I'm assuming (hoping) the crime is typical. I thought a typical offender works alone, is male, and is single (though I admit I'm not up on my perv-profiling, that could be wrong). If there was a group, it would be pretty risky to assume someone isn't going forget sunscreen and come back to the room, so I think the must be alone.
Otherwise, Anon was right: it will be very difficult. Maybe those video games were on a rotating lease and were only in the arcade (or in that position) for a limited amount of time?
The room furniture & bedding probably only changes ever 10 years or so, so that won't be much help.
Maybe they started using a different kind of rubber mat in the elevator at some point? Changed the hot tub cover? Moved/Removed the red sign reflected in the fountain?
If they can't reduce the possible guests, I guess the best we can hope for is reducing the time frame.
Anonymous Said:It wouldn't surprise me if a million people stayed there in the last few years.
It has 2,048 rooms. If the avergage stay is 5 days then that's 149,504 bookings per year. They said it was 2-3 years ago, so we'll assume they can't get it any narrower than a 2 year range. That would be just under 300,000 bookings to investigate.
BUT... how many people checked in as just "Father/Daughter"? I would guess Disney might even take note of the approximate age of people staying there for marketing purposes so they could probably narrow it down to 5% of the bookings (~15,000).
From there you can start looking for how many of those people were single men (how many single men have daughters?). Sure, he could be married (or had been married), but probably not.
If he appeared in the pictures at all, race and possibly hair colour could also be used to reduce that number to under a hundred that could be quite easily interviewed.
The fact that an openly editable system can have false information put into it, doesn't really tell us anything we didn't know before. Of course false information CAN be added.
Also, 5 days is not a particularly long time for the errors to be caught. Anyone using the Wiki as a reference can expect the information is more likely to be accurate, the longer it has been in place. e.g., edited less than a year ago: could be right or wrong. 1-3 years: probably accurate. 3 years+: almost certainly accurate. (Depending on the popularity of the topic as well, of course.)
A better experiment would be to look up 5 topics that haven't been edited for at least a year and research all the statements made within. What percentage of false information existed within those 5 entries? THAT would be a relevant experiment.
Does anyone else find it odd that when the Justice Department said they wanted Explorer unbundled it was 'impossible,' but now that MS has spotted a new revenue stream suddenly they can hack out huge chunks of the operating system?
They are missing a lot of important information in that article. It seems written to promote DLP and skims over a lot of deficiencies with what they tested, and uneven ways in which the testing was done.
Page 3, Contrast. What it doesn't mention is that above 800:1, it becomes hard to see any difference, and above 1200:1, it's pretty much impossible.
The examples are also set up to make you think that the 'low constrast LCD' is the Z1, which it isn't. Here's a quick snap taken of my Z1 (slight blur due to hand-held camera) of the same scene.
Page 4, Resolution. Again what's left out is at what point it no longer makes a difference. This varies projector by projector and is a factor of the screen size, LCD resolution and distance the viewer is sitting from the screen.
For SVGA/WVGA one can no longer see the grid at all if they are sitting about 1.8x the diagonal of their screen away. For XGA, WXGA that number drops to 1x (probably closer than you'd want to be).
I sit 1.5x screen diagonal away from my WVGA projector (Z1) and can see the grid in very bright-white scenes only. (Specifically, I sit 15' away from a screen with a 10' diagonal.)
Page 5, Fan Noise. Fan noise varies depending on whether you are using the projector's low-lamp/theatre mode. Most projectors give you an option of running at its highest brightness level, or a dark but quieter mode. Where the manufacturer doesn't list
I sit directly below my Z1 and can definitely hear the fan in 'low-lamp' mode, if there is no sound in the movie. I can also here my refrigerator humming in the kitchen if its quiet. If someone is speaking it covers up the sound of the projector (and the fridge). Any guests I have seem oblivious to the sound of the fan until I mention it.
It seems like they must have measured the Z1s lumens in 'low-lamp' mode, and its fan in regular mode (to make it measure as loud as possible). If a manufacturer only lists one fan noise level, it will be their 'low-lamp' mode volume.
Page 6,7, LCD & DLP. He fails to mention that some people cannot watch a DLP projector without getting a headache or becoming nauseous due to a 'strobing' effect. It only happens to small percentage of the population (maybe 2%), but it is a well documented phenomenon. The problem does not exist on high end DLP projectors as they use a slightly different projection technique, but it does exist on all low end DLPs.
This is an issue because if you are ordering your projector over the internet, sight unseen, you may get it home to find out you can't watch it. Likewise, you may have a bunch of friends over, only to find out one of them can't sit through the film/game/etc.
The article fails to mention that LCD has better color saturation.
For a fair and balanced look at the DLP vs. LCD debate, see this Projector Central article.
The conclusion fails to factor in other important cost information, like that over the course of 6 years of ownership, the Dell projector will cost significantly more because you will have to buy 2 bulbs for it, in the same period you will only buy 1 for the other two projectors.
It also never returns to the briefly mentioned benefits of natively Widescreen projectors over traditional 4x3 projectors. Unless you watch a lot of very old movies, you will want to own a widescreen projector. All movies today are widescreen, and in 5 years, so will your television.
There is a lot more wrong with the article, but this should at least give you an idea that you should not make this your single source of information about home projectors. Instead do some reading over at AVSForum. There are a lot of knowledgeable people there who can set you straight where this article would mislead you.
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I'm assuming (hoping) the crime is typical. I thought a typical offender works alone, is male, and is single (though I admit I'm not up on my perv-profiling, that could be wrong). If there was a group, it would be pretty risky to assume someone isn't going forget sunscreen and come back to the room, so I think the must be alone.
