While I am a strong AMD (and generally "underdog") fan and I have predicted 2005 as a good year for AMD , I am afraid that 2006 can still bring surprises... some good but many potentially bad...
My analysis:
1. AMD will probably remain the leader on desktop machines at performance/$ and maybe (but not so certain) on performance/watt and overall performance;
2. however AMD is still far behind Intel in the notebook market, and totally out of the picture in the "thin and light" segment - that should become an important target for AMD!!!
3. more important AMD seems far behind Intel in the 65 nm transition - and without that 2006 can be a bad year for AMD;
4. the problem is not so much the speed gain on 65 nm but more on the L2 cache (which remains far behind Intel) and MOST IMPORTANT OF ALL on the PRICE - AMD is slowly giving up the most important weapon they had against Intel and without some cuts on price for the X2 line AMD might seriously loose market share to Intel in 2006 !!!
... claiming some stuff to be your way when it is FAR from that is not nice:(
Also most of the things that he guessed were "captain obvious" grade...
It is also pathetic how he is making his predictions almost in february... a little more and he could be 100% true with the advantage of hindsight:)
From the new predictions the WiMax one is probably off again (but it is worded in such a way that he will be able to claim it nonetheless) and the ONLY one worth mentioning is the very last one!!!
... the SLIGHTLY better power consumption is probably a result of moving from 90nm to 65nm - it is possible that a 65nm single-core would still have better power consumption !!!
As a result I would really want to see how things will be compared to a 65nm (dual-core or not) AMD Turion and before paying around 500 US$ for the CPU only I would rather wait for a dual-core 64 bit CPU (eventually with 4 MB L2).
... inside a town is also a restriction of our rights - we should all have the right to drive those cars even with 300 km/h , even in front of schools, even at 14 years of age, even withour proper brakes and even if the car is loaded with 10 tons of flammable fuel...
Just another bad idea to make some money - why would the consumer trust AOL (or M$, or better yet - Sony:) ) better than some other smaller software company...
Obviously a "trust system" is needed, but not one based on payments to a single company:)
... a mixed-mode phone - one that will work over WiFi AND also over one (or many) standard cellular technologies - for instance I would love a small WiFi + GSM phone !!!
... I was a paying customer of both and while Overture was the first on the market things went only downwards, while Google was learning from all mistakes... so now I only use Google !
The are still things that can be improved - the minimum price for a click (which now can not be lower than 5 cents), the amount of "click fraud" and so on...
While the quality of the low-end models from all notebook makers is not very high, I was actually speaking about a Toshiba TabletPC like the M200/205, which most people see as quite good!
The difference is NOT between Mac and PC - my X300 will resume from sleep in less than 5 seconds, about 30 seconds from hibernate (but I have 640 MB RAM and with current HDD drives that will take some time to save/restore). The only problem is all the above will take place on the X300 only on XP:(
I can not stop wondering why none of the (many) recent Linux reviews are mentioning essential notebook features - like power management or the suspend/hibernate/resume ability...
I would rather get a HP iPAQ 6315 ...
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... ideally if it had inside one of the 5 GB micro-HDD - that would also be the ultimate iPod killer !
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Security is pretty much at the point where we want and are prepared to pay ... and in a world not quite perfect :)
... and the fact that american politicians have created a loophole just for them is almost normal from that sad scene ...
... both companies are on a downwards trend and the entire story is more about who tricked the other more ...
While I am a strong AMD (and generally "underdog") fan and I have predicted 2005 as a good year for AMD , I am afraid that 2006 can still bring surprises ... some good but many potentially bad ...
My analysis:
1. AMD will probably remain the leader on desktop machines at performance/$ and maybe (but not so certain) on performance/watt and overall performance;
2. however AMD is still far behind Intel in the notebook market, and totally out of the picture in the "thin and light" segment - that should become an important target for AMD!!!
3. more important AMD seems far behind Intel in the 65 nm transition - and without that 2006 can be a bad year for AMD;
4. the problem is not so much the speed gain on 65 nm but more on the L2 cache (which remains far behind Intel) and MOST IMPORTANT OF ALL on the PRICE - AMD is slowly giving up the most important weapon they had against Intel and without some cuts on price for the X2 line AMD might seriously loose market share to Intel in 2006 !!!
... part of the "100$ notebook" from MIT ... education is the most important place for such a technology !!!
... the stock was simply highly overpriced and the markets made a first adjustment!!!
... claiming some stuff to be your way when it is FAR from that is not nice :(
Also most of the things that he guessed were "captain obvious" grade ...
It is also pathetic how he is making his predictions almost in february ... a little more and he could be 100% true with the advantage of hindsight :)
From the new predictions the WiMax one is probably off again (but it is worded in such a way that he will be able to claim it nonetheless) and the ONLY one worth mentioning is the very last one!!!
... the SLIGHTLY better power consumption is probably a result of moving from 90nm to 65nm - it is possible that a 65nm single-core would still have better power consumption !!!
As a result I would really want to see how things will be compared to a 65nm (dual-core or not) AMD Turion and before paying around 500 US$ for the CPU only I would rather wait for a dual-core 64 bit CPU (eventually with 4 MB L2).
...on the same path as Alpha, PA-Risc and a few other architectures nobody still remembers :)
... inside a town is also a restriction of our rights - we should all have the right to drive those cars even with 300 km/h , even in front of schools, even at 14 years of age, even withour proper brakes and even if the car is loaded with 10 tons of flammable fuel ...
...
It's all a matter of balance
NOBODY cares how fast the card works on the PC - that performance that matters is on the CAMERA !!!
Can we get rid of that sh*t !
Probably he has some good friends here :)
... his calculations are obviously wrong ... but with the right numbers nobody would be interested in his story :)
Just another bad idea to make some money - why would the consumer trust AOL (or M$, or better yet - Sony :) ) better than some other smaller software company ... :)
Obviously a "trust system" is needed, but not one based on payments to a single company
... a mixed-mode phone - one that will work over WiFi AND also over one (or many) standard cellular technologies - for instance I would love a small WiFi + GSM phone !!!
... I was a paying customer of both and while Overture was the first on the market things went only downwards, while Google was learning from all mistakes ... so now I only use Google !
The are still things that can be improved - the minimum price for a click (which now can not be lower than 5 cents), the amount of "click fraud" and so on ...
While the quality of the low-end models from all notebook makers is not very high, I was actually speaking about a Toshiba TabletPC like the M200/205, which most people see as quite good!
Step 1: recompile Mac OS X for x86 :)
Step 2: install it on a good-quality TabletPC (like a Toshiba)
The final result will be FAR more interesting
The difference is NOT between Mac and PC - my X300 will resume from sleep in less than 5 seconds, about 30 seconds from hibernate (but I have 640 MB RAM and with current HDD drives that will take some time to save/restore). The only problem is all the above will take place on the X300 only on XP :(
For the vast majority of notebook users that is an essential feature ! (and somehow related to the long battery life)
I can not stop wondering why none of the (many) recent Linux reviews are mentioning essential notebook features - like power management or the suspend/hibernate/resume ability ...
... ideally if it had inside one of the 5 GB micro-HDD - that would also be the ultimate iPod killer !
I agree - Sager quality is not very good :(
I have an older Sager - you can read the review here - but on the long term it had serious problems and I am still waiting for Sager to fix things :(
Now I ordered a Dell x300 (refurbished and at a very low price) and it seems OK.
HOWEVER if money are less of an object I would get the latest Toshiba for a TabletPC or an high-end IBM for a normal notebook.
I will NEVER AGAIN buy a notebook with less than 3 years full warrany!!!