each candidates will get fixed amount for their campaigns.
Then you would have thousands of people filing for every elective office, just to get the free cash. Or will the cash only go to "established parties"?
Perhaps they meant there isn't enough metal that is economically viable to extract from the earth's crust to go around.
That is not even close to true. There are billions of times more that we need, and far more than a billionth of it is economically extractable. The price of both steel and aluminum is going down, and the world is awash with excess steel capacity, while at the same time cars are using less, replacing metal with carbon composites and plastic.
Perhaps you also think we are going to run out of carbon? After all, it is hundreds of times rarer than either aluminum or iron. There is only enough for each person to have a few million tons.
And you couldn't do that before ride sharing existed by taking a cab?
Cabs cost more and are less convenient.
fantasy that everyone is just going to up and drop car ownership. Not going to happen.
It is not going to be "everyone", but it will be a lot of people. My household has 3 cars: mine, my wife's and my daughter's. We very rarely use all three at the same time. We could easily get by with two, and just use Lyft or Uber on the rare occasions when that is not enough.
If even 10% of households buy one less car, that will have a huge impact on manufacturers that are already struggling with overcapacity.
they are also getting into the autonomous car and ride sharing business.
The problem is that that is a much smaller market. A normal car is idle 95% of the time, so a ride-share car that is idle on 50% of the time, can replace 10 normal cars.
I used to rent cars when I arrived at an airport. Now, I just take Lyft. It is cheaper, more convenient, and saves me half an hour at the airport both coming and going.
But that means fewer cars need to be manufactured.
Go was supposed to be a much tougher challenge, not expected to be dominated by machines for decades
I don't think many people keeping up with advances in machine learning were surprised. There were several teams working on Go, and they were making rapid progress. The hardware was also improving rapidly, and much more historical game data was available.
the pool of humans who are even capable of holding their own against AlphaGo has likely dropped to below 1000, out of 7 billion
No, the number is zero. No human will ever again beat the best Go program.
There will still be human Go tournaments, just like forklifts haven't done away with human weightlifting contests.
China has always had a cultural of disobedience. Speaking truth to power is unthinkable, and people are publicly deferential to authority. But at the same time, circumventing the rules is the national sport.
Guanxi is way more important than the written laws.
Then why doesn't Twitter offer VPN services to circumvent the blockage?
Because they don't need to. Anybody in China that needs a VPN already has access to one. But the Chinese have very little interest in Twitter, even though you can fit WAY more info into 140 hanzi than 140 English characters. They have their own services that are superior in many ways.
Surely it is trivial to get around these stupid firewalls.
Of course. But you are missing the point. In authoritarian societies, tolerance is seen as weakness. So they have to ban communication forums that they do not control. They don't really care that people work around the bans, because the point is not to block information, but to demonstrate authority.
The techniques failed, not the political philosophy.
This is Leftism in a nutshell. It is never the fault of the ideology when 30 million people starve to death, and a billion are impoverished. It is only because someone failed to tweak the "purity" knob on the policy dashboard. Whatever.
Pre-Chavez Venezuela was one of the most unequal societies in the world. The dispossessed people that voted for him had little to lose (or so they thought). If nothing else, Chavez's legacy will be that the corrupt old order has been swept away.
Yes. He is ruling by decree. He ignores the legislature, and has packed the judiciary with his cronies.
IIRC he was regularly elected.
Being elected doesn't make you a non-dictator. Hitler was elected. Maduro became president when Chavez died, and was re-elected soon after by a razor thin majority that is widely viewed as fraudulent.
his opponents will have to win the presidential election to kick him out.
Since Maduro controls the army, the judiciary, and the election infrastructure, that may prove difficult.
Chile collapsed so quick that Friedman had to cry that he meant to do that.
Bullcrap. Pinochet ruled Chile for 17 years, while the economy prospered, and then peacefully transitioned Chile to democracy. He was a brutal but competent dictator.
Germany and China had the benefit of being strong, economically robust states
More bullcrap. Germany was a basket case when Hitler took over. He immediately launched a massive Keynesian expansion that pulled not just Germany, but much of Europe out of the Great Depression.
Under communism, China was one of the world's poorest countries, and experienced the worst famine in all of history. Then in 1979, they switched to capitalism while keeping the authoritarianism in place. Since then, their economy has expanded ten-fold.
Look at the graph on this page: Historical GDP of China. Under communism, China's economy was flat for decades. Then in 1979 it was like turning on a light switch from "poverty" to "prosperity". There is a clear inflection point.
Liability is what's gonna kill the free software movement. Many reasons.
Liability for general purpose computing is not going to happen. It would make software way more expensive, and mean locked down desktops and laptops that prevent users from downloading, connecting, and configuring. People are not going to accept that.
For safety critical software, such as automotive control (not infotainment), elevator systems, etc. we already have liability regulations.
Liability for a insulin dispenser makes sense. Liability for a free webapp does not.
Except authoritarians ruling capitalist countries tend to do far better economically than authoritarians ruling communist countries. Examples: Pinochet's Chile, Nazi Germany, modern day China.
