Actually, gas and coal do not power UPS/fedex/USPO/semi-trailer trucks, or pacific ocean container ships. Both for the end user delivery and delivering raw-ish materials to the manufacturers.
Try going to a solar panel distributor and ordering a bunch of panels, made in the US or china doesn't matter, the shipping cost of sending a truck out to you full of delicate glass is really quite high.
I'm told that on islands almost all electricity is generated from stationary diesels. In the continental US it doesn't matter, but I could imagine the price of diesel has a big effect on sales on the Hawaiian Islands, which coincidentally probably get a lot more sunlight than seattle anyway.
If oil spiked, the demand for installed panels would be extremely high, but the UPS cost of delivery would probably rise to a multiple of the cost of the panels, its very unclear if this would improve or destroy overall system economic budget numbers. The explosive inflation rate that results would also modify the cost of competitive energy sources... If the coal miners literally cannot afford to drive to work unless you triple their pay, then coals going up in price (probably by a bit less than triple, but...)
Shale oil is a great way to burn nine barrels of high grade crude to produce around ten, plus or minus five, barrels of low grade crude. The EROEI is not that awesome. Its right up there with turning diesel oil into corn into corn oil into biodiesel, or the corn ethanol cycle, lots of arguments about it being microscopically net positive or microscopically net negative cycle, but everyone agrees its right around 1:1 so its pretty irrelevant in the big picture. Also Shale oil needs a lot of water to process, and it seems stereotypically to be located right where there is no water available, changing it from a lack of oil problem to a lack of water problem. If only there were shale oil deposits in the great lakes, or new orleans, then it would be all good, but it always seems to be in a desert or under a glacier or something, almost like a supernatural being put it there just to frustrate us. (yeah I know a glacier has plenty of water, but being a glacier, the water in the plant wants to freeze in the pipes, so its a big problem...)
Well, it says that the projected increase is 8% for next year... wouldn't that be a sign of people wanting these thingamalings?
The company-killer is every player in the industry wearing very rose covered glasses thinking they individually will be the sole supplier for the entire markets growth.
The overall market is growing 10%? OK we'll borrow money to expand production by 10% of the world wide market. Later... Oh sales only went up 10% yoy? Whoops, well I got my golden parachute, bye guys.
Assuming its not that bad, the finances kill them anyway. So, we need to expand production this year by 10% to keep up with demand and the other players. No problemo I'll ring up the bank... Bank says F-off because they make more money borrowing from the fed at 0% and issuing credit card debt at 29.99%. Well OK then we'll sell stock.... Whoops finance says forget that because the market is totally crooked and scheming so no one wants to buy a "real" investment, and due to SOX etc costs we actually cannot raise the money. Well then we'll self invest, raise our current prices so we clear enough additional profit to grow next year.. Whoops that killed our sales because the Chinese will govt finance at 0% and our higher prices killed our sales.
Fundamentally it comes down to 1) People are notoriously bad at making sensible investments during a strong growth phase 2) Corrupt and/or failing financial systems both here and abroad mean we can't get the dough to expand, no matter how much we want or how profitable it would be.
Not only real, but vlm (69642) happens to be an integer. 32 bit variety, not 16 bit. Now for some old timer reminiscence, didn't/. have a legendary multi-day outage a decade ago because the article ID was a 16 bit int, or something like that?
As a practical matter as long as you've got an open ethernet port most/.-types will be pretty happy. Its only gotta pass traffic for two minutes anyway.
but we are talking about universal education here- not just education for the elite.
No, we are talking about education for the elite. I would imagine the fraction of the population who understand big O notation or boolean logic is pretty small, probably skews to a pretty high income level, and if I remember my fellow students correctly they were mostly white males like me. You can't even take a class like that at some institutions, much less be lucky enough to have great teachers like happened to me and the OP.
I would agree that at the grade school level its "performance art"... But at undergrad level and up, no.
