Yes, we will hear all the neo-cons and RWNJ on this site screaming about O killing off Constellation as well as the SLS. Yet, it is absolutely WORTHLESS.
Instead, we should kill off the SLS TODAY and focus on getting private launchers going for human launches, as WELL as the multiple companies doing inflatable space stations.
THEN create a COTS program for TWO SHLV. It should carry around 150 tonnes to LEO, cost under 5B to produce in under 4 years, and under.5B to launch. 2 companies would then win the bid to produce these. Before completion, another contest would take place to have 5 launches total from 2 companies. This allows the non-winners to do their own launch system if they believe that they have a winner (think ATK with Liberty). The companies would submit the price for 2 launches/year for 4 years. 2 companies would win. Whoever has the lowest bid, would get a 3rd launch/year. This rewards companies that push the bid low. And with 5 launches a year, it would be possible to put a lunar base, as well a mars base up their cheaply.
Make no mistake. China IS in a cold war with the west, and they are WINNING.
Actually, from what I can gather (talking to some friends), he is thinking of a suspended monorail running cars (not trains), possibly in a vacuum tube, though that might not be needed. BTW, look at the seraphim linear motor. The real issue is not the cost of the equipment, but the assembly/construction of it. Here in America, that is our REAL issue (labor costs).
I do not think that Fusion would be needed. Thorium is certainly interesting. The more so, for cargo and military aircraft.
In America, we are currently around 60% from fossil fuel (35% coal and 25% NG) . O is still pushing AE as well as nukes. In addition, GE PRISMs use nuclear 'waste' which if we were at 100% nuke for all energy, we have enough waste to last over 100 years. That does not include the multiple thorium reactors that are coming.
0-60 is a none issue. Leaf and others purposely gov. their motors to keep electric usage down. Look at Tesla. They have 0-60 that blows the doors off similar priced cars.
Nope, IFF the majority of charges are done at night. In fact, the electric companies WANT this. It will allow them to upgrade final connects, sell more electricity all around the clock, and more importantly, balance the power load. Basically, if 75% or more of the charging is done at night, then it increases demand and night and allows power companies to drop expensive on-demand generators and move to base-loads.
Pretty much. My guess is that most charging will be done at home, but then we will see chargers at restaurants, museums, zoos, malls, and even job sites. Slower charges that are better for the car AND for the grid.
The tesla model S is already competitive against cars in its class range. Compare it to mercedes and Audis, not to ford focus, which is the mistake that many make. You will note that on the tesla, you can bump up 20Kwh for only $10K. IOW, if nissan had a similar battery structure to Tesla, they would have batteries that cost 10K, rather than 20K. And yeah, 10K is a LOT of money to make up.
Regardless, by 2020, several companies, including IBM, are expecting to have lithium-air batteries. They will have such high energy density that a simple $2-5K battery would give the leaf 150-200 mpc.
The big issue on lithium air is how to increase the number of charges/battery lifetime. It is currently in the 100's. It needs to be in the 1000's. As in 3-5K.
Finally, ultra-caps are being heavily researched. Not just for cars, but also for military usage. That makes lasers and rail guns doable not just for ships, but for tanks.
Every car is different. In addition, in the tesla, the batteries are located in a skateboard under the car (basically, providing a nice low CG). Since this is actually a unibody type construction, doing battery changes make little sense.
As to battery costs, well, for Tesla, 20KWH is only $10K. Others are at 20-30K, but Tesla is using the lowest costs. Over the next decade, these battery costs will only drop and range will increase. Check out Lithium-Air batteries.
Actually, I suspect that doing the supercharge will cost roughly close to gas prices. And it SHOULD esp. during the daytime. We do not want a massive new increase on daytime electrical grid. Instead, we want electrical cars charging at nighttime. Interestingly, it will actually lower electrical prices overall. The reason is that demand will be leveled and power companies can move towards baseload generators, instead of expensive on-demand generators.
interesting.
First off, I think that it will more than 1/2, more like 3/4 or more. Lithium Air batteries are coming this decade. At that time, a car like the nissan leaf will either get 500 miles to a charge, or more likely, the range will be 150 miles and prices will be cheaper than gas car. In addition, over the next 8 years, loads of electrical stations will come on-line.
