"In a thousand or ten thousand years technology is going to be a great deal more advanced than it is now."
And this is the crux of the Space Nutter argument. They have seen technological progress in their lifetime due to the advent of digital computers. They then project that progress to everything. Why, in a thousand years my iPhone will be smaller than a pin and contain 2 billion pentabytes of memory! We will be traveling at lightspeed, or even faster. Why wouldn't we? Things always progress forever, right?
But it isn't going to happen. You cannot live on Mars. In fact, we cannot live anywhere else than Earth. Everything within traveling distance is not habitable. You can have all the goals you want, but that won't make them happen.
Yes it is the limitation. There is no magical undiscovered algorithm. Currently everything hinges on digital processing capability. And that has peaked (basically).
No they won't get there in time. That is my point. The entire idea hinges on growth of processors. There is an end to everything. Progress is not guarenteed.
It is always amazing how people get so worked up over this. The fact is, the current state of robotics is a joke. Yes, Amazon robots can locate a shelf of products and retrieve it (as long as the shelf is uniform, and labeled clearly). That is releatively easy to do. But pick an arbitrary item out of a box and then pack it? Very very hard. In fact, might not be possible to get it to work reliably. CPU technology isn't going to progress in leaps and bounds anymore, so we might be getting close to the fastest digital processors we will ever see. Of course people scoff and say "Moore's Law", but the fact is that Moore's Law is dead. It is obvious by just looking at the current state of computing that it is dead. That is why there is a rush to multi-core. Everything is dependent on progress of digital processors. And they haven't been progressing at the same rate as they have been historically. Not even close.
This is really what academia has turned out to be: citations. Instead of doing real science it is a popularity contest. Reminds me of Facebook and trying to get "likes". Mod me up if you agree.
Every story on this site is about Uber, Amazon, and Facebook. Who the fuck cares? More emDrive news please. I need to get off this rock stuck in a gravity well.
A small jet (like these) doesn't take an hour. I don't know any jet that takes an hour. Maybe a jumbo? Anyhow, even if they did replace the batteries every trip it would still be refueling.
Many fulltime positions let you work remotely. Contracting isn't as flexible as you think: you are always working OR trying to get the next contracting job. You just don't "take off" for a month.
Well you also don't know the difference between affect and effect. The fact is that Moore's Law is dead. Kaput. Processing power isn't doubling at all. It is around 5-10% increase every 12 months.
Slashdot Mirror
"In a thousand or ten thousand years technology is going to be a great deal more advanced than it is now."
And this is the crux of the Space Nutter argument. They have seen technological progress in their lifetime due to the advent of digital computers. They then project that progress to everything. Why, in a thousand years my iPhone will be smaller than a pin and contain 2 billion pentabytes of memory! We will be traveling at lightspeed, or even faster. Why wouldn't we? Things always progress forever, right?
But it isn't going to happen. You cannot live on Mars. In fact, we cannot live anywhere else than Earth. Everything within traveling distance is not habitable. You can have all the goals you want, but that won't make them happen.
Yes, because space is a lot like the ocean, and a 700 degree planet is a lot like Earth.
If you mean Earth, then you are correct. If you mean Mars, you are not correct. We cannot live on Mars, no matter how hard people wish we could.
Yes it is the limitation. There is no magical undiscovered algorithm. Currently everything hinges on digital processing capability. And that has peaked (basically).
No they won't get there in time. That is my point. The entire idea hinges on growth of processors. There is an end to everything. Progress is not guarenteed.
It is always amazing how people get so worked up over this. The fact is, the current state of robotics is a joke. Yes, Amazon robots can locate a shelf of products and retrieve it (as long as the shelf is uniform, and labeled clearly). That is releatively easy to do. But pick an arbitrary item out of a box and then pack it? Very very hard. In fact, might not be possible to get it to work reliably. CPU technology isn't going to progress in leaps and bounds anymore, so we might be getting close to the fastest digital processors we will ever see. Of course people scoff and say "Moore's Law", but the fact is that Moore's Law is dead. It is obvious by just looking at the current state of computing that it is dead. That is why there is a rush to multi-core. Everything is dependent on progress of digital processors. And they haven't been progressing at the same rate as they have been historically. Not even close.
Oh I am sure there are many "required safety features". Sure there are.
Who the fuck mentioned Sweden? You guys are delusional. Taxi companies aren't following any "rules".
What rules do taxi companies follow? Oh right, they "inspect" their fleet and follow "regulations". Sure they do.
Eh, another person who thinks that tech is science...
How does code review convince anyone the code works? It just means someone else looked at it, but didn't try to run it.
Eek forward? Did you see a mouse or something? Anyhow, citation needed.
This is really what academia has turned out to be: citations. Instead of doing real science it is a popularity contest. Reminds me of Facebook and trying to get "likes". Mod me up if you agree.
Because the Earth is really flat. I knew it.
Another terrorist attack in Sweden.
Every story on this site is about Uber, Amazon, and Facebook. Who the fuck cares? More emDrive news please. I need to get off this rock stuck in a gravity well.
A small jet (like these) doesn't take an hour. I don't know any jet that takes an hour. Maybe a jumbo? Anyhow, even if they did replace the batteries every trip it would still be refueling.
and not require refueling? Truly a mystery.
Many fulltime positions let you work remotely. Contracting isn't as flexible as you think: you are always working OR trying to get the next contracting job. You just don't "take off" for a month.
Well you also don't know the difference between affect and effect. The fact is that Moore's Law is dead. Kaput. Processing power isn't doubling at all. It is around 5-10% increase every 12 months.
I just checked with my NSA co-workers and they insist there is no harm to performance. Please provide citations, Alex.
Yes. Yes I do. Please provide one.
So Intels processors are being slowed down because of the spy chip? Citations needed by reputable sources like Wikipedia and Youtube.
Many developers in the US get 5 weeks of paid vacation plus full healthcare. Don't believe all the sob stories.