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Details of Chinese Moon Rocket Emerge

MarkWhittington writes "AmericaSpace has published the results of a study of Chinese rocket development by Charles Vick, a noted expert on the Russian and Chinese space programs who works for GlobalSecurity.org, using Chinese language sources. Of note are the developing concepts for a super heavy launch vehicle designated as the CZ9 or Long March 9, capable of taking Chinese astronauts to the moon and points beyond. 'Liang outlined several new Long March versions, virtually all of them testing elements that would eventually find their way into the Long March 9 that has 4 million lb. more of liftoff thrust than the 7.5 million lb. thrust NASA Saturn V. Forty-three years ago this week a Saturn V propelled the Apollo 11 astronauts to the first manned landing on the Moon on July 20, 1969.'"

138 comments

  1. Oh God the name... by Antipater · · Score: 4, Funny

    AmericaSpace

    That's not the WORST name for an organization I've ever heard. But really? You're THAT unimaginative?

    --
    Everything is better with chainsaws.
    1. Re:Oh God the name... by nhimf · · Score: 3, Funny

      They will call their spaceships American Space Ship (ASS) and their heavy lifting vehicle will be called Formidable Ascension Transport (FAT). "Houston FAT-ASS has a problem"

    2. Re:Oh God the name... by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      From TFS: Forty-three years ago this week a Saturn V propelled the Apollo 11 astronauts to the first manned landing on the Moon on July 20, 1969.

      For the non-geezers out there, this is what the night Armstrong and Aldrin first stepped on the moon was like.

    3. Re:Oh God the name... by Wolfrider · · Score: 1

      --What this country needs to do, is get the Hell out of Afghanistan - and have us another Space Race.

      --It would 1) Be more fun, and 2) Be more PROFITABLE in the long run!!

      --
      .
      == WolfriderV6 == I'm willing to admit that *I just might* be wrong... Are you??
  2. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by busyqth · · Score: 5, Funny

    You know those inscrutable aliens in sci-fi films that have indecipherable glyphs on the sides of their spaceships: They're Chinese.

  3. Screw this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    It is time to build the Sea Dragon rocket with 80 million pounds of thrust. And no new launch facilities would be needed since you can only launch it from the ocean.

  4. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 2

    3...2...1...
    The species must go into space and colonize the Galaxy! With rockets.

    Well it would be nice if we could use horizontal take-off space planes, but in the meantime rockets will have to do. Let's not forget that steam didn't exactly replace sail overnight.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  5. meh by Titan1080 · · Score: 0

    Let them go to 'and places beyond' in their fancy shmancy 12 million lb. thrust rocket. It's far more cost effective and easy, to send probes and rovers to other places in this solar system. The real question is, 'Who will be first to manipulate the higgs field in such a way that will allow for light speed or near light speed travel'?

    1. Re:meh by Kittenman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Let them go to 'and places beyond' in their fancy shmancy 12 million lb. thrust rocket. It's far more cost effective and easy, to send probes and rovers to other places in this solar system. The real question is, 'Who will be first to manipulate the higgs field in such a way that will allow for light speed or near light speed travel'?

      Tut. Them is us. Who will be .. it's one of us. We're all humans here, when it comes to the effort to get into space. Terrans, if you like. We (outside the States) are as proud of what you folks (I assume you're in the US?) did in the 20th century as you are. We (the world) look forward to great things from all nations (including the US) in this 21st century. Let's all take pride in the Space exploits of this planet's inhabitants. That's our species, risking their lives.

      --
      "The greatest lesson in life is to know that even fools are right sometimes" - Winston Churchill
    2. Re:meh by gtall · · Score: 1

      Want to bet that is how the Chinese see it?

    3. Re:meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If everyone was just as excited about it in the 20th century they wouldn't be pouring so much into repeating it in the 21st.

    4. Re:meh by dbIII · · Score: 1

      If you've got the cash to pay for a launch then yes, absolutely. I don't see them knocking back NASA or anyone else that wants to do a deal.

    5. Re:meh by cusco · · Score: 4, Interesting

      When the Apollo 11 astronauts toured the world after their successful landing they were surprised to hear people everywhere, even in the USSR, exclaim "We did it!" Not "You did it", but "We", as though the entire human race had participated.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
    6. Re:meh by El+Puerco+Loco · · Score: 3, Funny

      Awww, how cute is it that "people" living outside of the U.S. think they're human? Silly foreigners.

    7. Re:meh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      They have the same claim to "We did it!" as the majority of americans who weren't personally involved. Either you limit it to the 12 astronauts actually on the moon, the severall ten thousands involved in the apollo program or not at all.

    8. Re:meh by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Indeed, that was true. I'm pretty sure almost everyone on the planet with access to a TV watched it that night, and for a short while it seemed like everyone in the world was celebrating together. Nationalism went right out the door for a while.

    9. Re:meh by cusco · · Score: 1

      To my understanding it still holds the record for the largest percentage of televisions in the world being tuned to a single program. It was carried live even in China and the USSR. The World Cup has more viewers now, but there are also a frack of a lot more televisions available today than in 1967.

      Going camping with friends tomorrow, and we'll hoist a cup to the Apollo 11 team.

      --
      "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  6. Autodocs -- Designed and built in China by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 3

    An empire prospers when it keeps the trade routes open. It falters when it turns to lording over its own people, and a new core of empire forms on its outskirts, little fettered from it.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    1. Re:Autodocs -- Designed and built in China by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Are you saying you think the US has been closing trade routes over the last few decades?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Autodocs -- Designed and built in China by rtaylor · · Score: 2

      It has not become easier to move goods across the Canada/US border in the last 10 years.

      --
      Rod Taylor
  7. Much easier to launch from China by turkeyfeathers · · Score: 2

    It's basic physics... make a heavy enough rocket and when you release the holding pin it will fall downwards, accelerating until it breaks free of the Earth's atmosphere. Then just turn it around and head to the moon.

    1. Re:Much easier to launch from China by dingo_kinznerhook · · Score: 1

      You mean, because things on China fall off the back of the earth? That would never work - your frame of reference is all wrong. Antarctica is the bottom of the world.

      --
      "God does not play Minecraft with the world." - Albert Einstein
  8. 11.6 M lbs thrust? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I remember Wernher von Braun in an interview stating that the Saturn V could be used to send spacecraft to any point in the solar system. It seems that later launch vehicles developed more thrust though (Titan/Centaur) but perhaps not. So are the Chinese explicitly planing on putting colonies on the moon and Mars (or mining asteroids)?

  9. 11.5 M lbs thrust? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I remember Wernher von Braun in a interview in the 70's saying that the Saturn V could be used to launch spacecraft to any point in the solar system. So are the Chinese explicitly intending to put bases on the moon and Mars or mine asteroids?

