The difference is there was some other job the workers could move to.
Nope. That is NOT different. During every other wave of automation, there were people like you who firmly believed there would be no new jobs to for the displaced.
When manufacturing jobs were disappearing, NOBODY could foresee that the new jobs would be for pizza deliverers, graphic artists, app developers, and Starbucks baristas.
But do you really think that ubiquitous, immediate, and dirt cheap transportation by autonomous vehicles won't open up huge opportunities for new businesses? Your toaster broke? Just scan the QR code on the side, and put it on your porch. Ten minutes later a robotic vehicle picks it up and delivers it to a repair shop. An hour later it brings the fixed toaster back to your house. There will be millions of businesses like that.
Now would be a real good time for us to figure out what we're going to do when a quarter of the population is unemployable.
Try reading a history book. Automation has eliminated WAY more than 25% of the jobs in the past. In fact, it has happened multiple times, with the invention of the steam engine, again with the invention of the automatic reaper, and yet again with electrification.
If Korea has already managed to automate away most of the jobs than can be automated away and they don't already have mass unemployment then that should be a positive sign that other countries can do the same.
We should also look at countries that have almost no automation. Some examples are Ethiopia, Afghanistan, Mozambique, Guinea, Somalia, and Mali. If automation leads to poverty then by avoiding it, these countries should be doing GREAT! Are they? I haven't checked.
It is very likely that, as we type, some law firm is preparing a shareholder lawsuit against the executives that made the decision, to recoup some or all of the $35M.
It is not the SEC's job to protect your privacy. This fine was about protecting the rights of investors, not users, and there were a lot less than 500 million Yahoo investors.
Because for an 18 year old, "no credit history" is normal. For a 40 year old, it is not. If you are 40, and have no history of using credit, then you are likely an eccentric weirdo and a bad risk. So you have no CC, no mortgage, no car payments, and you prepay your utilities?
bulk of the mass will keep going on mostly the same heading.
If it is moving relative to the earth at, say, 10000 m/s, and we nuke it 3 months before impact, then it will travel 78 million kilometers before missing or hitting the earth. The radius of the earth is about 6000 km. So a deflection of 0.004 degrees is enough to change a dead-center hit into a miss.
You are correct. I goofed and included the "kilo" twice.
New Horizons was 16.6 km/s and 480 kg. Why would we do worse than that with the entire world on the line?
New Horizons did multiple slingshots on the way to Pluto. For a near-earth asteroid we will have neither the time nor the plants for that (maybe the moon, but that isn't moving fast relative to the earth).
Also, as you say, it is momentum that matters, not energy, so it is better to send a bigger mass rather than moving a smaller mass faster .... in which case why not make the mass some extra lithium deuteride and get a way bigger explosion? Anything that will help you deliver a bigger ram mass can instead help you deliver a bigger nuke.
The asteroid will be moving too, so impact velocity will be much higher.
True, but also true of the nuke. If the detonation is directly in front of the asteroid, slightly over half of the mass of the nuke will hit the asteroid, and at a far higher velocity. The delta-V will be added to the momentum... and the square of the delta-v will be added to the shock wave that ejects inertial mass from the surface of the asteroid.
You might want to tell that to the white rhinoceros.
The major threat to wild rhinos is poaching. Hunting licenses pay for anti-poaching patrols.
We're talking about guys whose "sport" requires that something die.
That is an appeal to emotion, but is not logical. I am not a hunter, but I appreciate the people that do go and hunt in Africa. They help fund conservation, boost the local economy, and encourage Africans to protect wildlife as a source of income. Practical success is better than idealistic failure.
Having a bunch of entitled jackoffs running around Africa gunning down and mutilating big game doesn't help the situation.
Actually, it does help. Big game hunters pay high fees that are used for habitat conservation. They also create jobs for local people that then see wildlife as an economic benefit, rather than just seeing them as crop/livestock destroying pests.
Wildlife in Africa would be much better off if there were more Western big game hunters.
You'd be better off just ramming a bunch of mass into it.
Nonsense. A standard American W78 warhead has a mass of ~ 350 kg and a blast of ~ 320 kT, or 1.5e18 joules. The same mass with a delta-V of 10000 m/s, used as a ram, would deliver 1.75e10 joules. So an explosion would deliver 10 million times as much energy, and eject far more inertial mass from the surface of the asteroid.