Also don't discount good teacher vs bad teacher. I had dozens of "script reader" "book reader" types over the course of my life. A video of a TALENTED prof always beats a bad teacher, so on average you'd come out ahead with quality videos. I still cringe when I think of my serbian-croation-whatever-he-was TA trying to lecture us about calculus during discussion time 20 years ago. Thank god mathematics is a universal language because we (as a group) never understood a word he said. He was a good teacher, just couldn't speak english, and all interaction was thru equations on a blackboard. Most of the itunes-U type videos are more or less "newscaster english" and good enough video quality to read the blackboard, at least most of the time. There is also a publisher called "The Teaching Company" which although very expensive (Maybe $10 per DVD seems cheap, until the complete lecture series is like 25 DVDs) is of uniformly extraordinary quality, check out their tapes/cds/dvds at your local public library. Even the worst itunes-U videos I've seen still come in around the median of teaching skill. At least right now, thankfully, they don't bother video recording the worst teachers.
I can see it already.. "I can't believe they sent me on this interplanetary posting to the far side of the galaxy with a flashlight and a can of bug spray... if they try to take my red stapler back to the home worlds... I'll... I'll... I'll mix up a batch of a million gallons of Tc-98 isotopically enhanced radioactive ink and use my spacecraft observation probe as a giant space based ink jet printer to spray a 100 mile wide radioactive goatse.jpg on the far side of the moon... and when the natives finally get there and graph out the spectroscopic abundance, oh they'll be trouble then... thats what they got for trying to take my red stapler... I'll do it, I swear I'll do it"
Oh Well, I suppose this is yet another tired social media story, there goes my chance at ever getting hired by NASA...
I can't read the article, but wouldn't it be better to plant non-visual clues if we were trying to signal to an alien civilization?
Maybe... concentric rings of something weird for the moon, like an obscure U isotope? with something cool buried at the bullseye?
A bored physicist spending too much time with a cyclotron separator on a lonely posting on the far end of the galaxy could be pretty entertaining if he got a bit squirrely in carrying out his mission. How about some weird isotope that is mostly stable and can only be made in a reactor? Maybe some Tc-98? The Ru-98 decay product is stable, and a high concentration of Ru-98 laying about would be almost as bizarre as finding Tc-98 laying about.
I think driving a mass spectrometer around the planets and moons would be an interesting scientific study regardless of SETI implications.
For that matter, if "they" planted a decorative geometric care package of Tc-98 on the moon, I'm not entirely clear why "they" couldn't have done something similar here, somewhere geologically stable-ish.
Interestingly enough, more than 100 yrs ago all this Tc-98 talk would have been meaningless. Its hard to say how future techs might find even weirder stuff. If there is any real world prime directive, it might not rely on being observed, the galactic "you must be this tall for the ride" chart might be observing something really weird once we have quantum computers or a convenient portable intense hand held source of higgs particles.
I would imagine a really bored physicist could do other odd Fortean stuff, like bury a giant freaking microwave waveguide turned into an interdigital filter with passbands such that you whack it with a strong white noise source the resulting output displayed on a spectrum analyzer is a crazy morse code/rs-232 like signal saying "hi", or maybe "dig here for care package". Even just burying radar retroreflectors in a geometric pattern would totally freak out the radar guys.
Note to boss: Do not send vlm on boring interplanetary field posting or he's really going to intensely F with the native's heads once he goes bonkers, or more bonkers anyway.
The idea that no proof is possible is trivially easy to disprove. If an all-powerful being exists, that being must have the power to prove it's own existence. No such proof exists, and therefore it becomes necessary to invent excuses for the all-powerful being.
Can't you just use logical contradiction? Here's three random christian postulates which we are not allowed to question:
1) christian god created everything 2) christian god is good guy not bad guy 3) people are capable of doing evil
Only get to pick 2 of those 3. Any two are logically consistent, but one Must be false, and it doesn't seem any of them are more likely to be correct or wrong, so maybe they're all wrong?
That seems to be a profoundly unscientific outlook. Science is making useful, falsifiable predictions about the likely outcome of future experiments and observations using some kind of formalized universal theory. You can do endless science about the orbits of planets, geology, evolution, genetics.
One example from your unscientific post was "can science explain how the world began?" and you claim no. Horribly wrong. A geologist can gin up some weird model of geological plate tectonics or the temperature of the earth vs depth of crust. Then you run the math, meanwhile a dude digs a hole and drops a thermometer in, and the math and the thermometer seem to match up... "We have not been able to falsify via experiment or observation that the earth congealed out of flying sphagetti or WTF" Furthermore after enough experiments and observations fail to disprove something, you may as well "believe" in it and expect all future experiments to fit the model.
