It does have potential, and Japan is a good place for it. That California plant injects treated sewer water, taking care of two problems at the same time. Since Japan obviously needs a crash program to build power generation in all forms available, they will probably get some geothermal.
I like geothermal too. But the entire US supply of geothermal electricity at 77 plants (3,086 MW) is less than this one nuclear power plant (4,696 MW) was a month ago. There's a lot of potential for geothermal energy in Japan, but not enough to make up for this and all the other plants that are now offline.
This is only a survey so the accuracy may not be precise, though statiticians and Comscore might argue the sample is large enough to report these numbers with 95% confidence. This is not share of sales. This is share of phones in the field. It's only US installed base. In order to achieve 33% of the phones in the field from where they were before, Android has to be near or over half of phones sold in the spanned period. Let's crunch the numbers and see how that maths out:
Growth of 13% to achieve 69.5M users is 8M net new users. Of those new users Google got 7M, or 87%, Apple got 2.1M, or 27%. And yes, that adds up to more than 8M and 100% because all other phone OS vendors actually lost users to Apple and Google. RIM and Palm both lost.5M each, and Microsoft lost.2M from par (not losing any users). There's an errant.1M in there from rounding. Android DID sell more than half of the phones in the period.
The huge fail story is Palm, which is to be expected from a platform that was acquired by HP and its fate left uncertain the previous eight months. Palm actually lost twice as many users as could be expected if ALL expiring contracts selected a different OS and NO new users came in from another OS (i.e. they sold no phones). That basically means at least 212,000 people were paying termination fees to get away from Palm. It's the "customers are chewing their leg off to get away from us" story that adds up to millions in early termination fees and hundreds of millions of dollars worth of dead inventory taking up space on somebody's shelf and gathering dust in somebody's inventory. It's a lot of e-waste, though not as bad as the Kin story percentagewise. In corporate value this is probably more than a billion dollars loss that could have been avoided with some clear communications and a cogent transition strategy.
RIM's performance with a net loss of over 500,000 customers comes as a bit of a shock. I thought their customers were more committed than that (though my company did switch from RIM to Android during the period and I love my new Epic). To keep up with market growth and maintain share RIM needed 2.6M new customers. They fell 3.1M customers short of that goal. But at least not many of their customers are chewing their leg off to get away from them. I expect RIM will embrace Android on their phones in some fashion shortly.
Microsoft's performance over this holiday period and WP7 launch surprised me by how limited the damage was. I was expecting an echo of the Palm story here. If absolutely no new customers came in then of the 553,000 customers up for two-year renew only 183,000 or 1/3 abandoned them, and they sold 360,000 phones in the US in the quarter. Share was extremely negative, growth was negative, but at least they sold SOME phones. Perhaps Microsoft and Dell buying their employees WP7 phones skewed these numbers a wee bit.
The message is clear: The only winners in smartphone OS during this 2010 holiday period are Android and Apple. They were driving 100% of the growth in smartphones and consuming their competitors markets at the same time. Android outperformed Apple in net new users over the holiday period nearly three to one. This is probably fine by Apple since they no doubt outperformed Google on Smartphone revenue by thirty to one, outgrew the market, and sold every single phone they could get manufactured. Neither Google nor Apple is taking anything from the other, and they're each winning big in their own way. Between them though, they're munching up what's left of their competitors.
As a final note, in a field where growth is 5% or less and gains of share are 2% or less per quarter, Comscore's data presentation here makes sense. The US smartphone market share numbers are not that field. The presentation doesn't make clear the salient facts presented above, though if you analyze the numbers the information can be extracted.
Averaging the year as phone days, Apple had more. The growth rate is immense for Android, so the real install base didn't even show up until the middle of Q3. These numbers for 2011 will be very different.
We don't know everything yet. So far Japan has some new national heros, the Fukushima Fifty. And a new 500sq. Mi. National park and wildlfe refuge. Also, concerns about the unemployment rate have been reduced by a new national jobs program, "operation cleanup". Their housing crisis is now a building boom - with something like a half-million homes deficit to make up as soon as possible, which means new jobs for the displaced vegetable farmers after retraining.
