Which hypothisis are you talking about? This is a prediction that flows directly from the application of basic physical and chemical 'laws', not all that different to numerical wind tunnels. I'm guessing the reason they made the prediction now is it will probably be tested by New Horizons in a few years time. Making a correct prediction after we know the answer is much less impressive.
Ironically the whole fairy tale reminds me of the flower power movement in the 60's. They are both the most vocal "skeptics" of everything under the Sun, save their own ideas. Governments are here because it's a fact of life that people are not naturally nice to each other when competing for resources, except for those 100 or so individuals in our personal "monkeysphere". And also because trade between, and membership of, the gigantic modern tribes we call nations is slightly more complex and cut throat than one-on-one neigbourly barter. They see a world beyond their control and their answer is to simplyfy the data to fit their personal experience, rather than admit to themselves their personal experience may be inadequate. This is the ultimate meaning in Asimov's three law, human 'logic' is not an axiomatic system. They will only be "free" when they fully comprehend the fact that there is no difinitive set of rules for life, only consequenses.
GoodonyaMate! and I mean that with sincerity, otherwise I would have said "GoodonYa....Mate!".:)
However the old fart cynic in me says: Good luck competing with "A current affair" and "Today tonight" who have both been shilling these kind of "pocket money" schemes for at least a decade. Then there's "Australia's most read columnist", Andrew Bolt, a shill for God in an Akubra....errr... I mean the minning industry. And who can forget "Australia's most popular talk show host" Alan Jones,[NSFW]*, a convicted shill with a small army of devoted thugs...errr...I mean dedicated listeners.
In a land where the people are famous for their bullshit detectors such shills should stick out like the proverbial "dog's balls", yet statistics strongly suggest we can't get enough of it.
* - The photo is real but cropped, I remeber it from the 80's when he stood for election under the count-ry party banner, we have some brilliant, yet under-appreciated political photo-journalists in this country.
If they are doing it for free then it's not astroturf, it's a socially acceptable delusion, it's in the same mold as god, santa, the american dream, the founding fathers, unix for dummies, flying reindeer, and a bottomless sack of loot.
Financially desperate and/or greedy people who cling to the last delusion will always be attracted to the accountanting equivalent of perpetual motion.
Heh, I remeber a boss of mine at a small bussiness who caught the Amway bug from a famous cricket player. He came in on Monday and started yammering about it and my first thought was "I'm goinfg to need a new job when is garage is full of the finest stainless steel pots and pans money can buy". Fortunately his wife had more than his ounce of common sense.
Actually Marx said; "So it's a telephone, television and grammaphone all in one box, and you say it fits into a worker's shirt pocket? - Bullshit".
It's the one thing he and Ludwig von Mises, actually agreed on.
Consoles are the razors for a razor blade business. I think World of Tanks is the way of the future in PC gamming, 24 million registered users in it's first year and opening your wallet doesn't give you any significant advantages in battle, it just lets you farm credits faster and a few other meta-game perks.
A second possibility could be that science reinforces some systems in society because they are not socially responsible enough to be impartial
It's often claimed that "50% of the world's scientists work for the military", even if this is wildly inaccurate, military research still takes the prize in my book for both the "most dangerous line of inquiry" and the "most prudent line of inquiry".
- As other's have pointed out, swans are black here in Oz, their offspring are white until they get their adult coat. The term 'black swan' just feels odd to an Aussie, same 'foriegn' feeling as driving on the right hand side of the road.
This is a fundamental law of nature. Hackers will circumvent your next measure without waiting for a vote in parliament. Keep invading privacy to catch people downloading songs and you'll just advance the tech for those who would do more malicious things with their anonymity.
I hope you're prediction is right, because if you're worng it would imply the 1984 crowd's parinoid predictions are right. A true totalitarian regime such as N. Korea will stamp their will on THEIR people, it's practically the definition of 'totalitarian'. Western democracies get all hung up on things like hacking hacker's hands off.