2. Nobody is going to accept money for work if they knew the end of the world was coming for sure.
1. The whole point of the work is to AVOID the end of the world. 2. What are they going to do instead? Take their family to the beach? 3. When facing near certain death, people are more likely to cooperate and work together, than to panic. Look at cities under siege, trapped miners, ships trapped in ice flows, Apollo 13, Flight 93, etc.
most likely outcome is to keep everything secret
No way. It would be impossible, but also stupid. Millions of people in critical industries would need to shift to 80 or 100 hour work weeks. That isn't going to happen if they don't know why.
Boosting: Train two or three neural nets to solve the same problem. Then train another NN only on inputs where the others disagree, and use it as a tie-breaker.
No, 4 years. With what math skill do you come to 3?
Let's LEARN TO COUNT!!!!
Let's start with temperature: -2 C - The starting point -1 C - The next temp, one degree warmer 0 C - The next temp, Two degrees warmer 1 C - The next temp, Three degrees warmer 2 C - The final temp, FOUR (4) degrees warmer that the starting point
Now let's count years: 2 BC - The starting point 1 BC - The next year, one year later 1 AD - The year after 1 BC, two years later 2 AD - The final year, THREE (3) years from the starting point
Let me know if you are still having problems with this. Maybe a chart or diagram would help you visualize it.
" The fact they they failed to do something about the incoming asteroid"
ROFL. What could WE do about it?
With enough lead time, we could do plenty. The Chicxulub asteroid was about 10 km in diameter, or about 500 cubic km, and had a mass of a few trillion tonnes. We have surveyed earth crossing asteroids of that size pretty well, and would have months or even years of lead time. A series of nukes could easily knock it off course by a fraction of a degree, which would be enough to miss the earth a few months later.
Space launches take a long time, and a lot of planning and testing, but that is because of all the bureaucracy, safety concerns, and cost controls. All that would be gone if our survival were at stake. Multiple projects would run in parallel with nearly unlimited budgets.
Children collecting pension checks dont report the death of the pensioners for years.
You are only looking at half of the problem. When parents die in Japan, the children often inherit worthless plots of land in distant rural villages. There is no way to legally abandon these plots or forfeit ownership, and no one wants to buy them, yet taxes are due on the land every year.
So the kid cashes Mom's pension check from the government, and then sends the money back to the government to pay a stupid and unavoidable tax. Unsurprisingly, many Japanese people don't see that as "wrong".
It is impossible to reform this system, because political power in Japan is actually directly tied to these stupid little worthless plots. Even if your family has lived in Tokyo for three generations, political apportionment of the Diet is still based on the fiction that your "real" home is the plot of land in the countryside. So the representatives from these nearly empty rural districts have huge political power and can block any reform.
If it is just a "camera and speaker with wheels", with no ability to navigate stairs or open doors, then that has been done before, and is not very useful. If it can do more, there is no mention of that in the video to TFA.
Because the "AD/BC" numbering system was established in the sixth century, when Europe still used Roman numbers. Although Latin has a word ("nulla") for nothing, it wasn't a mathematical concept, nor were negative numbers. So the "AD" years and "BC" years were both given positive sequences with no "year zero" in between.
Arabic numbers and mathematical zeros were not commonly used until the 1200s. They were popularized by Fibonacci, who is more famous for his sequences.
Where the hell do you think WWI and II came from?
WW1 was preceded by prosperity not economic contraction.
WW2 was preceded by the Great Depression, which had little to do with jobs being lost to automation.
Lumping them together is odd, since the economic conditions that preceded them were totally different.
The difference is there was some other job the workers could move to.
Nope. That is NOT different. During every other wave of automation, there were people like you who firmly believed there would be no new jobs to for the displaced.
When manufacturing jobs were disappearing, NOBODY could foresee that the new jobs would be for pizza deliverers, graphic artists, app developers, and Starbucks baristas.
But do you really think that ubiquitous, immediate, and dirt cheap transportation by autonomous vehicles won't open up huge opportunities for new businesses? Your toaster broke? Just scan the QR code on the side, and put it on your porch. Ten minutes later a robotic vehicle picks it up and delivers it to a repair shop. An hour later it brings the fixed toaster back to your house. There will be millions of businesses like that.