    1. Re:11.5 M lbs thrust? by Grishnakh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It probably depends on your definition of "spacecraft". To launch a probe anywhere in the system, sure, the Saturn V is sufficient. But look at the size of the craft that the Saturn V sent to the Moon; it wasn't all that large. 3 men in a capsule plus a lander, plus a rover on one or two missions. If you want to launch a larger craft with 6 or 10 astronauts, and some more heavy cargo for them to set up at the destination, you'll need a bigger rocket most likely. Or if you want to launch a craft big enough for 3-4 people to live somewhat comfortably on a mission to Mars (which would take months, not days like the Moon mission, requiring much more supplies and living space), again you'll need a bigger rocket than the Saturn V.

      Of course, you can also get away with smaller rockets by splitting things up and launching them on separate rockets, and then joining them together in orbit before continuing the mission.

    2. Re:11.5 M lbs thrust? by able1234au · · Score: 1

      No need to join them up. Send the cargo on ahead and you know it will be there when you get there.

    3. Re:11.5 M lbs thrust? by dkf · · Score: 1

      No need to join them up. Send the cargo on ahead and you know it will be there when you get there.

      Wouldn't work for a longer-term mission like going to Mars, as you've still got to send a lot of stuff for the astronauts to use along the way. You've also got to pack a lot more shielding due to the increased duration of exposure to solar radiation. Not impossible to deal with, but definitely a lot more mass overall and it's far easier to get that stuff to orbit in several pieces.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    4. Re:11.5 M lbs thrust? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder why this is such a hard concept... heck, I even UPSed stuff back to myself for a 600 mile move when everything from my Silicon Valley apartment wouldn't fit in my car!

    5. Re:11.5 M lbs thrust? by able1234au · · Score: 1

      If it is longerterm, then all the more reason to send supplies first, build up a depot so you know it is there and working before you send people. I would prefer to know the oxygen and water generator is working and built up a big store before i blast off from canaveral. This is not a moonshot race. It should also be a multi-nation joint effort. Let everyone put their hands into their pockets

  10. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Hatta · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm pretty sure it's this attitude that is responsible for the Fermi paradox.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  11. Re:Picture of entire set of Chinese Rockets by DigiShaman · · Score: 0
    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
  12. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by EdgePenguin · · Score: 1

    Well, that might not be impossible http://www.reactionengines.co.uk/

  13. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, and space is just as big as the Atlantic Ocean too. Great comparison.

    You're absolutely right. We must never ever compare one type of technological advancement with another because you can only ever compare two absolutely identical things before drawing any meaningful conclusion.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  14. Saturn V or Energiya? by EdgePenguin · · Score: 5, Informative

    Obviously, a US news source is going to use the largest NASA rocket ever flown as the basis for comparison, but I think their option 'A' design looks quite like the Soviet Energiya booster.

    Saturn V was a single body launch vehicle - each stage was stacked on top of each other, and fired sequentially. This was simpler to assemble, but meant that two stages had to start in flight - one of which had to start twice! The first stage was LOx/RP-1 to get high thrust low in the Earth's atmosphere, and the upper stages were LOx/LH2 to get maximum delta-V.

    Energiya, on the other hand, looked more like the US shuttle stack (and indeed, was used to fly the Soviet version of the space shuttle, the main difference being its ability to fly without the shuttle as its own rocket). It had a LOx/LH2 core stage, surrounded by 4 LOx/RP-1 boosters. All of the engines were started on the ground, at liftoff. Energiya was a mode 'modern' super heavy launch vehicle, as this approach is widely considered better these days.

    Sensibly, the Chinese appear to have looked to the most recent super heavy (100t+ payload capacity) launch vehicle that successfully flew for design cues.

    1. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sensibly, the Chinese appear to have looked to the most recent super heavy (100t+ payload capacity) launch vehicle that successfully flew for design cues.

      There's nothing sensible about building a super heavy launcher that will only fly every couple of years.

      Launch cost is largely driven by launch rate, so you'll save a ton of cash by splitting your lunar vehicle into smaller payloads which can launch on rockets that other people will use to launch their satellites. This is the equivalent of building a hundred-ton pickup truck to use when you move house, rather than just loading everything into a container and hiring a truck to deliver it to where you're going.

    2. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by EdgePenguin · · Score: 1

      That argument has gone back and forth since the dawn of the space age. Both the US and USSR had plans to go to the Moon using smaller launchers, and rendezvousing in LEO.

      I'll just say, that the big launch method has worked a couple of times. The lots of little launches method has yet to work at all.

    3. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      I'll just say, that the big launch method has worked a couple of times. The lots of little launches method has yet to work at all.

      Sure, it works. If you have an infinite amount of money. America didn't, which is why NASA doesn't go to the Moon anymore.

      If you actually want to be able to afford to go to the Moon and keep going there, then building your own massive, specialised rocket to launch you into orbit is absolutely, unquestionably the wrong way to do so.

    4. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by EdgePenguin · · Score: 2

      "Unquestionably"? That is a pretty bold claim - especially when no mission, manned or unmanned, that has gone beyond Earth orbit has ever involved a rendezvous of separately launched components. The closest to doing so were the Gemini-Agena missions that got boosted to higher altitudes (which as partly a test run for a flight where the Agena was replaced by a centaur upper stage, and a Gemini flown around the Moon.)

      Something that has never, ever been done in history cannot be "unquestionably" cheaper/faster/better than something that has been done.

    5. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Well it's not like no one's ever successfully docked craft in orbit; that's been done many, many times with the various space stations and their resupply ships. Now, how well that experience translates to subsequently launching the assembled craft from orbit towards the moon or Mars, I don't know.

    6. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      You are absolutely right that launch rate is what is IMPORTANT. It is the fixed costs (launch pad, ground crew, etc) that chew up your money.

      The the smart thing is to get a 50 tonne FH going, multiple human launchers and most importantly, multiple destinations. Even now, I view sending up a BA-sundancer or so to the ISS as being the most important thing that NASA can do. The reason is that by helping BA get moving, then they will put up multiple EO systems. That gives a reason to have large launch rates. Then start the push to have several 150 tonne launch vehicles via COTS. These are used fro going to the moon, mars, and asteroids.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Well, I hate to point it out your logic flaw, but when we went to the moon the first time, nobody had done any of that either.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by jamstar7 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Apollo was actually 'Plan B". The original intention was to build a construction shack/space station in orbit, build a Lunar excursion vehicle there, and fly it to the Moon and back a few times. In the long run, it would have been cheaper, but it would have taken longer. By designing a single stack that threw away 99% to get that 1% to the Moon's surface and back, they saved time.

      One of the Shuttle's proposed mission profiles was to cart materials to orbit in order to build that construction shack/lumar excursion vehicle to return to the Moon for long term missions.

