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Power Company Kills Nuclear Plant, Plans $6 Billion In Solar, Battery Investment (arstechnica.com)

Socguy writes: After being unable to complete the Levy County Nuclear Plant a few years ago, Duke energy abandoned it, leaving rate payers on the hook. Duke is now in the process of settling legal action as a result. As part of the settlement Duke will construct or acquire 700MW of solar capacity over four years in the western Florida area, construct 50MW of battery storage, undertake grid modernizations and install 530 electric car charging stations. "The Levy nuclear plant was proposed in 2008 and ran into hurdles early on," reports Ars Technica. "With cheap natural gas in 2013, Duke Energy Florida became nervous that it might not recuperate costs spent on the nuclear plant, especially with regulatory delays. The company cancelled its engineering and construction agreements in 2013 but said that it was holding open the possibility of returning to Levy someday. Over nine years, about $800 million had been spent on preparatory work for the plant. With Tuesday's announcement, those costs are sunk costs now. But overall, the changes will save residential customers future nuclear-related rate increases. Those customers will see a cost reduction of $2.50 per megawatt-hour (MWh) 'through the removal of unrecovered Levy Nuclear Project costs,' the utility said. The 700MW of solar won't exactly cover the nameplate capacity of the Levy plant, which was supposed to deliver 2.2 gigawatts to the region. But the Tampa Bay Times wrote that Duke 'is effectively giving up its long-held belief that nuclear power is a key component to its Florida future and, instead, making a dramatic shift toward more solar power.'"

390 comments

  1. Seems a good site by XXongo · · Score: 1

    Florida seems like a good site for a solar plant with battery storage. This might actually make sense.

    1. Re:Seems a good site by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3

      Until a hurricane rolls over it and sends the solar panels out to sea in many small chunks, maybe....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:Seems a good site by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 0, Troll

      Except southern Florida is expected to be underwater by end of the century.

    3. Re: Seems a good site by tacarat · · Score: 1, Troll

      Given Fukushima is still making news I'm sure it's a better feeling roll of the dice for them.

      --
      "Common sense will be the death of us all"
    4. Re: Seems a good site by dougdonovan · · Score: 1

      florida, coastal region, weather issues every year.

    5. Re:Seems a good site by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Funny

      Florida seems like a good site for a solar plant with battery storage. This might actually make sense.

      Did you notice that category 5 storm swirling around Florida's tip right now? Last I heard they were expecting it to go right down to the balls. Florida is not a suitable place to build anything more permanent than a tent.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I sure hope that you never go underwater, otherwise, the additional weight of the water when you get out might cause fatal failure in your system:
      https://school.discoveryeducat...

      Note that a simple solution would be to put your head upside down but you surely won't think of it when it happens.

    7. Re:Seems a good site by RhettLivingston · · Score: 5, Informative

      You would think. But...

      We would likely have a solar adoption rate higher than all but a few other states if it wasn't for whacked laws put in place to defend the utilities. A homeowner here can't sell energy back to the utility. Only those who can produce 24 hours a day on-demand can do so. Because of this, our solar penetration is lower than many northeastern states.

      Until we either get a change in the law or the cost of battery storage drops enough to make solar + battery much less than utility provided electric, Florida will lag the developed world in solar (and some of the third world).

    8. Re:Seems a good site by meglon · · Score: 1

      So that's where all that damn fairy dust ended up!

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    9. Re:Seems a good site by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 0

      Man, you got OCD bad, creimer.

      I'm not the one posting the empty head link on every comment.

    10. Re:Seems a good site by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Yea!!!

      Humanity is incapable of designing for wind and we should immediately abandon any attempt.

    11. Re:Seems a good site by Narcocide · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I like how you try to make it sound saner to have stuck with the original plan to build another nuclear power plant in the middle of hurricane territory instead.

    12. Re:Seems a good site by ls671 · · Score: 0

      Are you sure? We might find out if you forget to check the "post as AC" checkbox again...

      I am truly wondering if it is you or not.

      Cheers my friend,

      --
      Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
    13. Re:Seems a good site by jader3rd · · Score: 2

      A homeowner here can't sell energy back to the utility.

      Given that the utility doesn't want their power grid being messed up by random feedback from consumer panels, is it really a bad thing for them to not be paying for something that they don't want?

    14. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That is why emergency containment protocols and measures are done and in the case of solar panels the most damage can be is all the solar collection system broken or all the battery system empty, in the nuclear case... that could be more devastating and permanent.

    15. Re: Seems a good site by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

      Retail rate net metering is going away. It's no way to finance a grid when the lights have to stay on at night. And yes, I'm in a northeastern state.
      The early adopters get a sweet deal for a few years on the backs of their neighbors (who pay for the early adopter's electricity at night), but that can't continue.

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    16. Re: Seems a good site by whoever57 · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's no way to finance a grid when the lights have to stay on at night.

      Yeah, it's not like the peak demand is close the same time that solar panels produce peak output. Oh, wait, it is.

      Most of the USA experiences peak demand mid-afternoon, when A/C units are cranking away.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    17. Re:Seems a good site by MrKaos · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Until a hurricane rolls over it and sends the solar panels out to sea in many small chunks, maybe....

      The irony that this is the reason that Duke cites Levy being cancelled. Westinghouse couldn't make an AP1000 that can pass NRC hurricane regulations, here is a transcript of the radio program.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    18. Re: Seems a good site by prefec2 · · Score: 2

      Well they could relocate in 50 years. A thing you cannot do with a nuclear plant.

    19. Re:Seems a good site by pdegroote · · Score: 1
    20. Re:Seems a good site by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      all the utilities has to do is install batteries for incoming solar generated power, simpler and faster to bring that online when needed.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    21. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure tents don't do that well in hurricanes.

    22. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stop posting empty-headed comments.

    23. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not humanity, it's physics. More people should know it, but I have given up hope of that ever happening.

    24. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peak demand is actually early evening when everyone gets home and is cranking up heaters or A/C depending on time of year.

    25. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peak demand is actually early evening when everyone gets home and is cranking up heaters or A/C depending on time of year.

      Depends where you live. For most of the USA, it's mid-to-late afternoon

    26. Re:Seems a good site by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Informative

      It works out fine until over a third of homes have panels. This is because power usage is also higher during the day.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    27. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whomever is marking this guy a Troll doesn't live in Florida. Come on down here, it's already happening. Just ask the residents if Climate Change is a Hoax instead of relying on someone who thinks it's a Chinese hoax.

      A Magic Pill that gets rid of ignorance and stupidity would be very welcome.

    28. Re:Seems a good site by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      Alternatively, all you have to do is install batteries at home and go off grid.
      Accepting electricity from consumer panels is a cost for the utilities. Making them do so is essentially subsidizing consumer panels, which may be a good thing. No one is protecting the utilities, they are just not forced to lose money.

    29. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go off grid and your house will be condemned, thanks to the Florida power companies legal interference in the market.

    30. Re:Seems a good site by mikkig · · Score: 1

      put it in Alaska.......sun, snow, reflection.

    31. Re:Seems a good site by Rei · · Score: 1

      Just like tsunamis, apparently.

      And actually, we've seen example after example after example of hurricanes breaching defenses that they weren't expected to be able to breach.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    32. Re:Seems a good site by Chas · · Score: 2

      Or you could do what's been done for decades.

      Design the facility appropriately for the expected natural disaster du jour.
      Implement a system to shut the reactor down before the storm comes ashore.
      Then simply shield the fuel and go home.

      Thus, by the time it hits, even if it damages the facility SEVERLY, it won't be any more dangerous hitting any other storm-hardened structure.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    33. Re: Seems a good site by Chas · · Score: 1
      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    34. Re: Seems a good site by Chas · · Score: 1

      Actually there are certain types of tents that are designed to be covered in shot-crete.

      So they can actually hold up pretty well.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    35. Re:Seems a good site by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      A homeowner here can't sell energy back to the utility. Only those who can produce 24 hours a day on-demand can do so

      Which is partly to do with the energy markets not currently being designed to scale. The spot price of electricity varies second by second and a lot of power plants adjust their outputs based on this. Some big storage facilities buy power when it's cheap, pump water uphill, and then run as a hydro-electric power plant when the spot price is high. Having a lot more sources varying their output but not being able to adjust output down or up based on the current price will cause a lot of problems for the existing infrastructure.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    36. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the late adopters get a sweet deal in the back of the early adopters who made mass production possible.

      Bert

    37. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or you sink the solar panels in the ground and have hurricane shutters that cover them up (those rolling shutters that cover shops when they are closed).

    38. Re: Seems a good site by dunkelfalke · · Score: 4, Informative

      Have you actually tried to read what you have posted?
      "A prototype was scheduled for manufacture in 2015. However its development seems to have ended."

      That's the problem with you atomic fanbois - you don't know much about the topic you wank on.
      The Soviets have built a couple of these (TES-3 mobile nuclear power plant), but even they have recognised that the idea is not as great as it appears to be.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    39. Re: Seems a good site by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure tents don't do that well in hurricanes.

      Right. When there's a hurricane coming, you take down your tent and you fuck off. Florida is a swamp. It's not suitable for long-term human residence.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    40. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well... imagine a hurricane rolling over a nuclear plant. I suspect it would be anything between "just as bad" to "far, far worse".

    41. Re: Seems a good site by hord · · Score: 1

      Nuclear fuel is highly transportable. You can move the entire supply for the lifetime of the reactor in a single convoy of trucks. You won't be able to do that with any other power source. That's why people love nuclear so much. The energy density is insane.

    42. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A homeowner here can't sell energy back to the utility.

      Selling back is a problem in many ways. In my country, people keep it as a credit. Seems a good compromise.

    43. Re:Seems a good site by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      The utilities have to buy power from somewhere i.e. a coal/gas/nuclear power station, why shouldn't they pay for power produced by a solar panel on a home. The more they buy home produced power the less fossil burning needs to be done.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    44. Re:Seems a good site by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

      While I agree, wasn't it the current president who strongly suggested to bank on US coal for power generation? Maybe Duke can drain the swamps and burn peat. Plenty of that in Florida and I am sure the administration gladly reduces Everglade National Park to the size of a football field.

    45. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A few trashed panels sure beats a fukushima scenario.

      Simple repairs, simple cleanups.

      Expensive panels? Have them retract into the ground when the hurricane comes.

    46. Re:Seems a good site by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      A hurricane would pretty much destroy or damage anything, including a nuclear plant. It would be difficult to hit decentralized solar all at once, though.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    47. Re:Seems a good site by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And by "messed up", you mean "being provided energy near the places of consumption, avoiding load on the transmission infrastructure"? I doubt that utilities don't want that.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    48. Re: Seems a good site by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Most of the USA experiences peak demand mid-afternoon, when A/C units are cranking away.

      AC is a red herring anyway since storing heat/cold is a solved problem. Just heat an insulated block of stone or freeze an insulated tub of water. This allows you to shift the electricity consumption time considerably.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    49. Re:Seems a good site by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      all the utilities has to do is install batteries for incoming solar generated power, simpler and faster to bring that online when needed.

      And then charge those selling power back to the utility for the capital and O&M costs of the batteries; rather than charge all consumers so a few can sell power.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    50. Re: Seems a good site by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Given Fukushima is still making news I'm sure it's a better feeling roll of the dice for them.

      Amazing that a simple and insightful post - illustrating what is almost certainly the core of the problem - gets marked -1 troll. So I resurrected it

      Slashdot's actual nuclear power fans must be feeling very upset by this news.

      This is just how life works folks. Nuclear power, which had the promise of being cheap and reliable, has come up against a trifecta of problems. The one everyone thinks of is of course is the kablooey factor. As long as there are humans in the loop, and as long as safety compromising decisions can be made by people who are more concerned about expediency or cost, there is a lot of energy we're trying to hold in a tiny space that is itching to get out, and trying to find a failure point. Some times it does. That's a kablooey.

      The second and third issues are that other forms of energy extraction are getting better, while energy using devices are getting more efficient.

      Something else is coming down the pike as well. This is a bit of a race condition. Will fusion power be realized before people just decide the whole grid is best avoided?

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    51. Re: Seems a good site by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      I am talking about the plant. You cannot move the plant. While you can move a solar plant, as they are modular, nuclear plants are rather immobile and In case of sea level rise, a flooded plant is a serious hazard for the region it stands in.

    52. Re: Seems a good site by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      It helps to read the whole Wikipedia article. First, it tell us that the reactor type is "in development" which means, it is not available, and in context of the Slashdot article, we are not talking about fancy new reactor types, but about conventional ones. They are big and immobile. Second, the Wikipedia article states that "A prototype was scheduled for manufacture in 2015. However its development seems to have ended." So it is a merely Potemkin reactor.

    53. Re:Seems a good site by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Whomever is marking this guy a Troll doesn't live in Florida.

      I have a dedicated fan base who troll my comments. The funny thing is that they don't think they're of themselves as trolls even though everyone else does.

    54. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I have a dedicated fan base"

      Sure, and the gorillas in the mist also thought they had a fan base. We're studying you, Walter Mitty.

      " everyone else does."

      Citation required, Creampuff. You don't get to make up your own facts. What's next? Chemtrails made you fat?

    55. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you sound bitter, asshole

    56. Re:Seems a good site by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Citation required, Creampuff.

      Check out Hello, Slashdot!, The Original Slashdot F.A.Q. (Circa 2006), and the blog posts that I've written about my nasty little trolls.

    57. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      creimer posting as AC is his way of admitting defeat.

      Where are your facts, Babar?

    58. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As opposed to re-enacting what happens when you flood a nuclear plant ala Fukushima?

    59. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like I said "You don't get to make up your own facts". You don't get to link to your own blog as "proof", Even Puffier Alex Jones.

      You've gone into conspiracy nut territory here.

      The only common element to all your whining on here is YOU . You are making yourself fatter. You are unlikable, mediocre, and unwanted.

      No one here actually likes you, Slightly Overweight Michelin Man.

    60. Re: Seems a good site by Chas · · Score: 1

      Your argument is irrelevant.

      I never commented on the soundness of the tech.

      The original post basically said "you can't do that" with a nuclear reactor (talking about portability).

      I simply countered with an example that, yes. You can.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    61. Re: Seems a good site by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Your example is not even valid because it was vapourware and never existed outside of some power point presentations.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    62. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't mess up the power grid. What nonsense are you on about?

    63. Re:Seems a good site by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Implement a system to shut the reactor down before the storm comes ashore.

      That's precisely what killed the reactors at Fukushima. The reactors have a system to automatically shutdown when a tremor of a certain magnitude hits, far smaller than what would cause damage. So the earthquake that triggered the tsunami also triggered the scarm. When the wave hit and took out the generators and power lines the power plant didn't have enough power to keep the reactor cool, or to restart the perfectly functional reactor.

      For the first few minutes or hours they had some battery power and the decay heat from the core that ran a secondary cooling pump. Maybe (emphasis on maybe) they had enough power then to restart but they didn't know the extent of the damage yet. I'm not sure if procedures at the time would have allowed a restart, assuming they could have.

      The assumptions they were working with at the time was that in the case of a earthquake induced scram one of the four backup power systems would keep the reactor cool enough to prevent meltdown. All backup power was lost in the tsunami though. No power means no cooling. No cooling means heat will build up to the point of a failure.

      This kind of accident would not happen in a more modern design because they are made to hold up to a complete loss of power. The problem is that without new reactors to take the place of these older designs these reactors with this design problem still exist and are operating. Perhaps a change in procedure has come in to make sure this does not happen again, like not going into scram but instead to "idle" power. This means in the case of a total loss of backup power the reactor itself can run the pumps needed to cool it, like it would do normally, but not produce so much power that it can cause further damage from a sudden loss of a grid connection.

      It's not just about the design, which no doubt can help a lot, but also the process. What killed Fukushima was not just the design, or the tsunami, but also the failure to provide a proper process in dealing with a situation like this. There's a lot of words said and typed over the height of the flood wall and such. I believe that if they had only thought that maybe the reactors could provide backup power for each other that maybe this would not have happened.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    64. Re:Seems a good site by jader3rd · · Score: 1

      all the utilities has to do is install batteries for incoming solar generated power, simpler and faster to bring that online when needed.

      Again, the customer is creating an unscheduled cost for the utility, that the utility doesn't want.

    65. Re:Seems a good site by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Wrong. Solar power peaks at noon, power usage peaks at sundown. Solar power is terrible for meeting peak demands., it can in fact make it worse.

      To a utility they see load and supply. Supply is something that they control, at least that's how it use to be, while load they do not. To the utility solar power looks like a "negative load" in the equation that they must keep balanced. Solar power does not show on the supply side but the load side, as a negative value.

      How can the utility balance this equation when the load can potentially go negative?

      Laws that require utilities to buy consumers excess electricity drive up the costs for the utility, and therefore everyone else. The government is also paying these people, with subsidies, to put up the solar panels. This is a big "fuck you" to all the poor people that rent their homes and can't put up panels, or simply cannot afford the upfront cost of installing the panels.

      Solar power is taking money from the poor, to give to the wealthy, raising energy prices for everyone but the lobbyists that got this feel good measure into law. It doesn't "work out fine". It won't work out fine until the people that buy the panels have to pay the full cost for them and either have to negotiate a price for selling their excess electricity back to the utility, like any other energy producer, or have to buy their own energy storage so they don't have to sell it back.

      If solar power is so great then why does the government have to pay people to buy into it?

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    66. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except for all the EVs that are changing at night. I see my lights flickering every time the neighbor plugs in his car.

      Except for AC, there is nothing specific to day light being power hungry. And in winter time, when the solar panels don't produce almost anything, someone still has to deliver the juice.

    67. Re: Seems a good site by dasunt · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's not like the peak demand is close the same time that solar panels produce peak output. Oh, wait, it is.

      When are you talking about?

      In summer, peak demand is around 16:00.

      In winter, peak demand is around 8:00 and 20:00.

    68. Re:Seems a good site by kyrsjo · · Score: 1

      That's a *much* easier problem to handle than if a hurricane does the same to a nuclear plant...

    69. Re:Seems a good site by swillden · · Score: 1

      Solar power peaks at noon, power usage peaks at sundown.

      Cite?

      That seems unlikely. Lots of lights get turned on at sundown, but lights are a pretty small power draw -- and getting smaller with the shift to LEDs. The heaviest usage of residential power in sunny areas is air conditioning, and while I could see a couple of hours' lag between peak insolation and peak temperatures (and hence peak AC usage), it seems unlikely to be nearly as large as you say.

      Further, it should be pretty easy to mitigate with smart thermostats that take the availability of maximum PV energy to run the AC a little earlier than it would otherwise be needed, cooling the house to a temperature below the selected ideal, in anticipation of the coming greater exterior temperatures and lower insolation. Utilities could provide incentives to do this easily enough.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    70. Re:Seems a good site by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Cite?

      http://large.stanford.edu/cour...

      Probably not the best source but it's what I could find quickly and does show an image from a government study on the potential impact of too much solar power production on the grid.

      Further, it should be pretty easy to mitigate with smart thermostats that take the availability of maximum PV energy to run the AC a little earlier than it would otherwise be needed, cooling the house to a temperature below the selected ideal, in anticipation of the coming greater exterior temperatures and lower insolation. Utilities could provide incentives to do this easily enough.

      Right, so a utility is telling people that they can't provide power when they want it so they have to freeze in their own homes at noon and then sweat it out until the air outside cools down enough. I've heard of people "storing cold" in salt water tanks for situations like this but that can't be cheap, or at least it's certainly not free.

      Here's a better idea, build some nuclear power plants.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    71. Re:Seems a good site by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but solar cells are more vulnerable to high winds than are nuclear plants. But if you are expecting a site to have high winds, they can be configured to have a low wind profile, and also be protectively covered in time of need. No big deal, if you're expecting the problem.

