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  1. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 1

    I was relying on the headlines/summaries you wrote in the post.

    And this is why you are ignorant.

    I've done plenty of reading and I don't recall prominent climate scientists making alarmist predictions about the current time frame.

    No, we've just discussed that you don't actually read. You're one of those people who'd like to think that they've read, when actually you're just a talking ignoramus. Educate yourself or go away.

    Bah, I was thinking of another discussion and misremembered what Amiga3D was talking about..

    I'm still not sure you have a strong argument though. Think of it like we're driving a car at a brick wall, the longer we wait before hitting the brakes the harder we're going to hit. By the early 2000's we knew we'd get at least a minor collision, by now it's going to be significant, if we wait until the 2020's or longer it's just going to keep getting more severe. AGW isn't a binary thing, the more you get the worse it is, the fact we're going to deal with some unavoidable consequences doesn't mean we shouldn't stop what we can.

  2. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 1

    Here's what you said:

    "those predictions are all completely consistent with each other and what I was saying."

    Which is not true. It's so not true, I'm not sure if you did anything other than read the headlines, which would mean you're REALLY dumb.

    I was relying on the headlines/summaries you wrote in the post. If your summaries don't show any indication of being on topic then why would I read the articles?

    Seriously 'dude', that's just a sampling. If you actually care about the topic, go dig deeper, educate yourself. Don't rely on random people on the internet (me) to do your research for you. You'll find plenty of alarmist predictions that didn't come true.

    And while we're at it, there's generally not scientific consensus that we've passed any kind of tipping point, or point of no return, so if you think we have, I'll mock you again for your ignorance.

    I've done plenty of reading and I don't recall prominent climate scientists making alarmist predictions about the current time frame. You can always find the random person who said something dumb (or poorly expressed) but the scientific consensus has never talked about catastrophes in this time frame.

    And I didn't say there was a consensus we were past a tipping point, I said we might be and some people thought we were (or that passing it was unavoidable). But that's completely irrelevant to the discussion about current weather catastrophes.

  3. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 1

    Seriously dude, the claim was climate scientists were making dire predictions of imminent catastrophes.

    I countered that they forecast the catastrophes for decades in the future, and the imminent part was the tipping point.

    You responded with a list of climate scientists warning about an imminent tipping point. I don't see how your list proves me wrong.

  4. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 2

    Cite? I've generally heard 2020s or 2030s but that might be true and they might have been right. For all we know we're already past the tipping point and are going to get hit no matter what.

    I made a list of such warnings and predictions once. You hear them every couple years or so.

    But those predictions are all completely consistent with eachother and what I was saying.

    In '89, we got about 10 years before some stuff becomes irreversible.

    Come 2000+, now a bunch of stuff is irreversible.

    They aren't saying we're going to see major effects in the next couple years, but we are probably past the point and we're going to see major effects in the future (though they'll probably be mitigated if we start reducing).

  5. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 1

    “Within a few years winter snowfall will become a very rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
    David Viner, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, 20 March 2000

    So what I see is a quote by a single scientist of unknown reputation, referring to an unspecified portion of Britain in the near future getting little enough snow so that they'll have a different cultural experience of winter. It was certainly an ill-advised quote and sounds extreme but he might have seen exactly the result he expected.

    This data confirms what many gardeners believe – winters are not as hard as they used to be. And if recent trends continue a white Christmas in Wales could certainly be a thing of the past.”

    So? Growing seasons have changed, that's fairly well documented. And he doesn't give a timeframe for Wales having no permanent snow cover.

    The others are more of the same, the only one that might make a prediction about the current timeframe is the first and even then it's not clear exactly what he's talking about.

    I'm also unclear what this has to do with the claim

    I remember climate experts shouting back in the last millennium that if we didn't do radical change by 2000 it'd be too late to make a difference. Why does that target date keep moving?

    None of them give a date of 2000 or make any mention of a tipping point.

  6. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 4, Informative

    Cite? I've generally heard 2020s or 2030s but that might be true and they might have been right. For all we know we're already past the tipping point and are going to get hit no matter what.

  7. Re:Just say "No" on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 2

    Just say No to this.
    The U.S. is doing fairly well on pollution, It's the third world up-and-comers with a massive increase in their oil budgets and no, or suppressed, or wholly state-owned, watchdogs who are polluting the world.

    A pork fund by any other name is still a pork fund.

