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User: Chris+Johnson

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  1. Re:There will be many deaths on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    Huh. Good going, Mexi-AC. Clearly we can learn stuff from you guys, because OUR houses would certainly fall down and we certainly get fires, transformer damage and all that sort of thing.

  2. Re:Weather of Climate? on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    There have been four massive typhoons at once in the southern hemisphere, at times. Reminds me of some kinds of chaotic flows, where it twitches around in one area for a while before zipping back to the other pole and hanging out: can't predict exactly when, but can very accurately define the 'expectation space'.

    We'll be seeing big stacks of cat 5 and up hurricanes. Like four at once, no time to rebuild or recover. Proof of concept is in the North Pacific. It's all one atmosphere, the areas of interest just change—chaotically.

  3. Re:Weather of Climate? on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    The funny thing here is, after being modded as high as 5 and then down to 1 again by angry mobs of trolls for claiming 'we'll be seeing cat 6 or 7 hurricanes' when this is a cat 5, I read the whole thread.

    Cat 5 is 150 mph or so. Patricia is hitting 200 mph at times and we hope it slows down. The ratings STOP at 5 because that's considered 'total obliteration and there's no point measuring anything further' (which I beg to differ). The scaling between numbers is roughly 27 mph.

    So the one most outrageous statement getting me modded to hell, about how by next year we'll have cat 6 or 7?

    That's Patricia. We hope she SLOWS to Cat 5 (150mph obliteration) by the time she hits the coast. So I got a severe mod-spanking from trolls for suggesting we'd see by next year, what's happening right now. The anti-science guys were MAD that I said in 2016 we'd be getting cat 7. If I'd read the whole thread I've have mentioned how we're already there!

  4. Re:Biggest seen since we've been looking on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    We're watching polar ice melt away like crazy, and the reflective nature of that stuff has been a huge deal in not producing a runaway condition.

    OUR activities are relatively tiny compared to the effect of all the polar ice melting and those oceans soaking up solar energy directly, and yet for all that our own activities have been sufficient to provide that little nudge that tipped the icecaps to melt that's going to heat the oceans that will get the chain reaction happening in earnest.

    It's already too late so it'd be nice if the people who got us into this position had the decency to admit it. But then, how can they possibly contemplate that level of guilt, for at first inadvertently tipping the balance and flinging us into this? Probably didn't mean it, though we've known about this stuff for many decades and there have always been people trying to head off the problem before it was big enough to notice.

    Too late. Man up and face the reality, or be flattened beneath 'probably normal weather that's probably always happened'.

  5. Re:Biggest seen since we've been looking on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    Yeah. We would like to think that if something comes along and literally flattens an entire city leaving only rubble, it's a bomb. That's because in our recorded history, we haven't experienced hurricanes that go through major cities and literally flatten them and grind them to powder, but we have experienced warfare and bombs.

    If we get the equivalent of about cat 6 or 7 hurricanes (apparently cat 5 only goes up to 150 mph because that was considered to be 'ultimate destructive force', and it's roughly 27 mph to each new level, which requires a far greater hurricane force to create, but we're seeing it in this current record-breaking hurricane and hoping it cools off to just MODERATELY record-breaking rather than 'OMG WTF' grade record breaking)...

    That's the grind-everything-to-powder potential of a really big tornado, but lasting for hours not minutes and hundreds or thousands of times the size.

    It's not surprising if a normal person doesn't want to believe such a thing could ever be real. But we've made 'em.

    Think of it like charging a capacitor and then discharging it suddenly. The added energy going into our climate due to carbon, methane etc. making it trap solar heat (and there's SO MUCH solar heat to be trapped) means we're storing up huge amounts of energy, and then it discharges through these hurricanes, which are getting larger. That's why we've always had cities and not had to worry about weather literally blowing them flat, but now in some locations we are beginning to see weather literally obliterating anything we can build.

    And this is why we need higher cat numbers for hurricanes. We'll learn to build structures that can take 150 mph sustained winds, because we're humans and we don't give up. Neither does the energy in the global atmosphere, so eventually it'll matter whether a hurricane is 200 mph for hours or 250 mph for hours, or 300 mph for a few very ugly minutes.

    That's our future. The planet will survive, nature will adapt, but we're gonna have to work at surviving what we've made. For all we know there have been previous extinction events when Earth creatures got civilized, started burning carbon or got hit by an asteroid, and then got wiped off the face of the planet.

