By the time some future "Google AI" is able to recognize childporn as accurately and "objectively" as a human filter could (but faster), it would ALSO be obscenely fast enough to digitally simulate and render it all locally anyway. So this ultimate AI that prevents my kid from seeing harmful content would also be capable of creating it virtually without harming any actual childrens' mind or body.
Even more outlandish is the idea that the childporn problem won't always be a problem. At some point humanity will become post-humanity (with the help of AI), and the evolutionary psychology that makes some people pedofiles can be "fixed" if not already made an irrelevant taboo from biological times.
(hmm, it might seem like I'm defending childporn in this weird post, so let me insert the obligatory kneejerk partyline on this subject just to be clear: "brain: off. childporn is sick and sickos should be hung by the hair of their left nut before being lowered headfirst into acid. save the children! maternal/paternal instinct rules my emotions! brain: on." there.)
I also agree that it is not yet feasable, but as copyright becomes increasingly impossible to enforce -- as I believe it will be in the absence of a totalitarian regime needed to police ALL communications -- a system based on something other than artificial scarcity will naturally emerge to fund the creation of certain scarce NEW WORKS.
That system will probably be a mixture of voluntary payment for previous work, Street Performer Protocol, and maybe a bit of Return On Investment as incentive for smart/lucky patrons who "invest" in the right art production, as per the parent posts suggestion.
Yeah, postgres works under cygwin, theoretically, but in practice a lot of people, including myself, have a hard time getting it to work (as I've seen browsing google groups). And yes, I'm running the latest version of both Cygwin and the required (but not included) cygipc (linked to google cache since their main page seems to be down).
$ initdb -D db
The files belonging to this database system will be owned by user "*****".
This user must also own the server process.
The database cluster will be initialized with locale C.
creating directory db... ok
creating directory db/base... ok
creating directory db/global... ok
creating directory db/pg_xlog... ok
creating directory db/pg_clog... ok
creating template1 database in db/base/1... IpcSemaphoreCreate: semget(key=1, num=17, 03600) failed: Function not implemented
Eh. Googlebar seems like a waste of screen realestate to me (even when collapsed). When I need to search I just Ctrl-L to get my cursor up to the addressbar, then type the search phrase, then Tab & ENTER. In Opera it's a tad easier: Shift-F8, keyword, ENTER.
And I don't really need the keyword highlighting when CTRL-F works just fine for me most of the time (and when not, google cache will do the highlighting).
there will be a direct cost - the cost of the bandwidth to serve the programming out to foreign nations
You've heard of P2P right? And local caching? It makes absolutely no sense (except from an old authoritarian C&C viewpoint) to directly serve this content broadcast style. BitTorrent is ideal in this case, as would be FreeNet if it didn't blow chunks so hard.
combined with the cost of potential future licensing.
Is it standard BBC practice to repackage and resell what the public already paid for? And does allowing something to be viewed for free exclude it from ALSO being sold (*cough**linux*).
Why should UK taxpayers pay for that?
Share and share alike; PBS may follow across the pond. Besides, just think of it as british cultural imperialism to counter the US's.:)
They broke the orbit theme!:) It kind of worked in 1.5a, except for the reload animation missing.
Of course I'm joking - I can wait for a compatible version of the Orbit theme to be released, and in the meantime the default Modern theme looks almost as good.
Everytime a mozilla milestone is released the only two mods I bother installing without fail are the orbit theme, and the mouse gestures that Opera got me addicted to.
is Moore's "Law" a law, or an "observation"? They are not equivalent.
It's closer to an observation than a Law, since scientific laws are usually mathematical descriptions of our worldly observations. e.g. I can observe that an apple falls "faster and faster", but Newton's Laws describe that motion more precisely (and Einsteins theories go a step further by attempting to explain, rather just describe what he observed).
Exponential growth of velocity - diminishing returns as you approach the speed of light.
The Speed of Light would *be* the Singularity in the case of the evolution of transportation (unless you count some future hyperspace possibility as the Singularity, but you're not really moving through space then, but slipping between it).
Exponential population growth - always a ceiling....
Yes, there's a ceiling on the number of physical human bodies that can occupy a sustainable planet Earth. But we'll be expanding outward into space, as well as inward into virtual space at an ever increasing rate.