    Yeah, you're only the 2nd highest gross emitter responsible for ~18% of the worldwide emissions (and probably a lot more of the cumulative emissions already there). You're practically a nation of vegan hippies!

  8. Re:There are no comments on Obama To Ask For $1 Billion Climate Change Fund · · Score: 4, Informative

    Using your logic:

    There's been massive flooding in the UK in recent weeks. So if the government allocate a significant budget to deal with the problem, that means that there wasn't really any flooding, it's just that there's money available for people to shout "Flood!"

    1) Nobody is claiming that climate doesn't change - the debate is over the source(s) of that change.

    I still see lots of people claiming that it's mostly due to the urban heat island.

    2) Flooding is a present problem that causes damage, and is quite demonstrable as to its immediacy and even its sources. AGW theory on the other hand promises problems later down the road... maybe, well, if their models are proven to be correct.

    Try again?

    Well AGW theory promises problems like flooding, and preparing for AGW can help us mitigate or even reduce those problems.

    As for your skepticism over the theories, the only way to truly prove the models correct is to wait for the consequences to happen, and at that point it might be too late to act.

    For a country the size of the US $1 billion is minuscule, even if the skeptics were right and the science was shoddy group think and the models were wildly inaccurate, the potential size of the problem is so big that this would still be a good investment.

  9. Re:Simulation or not on Mathematician: Is Our Universe a Simulation? · · Score: 1

    >If we are living in a simulation there's really not a lot we can assume about what's going on outside.

    I beg to differ. We can probably infer a lot. For instance:

    - Considering the amount of injustice, starvation, and people killed in wars we can assume that the programmers are indifferent to us , much as we would be indifferent to the millions of bacteria colonies killed off when we test a new antibiotic.

    Maybe, but perhaps it's the purpose of the experiment and they make up for it with an awesome afterlife, which sounds like 'god works in mysterious ways' except in this case god might be a grad student.

    - We can infer that time runs much slower for the programmers (or perhaps that they are almost unimaginably long lived and patient) because why run a simulation that only runs in real-time?

    Depends what they're interested in, we'll run simulations of proteins that take months to simulate a few microseconds.

    - We can infer that (unless the simulation started very recently and is going to end in a relatively short time that the universe that the programmers live in is far more information dense than our own. The number of particle interactions which need to be simulated is limited by the light cone in the time frame from which the simulation (i.e. our earth) starts to the time that it ends. Unless this period is relatively short ( a thousand years, a million years??? ) then the number of particles which need to be simulated is enormously large. If that were the case then the "programmers" must live in an entirely different kind of universe with more dimensions than 3 (or 11 of you go string theory - whatever) otherwise there would be no room in the parent universe to keep the simulation machine. So either our "simulation" is going to be short lived or the programmers are unimaginably different from us.

    I bet there are a lot of other things one could reasonably infer as well.

    Most of our games only render the part of the game world that the user is actively interacting with, why wouldn't they do the same? If we're the point maybe the moon as a fully rendered object only existed when we were walking on it.

  10. Re:Simulation or not on Mathematician: Is Our Universe a Simulation? · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I am not stressed out by the notion we might live in a simulation because it changes nothing about the fundemental questions about the nature of reality, it only changes the context in which we ask them. It does add a whole new layer of interesting questions to examine, but strip away the stimulation and you are left where you were before.

    Maybe, but if we are living in a simulation maybe the real world has characteristics that change the question.

    Maybe the real world has deities that are regularly and obviously involved with the running of the reality and our universe is the results of an experiment that says "what happens if there are no visible gods?"

    Or maybe they're mostly happily atheistic and they're wondering what would happen if people were given a more superstitious nature.

    Maybe they're energy beings wondering what would happen if you change the laws of physics to allow these massive fireballs they called stars to form, and we're some kind of weird phenomena that's popped up in the simulation. Our consciousness isn't really a feature of our universe but a flaw the simulation that they don't notice because in the real world consciousness is a phenomena that occurs everywhere and is easily explainable.

    If we are living in a simulation there's really not a lot we can assume about what's going on outside.

  11. Re:Untested? on Under Armour/Lockheed Suit Blamed For US Skating Performance · · Score: 1

    I can recall a lot of sports broadcasts where the announcers mention how an athlete has made an adjustment to their technique, sometimes trying to get better results, sometimes working with new equipment. It's not that uncommon but they usually do it at the start of the season.

    Making a change that requires a change a month before the Olympics, that is uncommon and obviously a bad idea.

