First... as the other guy says they don't "fully admit the models are wrong". They adjust them to be better.
And the error in the models is lower than the degree to which they are correct.
It would be likely saying- "HA! IRMA didn't hit Florida as a Cat 5! The models are wrong! I saw the meteorologist say IRMA wasn't a Category 5 hurricane- ergo he was admitting he was wrong!"
Okay... but IRMA did hit about where they said and did about the degree of damage they said.
Same with global warming. It's mostly an established fact at this point.
Just recently the 38 dissenting papers failed peer review (basic errors, faulty methodology, couldn't be repeated by independent testers).
The temperature is going up. Rain events will be more intense. Climate bands will widen from the equator. Some areas will get so hot that they will be uninhabitable.
And there's risk of a frozen methane release runaway.. but hey- if that happens we are all dead anyway- so why worry. It's a small risk...I mean how often does someone win the lottery?
Maybe specific fleas finely tuned to a particular animal.
But fleas in general?
My experience with climate change over the last 30 years is more bugs, more parasites, more diseases reaching in to my area from down south than used to.
My only requirements of a phone is that it plays boom beach & netflix and supports a reasonable priced hotspot/tether option (and of course- it shouldn't suck as a phone- lol).
But battery powered tools bothered me and while I was helping gut flooded houses, I think I'm adjusting my attitude. I still don't like the missing headphone jack concept but perhaps it will make more sense 10 years from now
The connection is your statement that citizens shouldn't have to pay taxes to pay for parts of the government they disagree with. By your statement, people shouldn't be forced to support the military industrial complex.
That connection seems pretty obvious to me. How could you not see it?
So let's see.. what about those zoning laws in Jacksonville and every other city under water? (and new york a few years back, and the midwest after the high snow melt flood.
Zoning isn't the tool for flooding. It's the tool for restricting property use.
Building construction standards are the proper tool for managing flooding.
But in an age where 3.5 feet of water falls over several hundred square miles- unless everyone's houses and garages are 8' off the ground, things will be flooded. I helped gut a house last week which was 5' above street level and it still took 18" of water. Basically take the "1000" year flood plain, and add 3' to that.
No zoning required.
(and btw... zoning is rooted in racism and hurts the lower two income quintiles tremendously).
The question isn't what's happening with the 50k workers at amazon, but with the 4-6 million jobs (more on the way) displaced elsewhere. Amazon is absolutely killing malls which used to provide a lot of local jobs.
It's good if we can get less expensive, quality products.
But I have a hard time buying a shirt or pair of pants or major appliance that will last more than a few years. They used to last a decade-- hell- they used to last 2-3 decades.
The number of atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes is increasing very obviously just by eyeballing the charts at this point.
The crap shoot is whether we have a weak or strong high over the northern atlantic. If it's strong, they land- if it's weak they don't.
Likewise, it depends on whether El Nino is going- because it weakens hurricanes.
Trust me , we had plenty of AGW foes posting about every year of the lack of landfalls.
Tropical storm + hurricane graph (not just landfalls) here. http://policlimate.com/tropica... The cycle is obvious- but so is the trend. More tropical storms. More severe hurricanes.
Lots of energy to fuel them without crosswinds from El Nino to rip the apart. Graphs of energy, and totals here.
The number of tropical storms has increased since 1970. The number of major hurricanes has increased since 1970. There is a cycle - not every year is up- but the bottoms are higher and the highs are higher.//policlimate.com/tropical/
Plus population on the coasts has increased tremendously since that's where the jobs are.
Note from effectively ground zero in 1905, horses dropped steeply after peaking in 1915. Cars had replaced 2/3 of them in 10 years, and virtually all of them by 1930. Robots could replace most human workers over a 10 year period, and virtually all in 15 years. Change can happen very quickly.
https://eh.net/encyclopedia/ec... I agree with your point on tractors. While the decline was relentless, horses held on longer on farms to about 1960 as you indicated. I had read text to the effect that the tractor was responsible for more horse replacements but not the time frame (45 instead of 15 years). Most horses today are pets.
We can't know that we've come to the end of job creation.
However, we are likely to be at the start of a 10-30 year period where jobs are destroyed faster than they can be created.