Now, once Tesla is profitable (expected early next year), he is looking to walk away from it and allow somebody else to run it. So, he is focusing on another form of transportation: a rail system.
One thing about Musk, when he goes after an idea, he gets it to work.
So, if Gates or Linus were to write something like this, you would say that it was untrue and slanderous? Because Dr. Mann is well known in his field. This man did not attach a perm. eye piece to his head just to cause some nutjobs to attack him so that he could NICELY try to deal with this. And yes, I would say that he is dealing nicely with it.
LOL. You are KIDDING, Right? You getting all of your info from North korea or Iran?
60" plasma TV? Got news for you. The biggest buyer of those are NOT Americans,but Asians. We do have a 30" CRT tv on the main floor, a 40" LCD in the main bedroom, and a 32" lcd TV in the basement. No game machines. A single linux server and then 4 computers (to be fair, this is NOT normal for Americans; few have servers, let alone a decent set-up).
Temperature in our house is 18-19C in the winter and 24-25C in the summer.
Our house size is 275 m^2, though to be honest, this IS large by American standards. The average American is probably about 150-170 m^2. And to be fair, there are homes around here that are as big as 700 m^2. But FEW of them in this area.
Food? We eat cereal or eggs in the AM (oatmeal or grapenut flakes, though my kids love to eat waffles with small turkey sausage), a decent meal for lunch, and then salad for dinner (though the kids like mac/cheese at night). Every couple of days we will cook chicken, burgers, maybe a steak to add to the salad.
As to our cars, my wife drives a 2005 Toyota highlander, while I drive her old honda accord. Though to be fair, we have a Tesla Model S on order. When it comes, I will drive the highlander and she will drive the Electric car.
So, our highlander and accord are the same as what is sold in China, Japan, South America, and Europe.
BTW, I do know one home that is pretty cool. It is 7000 m^2, has geo-thermal HVAC, and has a 50/month HVAC bill. Why? Super insulated. This house is insulated to the same level as the home that I grew up and we built in the 70's. Back there, they still pay less than 10/month in HVAC on that home (and it was 300 m^2).
Other than house size, what I described is much closer to average American life than what you and others like you claim. And as one that has spent time in Germany, I would say that we eat about the same as Germans. Likewise, the cars are similar, similar Tv, etc. The only difference that I could see is that the homes were close to the place of work and it had decent transportation. America has suburbs and most use cars to get to work or elsewhere. BUT, we Americans are about to introduce a number of Natural Gas and electric cars. Over time, that will allow us to drop our oil imports and instead export oil.
Keep in mind that it is not just NG generators. They are taking excess power from the grid in the night time. Many wind systems are idled in the nights due to lack of demand. With this system, they will be able to pick up energy from Wind, and then if needed, pick it up from baseload generators.
100% efficient? Nope. Still it is better than 75% efficient. The real issue is what is the COSTS / MW? With this approach, a utilitiy company can skip the on-demand systems (typically turbine running NG, or a coal plant that is running low). These are EXPENSIVE to run. With 50% or better efficiency, a company can simply put on AE, Nukes, even NG boilers and then store energy at night, and use this for the variable demands.
This is located 30-50 meters or more in the ground. Season do not impact that low. However, what does is that compression heats the air, while the ground will take it from it. That is where you lose your efficiency.
The real question is, what does it cost per MW? CAES is cheap. In addition, it normally goes in where there is NOT good terrain for water storage. As such, this complements hydro, not competes against it. Likewise, we should be doing thermal storage which then has NG or atomic back-up. It is around 50% efficiency, but can be made more efficient with a little bit of RD. Thermal has the advantage of being able to be placed in the location of old coal plants.
My belief is that America's (actually, the west's) real issue is that we have a lack of storage. The best thing is to put forward a time-limited subsidy, say 5 years, that starts high and drops over a 5 year period. It should be for all storage that is manufactured locally, and not allowed to be exported until subsidies end. More importantly, it should NOT be limited to what some politician picks.
Slashdot Mirror
Yes, we will hear all the neo-cons and RWNJ on this site screaming about O killing off Constellation as well as the SLS. Yet, it is absolutely WORTHLESS.