  12. Re:Untested? on Under Armour/Lockheed Suit Blamed For US Skating Performance · · Score: 1

    It's not telling them to change their form, it's just that if the new material feels different it might throw off their form. They're not changing anything, but they might have to get used to something that feels slightly different.

    I don't think that's anything new for a top athlete, they're constantly refining their equipment and technique, but doing it that close to the games is a bad idea.

  13. Re:Dice Blamed for Beta on Under Armour/Lockheed Suit Blamed For US Skating Performance · · Score: 3, Funny

    As a guy who understands the effects of cold temperatures I'm going to say that's a bad idea for the winter Olympics.

    As person of either gender who watches the games I'm going to say that's a bad idea for the winter Olympics.

  14. Re:Untested? on Under Armour/Lockheed Suit Blamed For US Skating Performance · · Score: 1

    FTA:

    These people [close to team USA] said that vents on back of the suit, designed to allow heat to escape, are allowing air to enter the suit and create drag that keeps the skaters from staying in the "low" position they need to achieve maximum speed. One skater said team members felt they were fighting the suit to maintain correct form.

    The vent thing if true could be an R&D screwup but the form effect might be more important. Maybe the suits are great but have a different feel and response and that affected their technique. Depending when in January they got the suits that might not have been enough time to tweak their form.

  15. Re:David Sedaris? on New Beetle Named After Charles Darwin and David Sedaris · · Score: 1

    Well if Darwin wasn't a Sedaris fan he sure didn't know what he was missing.

  16. Re:Pretty Much. on Ohio Attempting To Stop Tesla From Selling Cars, Again · · Score: 1

    Why couldn't the manufacturer set up dealerships with the ability to respond to their local communities? Why couldn't they improve on the efficiency by analyzing data on the large scale? If the local dealership model is that much superior why don't the manufacturers embrace it without the aid of legislation?

    It might be that forcing manufacturers to use 3rd party dealerships is somehow better for the economy as a whole and ends up better for the manufacturer as well by forcing them away from irrational actions but it's a fairly interventionist conclusion.

  17. Re:Micro vs. Macro on Iconic Predator-Prey Study In Peril · · Score: 1

    That doesn't mean it's not useful. For one we've seen a lot of evidence that population levels on the island are too small to offer positive selective pressure. This is pretty important when designing parks or wildlife habitats, you need a large competitive population to maintain the genetic fitness of the population. That's some critically important information if we want to keep our ecosystems functional. And if we see another ecosystem showing similar issues we might know to look for some kind of island effect.

    Particularly look at urban parks, say the raccoons in Central Park in New York aren't doing well. Is that from stress from human visitors? Pollution? Something else? This experiment might suggest the population is just too small to sustain the gene pool, you import a few outside raccoons and suddenly the population is doing fine.

  18. Re:Astrology or astronomy? on Majority of Young American Adults Think Astrology Is a Science · · Score: 2

    I'm tempted to agree. I'm not sure that they were explicitly confused but they may have been mostly ignorant, ie they rated astrology highly not because they confused it with astronomy, but because they associated with astronomy.

    I actually saw a similar thing with a fairly well educated co-worker. We had a discussion one day and I discovered that he believed in homeopathy, as it turned out this was just because he didn't know what homeopathy was. He thought it was just another form of naturopathy (which is better... though not much), he did some research after our discussion and realized homeopath was nonsense.

    The only time I hear of astrology is from skeptics making fun of astrologers, I'm not sure ordinary young people really know what astrology is.

  19. Re:Your point of view means nothing. on South Carolina Education Committee Removes Evolution From Standards · · Score: 1

    I think that's a point that perhaps deserves more emphasis. We always view it as a fairly straightforward establishment clause issue, schools are secular and only science belongs in the science classroom. But for biblical literalists teaching evolution feels like a violation of the establishment clause. Their kids go to a public school are literally being taught that their religion is wrong. (and I mean literally mean literally, not just figuratively)

    I don't think for a second we should 'teach the controversy' or even back away from the teaching of evolution, but it is worthwhile to acknowledge that a strict separation of church and state is no longer possible the way it was when the US constitution was written. Back then you didn't have evolution or a great understanding of the age of the earth, it was possible to both deliver a good education and not contradict anyone's faith. But now delivering a high quality education means teaching that some religions are wrong.

  20. Re:Unknown species on Massive New Cambrian-Era Fossil Bed Found · · Score: 2

    I'm not surprised we're finding new species back then as we're still finding new species now.