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    9. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by mbone · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The big problem is that liquid Hydrogen won't keep long in space. A few hours, sure. A week? Not so much. So, if you are going to use the most efficient propellant, LEO rendezvous is very dicey. (If the second launch, the one with the crew, doesn't go on time, you spent a lot of money to orbit an empty tank.)

      The Soviet plan was to land a return vehicle on the Moon, check it out, and then send a crew to land, walk over , and fly it back. The return vehicle could be hypergolic so there was no rush on the crew's timing. Everything could be sized this was to enable long stays on the Moon. They actually built this hardware, but of course it never flew. Given the close ties between the Russian and Chinese space efforts, look for the Chinese to do something broadly similar.

    10. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      All of the engines were started on the ground, at liftoff. Energiya was a mode 'modern' super heavy launch vehicle, as this approach is widely considered better these days.

      If it's so widely considered "better", then why does practically no-one actually use it? Not that it's actually modern either - rather it was used during the very earliest days when starting inflight was a huge unknown, and then later dropped except for the R-7 and the earliest Atlases.

    11. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 1

      Don't forget what a spectacularly high failure rate Gemini Agena had. If the ISS taught us anything it's that we CAN assemble thing on orbit, but it isn't cheap, easy or problem free. I've never understood the hostility in some quarters to anything much larger than an ICBM. With every single proposed design the larger vehicles ARE cheaper on per kg, let alone per mission, basis. Some hypothetical SSTO is all well and good if you can go out and get me the funding for it, but don't tell me we shouldn't be building better equipment today because someone might, someday, get around to funding a project that we aren't even entirely sure will work. And if the argument hinges on mass production, show me a "small dumb booster" that can't be made simpler by scaling up. And I haven't even touched on how difficult a lot of these things are to split. Just how do you intend to launch the heat shield for a Mars lander separately from the actual payload? For anything going much beyond what was proposed for Orion/Altair multiple launches, let alone multiple launches in the 20ish ton rnage, we're very much talking orbital assembly, not mere docking. This nonsense is how we ended up with the idea a Mars mission would cost $100 billion and need a freaking spaceport in orbit.

    12. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 1

      And that mission profile required not a few more billion, but tens of billion more. Moreover, any conceivable savings, that are only available assuming it all works properly (and since when has first generation equipment ever been that perfect), is based on high flight rates. Seeing as the shuttle never could find enough payloads to justify its originally intended rate even before Challenger showed that rate as impossible I see no reason to believe we are suddenly going to need a weekly shuttle to the moon.

    13. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by EdgePenguin · · Score: 1

      What do you mean nobody uses it? Ariane 5 works this way exactly, and it one of the best commercial launchers available. All rockets with boosters work this way to a certain extend. It is generally accepted that you get more reliability the more engines you start on the ground (even single body Falcon 9 adheres to this in a different way - 9 engines started (and checked) on the ground, 1 in the air.

    14. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      What do you mean nobody uses it? Ariane 5 works this way exactly

      Um, no. Ariane 5 doesn't work like that all - it has a 2nd stage that ignites in flight.
       

      It is generally accepted that you get more reliability the more engines you start on the ground (even single body Falcon 9 adheres to this in a different way - 9 engines started (and checked) on the ground, 1 in the air.

      Which of course it not what you claimed - which was that "all motors are started on the ground". Something that has never been common practice, and in fact is quite rare.

    15. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by EdgePenguin · · Score: 1

      The second stage motor on Ariane 5 is tiny compared to the boosters and the main engine. You are splitting hairs here, really.

    16. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by nojayuk · · Score: 1

      There is a 400-tonne spacecraft in orbit around the Earth right now. It carries a crew of between 6 and 12 people in a shirt-sleeve environment and it was put together, is kept supplied and intermittently boosted in orbit by a range of vehicles which each have a payload capability of less than 20 tonnes.

      If the Chinese are serious about building the Long March 9 superlifter as a "one-shot mission" stack they are further back down the technology history books than I thought they were, given they've already got a small space station module in orbit and have demonstrated docking a manned capsule with it, the product of two separate launches by smaller boosters. If they wanted to put together a "boots and banners" Moon mission they've got the demonstrated launch capability to cope with an Apollo-style program -- launch a lander/ascent stage and park it in LEO, launch a similarly-sized service module and dock it with the lander and then after everything checks out launch the command module with crew to rendezvous with the rest of the in-orbit resources. Even better, send the lander/ascent stage to the Moon first to have it in place in orbit waiting for the crew when they arrive.

    17. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by EdgePenguin · · Score: 1

      Depends what they do after the flag-and-footprints missions. They could conceivably follow what was proposed by NASA for the post Apollo era, and use their 100t+ rocket for really big modular missions...

    18. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

      Even 100 billion over 5 or 10 years really isn't that much. Vietnam was costing 4 billion a year and more at the peak. The cost of our 3 current wars would turn your hair white.

      The original order for Shuttle was what, 8? They cut the funding down to 4 and a pair for testing, then made a big noise about Enterprise as a test bed. It never flew. 8 shuttles could have flown about every 10 weeks with plenty of time to inspect and repair the birds between flights. Just double up on the inspection/repair crews and do all the preliminaries away from the Cape, like they did. The 'Plan A' profile got Proxmired in favor of the ISS, in its weirdassed orbit (to placate the Russians) when the Congresscritters asked themselves 'WFT do we need two space stations for?' This caused a redesign of Shuttle to specifically service that weirdassed orbit. Military satellites tend to be rather small, on the order of 500 kilos each. It's cheaper to hang one in orbit using a standard rocket, and you don't have to wait for a scheduled Shuttle launch if you need a bird in orbit now, plus the time to reshift the originally scheduled load. So, military payloads were pretty much out except for non-time critical experiments.

      And all ISS was for was a political tool so the US could say 'See? We do work and play well with others!' With the design constantly changing on all sides, experiments delayed or deleted from the program, is there any wonder ISS is consistently way the hell over budget and way the hell underequiped to do much of anything?

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    19. Re:Saturn V or Energiya? by Bureaucromancer · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is that we should kill the funded program because a massively more expensive program might be better if we were to ever convince congress to fund it a level unprecedented even compared to Apollo. And that is for a distinctly specific vision of "better" that doesn't involve any concept of going beyond the moon and does involve lots of people stationed on the moon with little in the way of specific purpose. Aside from being a convenient place to stick telescope arrays I have yet to see any proposals for anything we can do on the moon that aren't simpler, cheaper and more usefully done on Mars. Sure, going back is worthwhile, but we hardly going to be settling the thing, and without settlement we aren't going to getting any savings out of the massive orbital infrastructure needed for things like reusable lunar shuttles and small payloads.