I think you're maybe confused about the definition of the technological Singularity. It isn't a truly infinite blackhole-type singularity in the mathematical sense of the word, but rather an amount of change so vast that current human minds can't comprehend.
A quote from Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns:
Observers are quick to criticize extrapolations of an exponential trend on the basis that the trend is bound to run out of "resources." The classical example is when a species happens upon a new habitat (e.g., rabbits in Australia), the species' numbers will grow exponentially for a time, but then hit a limit when resources such as food and space run out.
But the resources underlying the exponential growth of an evolutionary process are relatively unbounded:
But they won't be able to do this [doubling of transistors] forever.
True, but as I said, Moore's law is just a specific case of the observed exponential trends in general. Moore's law will "hit the wall" when transistors can't shrink smaller than atoms, and it's at that point that a paradigm shift occurs to keep up the pace. This shift has already occured a few times.
Maybe these diamond-substrate IC's are next? Or quantum computing? Who knows. All I know is that these trends tend to continue.
Exponential growth is part of any evolutionary process, not just technology. The dark ages, plagues, dinosaur mass extinctions -- these were nothing but blips (S-curves, actually) in the overall exponential development of biological creatures. Nothing short of total extinction would have reset the trend since the progress is stored in DNA.
As for concrete being rediscovered so long after the Romans first developed it - hey, that's background noise in overall trend.
Read the paper I linked to when you've got a spare hour to kill.
if I am an author, what is my incentive to continue to write if my works can be freely copied?
I think your incentive to create would depend on two factors:
Are you close to starving and being homeless?
Are you excessively greedy?
If starving, then of course you have a disincentive to write fulltime given the knowledge that no one will trade you money/food for your work; a dayjob would suck up much of your time. If on the other hand you're already well off, then only excessive greed would be the disincentive to create, since most true artists in either situation would still create for the sheer joy of it (and for the "whuffie" reputation, like in scientific communities).
Oh, and thanks for your Fair and Balanced post differentiating the three types of "IP" that usually get conflated as... IP.:)
But it has definate advantages, beyond the Moores law tripe.
Tripe? Where do you get that from? Moore's observation about the exponential growth of transistor count is just a specific case of the more general Law of Accelerating Returns.
Exponential growth isn't tripe-- it's historical trend that hasn't been broken in thousands of years.
"Talk doesn't cook rice," as the old proverb goes.
Yeah, yeah, and, "When all is said and done, more is said than done," but people seem to forget all that seemingly useless chit-chat is the planning before the action. There's another quote that goes something like: "moving without direction is worse than just staying put."
Also, I think a lot of people HAVE implemented great solutions to the spam problem (my favorite being webs-of-reputation), but the huge barrier is getting a critical mass of people to move. It's the network effect that makes a crappy status quo so valuable.
Just rememeber to back up your brain before going out for a game a REAL paintball! And remember to choose a body-shell with sub-500ms pain-limiters just in case you get your legs blown off - you don't want to go unconscious before you can merge your game experience with your main mind.:)
Notice how the things that come out of the Star Trek replicators don't have brand names.
I'm sure you can access the list of contributors somehow though. Much like OpenOffice, I'd expect that a GPL'd "physical OpenDesk" would have name(s) attached for attribution. Payment in increased reputation, not money.
On Star Trek they can produce objects by piecing them together molecule by molecule.
Actually StarTrek replicators were much more advanced: they converted directly between energy and matter.
Nanotechnology is much simpler by comparison since it manipulates the elements that already exist; we just have to do artificially what nature has been doing for millions of years.
Scarcity is going away, but the brain that evolved in environment full of scarcity is still very greedy by nature (until we decide to update our genes/memes to keep pace with technology.)
(PS: Dude, I hate Vinnie, but you're alright.:) And it was your last post that put you on my friends list.)
What happens when an individual can replicate current energy tech with the right blueprint though?
Well, then the masses won't have to worry about working as wage slaves just for the basics (and many luxuries) of life, and they'll breed like rabbits, forcing the "elite" to "reduce their numbers". Everybody loves a good conspiracy theory.:)
By the way, this is the original "Dyson's Sphere", Trek notwithstanding.
The updated version of the Dyson Sphere would be the Matrioshka Brain. it's also one theory on where all the dark matter is hiding: behind star-shells.:)
We do lack the willpower to collect it.
