Gee, Time Magazine sprouts a "magazine supplement" called Time Digital and surprise, surprise, their predictions go with their interests!
1. Wireless The year 2000 will bring the death of the cable. - NO- Just like, MSN pre-installed in Linux will bring the death of AOL. Will people stop getting horny from Qualcomm already? They make phones and good email software. Chill. Wireless? Great, I want all my conversations and computer communications picked up by people with scanners! I like getting my signals distrupted every 30 seconds! Wireless networks will not go mainstream this year.
2. The E-Commerce Backlash Admit. Ecommerce is here to stay. I go to Sam Goody and find the Matrix DVD I bought online for $10 shipped is $29.95 or some sh*t. Haha. I like price comparison shopping on shopper.com and pricescan.com and reading reviews on epinions and deja. Retail wont die but make no mistake, ecommerce is alive and well. -Wait- notice who has no ecommerce presence...hint...Time? No way!
3. The Revenge of MP3. MP3s are nice, but until people make the hardware like portable car mp3 players, it'll never be anything mainstream.
4. Linux Gets Small - It was a great year for Linux, but Pathfinder.com is still using Netscape as their web server. Linux will have tons of uses. This prediction isn't one.
5. Cartoons Are King - Not unless they start broadcasting Pokemon on the web daily. Or stop people from bootlegging movies and uploading them. (Notice the Time Warner plug in the article!)
6. The Stock Market - Dot.com stocks that dont have solid business plans have already dropped. TheGlobe.com, DrKoop.com, Quaokka.com. There are plenty more that are well below their IPOs highs. Solid moneymakers like AOL, EBay, Yahoo, PathFinder.com won't be affected.
Some of my own predictions: broadband will increase (buy Qwest and Cisco).
Transmeta will have a breakthrough development for the computer world sometime this year.
AOL will offer an advertising based free subscription or give away computers to attract more users.
"Lt. Col. Grossman's book seems to revolve around a few basic themes:
- Exposure to violent entertainment desensitizes youth to acts of violence and leads to aggressive behavior."
Plain and simple, this is true. If you view/do something over and over again, you are desensitized to it. It doesn't have the same effect after many repetitions. Does it lead to violence and aggression? No, but it doesn't prevent violence either. I don't think the world would suffer if we reduced the amount of violence present in the media.
"- Violent video and computer games are an ultra-effective way of instructing murder."
Yes. An old military rule states that one must perform an action 500 for it to "stick" but 5,000 times for it to become second nature. I've used the MACS before to hone my marksmanship skills and it really is just a Super Nintendo with a plastic laser light gun in the mold of an M-16. Anybody who has played "gun games" at the arcades pretty much have begun to learn the basic fundamentals of marksmanship.
Computer games such as Quake Deathmatch? It teaches kids the concept that life easily restored by hitting the spacebar. I'm not talking about your 13+ kids now, but the eight year olds who have just warezed Quake 2 and are playing it. Who cares if you die? Who cares if I shoot wildly, friendly fire is OFF! Hostage down? Who cares, he'll be back next round! Some concepts of violence in video games will rub off on kids. Ratings won't stop the eight year old AOL pirates.
"- Youth crime is rising in America as is the amount of violence in video and computer games"
Probably not. The reason youth crime is rising is because of the lack of parent's responsiblity. Lock your f*cking gun cabinents. Keep your gun and ammo apart. If you see your kids making pipe bombs, stop them. If you see your kids playing a game you don't like, stop them. If you see your kids downloading hardcore porn, stop them. Talk to them. Geez, I thought it was obvious.
The only way to stop kid violence is for parents to take action. Talk to kids, talk to unpopular kids, talk to "in crowd" kids, talk to geeks, talk to athletes, talk to band members. Whatever. Anything.
People shooting people? It's been happening for a while. Aaron Burr and Alexander Hamilton. Colin Ferguson on the Long Island train, the day trader in Georgia, too many bother listing. People like to point out that all of the sudden it's kids and their video games. Wake the hell up, it's the irresponsible parents.
To stop adults from shooting each other, make stricter gun laws. Banning guns is not the answer. However, no matter what laws we produce, some nut will go on a shooting spree. Therefore, Carpe Diem and live everyday to its fullest.
Other points: everybody knows that shooting someone in the head will do more damage then anywhere else. We don't need video games to tell us that - it's pretty damn obvious.