  15. Re:Typo by Dunbal · · Score: 2

    Idiot

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  16. ROV mining etc by j-stroy · · Score: 2

    I doubt human lift is the goal. This is a way to get more robots up. Once I had seen a video of telepresence underground heavy mining equipment i had an idea how its going to play out. Semi-autonomous robotic industry.

    Given the thermal gradients, I wouldn't be surprised by a closed cycle heat engine driving them.. i'm sure it works out better than solar panels.

  17. Being a rocket nut I really hope they build it. by CaptnCrud · · Score: 0

    Will it actually happen? Im not so sure.
    I have the suspicion if they did build the long 9, and this is a big "if", its going to suffer the same fate as the n1 to be used a few times and abandoned or worse turn out like buran sitting in a junk heap http://science.slashdot.org/story/10/09/28/1246200/soviet-shuttle-buran-found-in-a-junk-heap...heh, one of comander tacos. Hope your chilling dude.
    ...eh, I feel way to pessimistic today, I need a root beer.

  18. China needs 50% more thrust... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because their "rockets" are half as long

  19. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm pretty sure it's the laws of physics and the periodic table of elements that's responsible for the paradox. It's not an "attitude" that propels you through space while obeying F=ma, it's materials and energy sources. So unless you can point me to a new periodic table with magical elements with sci-fi properties, and new kinds of Star Trek energy sources, what we have now is *it*. There won't be unreasonably strong materials, there are no fantasy Bob Lazar propulsion technologies.

    The Fermi Paradox is dead simple. There is simply no way to realize any of the Space Age delusions. That's it, that's all.

    Petroleum has already reached its global production peak as depletion rates shoot past the rate at which new fields can be found and brought on line; natural gas and coal are not far behind—the current bubble in shale gas will be over in five or, just possibly, ten years—and despite decades of animated handwaving, no other energy source has proven to yield anything close to the same abundance and concentration of energy at anything like the same cost. That means, as I’ve shown in detail in past posts here, that industrial civilization will be a short-lived and self-terminating phenomenon.

    It's over, dude. So either grow up and face the challenges coming up, or curl into a ball and rock back and forth while crying about the dead delusions of the Space Age.

  20. Argh, not this again by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The submission and at least one of the linked articles are just silly "OMG CHINA" rabble-rousing in an attempt to justify the diversion of NASA resources from commercial providers like SpaceX towards giant white elephants like the SLS heavy-lift rocket (and the legacy contractors behind it). I've yet to see any evidence that China's supposed plans for a heavy-lift rocket are anything more than sketches from dreamy engineers, without any actual funding behind them; if anything other non-existent heavy-lift rockets like SpaceX's Falcon XX have more progress behind them.

    If anything, indications so far suggest that China's space exploration plans involve the more sensible approach of assembling exploration modules in space, instead of building rarely-used mega-rockets that launch everything up at once.

    1. Re:Argh, not this again by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, I am hoping that if O is re-elected, that he will kill of the SLS, and then use just 10B (instead of 20B for a single 70 tonne) to get TWO SHLVs with 150 tonnes or so via a COTS approach. The other 10B should then be used to restore NERVA as well as a COTS for various tug engines and designs. At the same time, use some of help private space get to the moon so that we can re-establish ourselves there, while NASA is focused on Asteroids and Mars.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  21. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See... I saw it from different angle...

    Details of Cheese Moon Rocket Emerge

    I knew it all along!

  22. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

    You might as well argue with the wall. The overwhelming mentality on Slashdot, as seen by the poster here, is that space travel is a total waste of money and that we need to invest in wars and occupations instead. If you're looking for a haven for space geeks and sci-fi fans, this isn't it.

  23. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by mug+funky · · Score: 2

    nope, it's just that "space nutter" troll and a few fiscal-responsibility types. but if they watch the story tags fly by and jump on anything with "space" in it, they'll own every thread.

  24. Will it be cheaper to buy than Ares? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Would they even be willing to sell it?

    Wasn't this the point of offshoring technology?

  25. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Teresita · · Score: 1

    Have no fear. Five hundred years from now, the spaceships will be manned by cowboy types and the only time they will speak Chinese is when they swear.

  26. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

    Well, that might not be impossible http://www.reactionengines.co.uk/

    The Brits have been pushing this kind of technology for decades (remember HOTOL?) but it seems to take a while for it to get any traction. Shame really, the potential is staggering. The demise of Concorde had more to do with its introduction coinciding with the oil embargo, it was conceived in the days of cheap fuel and its high consumption would have been less of an (economic) issue. I don't see any such issues with a hydrogen powered engine since producing hydrogen doesn't absolutely have to depend on hydrocarbons. I wonder if investors are just scared off by the Concorde experience.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  27. Chinese Characters by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 3, Funny

    You know those inscrutable aliens in sci-fi films that have indecipherable glyphs on the sides of their spaceships: They're Chinese.

    Actually, someone found a stone tablet, somewhere near Siberia. They carbon dated it, and it supposed to be like more than 5 millions year old

    On that stone tablet were carvings that looks very much like some ancient Chinese characters

    I had the link once, but unfortunately I lost it (hard disk crashed).

    I tried to search for it, to no avail.
     

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:Chinese Characters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The half life of carbon 14 is only about 5000 years. You can't use it to date something to 5 million years ago. Also, you need organic material from which you can extract carbon to even do the carbon-14 dating.

    2. Re:Chinese Characters by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 1

      I dunno, I could be speaking from my back orifice

      I've lost the link to that article, and the last time I read that article was years ago

      So I could be wrong on the method of dating - it could be something else - but that "5 million year old" thing should be correct, unless, my mind fails me again :)

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    3. Re:Chinese Characters by dadioflex · · Score: 1

      You know those inscrutable aliens in sci-fi films that have indecipherable glyphs on the sides of their spaceships: They're Chinese.

      Actually, someone found a stone tablet, somewhere near Siberia. They carbon dated it, and it supposed to be like more than 5 millions year old

      On that stone tablet were carvings that looks very much like some ancient Chinese characters

      I had the link once, but unfortunately I lost it (hard disk crashed).

      I tried to search for it, to no avail.

      Skittery dinosaur tracks could look like Chinese characters to the sort of person that can see Jesus in a slice of toast. Although, these days believing in dinosaurs and Jesus at the same time seems to be verboten, even though we managed it quite peaceably for almost two centuries after the scientific classification of dinosaurs.

    4. Re:Chinese Characters by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      It was probably a carbon-42 test.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
  28. A Stuxnet variant targetting China ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe someone should start writing a new stuxnet variant targetting China's space program?

    1. Re:A Stuxnet variant targetting China ? by dadioflex · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe someone should start writing a new stuxnet variant targetting China's space program?