It doesn't really matter in an abstract sense if "evolution is true" or not. All that matters is every time you apply the magic box of the theory of evolution in the future, it seems that each time, observations and experiments seem to result in experiment matching the magic boxes prediction.
What science aka falsifiable predictions about future experiments and observations can you do about christian creationism... Well I guess I could dare your god to strike me down with lightning, which certainly hasn't happened yet, or... um... Seriously, can you run statistically relevant verifiable falsifiable experiments on religion? No.
Now that fact that religion is not science, doesn't mean its wrong or evil, in fact I'm kind of a distant fan of Christianity, at least in theory although not so much how its practiced by sinful people, and some of my best friends are christians which also predisposes me to like it, but being non-scientific merely means it has no relationship at all WRT.
And none of them are innovative, at least in the short term. And I can't even imagine what could be released in those fields that is innovative.
I suppose buying gasoline, natgas for the furnace, electricity for the air conditioner, would be pretty innovative on a multi-century time scale, but not compared solely to next year.
Medical is not innovative for consumers. For tech types we understand new things are always arriving. For management types there are purchase orders to be decided on. For joe 6pack the medical experience is, they deduct an ever increasing fraction of your paycheck for insurance, you go to hospital/clinic when necessary, doc does his thing, the end. Recently with medical-bill-caused bankruptcy if the insurance only covers 80% costs and your hospital trip had a high 6 figure bill.
Food is certainly not innovative, unless you count the American obsession with soaking everything to saturation with corn syrup and/or salt. If you go low carb for awhile until your taste buds downregulate, most "regular american food" tastes way beyond disgusting until your taste buds upregulate again.
A housing is simply not innovative. A McMansion is just a large shack. So your overgrown cookie cutter garden shed has fake styrofoam columns. Woo hoo. Soooo not impressed with innovation in housing. If anything housing seems to be the opposite of innovation.
online cloud based apps that replace every functionality you needed desktop apps for
Already almost there, at work.
We downgraded from a opensource web based ticket system to a local client home grown POS ticket system that doesn't work as well. This I'm sure will move back to the web.
We still have ms office installed although people are starting to use web alternatives for convenience whenever possible.
Our current CAD system does not have a web viewer. I'm sure that will change eventually. Maybe the cheapskates just have not paid for it.
There are a couple weird engineering apps of the $$$$$$$$ per seat license variety which very few people use but are vital for operation. I suppose those could be run on a rdesktop thingy.
Most people use "outlook client" instead of "outlook webmail" for little reason other than inertia. At home obviously I log into the webmail and its just fine.
I use ssh roughly 40 hours per week, for years (decades?) there have been web/java hosted ssh apps. Some day I'll set up some kind of "java ssh client" here so I don't need to run putty-ssh.
Other than that, in an extremely tech oriented office, we're already there... don't require html5 for all "apps on the net" situations anyway, at least not per evidence of past 15 years or so. I don't run native apps. I might have 3 FF windows each with 5 tabs, but FF is the only "desktop app" I use at work on a regular basis.
What if consumer spending never goes back up, adjusted for inflation? I know that adjusted for inflation the median has had less income every year for something like 40 years. Also.edu, medical, car/transportation, energy, food, and housing costs have recently been exploding. Then add in "new" expenses. Very few people were spending $150/month on smartphone bills more than a couple years ago. Leaving less money for consumer spending every year.
so... those companies who wait, might be waiting a very long time indeed, like until they go out of business.
Who the hell wants to be in their bedroom for a long period of time watching TV?
X rated answer : "Adult" movies?
G rated answer : I was sick as a dog with the flu a year ago and I think a nice comfy bed with a TV was just about right for a day or two... Then I graduated to the couch in the living room with a blankie, etc. I think it took a week to regain full energy level.
Early adopter and tech guys all "know" that multi foot long TVs are supposed to be thousands of dollars. I simply left the market up until recently, there's no way I'm spending a "used car" on a tv. Ignored the market, was shocked recently at how cheap TVs have gotten. Almost cheaper than a physical window. We're very close to the point that from a materials and energy cost standpoint for it to be cheaper to install a 40-something inch TV in portrait mode and a webcam sideways outdoors and call it a "iWindow" or something like that.