  6. Re:As expected on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    Oh hell yeah! We can call it the Venus and Mars Rock Show :)

  7. Re:Biggest seen since we've been looking on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    Study chaos theory. It's relatively new in that it didn't exist in the time of Galileo or Isaac Newton, but it's the exact model you need to predict what's happening.

    Since it's chaotic it's impossible to pin down exact outcomes but the overall behavior is extremely stable and predictable. We know exactly what happens in a chaotic system, we know the exact threshold where periodic events break down and go into chaotic flow, we know specific signposts (such as Period Three Implies Chaos) telling us we're working with a chaotic system, and we know how to map out the extremes of statistically predictable behavior.

    We're going to be seeing Cat 6 and probably Cat 7 within our lifetimes, guaranteed (and I know it's an exponential type of function, so I'll put cat 7 as a 'probably' and cat 6 as the 'guaranteed'). These are destructive events that rival anything warring nation-states can do to each other, especially since it's the earth's atmosphere doing it so it's not like you run out of nuclear warheads. The earth will not run out of wind and rain, so it will just keep happening.

    These apparent outlier events telegraph the state of the underlying system, including phenomena like how quickly this one grew. Part of the increased energy in the chaotic system gives you things like the potential suddenness of weather events. We're seeing those in phenomena like cloudbursts, not just in cat 5 hurricanes.

  8. Re:As expected on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 2

    Oh, come on, don't tell them that. It'll be hilarious!

  9. Re:Sounds More Like on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 2

    A tornado hits peak winds for a relatively short period of time. A slow moving hurricane could maintain peak winds for an hour, or for hours.

    I'm sure they're taking it more seriously than Slashdot is (predictable really) but it gets to a point where what CAN they do? Again, it's like telling people to prepare for a direct nuclear blast. Hours of 200 mph winds makes the entire world basically a sort of sandblaster, using flying shrapnel to scour away all traces of civilization. There ain't a lot you can do to prepare when Mother Nature's been chugging too many hydrocarbon espressos and goes into a seizure.

  10. Re:Wow, slashdot editors can not RTFA on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1

    It's not entirely happened yet so this is a fine time to say 'it's not much of a hurricane'. Please wait until all the people have been killed before coming around all 'climate change is a myth and this was no big deal'.

  11. Re:Weather of Climate? on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 1, Insightful

    This is no pissing contest, this is called 'hard experimental evidence'.

    This is what large scale chaotic systems do when you steadily add energy to them.

    Don't believe me? There will be the same headline next year, same 'unprecedented and strongest on record', but next year we're talking cat 6 or 7. Just as Patricia exploded into cat 5 faster than ever seen before, our global climate is exploding into new categories of storm with exactly the same trajectory for the exact same reason.

    Understand climate. Study chaos. Learn. There's very little more important than that at this point.

  12. As expected on Landfall Nears For Strongest Hurricane In Recorded History (cnn.com) · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Science knows this would happen. Ever since we started unlocking the secrets of chaotic systems this has been well understood. Climate’s the biggest chaotic system there is.

    There is nothing weird about this at all. This is the new direction. Not the new normal because that implies they’re all going to be like this from now on. The reality’s worse.

    The new normal is for each new weather disaster to be ‘unprecedented and weird’ and it’s been happening for years already and not slowing down but speeding up.

    Alarmist? Fuck yes. Alarms are necessary and this is what they’re for. We are soon going to need to concentrate on clinging to life on this fucking planet, never mind ‘fighting climate change’. Climate’s WAAAAAY bigger than us. We’re pretty smart humans and we’ll succeed in adapting, but it’s gonna look like colonizing Venus and Mars put together, and one hell of a lot of innocent people will die in vast numbers trying to survive this.

    Maybe we can string up some Koches at some point to make ourselves feel better, because this was DONE by the decisions of stupid people, much like an avalanche can be kicked off by a person pushing over a snowbank.

    Failing that, somebody film this. Media might not want to undermine vested interests, but media can’t help but drool over footage of outrageous unthinkable destruction. Use that. Which is to say: please, dronebros, go and get your wealthy asses famous. It will be awesome footage, guaranteed ;P

  13. Re:Walmart produce and meats on Walmart Plays Catch-Up With Amazon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Walmart has to follow the same health guidelines that every other grocery store has to follow. If Walmart is doing it differently, then it's only a matter of time before everyone else is doing it the same.

    No they don't, they really really don't. This following of guidelines has to be done by associates. They can and do gut their labor supply until they're staffed entirely by the most hopeless dead-end cases, and then pressure those people until they're scrambling to keep up, much like Amazon does in fact.