Personally I think you're right. I don't think Mickey Mouse will be the first step in the long road from here to Orwell's nightmare, but stranger things have happened.
Think of TFA as a plug for the Bad Astronomer's book, then go and read it. I haven't read it myself but one reviewer said it was "like being punched in the face by Carl Sagan".
I went to primary school in the 60's and throught those 6yrs there was an girl in my level to whom nature had not been kind. ALL the other kids would yell "Allison's germs" and run away when she approached them in the schoolyard. It didn't help that her parents sent her to school with dirty clothes and oily hair, this just reinforced her status as the lepoar of the schoolyard. Sometimes she used their fear against them by delibertely following them, or steal their marbles by chasing them away. These 'attacks' often ended with her falling to the ground in tears. I'd like to say I befreinded her but I too saw the germs and not the Allison.
Everyone remebers what happened to them in the schoolyard, it's much harder to remeber what you did to others. It's neither an remedy or an excuse for this behaviour but I beleive the Stanford prison experiments clearly demonstrated what old time religion had intuitvely known about human nature from day one, how did 'middle class' germans willingly become death camp gaurds, and why are kids so cruel? - Stable, strong societies survive, the "golden rule" found in most societies and religions combined with resrtricing the definition of "others" is a powerful stabalizing force, war against non-others is a powerful strenghtening force.
The first time I heard that must have been in the 1992-1994 timeframe
It seems most of the replys to your post have missed your point. The first time I heard that was as a taxi driver in the late 80's and it wasn't restriced to the software industry, it was a meme about technical jobs in general, not software in particular. In my (Australian) experience, being over 40 (let alone 30) is not a problem. I started my CS/OR degree as a 30yo Aussie, after working for 15yrs in blue collar jobs in the so called 'real world'.
I'm now a 53yo and a couple of rug rats have started calling me grandpa. Since graduating I have never been out of well paid employment longer than I wanted to be. I contracted to the likes of IBM, EDS, el al, throughout the 90's when busunesses saw coders as some kind badly dressed goose that was known to lay golden eggs. The culture at IBM in particular reminded me of the old Amway conventions and was an insult to the intelligence of everyone below executive level.
I currently work as a permenant employee for a Japanese multi-national, I spend three days in the office with a nice view and two at home, the dozen or so devs I work with are ALL over 40, (our department does not hire devs with less than 10ys experience). I 'know' I can get a middle management job with one of the US multi-nationals at the drop of a hat, but I've been there and done that, it's basically the same pay for twice the effort and half the fun. As for keeping-up, I learn what I have to on the job and I learn what I want at home. I knowingly went into software development hoping that the two would intersect*, and fourtunately sometimes they do, but even if it was 'just a job' there's a mountain of C code out there, and like the random wiskers that pop up on my ear lobes these days, it needs constant maintenance.
* We all learn what interests us personally, be it the stage managed exploits of the Wiggles like my 3yo grandaughter, or recreating classic arcade games in Python like my 78yo father (a retired 'Cheif' Engineer from a large tool making company). None of us choose what to be interseted in, it chooses us, and I feel 'lucky' that an interst in software picked me at the right time to suck me down the rabbit hole that has been work life for the last 20yrs. I'm still having fun and finding gold in that rabbit hole, I won't click my heels when the gold inevitably runs out, but I will do it tommorow if the fun does.
The traveling salesman problem is based on a table of distances between the city pairs.
More technically the 'distances' in the table are a set of pre-set weights on each link in the graph, the TSP algrothim finds the path that has the lowest sum of weights from the finite number of possible paths between nodes. At first glance, it may appear that you can simply swap 'time' for 'distance' but the curvy line in the video I haven't played yet is a big clue as to why that won't work here.
It doesn't matter to the problem HOW those distances are calculated, or even if they include other variables.
True, but it does matter WHEN you calculate them, in the classic TSP the weights are predefined constants for all possible paths, here the weights vary depending on the path.