We also lack the ability to "grow" solar cells as easily and cheaply as nature does it (for now).
Space (this includes space as matter & space as realestate)
Time
Energy
Intelligence (limited by the former three)
--
Re:It's more about awareness than technology
on
Diamonds & the RIAA
·
· Score: 1
The second is by exposing music to the distributed filtering techniques of mass exposure and moderation that the internet essentially gave rise to the invention of.
This is why I increasingly listen to iRATE radio (despite it's shitty java client): 1) the music is OpenContent & independent, and 2) it adapts to my tastes over time and auto-downloads new tunes I'll probably like. It's even EASIER than plucking random tunes off Kazaa.
Human filters (i.e. DJ's or ClearChannel) can only do so much on broadcast/shoutcast style radio, that's why I'm looking forward to p2p radio and collaborative filtering projects like iRATE, Audioscrobber, Peercast, and others.
Funny, both me and my girlfriend believed the same thing for many years, and we were quite happy being together in "sinful common law".
But, alas, eventually the incesant pressure of conforming to stupid traditions and social/family expectations was too much for her. We decided on cheap whitegold rings without blood-diamond encrustations, and got hitched at cityhall (for something like $100 in paperwork).
Some people have strange notions about the way you're supposed to live your life...
And what's with all the Three's Company re-runs all of a sudden?
Same thing. :)
--
--
By the time some future "Google AI" is able to recognize childporn as accurately and "objectively" as a human filter could (but faster), it would ALSO be obscenely fast enough to digitally simulate and render it all locally anyway. So this ultimate AI that prevents my kid from seeing harmful content would also be capable of creating it virtually without harming any actual childrens' mind or body.
Even more outlandish is the idea that the childporn problem won't always be a problem. At some point humanity will become post-humanity (with the help of AI), and the evolutionary psychology that makes some people pedofiles can be "fixed" if not already made an irrelevant taboo from biological times.
(hmm, it might seem like I'm defending childporn in this weird post, so let me insert the obligatory kneejerk partyline on this subject just to be clear: "brain: off. childporn is sick and sickos should be hung by the hair of their left nut before being lowered headfirst into acid. save the children! maternal/paternal instinct rules my emotions! brain: on." there.)
--
That system will probably be a mixture of voluntary payment for previous work, Street Performer Protocol, and maybe a bit of Return On Investment as incentive for smart/lucky patrons who "invest" in the right art production, as per the parent posts suggestion.
--
--
$ initdb -D db
The files belonging to this database system will be owned by user "*****".
This user must also own the server process.
The database cluster will be initialized with locale C.
creating directory db... ok
creating directory db/base... ok
creating directory db/global... ok
creating directory db/pg_xlog... ok
creating directory db/pg_clog... ok
creating template1 database in db/base/1... IpcSemaphoreCreate: semget(key=1, num=17, 03600) failed: Function not implemented
initdb failed.
Removing db.
--
And I don't really need the keyword highlighting when CTRL-F works just fine for me most of the time (and when not, google cache will do the highlighting).
Different strokes...
--
You've heard of P2P right? And local caching? It makes absolutely no sense (except from an old authoritarian C&C viewpoint) to directly serve this content broadcast style. BitTorrent is ideal in this case, as would be FreeNet if it didn't blow chunks so hard.
combined with the cost of potential future licensing.
Is it standard BBC practice to repackage and resell what the public already paid for? And does allowing something to be viewed for free exclude it from ALSO being sold (*cough**linux*).
Why should UK taxpayers pay for that?
Share and share alike; PBS may follow across the pond. Besides, just think of it as british cultural imperialism to counter the US's. :)
--
Of course I'm joking - I can wait for a compatible version of the Orbit theme to be released, and in the meantime the default Modern theme looks almost as good.
Everytime a mozilla milestone is released the only two mods I bother installing without fail are the orbit theme, and the mouse gestures that Opera got me addicted to.
--
Hmm. I wonder what that looks like when graphed.
What do you know, yet another example of exponential "tripe" in the overall exponential trend toward Singularity. :)
--
It's closer to an observation than a Law, since scientific laws are usually mathematical descriptions of our worldly observations. e.g. I can observe that an apple falls "faster and faster", but Newton's Laws describe that motion more precisely (and Einsteins theories go a step further by attempting to explain, rather just describe what he observed).