Now would be a real good time for us to figure out what we're going to do when a quarter of the population is unemployable.
Try reading a history book. Automation has eliminated WAY more than 25% of the jobs in the past. In fact, it has happened multiple times, with the invention of the steam engine, again with the invention of the automatic reaper, and yet again with electrification.
100 years ago 95% of the US labor force was in the agricultural sector.
Your timeline is WAY off. The migration off the land happened long before 1918.
The McCormick reaper was invented in 1831.
The steel mouldboard plough was available in 1837.
Even by 1870, agriculture was only half the labor force. By 1918, it was less than 30%.
If Korea has already managed to automate away most of the jobs than can be automated away and they don't already have mass unemployment then that should be a positive sign that other countries can do the same.
We should also look at countries that have almost no automation. Some examples are Ethiopia, Afghanistan, Mozambique, Guinea, Somalia, and Mali. If automation leads to poverty then by avoiding it, these countries should be doing GREAT! Are they? I haven't checked.
Are we taking their money/property away?
It is very likely that, as we type, some law firm is preparing a shareholder lawsuit against the executives that made the decision, to recoup some or all of the $35M.
Privacy is cheap according to the SEC.
It is not the SEC's job to protect your privacy. This fine was about protecting the rights of investors, not users, and there were a lot less than 500 million Yahoo investors.
Because for an 18 year old, "no credit history" is normal. For a 40 year old, it is not. If you are 40, and have no history of using credit, then you are likely an eccentric weirdo and a bad risk. So you have no CC, no mortgage, no car payments, and you prepay your utilities?
Pet peeve: PDF files with displayed page numbers that don't match up with the actual page index.
bulk of the mass will keep going on mostly the same heading.
If it is moving relative to the earth at, say, 10000 m/s, and we nuke it 3 months before impact, then it will travel 78 million kilometers before missing or hitting the earth. The radius of the earth is about 6000 km. So a deflection of 0.004 degrees is enough to change a dead-center hit into a miss.
That's 1.3e15 Joules.
You are correct. I goofed and included the "kilo" twice.
New Horizons was 16.6 km/s and 480 kg. Why would we do worse than that with the entire world on the line?
New Horizons did multiple slingshots on the way to Pluto. For a near-earth asteroid we will have neither the time nor the plants for that (maybe the moon, but that isn't moving fast relative to the earth).
Also, as you say, it is momentum that matters, not energy, so it is better to send a bigger mass rather than moving a smaller mass faster . ... in which case why not make the mass some extra lithium deuteride and get a way bigger explosion? Anything that will help you deliver a bigger ram mass can instead help you deliver a bigger nuke.
The asteroid will be moving too, so impact velocity will be much higher.
True, but also true of the nuke. If the detonation is directly in front of the asteroid, slightly over half of the mass of the nuke will hit the asteroid, and at a far higher velocity. The delta-V will be added to the momentum ... and the square of the delta-v will be added to the shock wave that ejects inertial mass from the surface of the asteroid.
If they really cared about wildlife, why not just pay big fees without having to kill something?
Is that what you do?
You might want to tell that to the white rhinoceros.
The major threat to wild rhinos is poaching. Hunting licenses pay for anti-poaching patrols.
We're talking about guys whose "sport" requires that something die.
That is an appeal to emotion, but is not logical. I am not a hunter, but I appreciate the people that do go and hunt in Africa. They help fund conservation, boost the local economy, and encourage Africans to protect wildlife as a source of income. Practical success is better than idealistic failure.
Having a bunch of entitled jackoffs running around Africa gunning down and mutilating big game doesn't help the situation.
Actually, it does help. Big game hunters pay high fees that are used for habitat conservation. They also create jobs for local people that then see wildlife as an economic benefit, rather than just seeing them as crop/livestock destroying pests.
Wildlife in Africa would be much better off if there were more Western big game hunters.
You'd be better off just ramming a bunch of mass into it.
Nonsense. A standard American W78 warhead has a mass of ~ 350 kg and a blast of ~ 320 kT, or 1.5e18 joules. The same mass with a delta-V of 10000 m/s, used as a ram, would deliver 1.75e10 joules. So an explosion would deliver 10 million times as much energy, and eject far more inertial mass from the surface of the asteroid.