So this can be trivially reduced to the classic version of the problem
No, the TSP does not cater for variable link weights or infinite paths, this problem has both and is a type of Trajectory_optimization problem. Of course you could shoot me down in flames by posting an extention to the TSP that solves what I would call a constrained version of the n-body problem, but my money is on a hill climbing algorithim to win this competition, meaning 'brute force' is the favorite for the win, and 'lucky hit on a tall hill' for a place in the top 3.;)
Let's hope the other major ISP's grow a set balls on this issue now that iinet has shown there is a genuine competitive advantage to calling the MAFIAA on their bullshit.
So, [developers release applications] that haven't been [formally tested] as much as they perhaps should be. But this is not fraud, and perhaps it's even healthy. Better to get [software] out there than bury them in notebooks: sometimes they turn out to be major [milk cows].
In my experience as a developer what has increased is my age and my insistence on a clean but flexible line between the time-and-effort my employer has purchased and my remaining stock of time-and-effort.
Even if goons knew how to clone the data onsite, the act of copying will open a huge can of worms in any subsequent court case, moreso if you allow the owner of the server to do it. It's nothing new really, they did the same thing with filing cabinets long before server rooms existed. However there must be a better way to do it, courts routinely demand 'records' be handed over without sending in the goons in to empty your server room.
"The Bad Astronomer" has been around long enough, and has enough credibility, that...
...my 78yo dad sends me links to his articles. As for this article the explaination is easy to grasp, invariably the hardest part is spotting what is right under your nose and thinking "That's odd?".
Slashdot Mirror
...and talks like a duck, it's not a suspension bridge.
Which hypothisis are you talking about? This is a prediction that flows directly from the application of basic physical and chemical 'laws', not all that different to numerical wind tunnels. I'm guessing the reason they made the prediction now is it will probably be tested by New Horizons in a few years time. Making a correct prediction after we know the answer is much less impressive.
Ironically the whole fairy tale reminds me of the flower power movement in the 60's. They are both the most vocal "skeptics" of everything under the Sun, save their own ideas. Governments are here because it's a fact of life that people are not naturally nice to each other when competing for resources, except for those 100 or so individuals in our personal "monkeysphere". And also because trade between, and membership of, the gigantic modern tribes we call nations is slightly more complex and cut throat than one-on-one neigbourly barter. They see a world beyond their control and their answer is to simplyfy the data to fit their personal experience, rather than admit to themselves their personal experience may be inadequate. This is the ultimate meaning in Asimov's three law, human 'logic' is not an axiomatic system. They will only be "free" when they fully comprehend the fact that there is no difinitive set of rules for life, only consequenses.
GoodonyaMate! and I mean that with sincerity, otherwise I would have said "GoodonYa....Mate!". :)
....errr... I mean the minning industry. And who can forget "Australia's most popular talk show host" Alan Jones,[NSFW]*, a convicted shill with a small army of devoted thugs...errr...I mean dedicated listeners.
However the old fart cynic in me says: Good luck competing with "A current affair" and "Today tonight" who have both been shilling these kind of "pocket money" schemes for at least a decade. Then there's "Australia's most read columnist", Andrew Bolt, a shill for God in an Akubra
In a land where the people are famous for their bullshit detectors such shills should stick out like the proverbial "dog's balls", yet statistics strongly suggest we can't get enough of it.
* - The photo is real but cropped, I remeber it from the 80's when he stood for election under the count-ry party banner, we have some brilliant, yet under-appreciated political photo-journalists in this country.
If they are doing it for free then it's not astroturf, it's a socially acceptable delusion, it's in the same mold as god, santa, the american dream, the founding fathers, unix for dummies, flying reindeer, and a bottomless sack of loot.
Financially desperate and/or greedy people who cling to the last delusion will always be attracted to the accountanting equivalent of perpetual motion.