All is not rosy, though. Many people died or were displaced in the tsunami, and grief among the survivors is intense. Electrical power shortages are likely to be troublesome for years, hampering manufacturing. There are some concerns with export shipping. And there may be some power plants that need some maintenance from the Earthquake and tsunami. We will learn more over the coming months as further events unfold, but that's already enough major projects to get started on.
We can all play. Can you to better than IDC? I'll start.
Global smartphone OS share of sales (not installed base) for calendar year 2015:
Android (including 10% RIM): 65%
iOS (three concurrent models): 22%
RIM Classic: 5%
WebOS: 3%
Other (mostly OEM branded spins of Linux as "Plan B"): 5%
Symbian: 0%
Nokia will be in receivership having never shipped a single Windows Phone at retail. They will sue Microsoft, but the court will hold them to the clause in the contract that says if they go bankrupt Microsoft gets all their cellphone intellectual property. Steve Ballmer greets the sad news of his partner's demise gracefully: "It's a contract. You should read it before you sign it."
Intermediate events:
June, 2011: At the launch of Angry Birds for Windows Phone 7 Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer appears in a green pig costume and facepaint to be pelted by Angry Birds plush toys for a press event. Rovio CEO Mikael Hed is heard cackling and gasping for breath as he's carried to his private jet, which was formerly Steve Ballmer's Gulfstream V.
In a joint press conference in August 2011 Larry Page and Tim Cook announce that between Apple and Google they are now shipping one million phones per day. The delivery is a bit awkward given the fierce competition, but the two give a convincing argument for fierce competition driving rapid progress.
March 2012: Apple, Inc. becomes the world's largest public corporation by market capitalization, surpassing Exxon Corp. They trade places back and forth for a few weeks until an Exxon tanker runs aground in the mediterranean, when Apple takes the lead for good.
December, 2012. Apple opens an eBay store, directly selling their products for whatever the market will bear. Prices for iPads normalize at 150% of suggested retail.
October 2013, another Microsoft Office refresh is released. The most widely read review begins: "All the same features, but they moved the buttons and changed the file formats again!" On launch day over seven billion specially targeted versions of malware plugins are available, so Microsoft includes a malware sorting interface that allows users to see how their documents are being stolen, and by whom - but it's unreliable and exposes some additional compromise interfaces and so is deprecated immediately.
At RTM in November 2013 Windows 8 for ARM and Intel officially named Windows# is widely panned. The usually verbose Anandtech review consists solely of the text "Breaks app compatibility." Mary Jo Foley just displays the Twitter fail whale without further comment. Others are less kind. HP announces that they're surrendering maintenance of Windows drivers for their vast armada of PCs, laptops, servers and printers to Microsoft as "not worth the trouble - let them deal with it." Dell and Acer go the other route, fully embracing the new features and benefits with multibillion dollar cobranded advertising campaigns. The ARM x86 emulator VM in the product will induce Intel to sue Microsoft for theft of intellectual property the following day, with successful petition to the ITC for an injunction against the products.
December, 2013 Microsoft announces their "Hardphone," for Christmas. Supposedly made from a "recycled" depleted Uranium frame and completely indestructible. FCC testing reveals that the Uranium it's made of, refined from Fukushima Corium, is not fully depleted and the product is banned in 135 nations as fatally toxic.
In January 2014 in Helsinki, one Sven Olafson becomes the first recorded death from exposure in an iPad queue, having lined up several months before the anticipated release of iPad 5. In consideration his family will receive a pre-release version and Apple will move the release date for subsequent versions to August. In its press release Apple states "We don't know what we can do here. We've enlisted all the available manpower of Southeast Asia, and we still can't meet demand for our products." Pundits prop
Oh yes this is a brilliant plan that will decimate the fandriod army. Don't tell them or they might do it. That would lead to WP7 dominance with Exchange, Windows and Office stronger than ever. We definitely don't want them to think of this foolproof plan. Wink, wink.
Last year the US government paid me back my tax witholding, plus $4000. I have a problem with that. I'm an American. I don't expect the government to pay me for the privilege of living here, enjoying the benefits of being in the land of the free. I figure that money, and some more, could have gone to buying down our debt and, difficult as it was, I'd have paid it. Now, because I took this money I have complicity. I am complicit in the downfall of the republic. I'd rather they kept me out of it and paid our bills with ready cash.