      Still, I wouldn't like to see the kind of hurricane that could make ANY impression on a concrete confinement dome.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    72. Re:Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aren't solar panels large and flat? How many hurricanes can metal kites survive? ;)

    73. Re:Seems a good site by swillden · · Score: 1

      Here's a better idea, build some nuclear power plants.

      I don't disagree conceptually, but that ship has sailed. Not going to happen.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    74. Re:Seems a good site by swillden · · Score: 1

      Cite?

      http://large.stanford.edu/cour...

      BTW, that link doesn't support your claim. The curve it describes is net demand on non-PV generation capacity. The reason for the evening peak is not because total demand has peaked, but just that PV generation has ceased. As the article puts it:

      Because variable generation resources like solar power significantly reduce the load on conventional generators during the day but not during the night, a surge in generation demand may occur as the sun sets.

      This section should also be noted:

      Note that CAISO does not specify how they produced the hourly net loads shown in the "duck curve" image, nor under what conditions the hourly net loads were modeled. (Some accuse CAISO of using a worst-case scenario for the spring day in which clear, sunny skies boost solar production while cold temperatures increase nighttime heating demand to exaggerate the curve's steepness.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    75. Re:Seems a good site by blindseer · · Score: 1

      It took me like two minutes to find a nuclear power plant under construction in the USA.
      http://ansnuclearcafe.org/2017...

      I will concede that they've had some troubles in the past, and are likely to have more in the future, but saying that nuclear power is dead in the USA is provably false.

      Obama had a lukewarm at best attitude towards nuclear power. It seems Trump is actually committed to seeing nuclear power succeed. Once one is built there will be a lot of people from that project that would then be experienced builders of a nuclear power plant. So long as we keep them working they can keep their skills fresh, train more people, and costs will go down.

      The disaster at Fukushima set the industry back by a decade as political and popular support for nuclear energy evaporated. The economy is growing again and people are looking for ways to get jobs. They want cheap energy. Reliable energy. Domestic energy. They want to... make America great again.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    76. Re:Seems a good site by blindseer · · Score: 1

      That evening peak was always there, that's what I said. There may have also been a much higher noon peak compared to what was shown in 2012 since by that time there may have been enough solar to make a dent on the top of that curve. In 2013, in real world numbers, the daily peak is already quite flat. So we've already seen California hit their peak of useful solar power to where it starts to require replacing cheap base load production with expensive peak power production.

      Combined cycle natural gas is something like 60% efficient. Natural gas turbines are half to a third as efficient, meaning the same fuel burned gets half (at 30% efficiency) to 1/3rd the energy (at 20%) for the same expense in fuel. Not only does that fuel cost energy it produces green house gasses. Remember the reason we are using solar energy, to get "green" and cheap energy. If using so much solar causes us to burn so much natural gas then we are not improving things.

      Nuclear power does not have this problem. You are familiar with molten salt storage for solar thermal, right? We can do the same thing with nuclear power only not use up so much land, burn so much natural gas for preheating, or kill so many birds from baking them in flight. Use a nuclear reactor to heat a molten salt and then use the salt to heat air for a turbine. It's borrowing the turbines from solar thermal and natural gas turbines but the heat comes from the reactor. These turbines can load follow.

      We do this molten salt cooled reactor and an air (not steam) turbine then solar power looks to be rather pointless. Nuclear power is then cheap, reliable, safe, can load follow, doesn't kill birds, and takes no more area than a conventional nuclear power plant. It doesn't even need any new technology.

      This technology was first developed in the early days of the Cold War when the US Air Force wanted a nuclear powered airplane. A plane that could stay in the air for days or weeks at a time. There was never a nuclear powered airplane but all the pieces where there. Dust that off and instead power an electric turbine and I don't care how cheap solar power gets, nuclear power will almost always be cheaper. Much of the costs will be in the capital expense, once built they will want to use it all the time so they can pay that off. Operational costs are pretty stable too, the people that watch it will be paid regardless of how much energy the produce. The variable cost will be in the uranium and thorium, which in the grand scheme of the other costs will be pennies when compared to the dollars of the other expenses.

      It seems to me that when people think of nuclear they think of big old slow dinosaurs of reactors. We don't have to build them like that any more. I've heard many nuclear engineers say that even current nuclear power plants are able to load follow but they are prevented from doing so by the steam turbines. Get rid of the steam turbines and we won't even want solar power any more. The best part about the turbines is it doesn't require fundamental changes to the reactors themselves. This can be added to existing plants. Even though nothing "nuclear" is involved here it has to get approval from the notoriously slow Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

      Solar needs a base load source to work, like nuclear. Nuclear doesn't need solar. Wind might be cheap enough to keep around but solar is just too expensive and unreliable. Once nuclear gets on its feet then I expect solar to get knocked of theirs.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    77. Re: Seems a good site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll see your post and raise you the US Navy. Most submarines and carriers in the fleets are in fact running on mobile nuclear power.

    78. Re:Seems a good site by IhateMonkeys · · Score: 1

      Fuck Duke, FP&L, et al. They already screwed us for millions of dollars and they want more. Levy County is just one example. Crystal River is another fine example of consumers getting bent over the barrel. https://www.dailykos.com/stori...
      Don't forget their attempt to control the use of residential solar through an intentionally named and misleading constitutional amendment. http://www.miamiherald.com/new...
      There's a reason residential solar isn't prolific in the Sunshine State, and it ain't because there is no sunshine.

    79. Re: Seems a good site by tacarat · · Score: 1

      Thank you. Given my actual trolling attempts never get marked as such I think I need to go and rethink my life ;)

      --
      "Common sense will be the death of us all"
    80. Re:Seems a good site by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You know, looking at that link, I notice that it has the lowest drop at 3am and lowest increase during the day I've ever seen? Are we sure they aren't excluding industrial and business electricity use?

      https://energymag.net/daily-en... - this one shows a much larger difference.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  2. Solar Power in Florida? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    That's the most impractical idea I've heard since I last read a tweet from Donald Trump.

    They don't call it the Sunshine State, not even on the license plates. And they wouldn't need so many oranges if they weren't vitamin deficient from too little sun. And let's face it, they should just use the same generator powered by the soul of a Forsaken child as is used to keep Disneyworld operational.

  3. regulatory delays by turkeydance · · Score: 2, Insightful

    that is all.

    1. Re:regulatory delays by modmans2ndcoming · · Score: 1, Troll

      considering they are dealing with dangerous materials it would make sense to ensure it was built to code.

    2. Re:regulatory delays by Trax3001BBS · · Score: 0

      that is all.

      Long term storage of the fuel elements/rods should put most off https://www.nrc.gov/about-nrc/...

      "limited progress toward implementing long-term waste management solutions. This is partly because the timeframes in question when dealing with radioactive waste range from 10,000 to millions of years" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    3. Re:regulatory delays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You're an idiot making things up, that is all. It's cost/benefit, not regulations. We want regulated nuclear power. You can go soak.

    4. Re: regulatory delays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Uthats a regulatory delay. The solution has been well understood and planned for decades, but shot down by judges and politicians.

    5. Re: regulatory delays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The delays were primarily that nobody wants to store the waste, and keeping it anywhere in Florida is plain foolish.

      I like how the article makes it sound like the solar is free by stating "no nuclear related cost increases." Well no shit. But who plans on taking care of the waste from the battery plants? Those things age and need replacing more often than you'd realize. Solar panels need a lot of upkeep especially in a place like Florida, and the stated output is best case peak capability. Will the battery stations really be able to keep the AC running at night while people charge their cars and shitpost on slashdot?

    6. Re: regulatory delays by aberglas · · Score: 1

      Wastes from battery plants are not "Nuclear" waste.

      And deaths from installing solar equipment are not "Nuclear" accidents.

    7. Re: regulatory delays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear waste handling is not something that the industry just realized was a problem as it has been considered since the inception of commercial power. A closed fuel cycle has always been the goal either through geologic storage or waste reprocessing. However, through environmental impact statement demands and a bunch of regulatory BS, the industry can't do this unless there is overwhelming legislative support. Solar is the zeitgeist of environmentalists, and it has obvious merits, but it isn't base capacity that nuclear addresses and the economy demands. At best this will negate a few coal plants until it isn't sunny and the battery capacity is derated after a year.

    8. Re: regulatory delays by queazocotal · · Score: 2

      The batteries are really high grade lithium ore. They are very, very recyclable.

    9. Re:regulatory delays by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      that is all.

      Maybe the bankruptcy of Westinghouse has something to do with it.

    10. Re: regulatory delays by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Nuclear waste handling is not something that the industry just realized was a problem as it has been considered since the inception of commercial power.

      Doesn't change the fact that they've 1) ignored it 2) pushed immediate costs onto taxpayers 3) left future generations holding the nuclear waste bag.

      Solar is the zeitgeist of environmentalists, and it has obvious merits, but it isn't base capacity that nuclear addresses and the economy demands.

      Why spend ten years and ten billion dollars building a new nuclear plant when you can spend that rolling out a large amount of solar power in a fraction of the time. Long term, nuclear power is the ultimate in corporate welfare, being the most expensive power source ever invented by man.

    11. Re:regulatory delays by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      From TFS: "With cheap natural gas in 2013, Duke Energy Florida became nervous that it might not recuperate costs spent on the nuclear plant"

      Cheap gas, the expectation that renewables and batteries will keep getting cheaper... It doesn't make economic sense to build, operate and decomission a nuclear plant now.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    12. Re: regulatory delays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The batteries are really high grade lithium ore. They are very, very recyclable.

      Most lithium-ion batteries are recyclable but contain very little lithium by weight. Most of the common chemistries are primarily nickel & carbon.

    13. Re: regulatory delays by queazocotal · · Score: 1

      Which doesn't mean they aren't a good source of lithium

    14. Re: regulatory delays by Rei · · Score: 1

      But who plans on taking care of the waste from the battery plants?

      What "waste from the battery plants" are you thinking of?

      ? Those things age and need replacing more often than you'd realize

      Tesla's powerpacks (to pick one) are rated for 5000 cycles to 80% capacity. Not that you have to get rid of them at 80% capacity.

      Solar panels need a lot of upkeep especially in a place like Florida

      Solar panel maintenance costs are almost meaningless compared to the amortized capital costs.

      the stated output is best case peak capability

      Yes, it's called nameplate capacity for a reason, every location has its own capacity factor, and I'm not sure why you think this is news to anyone here.

      Will the battery stations really be able to keep the AC running at night

      Releasing stored energy is precisely what a battery does (although in practice, geographically distributed + mixed-source generation is cheaper than pure local solar + storage)

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    15. Re: regulatory delays by Chas · · Score: 1

      Why not simply build a better reactor that can actually burn most of this long-lived waste down to stuff that isn't (relatively) so long lived?

      The big problem right now is that most of the waste is mildly radioactive, but it'll be mildly radioactive for tens or hundreds of thousands of years.
      The problem with engineering is, do we REALLY think we can engineer a site that'll be good for 100+ millennia?

      And worse, 75-85% of the fuel in that waste is still unspent. Because there's no reprocessing (the reason the fuel rods are removed is the breakdown of the casing, not because they're spent)..

      We have the capability to reprocess fuel for extant solid fuel reactors and the capability to build newer reactor types that'll take said waste and cook it down to stuff that's more highly radioactive, but for FAR shorter periods. Now, can we build containment sites for stuff that's going to be cooking for a couple hundred years at most? Sure! A place like Yucca Mountain is ridiculous overkill for something like that.

      And why spend billions for nuclear rather than solar?

      Because solar simply CANNOT be baseline power. And what we need in the US is dependable baseline power.
      Solar, wind, wave, etc. They're great for peaking and for demand fluctuation. But, even with battery, they simply aren't capable of providing base load levels or reliability. And tossing enough battery capacity to actually do so would be both resource AND cost-prohibitive.

      We're not going to see more Hydro in the US. The Environmental Concerns have spoken.
      Despite what they say, Coal and oil-fired are on their way out.
      Geothermal is geographically limited.

      So guess what that means?

      Nuclear or extreme austerity (see "Go shiver in a cave")

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    16. Re: regulatory delays by Rei · · Score: 1

      If we want to be specific, quality li-ion recycling (ignoring techniques that attempt to avoid having to rebuild the cathode material) generally involves crushing under controlled conditions, removal of the electrolyte with supercritical CO2 (followed by redistillation after precipitating out lithium salts), and reprocessing the remainder. With pyrometalluric processes, separator membranes and carbon from the anodes burn off (silicon anodes end up as slag), lithium ends up in the slag side and can be extracted, etc, but in general it's surprisingly similar to high grade nickel-cobalt ore in composition and the smelting process very similar. Contrarily, acid leaching processes involve for example H2O2 + H2SO4 ("Piranha solution") dissolves lithium, cobalt and nickel, allowing them to be individually precipitated. Some new techniques involve things like enhanced supercritical CO2 extraction, using reaction promoters like H2O2 to allow the CO2 to dissolve cobalt and lithium out of the mix.

      Either way, yes, they're eminently recycleable. There didn't use to be that much interest in recycling because, first off, batteries were small and not worth the hassle to collect - but a major reason was that raw material costs were only a small fraction of battery costs. Today, however, as li-ion prices keep falling as production reaches ever-larger scales, raw materials become increasingly dominant factor in production costs, and used batteries an increasingly important feedstock. The concept of throwing away a car battery pack - a nice self-contained box containing about $3k of lithium, nickel, and cobalt, plus some copper and other metals - becomes increasingly absurd.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    17. Re:regulatory delays by Rei · · Score: 1

      Indeed, and it hardly did even before. The "nuclear renaissance"'s promise of much cheaper nuclear power failed to deliver; cost overruns was the name of the game with them. And more frequently than not, due to technical / construction reasons rather than regulatory. See Olkiluoto 3 for one of the worst examples. Nearly a decade past schedule and still years from opening.

      Building nuclear plants is just plain hard. The corrosion environment is terrible (irradiation-induced embrittlement, decay products, transmutation products, simple hydrogen embrittlement), all sorts of unusual materials have to be used (for example, to maintain neutron transparency or reflectivity) that few people have experience working with, and on and on. And the consequences of doing something wrong can be extremely severe, so everything must be done perfectly. You know, for example, how many people out there have experience making X-ray-perfect welds on high diameter zirconium pipes?

      Nuclear power is the one industry which has undergone a negative learning curve with time - that is, where the more people have learned, the more costs have risen rather than falling.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    18. Re:regulatory delays by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      There's very little about building something "to code" in the nuclear industry. The regulatory demands are such that anything that is built will be done so with such outdated crap technology, so incredibly over-designed by committee that safety really doesn't come into it anymore.

      If a car was judged by the nuclear commission we'd all be driving knowing that we'd get bankrupt by paperwork everytime we took the car in for a safety check or every time we stepped on the break. We also wouldn't have seatbelts.

    19. Re:regulatory delays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Duke / Progress Energy have been charging us customers for the build of the nuclear facility. There is no planning permission, and there is no state sign-off for the project, but the power company are allowed to take our money. Why?

    20. Re:regulatory delays by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      It doesn't make economic sense to build, operate and decomission a nuclear plant now.

      Yes, though that's mostly because industry is forced to build high-pressure LWR or nothing.

      Ironically, the people that are happiest about this are the Greens and the Coal Industry.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    21. Re:regulatory delays by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      There is no planning permission, and there is no state sign-off for the project, but the power company are allowed to take our money. Why?

      A primary benefit of governments is for corporations to socialize risks and privatize profits. That's been well-articulated since at least Adam Smith's time, yet government-educated people keep asking for more of it.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    22. Re:regulatory delays by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I don't think greens are happy about it at all.

      Anyway, they aren't forced to build anything. They could build a thorium reactor if they wanted to, but the R&D cost and the risk of it failing to work properly is so great that no investor will lend them the money or allow them to risk their own cash on it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    23. Re:Regulatory delays by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      Re: " It would be interesting to know what Duke claims those delays were"

      They tried to start construction in 2009, after all the State-level approvals were already received, but the NRC hadn't approved their construction and operating permit yet.

      In 2013, they gave up on building Levy.

      In October, 2016, the NRC finally approved their construction and operating permits for Levy.

      Was there some big change in the permit applications or in what they were going to do which finally managed NRC approval? Nope, they had already given up on the project. It was just the regulators finally getting around to finishing their job of reviewing the application.

      They spent $950 million during the initial regulatory process (without any construction happening yet!) and charged $800 million of that to their customers and have now written off the other $150 million as a loss. So it's not like they made money on trying to built this plant, Duke actually lost money and the ratepayers lost even more. All because it took the NRC seven extra years to finish the approval process, because otherwise they would have started construction back in 2009.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    24. Re: regulatory delays by swillden · · Score: 1

      Tesla's powerpacks (to pick one) are rated for 5000 cycles to 80% capacity. Not that you have to get rid of them at 80% capacity.

      But you don't want to haul them around in your car when their capacity has declined significantly, because in an automobile capacity/weight is important. Where it isn't so important is on the floor in your garage. The growth of electric vehicles should provide a growing supply of cheap second-hand batteries for both home and grid-scale power storage.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    25. Re: regulatory delays by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Why not simply build a better reactor that can actually burn most of this long-lived waste down to stuff that isn't (relatively) so long lived?

      Because you can't build something out of vaporware.

      The big problem right now is that most of the waste is mildly radioactive, but it'll be mildly radioactive for tens or hundreds of thousands of years. The problem with engineering is, do we REALLY think we can engineer a site that'll be good for 100+ millennia?

      Which is why nuclear power never should have been allowed to be a thing in the first place.

      We have the capability to reprocess fuel for extant solid fuel reactors and the capability to build newer reactor types that'll take said waste and cook it down to stuff that's more highly radioactive, but for FAR shorter periods.

      Even if some of the vaporware turns into a thing, it's never going to make nuclear power cost-effective compared to alternatives. Alternatives than aren't an environmental catastrophe waiting to happen.

      Because solar simply CANNOT be baseline power.

      The Baseline Bullshit canard is as trite as pretending the choice is coal vs nuclear. Golly gee wilickers, Batman, you think no one has realized you're not going to get much solar power on a cloudy day?

      Coal and nuclear power are already moved hundreds of miles via power lines. All do you do with wind and solar is build out your generating capacity across the grid - same as you do for coal and nuclear power today. The faux concerns over batteries is also easily addressed by technology that is also used to store excess coal and nuclear power for rainy days: pumped storage hydroelectricity.

      All the FUD on wind and solar power is easily answered by technology that was available in the 70's - and sometimes the 1870's. We have water towers and hydroelectric dams still in use that were built more than a century ago. So instead of building containment systems for radioactive materials, take that money and build pumped storage facilities. Zero nuclear waste and the biggest jobs program since WWII.

    26. Re:regulatory delays by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      +4 insightful for just quoting the fucking summary... *sigh*

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    27. Re: regulatory delays by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Exactly, the electric vehicle batteries probably have at least another decade of useful life after they've declined too much for use in vehicles.

    28. Re:Regulatory delays by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      They spent $950 million during the initial regulatory process (without any construction happening yet!)

      Do you have a source for that figure I'd be interested to find out about the expenditure. They can claim it all under the sections I've supplied above.

      All because it took the NRC seven extra years to finish the approval process, because otherwise they would have started construction back in 2009.

      Apparently Westinghouse couldn't supply an AP1000 rated to withstand Florida's hurricane conditions.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    29. Re:Regulatory delays by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      It's in one of the articles linked in the original summary, but the summary link said $800M while the actual article says $800M paid from rate payers and an additional $150M they are writing off and didn't collect from rate payers yet.

      As for the reactor, apparently Westinghouse _could_ supply a reactor to meet the NRC's standards, because the NRC ended up approving the construction and operating permit in 2016, 7 years after they were ready to build and 3 years after they finally gave up because market conditions had changed. I doubt they made major revisions to the permit application years after they decided to no longer pursue building it.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    30. Re:regulatory delays by Cramer · · Score: 1

      "to code" isn't the problem. All the NIMBY crap from the people living within 50mi of the place is the problem. Massive smoke belching coal plant is fine, but a small (relatively speaking) nuke plant... OH NO YOU DON'T.