Heh, I remeber a boss of mine at a small bussiness who caught the Amway bug from a famous cricket player. He came in on Monday and started yammering about it and my first thought was "I'm goinfg to need a new job when is garage is full of the finest stainless steel pots and pans money can buy". Fortunately his wife had more than his ounce of common sense.
Actually Marx said; "So it's a telephone, television and grammaphone all in one box, and you say it fits into a worker's shirt pocket? - Bullshit".
It's the one thing he and Ludwig von Mises, actually agreed on.
Hitler was a person, I've seen the news reels.
No person starts a war, a government starts a war.
Just to Goodwin the thread properly, you're saying that Hitler didn't start WW2 ?
Thank you Charles Babbage, but thank you also for not being able to convince any government that your work should have been funded by the taxes.
How cute, a Luddite with Libertarian glesses.
Consoles are the razors for a razor blade business. I think World of Tanks is the way of the future in PC gamming, 24 million registered users in it's first year and opening your wallet doesn't give you any significant advantages in battle, it just lets you farm credits faster and a few other meta-game perks.
A second possibility could be that science reinforces some systems in society because they are not socially responsible enough to be impartial
It's often claimed that "50% of the world's scientists work for the military", even if this is wildly inaccurate, military research still takes the prize in my book for both the "most dangerous line of inquiry" and the "most prudent line of inquiry".
- As other's have pointed out, swans are black here in Oz, their offspring are white until they get their adult coat. The term 'black swan' just feels odd to an Aussie, same 'foriegn' feeling as driving on the right hand side of the road.
This is a fundamental law of nature. Hackers will circumvent your next measure without waiting for a vote in parliament. Keep invading privacy to catch people downloading songs and you'll just advance the tech for those who would do more malicious things with their anonymity.
I hope you're prediction is right, because if you're worng it would imply the 1984 crowd's parinoid predictions are right. A true totalitarian regime such as N. Korea will stamp their will on THEIR people, it's practically the definition of 'totalitarian'. Western democracies get all hung up on things like hacking hacker's hands off.
Personally I think you're right. I don't think Mickey Mouse will be the first step in the long road from here to Orwell's nightmare, but stranger things have happened.
50% full really means 80% full
The ex-wife used to interpret the petrol gauge with a similar coversion function: E = Ehhhhnuff, (where fingers = crossed).
Think of TFA as a plug for the Bad Astronomer's book, then go and read it. I haven't read it myself but one reviewer said it was "like being punched in the face by Carl Sagan".
I went to primary school in the 60's and throught those 6yrs there was an girl in my level to whom nature had not been kind. ALL the other kids would yell "Allison's germs" and run away when she approached them in the schoolyard. It didn't help that her parents sent her to school with dirty clothes and oily hair, this just reinforced her status as the lepoar of the schoolyard. Sometimes she used their fear against them by delibertely following them, or steal their marbles by chasing them away. These 'attacks' often ended with her falling to the ground in tears. I'd like to say I befreinded her but I too saw the germs and not the Allison.
Everyone remebers what happened to them in the schoolyard, it's much harder to remeber what you did to others. It's neither an remedy or an excuse for this behaviour but I beleive the Stanford prison experiments clearly demonstrated what old time religion had intuitvely known about human nature from day one, how did 'middle class' germans willingly become death camp gaurds, and why are kids so cruel? - Stable, strong societies survive, the "golden rule" found in most societies and religions combined with resrtricing the definition of "others" is a powerful stabalizing force, war against non-others is a powerful strenghtening force.
The first time I heard that must have been in the 1992-1994 timeframe
It seems most of the replys to your post have missed your point. The first time I heard that was as a taxi driver in the late 80's and it wasn't restriced to the software industry, it was a meme about technical jobs in general, not software in particular. In my (Australian) experience, being over 40 (let alone 30) is not a problem. I started my CS/OR degree as a 30yo Aussie, after working for 15yrs in blue collar jobs in the so called 'real world'.
