In America, if you admit to making a mistake, your statement may be used against you in a lawsuit. It is best to consult with an attorney before making any admission.
So explain me again, why would the USA intelligence be lying about this?
The largest American intelligence agency is not the CIA, but the DIA, which gets its funding from and answers to the DoD. They have a vested interest in inflating threats to ensure generous funding of their parent organization.
I am not accusing them of exaggerating, I am just pointing out that they have a clear incentive to do so.
Have they? I see these map graphs with range circles associated with certain missiles
NK's launch last month reached an altitude of 2700 km. That means it had enough velocity to reach either Anchorage or Oahu if it was in a flatter trajectory. They kept it in a near vertical trajectory to make it easier to monitor.
if they can figure out how to design the missile to withstand reentry
The missile doesn't have to reenter, only the warhead does. They can accomplish that by wrapping in a bundle of asbestos... or they could skip the reentry and do an EMP burst 200 km above Honolulu / Pearl Harbor.
if they can perfect complex gyros and navigational hardware / software
They kept it in a clean vertical trajectory for 2700 km, so they have already accomplished all of this. Btw, there is a 3 axis "complex gyro" chip in your cellphone. This isn't the 1950s.
if they can figure out how to insure it does not explode on launch or break up in flight...
There is nothing "mad" about NK's behavior. The Kim dynasty has been extremely successful at staying in power. Even more than the Castro dynasty in Cuba, which started later and has yet to manage a generational transition.
Let's look at the track record for "giving up nukes", the supposedly "sensible" action: 1. Saddam Hussein gave up his nukes in 1991 Result: Overthrown by America and executed. 2. Muammar Gaddafi shutdown his nuke program in 2003 Result: Overthrown and murdered by forces backed by America. 3. Ukraine gave up their nukes after being given an American guarantee of their borders and sovereignty. Result: Invaded by Russia, while America did little.
Given America's track record of betrayal, NK would be nuts to give up their deterrent.
NK has a track record of making bold claims... that turn out to be true. They said they were going to build a nuke. They did. They said they were going to build missiles that could reach Japan. They did. They said they would build an ICBM that could reach America. They did (Hawaii and Alaska so far). Now they say they have built a compact warhead that will fit on a missile. Do be so quick to dismiss their boast.
you have to recharge your electric car 4x to 5x more often than a car needs to be filled with gas. Yet somehow you think you're 'saving time'?!
Yes. It charges overnight in my garage, or in my parking space at work, while I go about my life. I don't have to sit and wait while it charges. I just park, plug in, and walk away.
Advantages: I save time and money by not going to gas stations. My garage doesn't stink. The maintenance is much less. It is fun to drive. I have nerd-cred.
Disadvantages: I have to stop for 20 minutes every few hours on long trips. But this far outweighed by the many many times that I don't have to go to gas stations.
Remember the days when monocultures and monopolies were frowned on around here.... Now we have people who can't scream "TESLA!!!!!1111!!!!" loud enough.
Exactly. With Tesla's market share nearing 0.01%, we definitely need to be concerned about their monopoly power.
I'd love to know if a computer could have landed a DC-10 in Sioux City, IA
That is a poor example. It was a total fluke that someone aboard knew how to maneuver the plane using only thrusters. 99% of pilots are not trained to do that. This sort of failure is just too rare to make training for it worthwhile for every pilot. But a computer doesn't have to be trained, only programmed. So a "fly with thrusters" module could be developed once, and deployed on every SFP (self-flying-plane).
He needs to sue for violation of his civil rights.
He wasn't fired because of his race or gender. He was fired because of his opinions. Unless his employment contract says otherwise, his employment is "at will" and Google can fire him for any legal reason, or for no reason. It is generally legal to fire someone because you don't agree with them, and that happens all the time.
Elon's ventures... have all been panning out albeit a bit delayed.
Money talks. That investors aren't will to accept less than B+ interest rates means a lot more than your personal opinion. If you really think this is a sure thing, then go long on these bonds and get rich. When you cash in, please come back here and post a picture of your new yacht. Good luck.
All of these problems can be tested in a simulator. A computer will behave the same with a real error as it did with a simulated error. A human will not, because the human will be expecting errors in the simulator, since testing for emergencies is one of the main purposes of simulation training, but many be bored, drowsy, distracted, stressed, or confused when a real fault occurs four hours into an otherwise routine flight.
Most aircraft accidents are human error, so relative risk is likely lower. Anyway, they are going to use these in cargo flights first, so by the time they are using them for passengers, there will be a clear track record of safety. If they aren't statistically as safe or safer than human pilots, the FAA is not going to allow them for passengers.
So one city that leans left voted left. News at 11.