    31. Re:regulatory delays by Cramer · · Score: 1

      That, too, is a huge NIMBY issue. In the 70's and 80's there was a plan for transportation and long-term storage. But, you guessed it, as soon as the facility was ready to accept materials there was a whole lot of bitching about it. They didn't bitch about the billions in Uncle Sam's money poured into the region to build and staff the place.

  4. Setback for clean energy by Tailhook · · Score: 5, Insightful

    75% of Duke's generation mix is coal or natural gas. So, rather than offset any of that base load with a 2.2 GW nuclear facility, they'll supplement demand growth and cover peaks with solar and keep burning the coal and gas. It's cheaper and they get to wave the green flag etc.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    1. Re:Setback for clean energy by El+Cubano · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So, rather than offset any of that base load with a 2.2 GW nuclear facility, they'll supplement demand growth and cover peaks with solar and keep burning the coal and gas. It's cheaper and they get to wave the green flag etc.

      The saying for this is "perfect is the enemy of good enough."

      Is nuclear perfect? No. But then, neither is solar, wind, or any other technology? Is nuclear better than coal/natural gas? You bet. So then, why do people cheer when a nuclear project gets killed? Because they ignore the very thing that you pointed out. They look at it in absolute terms instead of "fossil fuel < nuclear < wind/solar/etc."

      Sort of like getting a cancer diagnosis and being told that while it might take some time to completely eradicate it because the treatment is new and not yet widely available, they can do something to slow its growth for now. You can be all principled and turn down the interim treatment while you wait for the perfect treatment. In the meantime you die waiting for the perfect treatment instead of opting to do something now that will buy time.

    2. Re:Setback for clean energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      So then, why do people cheer when a nuclear project gets killed?

      I'm sorry, you're confused. It isn't cheering. It's mocking laughter as you FAILED YET AGAIN with your pretenses of the effectiveness of nuclear power.

      You can be all principled and turn down the interim treatment while you wait for the perfect treatment. In the meantime you die waiting for the perfect treatment instead of opting to do something now that will buy time.

      Yeah, ok, we're still going to laugh when your Voodoo Witch Doctor steals your money and runs back to whatever Caribbean heck hole he came from, and then we're going to piss on your grave.

      See, you don't get it, you are ignoring the very thing that is happening. You are looking at nuclear power as if it saved anybody anything, but it has had nothing but failures since George W. Bush touted how we'd somehow perform a miracle. And you can blame the government, you can blame the environmentalists, you can blame the Red, Yellow, and White Martians, but the real fault, the real fault, was always in the corporate boardrooms.

      They never wanted it. They just see it as a way to put more money in their hands. And you keep falling for it every time. Go ahead, be gullible. This time, this time, you'll catch that Wascally Wabbit.

    3. Re:Setback for clean energy by Ichijo · · Score: 2

      But how much baseload is truly necessary? In other words, how much electrical demand is perfectly inelastic?

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    4. Re: Setback for clean energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'll feel better after taking your pills

    5. Re:Setback for clean energy by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The saying for this is "perfect is the enemy of good enough."

      Which always seems to be said in the context of defending the indefensible. Nuclear power isn't an exception here.

      So then, why do people cheer when a nuclear project gets killed?

      Because they don't want their taxpayer dollars to be pissed away on the ultimate form of corporate welfare? Because they don't want to saddle future generations with an enormous waste problem? Because they took fifth grade econ and have heard the term "cost effective"?

      They look at it in absolute terms instead of "fossil fuel nuclear wind/solar/etc."

      As opposed to the binary terms of nuke fanboys, who pretend the choice is 1) support nuclear 2) love coal. Which, years after wind and solar have surpassed coal (and that's allowing coal to externalize its costs like nuclear) is a red herring.

    6. Re:Setback for clean energy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The frustration many of us feel is that if all the money invested into nuclear was instead invested into renewables it would see a reduction in fossil fuel use too.

      Look at Germany. Closing coal plans, and the new ones being opened are burning less of it and with cleaner output. It's not perfect but the net result is that by the mid 2020s they will not only have cancelled all new nuclear but closed all the current ones, and reduced coal and gas consumption, and developed a world-leading and highly profitable green energy sector.

      Note how they have effectively wasted close to $1bn and are not going to invest anything like as much in the new solar plant as they were in the nuclear plant. It's disappointing to say the least.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Setback for clean energy by Rei · · Score: 1

      Your conflation of coal and gas is wrong. They're very different fuels from an environmental footprint standpoint, and while gas is most definitely on the rise, coal is likewise most definitely on the decline.

      The US power grid is overwhelmingly headed in the direction of being a mix of gas, wind and solar (the latter small but undergoing an exponential scaleup similar to wind in its early days). All three will be major players over the next few decades at least, while coal continues its death spiral. At present, nameplate wind + solar installs already exceed nameplate gas installs, although baseload gas is higher capacity factor (peaking gas, however, is very low capacity factor); wind and solar are growing faster, too. That said, until battery storage becomes cheap and proven enough, gas will remain a critical component of that mix.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    8. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 0

      The frustration many of us feel is that if all the money invested into nuclear was instead invested into renewables it would see a reduction in fossil fuel use too.

      Look at Germany. Closing coal plans, and the new ones being opened are burning less of it and with cleaner output. It's not perfect but the net result is that by the mid 2020s they will not only have cancelled all new nuclear but closed all the current ones, and reduced coal and gas consumption, and developed a world-leading and highly profitable green energy sector.

      Well, seeing is believing, and from across the water, I'm not seeing it. The German electrical grid only works because they're neighbours (France) are ready, willing, and able to take up the slack. (I.e. exporting to Germany when they have a shortfall, and accepting the overruns).

      The same is true of Denmark. They wouldn't "work" if they didn't have us for a neighbour.

      And that true even though in both countries they don't use electricity unless it's absolutely necessary. Electricity to the consumer is about 3-4 times as expensive in Germany/Denmark so the consumers act smart, and avoid it as much as possible. The German releases twice as much CO2 per capita as us Swedes, and that's with similar standard of living and similar industrial mix. And yet, they're the green example to emulate, while we're the "backward ones".

      Because of course, we have 40% nuclear and the rest hydro electric. Not for long though, the green stupidity have reached our shores and is alive and well. Well, at least we'll still have the hydro electric, and I'm sure the Norwegians (98% hydro electric) will be willing to shore up our swaying network. For a price...

      So, the Germans clearly screwed the pooch from an environmental standpoint. They're producing CO2 as if there's no tomorrow, and that's going to continue for a long, long time. And they do that burning lignite, which is a pretty horrible fuel, even as fossil fuels go (yes, there's a reduction in use, it's a pittance). And this in a time where we're looking to electrify our transports. We should be gearing up for cheaper and more plentiful electricity, with a lower CO2 load, not trying our level best to go the opposite route.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    9. Re:Setback for clean energy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      If France was not there they would simply do things a bit differently. Their transition is not dependent on France, it's just sensible to make use of available resources. Maybe without it might take them an extra few years.

      The German releases twice as much CO2 per capita as us Swedes, and that's with similar standard of living and similar industrial mix. And yet, they're the green example to emulate, while we're the "backward ones".

      I wouldn't use that phrase. However, the point is that Germany is transitioning, it's making a huge effort. They should be applauded for that.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    10. Re:Setback for clean energy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      It's great to be so smug when you have mountains. Of course you can do cheap and environmentally friendly electricity if you have hydro available. Without hydro or links to other places, the only thing that works is to have natural gas backup capacity that is a bit larger than peak demand.

      There is nothing else affordable that does load-following. (And outside the US, natural gas is not all that affordable for power production).

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    11. Re: Setback for clean energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taking pills and forgetting the problem won't make it go away.

      Besides, they'd rather release it as a gas.

    12. Re:Setback for clean energy by hord · · Score: 1

      They should be applauded for worse outcomes? This is why we can't have nice things.

    13. Re:Setback for clean energy by El+Cubano · · Score: 1

      Because they don't want their taxpayer dollars to be pissed away on the ultimate form of corporate welfare? Because they don't want to saddle future generations with an enormous waste problem? Because they took fifth grade econ and have heard the term "cost effective"?

      Let me guess. That is why France (where 75% of the electrical capacity is generated by nuclear power) is a model of corporate welfare, has more nuclear waste than they know what to do with (and for which the current generation hates past generations), and is a poster child for cost ineffective electrical power generation. Oh wait, it is none of those things.

      Your arguments are tired and only apply here because over-regulation has the US nuclear industry stuck in the 1960s. If modern, fail-safe (as opposed to fail-unsafe) reactor designs were used and regulatory burden were on par with what other forms of electrical power generation have, then we could have spent the last 20 or 30 years doing something to improve our situation.

      Of course, the irrational fear that so many people have regarding nuclear power has resulted in what we have now. That is, if you think fracking is bad and you oppose nuclear power, then you have yourself partly to blame. Had we started 30 years ago following the model France established we would be in a very different situation today, and I suspect that fracking would largely have never become cost effective.

    14. Re:Setback for clean energy by hord · · Score: 1

      It's an ever increasing amount. One thing no one mentions is Jevon's paradox:

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      No matter how much energy we generate, we will use an amount that is equivalent the excess wealth we have to pour into energy generation. More electricity at lower prices? I'll just run my A/C *AND* heater in different parts of my house year-round so I always have access to a "perfect" temperature.

      This is why we should be thinking very carefully about how we deal with power. The land we convert to generation can't be easily re-used for much else (especially in the US with regulations).

    15. Re:Setback for clean energy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      How do you know the outcome is worse when they won't finish the transition until the early 2020s?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:Setback for clean energy by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      75% of Duke's generation mix is coal or natural gas. So, rather than offset any of that base load with a 2.2 GW nuclear facility, they'll supplement demand growth and cover peaks with solar and keep burning the coal and gas. It's cheaper and they get to wave the green flag etc.

      Gas right now is so cheap and you can get 10 year contracts so it is killing any other generating source economically.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    17. Re:Setback for clean energy by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      That is why France (where 75% of the electrical capacity is generated by nuclear power) is a model of corporate welfare

      Yep, it actually is. Their electric utility company (EDF) is state-owned and state-subsidised.

      and is a poster child for cost ineffective electrical power generation

      Their nuclear power plants are not completely paid for yet and right now no money is provisioned for decomission.
      The 75% electrical capacity is also quite misleading, because French nuclear power plants also only have a 75% availability - which is pretty low by worldwide standards - so their part in the fuel mix is lower.
      France also has barely any reserves, so if their nuclear power plants have to be shut down due to heat, they have to buy a lot of power from their neighbours and when it is very cold, they also need to import a lot of power.
      So yes, inefficient and not cost-effective without massive subsidies.

      has more nuclear waste than they know what to do with

      France has no idea what to do with long term waste storage since they only have a temporary storage facility (Centre de stockage de l'Aube) that is good for 60 years. There are no plans beyond that.

      Oh wait, it is none of those things.

      It is all of those things. But it also makes France quite independent from foreign energy sources, which was the whole point of the Messmer plan.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    18. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Smug?? Where on earth did you get smug?

      Yes, we're lucky we've got a bit of hydro electric, but we don't have enough! That's the point. We still need nuclear. However, with the current political climate, we're going to shut them down, and then see our electricity prices soar, and our industry tank with it.

      And you don't need hydro electricity if you like France have your head screwed on straight... (Well, when it comes to electricity generation...)

      P.S. And hydro electricity isn't necessarily "environmentally friendly". Quite the contrary. Those rivers you damm, basically die. That's why we saved our last ones in favour of nuclear, way back when.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    19. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Because they're nowhere near it, the curves on the graphing paper don't point their way, and it gets harder the longer you go. Not easier. (You always pick the lowers hanging fruits first.)

      Current projections on when Germany will rid itself of coal, is "so far into the future that we might as well say never". I.e. 20 years or so.

      In 1980 Sweden had a referendum that lead to the decision that nuclear power would be shut down in Sweden in 2010. In 2010 we had relatively more nuclear power than in 1980. We had about the same nuclear mix as we always had. Not one iota of difference in all those years.

      It's easy to make a political decision that you won't have to answer for. But deciding that things should be shut down here and now, that's not so easy. Shutting down coal in Germany will cost money. No-one will want to pay it when it's about to happen.

      So, I'm willing to bet good money the German electricity future will depend on coal for the foreseeable future. And that's bad. Really bad. They could have slashed their CO2 emissions if they'd kept nuclear and banned coal instead.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    20. Re:Setback for clean energy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      20 years is "might as well say never"? Definitely better not build any nuclear plants then.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    21. Re:Setback for clean energy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      France only works because it can dump its nighttime excess of electricity on the European market, and because it is willing to run the nuclear plants below full capacity (effectively throwing free electricity away). No new modern nuclear power plant can compete in Europe even when running 100% at all times, running it load-following would turn it into a complete joke.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    22. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      And the reason for this is that "green" energy, namely wind and solar, is eating its lunch. We demand that wind+solar be sold, at all cost, to the detriment of nuclear, and when they don't deliver (as they won't, because wind+solar is fickle) nuclear is left without the income to support itself.

      You Danes do the same thing, you dump your wind surplus on us when you have too much, and buy from us when you don't have enough. Then you don't have a problem with nuclear...

      And Germany should be so lucky that France is willing to sell them their "nighttime surplus". With Germany on wind + solar there wouldn't be any nighttime surplus...

      And France does run some of its nuclear in a load following manner. Even quickly enough to do regulation. It's expensive to run that way though, as it thermally cycles the reactor tanks, to the detriment of their longevity. As part of a mix with i.e. hyrdo electricity, they work very well though. Just witness Sweden. I pay a third to a quarter for my electricity compared to you...

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    23. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Why not? Like I said, in the Swedish example, if they've been built they'll be running "forever". Even if the decision to close them down has been taken. (German craziness notwithstanding).

      ''

      And this for many of the same reasons that the Germans will not close down their coal fired plants in the foreseeable future. There aren't any realistic alternatives.

      And given that there aren't, I prefer the alternative that will not dump giga-tons of CO2 into the atmosphere. For, what should be, obvious reasons.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    24. Re:Setback for clean energy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      You pay a third to a quarter because of differences in electricity tax. And yes, of course Danes piggyback on the Swedish and Norwegian hydro. We supply power in winter from the wind turbines (wind is stronger in winter at Scandinavian latitudes) when water level is low behind the dams, and we buy it in late spring and summer when water is plentiful. It is very much a win/win situation. Nuclear can almost do the same, except it does not have the advantage of automatically supplying more in winter when demand is highest, and it is massively more expensive than wind.

      Solar is not of much use in the Scandinavian region so far, since it supplies in summer when the dams are full. Once airconditioning becomes more common, it will start making sense.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    25. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure I follow when you say that nuclear can't supply more in winter when demand is highest.

      In Sweden we have our peak demand on a cold clear winter day. The "clear" is operative here as that means a high pressure area, which means no to little wind. That's when we need the power, and wind can't deliver. (Hydro can though).

      And wind isn't cheaper than nuclear, as it's unreliable. Nuclear can and does deliver reliably and predictably, wind doesn't. That's the problem. If we only had a way to store energy then by all means. I'd be the first to vote for nuclear removal. But since we can't, and there isn't really anything realistic on the horizon. Reliability is a major factor.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    26. Re:Setback for clean energy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Reliability is great. Now look at the operational history of the Swedish nuclear power plants. Like in 2007, when only the power cables to other countries prevented blackouts when almost half the nuclear reactors were down simultaneously.

      But really, even if nuclear power plants WERE reliable, that is useless when they reliably produce power at the wrong time. Nuclear needs energy storage, otherwise it is WAY too expensive.

      If we only had a way to store energy then by all means. I'd be the first to vote for nuclear removal.

      You live in Sweden. Sweden has the capacity to store something like 2 months full supply of electricity for more than six months. You have a way to store energy, that is why nuclear is working for you. Most countries aren't that lucky.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    27. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Nope. Swedish nuclear has regulatory problems. That's why we have a low capacity factor. But that's not inherent. In fact nuclear has the highest capacity factor of all energy sources. It's the most reliable of all electric energy sources.

      And nuclear isn't expensive if you factor in the capacity factor. I have no idea where you get the "they have to be able to ramp down at night" spiel from. If you have any shred of a reference to that I'd like to see it. It's patently untrue. The only way wind, solar, etc. looks cheaper is because of subsidies and not taking capacity factor into account.

      And no, it's not because we have hydro that nuclear works for us. Look at France. Plenty of cheap electricity (compared to you and Germany) and they produce 3/4 of their electricity with nuclear. With hydro a very small part.

      And hydro electric isn't storage, in that it can't store electricity already generated. Following your argument then an oil or coal fired plant provides for electricity storage, as you can build as large a fuel tank, or coal heap, next to it as you please.

      No, it's renewables that are expensive. It's not for nothing that electricity prices are the highest in Germany and Denmark. Germany is more expensive than France, even if you remove taxes and other levies. And the price in Germany is kept down by coal. So, nuclear is not the problem price-wise. Quite the contrary.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    28. Re:Setback for clean energy by amorsen · · Score: 1

      I have no idea where you get the "they have to be able to ramp down at night" spiel from.

      I don't have a reference because that's basic logic. If you supply 100% of electricity with nuclear, you have to size the plants for peak load, which means you turn them down at night. This is uneconomical, but luckily Sweden has hydro to store it.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    29. Re:Setback for clean energy by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Again look at France. Cheaper electricity than Germany and 75% of it from nuclear. And that's beating coal economically. So how much nuclear is too much then?

      Now, of course you want to run your expensive plants flat out. That delivers the best economy. But that's not to say that its "uneconomical" to run them a bit below max some of the time. There is a lot of middle ground between most profitable and won't-make-back-what-they-cost.

      In fact. That argument is one that's better applied to wind+solar. Since they are so unreliable, you have to really go to town when speccing out your reserves. They have to be able to cover the whole load, while still not making any money when the wind does blow. Which it does most of the time. That's uneconomical in the extreme.

      And that's why neither you nor Germany could exist in isolation. Without us, Norway, France etc. to shore up your grid, you'd end up with brownouts, blackouts etc. You couldn't run a stable grid.

      No-one is saying that nuclear is perfect in ever way. Far from it. I am saying that its the best available. All things considered.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
  5. Lost expertise by igny · · Score: 1

    Westinghouse, AREVA (Olkilouto 3), and now Duke Energy... More and more players seem to have trouble when trying to to re-start building new nuclear plants...

    --
    In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is. - Yogi Berra
    1. Re:Lost expertise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "regulatory delays"

      More like it's the government that doesn't want it to work.

    2. Re:Lost expertise by rmdingler · · Score: 1

      Westinghouse, AREVA (Olkilouto 3), and now Duke Energy... More and more players seem to have trouble when trying to to re-start building new nuclear plants...

      Hmmm... love me some solar, and full disclosure, I'm not against government interference in the markets in the form of subsidies to develop it, wind, and other renewables.

      But. Baseline generation is important to the delicate balance of the grid. How about some some friggin' government interference in the markets on behalf of next-generation nuclear power development?

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    3. Re:Lost expertise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      How about some some friggin' government interference in the markets on behalf of next-generation nuclear power development?

      We already gave them billions. Perhaps tens of billions. Net result? One plant from the 1980s, Watts Bar 2, is operational.

      We'd have been better off paying Solyndra to run their factory just to make their solar panels and giving them away to people to use.

    4. Re:Lost expertise by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      The grid doesn't need base load. That term was invented because coal power plants could not follow load, so if all your power plants are of the load following types, base load is moot.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  6. How did they kill it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Was it with a candlestick in the study? Or lead pipe in the dining room?

    1. Re: How did they kill it? by bestweasel · · Score: 5, Funny

      With a spreadsheet in the boardroom.

    2. Re: How did they kill it? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      That is funny but it's also insightful. Nuclear is one of the more expensive ways to generate electrical power.