Authoritarianism is bad. Communism is bad. But the combination is even worse.
It's hard to believe that ISIS is very dependent on computers.
They have been very adept at using social media. They are younger and more tech savvy than more traditional jihadist groups like Al Qaeda. ISIS is mostly millenials.
But perhaps the Pentagon shouldn't have "pre-announced" their cyber-offensive.
TFA provides no evidence whatsoever that this is true.
sensible countries have actual baby food that is both healthy/nutritious and tasty.
Citation? I have been to dozens of countries and never seen that. Some other countries have the same overpriced and over processed "Gerber" style crap as America, but most just feed children normal food.
Alarmism or not, did you really think we could just keep pumping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere with no consequence?
It doesn't matter what I think, because I don't live in a swing state. In 2008, most Republican presidential candidates, including the nominee, said that climate change was a real problem that needed to be addressed. In 2016, ZERO Republican presidential candidates said that, including the nominee who is currently our president.
Scientists may have facts and evidence on their side, but they are LOSING anyway, and lost credibility has a lot to do with that. As Cassandra learned, being correct doesn't matter if no one believes you.
I'd be interested in seeing your citation for "much past climate alarmism was not justified."
The 2007 IPCC Report contains numerous wildly inaccurate statements. It was written to scare people into action rather than dispassionately present facts, and it backfired rather spectacularly by tarnishing the general credibilty of climate scientists. A decade ago, the denialist movement was diminishing and increasingly marginalized. Today, it is mainstream. The 2007 IPCC report deserves a lot of credit for that.
Or you could have minimum wage humans pick the order, and load it into the car. Then the car drives to the destination, and the customer walks out and picks it up at the curb.
each candidates will get fixed amount for their campaigns.
Then you would have thousands of people filing for every elective office, just to get the free cash. Or will the cash only go to "established parties"?
Perhaps they meant there isn't enough metal that is economically viable to extract from the earth's crust to go around.
That is not even close to true. There are billions of times more that we need, and far more than a billionth of it is economically extractable. The price of both steel and aluminum is going down, and the world is awash with excess steel capacity, while at the same time cars are using less, replacing metal with carbon composites and plastic.
Perhaps you also think we are going to run out of carbon? After all, it is hundreds of times rarer than either aluminum or iron. There is only enough for each person to have a few million tons.
Abundance of elements in the Earth's crust
And you couldn't do that before ride sharing existed by taking a cab?
Cabs cost more and are less convenient.
fantasy that everyone is just going to up and drop car ownership. Not going to happen.
It is not going to be "everyone", but it will be a lot of people. My household has 3 cars: mine, my wife's and my daughter's. We very rarely use all three at the same time. We could easily get by with two, and just use Lyft or Uber on the rare occasions when that is not enough.
If even 10% of households buy one less car, that will have a huge impact on manufacturers that are already struggling with overcapacity.
They have a huge manufacturing infrastructure
They have a tiny manufacturing infrastructure by auto industry standards, about 1% of what GM has.
But they also employ some software engineers
Their manufacturing infrastructure gives them 1% of their value, so where is the other 99%? Software and other intellectual property.
Therefore they are a *software* company.
In terms of value and future potential, yes.
AlphaGo is a very different thing.
Indeed. Deep Blue played chess very differently than a human, and it was very specifically programmed to play chess.
AlphaGo plays Go very similarly to how a human plays, and what was learned about configuring and training ANNs is applicable to many other tasks.
And have stayed in business.
... except for the occasional bailout.
There just isn't enough metal to go around.
The earth's crust contains about 2.5e18 tons of aluminum and 1.25e18 tons of iron.
There are roughly 7 billion humans, so there is enough for each person to have 2.8 billion tons of aluminum and 1.8 billion tons of iron.
I think key problem is that automakers forgot that they are in the hardware business.
GM is a hardware company. Tesla is a software company. Tesla is worth 100 times as much per unit of revenue.
Automakers know they are in the hardware business. They also know they need to get into the software business in a really big way.
they are also getting into the autonomous car and ride sharing business.
The problem is that that is a much smaller market. A normal car is idle 95% of the time, so a ride-share car that is idle on 50% of the time, can replace 10 normal cars.
I used to rent cars when I arrived at an airport. Now, I just take Lyft. It is cheaper, more convenient, and saves me half an hour at the airport both coming and going.
But that means fewer cars need to be manufactured.
Go was supposed to be a much tougher challenge, not expected to be dominated by machines for decades
I don't think many people keeping up with advances in machine learning were surprised. There were several teams working on Go, and they were making rapid progress. The hardware was also improving rapidly, and much more historical game data was available.
the pool of humans who are even capable of holding their own against AlphaGo has likely dropped to below 1000, out of 7 billion
No, the number is zero. No human will ever again beat the best Go program.
There will still be human Go tournaments, just like forklifts haven't done away with human weightlifting contests.
you're creating a culture of disobedience.
China has always had a cultural of disobedience. Speaking truth to power is unthinkable, and people are publicly deferential to authority. But at the same time, circumventing the rules is the national sport.