2. Nobody is going to accept money for work if they knew the end of the world was coming for sure.
1. The whole point of the work is to AVOID the end of the world.
2. What are they going to do instead? Take their family to the beach?
3. When facing near certain death, people are more likely to cooperate and work together, than to panic. Look at cities under siege, trapped miners, ships trapped in ice flows, Apollo 13, Flight 93, etc.
most likely outcome is to keep everything secret
No way. It would be impossible, but also stupid. Millions of people in critical industries would need to shift to 80 or 100 hour work weeks. That isn't going to happen if they don't know why.
And if you manage to steer what was going to be a near miss into a collision?
You're gonna get sued.
That makes no sense. If it was on a trajectory that would miss, we would just do nothing and let it miss.
Or are you suggesting that we aren't quite sure how to calculate trajectories? Why would you believe that?
Well, you only need to crowdsource the galaxies that can't be solved by AI.
Or you can use Boosting.
Boosting: Train two or three neural nets to solve the same problem. Then train another NN only on inputs where the others disagree, and use it as a tie-breaker.
No, 4 years. With what math skill do you come to 3?
Let's LEARN TO COUNT!!!!
Let's start with temperature:
-2 C - The starting point
-1 C - The next temp, one degree warmer
0 C - The next temp, Two degrees warmer
1 C - The next temp, Three degrees warmer
2 C - The final temp, FOUR (4) degrees warmer that the starting point
Now let's count years:
2 BC - The starting point
1 BC - The next year, one year later
1 AD - The year after 1 BC, two years later
2 AD - The final year, THREE (3) years from the starting point
Let me know if you are still having problems with this. Maybe a chart or diagram would help you visualize it.
" The fact they they failed to do something about the incoming asteroid"
ROFL. What could WE do about it?
With enough lead time, we could do plenty. The Chicxulub asteroid was about 10 km in diameter, or about 500 cubic km, and had a mass of a few trillion tonnes. We have surveyed earth crossing asteroids of that size pretty well, and would have months or even years of lead time. A series of nukes could easily knock it off course by a fraction of a degree, which would be enough to miss the earth a few months later.
Space launches take a long time, and a lot of planning and testing, but that is because of all the bureaucracy, safety concerns, and cost controls. All that would be gone if our survival were at stake. Multiple projects would run in parallel with nearly unlimited budgets.
Take a thermometer.
Look at it carefully: now point out the temperature span "zero".
There is none. There is a point zero.
For the exact same reason there is no year zero.
What is the difference between -2 Celsius and +2 Celsius? Answer: 4 degrees.
What is the difference between 2 BC and 2 AD? Answer: 3 years.
So, no, not the same.
Living for a long time or even immortality is a trope in sci fi.
Lazarus Long was born in 1912. So he is now 106.
Children collecting pension checks dont report the death of the pensioners for years.
You are only looking at half of the problem. When parents die in Japan, the children often inherit worthless plots of land in distant rural villages. There is no way to legally abandon these plots or forfeit ownership, and no one wants to buy them, yet taxes are due on the land every year.
So the kid cashes Mom's pension check from the government, and then sends the money back to the government to pay a stupid and unavoidable tax. Unsurprisingly, many Japanese people don't see that as "wrong".
It is impossible to reform this system, because political power in Japan is actually directly tied to these stupid little worthless plots. Even if your family has lived in Tokyo for three generations, political apportionment of the Diet is still based on the fiction that your "real" home is the plot of land in the countryside. So the representatives from these nearly empty rural districts have huge political power and can block any reform.
If it is just a "camera and speaker with wheels", with no ability to navigate stairs or open doors, then that has been done before, and is not very useful. If it can do more, there is no mention of that in the video to TFA.
Why can there be no year zero?
Because the "AD/BC" numbering system was established in the sixth century, when Europe still used Roman numbers. Although Latin has a word ("nulla") for nothing, it wasn't a mathematical concept, nor were negative numbers. So the "AD" years and "BC" years were both given positive sequences with no "year zero" in between.
Arabic numbers and mathematical zeros were not commonly used until the 1200s. They were popularized by Fibonacci, who is more famous for his sequences.