  7. Inigo says... by eddeye · · Score: 1

    With Tuesday's announcement, those costs are sunk costs now.

    You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

    Sunk costs are costs that are already spent. The $800 million was a sunk cost long before this announcement. What you mean is those costs are now a write off due to obsolescence.

    --
    Democracy is two wolves and a sheep voting on lunch.
    1. Re:Inigo says... by DamnRogue · · Score: 1

      Which word? "Now"? The costs were always sunk.

    2. Re:Inigo says... by whoever57 · · Score: 2

      While the use of now is technically correct, it is misleading.

      The phrasing implies that the costs have only recently become sunk(as a result of the decision to abandon the plant), whereas they have been sunk for a long time.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    3. Re:Inigo says... by SomeoneFromBelgium · · Score: 1

      The definition you refer to says: "Money already spent and permanently lost".
      The "and" is important. Yes the costs were already spent but that doesn't make them sunk costs. That only happens when they are permanently lost. And that only happened at the moment they decided that they were definitively abandoning the project.
      So, for me the statement is a correct one. According the cited definition.

    4. Re:Inigo says... by eddeye · · Score: 1

      Incorrect. Lost means the liquid asset is gone. You already spent the cash. Yes you can sell the asset, but it's still a sunk cost. I build a factory. The cost is a sunk cost. Whether I use the factory, abandon it, or sell it, the cost to build the factory was already paid and is not directly recoverable. I work with economists. I know these terms.

      --
      Democracy is two wolves and a sheep voting on lunch.
    5. Re:Inigo says... by SomeoneFromBelgium · · Score: 1

      Umm. According your definition any money already spend is a 'sunk cost'. If you are going to talk to your boss like that you not be making many friends. "Yeah the investment in my project is a sunk cost anyway".

      No. The definition clearly states: "permanently lost". So let's apply this to your example of the factory. If you use it, the investment is not lost because you can use the result to make profit. If you sell it the investement is not lost either because you can recuperate (a part of) your investment in the sale.

      But if you first build it and then abandon it you cannot recuperate the money spend on the build. The investement is permanently los. Then the investement becomes a sunk cost.

  8. 6 billion? by cheesybagel · · Score: 0

    They'll use 6 billion money to build 700 MW? AFAIK you could have between 2x and 4x the same generating capacity with nuclear with the same amount of money. And it would work rain or shine.

    1. Re:6 billion? by RhettLivingston · · Score: 2

      ??? The plant in question was estimated to cost around $20 billion not counting finance and other unspecified costs (probably operational maintenance, fuel and disposal which can't be cheap) and was planned to produce 2200 MW, just a bit more than 3x 700 MW. So in what world does $6 billion equal $20 billion? If it's this one then please show me where I can go to trade up.

    2. Re:6 billion? by dabadab · · Score: 5, Informative

      and was planned to produce 2200 MW, just a bit more than 3x 700 MW

      Do not make the error of comparing nameplate capacities ignoring capacity factors (i.e. how much of the nominal power is actually produced). Capacity factor for nuclear tend to be around 90%, for solar it's location-dependent but in California it may go as high as 25%.
      If you take that into consideration then the difference between 2200 MV nuclear and 700 MW solar is almost ten-fold.

      --
      Real life is overrated.
    3. Re:6 billion? by plopez · · Score: 1

      What do you do with the waste?

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    4. Re: 6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This.
      The solar farm is 100% guaranteed to produce nothing for half of any 24 hour period. The batteries have only 50MW capacity, assuming they're all online and working 100% as rated. In reality they decrease over time and have to be maintained and eventually replaced (and nobody mentions what happens with the toxic byproducts.)
      The nuke plant would generate around 80% rated capacity ALL the time... assuming it was needed.

      In the end, the solar/battery system will cost more per MW, but enough of those costs can be hidden or deflected to make it look cheaper.
      Plus, nuke power creates a lot of high skilled construction jobs up front, but only a small number of ongoing technical jobs permanently. But solar creates a lot of medium to low skilled jobs both up front and as permanent positions.

    5. Re: 6 billion? by viperidaenz · · Score: 0

      Only if it's a PV based solar farm.
      Thermal solar plants continue to produce power when the sun goes down.

    6. Re: 6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're looking at it as if Solar Energy or Battery storage was the "bad guy" here, when it is Duke Energy that simply does not want its goose buttered.

      This commitment is merely a way to put on a smiling public face, while the graft and corruption is swept under the rug.

      If they had put as much money into insulation, solar water heaters and LED bulbs, they could have reduced the local power load far more, but that wouldnt help their pocket books.

    7. Re:6 billion? by gravewax · · Score: 1

      A 700MW solar plant can't be directly compared to a 2200MW nuclear plant, one can operate at close to full capacity all the time, the other (solar) almost never operates at full capacity and averages well under 50% on a per hour basis on the BEST generation days.

    8. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would take 8-10 of those 700MW plants to equal 1x 2200MW nuclear plant. lets go with a best case of 8 (would need great weather and awesome efficiency) but at that level you are at almost 50 billion to reach the same generation capability.

    9. Re: 6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, you lose that time in the morning as you warm it up. Ignore the damage that thermally cycling everything does. In practice, they're maintenance nightmares.

    10. Re:6 billion? by rahvin112 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Unless of course the solar has an energy storage system then combined capacity rates are near 60-70% and present a power prices that's 1/3rd nuclear's cost.

      I like nuclear as much as you but the simple fact is it's been priced out of the market and that's not likely to change without massive tax payer subsidies. Solar costs have fallen 99.99% since 1970. You can now purchase solar panels at a price that's orders of magnitudes smaller than other sources and the only reason it's not taken over completely is the storage issue. Once the storage problem is solved Wind and Solar will be the only two power sources as wind will be cheaper than dirt cheap gas without subsidy by 2020 at current price trends. Solar is following the same track but is a little bit more expensive upfront but has lower maintenance costs long term.

    11. Re: 6 billion? by ixidor · · Score: 1

      http://www.solarreserve.com/en/technology/molten-salt-energy-storage
      Heat loss is only 1âF per day
      so what you just said is bunk ..

    12. Re: 6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, Thermal is simply storing the previously generated power like a battery. Though you would have to use different measurements of its generating capacity, regardless it still will only be feeding energy into the system (weather permitting) during sunlight hours.

    13. Re: 6 billion? by gravewax · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Only if it's a PV based solar farm. Thermal solar plants continue to produce power when the sun goes down.

      No they do not. Molten salt is just a big battery. They can only produce what has been put into them (minus a little which is lost in the process). This doesn't change the maths behind the solar generation capacity of a plant in any way, it does however provide storage if you can generate enough so that you don't suffer as badly from the intermittent nature of Solar.

    14. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      a storage system DOESN'T change the maths of how much energy it generates, it simply stabilises when the power can be distributed. 700MW system will still only generate the same amount with or without a storage solution, with a storage solution some of that production can at least be used outside of energy generation hours, however this does absolutely ZERO to the capacity being generated and in fact REDUCES overall capacity rather than increasing it as you will lose a little by sending it in and out of storage.

    15. Re:6 billion? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Except that, while nuclear plant operational costs are predominantly capital costs, they still have relevant operational costs (a much larger share than maintenance share of solar costs). Capital costs make up only about 3/4ths of the cost of a nuclear plant, vs. nearly 90% for a solar PV plant. They also have significant decommissioning liabilities at end-of-life. And are heavily subsidized in that they don't have to pay for their own catastrophic liability coverage, only base liability coverage - a simple factor that on its own would price nuclear plants out of the market if they had to pay for it on their own (I doubt they'd find any insurer who'd be willing to - or even could - cover them against Fukushima-scale disasters).

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    16. Re:6 billion? by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oh, and the average PV capacity factor in the US is 27,2%. A 700MW PV plant at average capacity factor is equivalent to 206MW of nuclear. So yes, there is a 10x difference in total generation; however, it more closely follows the demand curve, meaning that you can wholesale the power for significantly more per MWh, and the price you get for your power is the figure that really matters, not the total generation. Nuclear plants spend half their time generating dirt-cheap nighttime power.

      Also it's worth noting that Duke's pricing on this solar plant is abnormally expensive; new plants in the desert southwest are coming in as low as $1,50/W (half as much). Florida's insolation is worse, but I'm not sure that fully explains the difference.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    17. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you can't generate at close to full capacity all the time with nukes. For a start you have to refuel them every 4 months. You have to take them down for inspection and replacement of parts. You have to have cooling water in sufficient amounts and at a low enough temperature. You have to have the DEMAND for it. One of the many reasons why power companies hate wind and solar more than just renewables is that the renewables generate for free peaks that make the running of the other types pointless, since they only generate excess that can't be sold at full price. So they have to dump, sometimes at negative prices, paying people to use it, the power while they spool those sources down if weather forecasts say that the conditiions will continue for long enough.

      Know what happens when you spool those power sources down? They're not producing at full rated capacity.

      Know what happens when you're dumping power? You WANT to produce at lower than full rated capacity.

      And when the bullshit of nukes being unusable because they don't load follow, nuke fluffers like yourself insist that nukes can follow the load too. Which means, guess what? THEY AREN'T RUNNING AT FULL CAPACITY.

      The USA lies about capacity factors for nukes. They dump the times they weren't expecting to generate. E.g. at a summer shutdown. Most of the world gets about 60% CF for nukes. The USA does too on new designs. Because they don't know how often they have to take this design down,therefore can't deduct "expected downtime" from the total number of hours in a year.

      60%.

      And with quantum efficiencies at an average on installations of 15% or slightly more, the USA gets 27% average CF. When the efficiencies go up, replacing those panels with quantum efficiencies of 25%, nearly what is production level today for commercial products, that 27% will go up to maybe 45%.

      So 2200MW of nukes will be replaceable by 3000MW of solar for the USA ***ON AVERAGE***. Florida, being above average, would need even less nameplate solar replaced by newer more efficient panels.

    18. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless of course the solar has an energy storage system then combined capacity rates are near 60-70%

      In that case, why have the solar panels at all? Just run the generation station on batteries 100% of the time. Or maybe you have no clue what you're talking about.

    19. Re:6 billion? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      I like nuclear as much as you but the simple fact is it's been priced out of the market and that's not likely to change without massive tax payer subsidies.

      The only relation to tax payers and pricing nuclear out of the market, is how much of the tax payer investment goes into to handicapping the project from the start. Building and operating a safe nuclear power plant is neither difficult nor expensive. We just make it like that.

    20. Re:6 billion? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Unless of course the solar has an energy storage system then combined capacity rates are near 60-70%

      I'm all for batteries that can store energy but you just described a battery that makes the sun shine at night. Where can I buy those?

    21. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It would take 8-10 of those 700MW plants to equal 1x 2200MW"

      Proof plz.

      I get figures of about 6. But it would also take about 3 700MW nuclear plants to equal 1x220MW plants. So I would say rather it takes twice as much solar to replace nuclear.

      Else I could claim it would take 40 55MW nuclear power plants to equal 1x2200MW power plant. It contains more accuracy than your claim.

    22. Re:6 billion? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      I'm all for batteries that can store energy but you just described a battery that makes the sun shine at night. Where can I buy those?

      It's called a nuclear power plant.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    23. Re:6 billion? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Nuclear plants spend half their time generating dirt-cheap nighttime power.

      You seem to imply that is a bad thing. I thought we wanted dirt cheap power.

      Solar power will always be expensive because it is unreliable. Sure, we know that the sun will come up at a given time so it's "reliable" in that way. What it can't do is provide power we can rely on being there when we want it.

      I think I see what you are saying, a utility wants a return on it's investment so it's going to want to sell it's electricity at the highest price. That does not mean they want to sell electricity that costs them the most. They can demand (or at least try to demand) a higher price for solar because of it being inherently unreliable. People don't want to pay for unreliable power, especially if it costs more than reliable power.

      For solar power to make any sense it has to be cheaper than reliable energy like nuclear and natural gas. People will be willing to pay for unreliable power if it means getting it cheaper. Making expensive and unreliable power can just mean no one is going to buy it. Certainly if there is electricity to sell then people will buy it at some price, but that means producing it at a cost lower then what people are willing to pay so they make a profit on their investment.

      Solar power is cheap right now because the government deems it so. Nuclear power is expensive because the government deems it so. If the government just got their collective heads out of their collective asses then we'd have nuclear energy so cheap that solar panels would never be considered for utility power.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    24. Re:6 billion? by gravewax · · Score: 1

      The truly sad part up is he got marked insightful for such a moronic statement.

    25. Re:6 billion? by Rei · · Score: 1

      Nighttime power is dirt cheap because it's in excess.

      No, solar power is not cheap "because the government deems it so". It's cheap because panel prices has plummeted as silicon prices have plunged in the face of new production technologies, and panel production technologies and particularly scales have improved exponentially. And solar and wind prices are cheaper than most baseload technologies, and much cheaper than nuclear.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    26. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It has nothing to do with a storage system, it has to do with maximum output, and last time I checked the sun is not up 24 hours a day. Even with sun tracking you are only getting peak output for maybe 6 hours.

    27. Re:6 billion? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      I believe you are mistaken.
      https://www.instituteforenergy...

      Nuclear is still cheaper than solar. The cost of solar power increases once it reaches a certain threshold too.

      https://www.instituteforenergy...

      I'll believe solar is much cheaper than nuclear when it reaches 20% of electricity production like nuclear power has. As the paper I linked above points out, that simply cannot happen. When solar power reaches about 6% of total grid power it starts to get real expensive.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    28. Re:6 billion? by gravewax · · Score: 1

      Sadly it is people like yourself and those that modded you up that do the economic models of these projects.

    29. Re:6 billion? by Rei · · Score: 2

      That is not a "paper"; it's not peer-reviewed, and is simply something created by a conservative think tank (Institute for Energy Research) and put on their website. The previous job of the guy who founded and runs it was as a policy analyst for Enron.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    30. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what complete bullshit. operating capacity of nuclear is around 90% (including all the maintenance you mentioned), operating capacity for solar is about 20% or under depending on location.

    31. Re:6 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it would take around 5000-7000MW of solar to replace nukes of 2200MW capacity. solar in the best locations in the world will only achieve about 21% and no you are completely full of shit saying they will get up to 45% or that anything close to 30% is even remotely possible anytime soon and shows you have no fucking clue and are as bad as those making the bullshit marketing. try a dose reality for a change.

  9. Bang for the buck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So instead of 2,200 MW base-load with a 94% capacity factor (uptime), we get 700 MW of intermittent gen with a 27% avg capacity factor, and a 12.5 MWh battery posing as a 50 MW injector for 15 minutes. All to save 2Â/kWh. What a steal of a deal.

    It's a good thing that Florida doesn't have storms like every day that would make solar intermittency a real liability for the local grid. Oh wait...

  10. We should by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    ... the Levy plant, which was supposed to deliver 2.2 gigawatts to the region ...

    I don't know why they keep messing with nuclear power. They showed how to create 1.21 jigawatts of electricity way back in 1984... Why that research was discontinued? Who really shot such emmetinent scientists? Libyan terrorists? Or merceneries of the Big Power companies? I wonder...

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:We should by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why that research was discontinued?

      The head engineer on the project could only manage that power output for a brief moment. Worse yet, he interfaced his generation source with the grid via a clock tower, which was destroyed immediately, and he caused several small fires in the surrounding road infrastructure.

    2. Re:We should by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please shut your faggot mouth.

    3. Re:We should by dasunt · · Score: 1

      I don't know why they keep messing with nuclear power. They showed how to create 1.21 jigawatts of electricity way back in 1984... [youtube.com] Why that research was discontinued? Who really shot such emmetinent scientists? Libyan terrorists? Or merceneries of the Big Power companies? I wonder...

      I did some research, and the first attack on a scientist that was working with revolutionary green power was actually back in 1885, when a local troublemaker shot at a scientist that was experimenting with some sort of compressed-biomass technology to make trains go faster.

      Unfortunately the trail goes cold, since we don't know who hired the troublemaker.

  11. Duke is not giving up on nukes by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    But, they are not going to build large plants like this where the builders gouge the company. Once SMRs are going, Duke will jump all over them.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  12. In this thread /. experts will... by locater16 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In this thread /. "nuclear experts" will decry just how costly all this solar stuff is and how great and awesome and cheap nuclear power is.

    All that on a story about how a multi billion dollar energy company couldn't get a nuclear power plant off the ground even after $800 million dollars. I'm sure all Duke needed to do was consult such expert /. in order to save their project.

    1. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two things I can think of:

      (1) Work as technicians or computer programmers in the the nuclear industry. (My partner's father was in that camp, then retired, and after a year or two his position on the matter started to mellow).

      (2) Growing up reading SF by authors like Asimov where atomic power was held out as the harbinger of all things shiny and wonderful in the future.

    2. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative
      I wouldn't, except the renewables proponents keep making fundamental engineering errors which indicate they're clueless about power generation and are unqualified to be making decisions concerning it.
      • 700 MW of nameplate solar capacity multiplied by Levy County's solar capacity factor of 0.161 yields an average annual production of just 112.7 MW.
      • By comparison, the scrapped nuclear plant's 2.2 GW multiplied by nuclear's capacity factor of 0.9 yields an average annual production of 1980 MW.

      So this 700 MW of solar power represents just 5.7% the capacity of the scrapped nuclear plant. Guess where the other 94.3% of energy production is going to come from (hint: its initials are FF)?

      To replace the nuclear plant entirely with solar, they'd have to build (1980 MW / 0.161) = 12,300 MW of panels. That's more than 8x larger than the largest existing solar plant in the world, more than 20x larger than the largest existing solar plant in the U.S. At the optimistic cost of $1/Watt, those solar panels (never mind the supporting infrastructure) would cost $12.3 billion. The nuclear plant was only going to cost $7.65 billion. They killed it because of regulatory delays.

    3. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear plant costs may look scary, but they generate massive amounts of reliable clean energy. These plants would have produced roughly $50B worth of electricity over their lifetime, which puts their cost in proper perspective.

    4. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by thesupraman · · Score: 1

      Avoided pouring millions (probably closer to billions) of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere?

      Or is global warming suddenly not a thing again?

    5. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the cost of jumping through red tap hurdles which incurs the significant bulk of the cost of building and maintaining a Nuclear Power plant, not the actual physical construction - See http://www.phyast.pitt.edu/~blc/book/chapter9.html

      It's a shame as it's crippling innovation in the industry. Maybe one day research will ramp up again due to the need for power on long distance interstellar journeys or remote martian colonies but for now it looks like we'll be burying this tech

    6. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not how you use the capacity factor. With your calculations, there would be a glut of energy in the summer months and still not enough in the winter months. Installing that many solar panels would be wasteful. Instead you need a mix of solar and complementary energy sources, like wind, to even out production. It is kinda fitting that you accuse renewable proponents of making fundamental engineering errors, but it's always the nuke fanboys who can't wrap their head around not doing everything with one energy source.

    7. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      In this thread /. "nuclear experts" will decry just how costly all this solar stuff is and how great and awesome and cheap nuclear power is. All that on a story about how a multi billion dollar energy company couldn't get a nuclear power plant off the ground even after $800 million dollars.

      You're confusing technology with regulatory cost and garbage overheads caused by politics and NIMBYs. Don't do that, it makes you look foolish.

      Oh and maybe you want to run the costs of how much 2.2GW of solar with >90% capacity factors will actually cost. But you won't. You'll just see that a large nuclear plant got cancelled while a small piss-weak solar plant gets built in its place. Then in a few years everyone will wonder why we're still burning coal, suffering from rolling power outages, and where all the money has gone.

    8. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's good to see someone actually attempt some simple math on the costs, rather than simply spouting the usual tired pro/anti nuke/solar opinions regarding the costs ....

      So by your math, after factoring in the solar's lower capacity factor, the solar is a little under 2x the cost of the nuclear ... however, a few things you might want to factor in there that could affect this math ....