      Sure, but the job of writing it would probably get out-sourced to India. Ya know, the other developing country with an ambitious space programme.

      There will be a lot of comments about the Chinese only managing to do what the US did half a century ago, but the point is they're doing it while the Western world has abandoned those ambitions.

    2. Re:A Stuxnet variant targetting China ? by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 2

      Maybe someone should start writing a new stuxnet variant targetting China's space program?

       
      Sure, but the job of writing it would probably get out-sourced to India. Ya know, the other developing country with an ambitious space programme.

       
      If it ends up with India duking it out with China, It would be doubly wonderful !!
       
      That way we get to kill two birds with only one stone
       

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    3. Re:A Stuxnet variant targetting China ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There will be a lot of comments about the Chinese only managing to do what the US did half a century ago

      Faking a moon landing?

  29. And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Yes, we will hear all the neo-cons and RWNJ on this site screaming about O killing off Constellation as well as the SLS. Yet, it is absolutely WORTHLESS.

    Instead, we should kill off the SLS TODAY and focus on getting private launchers going for human launches, as WELL as the multiple companies doing inflatable space stations.
    THEN create a COTS program for TWO SHLV. It should carry around 150 tonnes to LEO, cost under 5B to produce in under 4 years, and under .5B to launch. 2 companies would then win the bid to produce these. Before completion, another contest would take place to have 5 launches total from 2 companies. This allows the non-winners to do their own launch system if they believe that they have a winner (think ATK with Liberty). The companies would submit the price for 2 launches/year for 4 years. 2 companies would win. Whoever has the lowest bid, would get a 3rd launch/year. This rewards companies that push the bid low. And with 5 launches a year, it would be possible to put a lunar base, as well a mars base up their cheaply.

    Make no mistake. China IS in a cold war with the west, and they are WINNING.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Yes, we will hear all the neo-cons and RWNJ on this site screaming about O killing off Constellation as well as the SLS.

      Must be easy to win arguments when the other side is in your head.

      Make no mistake. China IS in a cold war with the west, and they are WINNING..

      Oh? And what are they going to do with this moon base? Sell souvenirs? Rent it out to tourists?

      There's a huge difference between something that's possible and something that makes sense. We shouldn't spend a bent nickel going back to the moon - there's no reason to go. We need to maintain the capability to launch spy satellites and robotic probes. Pretty much everything else is a waste of money.

    2. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      False.
      It makes sense to get man off this planet. In fact, it is insane NOT to get us off here. We are the first species on this planet that has this capability to save itself by being on multiple other planets.
      The other issue is that many wars have been fought over resources. Minerals are needed. Less than 6 months ago, we saw that China invaded American waters to grab fish. Now, they were caught in Russian waters doing the same thing. Then you add the fact that China cut a deal with Philippines just a couple of months ago to withdraw their boats, and even before the ink is dry, they now have a number of their naval ships about 60 miles off the Philippines coast, with one of their mapping cutters grounded on the shoals. Now, why would they be mapping the waters off their when they had no BUSINESS being there.
      Then you have their agree with USA and WTO. It required them to free their money, quit subsidizing/dumping and then drop most of their 90 tariffs/barriers. Now, they have over 400 tariffs and loads of barriers.

      Basically, China can NOT be counted on to keep their word. If the west wants to avoid a war, then the best way is not to allow China to get any upper hand. Once they think that they have it, then they will attack (ask India about that).

      By putting a base on the moon and mars as well as robotic exploration of asteroids, then we can have easy access to minerals. That helps guarantee that nations do not go to war over resources.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by tsotha · · Score: 1

      We are the first species on this planet that has this capability to save itself by being on multiple other planets.

      Save itself from what?

      The other issue is that many wars have been fought over resources. Minerals are needed. Less than 6 months ago, we saw that China invaded American waters to grab fish. Now, they were caught in Russian waters doing the same thing. Then you add the fact that China cut a deal with Philippines just a couple of months ago to withdraw their boats, and even before the ink is dry, they now have a number of their naval ships about 60 miles off the Philippines coast, with one of their mapping cutters grounded on the shoals. Now, why would they be mapping the waters off their when they had no BUSINESS being there.

      It will be easier to mine the oceans than mine the moon. And how many fish do you think the Chinese will find there? What do Chinese claims in the South China sea have to do with space? There are still a lot of places you can get resources on the earth for far, far, far less money than trying to get them out of the gravity well. They can buy fish from other countries, for example.

      Do you realize how hostile the environment is once you leave Earth's atmosphere? There isn't any spot on the earth that's more hostile to life than they most benign spot on the moon or even mars.

    4. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by able1234au · · Score: 1

      Once they think that they have it, then they will attack (ask India about that).

      Are you referring to this? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China_India_War

      This was 1962. Next you will be quoting the dangers of Genghis Khan.

    5. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Save itself from what?

      Ourselves. Mankind is unquestionably the greatest threat we know of to human civilisation.

    6. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yes, I was refering to that. However, there is a real reason why 'Nam and other nations asked USA to help. China is pushing their weight around. More importantly, all of the Chinese neighbors KNOW that it will not only continue, but increase. As I pointed out, they are increasing aggression towards ALL of their neighbors.

      And what does a mongolian have to do with the today's Communist China?

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      Save itself from what?

      People that do not see any issues with the way we live today!

      --
      This is blinging
    8. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by tsotha · · Score: 1

      That makes no sense.

    9. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by able1234au · · Score: 1

      You do realise that this was 50 years ago? and the objective was to define the border between india and china, which was only vaguely drawn up.

      So it is ok for the U.S. to push their weight around but not ok for China to force agreement over which obscure mountain is owned by which neighbour.

      So you are happy for the U.S. to return a big chunk of territory they stole from Mexico and give Alaska back to Russia?

    10. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      First off, Alaska was bought from Russia.
      Secondly, to claim that any part of USA was part of Mexico is a joke. Mexico was fighting against the NATIVES here. Mexico had less than 7K ppl over the ENTIRE area. NONE of this land belonged to Mexico. It belonged to the Native Americans. They are the ONLY ones that have a legitimate grip.

      Nuts, when texas broke off from Mexico in 1836 (almost 200 years ago), Mexico had it for only 15 years. In addition, the population of Mexicans and Americans was a TOTAL of less than 3K of which 2K were Americans. The ones who owned Texas was Commanche Indians. And the rest of the west was even LESS populated. Even the west coast had NO Mexican control. It was controlled by Spain and Indians. But spain was far more interested in converted the Indians to Catholicism.

      As to China and India, they are constantly at war. Even now, China denied for 10 years that they had any intention of doing anything with water resources, until India showed them about 3 years ago with sat photos that showed China building a number of dams on the rivers that feeds India. Now, China admits it, but says that it is for flood control.