Dressing it up with fancy words doesn't change its essence. It's astroturfing. It won't succeed because its general assumption is that people are stupid. They're not, or at least enough of us are not to protect us from this. It's got fail written all over it.
And perhaps that's the point. Microsoft may now want to fail in the most conspicuous way, so as to diminish their brand and control. If that's the case, I'm for it.
In our representative republican form of government we deserve what we get because we demanded it. It's an inside joke that took 200 years to hear the punchline.
Why would you bother when you could get a viewsonic gtab for an extra $50, be 4 times as powerful and come with all the proper android pre-setup. Especially since the nook is using an ips screen so it doesn't even have the soft on the eyes e-reader appeal or work well outdoors.
Please. I can't be bothered to buy a nook color until it's got what I want: the full Google experience. A few bucks aren't going to shift me this way or that. I want what I want, and that's a tablet that obeys me, that gives what I want. If Moto or Samsung deliver that in a reliable brand, why should I look an your third market crap?
I think MSR is into some AI research on New Media. This is actually an approved use of slashdot. Others have been using it for years to work on both sides of the CAPTCHA arms race. That's what the Gay Nigger and malware link trolls were about, anyway. That it's so painfully obvious shows that MS don't have a clue what they're doing. I did better a quarter century ago. Steve Jobs was right: they have no taste.
Anyway, I think it's mostly automated except for the account inception. They probably store their keywords and response tables in a SQL database. A shame we don't know it's web interface address, or somebody could get in and have some real fun.
They seem to be getting behind it. Reportedly they're going to have a regular Android App marketplace on the thing. There are rumors of an official full Android software update. Why fight it? The more people who buy it, the cheaper the economies of scale become for their reader.
Other Android equipment OEMs have expressed similar praise. Some of the aspects of a mobile OS that Moto wants from an alternative (control, lock-in) are not consumer-positive, which is why they're unlikely to become dominant in the marketplace any time soon. But having an available contingency plan, or providing a choice, is usually not a bad thing.
By the same metric iOS isn't a moneymaker at all either. Apple doesn't sell it as a standalone product or license it to others. They don't charge for upgrades. It's just some software they throw in with their hardware products. The hardware products seem to be doing fairly well though.
Slashdot Mirror
To be fair, the pirate sites are the relevant results. Who looks for a movie's "official" website?
It does have potential, and Japan is a good place for it. That California plant injects treated sewer water, taking care of two problems at the same time. Since Japan obviously needs a crash program to build power generation in all forms available, they will probably get some geothermal.
I like geothermal too. But the entire US supply of geothermal electricity at 77 plants (3,086 MW) is less than this one nuclear power plant (4,696 MW) was a month ago. There's a lot of potential for geothermal energy in Japan, but not enough to make up for this and all the other plants that are now offline.
My source is TFA, and math.
What have you done for me lately?
This is only a survey so the accuracy may not be precise, though statiticians and Comscore might argue the sample is large enough to report these numbers with 95% confidence. This is not share of sales. This is share of phones in the field. It's only US installed base. In order to achieve 33% of the phones in the field from where they were before, Android has to be near or over half of phones sold in the spanned period. Let's crunch the numbers and see how that maths out:
Growth of 13% to achieve 69.5M users is 8M net new users. Of those new users Google got 7M, or 87%, Apple got 2.1M, or 27%. And yes, that adds up to more than 8M and 100% because all other phone OS vendors actually lost users to Apple and Google. RIM and Palm both lost .5M each, and Microsoft lost .2M from par (not losing any users). There's an errant .1M in there from rounding. Android DID sell more than half of the phones in the period.
The huge fail story is Palm, which is to be expected from a platform that was acquired by HP and its fate left uncertain the previous eight months. Palm actually lost twice as many users as could be expected if ALL expiring contracts selected a different OS and NO new users came in from another OS (i.e. they sold no phones). That basically means at least 212,000 people were paying termination fees to get away from Palm. It's the "customers are chewing their leg off to get away from us" story that adds up to millions in early termination fees and hundreds of millions of dollars worth of dead inventory taking up space on somebody's shelf and gathering dust in somebody's inventory. It's a lot of e-waste, though not as bad as the Kin story percentagewise. In corporate value this is probably more than a billion dollars loss that could have been avoided with some clear communications and a cogent transition strategy.