      Firstly, regarding your $1/Watt - that's not all that optimistic like you say - US utility scale projects are already dropping below that - https://www.pv-magazine.com/2017/06/12/u-s-utility-scale-solar-falls-below-us1-per-watt-w-charts/ . It's also fair to consider that, if you start building the solar now at current costs, it'll be generating power in a year or two or three .... vs waiting 10+ years (hard to predict exactly, as these plants invariably have delays in building, I'll touch on that more later) for the nuclear ... or you wait the 10 or so years to build the solar, aiming to complete it when the nuclear plant would be reasonably expected to be complete and generating, then a very conservative cost projection (given the declines in cost over the past 10 years, and cost projections from solar manufacturers) could be 50c/Watt. A fair comparison here compare in this way, i.e. would only aim to finish building the solar when the nuclear plant is reasonably expected to be complete, and this would heavily move the cost equation in favour of the solar.

      Secondly, your capacity factor sounds a little low vs typical figures .... but maybe Levy County is particularly unsunny, so I'll leave that out. I agree that it absolutely is something to not ignore in the equation. One might also consider the costs of the solar being intermittent, but at the current low levels of solar power relative to the overall grid in the US, these are very low (for the first 10-20% of solar, it tends to match pretty nicely with peak demand ... obviously when you get closer to say 50%-100% of the grid being solar, you need more load balancing in the form of inter-state grid connections, pumped storage and dams that stop/lower generation when demand is low (effectively 'storing' the excess in the built-up water), batteries, responsive demand, etc etc - a cost, but not necessarily massively changing the equation).

      And then ... another thing to factor in ... is that literally all of the nuclear plants currently/recently being built in the west (Europe + US) have had insane cost overruns (typically 3x plus - hard to say for sure as many get canceled before completion after going waaay over budget, or haven't still been completed yet after already increasing the estimate many times). So any sane utility has to be doing the comparison with a higher expected cost for the nuclear than the $7.65 billion figure you quote (note, that solar PV plants have not been suffering from any such cost overruns - it's worth noting that the one 'solar' project with some notable cost overruns, and most often sited in solar-bashing in the US - Ivanpah - was solar _CSP_, which is a totally different technology, and pretty dead and a tiny blip on the roadmap vs the huge utility-scale solar PV capacity in the US, and bashing solar PV on this basis, as is often done, is like bashing natural gas on the basis of coal).

      Then of course to also do a fair comparison, one should factor-in the externalities .... you mentioned infrastructure for solar - by this we're mainly talking power lines, which a nuclear plant may also require .... but nuclear also has a lot more ... admittedly much of these don't/can't get covered by the utility, as no utility on earth could ever afford them, i.e. the insurance - this is something the government everywhere covers, as no insurance company would/could ever provide that for nuclear. While some may argue that the insur

    9. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for sharing some realistic figures for this. I have been a nuclear proponent for most of my life, with that always being tempered by concerns about management of waste and long term legacy impact. This means I have considerable sympathy with those pushing for nuclear to be dropped so that more resource is focused on renewable energy. However, I can't get beyond seeing the desire to entirely drop nuclear as a massive overreaction to the risks of nuclear and ignorance of the harm the additional fossil fuel burning that replaces it causes.

      Even Germany, held up so often as a shining light of how moving off nuclear can be done in an environmentally friendly way, requires selective picking of information to sell as proof. Germany with limited nuclear was in a position, starting from 2010, where they could likely have moved off fossil fuels by 2040 (slightly more aggressive than plan at that point but not more than the revised plans post-fukushima). Now they're seeing huge increases in gas burning and the only reason their decision to move off nuclear isn't massively disrupted is that it was only around 7% of their energy generation to begin with. The USA's energy mix includes around 3x as much nuclear, which would mean monumental increases in fossil fuels to come close to the same slow rate of transition.

    10. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have a winner!!

      Your contrarian nonsense is boring.

    11. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      The numbers aren't quite as bad as you make them seem. In Florida, a lot of the electricity consumption is air conditioning, which is at its highest during the day when solar is generating. Generating a lot of power when the AC is off is less useful, because that's not where the demand spikes are. Nuclear only gets a capacity factor of 0.9 if it's being used as base load, which means if other things are demand-following and can even out peaks and troughs in generation.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    12. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      7.62 to build and how much to dismantle it? Because currently no land on which a nuclear reactor was built was ever reclaimed....

    13. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      For your argument to work you have to assume that the engineers building this vast solar farm are morons. If you use a more realistic plan it falls apart completely.

      This 700MW farm is just the start. It will be mixed with on-shore wind, off-shore wind, batteries and maybe tidal. This will happen over many years, similar to how the nuclear plant won't just spring forth from the ground one day and then disappear down the same hole with all its waste.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    14. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to challenge the 90% load factor with nuclear.

      That's not true, because nuclear cannot scale up OR down.
      It 'looks' like it is 90% simply because there is also hydro and
      fossil fuel to back it up. In fact it is below 80% because if the
      load factors fall below the nuclear station's capacity the extra
      power must be shorted to ground or dumped some how. If they
      do not do that, the reactor will trip off and 600MW or whatever
      will drop off the network for a month or two. Nuclear power needs
      a variable power source to make it look like it is 90% load factor.
      Actually it is not because of the inability to throttle down.

      If you want to see a reliable load factor, take a look at geothermal.
      That really is reliable and can be safely throttled. You can put a
      ruler to the output curve. Sorry, but you cannot do that with nuclear.
      Of course, the same is true of hydro which probably has the fastest
      response of all. Gas can throttle up and down but is not renewable
      and emits significant amounts of CO2 though less than coal and oil.

      Nuclear might be an answer in the future, but not with what we've got
      right now or what's in the near future. Fusion would be great, but.......

    15. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They killed it because of regulatory delays.

      No, they delayed it because of regulatory delays. They killed it because it was more expensive than competing power sources that had arrived shortly after they started. In other words, they dodged a bullet. Without those delays they would have sunk billions into a white elephant. Now they're making a new plant that can actually run profitably.

    16. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *gasp* you mean... this is just cover for oil/coal like it was the last google plex times? That's *UNPOSSIBLE*!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    17. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Nicolas+Cage · · Score: 0

      Yeah, all those nuclear-powered cars have really been a godsend.

    18. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, that poor multi-billion dollar corporation just couldn't get a nuke plant off the ground, right? Completely ignoring the fact that regulatory decisions have resulted in years of schedule slip, and years of schedule on multi-billion dollar projects = multi billion dollars. No, Duke energy looked at the regulatory landscape and decided they did not have enough money to plow through the red tape to make this happen. Interestingly enough China has bought a couple of these reactors. And they will actually build them.

    19. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Well also Westinghouse went bankrupt I believe, that might have had something to do with it also.

  13. Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Fukishama was a result of 2 things; a management that cut corners by doing the least possible, AND a major slowdown in building new reactors that are much safer.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      This is the same thing.

      You can always count on management to line their own pockets.

    2. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Fukishama was a result of 2 things; a management that cut corners by doing the least possible, AND a major slowdown in building new reactors that are much safer.

      • Chernobyl was the result of Russians not knowing how to do technology.
      • Three mile island was the result of being in the past
      • Windscale was the result of new technology.
      • Fukashima was a result of the Japanese (who we'd previously been saying were great) not doing safety right

      The excuses keep coming. Where there are humans involved there will be short cuts. Where there are short cuts there will be accidents. Your travelling wave reactor may be perfectly safe in theory, however when someone cuts out the safety features I it will go wrong in real life.

    3. Re:Not really by SirSlud · · Score: 1

      "Of course, we'd do it properly."

      Given that humans rarely do anything perfectly, and accidents happen whether through negligence or not, nuclear will always be riskier and more dangerous than other forms of power generation.

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    4. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 1

      Actually the quake wasn't a factor. AT ALL.

      The reactors went into shutdown properly after the quake. As they were supposed to.

      And, had the sea wall been built to the height that the engineers had recommended, there would have been NO damage to Fukushima whatsoever.

      Billions wasted, and an area contaminated. All because some jackass couldn't be bothered to pay for a couple thousand bucks in concrete and rebar.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    5. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sorry. But bullshit.

      There ARE ways to design reactors that are safe by default. Power cuts out, the reactor shuts down and dumps fuel into a dump tank. And it's pretty much IMPOSSIBLE to cut out the safety feature.
      Also, since the reactor design isn't being cooled by high pressure boiling water, no steam explosions.

      Chernobyl was the result of unauthorized modifications to the an aged reactor's operations that weren't communicated to the next shift.

      TMI is an obsolete reactor that had several flaws in the cooling system.

      Windscale was a military reactor and the operators misinterpreted what was going on in the core.

      And Fukushima wasn't not "not doing safety right". It was a case of engineering cost-shaving. They basically saved a few thousand dollars in concrete and rebar and flushed a multi-billion dollar reactor facility.

      In all of these, there were human fuckups. Sure.

      But we HAVE learned from all of them.

      Chernobyl, TMI and Windscale simply CANNOT HAPPEN today.

      And Fukushima style cost-cutting for nuclear power won't ever happen again.

      As of April, there are roughly 450 operational nuclear plants in the world. And there are scores more decommissioned plants.
      All operating without incident. All of the decommissioned ones from first fire to closure without an accident.

      But NOOOOO!

      You have a whopping FOUR isolated incidents! So nuclear power is evil/bad/scary/dangerous/unholy/Republican!

      Gimme a break.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    6. Re:Not really by Rei · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Right. Because a sea wall totally costs a couple thousand bucks.

      Citation needed on the "engineers wanted a higher seawall" claim, too. And more than just one or two random people - show that there was any sort of serious belief among the engineering team responsible for the plant that the seawall wasn't high enough.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    7. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Run away effect".

      *sigh*

      You've been watching too much Jane Fonda again.

      What you're talking about is actually "failure of cooling systems".

      This is a problem only for boiling water reactors. This is why BWRs are such huge, hyper-redundant, Rube-Goldbergian facilities. Because the actual reactors themselves are relatively small. The bulk of the physical plant is to accommodate the cooling systems.

      If it were REALLY as much of a problem as you seem to think, we'd have it more often. But we have exactly 4 single-reactor failures of of hundreds and hundreds of reactor facilities.

      Chernobyl was the Russians fucking around with an old, badly maintained reactor.
      TMI was a design flaw in the cooling system.
      Windscale was a military reactor that wasn't really designed for power production and operators who were mistaken about what was actually going on in the core.
      Fukushima was engineering cost cutting compromising safety systems.

      We KNOW "don't fuck with the reactor".
      TMI simply can't happen anymore.
      Windscale simply can't happen anymore.
      Fukushima won't ever happen again. Because the next executive who tries to save a couple thousand in concrete and rebar for something like this would be reported and immediately ousted (then probably lynched).

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    8. Re: Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are glossing over the facts of Chernobyl. An experiment was being performed. Safety mechanisms were bypassed due to human error and misinterpretation of a user interface. In fact, we will never know exactly why certain things happened the way they did because some of the scientists performing the experiment and reacting to data on their dashboard died during the accident.

      If I am incorrect then watch some short youtubes that explain what happened or read Wikipedia.

    9. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 4, Informative

      http://lmgtfy.com/?q=Fukushima...

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      A number of nuclear reactor safety system lessons emerged from the incident. The most obvious was that in tsunami-prone areas, a power station's sea wall must be adequately tall and robust.[6] At the Onagawa Nuclear Power Plant, closer to the epicenter of 11 March earthquake and tsunami,[289] the sea wall was 14 meters tall and successfully withstood the tsunami, preventing serious damage and radioactivity releases.

      https://www.theguardian.com/en...

      The report noted that Tepco had not made any safety improvements to the Fukushima Daiichi plant since 2002, and had dismissed the possibility of it being hit by a massive tsunami, even though it could not produce supporting data.

      It had, for example, insisted that Fukushima Daiichi's 5.7m seawall was high enough to withstand a tsunami generated by a large quake in the area, despite a warning in 2008 by its own engineers that much bigger waves were possible.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    10. Re: Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YouTube and Wikipedia aren't exactly the most reputable sources to cite.

    11. Re:Not really by amorsen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If we learned so much about handling stuff that needs constant cooling, why did that chemical factory explode in Houston?

      I constantly read two things from nuclear proponents:

      1) The nuclear industry is vastly ahead of other industries in safety thinking
      2) The ridiculous cost of nuclear is due to extreme overregulation and safety requirements

      Now, personally the nuclear power accidents don't bother me so much. If you add up the cost of having a Fukushima once a decade and spread it out over the total electricity produced, it will only add a few cents per kWh. Nuclear power could be required to pay into a huge global fund to cover that kind of thing. There are a bunch of practical problems with that, but in theory it's viable -- nuclear accidents have killed very few people, so we are mostly dealing with economic costs and distress.

      But please don't pretend that there will never be accidents again. Of course there will. Especially if we e.g. decide that global warming is so much of a problem that it's worth trying to fix it by reducing the cost of nuclear regulation.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    12. Re:Not really by amorsen · · Score: 1

      More dangerous than SOME other forms of power generation.

      Probably not more dangerous than coal, which kills at least thousands every year before accidents. And probably not more dangerous than hydro, which unfortunately has had some really nasty accidents.

      But yes, of course a nuclear reactor will hurt people every few decades at least. If nuclear power was cheap, we would have learned to accept that.

      Even wind and solar kills people, but they cannot kill lots of people in one go.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    13. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Fukushima won't ever happen again.

      When the next Fukushima happens because reactors are practically all sited where they can be flooded, and because there's plenty of the same kind of reactor out there, will you finally STFU about nuclear power?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:Not really by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not exactly; the Guardian is messing up the sourcing a bit. First we have "a warning in 2008 by its own engineers". When you follow the link, it's simply "an internal report" - the source cited to Kyodo. Kyodo however says the report wasn't from Tepco - it was from a Tepco subsidiary (and thus Tepco's engineers weren't involved in drafting it - they would have, however, been involved in evaluating it).

      It's also worth noting that the report talked about stopping waves 10,2m high coming in from the south side by reinforcing the south side sea wall. What actually happened was waves 14-15 meters high came in from the east side. So even if they had followed up on the report's suggestion, it would have done nothing to prevent the disaster.

      Lastly: your notion that building a sea wall to stop 15 meter waves costs "a couple thousand bucks" is remains absurd.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    15. Re:Not really by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I hope you are right, but Fukushima style tsunamis are not the only problem for nuclear power in Japan. In the decades since some of those reactors were build, geological survey equipment has improved a lot. Previously unknown faults have been discovered under some plants, as well as other issues like questions over the availability of emergency power for cooling systems or fixes to the cooling system to avoid it failing in the way Fukushima did.

      Japan is in a difficult position. It has few natural resources, little room for solar and wind on-shore. Off-shore wind is now starting to become price competitive, but even so... There has been a huge focus on energy efficiency.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:Not really by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

      >Fukushima was engineering cost cutting compromising safety systems.
      >Fukushima won't ever happen again.
      Do you work in a sizeable organization ? Yes? They you KNOW that cost cutting happens, and WILL happen at nuclear power plants.

    17. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      new reactors that are much safer.

      Reactors that are on paper are always safer. Maybe they should stay on paper indefinitely... for safety!

    18. Re: Not really by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Feel free to correct the Wikipedia article with your superior knowledge.

      --
      No sig today...
    19. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You are right the quake did not cause harmful damage to the plant. Many plants in the region hit by the quake performed perfectly.

      The issue was placing the plant, which was not designed to be hit by tsunami, in the path of a tsunami. They believed the wall would prevent that from happening, that was obviously a poor choice, just as it was a poor choice to allow may towns/villages to grow where they could be hit by a tsunami. In the case of the latter, many died.

      The solution is simple, don't site plant in tsunami zones. Any safety analyst will quickly tell you that fuel melt is a likely outcome of you were to suddenly deluge the plant. (I'm not talking about a slowly rising flood either, I'm talking about putting the thing underwater in the span of minutes)

      The Fukushima reactors, unlike Chernobyl, had containment structures and therefore the actual release was much less than Chernobyl. Nobody was harmed by Fukushima radiation, despite the FUD and alarmism. Yes, it is a big mess, and costly to clean up, but its has been quite harmless radiation-wise. Unfortunately public ignorance to the realities of radiation risk abound. The area will be cleaned up and just fine. Its actually safe to live there now, but politics and logistics will prevent that from happening any time soon.

      Unfortunately, Fukushima fed the fear mongers with enough ammunition to deal a severe gut blow to the industry. Lack of support and high capital cost drive the only players capable away, and lack of federal willpower and political infighting paralyze progress. We would not have many of our hydro-electric dams had it not been for federally funded efforts. That applies to new nuclear. Its not a technical issue, its a financial one. Now we are limping along without our most powerful tool to lower CO2 emissions. Some countries are smart enough to move ahead with nuclear, but not enough.

      The math is out there, We cannot significantly reduce CO2 with just wind and solar and batteries. The deniers of that math abound, just like AGW deniers. Between the two, we will certainly fail. Many find it more important to stick to their holy grail of wind and solar than to actually lower CO2 emissions.

    20. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right. Because a sea wall totally costs a couple thousand bucks.

      A seawall for the entire coast is prohibitively expensive. So a very rare tsunami is allowed to remove small villages and farmland. That is cheaper to rebuild than the cost of a tall catch-all seawall.

      The nuclear plant is kind of special, so protecting only that with higher seawall is feasible. As they have done at some other plants.

    21. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fukushima won't ever happen again.

      When the next Fukushima happens because reactors are practically all sited where they can be flooded, and because there's plenty of the same kind of reactor out there, will you finally STFU about nuclear power?

      If Fukushima happens a hundred more times in a hundred more countries, Nuclear Power will still have a better safety record than literally every other power source in history.

    22. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The issue that I see is that we have not yet seen 'the big one'.
      We've just had the medium to large ones so far. The big one
      will finish off uranium/plutonium fission nuclear power permanently.
      It's the one that results in the evacuation of a large metropolis and
      causes costs in the trillions of dollars. Fukushima was almost that.
      If one of the spent fuel ponds had collapsed, a huge release of
      radiation would have resulted as the zirconium cladding caught fire
      and dispersed the entire contents into the atmosphere. If the wind
      was going south much of Eastern Tokyo would have then been
      evacuated. Nagoya or Osaka might well now be the new capital.
      Unimaginable costs....

      Humans will not build these types of reactors to a sufficiently safe
      level at a reasonable cost. One of those two will be compromised.
      Hinckley point has gone the other way. Yes it will probably be safe
      and overengineered. It will also be a huge money pit for decades.

      With the kind of money being thrown at these projects, there are other
      options, just because of the money. In the UK you could build 'Icelink' to
      Iceland through the Faroes, plus build out huge power storage facilities
      (one company is even doing liquid air storage for power in the UK), plus
      any number of other types of projects. Nuclear is not economic in its current
      form. Maybe other forms of nuclear power will be. But not what we've got
      right now.

    23. Re:Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      Fukishama was a result of 2 things; a management that cut corners by doing the least possible, AND a major slowdown in building new reactors that are much safer.

      There were many factors involved in the Fukushima problem. The first was location.

      Its kind of funny though, Are you saying that the Designers of Fukushima knew their reactor design was unsafe? You don't have to answer, because that's a trap.

      We can postulate all day about how this won't ever happen again because modern reactors are safe. But people tend to remember that they were told how safe those old reactors were. So when we tell them how safe the new ones are, you'll have to forgive them if they are a little skeptical.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    24. Re:Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Billions wasted, and an area contaminated. All because some jackass couldn't be bothered to pay for a couple thousand bucks in concrete and rebar.

      But that is the way of management. Who hasn't had their decisions overridden by management and seen the bad results of that?

      That's why we can't have nice things.

      The incredible energy density of these reactors simply does not coexist with management and accountants, who are concerned with expediency and cost.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    25. Re:Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      And more than just one or two random people - show that there was any sort of serious belief among the engineering team responsible for the plant that the seawall wasn't high enough.