Of course my recently purchased 42 inch TV was only a couple hundred bucks, not several thousand, and I'm probably the last guy in the US to have upgraded from CRT to LCD, so it might already be too late to "convince" people that big TVs are still $3000, including the new iTV?
... a lot of trash talking about the tablet market pretty much right up to the ipad release party.
Its a characteristic "apple" thing that they harder they trash talk something the more likely it seems they are to release it. I think part of it is misdirection, and a lot is management of anticipation, oh steve says its gonna suck, oh look, its actually not too bad, those guys must be geniuses.
If you can get an apple exec to categorically state there is no way they'll release a TV, that guarantees that in a couple months they'll release apple iTV...
LOL I have a 12 inch in the bedroom hooked up to my mythtv system. As often heard (?) in the bedroom, its not the size that matters, but how you use it. I think 32 inches in the bedroom might be compensating for a another length measurement being a bit... shorter. Might be cheaper to put a loud stereo in it, or paint it red, or put some fancy rims on, instead of a giant TV. Either that or some people must live in 50 foot by 50 foot bedrooms.
How do "component-maker sources" know if its a TV or a really big imac (the model with the computer embedded into the monitor, my sister in law has one, holy cow those things are huge, 32 inches is not much of a stretch at making it even bigger).
Even if your LCD monitor PCB has an onboard ATSC receiver, how do they "know" its being used for an "Apple TV" running iOS as opposed to "the new imac, now with TV input" running plain ole OSX with a new "watch live tv" app...
36 inches is getting into the range where you could flip it upright, throw a glass tabletop on it, and call it the "Apple coffee table" or whatever. Which would actually be kind of cool for certain games (not tired old FPS, but card games, or words with friends, or...).
I have a tropical fishtank 2 feet wide, I wonder if translated thru the marketing filters, 3 feet diagonally with bezel and such would be 24 inches wide to make the most amazing tropical fish screen saver ever.
Maybe you could implement a "choose your own adventure book" style adventure entirely in a HTML editor. "click here to go north" links to rm6342.html etc.
Not exactly meeting the degree requirements for AI implementation, but...
if any of them are going to use the skills they learn from you
Now that, that right there, is where you have to decide if you're going to merely provide low level vocational training or provide (higher?) education. Its difficult/impossible to do both, and both are going to have radically different plans, and results. Decide that first. Then pick your toolset.
The dominant/. mindshare definition of gaming is that it is exclusively 1:1 mapped to 3-d FPS.
If you're willing to break out of that ultra-narrow mindset, there is a possibility of RPGs, text adventures, maybe hex based wargaming, (semi)numerical simulations... A whole world of human computer interaction exists, but only for the open minded.
Reimplement Oregon Trail as a flash game? (try not to get sued)
Supposedly HS kids like vampires and zombie books, so write a text adventure fanfic in the anne rice or twilight universe (try not to get sued). Make all your game lines less than 160 char and play over twitter?
Stock trading game using real stock market data? Or YetAnotherRealWorldFuturesMarketImplementation? Maybe give it a modern twist by implementing it over text messages or whatever?
Hex based wargamer vampire vs zombies? or plants vs zombies? (again try not to get sued)
Actually, "try to write Fing anything without getting sued for copyright and patent violations" might make an interesting and informative meta-game?
why they went ahead with it when the SR71's [wikipedia.org] were in use
Short answer - you can not shoot down a satellite, you can not steer a satellite, you can not avoid a satellite (due to massive ground coverage). And the reverse for a SR-71.
Its possible to find stuff in the Venn diagram that can be done equally well by both, but most tasks seem to fall within one or the other.
Actually, gas and coal do not power UPS/fedex/USPO/semi-trailer trucks, or pacific ocean container ships. Both for the end user delivery and delivering raw-ish materials to the manufacturers.
Try going to a solar panel distributor and ordering a bunch of panels, made in the US or china doesn't matter, the shipping cost of sending a truck out to you full of delicate glass is really quite high.