.5B to launch. 2 companies would then win the bid to produce these. Before completion, another contest would take place to have 5 launches total from 2 companies. This allows the non-winners to do their own launch system if they believe that they have a winner (think ATK with Liberty). The companies would submit the price for 2 launches/year for 4 years. 2 companies would win. Whoever has the lowest bid, would get a 3rd launch/year. This rewards companies that push the bid low. And with 5 launches a year, it would be possible to put a lunar base, as well a mars base up their cheaply.
Instead, we should kill off the SLS TODAY and focus on getting private launchers going for human launches, as WELL as the multiple companies doing inflatable space stations.
THEN create a COTS program for TWO SHLV. It should carry around 150 tonnes to LEO, cost under 5B to produce in under 4 years, and under
Make no mistake. China IS in a cold war with the west, and they are WINNING.
Actually, from what I can gather (talking to some friends), he is thinking of a suspended monorail running cars (not trains), possibly in a vacuum tube, though that might not be needed. BTW, look at the seraphim linear motor. The real issue is not the cost of the equipment, but the assembly/construction of it. Here in America, that is our REAL issue (labor costs).
I do not think that Fusion would be needed. Thorium is certainly interesting. The more so, for cargo and military aircraft.
You just have to learn arabic, pashto, farsi, etc, etc, etc.
In America, we are currently around 60% from fossil fuel (35% coal and 25% NG) . O is still pushing AE as well as nukes. In addition, GE PRISMs use nuclear 'waste' which if we were at 100% nuke for all energy, we have enough waste to last over 100 years. That does not include the multiple thorium reactors that are coming.
The Tesla model S holds 5 comfortably and can hold 7 if you have 2 kids under age 6.
The model X that is coming next year is to hold 7 similar to the Toyota highlander. 5 adults and 2 kids under age 13.
0-60 is a none issue. Leaf and others purposely gov. their motors to keep electric usage down. Look at Tesla. They have 0-60 that blows the doors off similar priced cars.
Nope, IFF the majority of charges are done at night. In fact, the electric companies WANT this. It will allow them to upgrade final connects, sell more electricity all around the clock, and more importantly, balance the power load. Basically, if 75% or more of the charging is done at night, then it increases demand and night and allows power companies to drop expensive on-demand generators and move to base-loads.
Pretty much. My guess is that most charging will be done at home, but then we will see chargers at restaurants, museums, zoos, malls, and even job sites. Slower charges that are better for the car AND for the grid.
The tesla model S is already competitive against cars in its class range. Compare it to mercedes and Audis, not to ford focus, which is the mistake that many make. You will note that on the tesla, you can bump up 20Kwh for only $10K. IOW, if nissan had a similar battery structure to Tesla, they would have batteries that cost 10K, rather than 20K. And yeah, 10K is a LOT of money to make up.
/battery lifetime. It is currently in the 100's. It needs to be in the 1000's. As in 3-5K.
Regardless, by 2020, several companies, including IBM, are expecting to have lithium-air batteries. They will have such high energy density that a simple $2-5K battery would give the leaf 150-200 mpc.
The big issue on lithium air is how to increase the number of charges
Finally, ultra-caps are being heavily researched. Not just for cars, but also for military usage. That makes lasers and rail guns doable not just for ships, but for tanks.
Every car is different. In addition, in the tesla, the batteries are located in a skateboard under the car (basically, providing a nice low CG). Since this is actually a unibody type construction, doing battery changes make little sense.
As to battery costs, well, for Tesla, 20KWH is only $10K. Others are at 20-30K, but Tesla is using the lowest costs. Over the next decade, these battery costs will only drop and range will increase. Check out Lithium-Air batteries.
Actually, I suspect that doing the supercharge will cost roughly close to gas prices. And it SHOULD esp. during the daytime. We do not want a massive new increase on daytime electrical grid. Instead, we want electrical cars charging at nighttime. Interestingly, it will actually lower electrical prices overall. The reason is that demand will be leveled and power companies can move towards baseload generators, instead of expensive on-demand generators.
interesting.
First off, I think that it will more than 1/2, more like 3/4 or more. Lithium Air batteries are coming this decade. At that time, a car like the nissan leaf will either get 500 miles to a charge, or more likely, the range will be 150 miles and prices will be cheaper than gas car. In addition, over the next 8 years, loads of electrical stations will come on-line.
Now, once Tesla is profitable (expected early next year), he is looking to walk away from it and allow somebody else to run it. So, he is focusing on another form of transportation: a rail system.