      Historical records show that the reactor site was hit by tsunami that was higher than the seawalls that were emplaced. And if we want to be skeptical about historical measurements, there is actual physical evidence from the rubble line left by tsunami.

      All this I found with about 8 hours of internet searching. Granted, it would have taken longer in pre internet days, but the data existed before the 20th century.

      So when a wall is built in an area that historically receives tsunami of bigger height, it was either irresponsible for lack of research, or irresponsible for being over-ridden. Either way, it just shows what happens when humans try to confine large amounts of energy in small places, and ignore the facts of the situation.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    26. Re:Not really by houghi · · Score: 1

      Fukushima won't ever happen again. Because the next executive who tries to save a couple thousand in concrete and rebar for something like this would be reported and immediately ousted

      There will always be somebody who is willing to take the risk and think it will; be good enough. Accidents WILL happen. You can minimize the risk and even calculate that people who die because of it will be less than alternatives, but saying that they won't happen is just wrong.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    27. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, for every nuclear disaster there are the apologists who explain how this particular plant had inferior construction, poor quality control, poor management, and how it couldn't happen at a properly run modern nuclear facility. And then invariably it does happen somewhere else and we get the whole spiel again. It seems like the problem is human beings. Nuclear might be ideal if the safety of millions of people living nearby didn't rely on humans behaving contrary to human nature in order to operate safely.

    28. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 1

      Fukushima won't ever happen again.

      When the next Fukushima happens because reactors are practically all sited where they can be flooded, and because there's plenty of the same kind of reactor out there, will you finally STFU about nuclear power?

      No I won't. Not with people like you making specious arguments like this.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    29. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 1

      Look at the response that the Fukushima plant had before the Tsunami hit.
      The quake itself hit, and the reactor SCRAM'ed as it should have.
      The facility had generators on site to walk the reactors through their cool-down period in case of local power system failures.

      Part of the reason Tepco was so blind to the tsunami issue is that they'd been almost mono-focused on earthquake response. There, they're prepared for all but the unimaginable.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    30. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 1

      I never said there will never be another accident.

      Simply that, as the technology advances, the likelihood of an accident shrinks back from 1.0 rapidly. Especially for MSR-style reactors.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    31. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 1

      They already HAD a sea wall.

      Adding a couple meters to it was a vanishingly small expense compared to flushing a multi-billion dollar facility down the drain.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    32. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 1

      Yeah. And the next person who tries it will have the local MSM informed of the fact. Cue public lynching.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    33. Re:Not really by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      Regarding your #2: "2) The ridiculous cost of nuclear is due to extreme overregulation and safety requirements."

      Allow me to point out that after RTFA, this power company spent $950 million on trying to get Levy built and never even made it to the point where they could begin construction. Why didn't they start construction? Because even after spending almost a Billion dollars, they couldn't get the NRC to let them start the excavation work. Yep, couldn't get a construction permit from the Federal regulators in 2009 when they were supposed to start and already had State-level site certification and approval. They gave up on building Levy in 2013. The NRC finally approved their application and gave them a license to start construction in October, 2016.

      So yeah, over regulation does seriously impact new nuclear construction, as evidenced by this specific case, among others.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    34. Re:Not really by david_bonn · · Score: 1

      Citation needed on the "engineers wanted a higher seawall" claim, too. And more than just one or two random people - show that there was any sort of serious belief among the engineering team responsible for the plant that the seawall wasn't high enough.

      "Warnings: Finding Cassandra to stop Catastrophes" by Richard A. Clarke and R.P. Eddy has an entire chapter (Chapter 5) discussing what might have prevented the Fukushima disaster. From Chapter 5:

      A Stanford study in 2013 concluded that any one of three key improvements could have mitigated or prevented all this from happening at Fukushima Daiichi: plant elevation, seawall height, or the relocation of the plant’s backup generators. Higher seawalls would have prevented the tsunami’s waters from spilling over into the plant, even situated where it was and at the elevation it was. Alternatively, higher plant elevation would have prevented the tsunami from damaging key components, such as the backup generators. Even just elevating and waterproofing the backup generators, or not installing them in the basement in the first place, would have made a major difference and could have potentially averted the crisis altogether. Okamura had suggested all three things in 2009.

      Clarke, Richard A.. Warnings: Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes (p. 89). HarperCollins. Kindle Edition.

      I'll add that during the construction of the Fukushima plant the site was lowered by eighty feet to make construction more convenient. So elevating the site was definitely a possibility and probably quite feasible.

    35. Re:Not really by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      The only way to prevent the next fukishima completely is to eliminate nuclear power plants.

      However, there are *some* safe locations where we could put plants.

      The problem is, nuke plants are so expensive that they get momentum which finally suppresses safety concerns.

      And humans are really stupid over periods of decades. After a safe decade, the new humans are less careful than the first humans on the job. Until finally enough corners are cut that something bad happens ... again.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    36. Re:Not really by Uecker · · Score: 1

      > But we have exactly 4 single-reactor failures of of hundreds and hundreds of reactor facilities.

      Huh? There have been many more: the sodium reactor experiment, the Lucern accident, Experimental Breeder Reactor I, etc.

    37. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      not just the seawall. The Generators were supposed to be away from the seawall. Instead, they left them there so that when wave came over, it swamp the building and then stayed there for a bit.
      Had they either moved the generator up the hill (which was cheap), OR built the seawall to the RECOMMENDED and not just the legal minimum, they would be Ok.
      In addition, those plants were some 50 years old. They were originally rated for 40 years. Because far left have fought against nuke power, it is has stopped new reactors. Those really should have been replaced in the 90s, 00s.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    38. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      this is the reason why I am a fan of the SMRs. They really do make sense since most of them are capable of working without any human intervention, esp. the thorium fluoride salts.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    39. Re:Not really by Riceballsan · · Score: 1

      We can all say "we learned we won't do that shit again", but as long as there are greedy corporations and politicians, that's hard to guarantee. Just look at the wall street collapses. Oh we learned from those mistakes, we're putting in all these regulations to help prevent this from happening again. 2 years later begins the rise of "OK these regulations are too restrictive, lets start removing them".

    40. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      this is why if we are lucky, the DACA issue will cause CONgress to come together, solve it, and then move on.
      Right now, we really need CONgress to take a leadership role and solve many of America's ills, which includes getting nuclear manufacturing restarted.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    41. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      wrong.
      Most of the new Gen IVs can not have melt-downs or run-aways.
      That is why we need the SMRs based on new gen IV (some are gen III+) tech.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    42. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      u have to be kidding. RIght?
      Nuke, along with geo-thermal and hydro, are the only 3 clean base-load powers.
      In addition, new SMR reactors are the ONLY way to burn up the current nuke waste and have relatively little to deal with.

      And you scream about AGW, but refuse to do what is necessary?

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    43. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      first off, nuke power is actually quite safe.
      Secondly, the expense of BUILDING new nukes is because they literally build the reactor in-place esp while protests are on-going. It is too expensive to do this.
      Instead, with an SMR, after a license is given, a plant can be set-up in 1-2 years. When wanting to add new reactors to such a site, it will take less than 1 year, and most of that would be licensing.

      And regulations can easily solve this.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    44. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      of course, all of those gen IV reactors have been built in various parts. IOW, it is not just pure paper, but known quantity.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    45. Re:Not really by maestroX · · Score: 1

      Fukushima won't ever happen again. Because the next executive who tries to save a couple thousand in concrete and rebar for something like this would be reported and immediately ousted (then probably lynched).

      Yeah right, on your blue eyes.
      Whatever safeguards, humans are fallible, anything deteriorating is fallible, nuclear technology has proven to be fallible (hence the new technologies). and will be fallible as soon as a new parameter emerges and you find a new sucker to be the fuckwad.
      The fuckwad is the messenger telling you it isn't safe. If consequences of nuclear leakage were only 100 yrs from now or short-lived it wouldn't be a problem either.

    46. Re:Not really by Accordion+Noir · · Score: 1

      Even the nuclear agnostic in me calls silly on this:

      "And Fukushima style cost-cutting for nuclear power won't ever happen again."

      Designs need to be good enough that human error/corruption can't lead to catastrophe. This is a high bar, but every time somebody says "can't happen again," their credibility sinks.

      The smart-ass in me ponders how nuclear proponents claim it is safe now (not like past designs), while complaining about safety regulations which (ideally) were put in place because of past incidents.

      --
      "Ruthlessly pursuing the idea that the accordion is just another instrument."
    47. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Nuke, along with geo-thermal and hydro, are the only 3 clean base-load powers.

      Geothermal and hydro are not clean power. Hydro involves environmental destruction just setting it up. Geothermal involves heavy metals and radioactive elements coming out of the vents and having to be cleaned off the turbine blades.

      Nuclear is also not clean power until we figure out how to deal with the waste.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    48. Re:Not really by HiThere · · Score: 1

      IIUC, a part of the problem was lack of adequate drainage. From my understanding the standby generator was not merely submerged by the tsunami, it was left standing in a pool of water that didn't (rapidly?) drain away. If the emergency generator had been able to be started within a couple of hours the damage would have been much less. I seem to remember that the proper evaluation is closer to *EXTREMELY* much less. As in it could have kept the fuel rods from melting.

      If I'm correct, the problem was not only an improper sea wall, and not merely improper siting of the backup generators, but even basic things like drainage for the backup generators.

      P.S.: Many of the plants being operated in the US are beyond their designed lifetime, and being run at higher power levels than they were rated for. I hope people are checking on their backup power supplies and refrigeration.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    49. Re:Not really by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Actually, most of the regulations were put into place because of the possibility of incidents, not because of incidents that actually happened. This doesn't mean that they're a bad idea. It's also dubious when somebody claims "we've learned from this" because management keeps changing, and people have an extremely strong tendency to discount future costs in favor of short term gains.

      Additionally, any particular incident usually has a string of antecedent causes, and singling one out as "the reason" is usually a mistake. Usually several different chains of causation have moved one closer to the incident, and any of several different subsequent chains of causation could move the incident into actuality.
      E.g.: In the case of Fukishima what was learned? Use a high seawall? Site the plant higher? Have redundant backup generators? Don't put your backup generators in the basement? Avoiding any one of those errors would have changed this incident into something MUCH less significant. But the thing is there are probably lots of things that didn't happen that could have, and any particular change would only deal with some of them.

      In the case of Fukishima the thing that should *really* have been done is protect the backup generators. That would have been the cheap way to avoid the current problem. But what should really have been done is "All of the things mentioned, and a few you haven't thought of".

      The existing generation of nuclear reactors is dangerously unsafe. Possibly the pebble bad or molten salt reactors would be inherently safe. Certainly I've never heard of a major problem with the swimming-pool reactors...but they must be too expensive. Still, it seems an existence proof for an "inherently safe reactor design". If something happens the water drains out or goes up as steam and then it no longer moderates the reactor so it shuts down. This might do a lot of damage to the reactor, but it wouldn't damage much outside the reactor.

      OTOH, the problem about reactors that really bothers me is radioactive waste. Some reactor designs are designed to burn that stuff up within the reactor. That's what we need to be using even if there's a bit of damage to the "inherently safe design", and others have claimed that there doesn't need to be.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    50. Re:Not really by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I've seen the claim before that molten salt reactors are inherently safe. It may be true. (It does seem plausible.)

      This, however, is different from saying there won't be an accident. The claim I saw said something more like "and accident won't cause any problems outside the reactor".

      It is also true that technology advances often yield greater reliability. But this isn't guaranteed. Sometimes they optimize something else, perhaps construction costs, or permit availability. I usually avoid using the first iteration of any technology. I wait for the first bug fix release, or at any rate wait until a track record has been established. And this is through long and bitter experience. But if only a few instances of a piece of technology is available to examine (say a new nuclear power plant design) on what basis should I assume that it is safe?

      A secondary consideration is that companies siting nuclear plants seem to frequently chose horrendously inappropriate sites. A site which has historically repeatedly been swept by tsunami, for example, or at the bottom of a canyon in earthquake country. (Not that at the top of a canyon wall would be any better.) In these cases it hardly matters WHAT the plant technology is, that will only limit the magnitude of the catastrophe. And safely operating for a decade isn't an indication that it's a safe site. The known problems are also known to be both infrequent and unpredictable. In the case of Fukishima, e.g., the tsunami wasn't the maximum possible one, but a technology that allowed the plant to be a closed module would have limited the damage significantly. (In the current instance, even protecting the backup power supply would have limited the damage significantly, but it could have been more extreme.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    51. Re:Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      IIUC, a part of the problem was lack of adequate drainage. From my understanding the standby generator was not merely submerged by the tsunami, it was left standing in a pool of water that didn't (rapidly?) drain away.

      That is true. The emergency generators were in a place that was going to be flooded when the wave that was going to happen breached the seawalls.

      If I'm correct, the problem was not only an improper sea wall, and not merely improper siting of the backup generators, but even basic things like drainage for the backup generators.

      Well - you are correct. What wasn't criminal about the plant's design was high grade hubris. And note that the cause of the problems wasn't the reactors themselves. It was all that external stuff around them that caused the reactors to have their problems.. Side note - GE's designs specified the backup generators be built in the basement of the buildings. There was concern by some engineers that they would be prone to flooding. But management at TEPCO decided to stick strictly to GE's plan. So that even complicates things more.

      And that is exactly why I have to chuckle when some folks talk about how safe newer designs are. Okay. Well, between us chachalacas, the BWR reastors uses are not all that unsafe as long as the support equipment is designed and built properly. There is another Power Plant known as Fukushima Daini or Fukushima II. It is 12 Km south and shut down without incident. But they were lucky. Nuc plants should never be built with luck as a design factor. But as noted, if the infrastructure wasn't bitched up by the quake and Tsunami, it just take a few days to safely shut down the reactor post scram.

      P.S.: Many of the plants being operated in the US are beyond their designed lifetime, and being run at higher power levels than they were rated for. I hope people are checking on their backup power supplies and refrigeration.

      Every time one of these plants goes kablooey, we learn a little. Most of the US plants are well designed, and not situated as precariously as Fukushima. But every life extension, every power level increase is a little concerning.

      I don't trust the management a bit.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    52. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All operating without incident. All of the decommissioned ones from first fire to closure without an accident.

      You seem to be misinformed.

      Unfortunately for you, there is a list.

      Don't try to quibble around it, there are plenty of other accidents beyond those, including military accidents and medical mistakes.

    53. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      It is because of ppl like you that we burn so much coal.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    54. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It is because of ppl like you that we burn so much coal.

      Trying to shame me with a false dichotomy isn't going to make your bullshit any more accurate.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    55. Re:Not really by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I hope you are ready for Congress to spend a shitload of taxpayer money for nuclear power then. Because that's what it will take. They are too expensive for the "market" to invest in them at this point and with the continued decline in the cost of solar and wind energy it's not likely that nuclear will be able to compete without massive subsidies.

    56. Re:Not really by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It may be that nuclear plants are overregulated but given the potential for a catastrophic failure that's better than having them underregulated.

    57. Re:Not really by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      And if they ever become cost competitive with other forms of power generation they will be built.

    58. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      And humans are really stupid over periods of decades. After a safe decade, the new humans are less careful than the first humans on the job. Until finally enough corners are cut that something bad happens ... again.

      People usually cut corners in the beginning. That's how Fukushima happened. For that matter, it's how we started using nuclear plants before we had a waste management plan. No one should ever have been permitted to build any plant without also building long-term waste storage at the same time. That's just another example of externalities being pushed off onto others by the energy industry.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    59. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      no, the old approach of building large gen 3 plants are the expensive ones. The SMR approach specifically gets rid of the expense. These would be built in a factory and then shipped and simply lowered into the ground and hooked up. These are smaller, so a plant would not have 3 massive large reactors, but would instead have 3-6 reactors with each providing 100-300 MWe. These are ideal for replacing many of the coal AND nat gas plants that we have.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    60. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      well, you have more issues than just costs. For example, the ability to provide on-demand for many months/years, is important. And nuke power, along with geo and hydro are the only base-load powers capable of that.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    61. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      no, it is you that has the BS. Nuke, geo-thermal, and hydro are all clean as they come. Do they have environmental issues? Sure. So does wind and electric. The question is, are they MINIMAL environmental issues and the answer is yes, they are.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    62. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Geothermal and hydro are not clean power. Hydro involves environmental destruction just setting it up.

      Same goes for the manufacture of solar panels, the rare earths for wind turbines, and the lithium for EV car batteries. Mining the materials to make your 'clean' energy happen causes massive environmental destruction. Just, you know, somewhere in Africa or China where you don't have to see it.

      Look, literally none of of power options are actually completely clean or without serious drawbacks. If we were all adults, we would sit down and have a rational assessment of what needs/risks are balanced out best by which techs for which situations on a case-by-case basis. There are plenty of places where wind/solar are great ideas. Also plenty of places where nuclear is a better option, and hydro others. Reducing it all to a religious dichotomy and insisting everyone should make do with whichever solution you consider righteous is just asinine.

    63. Re:Not really by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Good luck. At this point SMRs are still vaporware. I'm not against nuclear power in principle but until they can effectively compete in the electricity generation market they are just pipe dreams.

    64. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Same goes for the manufacture of solar panels,

      Getting better all the time, and already far better than coal, nuclear, or oil. Doesn't inherently have a carbon problem.

      the rare earths for wind turbines,

      Work is being done to eliminate the need for rare earths in permanent magnets, and not all wind turbines even have PMGs.

      Mining the materials to make your 'clean' energy happen causes massive environmental destruction. Just, you know, somewhere in Africa or China where you don't have to see it.

      It doesn't have to be that way, and shock amazement, it's getting to be less that way. But FFs still blow.

      Also plenty of places where nuclear is a better option, and hydro others.

      So far, the only place where nuclear seems to be the best option is on very large, very expensive naval vessels. I'm not against continuing to use PWRs here and there, if necessary. They have a very good record.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    65. Re:Not really by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > There ARE ways to design reactors that are safe by default

      Yeah, that's what they said about AVR. Totally impossible for anything to go wrong, it's completely passively safe. Then a fuel capsule got stuck in the intake and that was it for AVR. They're still paying for it.

      > And Fukushima style cost-cutting for nuclear power won't ever happen again

      Yeah, because no one is going to build a nuclear plant anymore.

      > And Fukushima wasn't not "not doing safety right".

      It's pretty clear you don't know what happened there. The meltdown in Unit 1 was due in large part to misleading readings from a critical probe. That the probe in question could give misleading information in precisely this situation was known to the entire world because it was the same failure that happened at TMI. There was an upgrade suggested after TMI, but they didn't bother to install it. That is by any definition "not doing safety right".

      But don't take my word for it, the various international nuclear commissions had lots and lots to say about TEPCOs management and safety culture. Like how the operating manual clearly said "if you turn this valve, do not turn it again", so they went ahead and turned it again and Bad Things Happened.

      > They basically saved a few thousand dollars in concrete and rebar

      The plant in question was *specifically designed not to need a confinement building", which is precisely why they selected that design. The risk of a steam explosion was addressed through the use of the water chilling torus surrounding the reactor vessel. Unfortunately, the torus was not designed to operate on its own for extended periods, which is precisely what happened when the power was wiped out. So, boom.

      > there are roughly 450 operational nuclear plants

      No, there are 450 nuclear *reactors* in the world. You're not doing your argument any favours by getting even the most basic terminology wrong.

    66. Re:Not really by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Allow me to point out that after RTFA, this power company spent $950 million on trying to get Levy built

      So basically 10 to 20% of the CAPEX. That is not a big deal, paperwork is almost always 25% of any power project (and about 50% in the case of household PV).

    67. Re:Not really by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > a plant can be set-up in 1-2 years

      Construction time - JUST construction time - on Darlington B was 6 years. The fastest modern build I can think of was Qinshan Phase III, which was in China where regulation is "different", the site was already prepared, the work crew shifted from another project at the same site, and the Canadian taxpayer footed $2 billion of the cost. That took just over 4 years.

      So, no.