I'm told that on islands almost all electricity is generated from stationary diesels. In the continental US it doesn't matter, but I could imagine the price of diesel has a big effect on sales on the Hawaiian Islands, which coincidentally probably get a lot more sunlight than seattle anyway.
If oil spiked, the demand for installed panels would be extremely high, but the UPS cost of delivery would probably rise to a multiple of the cost of the panels, its very unclear if this would improve or destroy overall system economic budget numbers. The explosive inflation rate that results would also modify the cost of competitive energy sources... If the coal miners literally cannot afford to drive to work unless you triple their pay, then coals going up in price (probably by a bit less than triple, but...)
Shale oil is a great way to burn nine barrels of high grade crude to produce around ten, plus or minus five, barrels of low grade crude. The EROEI is not that awesome. Its right up there with turning diesel oil into corn into corn oil into biodiesel, or the corn ethanol cycle, lots of arguments about it being microscopically net positive or microscopically net negative cycle, but everyone agrees its right around 1:1 so its pretty irrelevant in the big picture. Also Shale oil needs a lot of water to process, and it seems stereotypically to be located right where there is no water available, changing it from a lack of oil problem to a lack of water problem. If only there were shale oil deposits in the great lakes, or new orleans, then it would be all good, but it always seems to be in a desert or under a glacier or something, almost like a supernatural being put it there just to frustrate us. (yeah I know a glacier has plenty of water, but being a glacier, the water in the plant wants to freeze in the pipes, so its a big problem...)
Well, it says that the projected increase is 8% for next year... wouldn't that be a sign of people wanting these thingamalings?
The company-killer is every player in the industry wearing very rose covered glasses thinking they individually will be the sole supplier for the entire markets growth.
The overall market is growing 10%? OK we'll borrow money to expand production by 10% of the world wide market. Later ... Oh sales only went up 10% yoy? Whoops, well I got my golden parachute, bye guys.
Assuming its not that bad, the finances kill them anyway. So, we need to expand production this year by 10% to keep up with demand and the other players. No problemo I'll ring up the bank... Bank says F-off because they make more money borrowing from the fed at 0% and issuing credit card debt at 29.99%. Well OK then we'll sell stock.... Whoops finance says forget that because the market is totally crooked and scheming so no one wants to buy a "real" investment, and due to SOX etc costs we actually cannot raise the money. Well then we'll self invest, raise our current prices so we clear enough additional profit to grow next year.. Whoops that killed our sales because the Chinese will govt finance at 0% and our higher prices killed our sales.
Fundamentally it comes down to
1) People are notoriously bad at making sensible investments during a strong growth phase
2) Corrupt and/or failing financial systems both here and abroad mean we can't get the dough to expand, no matter how much we want or how profitable it would be.
OK I'm 90% owned at this point, but I would 10% argue that "horizontal" means what is also known as landscape mode vs portrait mode.
Hmm unless I'm reading that link wrong, thats not "the paper" its a press release about the paper after being run thru a journalist filter.
Not only real, but vlm (69642) happens to be an integer. 32 bit variety, not 16 bit. Now for some old timer reminiscence, didn't /. have a legendary multi-day outage a decade ago because the article ID was a 16 bit int, or something like that?
As a practical matter as long as you've got an open ethernet port most /.-types will be pretty happy. Its only gotta pass traffic for two minutes anyway.
but we are talking about universal education here- not just education for the elite.
No, we are talking about education for the elite. I would imagine the fraction of the population who understand big O notation or boolean logic is pretty small, probably skews to a pretty high income level, and if I remember my fellow students correctly they were mostly white males like me. You can't even take a class like that at some institutions, much less be lucky enough to have great teachers like happened to me and the OP.
I would agree that at the grade school level its "performance art" ... But at undergrad level and up, no.