    You can't DO produce like that. It bruises, damages and spoils and you get in situations where because everything's a wreck the customers feel no obligation to be decent w.r.t the other customers and it all becomes a complete shitshow.

    Health guidelines go out the window. The other part of your statement is sadly (somewhat) true: yes, Walmart puts market pressure on everybody else to be just as much of a shitshow. Either everybody declines to match, or turns to weird things like Aldi where you're sort of picking your way around palettes of cardboard boxes full of counterfeit products that are hopefully shelf-stable for years. Very American, for all that it's a German import.

    It only goes so far before people start bucking the trend by finding favorite stores that haven't declined so much, and playing favorites even in the teeth of Walmart price cuts. I realize it's heresy, but price isn't everything.

  14. Simple on Is Too Much Choice Stressing Us Out? (theguardian.com) · · Score: 1

    This is why freemarket capitalism fails so hard at so many things.

    If the requirement is that all people have to be intelligent, rational, self-interested actors who will

    Sorry, had to stop laughing for a moment there :)

    We don't have the TIME or the attention to do all the research. We can't inspect our own meat, or look up the chemical composition of stuff used in our workplaces that is just 'mysterious solvent' to us so that we can determine it's not a safe chemical exposure and seek other employment, thus penalizing the company that's trying to use dangerous solvents.

    Even when we CAN get information, we're only human and simply can't investigate every little corner of reality in order to come to personal, self-interested and rational decisions about all things. As Tommy Lee Jones in Men In Black put it, we're dumb panicky animals and you know it. The times that we can think and commmunicate and learn are special times, to be celebrated. On the whole, we need training wheels.

    Of course too much choice is stressing us out. Modern culture is predicated upon dumping ALL the choices on us, as an explicit political system.

    The opposite extreme is just as lame and nobody wants gray Communist food depots serving government cheese, but it's important to recognize how wacky we've let things become. We could deal with 500 kinds of jam if every detail of our employment, survival, safety etc. wasn't also left up to our so-impressive self-reliance as a sort of econo-religious tenet.

  15. The funny thing is, more and more I'm seeing Youtube 'broadcast quality' decline to shit tier. I'm not sure what the criterion is for being allowed decent transcoding, but I do think it's getting rarer and rarer.

    So you end up with all the garbage ever, and even if there's something good somebody made, it's probably being bandwidth throttled to death.

    Abandoning YouTube is becoming not much of a loss. I can put on a simple DVD and it's shocking how much better it is. Perhaps this is the fate of all streaming, especially free consumer streaming where the consumer's actually the product for a declining advertiserbase.

  16. Re:No surprise on Mythbusters Ending After Next Season (ew.com) · · Score: 1

    That's interesting. Essentially, what you're saying is that under western market capitalism, the Mythbusters can't make a living being the Mythbusters?

    Maybe they should get hired by the BBC or some such government-supported public service broadcasting system whose job it is to produce media that's worth seeing.

  17. Re:Mythbusters Died When... on Mythbusters Ending After Next Season (ew.com) · · Score: 1

    Nonsense. Just because Kari Byron wasn't Jamie-grade brilliant doesn't make her just a booth babe. She was and presumably is a good builder. She, like Tory, was one of the uncredited and unseen builders for the team, the fact that she got called to be onscreen talent was merely recognition of the supremely obvious.

  18. Re:People need more science on Mythbusters Ending After Next Season (ew.com) · · Score: 1

    If you want to think of Mythbusters at their best, think of their Pykrete show. They didn't know what was gonna happen freezing soaked newspaper, quickly worked out they had a material with amazing properties, built a boat that could take a full scale outboard motor, and took it out on the Bay successfully.

    I think there was much truth in Adam telling Jamie, "It's a pleasure building strange craft with you sir".

    THAT was Mythbusters. If they couldn't maintain it like that for very long, so what? Kudos to them for knowing when to pack it in, even if it took the loss of team members and a ratings-driven decline into pandering to convince 'em. Nobody wants to give up on something good, but good isn't the same thing as permanent.

  19. Re:no wonder on Mythbusters Ending After Next Season (ew.com) · · Score: 1

    No, if it was unabashedly they'd still be doing it and well paid for it.

    It's because they have a kind of integrity that they're done. They had a good run, but what media needs from them now is just too obnoxious. Plus, Jamie and Adam don't like each other all that much, they just work well together. The more their show is 'media promo stunts bankrolled by movies and TV shows', the less actual work they have to do, and the more fake work and posing they end up doing. They don't like the fake work and posing, particularly having to do lots more of it per show after the build team got axed (presumably because they were demanding money and/or representation) so it's understandable that Jamie and Adam are done.