    68. Re:Not really by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Decommissioning existing plants is coming in one or two orders of magnitude more expensive in constant dollars over the original estimates they gave.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    69. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      you do realize that in the early days of flying that many ppl died because it was DANGEROUS. Now, it is one of the safest modes of transportation.
      Fukishima, like all of othe other failed reactors comes from the 60s. THings have progressed.
      Did they build it KNOWING that it was dangerous? Oh yeah. They knew it was dangerous. Just like we know that driving cars is dangerous, or trains, and planes, etc. They are ALL DANGEROUS, BUT CONTROLLED. Nuke engineers work to control all of the edge cases.

      The nice thing about the new gen IV reactors is that laws of physics controls the edge cases.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    70. Re:Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      you do realize that in the early days of flying that many ppl died because it was DANGEROUS. Now, it is one of the safest modes of transportation.

      That's kind of a non sequitur though. An airplane is a quite localized problem if it goes down. Even then, there is only so much energy available for any destructive fire, or explosion ( in most cases a fire)

      Did they build it KNOWING that it was dangerous? Oh yeah. They knew it was dangerous. Just like we know that driving cars is dangerous, or trains, and planes, etc. They are ALL DANGEROUS, BUT CONTROLLED. Nuke engineers work to control all of the edge cases.

      So are you saying that it is no longer possible to have an accident in a modern nuclear power reactor? That everything is just under control? I'll forgive you for yelling at me, by the way. When you describe any accident as an edge case, its not a good look.

      Get this and get it straight, because I'm not arguing that the old GE Boiling water reactors were unsafe. I'm arguing that humans are not capable of pulling off the needed safety. The GE BWR reactors ther would be running well today, safely powering Japan, if not for the non-reactor based human installed failure points.

      And despite your yelling, I do not believe that humans have gained any smarts that will allow them to keep that genie in the bottle. Spewing radiation from a broken reactor is a symptom, not the base issue Edge cases. You are trying to fit me into some anti-nuc straw man. I'm not anti nuclear power. I'm only skeptical that humans can control it because the people in charge are more worried about expediency and cost than safety.

      And quit yelling at people.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    71. Re:Not really by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      It was still recoverable even after the tsunami, but Tepco manglement were more concerned about saving face than saving the plant.

      And for that matter, GE told Tepco _during construction_ to put the diesel generators on higher ground. Tepco management smiled and said they would, then continued doing exactly what they'd set out to do in the first place.

      Even without the seawall if the generators had been better sited, the situation would have been salvagable.

      If Tepco hadn't dragged their feet asking for help, emergency generators could have been shipped in before the meltdown was inevitable.

      If engineers had vented the hydrogen, there wouldn't have been explosions. The halflife of the radioactives in them is only a few hours and hydrogen mostly goes straight up. They were trying to allow the radioactivity to die down. Bad idea.

      If tepco had paid attention to the safety reports, then not only would the seawall have been worked on, but cooling water intakes wouldn't have clogged. Salt water might have trashed the cores but it would have stopped a meltdown.

    72. Re:Not really by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "because reactors are practically all sited where they can be flooded"

      They're sited where they are because BWR plants have to use large bodies of water as a heatsink or suffer staggeringly poor thermal efficiency.

      The basic problem is that the _inside_ of a fuel rod sits around 1000-1100C, whilst the water can only get to 400-450C - meaning it's bloody hot, under shitloads of pressure and as a result both corrosive and wanting to explode. Adding boric acid to the mix is just gilding the lily.

      Fission reactions top out about 1150C due to doppler effects. Therefore what you want is a primary coolant which boils above this temperature and doesn't catch fire (so no sodium, thanks). That's where molten salts come in. No boiling means no pressurisation, means no massive pressure vessels, means no risk of radioactive steam leaks, etc.

      Current fission reactors are already 300,000 times safer than coal and that's including every military incident as well as the civil ones. LFTRs have the potential to make that at least an order of magnitude better, if not 2 orders plus. They will come, and they're vastly more efficient than uranium - not throwing away 85-90% of your input material before it sees the inside of a reactor and 99% of what does see the inside of the reactor is going to see to that, never mind the issue of the energy costs of enriching uranium for fuel being so high the USA regards it as a military secret.

      Fusion _might_ be viable in my great-grandchildrens' lifetime. Maybe. We can't afford to wait until then to stop burning carbon and in order to achieve that we need to increase electrical production capacity in developed countries by a factor of around 6-10 over current levels, AS WELL as allowing for similar production capacity for 5 billion more people in developing countries.

      Rewnewables at best can just match existing electrical production. Nukes isn't an option, it's a necessity.

    73. Re:Not really by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      The other point about molten salt systems:

      If you have LFTRs, then you operate at 600-800C, instead of 350-400, which means you can reject heat to air on the cold side and still have high thermal efficiency in your turbines.

      That in turn means you can site your power plants well away from water and faultlines. (rivers tend to follow faults)

      Even if you do choose to site near water for greater thermal efficiency, your plant can sit idle at 1100C and not melt down.

      The problem with nuclear teakettles isn't the nuclear part, it's the water.

    74. Re:Not really by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      European plants pay into a decommissioning fund over their operational lifespan. This has worked well so far.

      The american model of selling the plant at the end of its span to a shell company which then goes bust and leaves the government with cleanup costs is yet another scam, but that's not unusual in the USA - where the Duke plant was killed by corrupt contractors who didn't bother building to specification, resulting in massive cost overruns as Duke tried to get the regulators to approve the work that had been done.

    75. Re:Not really by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      The world's coal plants emit enough radium alone to match a half dozen chernobyl events each year, but nooone cares about that. It's not visible so it doesn't matter.

    76. Re:Not really by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Part of the problem is that radiation is a vastly overdemonised bogeyman that is made out to be far more dangerous than it is.

      There are parts of Cornwall, Yorkshire and downtown Helsinki that are more naturally radioactive than any part of Fukushima province. For that matter so is Denver Colorado thanks to its altitude.

      Aircrew receive even higher high energy radiation doses and they're not exactly dying like flies.

      And all of that is _dwarfed_ by the annual radiation dose experienced by a smoker thanks to the polonium naturally present in the tobacco and which ends up fizzing away in lungs for 20 years.

      The rate of cancers amongst Hiroshima and Nagasaki survivors was 4% higher than the rest of the population and the rate of cancers in both cities from 1950 to 1990 was 0.25% above comparable locations elsewhere.

      Compare that to the rates around Love Canal or Minimata Bay.

      It seems that low levels of ionising radiation are fairly benign (we've lived with them for billions of years) and higher levels either kill you or damage your immune system temporarily - at which point you might die of the common cold, but assuming you don't, you _will_ recover. You're far more likely to find Bart's 3-eyed fish downstream of a coal ash slurry pond than a nuclear plant.

    77. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      First, Emphasis, is not yelling. Yelling is capping for a whole sentence, paragraph, etc. I cap a few words for emphasis. BIG difference.

      Now with that said, the GEN 2/3 reactors that were built and the large ones continue to build, require human intervention to not fail. That is a fact. That is why I am opposed to those.
      OTOH, a great example of a fail-proof reactor would be the liquid thorium fluoride salts reactors. Since thorium is fertile it does NOT produce neutrons needed for fission. So, it uses U/Pu for neutron emissions. The liquid thorium is put into a tub, which has drains in the bottom, along with another tub below that. Thermal plugs, designed to melt at 805C, are inserted into those drains to keep the liquid in. The normal temperature for the liquid thorium is 790-800C. If a 'melt-down' starts, the plugs melt and the thorium salts run out. Not only does it not need human intervention, but it does not need cooling. Basically, the liquid being separated from the neutron producing rods, will simply cool off on its own. This has already been tested back in the 70s. Now to re-start it DOES take human intervention.

      And that is just 1 example of the Gen IVs that pretty much can not fail.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    78. Re:Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      good post.
      My dad was USAF and American airlines pilot and has many 10,000s of hours in the air.
      Likewise, I do live in Denver basin and yeah, we do have not just increased radiation from the sun, but also in our soils. And yup, we do just fine. Heck, I was exposed to P-32 and Tritium during biological work at CDC.

      Yeah, I would much rather live next to a safe nuke than a guaranteed dirty coal plant.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    79. Re:Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      First, Emphasis, is not yelling. Yelling is capping for a whole sentence, paragraph, etc. I cap a few words for emphasis. BIG difference.

      This is emphasis Polite company does not use all caps except for acronyms or initialisms.

      And that is just 1 example of the Gen IVs that pretty much can not fail.

      The hubris is strong in you. Amazing, a machine that is incapable of failing.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    80. Re: Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Whatever on the 'yelling'. As to the machine failure, please explain how such a reactor will fail. Keep in mind that the fissile rods are at of the top of the inner sink, which has a number of thermal plugs that simply melt at 805C, allowing the liquid thorium fuel to drain below. The rods without thorium around will not heat up enough to melt down. So those can be on their own. Once the thorium is drained to the outer sink, it no longer is exposed to vast amounts of neutrons. So, how will this fail? Because they have already tried to force a failure by simply stopping the circulation and walking away.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    81. Re: Not really by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Whatever on the 'yelling'. As to the machine failure, please explain how such a reactor will fail. Keep in mind that the fissile rods are at of the top of the inner sink, which has a number of thermal plugs that simply melt at 805C, allowing the liquid thorium fuel to drain below. The rods without thorium around will not heat up enough to melt down. So those can be on their own. Once the thorium is drained to the outer sink, it no longer is exposed to vast amounts of neutrons. So, how will this fail? Because they have already tried to force a failure by simply stopping the circulation and walking away.

      I would have to see the design of the reactor. But if there is one thing an engineer would never say - it's what you have said about this. Imperfect beings cannot create perfect devices. If anyone working for me, came in and told me of this perfect reactor, I would suspect they believed in perpetual motion as well. Your hubris is exactly how we get into trouble.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    82. Re: Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      actually, a good engineer trust the laws of physics will always apply, but then handle all of the items in which they do not. Of course, this reactor is based on the idea of laws of physics along with well-known chemical properties.
      And a nuclear physicsts knows that neutrons are needed to make thorium fission, so if you have a clean separation of liquid thorium from your neutron source (which can be provided by uranium/plutonium, or by electrical source), then thorium will stop its fission.

      IOW, I told you of the design of the reactor, and how it operates. This reactor is simple physics and chemistry. IOW, operation of the reactor can NOT fail. That does not mean that the manufacturing of the reactor can not produce an issue (not likely, but that is not a zero either), OR that a major neutron source is dropped in there forcing it, which would mean some form of an attack, but these are different issues from the operation of the reactor.
      Here you go. Now, go ahead and explain how the reactor can go critical

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  14. The real issue is Duke mismanagement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The fundamental problem with this whole scenario is that Duke charged a fee to all it's customers to pay for the nuclear plant it never will build. Now that it is officially cancelled after several years of waste they will remove the fee from future bills. So Duke faces no consequences for mismanaging it's customer's money and gets approval for another rate hike.

  15. Cost per KW by ArhcAngel · · Score: 5, Informative

    When this plant was proposed in 2006 nuclear was the most cost effective energy out there. Fracking drove the cost of natural gas into the basement and has remained there ever since. So nuclear is no longer the best bag for your buck in the energy industry and it comes with the NIMBY stigma associated with radiation. Duke probably ran the numbers and decided it was cheaper to take the hit and pay a fine rather than complete the project and be straddled with it for years to come.

    --
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    1. Re:Cost per KW by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Informative

      When this plant was proposed in 2006 nuclear was the most cost effective energy out there.

      Only if you ignore decommissioning and waste management, which you don't get to do unless you're one of the assholes actually building the plant.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When this plant was proposed in 2006 nuclear was the most cost effective energy out there.

      Only if you ignore decommissioning and waste management, which you don't get to do unless you're one of the assholes actually building the plant.

      Or, you know, if Luddite chicken-littles would stop blocking the building of breeder-type reactors that reuse their own fuel until what's left is much easier & safer to handle and dispose of. There doesn't have to be highly-radioactive waste to dispose of to begin with.

      Congratulations and thanks to your kind of pseudo-environmental ideological/political pop-science idiocy, we get all the worst of the negative consequences of both nuclear and wind/solar without the full benefits of either.

    3. Re:Cost per KW by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Or, you know, if Luddite chicken-littles would stop blocking the building of breeder-type reactors

      Nobody is even trying to build such a thing.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Cost per KW by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      First, the main concern with early fast breeder reactor designs was proliferation. Engineering can reduce the convenience of proliferation, but it won't ever eliminate it because generating Pu-239 is inherent to the process. That's not a luddite concern; it's real.

      Second, fast breeders at least don't appear to be as economical as originally hoped. The assumption when the tech was proposed was that uranium supply wouldn't keep up with demand, but in fact uranium turns out to be reasonably plentiful. Even under a scenario of greatly increased nuclear adoption it would be many decades before we'd need to turn to breeders. On the cost side, the breeder reactors that have been built have proven to be much less reliable and more expensive to operate than hoped. Of course engineering advances could make breeders cheaper to build and run, but you could say that of conventional nuclear plants too.

      Finally, breeders still have radioactive waste problems; different, and likely more tractable ones, but from an economic standpoint that's meaningless because we allow companies to build conventional plants as if the future waste problem will solve itself. The need to solve the problems from a plant you break ground on today is so far in the future it has no financial reality. So I suspect to get breeder technology off the ground, you'd ironically have to crack down on nuclear power in general.

      It takes a lot more for a technology to be economically feasible than for it to be physically possible. A lot depends on the cost of the alternatives. As long as fossil fuel companies are allowed to externalize their costs on the scale that they do, and conventional nuclear power is allowed to ignore the future costs their plants will incur, advances in novel nuclear technologies are bound to occur at a snail's pace.

      You can imagine a future society running on thorium fuel cycle nuclear plants, it isn't hard to do, and that future can look reasonably good. But imagining something being done is a lot different than knowing how to get it done. You've got to convince people to spend money on stuff that costs more in the short- to mid-term.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re:Cost per KW by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      So nuclear is no longer the best bag for your buck in the energy industry and it comes with the NIMBY stigma associated with radiation.

      It always did. The difference is that post-Fukushima, building a nuclear power plant near a coast also comes with a boatload of new regulations and extra scrutiny. Plus, with Westinghouse's bankruptcy putting the entire future of the AP1000 in jeopardy, there was a good chance that they would get halfway through and have to scrap it anyway. Better to cut their losses relatively early.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    6. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or, you know, if Luddite chicken-littles would stop blocking the building of breeder-type reactors that reuse their own fuel until what's left is much easier & safer to handle and dispose of. There doesn't have to be highly-radioactive waste to dispose of to begin with.

      The problem with these reactors, of course, is that they create opportunities for diversion of plutonium suitable for use in nuclear weapons during fuel reprocessing and some nations or people won't be able to resist that temptation. Breeder reactors are technically a sweet idea, but the crappy realities of our current world make them politically impossible.

    7. Re:Cost per KW by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

      It is interesting to note that Florida has several other nuclear reactors on the coast. One of them, Crystal River, was just a few feet above a Category 5 storm surge. Its basically built on a little platform that just barely brings above projected storm surge level. It would be a little island admist 10 foot waves should the worst happen. Very comforting.That often would cause me to wonder. I think that wondering more would be a good idea given what happened with Fukashima. The levy plant was located further inland in acknowledgement of the bad location of the Crystal River plant. Crystal River was closed it is interesting to note because they screwed up a turbine replacement and cracked the containment,

    8. Re:Cost per KW by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Or, you know, if Luddite chicken-littles would stop blocking the building of breeder-type reactors that reuse their own fuel until what's left is much easier & safer to handle and dispose of.

      No amount of vaporware is going to make nuclear power cost-effective. Stop trying to make the nuclear efficiency thing happen. It's not going to happen.

    9. Re:Cost per KW by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      The levy plant was located further inland in acknowledgement of the bad location of the Crystal River plant.

      The problem with that plan, IMO, is that the state of Florida is very nearly flat. The highest elevation in Florida is less than 350 feet above sea level. The record run-up height for a tsunami was 1,720 feet. Even the relatively modest Fukushima run-up (128 feet) would theoretically have covered the entire state of Florida, with the exception of the most inland parts of the panhandle and a small high spot near Orlando.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    10. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with these reactors, of course, is that they create opportunities for diversion of plutonium suitable for use in nuclear weapons during fuel reprocessing

      There's no removal of the fuel or conventional reprocessing steps with the full-cycle designs. We're not talking conventional breeder-reactors, although they do use many of the same principles. The fuel stays in the reactor core going through various phases/modes of chain-reaction fission as the core transitions for each stage as the fuel decays until the fuel has too little energy (thus posing a much lower risk and simplifies and cheapens storage) to be efficient.

      What, do you think these hypothetical terrorists are going to reenact Spock's "death" scene and walk into the reactor core with a pair of gloves?

    11. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Decommissioning costs are always figured into the cost. It sounds like a big number, but when calculated on a per megawatt/hour basis that cost is tiny.

    12. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is interesting to note that Florida has several other nuclear reactors on the coast. One of them, Crystal River, was just a few feet above a Category 5 storm surge. Its basically built on a little platform that just barely brings above projected storm surge level. It would be a little island admist 10 foot waves should the worst happen. Very comforting.That often would cause me to wonder. I think that wondering more would be a good idea given what happened with Fukashima. The levy plant was located further inland in acknowledgement of the bad location of the Crystal River plant. Crystal River was closed it is interesting to note because they screwed up a turbine replacement and cracked the containment,

      There are no comparisons between a plant being suddenly deluged with all safety systems suddenly underwater, and a rising storm surge. There are well established procedures for dealing with storm surges and river flooding events, the plant is designed to withstand those floods. Fukushima was not designed to withstand a sudden deluge. Flooding is not a safety problem, plants have protocol in place to deal with that. The places where you might get a sudden deluge are either tsunami areas, or dam breaks (which are rarely sudden but we can't discount the possibility)

      Also, it is important for you to understand that the plant safe flood level is much higher than ground level. I don't have the details for St. Lucie or CR3, but they are probably at least 20 feet above ground level at the plant, and ground level is already above the levels expected for all but the worst typical events. Florida is very flat, you don't get deep flooding. Nor do you large tsunami's like Japan.

    13. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But imagining something being done is a lot different than knowing how to get it done. You've got to convince people to spend money on stuff that costs more in the short- to mid-term.

      And there in lies the crux of the problem. Name ANY company that puts emphasis past the next quarter let alone the next year of a fiscal plan. Current business models are all about, what can I get as fast as I can, and forget the rest of the people as "I got mine" mentality.

    14. Re:Cost per KW by rholtzjr · · Score: 1

      Ummm, they do attach a vest laden full of explosives to themselves... So in short. YES!

    15. Re:Cost per KW by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Decommissioning costs are always figured into the cost.

      And they are always bullshit. It always costs multiples of the estimated cost to actually do the decommissioning.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    16. Re:Cost per KW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because thanks to copious regulation, hand-wringing, and a decades old executive order or two, it's impossible.
      Seriously. We've actually outlawed building better reactors than the ones we have.
      Imagine if every solar farm was limited, by law, to 4 acres. And you had to prove every square foot of it. That's the sort of thing the nuclear industry is saddled with.

  16. Re: Jail term for US man who illegally shared nucl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    F'n slashdot, the only site on the web without auto Linking http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-41122104

  17. Please fix the title by Yurka · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "Government strangles a nuclear plant, plans to bribe the company with billions of tax money to build solar instead."

    --
    I can assure you, the best way to get rid of dragons is to have one of your own.
    1. Re:Please fix the title by meglon · · Score: 1, Troll

      You should learn to read. You may hate the government, but as with most things business related, it's all about the company wanting to make money; "regulation" is just their dog whistle to people not smart enough to understand jack shit.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    2. Re:Please fix the title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you know what the Nuclear Regulatory Committee is?
      The regulations they create are half of what drive the cost of nuke plants into the stratosphere. Their regulations are aimed at making it impossible to have a nuclear accident of any sort - even those resulting in less exposure than being outside on a sunny day.