Also don't discount good teacher vs bad teacher. I had dozens of "script reader" "book reader" types over the course of my life. A video of a TALENTED prof always beats a bad teacher, so on average you'd come out ahead with quality videos. I still cringe when I think of my serbian-croation-whatever-he-was TA trying to lecture us about calculus during discussion time 20 years ago. Thank god mathematics is a universal language because we (as a group) never understood a word he said. He was a good teacher, just couldn't speak english, and all interaction was thru equations on a blackboard. Most of the itunes-U type videos are more or less "newscaster english" and good enough video quality to read the blackboard, at least most of the time. There is also a publisher called "The Teaching Company" which although very expensive (Maybe $10 per DVD seems cheap, until the complete lecture series is like 25 DVDs) is of uniformly extraordinary quality, check out their tapes/cds/dvds at your local public library. Even the worst itunes-U videos I've seen still come in around the median of teaching skill. At least right now, thankfully, they don't bother video recording the worst teachers.
I can see it already.. "I can't believe they sent me on this interplanetary posting to the far side of the galaxy with a flashlight and a can of bug spray... if they try to take my red stapler back to the home worlds... I'll ... I'll ... I'll mix up a batch of a million gallons of Tc-98 isotopically enhanced radioactive ink and use my spacecraft observation probe as a giant space based ink jet printer to spray a 100 mile wide radioactive goatse.jpg on the far side of the moon... and when the natives finally get there and graph out the spectroscopic abundance, oh they'll be trouble then... thats what they got for trying to take my red stapler ... I'll do it, I swear I'll do it"
Oh Well, I suppose this is yet another tired social media story, there goes my chance at ever getting hired by NASA...
I can't read the article, but wouldn't it be better to plant non-visual clues if we were trying to signal to an alien civilization?
Maybe... concentric rings of something weird for the moon, like an obscure U isotope? with something cool buried at the bullseye?
A bored physicist spending too much time with a cyclotron separator on a lonely posting on the far end of the galaxy could be pretty entertaining if he got a bit squirrely in carrying out his mission. How about some weird isotope that is mostly stable and can only be made in a reactor? Maybe some Tc-98? The Ru-98 decay product is stable, and a high concentration of Ru-98 laying about would be almost as bizarre as finding Tc-98 laying about.
I think driving a mass spectrometer around the planets and moons would be an interesting scientific study regardless of SETI implications.
For that matter, if "they" planted a decorative geometric care package of Tc-98 on the moon, I'm not entirely clear why "they" couldn't have done something similar here, somewhere geologically stable-ish.
Interestingly enough, more than 100 yrs ago all this Tc-98 talk would have been meaningless. Its hard to say how future techs might find even weirder stuff. If there is any real world prime directive, it might not rely on being observed, the galactic "you must be this tall for the ride" chart might be observing something really weird once we have quantum computers or a convenient portable intense hand held source of higgs particles.
I would imagine a really bored physicist could do other odd Fortean stuff, like bury a giant freaking microwave waveguide turned into an interdigital filter with passbands such that you whack it with a strong white noise source the resulting output displayed on a spectrum analyzer is a crazy morse code/rs-232 like signal saying "hi", or maybe "dig here for care package". Even just burying radar retroreflectors in a geometric pattern would totally freak out the radar guys.
Note to boss: Do not send vlm on boring interplanetary field posting or he's really going to intensely F with the native's heads once he goes bonkers, or more bonkers anyway.
It's behind a paywall, don't bother. disregard. A pity, sounds like an interesting idea, would have been nice to read about it.
where you buy or download stuff is pretty orthogonal to where you watch it, in any reasonable computing infrastructure.
The screen part that you look at facing up.
Interesting that english has no words for spaciotemporal stuff like that. Flip the screen Z+ in CNC g-code language I guess.
The idea that no proof is possible is trivially easy to disprove. If an all-powerful being exists, that being must have the power to prove it's own existence. No such proof exists, and therefore it becomes necessary to invent excuses for the all-powerful being.
Can't you just use logical contradiction? Here's three random christian postulates which we are not allowed to question:
1) christian god created everything
2) christian god is good guy not bad guy
3) people are capable of doing evil
Only get to pick 2 of those 3. Any two are logically consistent, but one Must be false, and it doesn't seem any of them are more likely to be correct or wrong, so maybe they're all wrong?
Thats not begging the question.
That seems to be a profoundly unscientific outlook. Science is making useful, falsifiable predictions about the likely outcome of future experiments and observations using some kind of formalized universal theory. You can do endless science about the orbits of planets, geology, evolution, genetics.