      There is a real reason why every nation in Asia, EXCEPT for China who fought it, invited the USA to join them on ASEAN

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:And now the neo-cons will scream about SLS by able1234au · · Score: 1

      Just as you justify stealing Texas, New Mexico, California etc, China has justification on its borders with India. Why do you assume that India has a stronger case? There were probably more people in Texas than there were in those border regions. So that does make a difference?

      btw, your caps lock key is not working as it sticks every now and then.

  30. Anybody want to take a bet? by kheldan · · Score: 1

    I'll bet that the Chinese will set foot on the Moon and claim it for themselves, regardless of any long-standing International agreements to the contrary.

    ..and yes, I know this post will get modded down to "-1, Troll" and I'll get flamed for posting this. Haters gonna hate; I'm expressing my opinion, and I don't care who likes or dislikes it. I don't trust the Chinese government; I have been given no reason to.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    1. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So exactly what the US, Russia, or any other megalomaniac nation with too much ego would do...

    2. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by tsotha · · Score: 1

      They can have it. What could they possibly do there that would make it worth the trip?

    3. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      America has already been there. They did not do it.

    4. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      water.
      Plutonium.
      Other minerals.
      HE3
      Ability to live off-world.
      Ability to put up a decent scope that allows us to view deep, real deep, into the universe.

      And that is just for starters.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by tsotha · · Score: 1

      Eh, there's plenty of water here on the earth. Plutonium isn't naturally occurring, so I'm not sure where you're getting that. "Other minerals" are also here on the earth. As far as HE3 is concerned, we don't know what to do with it, so I'm not sure why they would go to the moon to get it.

      And the ability to live off world is useful how?

      If that's your idea of "starters" I can't even imagine how useless the items further down the list are.

    6. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by bryan1945 · · Score: 1

      Wow, Sandusky has now invaded /. I understand sports sites, but wow, he's migrating all over.

      --
      Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
    7. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      It is cheaper to put water into LEO from here, then it is from the moon.
      There is U on the moon which can be bred into Pu. This can then be used for a number of devices in space. Not just for mankind, but rovers and sats.
      Other minerals can be denied access to.

      And has been pointed out by brilliant ppl the world over (hawking comes to mind), our staying on earth is simply putting all of our eggs in one basket. Life goes extinct every so often. Normally, it is about 27 million years, but we never know when else it will come. OTOH, by having mankind on Mars, it helps to isolate us from ELEs.
      Probably the stupiest idea that I have heard on-line is that we should leave space and instead flow all the money into exploring the ocean. We can do both (and are).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      No, I have some troll following me around. My guess is that is that he was actually writing about himself.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    9. Re:Anybody want to take a bet? by tsotha · · Score: 1
      It is cheaper to put water into LEO from here, then it is from the moon.
      There is U on the moon which can be bred into Pu. This can then be used for a number of devices in space. Not just for mankind, but rovers and sats.
      Other minerals can be denied access to.

      There isn't any reason to put water into LEO or breed plutonium on the moon. We have more plutonium than we know what to do with already, and if we run out we can make more here. You keep thinking we can use this or that resource on the moon because it's cheaper than sending it from earth, but you still haven't come up with a reason for us to go there to start with. That's why we never went back, by the way, not because we couldn't.

      And has been pointed out by brilliant ppl the world over (hawking comes to mind), our staying on earth is simply putting all of our eggs in one basket. Life goes extinct every so often. Normally, it is about 27 million years, but we never know when else it will come. OTOH, by having mankind on Mars, it helps to isolate us from ELEs.

      Hawking is a smart guy. In astrophysics.

      If you're worried about extinction events it's orders of magnitude cheaper, easier, and more reliable to build a really deep bunker here on the earth. Pretty much no matter what happens to the earth it will be more hospitable to human life than anywhere else in the solar system. Think about that for a minute - even if we had a global thermonuclear war the earth would still be the best place for us to live. Also, as it stands we're not even close to having the technology to maintain an independent colony somewhere other than our home planet. If we were all wiped out the colonists would die soon after when their supplies stopped coming.

  31. space exploration by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What this country need is a visionary genius who can lose billions of dollars failing to hype electric cars and still claim to beat the Chinese on launch costs.
    Charlatans like that is what make America great.

  32. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hah, little do any of you know that steam didn't replace sail, diesel did!

  33. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    that we need to invest in wars and occupations instead.

    LOL right, that's what I read on here every night.....and also love letters to George Bush. Uh......are you sure you've actually read Slashdot?

    The problem I see with space travel is, going to Mars doesn't actually help us get into the rest of the galaxy. It's not actually a stepping stone......to escape the Solar System, we need new fundamental research in physics and material science. Going to Mars could actually divert from that.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  34. The moon is the "high ground" in a military sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They can have it. What could they possibly do there that would make it worth the trip?

    Establish a military presence that controls near earth space and possibly threatens targets on the earth's surface via large kinetic weapons (all the bang of nukes without the radiation).

  35. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by jamstar7 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Space travel" represents the peak of our technology, there's nowhere to go. It's done, it's over. It's soooo *not* like the Wright Brothers it's not even funny. The fact that you can't grasp this, as a group, says it all about you.

    OK, so our technology has peaked out.

    Didn't I see you standing there when Ooog invented the wheel? And wasn't it you that said "What good is this 'wheel' thing you 'invented' that will cause the gods to hate us? Why can't you be reasonable and have your wife pack all your shit on her back like everybody else does?'

    'Reasonable' people refuse to rock the boat. 'Reasonable' people embrace and defend the status quo. Status quo means 'freeze in place', nothing moves. Not even you. So, go ahead and stand in place, don't move. The unreasonable among us are moving on.

    Space travel at this stage of the game is engineering. We're still developing the engineering to do it cheaper and better. Now, the next little bit is going to take some thinking, so if you wanna take a nap first, that's okay, this comment will still be here when you wake up.

    You want clean air, water, land, whatever, there are exactly two and only two options to get it. Option 1 is come up with a way to destroy every piece of technology everywhere on the planet, down to and including the ability to make fire, and turn the entirety of the human species back into a hunter-gatherer tribal society. Downside of this is, the planet cannot support 7 billion people at the stage of hunter-gatherers. It'd be closer to half a million, maybe a million, spread all over the globe. High level apex predators need large areas to hunt in, they can't be supported in small areas. This means there's not a lot of them. And as the current champion apex predator, we're dangerously overextended without our technology.

    Option 2 is move all havey industry like metal refining and dangerous chemical processes into orbit and beyond. Get it out of the atmosphere where its poluting byproducts can be blown away by the solar wind. Bonus is, the raw materials are readily at hand, just need a nudge to put them in orbit around Earth where they can be harvested. Again, this is an engineering problem, and like all engineering problems, you solve it by throwing engineers at it.