OTH, signs from japan are not promising. Instead of wanting humans for jobs as a status thing- they want robots (robots don't pry, don't steal, don't kidnap your kids, leak your secrets to the gossip magazines, etc.).
And their population dropped precipitously once they had no jobs pulling things. Can't keep feed a horse that isn't producing income. Many were knackered while still young.
It was tractors as much as it was automobiles.
What people don't get is that we are not the buggy whip makers, we are the horses.
The only way to prevent the next fukishima completely is to eliminate nuclear power plants.
However, there are *some* safe locations where we could put plants.
The problem is, nuke plants are so expensive that they get momentum which finally suppresses safety concerns.
And humans are really stupid over periods of decades. After a safe decade, the new humans are less careful than the first humans on the job. Until finally enough corners are cut that something bad happens... again.
There have been *many* age discrimination cases where the older person had more relevant and current skill sets and they were not hired.
Because companies have blatantly said, "We want our customers to see we are a young company. What kind of image does it make when they see we have old employees? "
You can google that one.
I posted on this in slashdot with a half dozen links a few days ago. Age discrimination is more about wrinkles and grey hair than skill sets. And it's about *young* people hiring people who look like them. Which would be unacceptable if they were men, white, etc.
Slashdot Mirror
First... as the other guy says they don't "fully admit the models are wrong". They adjust them to be better.
And the error in the models is lower than the degree to which they are correct.
It would be likely saying- "HA! IRMA didn't hit Florida as a Cat 5! The models are wrong! I saw the meteorologist say IRMA wasn't a Category 5 hurricane- ergo he was admitting he was wrong!"
Okay... but IRMA did hit about where they said and did about the degree of damage they said.
Same with global warming. It's mostly an established fact at this point.
Just recently the 38 dissenting papers failed peer review (basic errors, faulty methodology, couldn't be repeated by independent testers).
The temperature is going up. Rain events will be more intense. Climate bands will widen from the equator. Some areas will get so hot that they will be uninhabitable.
And there's risk of a frozen methane release runaway.. but hey- if that happens we are all dead anyway- so why worry. .I mean how often does someone win the lottery?
It's a small risk..
Fleas? I don't think so.
Maybe specific fleas finely tuned to a particular animal.
But fleas in general?
My experience with climate change over the last 30 years is more bugs, more parasites, more diseases reaching in to my area from down south than used to.
Thanks, I'll look into that.
My only requirements of a phone is that it plays boom beach & netflix and supports a reasonable priced hotspot/tether option (and of course- it shouldn't suck as a phone- lol).
Yea, the headphone jack thing bothers me too.
But battery powered tools bothered me and while I was helping gut flooded houses, I think I'm adjusting my attitude. I still don't like the missing headphone jack concept but perhaps it will make more sense 10 years from now
My androids have all broken at about 3 years-- finally succumbing to drops and in one case a worn out usb port.
Not that I disagree with the findings (don't care either way)...
But, that's a ridiculously tiny sample size.
Let's test it over 15,000 movies.
99% of the products on the market beg to disagree with your position.
Sales people sell a very restricted range of products.
Usually, as you allude, over priced by relying on emotions or sex to trick you into spending too much.
Not even "many".
I haven't even seen a wireless charging android phone offered yet by my provider.
I own an android... I like it. But it apparently doesn't have a real compass!
So I can't use google sky.
There was no warning that it lacked this basic feature. There was no way to tell until after I bought it.
The connection is your statement that citizens shouldn't have to pay taxes to pay for parts of the government they disagree with. By your statement, people shouldn't be forced to support the military industrial complex.
That connection seems pretty obvious to me. How could you not see it?
So let's see.. what about those zoning laws in Jacksonville and every other city under water? (and new york a few years back, and the midwest after the high snow melt flood.
Zoning isn't the tool for flooding. It's the tool for restricting property use.
Building construction standards are the proper tool for managing flooding.
But in an age where 3.5 feet of water falls over several hundred square miles- unless everyone's houses and garages are 8' off the ground, things will be flooded. I helped gut a house last week which was 5' above street level and it still took 18" of water. Basically take the "1000" year flood plain, and add 3' to that.
No zoning required.