Exponential growth of velocity - diminishing returns as you approach the speed of light.
The Speed of Light would *be* the Singularity in the case of the evolution of transportation (unless you count some future hyperspace possibility as the Singularity, but you're not really moving through space then, but slipping between it).
Exponential population growth - always a ceiling....
Yes, there's a ceiling on the number of physical human bodies that can occupy a sustainable planet Earth. But we'll be expanding outward into space, as well as inward into virtual space at an ever increasing rate.
I think you're maybe confused about the definition of the technological Singularity. It isn't a truly infinite blackhole-type singularity in the mathematical sense of the word, but rather an amount of change so vast that current human minds can't comprehend.
A quote from Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns:
--
True, but as I said, Moore's law is just a specific case of the observed exponential trends in general. Moore's law will "hit the wall" when transistors can't shrink smaller than atoms, and it's at that point that a paradigm shift occurs to keep up the pace. This shift has already occured a few times.
Maybe these diamond-substrate IC's are next? Or quantum computing? Who knows. All I know is that these trends tend to continue.
--
As for concrete being rediscovered so long after the Romans first developed it - hey, that's background noise in overall trend.
Read the paper I linked to when you've got a spare hour to kill.
--
I think your incentive to create would depend on two factors:
- Are you close to starving and being homeless?
- Are you excessively greedy?
If starving, then of course you have a disincentive to write fulltime given the knowledge that no one will trade you money/food for your work; a dayjob would suck up much of your time. If on the other hand you're already well off, then only excessive greed would be the disincentive to create, since most true artists in either situation would still create for the sheer joy of it (and for the "whuffie" reputation, like in scientific communities).Oh, and thanks for your Fair and Balanced post differentiating the three types of "IP" that usually get conflated as ... IP. :)
Tripe? Where do you get that from? Moore's observation about the exponential growth of transistor count is just a specific case of the more general Law of Accelerating Returns.
Exponential growth isn't tripe-- it's historical trend that hasn't been broken in thousands of years.
--
Yeah, yeah, and, "When all is said and done, more is said than done," but people seem to forget all that seemingly useless chit-chat is the planning before the action. There's another quote that goes something like: "moving without direction is worse than just staying put."
Also, I think a lot of people HAVE implemented great solutions to the spam problem (my favorite being webs-of-reputation), but the huge barrier is getting a critical mass of people to move. It's the network effect that makes a crappy status quo so valuable.
--
--
I'm sure you can access the list of contributors somehow though. Much like OpenOffice, I'd expect that a GPL'd "physical OpenDesk" would have name(s) attached for attribution. Payment in increased reputation, not money.
Actually StarTrek replicators were much more advanced: they converted directly between energy and matter.
Nanotechnology is much simpler by comparison since it manipulates the elements that already exist; we just have to do artificially what nature has been doing for millions of years.
--
(PS: Dude, I hate Vinnie, but you're alright. :) And it was your last post that put you on my friends list.)
--
Well, then the masses won't have to worry about working as wage slaves just for the basics (and many luxuries) of life, and they'll breed like rabbits, forcing the "elite" to "reduce their numbers". Everybody loves a good conspiracy theory. :)
--
The updated version of the Dyson Sphere would be the Matrioshka Brain. it's also one theory on where all the dark matter is hiding: behind star-shells. :)
We do lack the willpower to collect it.
We also lack the ability to "grow" solar cells as easily and cheaply as nature does it (for now).
--
There are only four fundamental scarcities:
--
This is why I increasingly listen to iRATE radio (despite it's shitty java client): 1) the music is OpenContent & independent, and 2) it adapts to my tastes over time and auto-downloads new tunes I'll probably like. It's even EASIER than plucking random tunes off Kazaa.
Human filters (i.e. DJ's or ClearChannel) can only do so much on broadcast/shoutcast style radio, that's why I'm looking forward to p2p radio and collaborative filtering projects like iRATE, Audioscrobber, Peercast, and others.
--
But, alas, eventually the incesant pressure of conforming to stupid traditions and social/family expectations was too much for her. We decided on cheap whitegold rings without blood-diamond encrustations, and got hitched at cityhall (for something like $100 in paperwork).
Some people have strange notions about the way you're supposed to live your life...
--