One thing about Musk, when he goes after an idea, he gets it to work.
Because you are still a kid. Basically, you don't know, what you don't know.
So, if Gates or Linus were to write something like this, you would say that it was untrue and slanderous? Because Dr. Mann is well known in his field. This man did not attach a perm. eye piece to his head just to cause some nutjobs to attack him so that he could NICELY try to deal with this. And yes, I would say that he is dealing nicely with it.
LOL. You are KIDDING, Right? You getting all of your info from North korea or Iran?
60" plasma TV? Got news for you. The biggest buyer of those are NOT Americans,but Asians. We do have a 30" CRT tv on the main floor, a 40" LCD in the main bedroom, and a 32" lcd TV in the basement. No game machines. A single linux server and then 4 computers (to be fair, this is NOT normal for Americans; few have servers, let alone a decent set-up).
Temperature in our house is 18-19C in the winter and 24-25C in the summer.
Our house size is 275 m^2, though to be honest, this IS large by American standards. The average American is probably about 150-170 m^2. And to be fair, there are homes around here that are as big as 700 m^2. But FEW of them in this area.
Food? We eat cereal or eggs in the AM (oatmeal or grapenut flakes, though my kids love to eat waffles with small turkey sausage), a decent meal for lunch, and then salad for dinner (though the kids like mac/cheese at night). Every couple of days we will cook chicken, burgers, maybe a steak to add to the salad.
As to our cars, my wife drives a 2005 Toyota highlander, while I drive her old honda accord. Though to be fair, we have a Tesla Model S on order. When it comes, I will drive the highlander and she will drive the Electric car.
So, our highlander and accord are the same as what is sold in China, Japan, South America, and Europe.
BTW, I do know one home that is pretty cool. It is 7000 m^2, has geo-thermal HVAC, and has a 50/month HVAC bill. Why? Super insulated. This house is insulated to the same level as the home that I grew up and we built in the 70's. Back there, they still pay less than 10/month in HVAC on that home (and it was 300 m^2).
Other than house size, what I described is much closer to average American life than what you and others like you claim. And as one that has spent time in Germany, I would say that we eat about the same as Germans. Likewise, the cars are similar, similar Tv, etc. The only difference that I could see is that the homes were close to the place of work and it had decent transportation. America has suburbs and most use cars to get to work or elsewhere. BUT, we Americans are about to introduce a number of Natural Gas and electric cars. Over time, that will allow us to drop our oil imports and instead export oil.
Biggest user != Biggest waster. What do you describe as waste?
9? My eye. All 12 months.
Yes, yes, yes. I know. You live in Europe and we are oppressing you. I am so sorry to hear it.
Keep in mind that it is not just NG generators. They are taking excess power from the grid in the night time. Many wind systems are idled in the nights due to lack of demand. With this system, they will be able to pick up energy from Wind, and then if needed, pick it up from baseload generators.
100% efficient? Nope. Still it is better than 75% efficient. The real issue is what is the COSTS / MW? With this approach, a utilitiy company can skip the on-demand systems (typically turbine running NG, or a coal plant that is running low). These are EXPENSIVE to run. With 50% or better efficiency, a company can simply put on AE, Nukes, even NG boilers and then store energy at night, and use this for the variable demands.
No, that would be the CO2 from a lake in Africa that earned that. Many animals and ppl died.
This is located 30-50 meters or more in the ground. Season do not impact that low. However, what does is that compression heats the air, while the ground will take it from it. That is where you lose your efficiency.
The real question is, what does it cost per MW? CAES is cheap. In addition, it normally goes in where there is NOT good terrain for water storage. As such, this complements hydro, not competes against it. Likewise, we should be doing thermal storage which then has NG or atomic back-up. It is around 50% efficiency, but can be made more efficient with a little bit of RD. Thermal has the advantage of being able to be placed in the location of old coal plants.
My belief is that America's (actually, the west's) real issue is that we have a lack of storage. The best thing is to put forward a time-limited subsidy, say 5 years, that starts high and drops over a 5 year period. It should be for all storage that is manufactured locally, and not allowed to be exported until subsidies end. More importantly, it should NOT be limited to what some politician picks.
I hate to point this out, but we have all of those rights. There are free lawyers for criminal issues.