Otherwise, Anon was right: it will be very difficult. Maybe those video games were on a rotating lease and were only in the arcade (or in that position) for a limited amount of time?
The room furniture & bedding probably only changes ever 10 years or so, so that won't be much help.
Maybe they started using a different kind of rubber mat in the elevator at some point? Changed the hot tub cover? Moved/Removed the red sign reflected in the fountain?
If they can't reduce the possible guests, I guess the best we can hope for is reducing the time frame.
Anonymous Said:It wouldn't surprise me if a million people stayed there in the last few years.
It has 2,048 rooms. If the avergage stay is 5 days then that's 149,504 bookings per year. They said it was 2-3 years ago, so we'll assume they can't get it any narrower than a 2 year range. That would be just under 300,000 bookings to investigate.
BUT... how many people checked in as just "Father/Daughter"? I would guess Disney might even take note of the approximate age of people staying there for marketing purposes so they could probably narrow it down to 5% of the bookings (~15,000).
From there you can start looking for how many of those people were single men (how many single men have daughters?). Sure, he could be married (or had been married), but probably not.
If he appeared in the pictures at all, race and possibly hair colour could also be used to reduce that number to under a hundred that could be quite easily interviewed.
I think it's actually a pretty good lead.
Looking to tell that special geek in your life how much you care? The following inequality graphs the shape of a heart:
r - 0.2e^(-10 | theta - 1.5 * pi |) < root( 0.5 * (1 + cos( theta + 0.5 * pi ) ) )
And this one makes the yin & yang symbol:
(cos (theta - r) - sin theta)(r^4 - 2r^2 cos( 2 * theta + 2.4 ) + 0.9) + (0.62r)^1000 < 0
The fact that an openly editable system can have false information put into it, doesn't really tell us anything we didn't know before. Of course false information CAN be added.
Also, 5 days is not a particularly long time for the errors to be caught. Anyone using the Wiki as a reference can expect the information is more likely to be accurate, the longer it has been in place. e.g., edited less than a year ago: could be right or wrong. 1-3 years: probably accurate. 3 years+: almost certainly accurate. (Depending on the popularity of the topic as well, of course.)
A better experiment would be to look up 5 topics that haven't been edited for at least a year and research all the statements made within. What percentage of false information existed within those 5 entries? THAT would be a relevant experiment.
-Colin.
Does anyone else find it odd that when the Justice Department said they wanted Explorer unbundled it was 'impossible,' but now that MS has spotted a new revenue stream suddenly they can hack out huge chunks of the operating system?
They are missing a lot of important information in that article. It seems written to promote DLP and skims over a lot of deficiencies with what they tested, and uneven ways in which the testing was done.
Page 3, Contrast. What it doesn't mention is that above 800:1, it becomes hard to see any difference, and above 1200:1, it's pretty much impossible.
The examples are also set up to make you think that the 'low constrast LCD' is the Z1, which it isn't. Here's a quick snap taken of my Z1 (slight blur due to hand-held camera) of the same scene.
Page 4, Resolution. Again what's left out is at what point it no longer makes a difference. This varies projector by projector and is a factor of the screen size, LCD resolution and distance the viewer is sitting from the screen.
For SVGA/WVGA one can no longer see the grid at all if they are sitting about 1.8x the diagonal of their screen away. For XGA, WXGA that number drops to 1x (probably closer than you'd want to be).
I sit 1.5x screen diagonal away from my WVGA projector (Z1) and can see the grid in very bright-white scenes only. (Specifically, I sit 15' away from a screen with a 10' diagonal.)
Page 5, Fan Noise. Fan noise varies depending on whether you are using the projector's low-lamp/theatre mode. Most projectors give you an option of running at its highest brightness level, or a dark but quieter mode. Where the manufacturer doesn't list
I sit directly below my Z1 and can definitely hear the fan in 'low-lamp' mode, if there is no sound in the movie. I can also here my refrigerator humming in the kitchen if its quiet. If someone is speaking it covers up the sound of the projector (and the fridge). Any guests I have seem oblivious to the sound of the fan until I mention it.
It seems like they must have measured the Z1s lumens in 'low-lamp' mode, and its fan in regular mode (to make it measure as loud as possible). If a manufacturer only lists one fan noise level, it will be their 'low-lamp' mode volume.
Page 6,7, LCD & DLP. He fails to mention that some people cannot watch a DLP projector without getting a headache or becoming nauseous due to a 'strobing' effect. It only happens to small percentage of the population (maybe 2%), but it is a well documented phenomenon. The problem does not exist on high end DLP projectors as they use a slightly different projection technique, but it does exist on all low end DLPs.
This is an issue because if you are ordering your projector over the internet, sight unseen, you may get it home to find out you can't watch it. Likewise, you may have a bunch of friends over, only to find out one of them can't sit through the film/game/etc.
The article fails to mention that LCD has better color saturation.
For a fair and balanced look at the DLP vs. LCD debate, see this Projector Central article.
The conclusion fails to factor in other important cost information, like that over the course of 6 years of ownership, the Dell projector will cost significantly more because you will have to buy 2 bulbs for it, in the same period you will only buy 1 for the other two projectors.
It also never returns to the briefly mentioned benefits of natively Widescreen projectors over traditional 4x3 projectors. Unless you watch a lot of very old movies, you will want to own a widescreen projector. All movies today are widescreen, and in 5 years, so will your television.
There is a lot more wrong with the article, but this should at least give you an idea that you should not make this your single source of information about home projectors. Instead do some reading over at AVSForum. There are a lot of knowledgeable people there who can set you straight where this article would mislead you.
-Colin.