BTW, I play Quake X, Half-Life, Doom X, Jagged Alliance, Delta Force 2, all the violent games. Yes, I have learned military and gun related stuff from playing these games that I probably wouldn't have if I didn't, but it doesn't mean I'm going to shoot people.
Our family bought a Zenon system from www.zenontech.com and it turned out that the memory they put in the system was PC66 and not PC100 as stated in the advertisement.
Zenon's now out of business and I don't really want to spend my time pursueing a court settlement. I've done my best to warn people about Zenon. In the future, it's going to be self-built computers.
Despite the earthquake, Taiwan's economy is doing very well and Taiwan itself contains a large, motivated, educated work force. They are willing to embrace technology, but the problem is not that lack of money to finance technology, but the lack of technologiy itself.
I'm surprised to say this, but Microsoft is smart. They get some cash and help Taiwan gain new technology. Maybe 20 years from now, when Taiwan is licensing technology to Vietnam, they require Windows 2020 to be installed on all servers in Hanoi.
I doubt the Taiwanese industry will be that affected by Microsoft. Taiwan can take care of itself and discover new options.
With Taiwan's economy shifting from manufacturing to service, Microsoft can make some nice bread providing Internet service technology to Taiwanese companies like GigaMedia. GigaMedia will embrace the technology, and most likely refine it so that -they- can sell Internet services technology to countries like China, the Koreas and Vietnam.
No mistake about it folks, Taiwan is Silicon Island. This deal just helps reinforces the position of Taiwanese technology.
His music may not be mainstream (Backstreet Boys, etc...) but he definitely is a very talented musician. He relies on his musical talent and not his looks to attract an audience. It's refreshing to know that such a good artist is also a computer geek. I dunno about the ISP venture though. I wish he would concentrate on starting his own digital label to help the acceptance of mp3s. Or I wish he'd turn is efforts to the design of a new distribution system for digital music. He definitely has enough influence to convince other musicians to contribute and fund such a possibility. Now that would be a pinnacle accomplishment... Well, at least the music is great.
Slashdot Mirror
Gee, Time Magazine sprouts a "magazine supplement" called Time Digital and surprise, surprise, their predictions go with their interests!
1. Wireless The year 2000 will bring the death of the cable. - NO- Just like, MSN pre-installed in Linux will bring the death of AOL. Will people stop getting horny from Qualcomm already? They make phones and good email software. Chill. Wireless? Great, I want all my conversations and computer communications picked up by people with scanners! I like getting my signals distrupted every 30 seconds! Wireless networks will not go mainstream this year.
2. The E-Commerce Backlash Admit. Ecommerce is here to stay. I go to Sam Goody and find the Matrix DVD I bought online for $10 shipped is $29.95 or some sh*t. Haha. I like price comparison shopping on shopper.com and pricescan.com and reading reviews on epinions and deja. Retail wont die but make no mistake, ecommerce is alive and well. -Wait- notice who has no ecommerce presence...hint...Time? No way!
3. The Revenge of MP3. MP3s are nice, but until people make the hardware like portable car mp3 players, it'll never be anything mainstream.
4. Linux Gets Small - It was a great year for Linux, but Pathfinder.com is still using Netscape as their web server. Linux will have tons of uses. This prediction isn't one.
5. Cartoons Are King - Not unless they start broadcasting Pokemon on the web daily. Or stop people from bootlegging movies and uploading them. (Notice the Time Warner plug in the article!)
6. The Stock Market - Dot.com stocks that dont have solid business plans have already dropped. TheGlobe.com, DrKoop.com, Quaokka.com. There are plenty more that are well below their IPOs highs. Solid moneymakers like AOL, EBay, Yahoo, PathFinder.com won't be affected.
Some of my own predictions: broadband will increase (buy Qwest and Cisco).
Transmeta will have a breakthrough development for the computer world sometime this year.
AOL will offer an advertising based free subscription or give away computers to attract more users.
TeamFortress 2 will rock.
I wouldn't use Deja for recommendations on buying anything. They don't have a good system for ratings/recommendations.
If you're looking for recommendations on lots of stuff like books, movies, computers or travel destinations, etc... go with Epinions.com
If you sign up for Epinions.com, please use me a referral: redking
Thanks.
Mr. Kent (of MSNBC) writes:
"Lt. Col. Grossman's book seems to revolve around a few basic themes:
- Exposure to violent entertainment desensitizes youth to acts of violence and leads to aggressive behavior."