One example from your unscientific post was "can science explain how the world began?" and you claim no. Horribly wrong. A geologist can gin up some weird model of geological plate tectonics or the temperature of the earth vs depth of crust. Then you run the math, meanwhile a dude digs a hole and drops a thermometer in, and the math and the thermometer seem to match up... "We have not been able to falsify via experiment or observation that the earth congealed out of flying sphagetti or WTF" Furthermore after enough experiments and observations fail to disprove something, you may as well "believe" in it and expect all future experiments to fit the model.
It doesn't really matter in an abstract sense if "evolution is true" or not. All that matters is every time you apply the magic box of the theory of evolution in the future, it seems that each time, observations and experiments seem to result in experiment matching the magic boxes prediction.
What science aka falsifiable predictions about future experiments and observations can you do about christian creationism... Well I guess I could dare your god to strike me down with lightning, which certainly hasn't happened yet, or ... um... Seriously, can you run statistically relevant verifiable falsifiable experiments on religion? No.
Now that fact that religion is not science, doesn't mean its wrong or evil, in fact I'm kind of a distant fan of Christianity, at least in theory although not so much how its practiced by sinful people, and some of my best friends are christians which also predisposes me to like it, but being non-scientific merely means it has no relationship at all WRT.
All of those things are consumer spending.
And none of them are innovative, at least in the short term. And I can't even imagine what could be released in those fields that is innovative.
I suppose buying gasoline, natgas for the furnace, electricity for the air conditioner, would be pretty innovative on a multi-century time scale, but not compared solely to next year.
Medical is not innovative for consumers. For tech types we understand new things are always arriving. For management types there are purchase orders to be decided on. For joe 6pack the medical experience is, they deduct an ever increasing fraction of your paycheck for insurance, you go to hospital/clinic when necessary, doc does his thing, the end. Recently with medical-bill-caused bankruptcy if the insurance only covers 80% costs and your hospital trip had a high 6 figure bill.
Food is certainly not innovative, unless you count the American obsession with soaking everything to saturation with corn syrup and/or salt. If you go low carb for awhile until your taste buds downregulate, most "regular american food" tastes way beyond disgusting until your taste buds upregulate again.
A housing is simply not innovative. A McMansion is just a large shack. So your overgrown cookie cutter garden shed has fake styrofoam columns. Woo hoo. Soooo not impressed with innovation in housing. If anything housing seems to be the opposite of innovation.
online cloud based apps that replace every functionality you needed desktop apps for
Already almost there, at work.
We downgraded from a opensource web based ticket system to a local client home grown POS ticket system that doesn't work as well. This I'm sure will move back to the web.
We still have ms office installed although people are starting to use web alternatives for convenience whenever possible.
Our current CAD system does not have a web viewer. I'm sure that will change eventually. Maybe the cheapskates just have not paid for it.
There are a couple weird engineering apps of the $$$$$$$$ per seat license variety which very few people use but are vital for operation. I suppose those could be run on a rdesktop thingy.
Most people use "outlook client" instead of "outlook webmail" for little reason other than inertia. At home obviously I log into the webmail and its just fine.
I use ssh roughly 40 hours per week, for years (decades?) there have been web/java hosted ssh apps. Some day I'll set up some kind of "java ssh client" here so I don't need to run putty-ssh.
Other than that, in an extremely tech oriented office, we're already there... don't require html5 for all "apps on the net" situations anyway, at least not per evidence of past 15 years or so. I don't run native apps. I might have 3 FF windows each with 5 tabs, but FF is the only "desktop app" I use at work on a regular basis.
What if consumer spending never goes back up, adjusted for inflation? .edu, medical, car/transportation, energy, food, and housing costs have recently been exploding.
I know that adjusted for inflation the median has had less income every year for something like 40 years.
Also
Then add in "new" expenses. Very few people were spending $150/month on smartphone bills more than a couple years ago.
Leaving less money for consumer spending every year.
so... those companies who wait, might be waiting a very long time indeed, like until they go out of business.
Who the hell wants to be in their bedroom for a long period of time watching TV?
X rated answer : "Adult" movies?
G rated answer : I was sick as a dog with the flu a year ago and I think a nice comfy bed with a TV was just about right for a day or two... Then I graduated to the couch in the living room with a blankie, etc. I think it took a week to regain full energy level.