EVERY tech hub voted Democratic. It is silly to say that people voted for Trump because they resent women in tech, when the people affected by women in tech didn't vote for Trump.
Google wants to shoehorn more women into STEM jobs "just because"...
No. Google wants more women in tech to avoid legal trouble with the DOJ and EOC. If you don't like their policies, you shouldn't blame Google, you should write your congressional representative. The mandates come from the government.
there is more than a little truth to the accusation that Google's culture is an "ideological echo chamber".
So? Google is a business not a debate forum. The employees should be focused on getting their work done, not rehashing settled company policy. That is not their call.
If they want a debate, they can do so on their own time, and there are plenty of forums available, including Slashdot. Are there any Googlers here? Maybe they don't care about this issue as much as TFA claims.
Women are physically weaker than men. This puts them at a disadvantage in jobs like police officer and soldier.
Many military and policing jobs are mostly sitting behind a desk. I was never a soldier, but I was a Marine for six years. Even for combat infantry, endurance is way more important than strength. If strength was really an important factor, then we would exclude men that can't do a pullup. Yet we don't... but we do reject strong-as-an-ox Samoans because they are heavy set and fall outside the acceptable BMI range.
For many years the most important criteria for evaluating a police officer was "number of arrests", and women performed poorly. Then "community policing" was adopted, and people realized that "making arrests" was actually a dumb way to measure police performance. Far more important was preventing the crimes from happening in the first place, and defusing potentially violent situations rather than escalating them. By these measures, women are, on average, better police officers than men.
Maybe there really is a biological reason that women don't want to program. But in the past every time similar arguments were made, they turned out to be wrong. So I am really skeptical that "this time is different".
Slashdot Mirror
Except that deep ANNs have way better accuracy for OCR and image recognition than hard coded algorithms.
You can also trick humans by defacing and modifying signs.
Uhhh, GPS chips are required by law to disable for altitudes and velocities common for missiles.
GPS receivers and accelerometers are two different things. Many cellphones have both.
Also most steering of an ICBM occurs during the boost phase.
Or maybe NK will disregard the law requiring them to disable the chip, since they have their own fabs.
But how is it that we (the U.S.) or ANYONE ELSE on this planet should put up with them
What's the alternative? War? California may not be nuked, but NK can probably deliver a warhead to downtown Seoul, a city of 10 million people.
In America, if you admit to making a mistake, your statement may be used against you in a lawsuit. It is best to consult with an attorney before making any admission.
So explain me again, why would the USA intelligence be lying about this?
The largest American intelligence agency is not the CIA, but the DIA, which gets its funding from and answers to the DoD. They have a vested interest in inflating threats to ensure generous funding of their parent organization.
I am not accusing them of exaggerating, I am just pointing out that they have a clear incentive to do so.
Have they? I see these map graphs with range circles associated with certain missiles
NK's launch last month reached an altitude of 2700 km. That means it had enough velocity to reach either Anchorage or Oahu if it was in a flatter trajectory. They kept it in a near vertical trajectory to make it easier to monitor.
if they can figure out how to design the missile to withstand reentry
The missile doesn't have to reenter, only the warhead does. They can accomplish that by wrapping in a bundle of asbestos ... or they could skip the reentry and do an EMP burst 200 km above Honolulu / Pearl Harbor.
if they can perfect complex gyros and navigational hardware / software
They kept it in a clean vertical trajectory for 2700 km, so they have already accomplished all of this. Btw, there is a 3 axis "complex gyro" chip in your cellphone. This isn't the 1950s.
if they can figure out how to insure it does not explode on launch or break up in flight...
They have already done this repeatedly.
a madman straight out of an Austin Powers movie.
There is nothing "mad" about NK's behavior. The Kim dynasty has been extremely successful at staying in power. Even more than the Castro dynasty in Cuba, which started later and has yet to manage a generational transition.
Let's look at the track record for "giving up nukes", the supposedly "sensible" action:
1. Saddam Hussein gave up his nukes in 1991
Result: Overthrown by America and executed.
2. Muammar Gaddafi shutdown his nuke program in 2003
Result: Overthrown and murdered by forces backed by America.
3. Ukraine gave up their nukes after being given an American guarantee of their borders and sovereignty.
Result: Invaded by Russia, while America did little.
Given America's track record of betrayal, NK would be nuts to give up their deterrent.
No proof of any of this.
NK has a track record of making bold claims ... that turn out to be true. They said they were going to build a nuke. They did. They said they were going to build missiles that could reach Japan. They did. They said they would build an ICBM that could reach America. They did (Hawaii and Alaska so far). Now they say they have built a compact warhead that will fit on a missile. Do be so quick to dismiss their boast.
Where is that?
San Jose, California.
(I can't imagine it being a red state.)