    Go ahead, be 'reasonable'. Fight for the status quo. Fight for decreasing resources increasingly more inaccessible. Fight to keep funnelling what wealth is left into the pockets of the 1%. Just don't complain when us unreasonable blokes run you over on our way to the future.

    --
    Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
  36. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    LOL right, that's what I read on here every night.....and also love letters to George Bush. Uh......are you sure you've actually read Slashdot?

    I don't know how you have your friends/foes list set up, but I see tons and tons of comments here parroting the Republican/tea party agenda, supporting the wars, etc. I also see a fair number of opposing comments, but those mostly seem to be from non-Americans.

    Going to Mars is IMO a stepping stone in that it helps get people out into space and building experience in sending people farther than an easy 3-day trip to the Moon. Also, we don't need to focus on going to the rest of the galaxy first, we need to get comfortable just leaving our own planet first, and in addition, there's plenty of stuff for us to do right here in our own solar system (and maybe even right around our own planet): energy harvesting, asteroid/moon mining, setting up systems to divert any asteroids on collision courses, tourism, etc. Besides, suppose something happened and we really did need to make an exodus from Earth (suppose the planet's atmosphere started turning unbreathable, so that in a few decades we'd be unable to live outside sealed structures); right now, we'd be screwed, but if we already have experience sending humans to other planets and building large structures in space, it wouldn't be quite so much of a stretch to contemplate building some generation ships, or at least building permanent off-world habitats for very large populations of humans.

  37. A new space race by Yetihehe · · Score: 1

    Welcome to space race 2.0. This time around USA will be the one losing economically.

    --
    Extreme Programming - Redundant Array of Inexpensive Developers
  38. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by kheldan · · Score: 1

    ..via large kinetic weapons

    ..and the AC has it. Did everyone else forget about The Moon Is A Harsh Mistress already?

    I predict the next "space race" will be to establish a permanent presence on the Moon, and the Chinese will be playing the role the Russians played back in the 1950's and 1960's.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  39. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by tsotha · · Score: 2

    ..and the AC has it. Did everyone else forget about The Moon Is A Harsh Mistress already?

    Let's assume the Chinese build a mass driver (assuming you could actually build one) on the moon and threatened to drop heavy rocks on us. The proper response would be "If you do that, we're going to turn your country into a vast expanse of radioactive glass." Trillions of yuan wasted because they forgot we had nukes. Stupid Chinese!

  40. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by EdgePenguin · · Score: 1

    People investing in aerospace who don't understand the difference between kerosene and hydrogen as fuels, deserve to lose their money. I should hope people dumping millions into a project would do a little bit of homework.

  41. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by mug+funky · · Score: 1

    huh?

  42. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by able1234au · · Score: 1

    You can weep all you want but this is a problem we need to solve. I wouldn't be giving up too soon. I see in you blog you saying you lost heart when the shuttle blew up. Well, this is a risky business and people die. The astronauts know it and accept it. We waste more fuel on silly pointless wars than we consume in space travel. You seem too ready to give up. Fine. Get out of the way.

  43. China may be going to the moon but the US will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China may be going to the moon but the US will have Idiocracy.

  44. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It was mostly basic aerodynamics that killed HOTOL. The design called for something that looked essentially like a vertical rocket but with wings. You can't fly that horizontally when empty. It goes up fine, but once you've used up all the fuel and released your payload, you're left with a monstrously huge empty tank causing drag at the front, and a cluster of heavy engines at the back. In aerodynamic flight, your drag is so far ahead of the centre of mass that it's like trying to fire an arrow backwards.

    HOTOL could have been flying in the mid 90s if the designers hadn't made that mistake.

  45. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by cobbaut · · Score: 1

    I predict the next "space race" will be to establish a permanent presence on the Moon, and the Chinese will be playing the role the Russians played back in the 1950's and 1960's.

    What makes you so sure they won't be playing the role of the Americans ?

    Their progress is seen as 'slow' and 'copying' by most Americans, but their 5 year and 10 year and 20 year plans are being steadily executed.

    Their Shenzhou spacecraft has done spaceflights that resemble American Mercury and Gemini, but it actually has all capabilities of Mercury, Gemini, Apollo and Soyuz combined (and improved).

    --
    European Linux user, living in Antwerp
  46. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no space travel like in movies. We can hop into LEO, a long time ago we went to the Moon. That's it. And that represents a handful of people. Ever. In the history of humanity.

    Ah! I think I see where you're coming from: space travel is not something that you would ever be allowed to do, therefore it isn't interesting for the human race to endeavour.

    That makes sense.. in a completely self-absorbed way...

  47. Just give them Apollo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Really. Just give the Chinese all of our Apollo info (everything we still have) and let them measure the extant rockets with a micrometer. Let them rebuild from our tech and throw in all the improvements the last thirty eight years have wrought and applaud them as they travel to the moon. There is no strategic value in the junk - the Chinese can nuke us quite handily, thank you - and we would save them trillions in development costs.

    Plus, we get to watch their public become disenchanted with how great Chinese science is, just like the Americans became disenchanted with their own science. China can join the US on the metaphorical couch watching reality TV and eating fried squid chips. Win-win!

  48. Re:Typo by arisvega · · Score: 1

    capable of taking Chinese astronauts to the moon and points beyond.

    No, he is right: look how the shadows on the picture on that link are all wrong-

    --
    The three laws of thermodynamics:(1) You can't win. (2) You can't break even. (3) You can't even quit.
  49. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    More importantly, they are focused on the economy, the way that USA was. Sadly, they cheat at everything, which we did not, however, they are still winning.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  50. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Hatta · · Score: 1

    Von Neumann probes should be possible within the known laws of physics. Physical constraints cannot be the solution to the Fermi paradox.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  51. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by kheldan · · Score: 1

    Then it would be mutually assured destruction. Their response would be to pound North America into dust -- non-radioactive dust, I might add, which could be re-colonized by the survivors immediately.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  52. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by tsotha · · Score: 1

    No it wouldn't. They wouldn't have any reason to sacrifice their country like that.

  53. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

    Wrong again. Steam did replace sail, diesel came later.

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
  54. Chinese design great stuff, but the QA is terrible by jerryjnormandin · · Score: 1

    I've built quadcopters and other r/c devices. I'm even guilty of purchasing parts at hobbyking. granted some the the parts are great, but you always need to order extra because the QA over in China isn't very good. I love the thrust I get out of the NTN 26-28a motor, but man.. If you need 4 motors you need to order 6 because 50% of the motors have bearings that fail. If it wasn't for the bearings the motors would be one of the best. I'm going to replace the bearings once I get the proper tools. Also tolerance.. hmm... you can always count on one part being wrong or a hole not lining up and have to machine the part yourself. Now imagine QA like that on a Lunar Lander project. Those poor Asians on that Lunar Lander. I say they have a 50% chance of survival. Not because they are not smart.. they are very smart. But they have QA issues.