Guanxi is way more important than the written laws.
Then why doesn't Twitter offer VPN services to circumvent the blockage?
Because they don't need to. Anybody in China that needs a VPN already has access to one. But the Chinese have very little interest in Twitter, even though you can fit WAY more info into 140 hanzi than 140 English characters. They have their own services that are superior in many ways.
Surely it is trivial to get around these stupid firewalls.
Of course. But you are missing the point. In authoritarian societies, tolerance is seen as weakness. So they have to ban communication forums that they do not control. They don't really care that people work around the bans, because the point is not to block information, but to demonstrate authority.
The relevant question is: is that allowed by the constitution?
Constitutionality is decided by the judiciary. Maduro owns the judges. So the constitution means whatever he says it means.
The techniques failed, not the political philosophy.
This is Leftism in a nutshell. It is never the fault of the ideology when 30 million people starve to death, and a billion are impoverished. It is only because someone failed to tweak the "purity" knob on the policy dashboard. Whatever.
YOU...voted for this. No fucking complaining, OK?
Pre-Chavez Venezuela was one of the most unequal societies in the world. The dispossessed people that voted for him had little to lose (or so they thought). If nothing else, Chavez's legacy will be that the corrupt old order has been swept away.
Is Maduro a dictator?
Yes. He is ruling by decree. He ignores the legislature, and has packed the judiciary with his cronies.
IIRC he was regularly elected.
Being elected doesn't make you a non-dictator. Hitler was elected. Maduro became president when Chavez died, and was re-elected soon after by a razor thin majority that is widely viewed as fraudulent.
his opponents will have to win the presidential election to kick him out.
Since Maduro controls the army, the judiciary, and the election infrastructure, that may prove difficult.
Chile collapsed so quick that Friedman had to cry that he meant to do that.
Bullcrap. Pinochet ruled Chile for 17 years, while the economy prospered, and then peacefully transitioned Chile to democracy. He was a brutal but competent dictator.
Germany and China had the benefit of being strong, economically robust states
More bullcrap. Germany was a basket case when Hitler took over. He immediately launched a massive Keynesian expansion that pulled not just Germany, but much of Europe out of the Great Depression.
Under communism, China was one of the world's poorest countries, and experienced the worst famine in all of history. Then in 1979, they switched to capitalism while keeping the authoritarianism in place. Since then, their economy has expanded ten-fold.
Look at the graph on this page: Historical GDP of China. Under communism, China's economy was flat for decades. Then in 1979 it was like turning on a light switch from "poverty" to "prosperity". There is a clear inflection point.
Liability is what's gonna kill the free software movement. Many reasons.
Liability for general purpose computing is not going to happen. It would make software way more expensive, and mean locked down desktops and laptops that prevent users from downloading, connecting, and configuring. People are not going to accept that.
For safety critical software, such as automotive control (not infotainment), elevator systems, etc. we already have liability regulations.
Liability for a insulin dispenser makes sense. Liability for a free webapp does not.
Except authoritarians ruling capitalist countries tend to do far better economically than authoritarians ruling communist countries. Examples: Pinochet's Chile, Nazi Germany, modern day China.
Authoritarianism is bad.
Communism is bad.
But the combination is even worse.
It's hard to believe that ISIS is very dependent on computers.
They have been very adept at using social media. They are younger and more tech savvy than more traditional jihadist groups like Al Qaeda. ISIS is mostly millenials.
But perhaps the Pentagon shouldn't have "pre-announced" their cyber-offensive.
... and put extra lead in it apparently
TFA provides no evidence whatsoever that this is true.
sensible countries have actual baby food that is both healthy/nutritious and tasty.
Citation? I have been to dozens of countries and never seen that. Some other countries have the same overpriced and over processed "Gerber" style crap as America, but most just feed children normal food.
Alarmism or not, did you really think we could just keep pumping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere with no consequence?
It doesn't matter what I think, because I don't live in a swing state. In 2008, most Republican presidential candidates, including the nominee, said that climate change was a real problem that needed to be addressed. In 2016, ZERO Republican presidential candidates said that, including the nominee who is currently our president.
Scientists may have facts and evidence on their side, but they are LOSING anyway, and lost credibility has a lot to do with that. As Cassandra learned, being correct doesn't matter if no one believes you.
I'd be interested in seeing your citation for "much past climate alarmism was not justified."
The 2007 IPCC Report contains numerous wildly inaccurate statements. It was written to scare people into action rather than dispassionately present facts, and it backfired rather spectacularly by tarnishing the general credibilty of climate scientists. A decade ago, the denialist movement was diminishing and increasingly marginalized. Today, it is mainstream. The 2007 IPCC report deserves a lot of credit for that.
If all the fucking idiots in the world had listened 30 years ago
The technologies that are solving the problems today didn't exist 30 years ago, and "listening" wouldn't have changed that.
Or you could have minimum wage humans pick the order, and load it into the car. Then the car drives to the destination, and the customer walks out and picks it up at the curb.