Maybe thats why they should do it.
Early adopter and tech guys all "know" that multi foot long TVs are supposed to be thousands of dollars. I simply left the market up until recently, there's no way I'm spending a "used car" on a tv. Ignored the market, was shocked recently at how cheap TVs have gotten. Almost cheaper than a physical window. We're very close to the point that from a materials and energy cost standpoint for it to be cheaper to install a 40-something inch TV in portrait mode and a webcam sideways outdoors and call it a "iWindow" or something like that.
Of course my recently purchased 42 inch TV was only a couple hundred bucks, not several thousand, and I'm probably the last guy in the US to have upgraded from CRT to LCD, so it might already be too late to "convince" people that big TVs are still $3000, including the new iTV?
Steve Jobs said ...
... a lot of trash talking about the tablet market pretty much right up to the ipad release party.
Its a characteristic "apple" thing that they harder they trash talk something the more likely it seems they are to release it. I think part of it is misdirection, and a lot is management of anticipation, oh steve says its gonna suck, oh look, its actually not too bad, those guys must be geniuses.
If you can get an apple exec to categorically state there is no way they'll release a TV, that guarantees that in a couple months they'll release apple iTV...
LOL I have a 12 inch in the bedroom hooked up to my mythtv system. As often heard (?) in the bedroom, its not the size that matters, but how you use it. I think 32 inches in the bedroom might be compensating for a another length measurement being a bit... shorter. Might be cheaper to put a loud stereo in it, or paint it red, or put some fancy rims on, instead of a giant TV. Either that or some people must live in 50 foot by 50 foot bedrooms.
How do "component-maker sources" know if its a TV or a really big imac (the model with the computer embedded into the monitor, my sister in law has one, holy cow those things are huge, 32 inches is not much of a stretch at making it even bigger).
Even if your LCD monitor PCB has an onboard ATSC receiver, how do they "know" its being used for an "Apple TV" running iOS as opposed to "the new imac, now with TV input" running plain ole OSX with a new "watch live tv" app...
36 inches is getting into the range where you could flip it upright, throw a glass tabletop on it, and call it the "Apple coffee table" or whatever. Which would actually be kind of cool for certain games (not tired old FPS, but card games, or words with friends, or ...).
I have a tropical fishtank 2 feet wide, I wonder if translated thru the marketing filters, 3 feet diagonally with bezel and such would be 24 inches wide to make the most amazing tropical fish screen saver ever.
Maybe you could implement a "choose your own adventure book" style adventure entirely in a HTML editor. "click here to go north" links to rm6342.html etc.
Not exactly meeting the degree requirements for AI implementation, but ...
if any of them are going to use the skills they learn from you
Now that, that right there, is where you have to decide if you're going to merely provide low level vocational training or provide (higher?) education. Its difficult/impossible to do both, and both are going to have radically different plans, and results. Decide that first. Then pick your toolset.
The dominant /. mindshare definition of gaming is that it is exclusively 1:1 mapped to 3-d FPS.
If you're willing to break out of that ultra-narrow mindset, there is a possibility of RPGs, text adventures, maybe hex based wargaming, (semi)numerical simulations... A whole world of human computer interaction exists, but only for the open minded.
Reimplement Oregon Trail as a flash game? (try not to get sued)
Supposedly HS kids like vampires and zombie books, so write a text adventure fanfic in the anne rice or twilight universe (try not to get sued). Make all your game lines less than 160 char and play over twitter?
Stock trading game using real stock market data? Or YetAnotherRealWorldFuturesMarketImplementation? Maybe give it a modern twist by implementing it over text messages or whatever?
Hex based wargamer vampire vs zombies? or plants vs zombies? (again try not to get sued)
Actually, "try to write Fing anything without getting sued for copyright and patent violations" might make an interesting and informative meta-game?
why they went ahead with it when the SR71's [wikipedia.org] were in use
Short answer - you can not shoot down a satellite, you can not steer a satellite, you can not avoid a satellite (due to massive ground coverage). And the reverse for a SR-71.
Its possible to find stuff in the Venn diagram that can be done equally well by both, but most tasks seem to fall within one or the other.