I'm now a 53yo and a couple of rug rats have started calling me grandpa. Since graduating I have never been out of well paid employment longer than I wanted to be. I contracted to the likes of IBM, EDS, el al, throughout the 90's when busunesses saw coders as some kind badly dressed goose that was known to lay golden eggs. The culture at IBM in particular reminded me of the old Amway conventions and was an insult to the intelligence of everyone below executive level.
I currently work as a permenant employee for a Japanese multi-national, I spend three days in the office with a nice view and two at home, the dozen or so devs I work with are ALL over 40, (our department does not hire devs with less than 10ys experience). I 'know' I can get a middle management job with one of the US multi-nationals at the drop of a hat, but I've been there and done that, it's basically the same pay for twice the effort and half the fun. As for keeping-up, I learn what I have to on the job and I learn what I want at home. I knowingly went into software development hoping that the two would intersect*, and fourtunately sometimes they do, but even if it was 'just a job' there's a mountain of C code out there, and like the random wiskers that pop up on my ear lobes these days, it needs constant maintenance.
* We all learn what interests us personally, be it the stage managed exploits of the Wiggles like my 3yo grandaughter, or recreating classic arcade games in Python like my 78yo father (a retired 'Cheif' Engineer from a large tool making company). None of us choose what to be interseted in, it chooses us, and I feel 'lucky' that an interst in software picked me at the right time to suck me down the rabbit hole that has been work life for the last 20yrs. I'm still having fun and finding gold in that rabbit hole, I won't click my heels when the gold inevitably runs out, but I will do it tommorow if the fun does.
I'm 47 and I feel and know that I'm over the hill. Life's something that takes place before you're 30.
I'm 52, cheer up - there are two sides to the hill and its much easier to coast and take in the scenery on the downhill side.
The traveling salesman problem is based on a table of distances between the city pairs.
More technically the 'distances' in the table are a set of pre-set weights on each link in the graph, the TSP algrothim finds the path that has the lowest sum of weights from the finite number of possible paths between nodes. At first glance, it may appear that you can simply swap 'time' for 'distance' but the curvy line in the video I haven't played yet is a big clue as to why that won't work here.
It doesn't matter to the problem HOW those distances are calculated, or even if they include other variables.
True, but it does matter WHEN you calculate them, in the classic TSP the weights are predefined constants for all possible paths, here the weights vary depending on the path.
So this can be trivially reduced to the classic version of the problem
No, the TSP does not cater for variable link weights or infinite paths, this problem has both and is a type of Trajectory_optimization problem. Of course you could shoot me down in flames by posting an extention to the TSP that solves what I would call a constrained version of the n-body problem, but my money is on a hill climbing algorithim to win this competition, meaning 'brute force' is the favorite for the win, and 'lucky hit on a tall hill' for a place in the top 3. ;)
Let's hope the other major ISP's grow a set balls on this issue now that iinet has shown there is a genuine competitive advantage to calling the MAFIAA on their bullshit.
So, [developers release applications] that haven't been [formally tested] as much as they perhaps should be. But this is not fraud, and perhaps it's even healthy. Better to get [software] out there than bury them in notebooks: sometimes they turn out to be major [milk cows].
In my experience as a developer what has increased is my age and my insistence on a clean but flexible line between the time-and-effort my employer has purchased and my remaining stock of time-and-effort.
Even if goons knew how to clone the data onsite, the act of copying will open a huge can of worms in any subsequent court case, moreso if you allow the owner of the server to do it. It's nothing new really, they did the same thing with filing cabinets long before server rooms existed. However there must be a better way to do it, courts routinely demand 'records' be handed over without sending in the goons in to empty your server room.
The first may have been Goliath or God, definitely not Captain America.
C'mon, who are you trying to kid, we all know the POTUS is emporer of planet Earth.
"The Bad Astronomer" has been around long enough, and has enough credibility, that...
...my 78yo dad sends me links to his articles. As for this article the explaination is easy to grasp, invariably the hardest part is spotting what is right under your nose and thinking "That's odd?".