Texas has more charging stations than any other state but California.
you have to recharge your electric car 4x to 5x more often than a car needs to be filled with gas. Yet somehow you think you're 'saving time'?!
Yes. It charges overnight in my garage, or in my parking space at work, while I go about my life. I don't have to sit and wait while it charges. I just park, plug in, and walk away.
Interesting that you don't drive an EV.
I drive an EV, and would not go back to an ICE.
Advantages:
I save time and money by not going to gas stations.
My garage doesn't stink.
The maintenance is much less.
It is fun to drive.
I have nerd-cred.
Disadvantages:
I have to stop for 20 minutes every few hours on long trips.
But this far outweighed by the many many times that I don't have to go to gas stations.
Remember the days when monocultures and monopolies were frowned on around here.... Now we have people who can't scream "TESLA!!!!!1111!!!!" loud enough.
Exactly. With Tesla's market share nearing 0.01%, we definitely need to be concerned about their monopoly power.
I'd love to know if a computer could have landed a DC-10 in Sioux City, IA
That is a poor example. It was a total fluke that someone aboard knew how to maneuver the plane using only thrusters. 99% of pilots are not trained to do that. This sort of failure is just too rare to make training for it worthwhile for every pilot. But a computer doesn't have to be trained, only programmed. So a "fly with thrusters" module could be developed once, and deployed on every SFP (self-flying-plane).
he was fired because he was white, straight, guy
How do you know he is straight? He seems to dislike women.
Bzzt! State dependent.
California is an "at will" employment state.
For future reference, here is a complete list of states that are NOT at will:
1. Montana
He needs to sue for violation of his civil rights.
He wasn't fired because of his race or gender. He was fired because of his opinions. Unless his employment contract says otherwise, his employment is "at will" and Google can fire him for any legal reason, or for no reason. It is generally legal to fire someone because you don't agree with them, and that happens all the time.
The author of the essay was James Damore, and a few hours ago Google fired him.
Elon's ventures ... have all been panning out albeit a bit delayed.
Money talks. That investors aren't will to accept less than B+ interest rates means a lot more than your personal opinion. If you really think this is a sure thing, then go long on these bonds and get rich. When you cash in, please come back here and post a picture of your new yacht. Good luck.
Tesla's gotta be better than mortgage-backed securities, right?
Mortgages have the real estate as collateral. FNMA securities also have an implicit taxpayer funded backstop.
All of these problems can be tested in a simulator. A computer will behave the same with a real error as it did with a simulated error. A human will not, because the human will be expecting errors in the simulator, since testing for emergencies is one of the main purposes of simulation training, but many be bored, drowsy, distracted, stressed, or confused when a real fault occurs four hours into an otherwise routine flight.
Can anybody put a solid number on the risk?
Most aircraft accidents are human error, so relative risk is likely lower. Anyway, they are going to use these in cargo flights first, so by the time they are using them for passengers, there will be a clear track record of safety. If they aren't statistically as safe or safer than human pilots, the FAA is not going to allow them for passengers.
So one city that leans left voted left. News at 11.
EVERY tech hub voted Democratic. It is silly to say that people voted for Trump because they resent women in tech, when the people affected by women in tech didn't vote for Trump.
Google wants to shoehorn more women into STEM jobs "just because" ...
No. Google wants more women in tech to avoid legal trouble with the DOJ and EOC. If you don't like their policies, you shouldn't blame Google, you should write your congressional representative. The mandates come from the government.
there is more than a little truth to the accusation that Google's culture is an "ideological echo chamber".
So? Google is a business not a debate forum. The employees should be focused on getting their work done, not rehashing settled company policy. That is not their call.
If they want a debate, they can do so on their own time, and there are plenty of forums available, including Slashdot. Are there any Googlers here? Maybe they don't care about this issue as much as TFA claims.
Women are physically weaker than men. This puts them at a disadvantage in jobs like police officer and soldier.
Many military and policing jobs are mostly sitting behind a desk. I was never a soldier, but I was a Marine for six years. Even for combat infantry, endurance is way more important than strength. If strength was really an important factor, then we would exclude men that can't do a pullup. Yet we don't ... but we do reject strong-as-an-ox Samoans because they are heavy set and fall outside the acceptable BMI range.
For many years the most important criteria for evaluating a police officer was "number of arrests", and women performed poorly. Then "community policing" was adopted, and people realized that "making arrests" was actually a dumb way to measure police performance. Far more important was preventing the crimes from happening in the first place, and defusing potentially violent situations rather than escalating them. By these measures, women are, on average, better police officers than men.
Maybe there really is a biological reason that women don't want to program. But in the past every time similar arguments were made, they turned out to be wrong. So I am really skeptical that "this time is different".