponential Growth will become. So their insane advice to keep borders open is killing more people and risks killing many more people. Its highly suspicious why officials who work with people who have worked with Ebola for decades using level 4 biohazard containment are consistently failing to see this danger of allowing the potential for the virus to keep spreading to all countries, especially when we can all see from the existing cases how hazardous Ebola is on contact from an infected person.
It is able to spread on contact and is consistently spreading on contact. Now imagine the points of contact in an urban environment. Public transport, money, food packaging in shops etc... We all touch so many surfaces during each day, we don't think about who has touched them before. But with Ebola every mutual point of contact becomes a potential source for more spread. Now combine that with an exponentally increasing number of outbreaks and sooner or later there will be serious outbreaks they can't trace all the contacts.
The politicians need to be made aware people are going to hold them accountable and punish them if they fail to set-up a global quarantine of the three infected countries. If this spreads, many of the survivors are not just going to watch their family and friends die a horrific death whilst the politicians hide behind their barriers and claim there was no way to foresee the danger, when we can all see the danger.
So the politicians better bring in a global quarantine of the 3 countries now
@"We have just a couple of victims in the USA right now, so in a year, we could have a million victims and 700,000 deaths" Unfortunately its worse that than. Unfortunately you are taking this one case in isolation. Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in numbers of chances the virus will be brought into each country. It won't just be one or two people bring the virus into each country. It will be more and more over time. Its for this reason, its madness to fail to quarantine the 3 countries where Ebola is now spreading exponentially. Quarantine with only military access for aid would stop this spreading. Exponential Growth in numbers of cases also means Exponential Growth in the numbers of new outbreaks caused by newly infected people spreading the virus around. Also each person who gets infected then has the potential to spread the virus around (before they become so sick they then seek out a doctor for help) and we can see from the months of exponential growth, that enough are spreading the virus around and that is happening month after month. The continuing spread also shows the spread occurs before they go to the doctor. Therefore the doctors are not going to contain this spread, because its consistently occurring before doctors are able to quarantine each new case. Therefore quarantine of areas is the only solution to stop the spread. Meanwhile the WHO have repeatedly underestimated this spread for many months. If you've been following their figures for months, it can be seen their initial estimates assumed exponential decay when the figures for months have shown consistent exponential growth. They are still failing to see how serious Exponential Growth will become. So their insane advice to keep borders open is killing more people and risks killing many more people. Its highly suspicious why officials who work with people who have worked with Ebola for decades using level 4 biohazard containment are consistently failing to see this danger of allowing the potential for the virus to keep spreading to all countries, especially when we can all see from the existing cases how hazardous Ebola is on contact from an infected person. It is able to spread on contact and is consistently spreading on contact. Now imagine the points of contact in an urban environment. Public transport, money, food packaging in shops etc... We all touch so many surfaces during each day, we don't think about who has touched them before. But with Ebola every mutual point of contact becomes a potential source for more spread. Now combine that with an exponentally increasing number of outbreaks and sooner or later there will be serious outbreaks they can't trace all the contacts. The politicians need to be made aware people are going to hold them accountable and punish them if they fail to set-up a global quarantine of the three infected countries. If this spreads, many of the survivors are not just going to watch their family and friends die a horrific death whilst the politicians hide behind their barriers and claim there was no way to foresee the danger, when we can all see the danger. So the politicians better bring in a global quarantine of the 3 countries now ... or else they will pay for their current inaction to quarantine the 3 countries.