RIM's performance with a net loss of over 500,000 customers comes as a bit of a shock. I thought their customers were more committed than that (though my company did switch from RIM to Android during the period and I love my new Epic). To keep up with market growth and maintain share RIM needed 2.6M new customers. They fell 3.1M customers short of that goal. But at least not many of their customers are chewing their leg off to get away from them. I expect RIM will embrace Android on their phones in some fashion shortly.
Microsoft's performance over this holiday period and WP7 launch surprised me by how limited the damage was. I was expecting an echo of the Palm story here. If absolutely no new customers came in then of the 553,000 customers up for two-year renew only 183,000 or 1/3 abandoned them, and they sold 360,000 phones in the US in the quarter. Share was extremely negative, growth was negative, but at least they sold SOME phones. Perhaps Microsoft and Dell buying their employees WP7 phones skewed these numbers a wee bit.
The message is clear: The only winners in smartphone OS during this 2010 holiday period are Android and Apple. They were driving 100% of the growth in smartphones and consuming their competitors markets at the same time. Android outperformed Apple in net new users over the holiday period nearly three to one. This is probably fine by Apple since they no doubt outperformed Google on Smartphone revenue by thirty to one, outgrew the market, and sold every single phone they could get manufactured. Neither Google nor Apple is taking anything from the other, and they're each winning big in their own way. Between them though, they're munching up what's left of their competitors.
As a final note, in a field where growth is 5% or less and gains of share are 2% or less per quarter, Comscore's data presentation here makes sense. The US smartphone market share numbers are not that field. The presentation doesn't make clear the salient facts presented above, though if you analyze the numbers the information can be extracted.
Averaging the year as phone days, Apple had more. The growth rate is immense for Android, so the real install base didn't even show up until the middle of Q3. These numbers for 2011 will be very different.
All is not rosy, though. Many people died or were displaced in the tsunami, and grief among the survivors is intense. Electrical power shortages are likely to be troublesome for years, hampering manufacturing. There are some concerns with export shipping. And there may be some power plants that need some maintenance from the Earthquake and tsunami. We will learn more over the coming months as further events unfold, but that's already enough major projects to get started on.
We can all play. Can you to better than IDC? I'll start.
Global smartphone OS share of sales (not installed base) for calendar year 2015:
Nokia will be in receivership having never shipped a single Windows Phone at retail. They will sue Microsoft, but the court will hold them to the clause in the contract that says if they go bankrupt Microsoft gets all their cellphone intellectual property. Steve Ballmer greets the sad news of his partner's demise gracefully: "It's a contract. You should read it before you sign it."
Intermediate events:
June, 2011: At the launch of Angry Birds for Windows Phone 7 Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer appears in a green pig costume and facepaint to be pelted by Angry Birds plush toys for a press event. Rovio CEO Mikael Hed is heard cackling and gasping for breath as he's carried to his private jet, which was formerly Steve Ballmer's Gulfstream V.
In a joint press conference in August 2011 Larry Page and Tim Cook announce that between Apple and Google they are now shipping one million phones per day. The delivery is a bit awkward given the fierce competition, but the two give a convincing argument for fierce competition driving rapid progress.
March 2012: Apple, Inc. becomes the world's largest public corporation by market capitalization, surpassing Exxon Corp. They trade places back and forth for a few weeks until an Exxon tanker runs aground in the mediterranean, when Apple takes the lead for good.
December, 2012. Apple opens an eBay store, directly selling their products for whatever the market will bear. Prices for iPads normalize at 150% of suggested retail.
October 2013, another Microsoft Office refresh is released. The most widely read review begins: "All the same features, but they moved the buttons and changed the file formats again!" On launch day over seven billion specially targeted versions of malware plugins are available, so Microsoft includes a malware sorting interface that allows users to see how their documents are being stolen, and by whom - but it's unreliable and exposes some additional compromise interfaces and so is deprecated immediately.