    Also consider between Yoho and Kootnay we may not be getting precisely the same habitat. Just go for a walk outside and the ecosystem can vary wildly within a small geographic area. And with a 100,000 year gap (not sure how accurate that number is) that's enough time for a few new species to evolve, go extinct, or even migrate into or out of that ecosystem depending on climate conditions. Just 10,000-12,000 years ago we had megafauna like mammoths, sabre-toothed cats, and giant beavers roaming North America, over the history of the earth I'd expect there's been a LOT of different species.

    There's also the number of species to choose from, in both Yoho and Kootnay only a small subset of the species from those ecosystems were preserved and recovered, even if it was the same ecosystem and habitat you'd expect to get different subsets.

  21. Re: "Not Reproduclibe" on GOP Bill To Outlaw EPA 'Secret Science' That Is Not Transparent, Reproducible · · Score: 1

    However, Congress is not held to the same standard. There is no requirement to put public funded research in the public domain. There is nothing in this bill except a wish for a scientific community that does not exist.

    It's not a wish, it's a deliberate switch. They don't want the EPA to be able to use AGW science, so they force them to use research from a scientific community that doesn't exist.

  22. Re:Debate? on Watch Bill Nye and Ken Ham Clash Over Creationism Live · · Score: 1

    But are they looking? A Holocaust denier typically came to that position in spite of the evidence they heard, they've know they're taking the unorthodox position.

    But a Creationist was raised as a Creationist surrounded by other creationists and may not have been exposed to evolution, from the their perspective evolution is the weird outlier lacking legitimacy among the people they respect.

    I doubt anyone is suddenly going to learn about Creationism or be tricked into thinking Creationism is respectable by this debate, but some Creationists may hear counterarguments they never knew existed.

  23. Re:False premisis on Environmental Report Raises Pressure On Obama To Approve Keystone Pipeline · · Score: 1

    That's true to an extent, but remember the whole idea of the oilsands in the cost.

    It's really tough and expensive to extract, the only reason it's feasible is because the cost of oil is so high. If you make it cheaper to transport that makes more money available for development leads to more oil being extracted.

    As methods of reducing carbon emissions blocking the pipeline might not be the most cost effective, but I wouldn't consider it a net positive for the environment.

  24. It's a simple problem on Ask Slashdot: Are Linux Desktop Users More Pragmatic Now Or Is It Inertia? · · Score: 1

    A desktop has 4 main tasks

    1: Allow me to open the applications I want to open

    2: Allow me to switch between application windows

    3: Show me the general information I need (time, battery, wireless, etc)

    4: Perform 1-3 as efficiently and aesthetically pleasingly as possible.

    I think DE developers screw up in thinking that the DE is the killer application, when they get this mindset they start trying to do too much and be too innovative and it comes at the expense of 1-4. I think this is what happened with Windows 8 as well as the 3d eye candy that was infecting the Linux desktops for a while. The DE isn't the killer app, it's the thing you use to open the killer app that should get out of the way afterwards.

  25. Re:It's the orbit, stupid on What Killed the Great Beasts of North America? · · Score: 1

    Umm... there IS evidence of Noah's flood. And georeactors are common.

    There's evidence of some extremely large floods in early human history, there's no evidence of a world wide flood resembling the biblical account.

    And georeactors are one thing, but talking about an 'ancient nuclear reactor' implies that humans BUILT the devices, and they had some understanding of atomic physics.

    Admittedly, they may have some crackpot ideas, but they are right to point out that certain items of evidence don't line up with current theory.

    In that sense, I wish more slashdotters would listen to creation theorists, and tinfoil hatters more often, because to drown them out implies a blind faith in scientists and textbooks, a rational absurdity.

    Remember that quote that the universe is not only stranger than we imagine, it is stranger than we can imagine? To silence evidence that conflicts with current theory is a a no-brainer, as in, it is a negation of the brain God gave you.

    There's a reason to discount them, it's because they're wrong, very wrong.

    If you start out to prove that the bible is literally true, or that ancient humans had what we'd consider to be advanced technology, you're very quickly presented with a scenario where you either have to lie or be completely delusional because the evidence is weighted so heavily against you.

    Think of it like asking the mentally ill homeless person raving about microchips in his head about the NSA. He surely will have a lot to say and may even know some facts that you don't, but there's no way you're going to walk away from that conversation with a clearer picture of reality.