    I strongly suspect they agree on that and are quitting together just as well as they've worked together. It's even a bit like solidarity with Kari, Tory and Grant. Discovery might have wanted to ditch the kids and put the Mythbusters to work being a media phenomenon with great movie/TV tie-in potential, but that myth is clearly busted.

    So I guess I'm saying, Jamie and Adam whores? Myth BUSTED. You're wrong, it was their bosses the whole time and they've just quit.

  20. Re:Living arrangements on The Google Employee Who Opted For a Truck Over Bay Area Rents (dice.com) · · Score: 2

    Gosh, I thought it was POOR people who were the homeless problem in the Bay Area. Live and learn, I guess?

  21. Re:Why get a truck? on The Google Employee Who Opted For a Truck Over Bay Area Rents (dice.com) · · Score: 1

    Then he should go work for Amazon, and his manager can talk to him about how his work/life balance could use some more hours at work.

    Not because he's leaving, but because there are times he's asleep under his desk while his computer is NOT compiling...

  22. Re:Living arrangements on The Google Employee Who Opted For a Truck Over Bay Area Rents (dice.com) · · Score: 1

    Boy, it's going to be awesome for him if the company gym makes a new rule limiting the way he's using it.

    Forget company store, this dude is placing himself at the mercy of the company _toilet_. And yet some people will consider him the way of the future, and he might spawn a new kind of race to the bottom. After all, the other Google employees can't buy a house after three years, so logically they need to all be doing this, right?

  23. Re:License Plates and registrations ... on The Problem With Mandatory Drone Registration (roboticstrends.com) · · Score: 2

    o/` what would you do when your ex-wife comes hooooome?

    and she looks through your windows

    and so does her drone...

    WHO ARE THE SKY POLICE o/`

  24. Re:Being mega-rich is a sickness in itself on Wealth Therapy Tackles Woes of the Rich · · Score: 1

    It's not being too proud to ask for help. She doesn't want to step over the brink and become your pet.

    It looks to me (I'm on the side of your friend) that the only way to maintain friendships across big wealth gaps is to be able to pretend the gap doesn't exist and that both people are in the same position and don't need to do a thing on either end to 'rebalance'.

    This idea that she could insult you by refusing to have her life radically changed and placed under your control is kind of why we don't get into this sort of thing, and thank goodness you've got the sense not to offer.

    I've seen someone in this very comment section unironically say they'd change the life of someone in just such a way, and then see if the person becomes 'greedy' and if they do, cut them off and return them to their poverty. Indeed you are not insulting her by offering, because going 'I'll do you a favor. I'll become your God!' is a whale of an imposition and she'd be right to refuse unless she enjoyed serfdom.

    I think it'd be different if she was in a position to step into half your job, and then both of you would be doing it, each for half the amount. In that case, you don't have the direct power to take away her newly doubled income, the job does (which is not an unusual situation). If you're not offering half your job, the problem arises.

  25. Re:My first thought... on Wealth Therapy Tackles Woes of the Rich · · Score: 1

    He absolutely is. Notch has no particular desire to be as wealthy as small countries, and is getting nothing out of it unless he's worked out what he wants to do in the world. He just wanted to make games and, presumably, friends.

    He's had difficulties even dealing with celebrity, much less megawealth. I'm hoping Elon Musk or whoever is cool people and vaguely interesting to hang out with, because it's a one-way trip for Notch. He can't un-wealthy even if he tried, and his initial choices certainly aren't trying.

    I think ideally what you want is to identify some fun thing and try to gather together people to use your money to do that fun thing, much like Elon Musk trying to go to space. Alternately, you can pick something completely unrelated to wealth: Gordon Ramsey runs marathons. You can buy any number of gym memberships but anybody can run, and Gordon can't possibly run like a Kenyan distance runner as his body is literally too different for him to compete, but he can totally still run and that's a circumstance where his wealth makes no difference at all. So he runs.

    Probably helps him forget that US Kitchen Nightmares turned into a complete fake and lie for the purposes of making Fox and various television producers rich, and putting forth a lot of fake motivational glurge that didn't save a single restaraunt: pretty sure there are entire seasons where not a single one lasted, sometimes not lasting even as long as airtime. Indeed, the wealthy do have challenges of their own. Nobody is asking ME to turn into a cartoon version of myself and yell the same catchphrases for the cameras until I fall over dead. But that's what the system wants from Gordon, so he runs marathons.