      The other half of the costs is frivolous lawsuits by NIMBYs and Greenies - and the environmental regulations they drive.

  18. Floriduh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wouldn't trust anyone in Florida to build Legos let alone nuclear reactors.

    1. Re:Floriduh by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

      They are not actually designed by people in the state. They were going to use the AP1000 reactor design from Westinghouse.

  19. Solar environmentally friendly, hah by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 0, Troll

    The idea of solar being environmentally friendly is a joke. Ever look at the materials that go into solar panels, and the amount of electronic waste this will produce? Also consider the possible wildlife loss due to the amount of acreage this is going to take. Due to the fact Florida has many endangered ecosystems already due to overdevelopment and it hosting a high biodensity, its actually a pretty poor place for solar. Out west in the desert areas where you have low biodensity would be the least impact. Florida also does have rain and a lot of rain days.

    I'd hate to think about what goes into the batteries, the heavy metals and the environmental damage it will cause to mine it all out of the earth to extract these finite resources. The way these things use up rare earth metals its really hard to see how its sustainable.

    1. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Funny

      You can't imagine how much wildlife has been displaced by the solar panels on my roof. Christ I haven't seen a single deer walking around on my roof!! I tell you it's a travesty of wasted wildlife access.

    2. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      You know the big problem with the solar panels on your roof? Well nothing technically other than the fact that it has nothing to do with the discussion.

      On the other hand the 260 sq km of area needed to generate the 2.2GW of power, capacity factors taken into account, will have quite a different effect on those walking deers.

      Solar belongs on roofs, it shouldn't be blanketing vast areas of nature.

    3. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      260 sq km? That would be 20 x 13 km or about 12.5 x 8 miles. You sure you didn't misplace a decimal point somewhere?

    4. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, how dare something that intercepts light and turns it into energy trap that light that goes to the grass and ground where the deer and the antelope play.

      KILL THE TREES!!!!!

    5. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by RobinH · · Score: 1

      The vast majority of worldwide solar is likely going to be concentrated solar in the world's deserts. Yes, there are a few beetles and scorpions that might have a few more shady places to rest during the day.

      --
      "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
    6. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Yep.

    7. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      Solar is a lot cheaper to install in fields (or on big-box-store roofs) than to install one-panel-at-a-time on private houses.

    8. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      You know, I tried to get the solar installer to do one panel at a time but he kept insisting on installing them on racks in rows of 20 at a time. Lazy bastard.....

  20. Re:Jail term for US man who illegally shared nucle by Eravnrekaree · · Score: 1

    It seems as though China is Westinghouse's main customer now for AP1000 reactor, with this Levy plant being scrapped.

  21. First hurricane by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    $6 billion worth of solar panels on their way to Mexico.

  22. There are 24 hours in a day by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the solar initiative.. that would replace 24x7 power is suddenly dropped in favor of hopefully sunny skies 12 hours a day?

    When will the madness end?

    1. Re: There are 24 hours in a day by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why do you or anyone making this vapid argument think that Duke or anyone else is thinking or claiming this? They are making a different investment with different goals.

  23. Regulatory delays by MrKaos · · Score: 2

    Here we see the effect of dismantling the Public Utility Companies Holding Act (PUCHA deregulation) in action. This 'New Deal' act to prevent a re-occurrence of the 1929 depression by Utility companies scamming taxpayers.

    Duke received subsidies and tax incentives under provisions to build a nuclear reactor (that's the $2.50 per MWh they charged) and will now be able to activate cost recovery under "SEC. 638. STANDBY SUPPORT FOR CERTAIN NUCLEAR PLANT DELAYS" of the 2005 US energy policy act to the tune of half a billion dollars for these two 'proposed' nuclear reactors. Not a bad return on sunk costs of $65 million. Specifically SEC. 638, (d)(2)(A,B).

    To those that cite NIMBYs, NIMBYs didn't make Westinghouse Nuclear go bankrupt and Duke is blaming the NRC for delays issuing the Combined License for the construction and operation of Levy, this is SEC. 638, (c)(1)(A). It would be interesting to know what Duke claims those delays were and US tax and ratepayers should be concerned that this isn't actually covered by SEC. 638, (c)(2)(C), i.e a normal business risk because Westinghouse can't build them a pair of AP1000s anymore and even if they could they can't pass the NRC regulations that make them safe in a hurricane.

    Of interest is a 2011 Tampa Bay Times article which aired complaints that Duke have been scamming their customers $2.50 per Mwh since they proposed Levy probably under SEC. 638, (d)(4)(B). This clumsy episode shows exactly how the scam works. It's difficult to believe there was an intention to build a nuclear power plant and that the entire nuclear renaissance was a way for oil and coal companies to use the nuclear industry to plunder the taxpayer.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  24. Rule of thumb: 5 solar hours/day (21%) by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Capacity factor for nuclear tend to be around 90%, for solar it's location-dependent but in California it may go as high as 25%.

    It varies with climate, season, latitude, and topography. But a quick rule of thumb is that a good solar location in the continental US (little cloud cover, midlatitude, not too close to a mountain, etc.) averages about 5 solar hours per day - about 21% of nameplate power.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  25. Only true for residential/commercial electricity by aepervius · · Score: 0

    It is quite a different picture with industrial which , while peaking during the day, still needs a lot at night for 24/7 plants. That is why base load is important and why nuclear plant even have their baseload at night. Your residential and commercial capacity can probably be covered by renewable. Your industrial needs ? Not so much.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  26. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by hankwang · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's the other way around: nuclear/coal power plants need base-load customers, not the other way around, because those power plants are cheap per kWh delivered, but cannot adapt to demand.

    Power sources should really be categorized in one of three classes: 1. Flexible on-demand (natural gas, hydro, battery storage); 2. Base load (nuclear, coal); 3. Uncontrolled generation power (wind, solar).

    If you add #3 to the net, you should add #1 to balance. Or do cross-continental balancing of #3 to make it behave like #2, but it requires expensive investments in long-distance transmission capacity.

  27. Watts of storage? by pr100 · · Score: 1

    "50MW of battery storage". How can a watt be a unit of storage?

  28. Re:Only true for residential/commercial electricit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Too bad we're not in China where we might have a large demand for 24/7 industrial power. Perhaps when the factories are automated enough to not require workers willing to work those shifts it will return.

  29. Disposal? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Out of curiosity, does anyone know what percentage of the nuclear waste we've already generated has reached final disposal and will never cost us another penny?

  30. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >it requires expensive investments in long-distance transmission
    I doubt it costs as much as you think it does. It's certainly not more than a percentage point of the cost of the installed generation capacity.

  31. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Rei · · Score: 1

    I can't be bothered to look up the last major study on the subject again, but while it's a lot more than "a percentage point" of the cost, nationwide HVDC links do indeed pay for themselves, whether compared to the cost of more fossil peaking, or when compared to the cost of more renewable generation to help compensate for fluctuating output. A geographically high-renewables + HVDC grid is actually more stable than a low-renewables local-only grid because of the stabilization effects of HVDC and the reduction in the effects of single-point-of-failure generation / transmission issues.

    Storage is also an option, although $50m for a 700 MW solar plant is not so much long-term storage as just buying you time to ramp up/down other sources (and eliminating the significance of random cloud banks drifting over the plant). Which should be obvious when you compare prices - they'll probably pay $1,5B or so for that solar plant; the battery buffer will be only 3% of that cost.

    --
    He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
  32. Yep by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Whenever a business blames government regulation they are always telling half or less the truth - usually 100% bullshit - so to obfuscate their profiteering at public expense.

    And of course much of the gullible public falls for the evil government picking on those poor defenseless multi-billion dollar corporations. Because those multi-billion dollar corporations only have the public's interest at heart!

  33. And a bad one for nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Flooding is likely to be a problem in Florida going forward, and if there's one thing a nuke station doesn't like in a big way, it's flooding. Solar panels just need hosing down if the floodwater gets high enough to submerge,otherwise it's mostly the batteries that hate water. Batteries all power stations have, if to a lesser extent, to allow for safe shut down in emergencies.

    1. Re:And a bad one for nuclear by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Solar panels will need more than hosing down. They'll need to be lifted vertically. (Of course if they're on a roof top, they'll get lifted automatically when the house is jacked up onto stilts...though I don't know how well that plays with hurricane wind resistance.

      I'm assuming that the flooding you are talking about is due to sea level rise (which is measured in fractions of an inch per decade)...but which does mean that some places that used to be usually dry now frequently end up under a bit of water. If you're talking about storm surges, this only gets amplified a little bit unless it's really true that move violent storms are becoming more frequent.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    2. Re:And a bad one for nuclear by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'm assuming that the flooding you are talking about is due to sea level rise (which is measured in fractions of an inch per decade)

      Actually the rate of sea level rise since 1993 is at least 3.2 mm/year which is well over an inch per decade.

    3. Re:And a bad one for nuclear by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I forgot that rise isn't evenly distributed around the globe. Locally it's fractions of an inch/decade (though not small fractions) but on the US East Coast it's considerably more. But still a lot less than 2 inches/decade.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    4. Re:And a bad one for nuclear by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      For now. Sea level rise is expected to increase as time goes on.

  34. Yes, you fucking can't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What you get is a new plant and the old one left waiting for decommissioning. What that link is talking about is a design that would never be used due to the expense of both building and operating, for a power source that already costs the most.

  35. It's already messed up by random feedback. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You see those people with homes and need power? They need it unpredictably and variably, and the grid has to be built so as to allow that variation without crapping out.

    Adding in solar will do fuck all about variability except reduce the peak load. Which will reduce variability most of the time, therefore reducing average variability.

  36. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Who told you that wind was uncontrolled? They lied to you, and you're a tool for repeating it. Essentially all wind turbines can either be braked, or their blades pitched so that the wind doesn't turn them.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  37. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    tell australia that, wind and solar fucked their grid, when an inter link fucked.

    eco-loons are not fucking engineers.

  38. Same way you measure power plants. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a 700MW solar panel farm with 50MW of batteries will be able to store 50MW of production in those batteries and then supply those later.

    Duh.

    It makes no sense to claim so many GWh of storage since hydro is measured in that but their power production is massively high, meaning they either run slowly and last long or run out quickly. Because they can release water at a given rate. Running a solar power battery backup like that would be ridiculous, since we know night time is nonproductive for solar.

    Properly designed, the batteries should supply a certain rate for the entire night. Surely that makes a better figure than how many electrons it can store.

    Batteries run out at a rate dependent on their design and the inductive load it releases too. And therefore they run out at a much more limited rate. So if you have 50MW of batteries, you can supply 50MW out of them. Adding more batteries in series increases the storage but not the output. To change the output you have to redesign the inductive load.

  39. RTFS, moron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It says there they're spending on infrastructure modernisation, electric car charging locations, and several other things along with the solar plant and batteries (and the batteries will not be selected for the sole use of solar: whatever is cheapest will be put into those batteries)

    So where do you get they're spending 6 billion on 700MW?

  40. "Battery investment" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is fake battery investment. They need to invest in battery science instead of production because battery capacity sucks. Look how difficult it was to wean off incandescent light bulbs and that even though LED research and investment was higher than what is being spent currently to invent higher capacity batteries.

  41. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    It makes even less sense for solar; if you simply disconnect load from a PV junction, the PV junction doesn't magically blow up.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  42. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now try make a wind turbine generate power when you feel like it. That is the tricky bit

  43. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

    Power sources should really be categorized in one of three classes: 1. Flexible on-demand (natural gas, hydro, battery storage); 2. Base load (nuclear, coal); 3. Uncontrolled generation power (wind, solar).

    They already are: Baseload - plants that you run full bore 24x7 Mid - cover the fluctuations between base and below peak Peakers - plants that can come online quickly to satisfy demand during peak hours.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  44. There are much safer nuclear techniques by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is time to consider nuclear power generation using molten-salt thorium. The design of such things is vastly easier to make safe against basically any observed problems. Also the decay products of the reactions follow paths that avoid the long lived isotopes that uranium based reactors generate.
    For the US at least, the major limitation seems to be regulations designed for uranium based systems which don't apply (and too much tolerance for NIMBY objections by folks who don't know the science). Other countries are moving forward on some of these designs, but the US, where they were invented many years ago, is getting left behind.
    Aside from the greater safety of the thorium cycle, it is vastly more abundant than uranium and requires no isotopic separation: all the thorium can be used. Granted the eventual waste does need to be stored awhile, but it takes ~300 years only to drop to the level it has as dirt pre mining...not hundreds of thousands of years. That's because the reaction is starting from a slightly smaller nucleus which has different decay products.

    1. Re:There are much safer nuclear techniques by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      It is time to consider nuclear power generation using molten-salt thorium.

      The oil and coal industry will not let a reactor technology flourish that competes with oil or coal. They are the one lobbying to have nuclear regulation made that works in their favor.

      The US already had a closed loop reactor/reprocessing technology in the IFR that solve the existing plutonium and DU waste issues that could power the entire US for the next five thousand years producing electricity and hydrogen that would supplant oil but maintain the current vehicle fleet. There is no way that the oil and coal industry are going to allow Nuclear to overtake their market.

      Molten-salt thorium may have been a great help if it was the first fuel cycle we choose however it doesn't help us now and simply creates a new waste stream of Thallium 233 and its many many many many many many decay products. It's not about the reactor technology, it's about oil and coal, always.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  45. REPLACED BY NATURAL GAS by Mike+Greaves · · Score: 2

    Solar? Battery "storage"? Can we do the math on this one?

    The cancelled reactors would have produced an average of 47.5 GWh per day @ 90% cap factor.

    If the 700 MW of added solar uses modest DC overbuild, it will achieve something like a 25% cap factor, as a seasonal average.
    That's 4.2 GWh per day, replacing just 9% of the foregone nuclear gen.

    Most grid battery "storage" systems run for less than a couple of hours @ rated power (50 MW in this case) per day; many only have 10 minutes of rated runtime, just enough to allow paralleled quick-dispatch gas turbines (burning natural gas) time to spin-up.
    So that's less than 0.1 GWh per day. The reactors would do nearly 500x times that.

    Duke is planning to replace up to 90% of the nuclear with NATURAL GAS, mostly burned in high-efficiency combined-cycle turbines plus some in quick-dispatch simple-cycle turbines. The rest of the story is window-dressing.

    I hope the "environmentalists" don't mind the GHG impact of this decision.

    --
    -- Mike Greaves
  46. Re:Rule of thumb: 5 solar hours/day (21%) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry but 90% is not correct because of the inabiltiy to throttle down.
    I would accept between 70% and 80%, but not 90%. The consumer
    must always be drawing all or dumping some of the power which is
    the issue. If there is ever a significant mismatch the reactor system
    will trip and it will go offline for a month or so. It's the difference between
    peak power and average.

  47. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Now try make a wind turbine generate power when you feel like it. That is the tricky bit

    There's always wind someplace. Our grid is BS. Let's upgrade the grid, which we should do no matter what kind of power we use. Also, more storage is coming, period. It's the recycling plan for most EV packs, and EV sales are rising over time even though fuel prices are low.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  48. Those Bastard Dukes by Toad-san · · Score: 1

    did the same thing in Nawth Ca'lina years ago, and we're STILL paying for it.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  49. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Rei · · Score: 1

    1) There is only a single HVDC interlink in South Australia (where the electricity problems have been) - Murraylink. It's old (26 years), short (180km), and has never been a problem (although since it's aging and not up to modern standards it's going to need some upgrades soon - in particular bushfire suppression systems, but also replacing some old equipment at the terminals)

    2) South Australia's problems are because they started taking power plants offline with inadequate peaking or interlinks to replace it. They are preparing to fix it with 129 MWh / 100MW of battery storage.

    South Australia is a perfect example of precisely the opposite of your point: what happens when you neglect your distribution infrastructure. Now they're considering (too late) building a new HVDC line ("Murraylink 2") to more than double the connection with Victoria - something that should have been in place years ago.

    --
    He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
  50. Re:Only true for residential/commercial electricit by whoever57 · · Score: 1

    It is quite a different picture with industrial which

    Because Industrial users require a different kind of electricity that can't be used by consumers? LOL.

    Peak loads are during the day. The fact that some industrial users require electricity 24/7 doesn't change that.

    Even in the UK, which is further north than anywhere in the USA except Alaska, peak loads are during the day. That's why the utilities sell electricity cheaply at night.

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
  51. At least is a greener gun by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you build solar panels in a hurricane area without considering the fucking hurricanes you are going to shoot yourself in the foot.

    If you are the idiot tepco management and build an unsafe nuclear plant in an earthquake area you are going to shoot the foot of a fourth of the hemisphere.

    This is the fucking difference but you Bloomberg twats cannot understand it.

    1. Re:At least is a greener gun by HiThere · · Score: 1

      You are vastly overstating a valid point. Reactor problems can, and have, affected large areas. Solar panel problems only affect small areas. But neither noticeably affects 1/8 of the planet. Hundreds of miles, yes, and even that's in strongly decreased amount.

      Chernobyl is a better extreme case than Fukishima, because it affected people as far away as Sweden. But the effects were minor.

      There are worse case events than we have seen so far, but even one of them wouldn't noticeably affect 1/8th of the globe.

      Still, if nuclear plants had to budget for all their externalized costs they'd be out of business. But so would coal. And oil would be a lot more limited. I don't have a good figure for solar or wind, because they both use lots of specialized materials that have a hefty environmental cost to extract, and they don't handle recycling their retired or non-functional products. I suspect both would easily double in costs. Society tends to hide the real costs of the sources of energy that it depends on for existence.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    2. Re:At least is a greener gun by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Solar panel problems only affect small areas."

      The pollution problems (mainly hydrofluric acid leaks) associated with solar panel production in China have the potential to wreck the potable drinking water of at least 40 million people downstream of the factories.

      Right now there's a huge waste lake that noone knows how to deal with. If it breaches, the consequences will be catastrophic. Just because it's not happening in _your_ backyard doesn't mean it's not a problem associated with the technology.

  52. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electric by hankwang · · Score: 1

    My proposed category #3 is missing from that list.

  53. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by blindseer · · Score: 1

    Wind is only "controlled" in that it has means to turn it down when there is too much. There is no way to turn it up if there is not enough.

    That's like calling a bobsled a "controlled" means of transportation. It only works when you have a downhill slope, and even then you can only turn slightly, slow down, or accelerate at the rate gravity allows. To get to the top of the hill you need a snowmachine, or get off and push it back up the hill, or wait until a new valley appears below your feet.

    Who told me that wind power is uncontrolled? I was told this by the people that build, operate, and install them.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  54. Missing Units on Battery Capacity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    50MW is not how you would measure battery capacity. Is it 50MW/h?

  55. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who told you that wind was uncontrolled? They lied to you, and you're a tool for repeating it. Essentially all wind turbines can either be braked, or their blades pitched so that the wind doesn't turn them.

    I think it is obvious that the implication was that you cannot make solar/wind produce on demand, therefore uncontrollable; especially within context of the other two categories.

    Unreliable, or intermittent, may have been a less ambiguous choice of words. However, nothing will stop blind zealots from foaming at the mouth :)

  56. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electric by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

    My proposed category #3 is missing from that list.

    Yes, because you can't have uncontrolled generation; load dispatchers need to be able to properly balance land to keep the grid working.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  57. Solar means resilient by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Good choice.

    What most people don't get is that even in Canada (which if you weren't American, you'd realize is the country to America's north), solar and wind are cheaper than nuclear energy.

    Economics cares nothing for your failed ideology. It won't save fossil fuels. It won't save fission nuclear energy.

    Fusion will mostly be used by the military for the next 20 years, of course. We're not supposed to talk about it, but it was developed here.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  58. Re:Not really so different than US capitalism! by PlaynBass · · Score: 1

    Once death and taxes

    summed the certainties of life

    Add Cutting Corners

    --
    PlaynBass