(and btw... zoning is rooted in racism and hurts the lower two income quintiles tremendously).
The question isn't what's happening with the 50k workers at amazon, but with the 4-6 million jobs (more on the way) displaced elsewhere. Amazon is absolutely killing malls which used to provide a lot of local jobs.
It's good if we can get less expensive, quality products.
But I have a hard time buying a shirt or pair of pants or major appliance that will last more than a few years. They used to last a decade-- hell- they used to last 2-3 decades.
Thank you for highlighting the issue.
without a LANDFALL.
The number of atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes is increasing very obviously just by eyeballing the charts at this point.
The crap shoot is whether we have a weak or strong high over the northern atlantic. If it's strong, they land- if it's weak they don't.
Likewise, it depends on whether El Nino is going- because it weakens hurricanes.
Trust me , we had plenty of AGW foes posting about every year of the lack of landfalls.
Tropical storm + hurricane graph (not just landfalls) here.
http://policlimate.com/tropica...
The cycle is obvious- but so is the trend. More tropical storms. More severe hurricanes.
Lots of energy to fuel them without crosswinds from El Nino to rip the apart.
Graphs of energy, and totals here.
The number of tropical storms has increased since 1970. //policlimate.com/tropical/
The number of major hurricanes has increased since 1970.
There is a cycle - not every year is up- but the bottoms are higher and the highs are higher.
Plus population on the coasts has increased tremendously since that's where the jobs are.
https://www.researchgate.net/p...
Note from effectively ground zero in 1905, horses dropped steeply after peaking in 1915. Cars had replaced 2/3 of them in 10 years, and virtually all of them by 1930. Robots could replace most human workers over a 10 year period, and virtually all in 15 years. Change can happen very quickly.
https://eh.net/encyclopedia/ec...
I agree with your point on tractors. While the decline was relentless, horses held on longer on farms to about 1960 as you indicated. I had read text to the effect that the tractor was responsible for more horse replacements but not the time frame (45 instead of 15 years). Most horses today are pets.
http://www.imh.org/exhibits/on...
We can't know that we've come to the end of job creation.
However, we are likely to be at the start of a 10-30 year period where jobs are destroyed faster than they can be created.
OTH, signs from japan are not promising. Instead of wanting humans for jobs as a status thing- they want robots (robots don't pry, don't steal, don't kidnap your kids, leak your secrets to the gossip magazines, etc.).
Horses had about 5-6 years warning.
And their population dropped precipitously once they had no jobs pulling things. Can't keep feed a horse that isn't producing income. Many were knackered while still young.
It was tractors as much as it was automobiles.
What people don't get is that we are not the buggy whip makers, we are the horses.
Decommissioning existing plants is coming in one or two orders of magnitude more expensive in constant dollars over the original estimates they gave.
The only way to prevent the next fukishima completely is to eliminate nuclear power plants.
However, there are *some* safe locations where we could put plants.
The problem is, nuke plants are so expensive that they get momentum which finally suppresses safety concerns.
And humans are really stupid over periods of decades. After a safe decade, the new humans are less careful than the first humans on the job. Until finally enough corners are cut that something bad happens ... again.
Humans do stupid things.
Like run nuclear plants to the point of failure.
Like start a war with russia while still at war with the rest of the world.
A critical system A.I. which suffers a failure of friendliness can kill many (perhaps most) humans.
Yes it is. Especially with the new hypersonic missiles.
A slow decision means your ability to strike back will be significantly degraded.
If by "everyone", you mean a minority of a minority of persons ... sure.
How do I put this...
Nope.
There have been *many* age discrimination cases where the older person had more relevant and current skill sets and they were not hired.
Because companies have blatantly said, "We want our customers to see we are a young company. What kind of image does it make when they see we have old employees? "
You can google that one.
I posted on this in slashdot with a half dozen links a few days ago. Age discrimination is more about wrinkles and grey hair than skill sets. And it's about *young* people hiring people who look like them. Which would be unacceptable if they were men, white, etc.
http://www.cbv.ns.ca/coalnovas...
Here...
By the time any coal forming today is usable as coal, human civilization (and maybe humans themselves) won't be recognizable.
That's not how coal forms.
That's not even close to how coal forms.
more big screen TV than projection.