At RTM in November 2013 Windows 8 for ARM and Intel officially named Windows# is widely panned. The usually verbose Anandtech review consists solely of the text "Breaks app compatibility." Mary Jo Foley just displays the Twitter fail whale without further comment. Others are less kind. HP announces that they're surrendering maintenance of Windows drivers for their vast armada of PCs, laptops, servers and printers to Microsoft as "not worth the trouble - let them deal with it." Dell and Acer go the other route, fully embracing the new features and benefits with multibillion dollar cobranded advertising campaigns. The ARM x86 emulator VM in the product will induce Intel to sue Microsoft for theft of intellectual property the following day, with successful petition to the ITC for an injunction against the products.
December, 2013 Microsoft announces their "Hardphone," for Christmas. Supposedly made from a "recycled" depleted Uranium frame and completely indestructible. FCC testing reveals that the Uranium it's made of, refined from Fukushima Corium, is not fully depleted and the product is banned in 135 nations as fatally toxic.
In January 2014 in Helsinki, one Sven Olafson becomes the first recorded death from exposure in an iPad queue, having lined up several months before the anticipated release of iPad 5. In consideration his family will receive a pre-release version and Apple will move the release date for subsequent versions to August. In its press release Apple states "We don't know what we can do here. We've enlisted all the available manpower of Southeast Asia, and we still can't meet demand for our products." Pundits prop
Oh yes this is a brilliant plan that will decimate the fandriod army. Don't tell them or they might do it. That would lead to WP7 dominance with Exchange, Windows and Office stronger than ever. We definitely don't want them to think of this foolproof plan. Wink, wink.
Last year the US government paid me back my tax witholding, plus $4000. I have a problem with that. I'm an American. I don't expect the government to pay me for the privilege of living here, enjoying the benefits of being in the land of the free. I figure that money, and some more, could have gone to buying down our debt and, difficult as it was, I'd have paid it. Now, because I took this money I have complicity. I am complicit in the downfall of the republic. I'd rather they kept me out of it and paid our bills with ready cash.
Thanks for giving up another shill account.
Congratulations. You're tagged too. Collect your stuff.
It's easy to write bad code. It's just really hard to maintain it.
Dressing it up with fancy words doesn't change its essence. It's astroturfing. It won't succeed because its general assumption is that people are stupid. They're not, or at least enough of us are not to protect us from this. It's got fail written all over it.
And perhaps that's the point. Microsoft may now want to fail in the most conspicuous way, so as to diminish their brand and control. If that's the case, I'm for it.
In our representative republican form of government we deserve what we get because we demanded it. It's an inside joke that took 200 years to hear the punchline.
Please. I can't be bothered to buy a nook color until it's got what I want: the full Google experience. A few bucks aren't going to shift me this way or that. I want what I want, and that's a tablet that obeys me, that gives what I want. If Moto or Samsung deliver that in a reliable brand, why should I look an your third market crap?
Repetition drives retention.
I think MSR is into some AI research on New Media. This is actually an approved use of slashdot. Others have been using it for years to work on both sides of the CAPTCHA arms race. That's what the Gay Nigger and malware link trolls were about, anyway. That it's so painfully obvious shows that MS don't have a clue what they're doing. I did better a quarter century ago. Steve Jobs was right: they have no taste.
Anyway, I think it's mostly automated except for the account inception. They probably store their keywords and response tables in a SQL database. A shame we don't know it's web interface address, or somebody could get in and have some real fun.
180 words, under 1 minute by the timestamp. It was actually under 30 seconds. Bot. A prepared response to any article containing "hacked" and "mysql"
Microsoft web serving products? How dumb can can a bot get? Turing fail.
Some evidence of server issues here already. Another report: A proper link?
They seem to be getting behind it. Reportedly they're going to have a regular Android App marketplace on the thing. There are rumors of an official full Android software update. Why fight it? The more people who buy it, the cheaper the economies of scale become for their reader.
Other Android equipment OEMs have expressed similar praise. Some of the aspects of a mobile OS that Moto wants from an alternative (control, lock-in) are not consumer-positive, which is why they're unlikely to become dominant in the marketplace any time soon. But having an available contingency plan, or providing a choice, is usually not a bad thing.
By the same metric iOS isn't a moneymaker at all either. Apple doesn't sell it as a standalone product or license it to others. They don't charge for upgrades. It's just some software they throw in with their hardware products. The hardware products seem to be doing fairly well though.