  55. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know Ooog? I know Ooog too! Nice guy, invented the wheel. Wasn't he Chinese?

  56. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by kheldan · · Score: 1

    So you're inside the heads of the Chinese military leadership? You know exactly what they'd do in that situation? I think not.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  57. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by tsotha · · Score: 1

    They already have nukes. If that's what they're thinking it doesn't matter what happens on the moon.

  58. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fermi paradox aside for a second....

    After that last mega-jackpot thing a few months back, the one for a bunch of money with the odds around 1 in 175,711,536, well that got me to thinking... Assuming life was as probable as wining the lottery, and assuming there are about 300 billion stars in our galaxy; with those odds there will only be life in less than 2000 systems.

    The real question is ... is the chance of life forming somewhere in a system greater or less than winning the lottery, and has anyone else won this galactic lottery?

  59. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

    Yeah, Ooog was cool. He also helped invent dirt.

    I told him we shoulda patented it. It was a great idea...

    --
    Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
  60. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by kheldan · · Score: 1

    Apparently you have no imagination, which here in the U.S. anymore doesn't surprise me one bit, all the imagination, critical thinking skills, and initiative have been bred out of or trained out of just about everyone.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  61. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by tsotha · · Score: 1

    If by that you mean I'm an engineer who can actually analyze a concept without going all starry-eyed, well, that's true. Clearly you spent too much time reading science fiction and not enough studying actual science. It's fine to use your imagination, but at some point you need to leaven it with some connection with reality.

  62. Re:Cue the melodramatic space nutters.... by docmordin · · Score: 1

    History is filled with intransigent people like yourself that do not believe we will ever grow beyond our current mold, that certain topics are not worth pursuing as they will never bear fruit, etc. A good example are those skeptical about the future of artificial intelligence moving away simple heuristics and mathematical models, despite that "full"-brain simulation, at least at the neuronal level, is now not a matter of if, but when:

    H. Markram, "The Blue Brain project", Nature Rev. Neurosci. 7: 153-160, 2006
    H. Markram, "Fixing the location and dimensions of functional neocortical columns", HFSP J. 2: 132-135, 2008
    G. Khazen, et al., "Combinatorial expression rules of ion channel genes in juvenile rat (Rattus norvegicus) neocortical neurons", PLoS One 7: e34786, 2012
    M. Hines, et al., "Comparison of neuronal spike exchange methods on a Blue Gene/P supercomputer" Front. Comput. Neurosci. 5: 49, 2011
    R. Perin, et al., "A synaptic organizing principle for cortical neuronal groups", PNAS 108: 5419-5424, 2011
    A. C. Anastassiou, et al., "Ephaptic coupling of cortical neurons", Nature Neurosci. 14: 217-223, 2011
    S. Druckmann, et al, "Effective stimuli for constructing reliable neuron models", PLoS Comput. Biol. 7: e1002133, 2011
    E. Hay, et al., "Models of neocortical layer 5b pyramidal cells capturing a wide range of dendritic and perisomatic active properties", PLoS Comput. Biol. 7: e1002107, 2011
    S. Romand, et al., "Morphological development of thick-tufted layer V pyramidal cells in the rat somatosensory cortex", Front. Neuroanat. 5: 5, 2011
    J. G. King, et al., "A copmonent-based extension framework for large-scale parallel simulations in NEURON", Front. Neuroinfo. 3: 10, 2009
    T. K. Berger, et al., "Frequency-dependent disynaptic inhibition in the pyramidal network: A ubiquitous pathway in the developing rat neocortex", J. Physiol. 587: 5411-5425, 2009
    A. Loebel, et al., "Multiquantal release underlies the distribution of synaptic efficacies in the neocortex", Front. Comput. Neurosci. 3: 27, 2009
    H. Köndgen, et al., "The dynamical response properties of neocortical neurons to temporally modulated noisy inputs in vitro", Cerebral Cortex 18: 2086-2097, 2008
    M. L. Hines, et al., "Neuron splitting in compute-bound parallel network simulations enables runtime scaling with twice as many processors", J. Comput. Neurosci. 25: 203-210, 2008
    M. L. Hines, et al., "Fully implicit parallel simulation of single neurons", J. Comput. Neurosci. 25: 439-448, 2008
    C. Calì, et al., "Inferring connection proximity in networks of electrically coupled cells by subthreshold frequency response analysis", J. Comput. Neurosci. 24: 330-345, 2008
    M. Arsiero, et al., "The impact of input fluctuations on the frequency–current relationships of layer 5 pyramidal neurons in the rat medial prefrontal cortex", J. Neurosci. 27: 3274-3284, 2007
    J.-V. Le Bé, et al., "Morphological, electrophysiological, and synaptic properties of corticocallosal pyramidal cells in the neonatal rat neocortex", Cerebral Cortex 17: 2204-2213, 2007
    G. Silberberg and H. Markram, "Disynaptic inhibition between neocortical pyramidal cells mediated by Martinotti cells", Neuron 53: 735-746, 2007
    M. Toledo-Rodriguez and H. Markram, "Single-cell RT-PCR, a technique to decipher the electrical, anatomical, and genetic determinants of neuronal diversity", Methods Mol. Biol. 403: 123-139, 2007
    T. Berger, et al., "Transient rhythmic network activity in the somatosensory cortex evoked by distributed input in vitro", Neurosci. 140: 1401-1413, 2006
    J.-V. Le Bé and H. Markram, "Spontaneous and evoked synaptic rewiring in the neonatal neocortex", PNAS 103: 13214-13219, 2006
    M. Migliore, et al., "Parallel network simulations with NEURON", J. Comput. Neurosci. 21: 119-129, 2006
    Y. Wang, et al., "Heterogeneity in the pyramidal network of the medial prefrontal cortex", Nature Neurosci. 9: 534-542, 2006
    J. V. Le Bé, et al., "Morphological, electrophysiological, and synaptic properties of cor

  63. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by kheldan · · Score: 1

    Yeah, like I said: You have NO imagination, none whatsoever, and furthermore you sound like an absolute prick, likely tedious as hell to have to deal with personally, as rude as any kid from 4chan online, and you can go fuck yourself.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
  64. Re:The moon is the "high ground" in a military sen by tsotha · · Score: 1

    Says the guy who wrote this:

    Apparently you have no imagination, which here in the U.S. anymore doesn't surprise me one bit, all the imagination, critical thinking skills, and initiative have been bred out of or trained out of just about everyone.

    Maybe if you don't want people to treat you like an asshole you shouldn't act like one.