Plain and simple, this is true. If you view/do something over and over again, you are desensitized to it. It doesn't have the same effect after many repetitions. Does it lead to violence and aggression? No, but it doesn't prevent violence either. I don't think the world would suffer if we reduced the amount of violence present in the media.
"- Violent video and computer games are an ultra-effective way of instructing murder."
Yes. An old military rule states that one must perform an action 500 for it to "stick" but 5,000 times for it to become second nature. I've used the MACS before to hone my marksmanship skills and it really is just a Super Nintendo with a plastic laser light gun in the mold of an M-16. Anybody who has played "gun games" at the arcades pretty much have begun to learn the basic fundamentals of marksmanship.
Computer games such as Quake Deathmatch? It teaches kids the concept that life easily restored by hitting the spacebar. I'm not talking about your 13+ kids now, but the eight year olds who have just warezed Quake 2 and are playing it. Who cares if you die? Who cares if I shoot wildly, friendly fire is OFF! Hostage down? Who cares, he'll be back next round! Some concepts of violence in video games will rub off on kids. Ratings won't stop the eight year old AOL pirates.
"- Youth crime is rising in America as is the amount of violence in video and computer games"
Probably not. The reason youth crime is rising is because of the lack of parent's responsiblity. Lock your f*cking gun cabinents. Keep your gun and ammo apart. If you see your kids making pipe bombs, stop them. If you see your kids playing a game you don't like, stop them. If you see your kids downloading hardcore porn, stop them. Talk to them. Geez, I thought it was obvious.
The only way to stop kid violence is for parents to take action. Talk to kids, talk to unpopular kids, talk to "in crowd" kids, talk to geeks, talk to athletes, talk to band members. Whatever. Anything.
People shooting people? It's been happening for a while. Aaron Burr and Alexander Hamilton. Colin Ferguson on the Long Island train, the day trader in Georgia, too many bother listing. People like to point out that all of the sudden it's kids and their video games. Wake the hell up, it's the irresponsible parents.
To stop adults from shooting each other, make stricter gun laws. Banning guns is not the answer. However, no matter what laws we produce, some nut will go on a shooting spree. Therefore, Carpe Diem and live everyday to its fullest.
Other points: everybody knows that shooting someone in the head will do more damage then anywhere else. We don't need video games to tell us that - it's pretty damn obvious.
BTW, I play Quake X, Half-Life, Doom X, Jagged Alliance, Delta Force 2, all the violent games. Yes, I have learned military and gun related stuff from playing these games that I probably wouldn't have if I didn't, but it doesn't mean I'm going to shoot people.
Our family bought a Zenon system from www.zenontech.com and it turned out that the memory they put in the system was PC66 and not PC100 as stated in the advertisement.
Zenon's now out of business and I don't really want to spend my time pursueing a court settlement. I've done my best to warn people about Zenon. In the future, it's going to be self-built computers.
I don't know about this.
Despite the earthquake, Taiwan's economy is doing very well and Taiwan itself contains a large, motivated, educated work force. They are willing to embrace technology, but the problem is not that lack of money to finance technology, but the lack of technologiy itself.
I'm surprised to say this, but Microsoft is smart. They get some cash and help Taiwan gain new technology. Maybe 20 years from now, when Taiwan is licensing technology to Vietnam, they require Windows 2020 to be installed on all servers in Hanoi.
I doubt the Taiwanese industry will be that affected by Microsoft. Taiwan can take care of itself and discover new options.
Definitely a wise move!
With Taiwan's economy shifting from manufacturing to service, Microsoft can make some nice bread providing Internet service technology to Taiwanese companies like GigaMedia. GigaMedia will embrace the technology, and most likely refine it so that -they- can sell Internet services technology to countries like China, the Koreas and Vietnam.
No mistake about it folks, Taiwan is Silicon Island. This deal just helps reinforces the position of Taiwanese technology.
His music may not be mainstream (Backstreet Boys, etc...) but he definitely is a very talented musician. He relies on his musical talent and not his looks to attract an audience. It's refreshing to know that such a good artist is also a computer geek. I dunno about the ISP venture though. I wish he would concentrate on starting his own digital label to help the acceptance of mp3s. Or I wish he'd turn is efforts to the design of a new distribution system for digital music. He definitely has enough influence to convince other musicians to contribute and fund such a possibility. Now that would be a pinnacle accomplishment... Well, at least the music is great.